QPR 2–1 Birmingham – England Championship, 29 Mar 2024

Match facts

QPR Birmingham

18 Shots 13

6 Shots on target 3

6 Corners 2

11 Fouls 12

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (455 league matches this season so far).

Result QPR to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.93

Expected goals 1.42 – 1.15

Home / Draw / Away

43% 26% 31%

QPRDrawBirmingham

Under / Over 2.5 goals

53% 47%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

48% 52%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

8% 0

20% 1

25% 2

22% 3

14% 4

12% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 12.5% 1–0 10.9% 2–1 8.9%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

QPR before this match, all matches

1.05points / match

0.95scored / match

1.32conceded / match

10 10 18

WonDrawnLost 38 played · 36:50

Birmingham before this match, all matches

1.03points / match

1.11scored / match

1.55conceded / match

10 9 19

WonDrawnLost 38 played · 42:59

QPR all matches all matches Birmingham

Per match

0.95 Goals scored 1.11

1.32 Goals conceded 1.55

2.26 Total goals 2.66

10.76 Shots 13.03

3.76 Shots on target 3.97

11.89 Shots faced 14.05

5.50 Corners 4.61

5.50 Corners against 6.29

12.05 Fouls 12.74

2.13 Yellow cards 2.16

0.37 1st-half goals scored 0.50

0.58 1st-half goals conceded 0.61

How often Full Time

26% Wins 26%

26% Draws 24%

47% Losses 50%

87% Over 0.5 goals 92%

71% Over 1.5 goals 71%

45% Over 2.5 goals 47%

18% Over 3.5 goals 32%

3% Over 4.5 goals 13%

3% Over 5.5 goals 8%

47% Both teams scored 53%

26% Clean sheets 18%

39% Failed to score 37%

How often Half Time

21% Wins 26%

47% Draws 42%

32% Losses 32%

63% Over 0.5 goals 68%

21% Over 1.5 goals 32%

8% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

QPR all matches

1

D

2

1

W

2

D

1

L

1

W

2

1

W

2

1

W

2

D

2

L

D

Birmingham all matches

1

L

2

L

1

W

2

1

W

1

3

L

3

4

L

1

D

1

L

1

L

1

L

QPR before this match, at home

0.95points / match

1.11scored / match

1.53conceded / match

4 6 9

WonDrawnLost 19 played · 21:29

Birmingham before this match, away

0.63points / match

0.84scored / match

1.84conceded / match

3 3 13

WonDrawnLost 19 played · 16:35

QPR at home away Birmingham

Per match

1.11 Goals scored 0.84

1.53 Goals conceded 1.84

2.63 Total goals 2.68

13.32 Shots 13.00

4.58 Shots on target 4.16

11.79 Shots faced 15.63

5.95 Corners 4.11

5.00 Corners against 6.63

12.58 Fouls 12.68

2.05 Yellow cards 2.47

0.37 1st-half goals scored 0.42

0.58 1st-half goals conceded 0.53

How often Full Time

21% Wins 16%

32% Draws 16%

47% Losses 68%

89% Over 0.5 goals 100%

79% Over 1.5 goals 79%

53% Over 2.5 goals 42%

32% Over 3.5 goals 26%

5% Over 4.5 goals 11%

5% Over 5.5 goals 11%

58% Both teams scored 47%

21% Clean sheets 11%

32% Failed to score 42%

How often Half Time

16% Wins 26%

53% Draws 47%

32% Losses 26%

63% Over 0.5 goals 63%

26% Over 1.5 goals 26%

5% Over 2.5 goals 5%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

QPR at home

D

1

L

1

2

L

1

2

L

2

W

1

D

2

D

2

1

W

2

D

2

L

Birmingham away

2

L

1

W

3

D

3

L

2

1

W

1

L

2

L

1

3

L

1

D

1

L

Last 10 matches before this match

QPR all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
16.03.24	Sunderland – QPR	0–0 (0–0)	2.45	3.25	3.00	2.15	1.67
09.03.24	QPR – Middlesbrough	0–2 (0–0)	2.30	3.60	2.88	1.98	1.88
06.03.24	QPR – West Brom	2–2 (1–2)	3.10	3.10	2.45	2.35	1.57
02.03.24	Leicester – QPR	1–2 (0–1)	1.36	4.75	9.50	1.70	2.10
24.02.24	QPR – Rotherham	2–1 (0–1)	1.65	3.60	6.00	2.15	1.67
17.02.24	Bristol City – QPR	0–1 (0–1)	1.95	3.50	4.00	2.25	1.62
14.02.24	Stoke – QPR	1–0 (1–0)	2.05	3.40	3.50	2.10	1.70
10.02.24	QPR – Norwich	2–2 (1–0)	2.63	3.50	2.60	2.00	1.85
03.02.24	Blackburn – QPR	1–2 (0–0)	1.95	3.50	4.00	1.85	2.00
28.01.24	QPR – Huddersfield	1–1 (0–0)	2.05	3.40	3.80	2.30	1.60

Birmingham all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
16.03.24	Birmingham – Watford	0–1 (0–1)	2.45	3.25	3.00	1.93	1.93
12.03.24	Birmingham – Middlesbrough	0–1 (0–1)	2.80	3.60	2.40	1.80	2.00
09.03.24	Millwall – Birmingham	1–0 (0–0)	2.20	3.20	3.40	2.15	1.67
05.03.24	Hull – Birmingham	1–1 (1–0)	1.73	4.00	4.75	1.67	2.15
02.03.24	Birmingham – Southampton	3–4 (2–1)	4.00	3.80	1.85	1.62	2.25
24.02.24	Ipswich – Birmingham	3–1 (1–1)	1.55	4.33	5.50	1.60	2.30
17.02.24	Birmingham – Sunderland	2–1 (0–1)	2.80	3.30	2.55	2.03	1.83
13.02.24	Birmingham – Blackburn	1–0 (0–0)	2.25	3.60	3.00	1.57	2.35
09.02.24	Sheffield Weds – Birmingham	2–0 (1–0)	2.25	3.30	3.25	2.03	1.83
03.02.24	West Brom – Birmingham	1–0 (0–0)	1.70	4.00	4.75	1.95	1.90

QPR at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
09.03.24	QPR – Middlesbrough	0–2 (0–0)	2.30	3.60	2.88	1.98	1.88
06.03.24	QPR – West Brom	2–2 (1–2)	3.10	3.10	2.45	2.35	1.57
24.02.24	QPR – Rotherham	2–1 (0–1)	1.65	3.60	6.00	2.15	1.67
10.02.24	QPR – Norwich	2–2 (1–0)	2.63	3.50	2.60	2.00	1.85
28.01.24	QPR – Huddersfield	1–1 (0–0)	2.05	3.40	3.80	2.30	1.60
20.01.24	QPR – Millwall	2–0 (1–0)	2.45	3.30	2.90	2.40	1.53
14.01.24	QPR – Watford	1–2 (0–0)	3.00	3.25	2.45	2.15	1.67
01.01.24	QPR – Cardiff	1–2 (0–1)	2.30	3.10	3.40	2.40	1.53
23.12.23	QPR – Southampton	0–1 (0–1)	5.25	3.60	1.73	1.93	1.93
13.12.23	QPR – Plymouth	0–0 (0–0)	2.00	3.75	3.60	1.75	2.05

Birmingham away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
09.03.24	Millwall – Birmingham	1–0 (0–0)	2.20	3.20	3.40	2.15	1.67
05.03.24	Hull – Birmingham	1–1 (1–0)	1.73	4.00	4.75	1.67	2.15
24.02.24	Ipswich – Birmingham	3–1 (1–1)	1.55	4.33	5.50	1.60	2.30
09.02.24	Sheffield Weds – Birmingham	2–0 (1–0)	2.25	3.30	3.25	2.03	1.83
03.02.24	West Brom – Birmingham	1–0 (0–0)	1.70	4.00	4.75	1.95	1.90
20.01.24	Stoke – Birmingham	1–2 (0–1)	1.91	3.60	4.00	2.05	1.80
01.01.24	Leeds – Birmingham	3–0 (2–0)	1.25	6.50	9.50	1.50	2.50
23.12.23	Plymouth – Birmingham	3–3 (1–2)	2.15	3.60	3.20	1.67	2.15
13.12.23	Cardiff – Birmingham	0–1 (0–1)	1.85	3.80	4.00	2.08	1.73
08.12.23	Coventry – Birmingham	2–0 (1–0)	1.70	4.00	4.75	1.75	2.05

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

2 1 2

QPR winsDrawsBirmingham wins

5matches

1.60goals / match

20%over 2.5

20%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
22.09.23E1	Birmingham – QPR	0–0 (0–0)	1.85	3.50	4.33	2.20	1.67
18.03.23E1	QPR – Birmingham	0–1 (0–1)	2.38	3.30	3.10	2.20	1.67
28.10.22E1	Birmingham – QPR	2–0 (2–0)	2.25	3.30	3.20	2.10	1.72
02.01.22E1	Birmingham – QPR	1–2 (0–1)	2.70	3.10	2.75	2.20	1.66
28.09.21E1	QPR – Birmingham	2–0 (1–0)	1.95	3.60	3.80	1.93	1.93

England Championship table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leeds	38	25	7	6	70	28	+42	82
2	Leicester	38	26	4	8	74	34	+40	82
3	Ipswich	38	24	9	5	80	49	+31	81
4	Southampton	36	22	7	7	73	47	+26	73
5	West Brom	39	19	10	10	60	37	+23	67
6	Norwich	38	18	7	13	69	54	+15	61
7	Hull	37	16	10	11	53	46	+7	58
8	Coventry	37	15	12	10	59	43	+16	57
9	Preston	37	16	8	13	49	54	-5	56
10	Middlesbrough	38	16	6	16	53	52	+1	54
11	Cardiff	38	16	5	17	43	51	-8	53
12	Bristol City	39	14	8	17	43	45	-2	50
13	Sunderland	38	14	6	18	48	45	+3	48
14	Watford	38	12	12	14	53	51	+2	48
15	Swansea	38	12	10	16	48	58	-10	46
16	Millwall	39	11	11	17	37	51	-14	44
17	Blackburn	38	11	9	18	51	64	-13	42
18	Plymouth	38	10	11	17	54	62	-8	41
19	Stoke	38	11	8	19	35	53	-18	41
20	QPR	38	10	10	18	36	50	-14	40
21	Birmingham	38	10	9	19	42	59	-17	39
22	Huddersfield	38	8	15	15	42	61	-19	39
23	Sheffield Weds	38	11	5	22	30	61	-31	38
24	Rotherham	38	3	11	24	30	77	-47	20

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leeds	19	15	4	0	41	12	+29	49
2	Ipswich	19	14	4	1	53	29	+24	46
3	West Brom	19	13	3	3	31	14	+17	42
4	Norwich	19	13	2	4	37	18	+19	41
5	Leicester	18	13	1	4	35	13	+22	40
6	Southampton	18	12	2	4	45	24	+21	38
7	Coventry	18	8	8	2	29	17	+12	32
8	Sunderland	19	10	1	8	29	22	+7	31
9	Preston	19	9	4	6	28	31	-3	31
10	Bristol City	20	9	3	8	23	20	+3	30
11	Cardiff	19	9	3	7	23	22	+1	30
12	Hull	19	7	7	5	27	20	+7	28
13	Plymouth	19	8	4	7	38	33	+5	28
14	Birmingham	19	7	6	6	26	24	+2	27
15	Middlesbrough	19	7	4	8	20	21	-1	25
16	Sheffield Weds	19	7	4	8	20	23	-3	25
17	Blackburn	19	6	5	8	26	30	-4	23
18	Swansea	19	6	5	8	22	26	-4	23
19	Millwall	20	6	5	9	17	28	-11	23
20	Huddersfield	19	5	7	7	23	28	-5	22
21	Stoke	19	6	4	9	14	24	-10	22
22	Watford	19	5	6	8	29	26	+3	21
23	QPR	19	4	6	9	21	29	-8	18
24	Rotherham	19	3	7	9	17	24	-7	16

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leicester	20	13	3	4	39	21	+18	42
2	Ipswich	19	10	5	4	27	20	+7	35
3	Southampton	18	10	5	3	28	23	+5	35
4	Leeds	19	10	3	6	29	16	+13	33
5	Hull	18	9	3	6	26	26	0	30
6	Middlesbrough	19	9	2	8	33	31	+2	29
7	Watford	19	7	6	6	24	25	-1	27
8	West Brom	20	6	7	7	29	23	+6	25
9	Coventry	19	7	4	8	30	26	+4	25
10	Preston	18	7	4	7	21	23	-2	25
11	Swansea	19	6	5	8	26	32	-6	23
12	Cardiff	19	7	2	10	20	29	-9	23
13	QPR	19	6	4	9	15	21	-6	22
14	Millwall	19	5	6	8	20	23	-3	21
15	Norwich	19	5	5	9	32	36	-4	20
16	Bristol City	19	5	5	9	20	25	-5	20
17	Stoke	19	5	4	10	21	29	-8	19
18	Blackburn	19	5	4	10	25	34	-9	19
19	Sunderland	19	4	5	10	19	23	-4	17
20	Huddersfield	19	3	8	8	19	33	-14	17
21	Plymouth	19	2	7	10	16	29	-13	13
22	Sheffield Weds	19	4	1	14	10	38	-28	13
23	Birmingham	19	3	3	13	16	35	-19	12
24	Rotherham	19	0	4	15	13	53	-40	4

QPR Birmingham

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	17	Blackburn	38	12	26	1.3	1.7	11	9	18	51	64	42
2	3	Ipswich	38	13	25	2.1	1.3	24	9	5	80	49	81
3	6	Norwich	38	14	24	1.8	1.4	18	7	13	69	54	61
4	4	Southampton	36	13	23	2.0	1.3	22	7	7	73	47	73
5	15	Swansea	38	15	23	1.3	1.5	12	10	16	48	58	46
6	18	Plymouth	38	15	23	1.4	1.6	10	11	17	54	62	41
7	2	Leicester	38	16	22	1.9	0.9	26	4	8	74	34	82
8	9	Preston	37	15	22	1.3	1.5	16	8	13	49	54	56
9	7	Hull	37	16	21	1.4	1.2	16	10	11	53	46	58
10	8	Coventry	37	16	21	1.6	1.2	15	12	10	59	43	57
11	10	Middlesbrough	38	18	20	1.4	1.4	16	6	16	53	52	54
12	13	Sunderland	38	18	20	1.3	1.2	14	6	18	48	45	48
13	24	Rotherham	38	18	20	0.8	2.0	3	11	24	30	77	20
14	1	Leeds	38	19	19	1.8	0.7	25	7	6	70	28	82
15	14	Watford	38	19	19	1.4	1.3	12	12	14	53	51	48
16	11	Cardiff	38	20	18	1.1	1.3	16	5	17	43	51	53
17	21	Birmingham	38	20	18	1.1	1.6	10	9	19	42	59	39
18	22	Huddersfield	38	20	18	1.1	1.6	8	15	15	42	61	39
19	23	Sheffield Weds	38	20	18	0.8	1.6	11	5	22	30	61	38
20	5	West Brom	39	22	17	1.5	0.9	19	10	10	60	37	67
21	20	QPR	38	21	17	0.9	1.3	10	10	18	36	50	40
22	19	Stoke	38	22	16	0.9	1.4	11	8	19	35	53	41
23	12	Bristol City	39	24	15	1.1	1.2	14	8	17	43	45	50
24	16	Millwall	39	24	15	0.9	1.3	11	11	17	37	51	44

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	3	Ipswich	19	3	16	2.8	1.5	14	4	1	53	29	46
2	4	Southampton	18	4	14	2.5	1.3	12	2	4	45	24	38
3	9	Preston	19	5	14	1.5	1.6	9	4	6	28	31	31
4	18	Plymouth	19	5	14	2.0	1.7	8	4	7	38	33	28
5	1	Leeds	19	7	12	2.2	0.6	15	4	0	41	12	49
6	13	Sunderland	19	7	12	1.5	1.2	10	1	8	29	22	31
7	17	Blackburn	19	7	12	1.4	1.6	6	5	8	26	30	23
8	14	Watford	19	8	11	1.5	1.4	5	6	8	29	26	21
9	15	Swansea	19	8	11	1.2	1.4	6	5	8	22	26	23
10	2	Leicester	18	8	10	1.9	0.7	13	1	4	35	13	40
11	6	Norwich	19	9	10	1.9	0.9	13	2	4	37	18	41
12	20	QPR	19	9	10	1.1	1.5	4	6	9	21	29	18
13	21	Birmingham	19	9	10	1.4	1.3	7	6	6	26	24	27
14	22	Huddersfield	19	9	10	1.2	1.5	5	7	7	23	28	22
15	23	Sheffield Weds	19	10	9	1.1	1.2	7	4	8	20	23	25
16	7	Hull	19	11	8	1.4	1.1	7	7	5	27	20	28
17	8	Coventry	18	10	8	1.6	0.9	8	8	2	29	17	32
18	11	Cardiff	19	11	8	1.2	1.2	9	3	7	23	22	30
19	16	Millwall	20	12	8	0.8	1.4	6	5	9	17	28	23
20	5	West Brom	19	12	7	1.6	0.7	13	3	3	31	14	42
21	19	Stoke	19	12	7	0.7	1.3	6	4	9	14	24	22
22	24	Rotherham	19	12	7	0.9	1.3	3	7	9	17	24	16
23	10	Middlesbrough	19	13	6	1.1	1.1	7	4	8	20	21	25
24	12	Bristol City	20	14	6	1.1	1.0	9	3	8	23	20	30

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	6	Norwich	19	5	14	1.7	1.9	5	5	9	32	36	20
2	10	Middlesbrough	19	5	14	1.7	1.6	9	2	8	33	31	29
3	17	Blackburn	19	5	14	1.3	1.8	5	4	10	25	34	19
4	7	Hull	18	5	13	1.4	1.4	9	3	6	26	26	30
5	8	Coventry	19	6	13	1.6	1.4	7	4	8	30	26	25
6	24	Rotherham	19	6	13	0.7	2.8	0	4	15	13	53	4
7	2	Leicester	20	8	12	1.9	1.1	13	3	4	39	21	42
8	15	Swansea	19	7	12	1.4	1.7	6	5	8	26	32	23
9	5	West Brom	20	10	10	1.4	1.1	6	7	7	29	23	25
10	11	Cardiff	19	9	10	1.1	1.5	7	2	10	20	29	23
11	3	Ipswich	19	10	9	1.4	1.1	10	5	4	27	20	35
12	4	Southampton	18	9	9	1.6	1.3	10	5	3	28	23	35
13	12	Bristol City	19	10	9	1.1	1.3	5	5	9	20	25	20
14	18	Plymouth	19	10	9	0.8	1.5	2	7	10	16	29	13
15	19	Stoke	19	10	9	1.1	1.5	5	4	10	21	29	19
16	23	Sheffield Weds	19	10	9	0.5	2.0	4	1	14	10	38	13
17	9	Preston	18	10	8	1.2	1.3	7	4	7	21	23	25
18	13	Sunderland	19	11	8	1.0	1.2	4	5	10	19	23	17
19	14	Watford	19	11	8	1.3	1.3	7	6	6	24	25	27
20	21	Birmingham	19	11	8	0.8	1.8	3	3	13	16	35	12
21	22	Huddersfield	19	11	8	1.0	1.7	3	8	8	19	33	17
22	1	Leeds	19	12	7	1.5	0.8	10	3	6	29	16	33
23	16	Millwall	19	12	7	1.1	1.2	5	6	8	20	23	21
24	20	QPR	19	12	7	0.8	1.1	6	4	9	15	21	22

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.