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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: D Bond

Middlesbrough 1–2 Burnley

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2022/2023

Home 2.70 fair 2.70
Draw 3.40 fair 3.97
Away ✓ 2.55 fair 2.65
Under 2.5 1.80 fair 2.15
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.05 fair 1.87

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Middlesbrough Burnley
9 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 4
1 Corners 2
16 Fouls 6
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (476 league matches this season so far).
Result Burnley to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.75
Expected goals 1.40 – 1.42
Home / Draw / Away
MiddlesbroughDrawBurnley
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.8% 0–1 8.4% 1–2 8.4%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Middlesbrough before this match, all matches
1.72points / match
1.82scored / match
1.18conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 39 played · 71:46
Burnley before this match, all matches
2.21points / match
1.95scored / match
0.76conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 38 played · 74:29
Middlesbrough all matches all matches Burnley

Per match

1.82 Goals scored 1.95
1.18 Goals conceded 0.76
3.00 Total goals 2.71
12.77 Shots 13.26
4.38 Shots on target 4.74
10.13 Shots faced 8.68
6.26 Corners 5.84
4.28 Corners against 3.89
10.15 Fouls 9.87
2.03 Yellow cards 1.79
0.69 1st-half goals scored 0.79
0.67 1st-half goals conceded 0.37

How often Full Time

51% Wins 63%
18% Draws 32%
31% Losses 5%
95% Over 0.5 goals 95%
82% Over 1.5 goals 76%
64% Over 2.5 goals 50%
41% Over 3.5 goals 24%
15% Over 4.5 goals 13%
3% Over 5.5 goals 11%
62% Both teams scored 53%
26% Clean sheets 45%
18% Failed to score 8%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 39%
38% Draws 47%
28% Losses 13%
82% Over 0.5 goals 63%
41% Over 1.5 goals 34%
10% Over 2.5 goals 16%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Middlesbrough all matches
Burnley all matches
Middlesbrough before this match, at home
2.05points / match
1.89scored / match
0.74conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 36:14
Burnley before this match, away
2.00points / match
1.72scored / match
0.89conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 31:16
Middlesbrough at home away Burnley

Per match

1.89 Goals scored 1.72
0.74 Goals conceded 0.89
2.63 Total goals 2.61
12.95 Shots 10.89
4.68 Shots on target 3.94
8.53 Shots faced 10.89
6.63 Corners 4.61
4.53 Corners against 4.56
9.95 Fouls 10.67
2.05 Yellow cards 2.06
0.84 1st-half goals scored 0.78
0.47 1st-half goals conceded 0.39

How often Full Time

58% Wins 56%
32% Draws 33%
11% Losses 11%
89% Over 0.5 goals 94%
74% Over 1.5 goals 67%
53% Over 2.5 goals 39%
32% Over 3.5 goals 22%
16% Over 4.5 goals 17%
0% Over 5.5 goals 17%
53% Both teams scored 56%
47% Clean sheets 39%
11% Failed to score 11%

How often Half Time

47% Wins 50%
37% Draws 39%
16% Losses 11%
79% Over 0.5 goals 67%
42% Over 1.5 goals 33%
11% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Middlesbrough at home
Burnley away

Last 10 matches before this match

Middlesbrough all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.04.23 Huddersfield – Middlesbrough 4–2 (0–1) 5.003.751.70 2.02 1.83
18.03.23 Middlesbrough – Preston 4–0 (1–0) 1.553.806.50 2.02 1.83
14.03.23 Middlesbrough – Stoke 1–1 (1–1) 1.703.805.00 1.90 1.95
11.03.23 Swansea – Middlesbrough 1–3 (1–0) 3.253.602.15 1.98 1.88
04.03.23 Middlesbrough – Reading 5–0 (2–0) 1.454.506.50 1.85 2.00
25.02.23 West Brom – Middlesbrough 2–0 (2–0) 2.303.303.00 2.02 1.83
18.02.23 Middlesbrough – QPR 3–1 (0–0) 1.554.205.75 1.88 1.98
15.02.23 Sheffield United – Middlesbrough 1–3 (1–1) 2.053.403.75 2.10 1.73
11.02.23 Cardiff – Middlesbrough 1–3 (1–2) 3.603.402.10 2.10 1.73
04.02.23 Middlesbrough – Blackpool 3–0 (1–0) 1.534.006.50 1.80 2.00

Burnley all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
31.03.23 Burnley – Sunderland 0–0 (0–0) 1.454.337.50 1.80 2.00
15.03.23 Hull – Burnley 1–3 (0–1) 4.503.501.83 2.30 1.62
11.03.23 Burnley – Wigan 3–0 (1–0) 1.335.258.50 2.00 1.85
04.03.23 Blackpool – Burnley 0–0 (0–0) 6.503.801.60 2.02 1.83
25.02.23 Burnley – Huddersfield 4–0 (3–0) 1.364.5010.00 1.95 1.90
21.02.23 Millwall – Burnley 1–1 (0–0) 3.303.202.38 2.50 1.53
18.02.23 Luton – Burnley 0–1 (0–0) 3.303.302.20 2.20 1.67
14.02.23 Burnley – Watford 1–1 (0–1) 1.673.805.25 1.95 1.90
11.02.23 Burnley – Preston 3–0 (1–0) 1.554.006.00 2.10 1.73
04.02.23 Norwich – Burnley 0–3 (0–1) 2.603.302.75 2.00 1.85

Middlesbrough at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.03.23 Middlesbrough – Preston 4–0 (1–0) 1.553.806.50 2.02 1.83
14.03.23 Middlesbrough – Stoke 1–1 (1–1) 1.703.805.00 1.90 1.95
04.03.23 Middlesbrough – Reading 5–0 (2–0) 1.454.506.50 1.85 2.00
18.02.23 Middlesbrough – QPR 3–1 (0–0) 1.554.205.75 1.88 1.98
04.02.23 Middlesbrough – Blackpool 3–0 (1–0) 1.534.006.50 1.80 2.00
28.01.23 Middlesbrough – Watford 2–0 (2–0) 1.913.404.33 2.10 1.73
14.01.23 Middlesbrough – Millwall 1–0 (0–0) 1.953.504.00 2.10 1.73
26.12.22 Middlesbrough – Wigan 4–1 (1–0) 1.673.755.50 2.02 1.83
10.12.22 Middlesbrough – Luton 2–1 (1–1) 1.833.604.33 2.02 1.83
05.11.22 Middlesbrough – Bristol City 1–1 (0–1) 1.803.604.75 1.90 1.95

Burnley away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.03.23 Hull – Burnley 1–3 (0–1) 4.503.501.83 2.30 1.62
04.03.23 Blackpool – Burnley 0–0 (0–0) 6.503.801.60 2.02 1.83
21.02.23 Millwall – Burnley 1–1 (0–0) 3.303.202.38 2.50 1.53
18.02.23 Luton – Burnley 0–1 (0–0) 3.303.302.20 2.20 1.67
04.02.23 Norwich – Burnley 0–3 (0–1) 2.603.302.75 2.00 1.85
02.01.23 Swansea – Burnley 1–2 (1–2) 3.003.402.38 2.05 1.80
30.12.22 Stoke – Burnley 0–1 (0–0) 3.203.252.30 2.00 1.80
11.12.22 QPR – Burnley 0–3 (0–2) 3.103.402.30 2.00 1.85
05.11.22 Sheffield United – Burnley 5–2 (1–2) 2.403.303.00 2.00 1.85
22.10.22 Sunderland – Burnley 2–4 (2–0) 3.203.252.30 2.02 1.83

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Middlesbrough winsDrawsBurnley wins
1matches
4.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.12.22E1 Burnley – Middlesbrough 3–1 (0–0) 2.053.403.75 1.98 1.88

England Championship table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Burnley 38 24 12 2 74 29 +45 84
2 Sheffield United 39 23 7 9 60 33 +27 76
3 Luton 40 18 14 8 48 35 +13 68
4 Middlesbrough 39 20 7 12 71 46 +25 67
5 Millwall 40 17 11 12 48 40 +8 62
6 Blackburn 39 19 4 16 43 45 -2 61
7 Norwich 40 17 9 14 54 42 +12 60
8 Preston 40 16 11 13 39 44 -5 59
9 Coventry 40 15 13 12 47 41 +6 58
10 West Brom 39 15 11 13 48 42 +6 56
11 Sunderland 40 14 13 13 57 50 +7 55
12 Watford 40 14 13 13 47 45 +2 55
13 Bristol City 40 13 13 14 48 48 0 52
14 Stoke 40 14 9 17 53 47 +6 51
15 Swansea 40 13 11 16 54 59 -5 50
16 Birmingham 40 13 10 17 44 51 -7 49
17 Hull 40 12 13 15 47 57 -10 49
18 Reading 40 13 8 19 42 60 -18 47
19 Rotherham 39 10 14 15 44 52 -8 44
20 Cardiff 39 11 9 19 33 45 -12 42
21 Huddersfield 40 11 9 20 39 57 -18 42
22 QPR 40 11 9 20 38 62 -24 42
23 Wigan 40 8 13 19 34 60 -26 37
24 Blackpool 40 8 11 21 42 64 -22 35
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Burnley 20 14 6 0 43 13 +30 48
2 Blackburn 19 13 1 5 25 16 +9 40
3 Middlesbrough 19 11 6 2 36 14 +22 39
4 Sheffield United 19 12 3 4 36 17 +19 39
5 Millwall 20 10 6 4 29 17 +12 36
6 West Brom 20 10 6 4 26 15 +11 36
7 Reading 20 10 5 5 29 22 +7 35
8 Watford 20 9 6 5 30 20 +10 33
9 Coventry 20 9 6 5 24 21 +3 33
10 Luton 20 8 8 4 26 19 +7 32
11 Bristol City 20 8 6 6 25 19 +6 30
12 Rotherham 19 8 5 6 33 24 +9 29
13 Norwich 20 8 4 8 27 23 +4 28
14 Swansea 20 8 4 8 30 28 +2 28
15 Birmingham 20 7 5 8 23 21 +2 26
16 Huddersfield 20 7 5 8 21 23 -2 26
17 Hull 20 7 5 8 21 26 -5 26
18 Sunderland 20 6 7 7 28 29 -1 25
19 Cardiff 20 6 6 8 18 20 -2 24
20 Preston 20 6 6 8 17 23 -6 24
21 Stoke 20 6 5 9 24 23 +1 23
22 QPR 20 6 4 10 20 29 -9 22
23 Blackpool 20 5 6 9 25 29 -4 21
24 Wigan 20 4 6 10 15 32 -17 18
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sheffield United 20 11 4 5 24 16 +8 37
2 Burnley 18 10 6 2 31 16 +15 36
3 Luton 20 10 6 4 22 16 +6 36
4 Preston 20 10 5 5 22 21 +1 35
5 Norwich 20 9 5 6 27 19 +8 32
6 Sunderland 20 8 6 6 29 21 +8 30
7 Stoke 20 8 4 8 29 24 +5 28
8 Middlesbrough 20 9 1 10 35 32 +3 28
9 Millwall 20 7 5 8 19 23 -4 26
10 Coventry 20 6 7 7 23 20 +3 25
11 Hull 20 5 8 7 26 31 -5 23
12 Birmingham 20 6 5 9 21 30 -9 23
13 Bristol City 20 5 7 8 23 29 -6 22
14 Swansea 20 5 7 8 24 31 -7 22
15 Watford 20 5 7 8 17 25 -8 22
16 Blackburn 20 6 3 11 18 29 -11 21
17 West Brom 19 5 5 9 22 27 -5 20
18 QPR 20 5 5 10 18 33 -15 20
19 Wigan 20 4 7 9 19 28 -9 19
20 Cardiff 19 5 3 11 15 25 -10 18
21 Huddersfield 20 4 4 12 18 34 -16 16
22 Rotherham 20 2 9 9 11 28 -17 15
23 Blackpool 20 3 5 12 17 35 -18 14
24 Reading 20 3 3 14 13 38 -25 12

Middlesbrough   Burnley

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Middlesbrough 39 14 25 1.8 1.2 20 7 12 71 46 67
2 15 Swansea 40 17 23 1.4 1.5 13 11 16 54 59 50
3 11 Sunderland 40 19 21 1.4 1.2 14 13 13 57 50 55
4 18 Reading 40 19 21 1.1 1.5 13 8 19 42 60 47
5 22 QPR 40 20 20 0.9 1.6 11 9 20 38 62 42
6 24 Blackpool 40 20 20 1.1 1.6 8 11 21 42 64 35
7 1 Burnley 38 19 19 1.9 0.8 24 12 2 74 29 84
8 14 Stoke 40 21 19 1.3 1.2 14 9 17 53 47 51
9 19 Rotherham 39 20 19 1.1 1.3 10 14 15 44 52 44
10 7 Norwich 40 22 18 1.4 1.1 17 9 14 54 42 60
11 17 Hull 40 22 18 1.2 1.4 12 13 15 47 57 49
12 21 Huddersfield 40 22 18 1.0 1.4 11 9 20 39 57 42
13 6 Blackburn 39 22 17 1.1 1.2 19 4 16 43 45 61
14 16 Birmingham 40 23 17 1.1 1.3 13 10 17 44 51 49
15 2 Sheffield United 39 23 16 1.5 0.8 23 7 9 60 33 76
16 8 Preston 40 24 16 1.0 1.1 16 11 13 39 44 59
17 23 Wigan 40 24 16 0.8 1.5 8 13 19 34 60 37
18 5 Millwall 40 25 15 1.2 1.0 17 11 12 48 40 62
19 12 Watford 40 25 15 1.2 1.1 14 13 13 47 45 55
20 13 Bristol City 40 25 15 1.2 1.2 13 13 14 48 48 52
21 9 Coventry 40 27 13 1.2 1.0 15 13 12 47 41 58
22 3 Luton 40 28 12 1.2 0.9 18 14 8 48 35 68
23 10 West Brom 39 27 12 1.2 1.1 15 11 13 48 42 56
24 20 Cardiff 39 28 11 0.8 1.2 11 9 19 33 45 42
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Burnley 20 8 12 2.1 0.7 14 6 0 43 13 48
2 15 Swansea 20 8 12 1.5 1.4 8 4 8 30 28 28
3 19 Rotherham 19 7 12 1.7 1.3 8 5 6 33 24 29
4 11 Sunderland 20 9 11 1.4 1.4 6 7 7 28 29 25
5 18 Reading 20 9 11 1.4 1.1 10 5 5 29 22 35
6 22 QPR 20 9 11 1.0 1.4 6 4 10 20 29 22
7 2 Sheffield United 19 9 10 1.9 0.9 12 3 4 36 17 39
8 4 Middlesbrough 19 9 10 1.9 0.7 11 6 2 36 14 39
9 24 Blackpool 20 10 10 1.2 1.4 5 6 9 25 29 21
10 7 Norwich 20 11 9 1.4 1.1 8 4 8 27 23 28
11 12 Watford 20 11 9 1.5 1.0 9 6 5 30 20 33
12 14 Stoke 20 11 9 1.2 1.1 6 5 9 24 23 23
13 17 Hull 20 11 9 1.1 1.3 7 5 8 21 26 26
14 5 Millwall 20 12 8 1.4 0.8 10 6 4 29 17 36
15 6 Blackburn 19 11 8 1.3 0.8 13 1 5 25 16 40
16 16 Birmingham 20 12 8 1.1 1.1 7 5 8 23 21 26
17 3 Luton 20 13 7 1.3 0.9 8 8 4 26 19 32
18 8 Preston 20 13 7 0.8 1.1 6 6 8 17 23 24
19 21 Huddersfield 20 13 7 1.1 1.1 7 5 8 21 23 26
20 23 Wigan 20 13 7 0.8 1.6 4 6 10 15 32 18
21 9 Coventry 20 14 6 1.2 1.1 9 6 5 24 21 33
22 13 Bristol City 20 14 6 1.2 0.9 8 6 6 25 19 30
23 20 Cardiff 20 15 5 0.9 1.0 6 6 8 18 20 24
24 10 West Brom 20 16 4 1.3 0.8 10 6 4 26 15 36
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Middlesbrough 20 5 15 1.8 1.6 9 1 10 35 32 28
2 15 Swansea 20 9 11 1.2 1.6 5 7 8 24 31 22
3 21 Huddersfield 20 9 11 0.9 1.7 4 4 12 18 34 16
4 11 Sunderland 20 10 10 1.4 1.1 8 6 6 29 21 30
5 14 Stoke 20 10 10 1.4 1.2 8 4 8 29 24 28
6 18 Reading 20 10 10 0.7 1.9 3 3 14 13 38 12
7 24 Blackpool 20 10 10 0.8 1.8 3 5 12 17 35 14
8 6 Blackburn 20 11 9 0.9 1.4 6 3 11 18 29 21
9 7 Norwich 20 11 9 1.4 0.9 9 5 6 27 19 32
10 8 Preston 20 11 9 1.1 1.1 10 5 5 22 21 35
11 13 Bristol City 20 11 9 1.1 1.4 5 7 8 23 29 22
12 16 Birmingham 20 11 9 1.1 1.5 6 5 9 21 30 23
13 17 Hull 20 11 9 1.3 1.6 5 8 7 26 31 23
14 22 QPR 20 11 9 0.9 1.6 5 5 10 18 33 20
15 23 Wigan 20 11 9 0.9 1.4 4 7 9 19 28 19
16 10 West Brom 19 11 8 1.2 1.4 5 5 9 22 27 20
17 1 Burnley 18 11 7 1.7 0.9 10 6 2 31 16 36
18 5 Millwall 20 13 7 0.9 1.1 7 5 8 19 23 26
19 9 Coventry 20 13 7 1.1 1.0 6 7 7 23 20 25
20 19 Rotherham 20 13 7 0.6 1.4 2 9 9 11 28 15
21 2 Sheffield United 20 14 6 1.2 0.8 11 4 5 24 16 37
22 12 Watford 20 14 6 0.8 1.2 5 7 8 17 25 22
23 20 Cardiff 19 13 6 0.8 1.3 5 3 11 15 25 18
24 3 Luton 20 15 5 1.1 0.8 10 6 4 22 16 36

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51