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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: K Stroud

QPR 0–1 Birmingham

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2022/2023

Home 2.38 fair 2.55
Draw 3.30 fair 3.83
Away ✓ 3.10 fair 2.88
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.67 fair 1.97
Over 2.5 2.20 fair 2.03

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

QPR Birmingham
16 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 6
10 Corners 1
16 Fouls 16
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (444 league matches this season so far).
Result QPR to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.86
Expected goals 1.37 – 1.28
Home / Draw / Away
QPRDrawBirmingham
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.4% 1–0 9.7% 0–1 9.1%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

QPR before this match, all matches
1.14points / match
1.03scored / match
1.57conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 37 played · 38:58
Birmingham before this match, all matches
1.14points / match
1.11scored / match
1.35conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 37 played · 41:50
QPR all matches all matches Birmingham

Per match

1.03 Goals scored 1.11
1.57 Goals conceded 1.35
2.59 Total goals 2.46
12.51 Shots 10.70
3.65 Shots on target 3.19
11.05 Shots faced 11.65
5.19 Corners 4.51
4.95 Corners against 4.92
10.97 Fouls 11.59
1.78 Yellow cards 2.08
0.62 1st-half goals scored 0.59
0.86 1st-half goals conceded 0.59

How often Full Time

30% Wins 30%
24% Draws 24%
46% Losses 46%
92% Over 0.5 goals 89%
73% Over 1.5 goals 73%
54% Over 2.5 goals 46%
27% Over 3.5 goals 19%
8% Over 4.5 goals 11%
3% Over 5.5 goals 5%
51% Both teams scored 49%
22% Clean sheets 27%
35% Failed to score 35%

How often Half Time

24% Wins 30%
30% Draws 38%
46% Losses 32%
78% Over 0.5 goals 68%
43% Over 1.5 goals 41%
19% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

QPR all matches
Birmingham all matches
QPR before this match, at home
1.22points / match
1.11scored / match
1.44conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 20:26
Birmingham before this match, away
1.06points / match
1.06scored / match
1.61conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 19:29
QPR at home away Birmingham

Per match

1.11 Goals scored 1.06
1.44 Goals conceded 1.61
2.56 Total goals 2.67
13.50 Shots 10.33
4.17 Shots on target 3.11
9.83 Shots faced 12.22
5.50 Corners 3.72
4.22 Corners against 4.22
11.28 Fouls 11.28
1.67 Yellow cards 2.22
0.94 1st-half goals scored 0.44
0.78 1st-half goals conceded 0.94

How often Full Time

33% Wins 28%
22% Draws 22%
44% Losses 50%
94% Over 0.5 goals 89%
78% Over 1.5 goals 72%
61% Over 2.5 goals 50%
17% Over 3.5 goals 22%
6% Over 4.5 goals 17%
0% Over 5.5 goals 11%
56% Both teams scored 50%
17% Clean sheets 22%
33% Failed to score 39%

How often Half Time

39% Wins 22%
22% Draws 28%
39% Losses 50%
89% Over 0.5 goals 83%
50% Over 1.5 goals 44%
28% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

QPR at home
Birmingham away

Last 10 matches before this match

QPR all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.03.23 Blackpool – QPR 6–1 (4–1) 2.503.103.10 2.38 1.57
11.03.23 QPR – Watford 1–0 (1–0) 3.203.252.30 2.10 1.73
04.03.23 Rotherham – QPR 3–1 (1–0) 3.003.202.50 2.10 1.73
25.02.23 QPR – Blackburn 1–3 (1–2) 2.153.203.60 2.20 1.67
18.02.23 Middlesbrough – QPR 3–1 (0–0) 1.554.205.75 1.88 1.98
14.02.23 QPR – Sunderland 0–3 (0–1) 2.403.303.00 2.05 1.80
11.02.23 QPR – Millwall 1–2 (0–1) 2.703.102.80 2.20 1.67
04.02.23 Huddersfield – QPR 1–1 (1–1) 3.103.252.38 2.30 1.62
28.01.23 Hull – QPR 3–0 (1–0) 2.503.402.80 2.10 1.73
21.01.23 QPR – Swansea 1–1 (1–0) 2.703.302.70 2.02 1.83

Birmingham all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.03.23 Watford – Birmingham 3–0 (2–0) 1.833.604.33 2.38 1.57
11.03.23 Birmingham – Rotherham 2–0 (2–0) 1.913.504.20 2.20 1.67
04.03.23 Wigan – Birmingham 1–1 (0–1) 2.253.203.30 2.38 1.57
25.02.23 Birmingham – Luton 0–1 (0–0) 2.903.202.55 2.30 1.62
21.02.23 Norwich – Birmingham 3–1 (2–0) 1.654.005.25 2.00 1.85
18.02.23 Huddersfield – Birmingham 2–1 (1–1) 2.603.302.70 2.30 1.62
14.02.23 Birmingham – Cardiff 0–2 (0–0) 2.253.203.40 2.30 1.62
10.02.23 Birmingham – West Brom 2–0 (1–0) 3.803.402.00 2.20 1.67
04.02.23 Swansea – Birmingham 3–4 (2–1) 1.833.504.50 2.10 1.73
21.01.23 Birmingham – Preston 1–2 (0–2) 2.403.103.20 2.63 1.50

QPR at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.03.23 QPR – Watford 1–0 (1–0) 3.203.252.30 2.10 1.73
25.02.23 QPR – Blackburn 1–3 (1–2) 2.153.203.60 2.20 1.67
14.02.23 QPR – Sunderland 0–3 (0–1) 2.403.303.00 2.05 1.80
11.02.23 QPR – Millwall 1–2 (0–1) 2.703.102.80 2.20 1.67
21.01.23 QPR – Swansea 1–1 (1–0) 2.703.302.70 2.02 1.83
02.01.23 QPR – Sheffield United 1–1 (1–0) 3.103.402.30 2.10 1.73
29.12.22 QPR – Luton 0–3 (0–1) 2.253.253.30 2.10 1.73
11.12.22 QPR – Burnley 0–3 (0–2) 3.103.402.30 2.00 1.85
08.11.22 QPR – Huddersfield 1–2 (1–2) 1.703.755.25 2.00 1.85
05.11.22 QPR – West Brom 0–1 (0–0) 2.503.602.70 2.02 1.83

Birmingham away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.03.23 Watford – Birmingham 3–0 (2–0) 1.833.604.33 2.38 1.57
04.03.23 Wigan – Birmingham 1–1 (0–1) 2.253.203.30 2.38 1.57
21.02.23 Norwich – Birmingham 3–1 (2–0) 1.654.005.25 2.00 1.85
18.02.23 Huddersfield – Birmingham 2–1 (1–1) 2.603.302.70 2.30 1.62
04.02.23 Swansea – Birmingham 3–4 (2–1) 1.833.504.50 2.10 1.73
14.01.23 Bristol City – Birmingham 4–2 (2–1) 2.253.303.30 2.10 1.73
27.12.22 Burnley – Birmingham 3–0 (2–0) 1.603.806.00 2.00 1.85
10.12.22 Blackpool – Birmingham 0–0 (0–0) 2.753.302.63 2.10 1.73
05.11.22 Stoke – Birmingham 1–2 (0–1) 2.053.503.60 2.20 1.66
22.10.22 Blackburn – Birmingham 2–1 (2–0) 2.053.253.75 2.10 1.72

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

QPR winsDrawsBirmingham wins
3matches
2.33goals / match
33%over 2.5
33%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.10.22E1 Birmingham – QPR 2–0 (2–0) 2.253.303.20 2.10 1.72
02.01.22E1 Birmingham – QPR 1–2 (0–1) 2.703.102.75 2.20 1.66
28.09.21E1 QPR – Birmingham 2–0 (1–0) 1.953.603.80 1.93 1.93

England Championship table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Burnley 37 24 11 2 74 29 +45 83
2 Sheffield United 37 21 7 9 58 33 +25 70
3 Middlesbrough 37 19 7 11 65 42 +23 64
4 Luton 37 17 12 8 45 34 +11 63
5 Blackburn 37 19 4 14 43 42 +1 61
6 Millwall 37 17 9 11 48 39 +9 60
7 Norwich 37 16 8 13 52 41 +11 56
8 West Brom 37 15 10 12 47 39 +8 55
9 Coventry 37 14 12 11 43 36 +7 54
10 Watford 37 14 12 11 44 39 +5 54
11 Preston 37 14 11 12 34 39 -5 53
12 Sunderland 37 14 10 13 52 45 +7 52
13 Bristol City 37 12 12 13 45 44 +1 48
14 Stoke 37 13 8 16 48 45 +3 47
15 Hull 37 12 10 15 42 52 -10 46
16 Reading 37 13 5 19 39 57 -18 44
17 Swansea 37 11 10 16 49 57 -8 43
18 Birmingham 37 11 9 17 41 50 -9 42
19 QPR 37 11 9 17 38 58 -20 42
20 Rotherham 37 9 13 15 41 51 -10 40
21 Cardiff 37 10 9 18 28 41 -13 39
22 Blackpool 37 8 11 18 39 54 -15 35
23 Huddersfield 37 8 9 20 31 53 -22 33
24 Wigan 37 7 12 18 32 58 -26 33
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Burnley 19 14 5 0 43 13 +30 47
2 Blackburn 18 13 1 4 25 14 +11 40
3 Sheffield United 18 11 3 4 35 17 +18 36
4 Middlesbrough 18 10 6 2 32 14 +18 36
5 Millwall 18 10 5 3 29 16 +13 35
6 West Brom 19 10 5 4 26 15 +11 35
7 Reading 18 10 3 5 27 20 +7 33
8 Coventry 19 9 6 4 24 17 +7 33
9 Watford 18 9 5 4 27 16 +11 32
10 Bristol City 19 8 5 6 24 18 +6 29
11 Luton 19 7 8 4 24 19 +5 29
12 Norwich 19 8 4 7 27 22 +5 28
13 Rotherham 18 7 5 6 30 23 +7 26
14 Hull 19 7 4 8 21 26 -5 25
15 Swansea 18 7 3 8 28 28 0 24
16 Cardiff 19 6 6 7 16 17 -1 24
17 Birmingham 19 6 5 8 22 21 +1 23
18 Sunderland 18 6 5 7 23 24 -1 23
19 Huddersfield 19 6 5 8 17 21 -4 23
20 Stoke 18 6 4 8 23 21 +2 22
21 QPR 18 6 4 8 20 26 -6 22
22 Blackpool 18 5 6 7 23 22 +1 21
23 Preston 19 5 6 8 14 22 -8 21
24 Wigan 19 3 6 10 14 32 -18 15
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Burnley 18 10 6 2 31 16 +15 36
2 Sheffield United 19 10 4 5 23 16 +7 34
3 Luton 18 10 4 4 21 15 +6 34
4 Preston 18 9 5 4 20 17 +3 32
5 Sunderland 19 8 5 6 29 21 +8 29
6 Norwich 18 8 4 6 25 19 +6 28
7 Middlesbrough 19 9 1 9 33 28 +5 28
8 Stoke 19 7 4 8 25 24 +1 25
9 Millwall 19 7 4 8 19 23 -4 25
10 Watford 19 5 7 7 17 23 -6 22
11 Coventry 18 5 6 7 19 19 0 21
12 Hull 18 5 6 7 21 26 -5 21
13 Blackburn 19 6 3 10 18 28 -10 21
14 West Brom 18 5 5 8 21 24 -3 20
15 QPR 19 5 5 9 18 32 -14 20
16 Bristol City 18 4 7 7 21 26 -5 19
17 Swansea 19 4 7 8 21 29 -8 19
18 Birmingham 18 5 4 9 19 29 -10 19
19 Wigan 18 4 6 8 18 26 -8 18
20 Cardiff 18 4 3 11 12 24 -12 15
21 Blackpool 19 3 5 11 16 32 -16 14
22 Rotherham 19 2 8 9 11 28 -17 14
23 Reading 19 3 2 14 12 37 -25 11
24 Huddersfield 18 2 4 12 14 32 -18 10

QPR   Birmingham

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Middlesbrough 37 14 23 1.8 1.1 19 7 11 65 42 64
2 17 Swansea 37 15 22 1.3 1.5 11 10 16 49 57 43
3 16 Reading 37 16 21 1.1 1.5 13 5 19 39 57 44
4 12 Sunderland 37 17 20 1.4 1.2 14 10 13 52 45 52
5 19 QPR 37 17 20 1.0 1.6 11 9 17 38 58 42
6 1 Burnley 37 18 19 2.0 0.8 24 11 2 74 29 83
7 7 Norwich 37 19 18 1.4 1.1 16 8 13 52 41 56
8 20 Rotherham 37 19 18 1.1 1.4 9 13 15 41 51 40
9 5 Blackburn 37 20 17 1.2 1.1 19 4 14 43 42 61
10 14 Stoke 37 20 17 1.3 1.2 13 8 16 48 45 47
11 15 Hull 37 20 17 1.1 1.4 12 10 15 42 52 46
12 18 Birmingham 37 20 17 1.1 1.4 11 9 17 41 50 42
13 22 Blackpool 37 20 17 1.1 1.5 8 11 18 39 54 35
14 2 Sheffield United 37 21 16 1.6 0.9 21 7 9 58 33 70
15 23 Huddersfield 37 21 16 0.8 1.4 8 9 20 31 53 33
16 24 Wigan 37 21 16 0.9 1.6 7 12 18 32 58 33
17 6 Millwall 37 22 15 1.3 1.1 17 9 11 48 39 60
18 10 Watford 37 23 14 1.2 1.1 14 12 11 44 39 54
19 11 Preston 37 23 14 0.9 1.1 14 11 12 34 39 53
20 13 Bristol City 37 23 14 1.2 1.2 12 12 13 45 44 48
21 4 Luton 37 25 12 1.2 0.9 17 12 8 45 34 63
22 8 West Brom 37 26 11 1.3 1.1 15 10 12 47 39 55
23 9 Coventry 37 26 11 1.2 1.0 14 12 11 43 36 54
24 21 Cardiff 37 28 9 0.8 1.1 10 9 18 28 41 39
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Burnley 19 7 12 2.3 0.7 14 5 0 43 13 47
2 17 Swansea 18 6 12 1.6 1.6 7 3 8 28 28 24
3 16 Reading 18 7 11 1.5 1.1 10 3 5 27 20 33
4 19 QPR 18 7 11 1.1 1.4 6 4 8 20 26 22
5 20 Rotherham 18 7 11 1.7 1.3 7 5 6 30 23 26
6 2 Sheffield United 18 8 10 1.9 0.9 11 3 4 35 17 36
7 12 Sunderland 18 8 10 1.3 1.3 6 5 7 23 24 23
8 3 Middlesbrough 18 9 9 1.8 0.8 10 6 2 32 14 36
9 7 Norwich 19 10 9 1.4 1.2 8 4 7 27 22 28
10 15 Hull 19 10 9 1.1 1.4 7 4 8 21 26 25
11 5 Blackburn 18 10 8 1.4 0.8 13 1 4 25 14 40
12 6 Millwall 18 10 8 1.6 0.9 10 5 3 29 16 35
13 10 Watford 18 10 8 1.5 0.9 9 5 4 27 16 32
14 14 Stoke 18 10 8 1.3 1.2 6 4 8 23 21 22
15 18 Birmingham 19 11 8 1.2 1.1 6 5 8 22 21 23
16 22 Blackpool 18 10 8 1.3 1.2 5 6 7 23 22 21
17 4 Luton 19 12 7 1.3 1.0 7 8 4 24 19 29
18 24 Wigan 19 12 7 0.7 1.7 3 6 10 14 32 15
19 11 Preston 19 13 6 0.7 1.2 5 6 8 14 22 21
20 13 Bristol City 19 13 6 1.3 0.9 8 5 6 24 18 29
21 23 Huddersfield 19 13 6 0.9 1.1 6 5 8 17 21 23
22 9 Coventry 19 14 5 1.3 0.9 9 6 4 24 17 33
23 8 West Brom 19 15 4 1.4 0.8 10 5 4 26 15 35
24 21 Cardiff 19 15 4 0.8 0.9 6 6 7 16 17 24
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Middlesbrough 19 5 14 1.7 1.5 9 1 9 33 28 28
2 12 Sunderland 19 9 10 1.5 1.1 8 5 6 29 21 29
3 16 Reading 19 9 10 0.6 1.9 3 2 14 12 37 11
4 17 Swansea 19 9 10 1.1 1.5 4 7 8 21 29 19
5 23 Huddersfield 18 8 10 0.8 1.8 2 4 12 14 32 10
6 5 Blackburn 19 10 9 0.9 1.5 6 3 10 18 28 21
7 7 Norwich 18 9 9 1.4 1.1 8 4 6 25 19 28
8 14 Stoke 19 10 9 1.3 1.3 7 4 8 25 24 25
9 18 Birmingham 18 9 9 1.1 1.6 5 4 9 19 29 19
10 19 QPR 19 10 9 0.9 1.7 5 5 9 18 32 20
11 22 Blackpool 19 10 9 0.8 1.7 3 5 11 16 32 14
12 24 Wigan 18 9 9 1.0 1.4 4 6 8 18 26 18
13 11 Preston 18 10 8 1.1 0.9 9 5 4 20 17 32
14 13 Bristol City 18 10 8 1.2 1.4 4 7 7 21 26 19
15 15 Hull 18 10 8 1.2 1.4 5 6 7 21 26 21
16 1 Burnley 18 11 7 1.7 0.9 10 6 2 31 16 36
17 6 Millwall 19 12 7 1.0 1.2 7 4 8 19 23 25
18 8 West Brom 18 11 7 1.2 1.3 5 5 8 21 24 20
19 20 Rotherham 19 12 7 0.6 1.5 2 8 9 11 28 14
20 2 Sheffield United 19 13 6 1.2 0.8 10 4 5 23 16 34
21 9 Coventry 18 12 6 1.1 1.1 5 6 7 19 19 21
22 10 Watford 19 13 6 0.9 1.2 5 7 7 17 23 22
23 4 Luton 18 13 5 1.2 0.8 10 4 4 21 15 34
24 21 Cardiff 18 13 5 0.7 1.3 4 3 11 12 24 15

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51