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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: T Nield

Derby 1–2 Sheffield United

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2025/2026

Home 1.79 fair 2.19
Draw 3.80 fair 4.09
Away ✓ 3.90 fair 3.35
Under 2.5 2.30 fair 2.22
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.62 fair 1.82

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Derby Sheffield United
17 Shots 15
6 Shots on target 8
6 Corners 4
13 Fouls 12
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (540 league matches this season so far).
Result Derby to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.74
Expected goals 1.62 – 1.26
Home / Draw / Away
DerbyDrawSheffield United
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.5% 2–1 9.3% 1–0 9.1%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Derby before this match, all matches
1.53points / match
1.47scored / match
1.27conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 45 played · 66:57
Sheffield United before this match, all matches
1.27points / match
1.42scored / match
1.44conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 45 played · 64:65
Derby all matches all matches Sheffield United

Per match

1.47 Goals scored 1.42
1.27 Goals conceded 1.44
2.73 Total goals 2.87
10.84 Shots 13.36
3.53 Shots on target 4.18
12.69 Shots faced 12.27
4.53 Corners 6.73
5.42 Corners against 4.96
12.33 Fouls 10.31
2.33 Yellow cards 1.64
0.69 1st-half goals scored 0.67
0.56 1st-half goals conceded 0.53

How often Full Time

44% Wins 38%
20% Draws 13%
36% Losses 49%
100% Over 0.5 goals 98%
76% Over 1.5 goals 73%
51% Over 2.5 goals 58%
24% Over 3.5 goals 33%
13% Over 4.5 goals 16%
4% Over 5.5 goals 4%
64% Both teams scored 56%
27% Clean sheets 22%
9% Failed to score 24%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 31%
36% Draws 42%
27% Losses 27%
80% Over 0.5 goals 67%
27% Over 1.5 goals 36%
13% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby all matches
Sheffield United all matches
Derby before this match, at home
1.64points / match
1.36scored / match
1.14conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 22 played · 30:25
Sheffield United before this match, away
1.18points / match
1.18scored / match
1.45conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 22 played · 26:32
Derby at home away Sheffield United

Per match

1.36 Goals scored 1.18
1.14 Goals conceded 1.45
2.50 Total goals 2.64
11.68 Shots 11.23
3.64 Shots on target 3.55
10.91 Shots faced 13.86
5.50 Corners 5.86
4.41 Corners against 5.73
11.82 Fouls 10.82
2.05 Yellow cards 1.91
0.59 1st-half goals scored 0.68
0.64 1st-half goals conceded 0.45

How often Full Time

45% Wins 36%
27% Draws 9%
27% Losses 55%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
73% Over 1.5 goals 64%
36% Over 2.5 goals 41%
18% Over 3.5 goals 27%
9% Over 4.5 goals 18%
5% Over 5.5 goals 5%
64% Both teams scored 41%
32% Clean sheets 23%
5% Failed to score 36%

How often Half Time

32% Wins 32%
41% Draws 45%
27% Losses 23%
77% Over 0.5 goals 64%
27% Over 1.5 goals 27%
14% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby at home
Sheffield United away

Last 10 matches before this match

Derby all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.04.26 QPR – Derby 2–3 (1–1) 2.853.502.20 1.80 2.00
21.04.26 Norwich – Derby 2–1 (1–0) 1.963.503.60 1.83 2.03
18.04.26 Derby – Oxford 1–0 (1–0) 1.863.404.10 2.10 1.73
11.04.26 Southampton – Derby 2–1 (0–1) 1.713.804.20 1.80 2.00
06.04.26 Derby – Stoke 2–0 (0–0) 1.863.503.90 2.03 1.83
03.04.26 Coventry – Derby 3–2 (1–1) 1.534.006.00 1.73 2.10
21.03.26 Derby – Birmingham 1–0 (1–0) 2.703.252.50 1.98 1.88
16.03.26 Portsmouth – Derby 0–1 (0–1) 2.153.203.40 2.20 1.67
10.03.26 Millwall – Derby 1–0 (1–0) 2.053.403.50 2.05 1.80
07.03.26 Derby – Sheffield Weds 2–1 (2–1) 1.245.2512.00 1.73 2.10

Sheffield United all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.04.26 Sheffield United – Preston 2–3 (0–2) 1.574.504.33 1.67 2.20
22.04.26 Sheffield United – Blackburn 1–3 (0–3) 1.713.504.75 1.90 1.95
18.04.26 Watford – Sheffield United 0–2 (0–0) 2.653.402.45 1.80 2.00
11.04.26 Sheffield United – Hull 2–1 (0–1) 1.763.704.10 1.67 2.20
06.04.26 Bristol City – Sheffield United 1–0 (1–0) 2.853.402.30 1.83 2.03
03.04.26 Sheffield United – Swansea 3–3 (1–1) 1.963.603.50 1.93 1.93
21.03.26 Sheffield United – Wrexham 1–2 (0–0) 1.913.403.90 1.83 2.03
14.03.26 Birmingham – Sheffield United 1–1 (1–1) 2.013.503.50 1.91 1.91
11.03.26 Norwich – Sheffield United 2–1 (0–1) 2.503.502.55 1.80 2.00
07.03.26 Sheffield United – West Brom 1–1 (0–0) 1.713.704.50 1.91 1.91

Derby at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.04.26 Derby – Oxford 1–0 (1–0) 1.863.404.10 2.10 1.73
06.04.26 Derby – Stoke 2–0 (0–0) 1.863.503.90 2.03 1.83
21.03.26 Derby – Birmingham 1–0 (1–0) 2.703.252.50 1.98 1.88
07.03.26 Derby – Sheffield Weds 2–1 (2–1) 1.245.2512.00 1.73 2.10
28.02.26 Derby – Blackburn 3–1 (0–1) 2.103.303.30 2.20 1.67
14.02.26 Derby – Swansea 2–0 (0–0) 2.103.203.30 2.20 1.67
07.02.26 Derby – Ipswich 1–2 (0–1) 3.603.402.01 2.10 1.73
23.01.26 Derby – West Brom 1–1 (1–0) 2.553.102.75 2.38 1.57
04.01.26 Derby – Wrexham 1–2 (1–1) 2.253.253.05 2.20 1.67
01.01.26 Derby – Middlesbrough 1–0 (0–0) 3.053.252.25 2.10 1.73

Sheffield United away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.04.26 Watford – Sheffield United 0–2 (0–0) 2.653.402.45 1.80 2.00
06.04.26 Bristol City – Sheffield United 1–0 (1–0) 2.853.402.30 1.83 2.03
14.03.26 Birmingham – Sheffield United 1–1 (1–1) 2.013.503.50 1.91 1.91
11.03.26 Norwich – Sheffield United 2–1 (0–1) 2.503.502.55 1.80 2.00
28.02.26 QPR – Sheffield United 0–2 (0–2) 3.003.602.20 1.88 1.98
14.02.26 Portsmouth – Sheffield United 0–1 (0–0) 3.103.252.15 2.03 1.83
31.01.26 Millwall – Sheffield United 1–1 (1–1) 2.453.252.75 1.98 1.88
21.01.26 Southampton – Sheffield United 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.802.65 1.67 2.20
17.01.26 Charlton – Sheffield United 1–0 (0–0) 3.253.402.10 1.98 1.88
29.12.25 Stoke – Sheffield United 1–2 (0–0) 2.753.252.50 2.05 1.80

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Derby winsDrawsSheffield United wins
5matches
1.80goals / match
20%over 2.5
20%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.11.25E1 Sheffield United – Derby 1–3 (0–1) 1.763.504.33 2.20 1.67
01.02.25E1 Derby – Sheffield United 0–1 (0–0) 3.603.102.15 2.20 1.67
21.09.24E1 Sheffield United – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 1.574.105.50 1.80 2.00
15.01.22E1 Derby – Sheffield United 2–0 (0–0) 3.503.202.20 2.30 1.61
25.09.21E1 Sheffield United – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 1.613.756.00 2.10 1.72

England Championship table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 45 27 11 7 93 45 +48 92
2 Ipswich 45 22 15 8 77 47 +30 81
3 Millwall 45 23 11 11 62 49 +13 80
4 Middlesbrough 45 22 13 10 70 45 +25 79
5 Southampton 45 21 14 10 79 55 +24 77
6 Wrexham 45 19 13 13 67 63 +4 70
7 Hull 45 20 10 15 68 65 +3 70
8 Derby 45 20 9 16 66 57 +9 69
9 Norwich 45 19 8 18 62 54 +8 65
10 Birmingham 45 17 12 16 56 55 +1 63
11 Swansea 45 17 10 18 54 58 -4 61
12 Preston 45 15 15 15 54 59 -5 60
13 Bristol City 45 16 11 18 57 59 -2 59
14 QPR 45 16 10 19 61 70 -9 58
15 Sheffield United 45 17 6 22 64 65 -1 57
16 Watford 45 14 15 16 53 61 -8 57
17 Stoke 45 15 10 20 51 54 -3 55
18 Portsmouth 45 14 12 19 48 63 -15 54
19 West Brom 45 13 14 18 47 56 -9 53
20 Charlton 45 13 14 18 43 55 -12 53
21 Blackburn 45 13 13 19 42 55 -13 52
22 Leicester 45 11 16 18 57 68 -11 49
23 Oxford 45 11 14 20 45 57 -12 47
24 Sheffield Weds 45 1 12 32 27 88 -61 15
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 23 17 4 2 51 19 +32 55
2 Ipswich 22 13 8 1 40 17 +23 47
3 Southampton 23 12 8 3 38 19 +19 44
4 Birmingham 23 12 8 3 39 22 +17 44
5 Middlesbrough 23 12 6 5 34 18 +16 42
6 Millwall 22 12 3 7 31 25 +6 39
7 Watford 22 10 7 5 30 23 +7 37
8 Swansea 22 10 6 6 31 26 +5 36
9 Derby 22 10 6 6 30 25 +5 36
10 Wrexham 22 10 6 6 39 35 +4 36
11 Hull 22 10 5 7 33 33 0 35
12 West Brom 23 8 10 5 28 25 +3 34
13 Stoke 23 9 6 8 34 28 +6 33
14 QPR 23 10 3 10 40 37 +3 33
15 Sheffield United 23 9 4 10 38 33 +5 31
16 Preston 22 8 7 7 27 27 0 31
17 Charlton 23 9 4 10 23 26 -3 31
18 Norwich 23 9 3 11 27 28 -1 30
19 Portsmouth 22 8 5 9 24 22 +2 29
20 Oxford 23 7 8 8 24 27 -3 29
21 Bristol City 22 8 4 10 31 31 0 28
22 Leicester 23 7 7 9 31 34 -3 28
23 Blackburn 22 4 9 9 19 26 -7 21
24 Sheffield Weds 22 0 7 15 12 43 -31 7
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Millwall 23 11 8 4 31 24 +7 41
2 Coventry 22 10 7 5 42 26 +16 37
3 Middlesbrough 22 10 7 5 36 27 +9 37
4 Norwich 22 10 5 7 35 26 +9 35
5 Hull 23 10 5 8 35 32 +3 35
6 Ipswich 23 9 7 7 37 30 +7 34
7 Wrexham 23 9 7 7 28 28 0 34
8 Southampton 22 9 6 7 41 36 +5 33
9 Derby 23 10 3 10 36 32 +4 33
10 Bristol City 23 8 7 8 26 28 -2 31
11 Blackburn 23 9 4 10 23 29 -6 31
12 Preston 23 7 8 8 27 32 -5 29
13 Sheffield United 22 8 2 12 26 32 -6 26
14 Swansea 23 7 4 12 23 32 -9 25
15 QPR 22 6 7 9 21 33 -12 25
16 Portsmouth 23 6 7 10 24 41 -17 25
17 Charlton 22 4 10 8 20 29 -9 22
18 Stoke 22 6 4 12 17 26 -9 22
19 Leicester 22 4 9 9 26 34 -8 21
20 Watford 23 4 8 11 23 38 -15 20
21 West Brom 22 5 4 13 19 31 -12 19
22 Birmingham 22 5 4 13 17 33 -16 19
23 Oxford 22 4 6 12 21 30 -9 18
24 Sheffield Weds 23 1 5 17 15 45 -30 8

Derby   Sheffield United

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Hull 45 16 29 1.5 1.4 20 10 15 68 65 70
2 1 Coventry 45 17 28 2.1 1.0 27 11 7 93 45 92
3 5 Southampton 45 17 28 1.8 1.2 21 14 10 79 55 77
4 14 QPR 45 17 28 1.4 1.6 16 10 19 61 70 58
5 15 Sheffield United 45 19 26 1.4 1.4 17 6 22 64 65 57
6 22 Leicester 45 20 25 1.3 1.5 11 16 18 57 68 49
7 4 Middlesbrough 45 21 24 1.6 1.0 22 13 10 70 45 79
8 2 Ipswich 45 22 23 1.7 1.0 22 15 8 77 47 81
9 8 Derby 45 22 23 1.5 1.3 20 9 16 66 57 69
10 24 Sheffield Weds 45 22 23 0.6 2.0 1 12 32 27 88 15
11 3 Millwall 45 23 22 1.4 1.1 23 11 11 62 49 80
12 6 Wrexham 45 23 22 1.5 1.4 19 13 13 67 63 70
13 11 Swansea 45 23 22 1.2 1.3 17 10 18 54 58 61
14 9 Norwich 45 24 21 1.4 1.2 19 8 18 62 54 65
15 10 Birmingham 45 24 21 1.2 1.2 17 12 16 56 55 63
16 12 Preston 45 24 21 1.2 1.3 15 15 15 54 59 60
17 13 Bristol City 45 24 21 1.3 1.3 16 11 18 57 59 59
18 16 Watford 45 24 21 1.2 1.4 14 15 16 53 61 57
19 23 Oxford 45 24 21 1.0 1.3 11 14 20 45 57 47
20 17 Stoke 45 25 20 1.1 1.2 15 10 20 51 54 55
21 18 Portsmouth 45 25 20 1.1 1.4 14 12 19 48 63 54
22 19 West Brom 45 25 20 1.0 1.2 13 14 18 47 56 53
23 21 Blackburn 45 27 18 0.9 1.2 13 13 19 42 55 52
24 20 Charlton 45 28 17 1.0 1.2 13 14 18 43 55 53
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 14 QPR 23 5 18 1.7 1.6 10 3 10 40 37 33
2 15 Sheffield United 23 6 17 1.7 1.4 9 4 10 38 33 31
3 1 Coventry 23 8 15 2.2 0.8 17 4 2 51 19 55
4 7 Hull 22 9 13 1.5 1.5 10 5 7 33 33 35
5 17 Stoke 23 10 13 1.5 1.2 9 6 8 34 28 33
6 2 Ipswich 22 10 12 1.8 0.8 13 8 1 40 17 47
7 3 Millwall 22 10 12 1.4 1.1 12 3 7 31 25 39
8 5 Southampton 23 11 12 1.7 0.8 12 8 3 38 19 44
9 6 Wrexham 22 10 12 1.8 1.6 10 6 6 39 35 36
10 22 Leicester 23 11 12 1.3 1.5 7 7 9 31 34 28
11 10 Birmingham 23 12 11 1.7 1.0 12 8 3 39 22 44
12 11 Swansea 22 11 11 1.4 1.2 10 6 6 31 26 36
13 13 Bristol City 22 11 11 1.4 1.4 8 4 10 31 31 28
14 4 Middlesbrough 23 13 10 1.5 0.8 12 6 5 34 18 42
15 9 Norwich 23 13 10 1.2 1.2 9 3 11 27 28 30
16 12 Preston 22 12 10 1.2 1.2 8 7 7 27 27 31
17 19 West Brom 23 13 10 1.2 1.1 8 10 5 28 25 34
18 20 Charlton 23 13 10 1.0 1.1 9 4 10 23 26 31
19 23 Oxford 23 13 10 1.0 1.2 7 8 8 24 27 29
20 24 Sheffield Weds 22 12 10 0.5 2.0 0 7 15 12 43 7
21 16 Watford 22 13 9 1.4 1.0 10 7 5 30 23 37
22 18 Portsmouth 22 13 9 1.1 1.0 8 5 9 24 22 29
23 8 Derby 22 14 8 1.4 1.1 10 6 6 30 25 36
24 21 Blackburn 22 15 7 0.9 1.2 4 9 9 19 26 21
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Southampton 22 6 16 1.9 1.6 9 6 7 41 36 33
2 7 Hull 23 7 16 1.5 1.4 10 5 8 35 32 35
3 8 Derby 23 8 15 1.6 1.4 10 3 10 36 32 33
4 4 Middlesbrough 22 8 14 1.6 1.2 10 7 5 36 27 37
5 1 Coventry 22 9 13 1.9 1.2 10 7 5 42 26 37
6 22 Leicester 22 9 13 1.2 1.5 4 9 9 26 34 21
7 24 Sheffield Weds 23 10 13 0.7 2.0 1 5 17 15 45 8
8 16 Watford 23 11 12 1.0 1.7 4 8 11 23 38 20
9 2 Ipswich 23 12 11 1.6 1.3 9 7 7 37 30 34
10 9 Norwich 22 11 11 1.6 1.2 10 5 7 35 26 35
11 11 Swansea 23 12 11 1.0 1.4 7 4 12 23 32 25
12 12 Preston 23 12 11 1.2 1.4 7 8 8 27 32 29
13 18 Portsmouth 23 12 11 1.0 1.8 6 7 10 24 41 25
14 21 Blackburn 23 12 11 1.0 1.3 9 4 10 23 29 31
15 23 Oxford 22 11 11 1.0 1.4 4 6 12 21 30 18
16 3 Millwall 23 13 10 1.3 1.0 11 8 4 31 24 41
17 6 Wrexham 23 13 10 1.2 1.2 9 7 7 28 28 34
18 10 Birmingham 22 12 10 0.8 1.5 5 4 13 17 33 19
19 13 Bristol City 23 13 10 1.1 1.2 8 7 8 26 28 31
20 14 QPR 22 12 10 1.0 1.5 6 7 9 21 33 25
21 19 West Brom 22 12 10 0.9 1.4 5 4 13 19 31 19
22 15 Sheffield United 22 13 9 1.2 1.5 8 2 12 26 32 26
23 17 Stoke 22 15 7 0.8 1.2 6 4 12 17 26 22
24 20 Charlton 22 15 7 0.9 1.3 4 10 8 20 29 22

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40