Birmingham 1–1 Southampton – England Championship, 29 Dec 2025

Match facts

Birmingham Southampton

20 Shots 13

4 Shots on target 5

2 Corners 5

10 Fouls 15

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (285 league matches this season so far).

Result Birmingham to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.65

Expected goals 1.72 – 1.35

Home / Draw / Away

46% 24% 30%

BirminghamDrawSouthampton

Under / Over 2.5 goals

41% 59%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

39% 61%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

5% 0

14% 1

22% 2

22% 3

17% 4

20% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 10.8% 2–1 9.3% 1–0 8%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Birmingham before this match, all matches

1.30points / match

1.35scored / match

1.30conceded / match

8 6 9

WonDrawnLost 23 played · 31:30

Southampton before this match, all matches

1.35points / match

1.61scored / match

1.43conceded / match

8 7 8

WonDrawnLost 23 played · 37:33

Birmingham all matches all matches Southampton

Per match

1.35 Goals scored 1.61

1.30 Goals conceded 1.43

2.65 Total goals 3.04

14.26 Shots 14.78

3.83 Shots on target 5.35

10.00 Shots faced 12.70

5.61 Corners 5.57

4.22 Corners against 4.61

11.35 Fouls 10.74

2.04 Yellow cards 1.91

0.61 1st-half goals scored 0.91

0.78 1st-half goals conceded 0.48

How often Full Time

35% Wins 35%

26% Draws 30%

39% Losses 35%

100% Over 0.5 goals 91%

78% Over 1.5 goals 91%

52% Over 2.5 goals 70%

26% Over 3.5 goals 35%

9% Over 4.5 goals 13%

0% Over 5.5 goals 4%

57% Both teams scored 83%

22% Clean sheets 13%

22% Failed to score 13%

How often Half Time

30% Wins 30%

17% Draws 48%

52% Losses 22%

87% Over 0.5 goals 70%

35% Over 1.5 goals 39%

13% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Birmingham all matches

4

W

1

2

L

4

1

W

1

D

2

1

W

1

3

L

1

2

L

1

D

3

L

1

D

Southampton all matches

2

1

W

3

1

W

5

1

W

3

W

2

3

L

3

1

W

3

2

W

1

2

L

1

D

1

2

L

Birmingham before this match, at home

2.00points / match

2.09scored / match

0.91conceded / match

6 4 1

WonDrawnLost 11 played · 23:10

Southampton before this match, away

1.00points / match

1.67scored / match

1.83conceded / match

3 3 6

WonDrawnLost 12 played · 20:22

Birmingham at home away Southampton

Per match

2.09 Goals scored 1.67

0.91 Goals conceded 1.83

3.00 Total goals 3.50

18.91 Shots 13.50

5.64 Shots on target 5.33

8.09 Shots faced 14.08

6.64 Corners 4.75

4.00 Corners against 4.92

11.27 Fouls 11.08

2.09 Yellow cards 2.25

1.09 1st-half goals scored 0.92

0.45 1st-half goals conceded 0.58

How often Full Time

55% Wins 25%

36% Draws 25%

9% Losses 50%

100% Over 0.5 goals 100%

82% Over 1.5 goals 100%

55% Over 2.5 goals 83%

45% Over 3.5 goals 42%

18% Over 4.5 goals 17%

0% Over 5.5 goals 8%

64% Both teams scored 100%

36% Clean sheets 0%

0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

55% Wins 25%

27% Draws 58%

18% Losses 17%

82% Over 0.5 goals 75%

45% Over 1.5 goals 42%

18% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Birmingham at home

1

W

1

W

2

D

2

3

L

4

W

4

W

4

1

W

2

1

W

1

D

1

D

Southampton away

1

3

L

2

1

W

1

D

1

3

L

1

2

L

2

1

W

5

1

W

2

3

L

1

2

L

1

2

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Birmingham all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
26.12.25	Birmingham – Derby	1–1 (0–1)	1.86	3.40	4.20	2.10	1.73
20.12.25	Sheffield United – Birmingham	3–0 (2–0)	2.25	3.50	2.95	1.93	1.93
13.12.25	Birmingham – Charlton	1–1 (1–0)	1.53	4.00	5.75	2.00	1.80
09.12.25	QPR – Birmingham	2–1 (1–0)	2.85	3.30	2.35	1.98	1.88
06.12.25	Southampton – Birmingham	3–1 (2–0)	2.25	3.50	2.85	1.93	1.93
01.12.25	Birmingham – Watford	2–1 (2–0)	1.79	3.60	4.33	2.10	1.73
26.11.25	West Brom – Birmingham	1–1 (1–0)	2.65	3.05	2.65	2.38	1.57
22.11.25	Birmingham – Norwich	4–1 (3–1)	1.62	3.70	5.00	1.90	1.95
08.11.25	Middlesbrough – Birmingham	2–1 (2–1)	2.55	3.25	2.65	2.30	1.62
04.11.25	Birmingham – Millwall	4–0 (2–0)	1.81	3.40	4.20	2.20	1.67

Southampton all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
26.12.25	Oxford – Southampton	2–1 (1–1)	3.90	3.80	1.76	1.73	2.10
20.12.25	Southampton – Coventry	1–1 (0–1)	2.40	3.70	2.57	1.62	2.30
13.12.25	Norwich – Southampton	2–1 (0–0)	3.30	3.90	1.96	1.62	2.30
09.12.25	Southampton – West Brom	3–2 (3–0)	1.79	3.75	3.90	1.73	2.10
06.12.25	Southampton – Birmingham	3–1 (2–0)	2.25	3.50	2.85	1.93	1.93
29.11.25	Millwall – Southampton	3–2 (0–0)	3.05	3.60	2.20	1.98	1.88
25.11.25	Southampton – Leicester	3–0 (3–0)	1.96	3.60	3.70	1.80	2.00
22.11.25	Charlton – Southampton	1–5 (1–5)	2.65	3.05	2.65	2.10	1.73
08.11.25	Southampton – Sheffield Weds	3–1 (2–1)	1.39	4.75	6.50	1.67	2.20
05.11.25	QPR – Southampton	1–2 (0–0)	2.75	3.25	2.45	1.95	1.90

Birmingham at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
26.12.25	Birmingham – Derby	1–1 (0–1)	1.86	3.40	4.20	2.10	1.73
13.12.25	Birmingham – Charlton	1–1 (1–0)	1.53	4.00	5.75	2.00	1.80
01.12.25	Birmingham – Watford	2–1 (2–0)	1.79	3.60	4.33	2.10	1.73
22.11.25	Birmingham – Norwich	4–1 (3–1)	1.62	3.70	5.00	1.90	1.95
04.11.25	Birmingham – Millwall	4–0 (2–0)	1.81	3.40	4.20	2.20	1.67
01.11.25	Birmingham – Portsmouth	4–0 (1–0)	1.76	3.60	4.50	2.10	1.73
18.10.25	Birmingham – Hull	2–3 (1–2)	1.71	3.75	4.50	2.03	1.83
30.09.25	Birmingham – Sheffield Weds	2–2 (1–1)	1.45	4.00	7.50	1.93	1.93
20.09.25	Birmingham – Swansea	1–0 (0–0)	1.81	3.30	4.50	2.38	1.57
23.08.25	Birmingham – Oxford	1–0 (1–0)	1.45	4.50	6.50	1.93	1.93

Southampton away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
26.12.25	Oxford – Southampton	2–1 (1–1)	3.90	3.80	1.76	1.73	2.10
13.12.25	Norwich – Southampton	2–1 (0–0)	3.30	3.90	1.96	1.62	2.30
29.11.25	Millwall – Southampton	3–2 (0–0)	3.05	3.60	2.20	1.98	1.88
22.11.25	Charlton – Southampton	1–5 (1–5)	2.65	3.05	2.65	2.10	1.73
05.11.25	QPR – Southampton	1–2 (0–0)	2.75	3.25	2.45	1.95	1.90
25.10.25	Blackburn – Southampton	2–1 (0–1)	2.95	3.25	2.30	2.00	1.80
21.10.25	Bristol City – Southampton	3–1 (1–1)	2.40	3.30	2.75	1.93	1.93
04.10.25	Derby – Southampton	1–1 (1–1)	3.50	3.30	2.05	2.20	1.67
30.09.25	Sheffield United – Southampton	1–2 (1–0)	2.30	3.40	2.85	1.93	1.93
20.09.25	Hull – Southampton	3–1 (1–0)	3.00	3.50	2.20	1.73	2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

3

Birmingham winsDrawsSouthampton wins

3matches

5.00goals / match

100%over 2.5

100%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
06.12.25E1	Southampton – Birmingham	3–1 (2–0)	2.25	3.50	2.85	1.93	1.93
02.03.24E1	Birmingham – Southampton	3–4 (2–1)	4.00	3.80	1.85	1.62	2.25
28.10.23E1	Southampton – Birmingham	3–1 (2–0)	1.60	4.00	5.50	1.80	2.00

England Championship table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Coventry	24	15	6	3	54	25	+29	51
2	Middlesbrough	24	12	7	5	33	25	+8	43
3	Ipswich	24	11	8	5	40	23	+17	41
4	Hull	24	12	5	7	40	37	+3	41
5	Millwall	24	11	6	7	27	32	-5	39
6	Watford	24	10	8	6	34	29	+5	38
7	Preston	24	9	10	5	31	25	+6	37
8	Bristol City	24	10	6	8	33	27	+6	36
9	QPR	24	10	5	9	34	37	-3	35
10	Stoke	24	10	4	10	29	23	+6	34
11	Wrexham	24	8	10	6	34	31	+3	34
12	Leicester	24	9	7	8	34	34	0	34
13	Derby	24	8	8	8	33	33	0	32
14	Southampton	23	8	7	8	37	33	+4	31
15	West Brom	24	9	4	11	28	32	-4	31
16	Birmingham	23	8	6	9	31	30	+1	30
17	Sheffield United	24	9	2	13	33	37	-4	29
18	Swansea	24	8	5	11	25	31	-6	29
19	Blackburn	23	7	6	10	22	26	-4	27
20	Charlton	23	7	6	10	22	29	-7	27
21	Portsmouth	23	6	7	10	21	30	-9	25
22	Oxford	24	5	7	12	24	33	-9	22
23	Norwich	24	5	6	13	26	36	-10	21
24	Sheffield Weds	23	1	8	14	18	45	-27	11

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Coventry	12	9	2	1	27	9	+18	29
2	Ipswich	12	7	4	1	22	10	+12	25
3	Watford	12	7	4	1	20	12	+8	25
4	Middlesbrough	12	7	3	2	16	11	+5	24
5	Wrexham	13	6	5	2	24	19	+5	23
6	Hull	12	7	2	3	19	18	+1	23
7	Millwall	13	7	2	4	15	16	-1	23
8	Birmingham	11	6	4	1	23	10	+13	22
9	West Brom	12	6	4	2	16	11	+5	22
10	Stoke	12	6	2	4	18	10	+8	20
11	QPR	11	6	2	3	20	15	+5	20
12	Preston	12	5	5	2	16	12	+4	20
13	Southampton	11	5	4	2	17	11	+6	19
14	Leicester	12	5	4	3	17	14	+3	19
15	Bristol City	12	5	3	4	18	13	+5	18
16	Portsmouth	13	5	3	5	14	14	0	18
17	Swansea	12	5	3	4	15	16	-1	18
18	Charlton	10	5	2	3	12	11	+1	17
19	Sheffield United	11	4	2	5	15	12	+3	14
20	Derby	12	3	5	4	15	18	-3	14
21	Oxford	12	3	4	5	13	17	-4	13
22	Norwich	12	3	1	8	12	17	-5	10
23	Blackburn	11	2	3	6	11	16	-5	9
24	Sheffield Weds	13	0	4	9	7	29	-22	4

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Coventry	12	6	4	2	27	16	+11	22
2	Middlesbrough	12	5	4	3	17	14	+3	19
3	Derby	12	5	3	4	18	15	+3	18
4	Hull	12	5	3	4	21	19	+2	18
5	Bristol City	12	5	3	4	15	14	+1	18
6	Blackburn	12	5	3	4	11	10	+1	18
7	Preston	12	4	5	3	15	13	+2	17
8	Ipswich	12	4	4	4	18	13	+5	16
9	Millwall	11	4	4	3	12	16	-4	16
10	Leicester	12	4	3	5	17	20	-3	15
11	Sheffield United	13	5	0	8	18	25	-7	15
12	QPR	13	4	3	6	14	22	-8	15
13	Stoke	12	4	2	6	11	13	-2	14
14	Watford	12	3	4	5	14	17	-3	13
15	Southampton	12	3	3	6	20	22	-2	12
16	Wrexham	11	2	5	4	10	12	-2	11
17	Norwich	12	2	5	5	14	19	-5	11
18	Swansea	12	3	2	7	10	15	-5	11
19	Charlton	13	2	4	7	10	18	-8	10
20	Oxford	12	2	3	7	11	16	-5	9
21	West Brom	12	3	0	9	12	21	-9	9
22	Birmingham	12	2	2	8	8	20	-12	8
23	Sheffield Weds	10	1	4	5	11	16	-5	7
24	Portsmouth	10	1	4	5	7	16	-9	7

Birmingham Southampton

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	4	Hull	24	8	16	1.7	1.5	12	5	7	40	37	41
2	14	Southampton	23	7	16	1.6	1.4	8	7	8	37	33	31
3	9	QPR	24	9	15	1.4	1.5	10	5	9	34	37	35
4	12	Leicester	24	9	15	1.4	1.4	9	7	8	34	34	34
5	1	Coventry	24	10	14	2.2	1.0	15	6	3	54	25	51
6	17	Sheffield United	24	10	14	1.4	1.5	9	2	13	33	37	29
7	24	Sheffield Weds	23	9	14	0.8	2.0	1	8	14	18	45	11
8	6	Watford	24	11	13	1.4	1.2	10	8	6	34	29	38
9	2	Middlesbrough	24	12	12	1.4	1.0	12	7	5	33	25	43
10	3	Ipswich	24	12	12	1.7	1.0	11	8	5	40	23	41
11	13	Derby	24	12	12	1.4	1.4	8	8	8	33	33	32
12	15	West Brom	24	12	12	1.2	1.3	9	4	11	28	32	31
13	16	Birmingham	23	11	12	1.3	1.3	8	6	9	31	30	30
14	22	Oxford	24	12	12	1.0	1.4	5	7	12	24	33	22
15	5	Millwall	24	13	11	1.1	1.3	11	6	7	27	32	39
16	8	Bristol City	24	13	11	1.4	1.1	10	6	8	33	27	36
17	10	Stoke	24	13	11	1.2	1.0	10	4	10	29	23	34
18	18	Swansea	24	13	11	1.0	1.3	8	5	11	25	31	29
19	23	Norwich	24	13	11	1.1	1.5	5	6	13	26	36	21
20	7	Preston	24	14	10	1.3	1.0	9	10	5	31	25	37
21	11	Wrexham	24	14	10	1.4	1.3	8	10	6	34	31	34
22	21	Portsmouth	23	13	10	0.9	1.3	6	7	10	21	30	25
23	19	Blackburn	23	14	9	1.0	1.1	7	6	10	22	26	27
24	20	Charlton	23	14	9	1.0	1.3	7	6	10	22	29	27

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	9	QPR	11	3	8	1.8	1.4	6	2	3	20	15	20
2	24	Sheffield Weds	13	5	8	0.5	2.2	0	4	9	7	29	4
3	3	Ipswich	12	5	7	1.8	0.8	7	4	1	22	10	25
4	4	Hull	12	5	7	1.6	1.5	7	2	3	19	18	23
5	6	Watford	12	5	7	1.7	1.0	7	4	1	20	12	25
6	11	Wrexham	13	6	7	1.8	1.5	6	5	2	24	19	23
7	22	Oxford	12	5	7	1.1	1.4	3	4	5	13	17	13
8	1	Coventry	12	6	6	2.2	0.8	9	2	1	27	9	29
9	2	Middlesbrough	12	6	6	1.3	0.9	7	3	2	16	11	24
10	5	Millwall	13	7	6	1.2	1.2	7	2	4	15	16	23
11	8	Bristol City	12	6	6	1.5	1.1	5	3	4	18	13	18
12	10	Stoke	12	6	6	1.5	0.8	6	2	4	18	10	20
13	12	Leicester	12	6	6	1.4	1.2	5	4	3	17	14	19
14	14	Southampton	11	5	6	1.5	1.0	5	4	2	17	11	19
15	16	Birmingham	11	5	6	2.1	0.9	6	4	1	23	10	22
16	17	Sheffield United	11	5	6	1.4	1.1	4	2	5	15	12	14
17	18	Swansea	12	6	6	1.2	1.3	5	3	4	15	16	18
18	21	Portsmouth	13	7	6	1.1	1.1	5	3	5	14	14	18
19	23	Norwich	12	6	6	1.0	1.4	3	1	8	12	17	10
20	7	Preston	12	7	5	1.3	1.0	5	5	2	16	12	20
21	15	West Brom	12	7	5	1.3	0.9	6	4	2	16	11	22
22	19	Blackburn	11	6	5	1.0	1.5	2	3	6	11	16	9
23	13	Derby	12	8	4	1.2	1.5	3	5	4	15	18	14
24	20	Charlton	10	6	4	1.2	1.1	5	2	3	12	11	17

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	14	Southampton	12	2	10	1.7	1.8	3	3	6	20	22	12
2	4	Hull	12	3	9	1.8	1.6	5	3	4	21	19	18
3	12	Leicester	12	3	9	1.4	1.7	4	3	5	17	20	15
4	1	Coventry	12	4	8	2.2	1.3	6	4	2	27	16	22
5	13	Derby	12	4	8	1.5	1.2	5	3	4	18	15	18
6	17	Sheffield United	13	5	8	1.4	1.9	5	0	8	18	25	15
7	9	QPR	13	6	7	1.1	1.7	4	3	6	14	22	15
8	15	West Brom	12	5	7	1.0	1.8	3	0	9	12	21	9
9	2	Middlesbrough	12	6	6	1.4	1.2	5	4	3	17	14	19
10	6	Watford	12	6	6	1.2	1.4	3	4	5	14	17	13
11	16	Birmingham	12	6	6	0.7	1.7	2	2	8	8	20	8
12	24	Sheffield Weds	10	4	6	1.1	1.6	1	4	5	11	16	7
13	3	Ipswich	12	7	5	1.5	1.1	4	4	4	18	13	16
14	5	Millwall	11	6	5	1.1	1.5	4	4	3	12	16	16
15	7	Preston	12	7	5	1.2	1.1	4	5	3	15	13	17
16	8	Bristol City	12	7	5	1.2	1.2	5	3	4	15	14	18
17	10	Stoke	12	7	5	0.9	1.1	4	2	6	11	13	14
18	18	Swansea	12	7	5	0.8	1.2	3	2	7	10	15	11
19	20	Charlton	13	8	5	0.8	1.4	2	4	7	10	18	10
20	22	Oxford	12	7	5	0.9	1.3	2	3	7	11	16	9
21	23	Norwich	12	7	5	1.2	1.6	2	5	5	14	19	11
22	19	Blackburn	12	8	4	0.9	0.8	5	3	4	11	10	18
23	21	Portsmouth	10	6	4	0.7	1.6	1	4	5	7	16	7
24	11	Wrexham	11	8	3	0.9	1.1	2	5	4	10	12	11

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.