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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: R Ricardo

Derby 2–2 Cardiff

Full time · half time 1–2 · season 2026/2027

Home 1.91 fair 2.50
Draw ✓ 3.50 fair 3.95
Away 3.75 fair 2.89
Under 2.5 1.83 fair 2.11
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.03 fair 1.90

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Derby Cardiff
15 Shots 16
7 Shots on target 7
1.62 Expected goals (xG) 1.98
7 Corners 7
12 Fouls 10
5 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (15 league matches this season so far).
Result Derby to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.78
Expected goals 1.45 – 1.33
Home / Draw / Away
DerbyDrawCardiff
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12% 1–0 9% 2–1 8.7%

Statistics 2026/2027, before this match

Derby before this match, all matches
0.00points / match
1.00scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 1 played · 1:2
Cardiff before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
1.00scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 1 played · 1:1
Derby all matches all matches Cardiff

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 1.00
2.00 Goals conceded 1.00
3.00 Total goals 2.00
1.00 xG created 0.90
0.97 xG allowed 1.55
15.00 Shots 11.00
4.00 Shots on target 3.00
13.00 Shots faced 18.00
4.00 Corners 9.00
5.00 Corners against 9.00
16.00 Fouls 9.00
3.00 Yellow cards 0.00
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.00
0.00 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

0% Wins 0%
0% Draws 100%
100% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 100%
100% Over 2.5 goals 0%
0% Over 3.5 goals 0%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
100% Both teams scored 100%
0% Clean sheets 0%
0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

100% Wins 0%
0% Draws 0%
0% Losses 100%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
0% Over 1.5 goals 0%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby all matches
Cardiff all matches
Derby before this match, at home

No matches yet this season.

Cardiff before this match, away

No matches yet this season.

Derby at home away Cardiff

Per match

How often Full Time

How often Half Time

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby at home
Cardiff away

Last 10 matches before this match

Derby all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.08.26 Charlton – Derby 2–1 (0–1) 2.653.202.65 2.20 1.67
02.05.26 Derby – Sheffield United 1–2 (1–0) 1.793.803.90 1.62 2.30
25.04.26 QPR – Derby 2–3 (1–1) 2.853.502.20 1.80 2.00
21.04.26 Norwich – Derby 2–1 (1–0) 1.963.503.60 1.83 2.03
18.04.26 Derby – Oxford 1–0 (1–0) 1.863.404.10 2.10 1.73
11.04.26 Southampton – Derby 2–1 (0–1) 1.713.804.20 1.80 2.00
06.04.26 Derby – Stoke 2–0 (0–0) 1.863.503.90 2.03 1.83
03.04.26 Coventry – Derby 3–2 (1–1) 1.534.006.00 1.73 2.10
21.03.26 Derby – Birmingham 1–0 (1–0) 2.703.252.50 1.98 1.88
16.03.26 Portsmouth – Derby 0–1 (0–1) 2.153.203.40 2.20 1.67

Cardiff all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.08.26 Cardiff – Wrexham 1–1 (0–1) 2.303.502.82 1.73 2.10
02.05.26E2 Mansfield – Cardiff 5–4 (3–0) 3.603.901.81 1.53 2.40
25.04.26E2 Cardiff – Northampton 5–1 (3–0) 1.117.5015.00 1.36 3.10
22.04.26E2 Cardiff – Port Vale 1–0 (0–0) 1.256.257.00 1.53 2.40
18.04.26E2 Reading – Cardiff 1–3 (0–1) 4.754.001.57 1.62 2.25
14.04.26E2 Huddersfield – Cardiff 1–1 (1–0) 3.003.602.15 1.73 2.08
11.04.26E2 Cardiff – Bolton 2–0 (0–0) 1.714.004.00 1.50 2.50
06.04.26E2 Peterboro – Cardiff 1–1 (0–0) 4.003.801.68 1.50 2.50
21.03.26E2 Cardiff – Blackpool 0–0 (0–0) 1.334.757.50 1.57 2.35
17.03.26E2 Cardiff – Wycombe 0–2 (0–0) 1.623.804.75 1.70 2.10

Derby at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.05.26 Derby – Sheffield United 1–2 (1–0) 1.793.803.90 1.62 2.30
18.04.26 Derby – Oxford 1–0 (1–0) 1.863.404.10 2.10 1.73
06.04.26 Derby – Stoke 2–0 (0–0) 1.863.503.90 2.03 1.83
21.03.26 Derby – Birmingham 1–0 (1–0) 2.703.252.50 1.98 1.88
07.03.26 Derby – Sheffield Weds 2–1 (2–1) 1.245.2512.00 1.73 2.10
28.02.26 Derby – Blackburn 3–1 (0–1) 2.103.303.30 2.20 1.67
14.02.26 Derby – Swansea 2–0 (0–0) 2.103.203.30 2.20 1.67
07.02.26 Derby – Ipswich 1–2 (0–1) 3.603.402.01 2.10 1.73
23.01.26 Derby – West Brom 1–1 (1–0) 2.553.102.75 2.38 1.57
04.01.26 Derby – Wrexham 1–2 (1–1) 2.253.253.05 2.20 1.67

Cardiff away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.05.26E2 Mansfield – Cardiff 5–4 (3–0) 3.603.901.81 1.53 2.40
18.04.26E2 Reading – Cardiff 1–3 (0–1) 4.754.001.57 1.62 2.25
14.04.26E2 Huddersfield – Cardiff 1–1 (1–0) 3.003.602.15 1.73 2.08
06.04.26E2 Peterboro – Cardiff 1–1 (0–0) 4.003.801.68 1.50 2.50
14.03.26E2 Exeter – Cardiff 0–4 (0–2) 4.203.601.76 1.80 2.00
10.03.26E2 Barnsley – Cardiff 1–1 (1–1) 3.503.801.86 1.57 2.35
28.02.26E2 Doncaster – Cardiff 0–4 (0–1) 3.203.801.96 1.67 2.15
21.02.26E2 Plymouth – Cardiff 5–2 (3–2) 2.853.602.20 1.75 2.05
07.02.26E2 Rotherham – Cardiff 0–3 (0–1) 3.803.501.86 1.95 1.85
31.01.26E2 Burton – Cardiff 2–2 (1–0) 4.333.701.71 1.85 2.00

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Derby winsDrawsCardiff wins
4matches
1.50goals / match
25%over 2.5
25%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.01.25E1 Cardiff – Derby 2–1 (0–0) 2.203.103.40 2.50 1.53
14.09.24E1 Derby – Cardiff 1–0 (1–0) 2.353.403.00 2.10 1.73
07.05.22E1 Derby – Cardiff 0–1 (0–0) 2.253.403.20 1.83 2.02
01.03.22E1 Cardiff – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 2.003.304.00 2.37 1.57

England Championship table 2026/2027, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Millwall 2 2 0 0 5 0 +5 6
2 QPR 1 1 0 0 3 1 +2 3
3 Bolton 1 1 0 0 2 1 +1 3
4 Charlton 1 1 0 0 2 1 +1 3
5 Middlesbrough 1 1 0 0 2 1 +1 3
6 Swansea 1 1 0 0 2 1 +1 3
7 Watford 1 1 0 0 2 1 +1 3
8 West Brom 1 1 0 0 2 1 +1 3
9 Portsmouth 2 1 0 1 4 4 0 3
10 Birmingham 2 0 2 0 2 2 0 2
11 Blackburn 1 0 1 0 2 2 0 1
12 Burnley 1 0 1 0 2 2 0 1
13 West Ham 1 0 1 0 2 2 0 1
14 Wolves 1 0 1 0 2 2 0 1
15 Cardiff 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
16 Wrexham 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
17 Sheffield United 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1
18 Bristol City 2 0 1 1 2 4 -2 1
19 Derby 1 0 0 1 1 2 -1 0
20 Preston 1 0 0 1 1 2 -1 0
21 Southampton 1 0 0 1 1 2 -1 0
22 Stoke 1 0 0 1 1 2 -1 0
23 Lincoln 2 0 0 2 2 5 -3 0
24 Norwich 2 0 0 2 1 5 -4 0
  • Promotion to Premier League
  • Play-off semi-finals
  • Play-off quarter-finals
  • Relegation to League One
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Millwall 1 1 0 0 3 0 +3 3
2 Bolton 1 1 0 0 2 1 +1 3
3 Charlton 1 1 0 0 2 1 +1 3
4 Middlesbrough 1 1 0 0 2 1 +1 3
5 Watford 1 1 0 0 2 1 +1 3
6 Birmingham 1 0 1 0 2 2 0 1
7 Burnley 1 0 1 0 2 2 0 1
8 Wolves 1 0 1 0 2 2 0 1
9 Cardiff 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
10 Sheffield United 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1
11 Blackburn 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
12 Derby 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
13 Preston 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
14 QPR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
15 Southampton 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
16 Swansea 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
17 West Brom 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
18 West Ham 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
19 Wrexham 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
20 Norwich 1 0 0 1 1 2 -1 0
21 Stoke 1 0 0 1 1 2 -1 0
22 Lincoln 1 0 0 1 1 3 -2 0
23 Portsmouth 1 0 0 1 1 3 -2 0
24 Bristol City 1 0 0 1 0 2 -2 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Portsmouth 1 1 0 0 3 1 +2 3
2 QPR 1 1 0 0 3 1 +2 3
3 Millwall 1 1 0 0 2 0 +2 3
4 Swansea 1 1 0 0 2 1 +1 3
5 West Brom 1 1 0 0 2 1 +1 3
6 Blackburn 1 0 1 0 2 2 0 1
7 Bristol City 1 0 1 0 2 2 0 1
8 West Ham 1 0 1 0 2 2 0 1
9 Wrexham 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
10 Birmingham 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1
11 Bolton 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
12 Burnley 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
13 Cardiff 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
14 Charlton 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
15 Middlesbrough 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
16 Sheffield United 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
17 Stoke 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
18 Watford 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
19 Wolves 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
20 Derby 1 0 0 1 1 2 -1 0
21 Lincoln 1 0 0 1 1 2 -1 0
22 Preston 1 0 0 1 1 2 -1 0
23 Southampton 1 0 0 1 1 2 -1 0
24 Norwich 1 0 0 1 0 3 -3 0

Derby   Cardiff

Under / Over goals 2026/2027, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 Portsmouth 2 0 2 2.0 2.0 1 0 1 4 4 3
2 23 Lincoln 2 0 2 1.0 2.5 0 0 2 2 5 0
3 24 Norwich 2 0 2 0.5 2.5 0 0 2 1 5 0
4 1 Millwall 2 1 1 2.5 0.0 2 0 0 5 0 6
5 2 QPR 1 0 1 3.0 1.0 1 0 0 3 1 3
6 3 Bolton 1 0 1 2.0 1.0 1 0 0 2 1 3
7 4 Charlton 1 0 1 2.0 1.0 1 0 0 2 1 3
8 5 Middlesbrough 1 0 1 2.0 1.0 1 0 0 2 1 3
9 6 Swansea 1 0 1 2.0 1.0 1 0 0 2 1 3
10 7 Watford 1 0 1 2.0 1.0 1 0 0 2 1 3
11 8 West Brom 1 0 1 2.0 1.0 1 0 0 2 1 3
12 10 Birmingham 2 1 1 1.0 1.0 0 2 0 2 2 2
13 11 Blackburn 1 0 1 2.0 2.0 0 1 0 2 2 1
14 12 Burnley 1 0 1 2.0 2.0 0 1 0 2 2 1
15 13 West Ham 1 0 1 2.0 2.0 0 1 0 2 2 1
16 14 Wolves 1 0 1 2.0 2.0 0 1 0 2 2 1
17 18 Bristol City 2 1 1 1.0 2.0 0 1 1 2 4 1
18 19 Derby 1 0 1 1.0 2.0 0 0 1 1 2 0
19 20 Preston 1 0 1 1.0 2.0 0 0 1 1 2 0
20 21 Southampton 1 0 1 1.0 2.0 0 0 1 1 2 0
21 22 Stoke 1 0 1 1.0 2.0 0 0 1 1 2 0
22 15 Cardiff 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1
23 16 Wrexham 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1
24 17 Sheffield United 1 1 0 0.0 0.0 0 1 0 0 0 1
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Millwall 1 0 1 3.0 0.0 1 0 0 3 0 3
2 3 Bolton 1 0 1 2.0 1.0 1 0 0 2 1 3
3 4 Charlton 1 0 1 2.0 1.0 1 0 0 2 1 3
4 5 Middlesbrough 1 0 1 2.0 1.0 1 0 0 2 1 3
5 7 Watford 1 0 1 2.0 1.0 1 0 0 2 1 3
6 9 Portsmouth 1 0 1 1.0 3.0 0 0 1 1 3 0
7 10 Birmingham 1 0 1 2.0 2.0 0 1 0 2 2 1
8 12 Burnley 1 0 1 2.0 2.0 0 1 0 2 2 1
9 14 Wolves 1 0 1 2.0 2.0 0 1 0 2 2 1
10 22 Stoke 1 0 1 1.0 2.0 0 0 1 1 2 0
11 23 Lincoln 1 0 1 1.0 3.0 0 0 1 1 3 0
12 24 Norwich 1 0 1 1.0 2.0 0 0 1 1 2 0
13 2 QPR 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
14 6 Swansea 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
15 8 West Brom 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
16 11 Blackburn 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
17 13 West Ham 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
18 15 Cardiff 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1
19 16 Wrexham 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
20 17 Sheffield United 1 1 0 0.0 0.0 0 1 0 0 0 1
21 18 Bristol City 1 1 0 0.0 2.0 0 0 1 0 2 0
22 19 Derby 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
23 20 Preston 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
24 21 Southampton 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 QPR 1 0 1 3.0 1.0 1 0 0 3 1 3
2 6 Swansea 1 0 1 2.0 1.0 1 0 0 2 1 3
3 8 West Brom 1 0 1 2.0 1.0 1 0 0 2 1 3
4 9 Portsmouth 1 0 1 3.0 1.0 1 0 0 3 1 3
5 11 Blackburn 1 0 1 2.0 2.0 0 1 0 2 2 1
6 13 West Ham 1 0 1 2.0 2.0 0 1 0 2 2 1
7 18 Bristol City 1 0 1 2.0 2.0 0 1 0 2 2 1
8 19 Derby 1 0 1 1.0 2.0 0 0 1 1 2 0
9 20 Preston 1 0 1 1.0 2.0 0 0 1 1 2 0
10 21 Southampton 1 0 1 1.0 2.0 0 0 1 1 2 0
11 23 Lincoln 1 0 1 1.0 2.0 0 0 1 1 2 0
12 24 Norwich 1 0 1 0.0 3.0 0 0 1 0 3 0
13 1 Millwall 1 1 0 2.0 0.0 1 0 0 2 0 3
14 3 Bolton 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
15 4 Charlton 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
16 5 Middlesbrough 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
17 7 Watford 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
18 10 Birmingham 1 1 0 0.0 0.0 0 1 0 0 0 1
19 12 Burnley 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
20 14 Wolves 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
21 15 Cardiff 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
22 16 Wrexham 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1
23 17 Sheffield United 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
24 22 Stoke 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51