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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: A Davies

Cardiff 1–0 Derby

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2021/2022

Home ✓ 2.00 fair 2.44
Draw 3.30 fair 3.63
Away 4.00 fair 3.18
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.57 fair 1.75
Over 2.5 2.37 fair 2.34

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Cardiff Derby
14 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 1
3 Corners 6
11 Fouls 10
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (403 league matches this season so far).
Result Cardiff to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.93
Expected goals 1.29 – 1.10
Home / Draw / Away
CardiffDrawDerby
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 13% 1–0 11.9% 0–1 10.1%

Statistics 2021/2022, before this match

Cardiff before this match, all matches
1.06points / match
1.18scored / match
1.59conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 34 played · 40:54
Derby before this match, all matches
1.24points / match
1.00scored / match
1.12conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 34 played · 34:38
Cardiff all matches all matches Derby

Per match

1.18 Goals scored 1.00
1.59 Goals conceded 1.12
2.76 Total goals 2.12
11.71 Shots 9.76
3.85 Shots on target 3.06
11.29 Shots faced 12.09
4.15 Corners 4.38
5.00 Corners against 4.65
12.15 Fouls 10.21
2.32 Yellow cards 2.03
0.21 1st-half goals scored 0.41
0.68 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

29% Wins 29%
18% Draws 35%
53% Losses 35%
100% Over 0.5 goals 85%
76% Over 1.5 goals 62%
56% Over 2.5 goals 41%
26% Over 3.5 goals 18%
12% Over 4.5 goals 6%
6% Over 5.5 goals 0%
53% Both teams scored 53%
12% Clean sheets 32%
35% Failed to score 29%

How often Half Time

15% Wins 21%
32% Draws 53%
53% Losses 26%
71% Over 0.5 goals 56%
15% Over 1.5 goals 26%
3% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Cardiff all matches
Derby all matches
Cardiff before this match, at home
1.00points / match
1.06scored / match
1.29conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 18:22
Derby before this match, away
0.71points / match
0.65scored / match
1.29conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 11:22
Cardiff at home away Derby

Per match

1.06 Goals scored 0.65
1.29 Goals conceded 1.29
2.35 Total goals 1.94
11.47 Shots 8.71
3.71 Shots on target 2.59
9.82 Shots faced 12.59
4.53 Corners 4.41
4.24 Corners against 4.94
12.12 Fouls 10.00
2.24 Yellow cards 1.94
0.24 1st-half goals scored 0.24
0.59 1st-half goals conceded 0.53

How often Full Time

29% Wins 12%
12% Draws 35%
59% Losses 53%
100% Over 0.5 goals 82%
65% Over 1.5 goals 59%
41% Over 2.5 goals 35%
24% Over 3.5 goals 12%
6% Over 4.5 goals 6%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
41% Both teams scored 47%
12% Clean sheets 24%
47% Failed to score 47%

How often Half Time

18% Wins 6%
24% Draws 65%
59% Losses 29%
76% Over 0.5 goals 47%
6% Over 1.5 goals 18%
0% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Cardiff at home
Derby away

Last 10 matches before this match

Cardiff all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.02.22 Cardiff – Fulham 0–1 (0–1) 5.004.001.61 1.80 2.00
23.02.22 Huddersfield – Cardiff 2–1 (0–0) 2.253.303.25 2.20 1.66
19.02.22 Cardiff – Blackpool 1–1 (0–1) 2.003.403.80 2.20 1.66
15.02.22 Cardiff – Coventry 2–0 (0–0) 2.903.252.45 2.20 1.66
12.02.22 Millwall – Cardiff 2–1 (0–0) 2.373.303.10 2.30 1.61
09.02.22 Cardiff – Peterboro 4–0 (2–0) 1.753.804.50 1.95 1.90
02.02.22 Barnsley – Cardiff 0–1 (0–0) 2.903.102.55 2.20 1.66
30.01.22 Cardiff – Nott'm Forest 2–1 (1–0) 2.803.202.62 2.20 1.66
22.01.22 Bristol City – Cardiff 3–2 (1–1) 2.503.252.90 1.93 1.93
15.01.22 Cardiff – Blackburn 0–1 (0–1) 2.703.302.60 2.00 1.80

Derby all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.02.22 Luton – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 1.833.504.50 2.20 1.66
23.02.22 Derby – Millwall 1–2 (0–2) 2.623.102.87 2.62 1.50
19.02.22 Derby – Peterboro 1–0 (0–0) 1.833.604.33 2.10 1.72
12.02.22 Middlesbrough – Derby 4–1 (3–1) 1.613.805.75 2.10 1.72
08.02.22 Derby – Hull 3–1 (2–0) 2.203.103.60 2.37 1.57
02.02.22 Huddersfield – Derby 2–0 (0–0) 2.053.303.80 2.30 1.61
30.01.22 Derby – Birmingham 2–2 (0–1) 2.303.103.40 2.50 1.53
22.01.22 Nott'm Forest – Derby 2–1 (0–0) 1.953.204.50 2.37 1.57
15.01.22 Derby – Sheffield United 2–0 (0–0) 3.503.202.20 2.30 1.61
03.01.22 Reading – Derby 2–2 (1–0) 2.203.403.25 2.30 1.61

Cardiff at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.02.22 Cardiff – Fulham 0–1 (0–1) 5.004.001.61 1.80 2.00
19.02.22 Cardiff – Blackpool 1–1 (0–1) 2.003.403.80 2.20 1.66
15.02.22 Cardiff – Coventry 2–0 (0–0) 2.903.252.45 2.20 1.66
09.02.22 Cardiff – Peterboro 4–0 (2–0) 1.753.804.50 1.95 1.90
30.01.22 Cardiff – Nott'm Forest 2–1 (1–0) 2.803.202.62 2.20 1.66
15.01.22 Cardiff – Blackburn 0–1 (0–1) 2.703.302.60 2.00 1.80
04.12.21 Cardiff – Sheffield United 2–3 (1–0) 3.203.402.30 1.95 1.90
24.11.21 Cardiff – Hull 0–1 (0–1) 2.053.403.80 2.00 1.80
06.11.21 Cardiff – Huddersfield 2–1 (0–1) 2.303.403.10 2.10 1.72
03.11.21 Cardiff – QPR 0–1 (0–1) 2.703.402.60 1.80 2.00

Derby away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.02.22 Luton – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 1.833.504.50 2.20 1.66
12.02.22 Middlesbrough – Derby 4–1 (3–1) 1.613.805.75 2.10 1.72
02.02.22 Huddersfield – Derby 2–0 (0–0) 2.053.303.80 2.30 1.61
22.01.22 Nott'm Forest – Derby 2–1 (0–0) 1.953.204.50 2.37 1.57
03.01.22 Reading – Derby 2–2 (1–0) 2.203.403.25 2.30 1.61
30.12.21 Stoke – Derby 1–2 (0–1) 1.663.755.50 2.20 1.66
04.12.21 Bristol City – Derby 1–0 (1–0) 2.503.202.90 2.20 1.66
24.11.21 Fulham – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 1.285.5010.00 1.72 2.10
06.11.21 Millwall – Derby 1–1 (1–1) 1.833.404.75 2.37 1.57
03.11.21 Barnsley – Derby 2–1 (1–1) 2.203.203.50 2.30 1.61

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England Championship table 2021/2022, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Fulham 33 21 7 5 82 29 +53 70
2 Bournemouth 31 18 7 6 51 27 +24 61
3 Huddersfield 35 16 11 8 46 36 +10 59
4 Blackburn 34 16 9 9 46 34 +12 57
5 QPR 34 16 8 10 49 39 +10 56
6 Luton 33 15 9 9 46 37 +9 54
7 Sheffield United 33 15 8 10 44 34 +10 53
8 Middlesbrough 33 15 7 11 43 35 +8 52
9 Nott'm Forest 33 14 9 10 45 33 +12 51
10 Coventry 33 14 9 10 43 38 +5 51
11 Millwall 33 13 10 10 36 34 +2 49
12 Preston 35 11 14 10 38 39 -1 47
13 West Brom 34 12 10 12 35 32 +3 46
14 Blackpool 34 12 9 13 40 41 -1 45
15 Stoke 33 12 8 13 42 38 +4 44
16 Derby 34 10 12 12 34 38 -4 42
17 Swansea 32 11 8 13 34 43 -9 41
18 Bristol City 35 11 7 17 45 63 -18 40
19 Hull 35 10 7 18 30 39 -9 37
20 Birmingham 35 9 10 16 40 55 -15 37
21 Cardiff 34 10 6 18 40 54 -14 36
22 Reading 34 10 5 19 42 67 -25 35
23 Barnsley 33 5 8 20 24 48 -24 23
24 Peterboro 33 5 6 22 24 66 -42 21
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Fulham 18 11 4 3 43 16 +27 37
2 Blackburn 17 11 3 3 32 19 +13 36
3 Middlesbrough 17 11 2 4 27 15 +12 35
4 QPR 18 9 6 3 26 15 +11 33
5 Luton 17 9 5 3 27 17 +10 32
6 Millwall 17 9 5 3 21 13 +8 32
7 Huddersfield 17 9 5 3 24 17 +7 32
8 Coventry 17 9 4 4 25 15 +10 31
9 Bournemouth 15 9 3 3 31 16 +15 30
10 West Brom 16 8 6 2 21 10 +11 30
11 Derby 17 8 6 3 23 16 +7 30
12 Blackpool 18 9 2 7 21 19 +2 29
13 Sheffield United 15 8 3 4 24 11 +13 27
14 Bristol City 18 7 5 6 23 23 0 26
15 Stoke 17 7 4 6 25 20 +5 25
16 Swansea 15 7 4 4 19 14 +5 25
17 Nott'm Forest 17 7 4 6 23 20 +3 25
18 Preston 17 5 9 3 22 20 +2 24
19 Birmingham 17 6 4 7 21 23 -2 22
20 Reading 17 5 4 8 25 35 -10 19
21 Hull 17 5 3 9 15 20 -5 18
22 Cardiff 17 5 2 10 18 22 -4 17
23 Peterboro 16 4 5 7 15 21 -6 17
24 Barnsley 16 4 4 8 12 19 -7 16
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Fulham 15 10 3 2 39 13 +26 33
2 Bournemouth 16 9 4 3 20 11 +9 31
3 Huddersfield 18 7 6 5 22 19 +3 27
4 Nott'm Forest 16 7 5 4 22 13 +9 26
5 Sheffield United 18 7 5 6 20 23 -3 26
6 QPR 16 7 2 7 23 24 -1 23
7 Preston 18 6 5 7 16 19 -3 23
8 Luton 16 6 4 6 19 20 -1 22
9 Blackburn 17 5 6 6 14 15 -1 21
10 Coventry 16 5 5 6 18 23 -5 20
11 Stoke 16 5 4 7 17 18 -1 19
12 Hull 18 5 4 9 15 19 -4 19
13 Cardiff 17 5 4 8 22 32 -10 19
14 Middlesbrough 16 4 5 7 16 20 -4 17
15 Millwall 16 4 5 7 15 21 -6 17
16 Blackpool 16 3 7 6 19 22 -3 16
17 West Brom 18 4 4 10 14 22 -8 16
18 Swansea 17 4 4 9 15 29 -14 16
19 Reading 17 5 1 11 17 32 -15 16
20 Birmingham 18 3 6 9 19 32 -13 15
21 Bristol City 17 4 2 11 22 40 -18 14
22 Derby 17 2 6 9 11 22 -11 12
23 Barnsley 17 1 4 12 12 29 -17 7
24 Peterboro 17 1 1 15 9 45 -36 4

Cardiff   Derby

Under / Over goals 2021/2022, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 Bristol City 35 12 23 1.3 1.8 11 7 17 45 63 40
2 22 Reading 34 13 21 1.2 2.0 10 5 19 42 67 35
3 20 Birmingham 35 15 20 1.1 1.6 9 10 16 40 55 37
4 24 Peterboro 33 13 20 0.7 2.0 5 6 22 24 66 21
5 1 Fulham 33 14 19 2.5 0.9 21 7 5 82 29 70
6 21 Cardiff 34 15 19 1.2 1.6 10 6 18 40 54 36
7 2 Bournemouth 31 14 17 1.6 0.9 18 7 6 51 27 61
8 5 QPR 34 17 17 1.4 1.1 16 8 10 49 39 56
9 6 Luton 33 17 16 1.4 1.1 15 9 9 46 37 54
10 9 Nott'm Forest 33 17 16 1.4 1.0 14 9 10 45 33 51
11 15 Stoke 33 17 16 1.3 1.2 12 8 13 42 38 44
12 17 Swansea 32 16 16 1.1 1.3 11 8 13 34 43 41
13 10 Coventry 33 18 15 1.3 1.2 14 9 10 43 38 51
14 12 Preston 35 20 15 1.1 1.1 11 14 10 38 39 47
15 14 Blackpool 34 19 15 1.2 1.2 12 9 13 40 41 45
16 3 Huddersfield 35 21 14 1.3 1.0 16 11 8 46 36 59
17 4 Blackburn 34 20 14 1.4 1.0 16 9 9 46 34 57
18 7 Sheffield United 33 19 14 1.3 1.0 15 8 10 44 34 53
19 16 Derby 34 20 14 1.0 1.1 10 12 12 34 38 42
20 8 Middlesbrough 33 20 13 1.3 1.1 15 7 11 43 35 52
21 23 Barnsley 33 20 13 0.7 1.5 5 8 20 24 48 23
22 11 Millwall 33 21 12 1.1 1.0 13 10 10 36 34 49
23 13 West Brom 34 22 12 1.0 0.9 12 10 12 35 32 46
24 19 Hull 35 26 9 0.9 1.1 10 7 18 30 39 37
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Bournemouth 15 2 13 2.1 1.1 9 3 3 31 16 30
2 1 Fulham 18 7 11 2.4 0.9 11 4 3 43 16 37
3 20 Birmingham 17 6 11 1.2 1.4 6 4 7 21 23 22
4 4 Blackburn 17 7 10 1.9 1.1 11 3 3 32 19 36
5 9 Nott'm Forest 17 7 10 1.4 1.2 7 4 6 23 20 25
6 22 Reading 17 7 10 1.5 2.1 5 4 8 25 35 19
7 6 Luton 17 8 9 1.6 1.0 9 5 3 27 17 32
8 15 Stoke 17 8 9 1.5 1.2 7 4 6 25 20 25
9 18 Bristol City 18 9 9 1.3 1.3 7 5 6 23 23 26
10 10 Coventry 17 9 8 1.5 0.9 9 4 4 25 15 31
11 12 Preston 17 9 8 1.3 1.2 5 9 3 22 20 24
12 14 Blackpool 18 10 8 1.2 1.1 9 2 7 21 19 29
13 16 Derby 17 9 8 1.4 0.9 8 6 3 23 16 30
14 24 Peterboro 16 8 8 0.9 1.3 4 5 7 15 21 17
15 8 Middlesbrough 17 10 7 1.6 0.9 11 2 4 27 15 35
16 17 Swansea 15 8 7 1.3 0.9 7 4 4 19 14 25
17 21 Cardiff 17 10 7 1.1 1.3 5 2 10 18 22 17
18 3 Huddersfield 17 11 6 1.4 1.0 9 5 3 24 17 32
19 5 QPR 18 12 6 1.4 0.8 9 6 3 26 15 33
20 7 Sheffield United 15 9 6 1.6 0.7 8 3 4 24 11 27
21 11 Millwall 17 12 5 1.2 0.8 9 5 3 21 13 32
22 13 West Brom 16 11 5 1.3 0.6 8 6 2 21 10 30
23 19 Hull 17 12 5 0.9 1.2 5 3 9 15 20 18
24 23 Barnsley 16 12 4 0.8 1.2 4 4 8 12 19 16
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 Bristol City 17 3 14 1.3 2.4 4 2 11 22 40 14
2 21 Cardiff 17 5 12 1.3 1.9 5 4 8 22 32 19
3 24 Peterboro 17 5 12 0.5 2.6 1 1 15 9 45 4
4 5 QPR 16 5 11 1.4 1.5 7 2 7 23 24 23
5 22 Reading 17 6 11 1.0 1.9 5 1 11 17 32 16
6 17 Swansea 17 8 9 0.9 1.7 4 4 9 15 29 16
7 20 Birmingham 18 9 9 1.1 1.8 3 6 9 19 32 15
8 23 Barnsley 17 8 9 0.7 1.7 1 4 12 12 29 7
9 1 Fulham 15 7 8 2.6 0.9 10 3 2 39 13 33
10 3 Huddersfield 18 10 8 1.2 1.1 7 6 5 22 19 27
11 7 Sheffield United 18 10 8 1.1 1.3 7 5 6 20 23 26
12 6 Luton 16 9 7 1.2 1.2 6 4 6 19 20 22
13 10 Coventry 16 9 7 1.1 1.4 5 5 6 18 23 20
14 11 Millwall 16 9 7 0.9 1.3 4 5 7 15 21 17
15 12 Preston 18 11 7 0.9 1.1 6 5 7 16 19 23
16 13 West Brom 18 11 7 0.8 1.2 4 4 10 14 22 16
17 14 Blackpool 16 9 7 1.2 1.4 3 7 6 19 22 16
18 15 Stoke 16 9 7 1.1 1.1 5 4 7 17 18 19
19 8 Middlesbrough 16 10 6 1.0 1.2 4 5 7 16 20 17
20 9 Nott'm Forest 16 10 6 1.4 0.8 7 5 4 22 13 26
21 16 Derby 17 11 6 0.6 1.3 2 6 9 11 22 12
22 2 Bournemouth 16 12 4 1.2 0.7 9 4 3 20 11 31
23 4 Blackburn 17 13 4 0.8 0.9 5 6 6 14 15 21
24 19 Hull 18 14 4 0.8 1.1 5 4 9 15 19 19

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51