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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: A Backhouse

Birmingham 4–1 Norwich

Full time · half time 3–1 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.62 fair 2.05
Draw 3.70 fair 3.97
Away 5.00 fair 3.83
Under 2.5 1.95 fair 1.97
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.90 fair 2.03

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Birmingham Norwich
16 Shots 15
6 Shots on target 7
3 Corners 8
10 Fouls 8
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (183 league matches this season so far).
Result Birmingham to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.91
Expected goals 1.57 – 1.08
Home / Draw / Away
BirminghamDrawNorwich
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12% 1–0 11.1% 2–1 9.4%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Birmingham before this match, all matches
1.40points / match
1.33scored / match
1.13conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 20:17
Norwich before this match, all matches
0.60points / match
0.93scored / match
1.53conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 14:23
Birmingham all matches all matches Norwich

Per match

1.33 Goals scored 0.93
1.13 Goals conceded 1.53
2.47 Total goals 2.47
13.60 Shots 11.87
3.53 Shots on target 3.47
8.27 Shots faced 14.60
5.33 Corners 4.87
3.67 Corners against 5.93
11.33 Fouls 9.60
2.00 Yellow cards 1.87
0.53 1st-half goals scored 0.53
0.67 1st-half goals conceded 0.47

How often Full Time

40% Wins 13%
20% Draws 20%
40% Losses 67%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
67% Over 1.5 goals 80%
47% Over 2.5 goals 47%
27% Over 3.5 goals 13%
7% Over 4.5 goals 7%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
40% Both teams scored 67%
33% Clean sheets 7%
27% Failed to score 27%

How often Half Time

27% Wins 33%
27% Draws 40%
47% Losses 27%
80% Over 0.5 goals 67%
27% Over 1.5 goals 27%
13% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Birmingham all matches
Norwich all matches
Birmingham before this match, at home
2.00points / match
2.14scored / match
0.86conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 15:6
Norwich before this match, away
1.13points / match
1.13scored / match
1.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 9:10
Birmingham at home away Norwich

Per match

2.14 Goals scored 1.13
0.86 Goals conceded 1.25
3.00 Total goals 2.38
18.57 Shots 10.63
5.29 Shots on target 3.25
7.14 Shots faced 16.63
6.00 Corners 5.13
3.71 Corners against 7.38
11.00 Fouls 9.75
1.86 Yellow cards 2.63
0.86 1st-half goals scored 0.88
0.43 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

57% Wins 25%
29% Draws 38%
14% Losses 38%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
71% Over 1.5 goals 88%
57% Over 2.5 goals 38%
57% Over 3.5 goals 13%
14% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
43% Both teams scored 75%
57% Clean sheets 13%
0% Failed to score 13%

How often Half Time

43% Wins 50%
43% Draws 25%
14% Losses 25%
71% Over 0.5 goals 88%
43% Over 1.5 goals 38%
14% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Birmingham at home
Norwich away

Last 10 matches before this match

Birmingham all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.11.25 Middlesbrough – Birmingham 2–1 (2–1) 2.553.252.65 2.30 1.62
04.11.25 Birmingham – Millwall 4–0 (2–0) 1.813.404.20 2.20 1.67
01.11.25 Birmingham – Portsmouth 4–0 (1–0) 1.763.604.50 2.10 1.73
25.10.25 Bristol City – Birmingham 1–0 (1–0) 2.153.303.30 2.10 1.73
21.10.25 Preston – Birmingham 0–1 (0–1) 2.823.052.45 2.20 1.67
18.10.25 Birmingham – Hull 2–3 (1–2) 1.713.754.50 2.03 1.83
03.10.25 Wrexham – Birmingham 1–1 (1–0) 3.103.102.40 2.38 1.57
30.09.25 Birmingham – Sheffield Weds 2–2 (1–1) 1.454.007.50 1.93 1.93
27.09.25 Coventry – Birmingham 3–0 (1–0) 1.963.503.60 1.98 1.88
20.09.25 Birmingham – Swansea 1–0 (0–0) 1.813.304.50 2.38 1.57

Norwich all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.11.25 Norwich – Leicester 1–2 (0–0) 2.953.402.20 1.83 2.03
05.11.25 Sheffield Weds – Norwich 1–1 (1–0) 3.303.502.05 1.90 1.95
01.11.25 Norwich – Hull 0–2 (0–0) 2.053.803.05 1.73 2.10
25.10.25 Swansea – Norwich 2–1 (1–1) 2.203.253.20 1.93 1.93
21.10.25 Derby – Norwich 1–0 (0–0) 2.503.052.82 2.20 1.67
18.10.25 Norwich – Bristol City 0–1 (0–0) 2.503.402.57 1.83 2.03
05.10.25 Ipswich – Norwich 3–1 (2–1) 1.533.905.75 1.73 2.10
01.10.25 Norwich – West Brom 0–1 (0–1) 2.703.402.50 2.00 1.85
27.09.25 Stoke – Norwich 1–1 (0–1) 1.963.603.50 1.93 1.93
20.09.25 Norwich – Wrexham 2–3 (1–0) 1.713.804.33 1.73 2.10

Birmingham at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.11.25 Birmingham – Millwall 4–0 (2–0) 1.813.404.20 2.20 1.67
01.11.25 Birmingham – Portsmouth 4–0 (1–0) 1.763.604.50 2.10 1.73
18.10.25 Birmingham – Hull 2–3 (1–2) 1.713.754.50 2.03 1.83
30.09.25 Birmingham – Sheffield Weds 2–2 (1–1) 1.454.007.50 1.93 1.93
20.09.25 Birmingham – Swansea 1–0 (0–0) 1.813.304.50 2.38 1.57
23.08.25 Birmingham – Oxford 1–0 (1–0) 1.454.506.50 1.93 1.93
08.08.25 Birmingham – Ipswich 1–1 (0–0) 2.403.302.90 2.10 1.73
27.04.25E2 Birmingham – Mansfield 4–0 (2–0) 1.504.105.75 1.73 2.08
18.04.25E2 Birmingham – Crawley Town 0–0 (0–0) 1.334.759.50 1.53 2.40
05.04.25E2 Birmingham – Barnsley 6–2 (1–1) 1.335.007.50 1.60 2.30

Norwich away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.11.25 Sheffield Weds – Norwich 1–1 (1–0) 3.303.502.05 1.90 1.95
25.10.25 Swansea – Norwich 2–1 (1–1) 2.203.253.20 1.93 1.93
21.10.25 Derby – Norwich 1–0 (0–0) 2.503.052.82 2.20 1.67
05.10.25 Ipswich – Norwich 3–1 (2–1) 1.533.905.75 1.73 2.10
27.09.25 Stoke – Norwich 1–1 (0–1) 1.963.603.50 1.93 1.93
13.09.25 Coventry – Norwich 1–1 (0–1) 1.683.904.33 1.67 2.20
30.08.25 Blackburn – Norwich 0–2 (0–1) 2.253.403.00 2.10 1.73
16.08.25 Portsmouth – Norwich 1–2 (0–2) 2.453.402.75 1.98 1.88
26.04.25 Middlesbrough – Norwich 0–0 (0–0) 1.554.335.25 1.53 2.50
21.04.25 Millwall – Norwich 3–1 (2–1) 2.203.403.20 2.20 1.67

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Birmingham winsDrawsNorwich wins
4matches
2.50goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.05.24E1 Birmingham – Norwich 1–0 (0–0) 2.383.752.80 1.73 2.10
30.09.23E1 Norwich – Birmingham 2–0 (0–0) 1.913.504.00 1.93 1.93
21.02.23E1 Norwich – Birmingham 3–1 (2–0) 1.654.005.25 2.00 1.85
30.08.22E1 Birmingham – Norwich 1–2 (0–0) 4.503.501.83 2.00 1.85

England Championship table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 16 11 4 1 43 15 +28 37
2 Middlesbrough 15 8 5 2 19 13 +6 29
3 Stoke 15 8 3 4 21 10 +11 27
4 Bristol City 16 7 5 4 25 18 +7 26
5 Preston 16 7 5 4 21 16 +5 26
6 Hull 15 7 4 4 26 24 +2 25
7 Millwall 15 7 4 4 17 20 -3 25
8 Ipswich 14 6 5 3 26 16 +10 23
9 Derby 15 6 5 4 20 19 +1 23
10 Charlton 16 6 5 5 17 17 0 23
11 Birmingham 15 6 3 6 20 17 +3 21
12 Leicester 15 5 6 4 18 16 +2 21
13 Southampton 16 5 6 5 23 22 +1 21
14 Wrexham 15 5 6 4 20 19 +1 21
15 West Brom 16 6 3 7 16 19 -3 21
16 Watford 15 5 5 5 19 18 +1 20
17 Blackburn 15 6 1 8 16 20 -4 19
18 QPR 15 5 4 6 17 23 -6 19
19 Swansea 16 4 5 7 15 22 -7 17
20 Portsmouth 15 3 5 7 12 20 -8 14
21 Oxford 15 3 4 8 16 22 -6 13
22 Sheffield United 15 3 1 11 11 26 -15 10
23 Norwich 15 2 3 10 14 23 -9 9
24 Sheffield Weds 15 1 5 9 12 29 -17 8
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 8 6 2 0 22 6 +16 20
2 Watford 8 5 2 1 14 8 +6 17
3 Middlesbrough 7 5 2 0 9 4 +5 17
4 Preston 9 5 2 2 13 9 +4 17
5 Hull 8 5 2 1 15 12 +3 17
6 Ipswich 8 4 3 1 15 9 +6 15
7 Birmingham 7 4 2 1 15 6 +9 14
8 Bristol City 9 4 2 3 14 10 +4 14
9 Charlton 8 4 2 2 10 9 +1 14
10 Stoke 7 4 1 2 11 5 +6 13
11 Millwall 8 4 1 3 8 10 -2 13
12 West Brom 7 3 3 1 7 5 +2 12
13 Wrexham 8 3 3 2 12 12 0 12
14 Derby 8 3 3 2 10 10 0 12
15 Leicester 7 2 4 1 7 6 +1 10
16 Southampton 7 2 3 2 7 7 0 9
17 Swansea 8 2 3 3 9 13 -4 9
18 QPR 7 2 2 3 8 10 -2 8
19 Portsmouth 8 2 2 4 6 9 -3 8
20 Oxford 7 1 3 3 7 11 -4 6
21 Blackburn 7 1 1 5 7 13 -6 4
22 Sheffield United 7 1 1 5 4 11 -7 4
23 Sheffield Weds 8 0 2 6 3 18 -15 2
24 Norwich 7 0 0 7 5 13 -8 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 8 5 2 1 21 9 +12 17
2 Blackburn 8 5 0 3 9 7 +2 15
3 Stoke 8 4 2 2 10 5 +5 14
4 Bristol City 7 3 3 1 11 8 +3 12
5 Southampton 9 3 3 3 16 15 +1 12
6 Middlesbrough 8 3 3 2 10 9 +1 12
7 Millwall 7 3 3 1 9 10 -1 12
8 Leicester 8 3 2 3 11 10 +1 11
9 Derby 7 3 2 2 10 9 +1 11
10 QPR 8 3 2 3 9 13 -4 11
11 Preston 7 2 3 2 8 7 +1 9
12 Wrexham 7 2 3 2 8 7 +1 9
13 Norwich 8 2 3 3 9 10 -1 9
14 Charlton 8 2 3 3 7 8 -1 9
15 West Brom 9 3 0 6 9 14 -5 9
16 Ipswich 6 2 2 2 11 7 +4 8
17 Hull 7 2 2 3 11 12 -1 8
18 Swansea 8 2 2 4 6 9 -3 8
19 Oxford 8 2 1 5 9 11 -2 7
20 Birmingham 8 2 1 5 5 11 -6 7
21 Sheffield Weds 7 1 3 3 9 11 -2 6
22 Portsmouth 7 1 3 3 6 11 -5 6
23 Sheffield United 8 2 0 6 7 15 -8 6
24 Watford 7 0 3 4 5 10 -5 3

Birmingham   Norwich

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Coventry 16 5 11 2.7 0.9 11 4 1 43 15 37
2 6 Hull 15 4 11 1.7 1.6 7 4 4 26 24 25
3 13 Southampton 16 6 10 1.4 1.4 5 6 5 23 22 21
4 21 Oxford 15 6 9 1.1 1.5 3 4 8 16 22 13
5 24 Sheffield Weds 15 6 9 0.8 1.9 1 5 9 12 29 8
6 4 Bristol City 16 8 8 1.6 1.1 7 5 4 25 18 26
7 8 Ipswich 14 6 8 1.9 1.1 6 5 3 26 16 23
8 16 Watford 15 7 8 1.3 1.2 5 5 5 19 18 20
9 17 Blackburn 15 7 8 1.1 1.3 6 1 8 16 20 19
10 18 QPR 15 7 8 1.1 1.5 5 4 6 17 23 19
11 2 Middlesbrough 15 8 7 1.3 0.9 8 5 2 19 13 29
12 5 Preston 16 9 7 1.3 1.0 7 5 4 21 16 26
13 7 Millwall 15 8 7 1.1 1.3 7 4 4 17 20 25
14 11 Birmingham 15 8 7 1.3 1.1 6 3 6 20 17 21
15 15 West Brom 16 9 7 1.0 1.2 6 3 7 16 19 21
16 19 Swansea 16 9 7 0.9 1.4 4 5 7 15 22 17
17 22 Sheffield United 15 8 7 0.7 1.7 3 1 11 11 26 10
18 23 Norwich 15 8 7 0.9 1.5 2 3 10 14 23 9
19 9 Derby 15 9 6 1.3 1.3 6 5 4 20 19 23
20 12 Leicester 15 9 6 1.2 1.1 5 6 4 18 16 21
21 14 Wrexham 15 9 6 1.3 1.3 5 6 4 20 19 21
22 20 Portsmouth 15 9 6 0.8 1.3 3 5 7 12 20 14
23 3 Stoke 15 10 5 1.4 0.7 8 3 4 21 10 27
24 10 Charlton 16 11 5 1.1 1.1 6 5 5 17 17 23
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Hull 8 2 6 1.9 1.5 5 2 1 15 12 17
2 16 Watford 8 2 6 1.8 1.0 5 2 1 14 8 17
3 1 Coventry 8 3 5 2.8 0.8 6 2 0 22 6 20
4 4 Bristol City 9 4 5 1.6 1.1 4 2 3 14 10 14
5 5 Preston 9 4 5 1.4 1.0 5 2 2 13 9 17
6 8 Ipswich 8 3 5 1.9 1.1 4 3 1 15 9 15
7 17 Blackburn 7 2 5 1.0 1.9 1 1 5 7 13 4
8 11 Birmingham 7 3 4 2.1 0.9 4 2 1 15 6 14
9 14 Wrexham 8 4 4 1.5 1.5 3 3 2 12 12 12
10 18 QPR 7 3 4 1.1 1.4 2 2 3 8 10 8
11 19 Swansea 8 4 4 1.1 1.6 2 3 3 9 13 9
12 21 Oxford 7 3 4 1.0 1.6 1 3 3 7 11 6
13 23 Norwich 7 3 4 0.7 1.9 0 0 7 5 13 0
14 24 Sheffield Weds 8 4 4 0.4 2.2 0 2 6 3 18 2
15 2 Middlesbrough 7 4 3 1.3 0.6 5 2 0 9 4 17
16 7 Millwall 8 5 3 1.0 1.2 4 1 3 8 10 13
17 10 Charlton 8 5 3 1.2 1.1 4 2 2 10 9 14
18 13 Southampton 7 4 3 1.0 1.0 2 3 2 7 7 9
19 20 Portsmouth 8 5 3 0.8 1.1 2 2 4 6 9 8
20 22 Sheffield United 7 4 3 0.6 1.6 1 1 5 4 11 4
21 3 Stoke 7 5 2 1.6 0.7 4 1 2 11 5 13
22 9 Derby 8 6 2 1.2 1.2 3 3 2 10 10 12
23 15 West Brom 7 5 2 1.0 0.7 3 3 1 7 5 12
24 12 Leicester 7 6 1 1.0 0.9 2 4 1 7 6 10
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 13 Southampton 9 2 7 1.8 1.7 3 3 3 16 15 12
2 1 Coventry 8 2 6 2.6 1.1 5 2 1 21 9 17
3 6 Hull 7 2 5 1.6 1.7 2 2 3 11 12 8
4 12 Leicester 8 3 5 1.4 1.2 3 2 3 11 10 11
5 15 West Brom 9 4 5 1.0 1.6 3 0 6 9 14 9
6 21 Oxford 8 3 5 1.1 1.4 2 1 5 9 11 7
7 24 Sheffield Weds 7 2 5 1.3 1.6 1 3 3 9 11 6
8 2 Middlesbrough 8 4 4 1.2 1.1 3 3 2 10 9 12
9 7 Millwall 7 3 4 1.3 1.4 3 3 1 9 10 12
10 9 Derby 7 3 4 1.4 1.3 3 2 2 10 9 11
11 18 QPR 8 4 4 1.1 1.6 3 2 3 9 13 11
12 22 Sheffield United 8 4 4 0.9 1.9 2 0 6 7 15 6
13 3 Stoke 8 5 3 1.2 0.6 4 2 2 10 5 14
14 4 Bristol City 7 4 3 1.6 1.1 3 3 1 11 8 12
15 8 Ipswich 6 3 3 1.8 1.2 2 2 2 11 7 8
16 11 Birmingham 8 5 3 0.6 1.4 2 1 5 5 11 7
17 17 Blackburn 8 5 3 1.1 0.9 5 0 3 9 7 15
18 19 Swansea 8 5 3 0.8 1.1 2 2 4 6 9 8
19 20 Portsmouth 7 4 3 0.9 1.6 1 3 3 6 11 6
20 23 Norwich 8 5 3 1.1 1.2 2 3 3 9 10 9
21 5 Preston 7 5 2 1.1 1.0 2 3 2 8 7 9
22 10 Charlton 8 6 2 0.9 1.0 2 3 3 7 8 9
23 14 Wrexham 7 5 2 1.1 1.0 2 3 2 8 7 9
24 16 Watford 7 5 2 0.7 1.4 0 3 4 5 10 3

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40