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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: G Eltringham

Watford 1–1 Southampton

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2023/2024

Home 3.25 fair 2.13
Draw ✓ 3.40 fair 4.19
Away 2.20 fair 3.43
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.88 fair 2.33
Over 2.5 1.98 fair 1.75

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Watford Southampton
11 Shots 6
4 Shots on target 3
7 Corners 3
10 Fouls 16
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (231 league matches this season so far).
Result Watford to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.70
Expected goals 1.69 – 1.28
Home / Draw / Away
WatfordDrawSouthampton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.1% 2–1 9.4% 1–0 8.6%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Watford before this match, all matches
1.42points / match
1.47scored / match
1.21conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 28:23
Southampton before this match, all matches
1.95points / match
1.63scored / match
1.42conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 31:27
Watford all matches all matches Southampton

Per match

1.47 Goals scored 1.63
1.21 Goals conceded 1.42
2.68 Total goals 3.05
13.74 Shots 15.63
4.42 Shots on target 5.68
11.11 Shots faced 11.84
5.05 Corners 7.32
4.26 Corners against 4.74
13.16 Fouls 9.79
2.26 Yellow cards 2.47
0.74 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.58 1st-half goals conceded 0.68

How often Full Time

37% Wins 58%
32% Draws 21%
32% Losses 21%
89% Over 0.5 goals 100%
68% Over 1.5 goals 79%
47% Over 2.5 goals 63%
37% Over 3.5 goals 32%
21% Over 4.5 goals 16%
5% Over 5.5 goals 5%
37% Both teams scored 68%
37% Clean sheets 21%
37% Failed to score 11%

How often Half Time

11% Wins 47%
74% Draws 32%
16% Losses 21%
53% Over 0.5 goals 84%
42% Over 1.5 goals 47%
21% Over 2.5 goals 21%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Watford all matches
Southampton all matches
Watford before this match, at home
1.80points / match
2.10scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 21:10
Southampton before this match, away
1.89points / match
1.33scored / match
1.44conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 12:13
Watford at home away Southampton

Per match

2.10 Goals scored 1.33
1.00 Goals conceded 1.44
3.10 Total goals 2.78
17.40 Shots 15.78
5.70 Shots on target 5.44
8.80 Shots faced 12.44
7.30 Corners 7.44
2.90 Corners against 5.22
12.00 Fouls 10.22
1.70 Yellow cards 2.11
1.20 1st-half goals scored 0.67
0.70 1st-half goals conceded 0.56

How often Full Time

50% Wins 56%
30% Draws 22%
20% Losses 22%
90% Over 0.5 goals 100%
70% Over 1.5 goals 78%
60% Over 2.5 goals 67%
60% Over 3.5 goals 22%
30% Over 4.5 goals 11%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
40% Both teams scored 67%
50% Clean sheets 22%
20% Failed to score 11%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 44%
70% Draws 44%
10% Losses 11%
60% Over 0.5 goals 78%
60% Over 1.5 goals 33%
40% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Watford at home
Southampton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Watford all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.12.23 Hull – Watford 1–2 (1–1) 2.103.603.30 2.08 1.73
28.11.23 Watford – Norwich 3–2 (2–2) 2.153.503.30 1.88 1.98
25.11.23 Leicester – Watford 2–0 (0–0) 1.574.205.50 1.93 1.93
11.11.23 Watford – Rotherham 5–0 (2–0) 1.454.207.50 1.98 1.88
04.11.23 Huddersfield – Watford 0–0 (0–0) 3.103.402.30 2.08 1.73
28.10.23 Watford – Millwall 2–2 (1–1) 2.003.304.00 2.20 1.65
24.10.23 Swansea – Watford 0–1 (0–0) 2.303.303.10 2.05 1.75
21.10.23 Watford – Sheffield Weds 1–0 (0–0) 1.673.605.25 2.05 1.75
07.10.23 Cardiff – Watford 1–1 (1–0) 2.453.302.90 2.05 1.75
04.10.23 Sunderland – Watford 2–0 (1–0) 1.953.404.00 1.80 2.00

Southampton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.12.23 Southampton – Cardiff 2–0 (2–0) 1.624.005.25 1.80 2.00
29.11.23 Southampton – Bristol City 1–0 (0–0) 1.574.505.25 1.73 2.08
25.11.23 Huddersfield – Southampton 1–1 (0–1) 4.753.801.70 1.83 2.03
11.11.23 Southampton – West Brom 2–1 (1–0) 1.913.604.00 1.90 1.95
04.11.23 Millwall – Southampton 0–1 (0–0) 3.603.502.05 1.85 2.00
28.10.23 Southampton – Birmingham 3–1 (2–0) 1.604.005.50 1.80 2.00
25.10.23 Preston – Southampton 2–2 (0–1) 3.503.402.10 1.75 2.05
21.10.23 Hull – Southampton 1–2 (1–1) 2.903.402.38 1.73 2.08
07.10.23 Southampton – Rotherham 1–1 (1–0) 1.335.508.50 1.60 2.30
03.10.23 Stoke – Southampton 0–1 (0–1) 2.703.402.60 1.80 2.00

Watford at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.11.23 Watford – Norwich 3–2 (2–2) 2.153.503.30 1.88 1.98
11.11.23 Watford – Rotherham 5–0 (2–0) 1.454.207.50 1.98 1.88
28.10.23 Watford – Millwall 2–2 (1–1) 2.003.304.00 2.20 1.65
21.10.23 Watford – Sheffield Weds 1–0 (0–0) 1.673.605.25 2.05 1.75
30.09.23 Watford – Middlesbrough 2–3 (1–2) 2.453.402.90 1.93 1.93
20.09.23 Watford – West Brom 2–2 (2–2) 2.203.253.40 2.00 1.85
16.09.23 Watford – Birmingham 2–0 (0–0) 1.953.304.00 2.10 1.73
27.08.23 Watford – Blackburn 0–1 (0–0) 2.003.503.75 1.90 1.95
12.08.23 Watford – Plymouth 0–0 (0–0) 1.703.755.00 1.83 2.03
05.08.23 Watford – QPR 4–0 (4–0) 1.853.604.20 2.00 1.85

Southampton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.11.23 Huddersfield – Southampton 1–1 (0–1) 4.753.801.70 1.83 2.03
04.11.23 Millwall – Southampton 0–1 (0–0) 3.603.502.05 1.85 2.00
25.10.23 Preston – Southampton 2–2 (0–1) 3.503.402.10 1.75 2.05
21.10.23 Hull – Southampton 1–2 (1–1) 2.903.402.38 1.73 2.08
03.10.23 Stoke – Southampton 0–1 (0–1) 2.703.402.60 1.80 2.00
23.09.23 Middlesbrough – Southampton 2–1 (1–1) 2.503.402.80 1.73 2.10
02.09.23 Sunderland – Southampton 5–0 (3–0) 2.803.602.40 1.80 2.00
19.08.23 Plymouth – Southampton 1–2 (0–0) 3.803.751.91 1.73 2.10
04.08.23 Sheffield Weds – Southampton 1–2 (0–1) 3.103.402.30 2.00 1.85
21.05.23E0 Brighton – Southampton 3–1 (2–0) 1.227.0011.00 1.40 3.00

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Watford winsDrawsSouthampton wins
2matches
2.00goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.03.22E0 Southampton – Watford 1–2 (1–2) 1.604.205.25 1.80 2.00
30.10.21E0 Watford – Southampton 0–1 (0–1) 3.203.302.30 1.90 1.90

England Championship table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 19 15 1 3 34 12 +22 46
2 Ipswich 19 14 3 2 41 25 +16 45
3 Leeds 20 12 5 3 36 20 +16 41
4 Southampton 19 11 4 4 31 27 +4 37
5 West Brom 20 9 5 6 31 21 +10 32
6 Sunderland 20 9 3 8 31 23 +8 30
7 Hull 19 8 6 5 29 24 +5 30
8 Blackburn 20 9 1 10 32 33 -1 28
9 Preston 19 8 4 7 24 32 -8 28
10 Watford 19 7 6 6 28 23 +5 27
11 Cardiff 19 8 3 8 27 23 +4 27
12 Middlesbrough 19 8 3 8 31 29 +2 27
13 Norwich 19 8 2 9 34 36 -2 26
14 Coventry 20 6 7 7 26 23 +3 25
15 Bristol City 19 7 4 8 20 21 -1 25
16 Birmingham 20 6 5 9 23 29 -6 23
17 Plymouth 19 6 4 9 31 29 +2 22
18 Swansea 19 5 6 8 26 27 -1 21
19 Millwall 19 5 6 8 21 26 -5 21
20 Stoke 19 6 3 10 19 27 -8 21
21 Huddersfield 19 4 8 7 18 31 -13 20
22 QPR 19 4 4 11 17 30 -13 16
23 Rotherham 19 2 7 10 17 37 -20 13
24 Sheffield Weds 19 2 4 13 12 31 -19 10
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Ipswich 10 9 0 1 30 17 +13 27
2 Leeds 10 7 3 0 21 9 +12 24
3 Leicester 9 7 0 2 13 4 +9 21
4 West Brom 10 6 2 2 17 9 +8 20
5 Southampton 10 6 2 2 19 14 +5 20
6 Plymouth 10 6 1 3 24 14 +10 19
7 Birmingham 10 5 4 1 15 9 +6 19
8 Watford 10 5 3 2 21 10 +11 18
9 Sunderland 10 6 0 4 19 13 +6 18
10 Coventry 10 4 5 1 12 7 +5 17
11 Preston 10 5 2 3 15 17 -2 17
12 Cardiff 9 5 1 3 15 10 +5 16
13 Hull 10 4 4 2 15 10 +5 16
14 Middlesbrough 9 5 1 3 11 7 +4 16
15 Norwich 9 5 0 4 13 12 +1 15
16 Bristol City 10 4 2 4 13 12 +1 14
17 Stoke 9 4 1 4 9 11 -2 13
18 Blackburn 10 4 0 6 13 18 -5 12
19 Rotherham 9 2 5 2 13 12 +1 11
20 Swansea 10 2 5 3 12 12 0 11
21 Huddersfield 9 2 4 3 8 14 -6 10
22 Sheffield Weds 10 2 3 5 8 14 -6 9
23 Millwall 10 2 2 6 8 16 -8 8
24 QPR 8 1 2 5 8 16 -8 5
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 10 8 1 1 21 8 +13 25
2 Ipswich 9 5 3 1 11 8 +3 18
3 Leeds 10 5 2 3 15 11 +4 17
4 Southampton 9 5 2 2 12 13 -1 17
5 Blackburn 10 5 1 4 19 15 +4 16
6 Hull 9 4 2 3 14 14 0 14
7 Millwall 9 3 4 2 13 10 +3 13
8 West Brom 10 3 3 4 14 12 +2 12
9 Sunderland 10 3 3 4 12 10 +2 12
10 Cardiff 10 3 2 5 12 13 -1 11
11 Middlesbrough 10 3 2 5 20 22 -2 11
12 Bristol City 9 3 2 4 7 9 -2 11
13 Norwich 10 3 2 5 21 24 -3 11
14 QPR 11 3 2 6 9 14 -5 11
15 Preston 9 3 2 4 9 15 -6 11
16 Swansea 9 3 1 5 14 15 -1 10
17 Huddersfield 10 2 4 4 10 17 -7 10
18 Watford 9 2 3 4 7 13 -6 9
19 Coventry 10 2 2 6 14 16 -2 8
20 Stoke 10 2 2 6 10 16 -6 8
21 Birmingham 10 1 1 8 8 20 -12 4
22 Plymouth 9 0 3 6 7 15 -8 3
23 Rotherham 10 0 2 8 4 25 -21 2
24 Sheffield Weds 9 0 1 8 4 17 -13 1

Watford   Southampton

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Blackburn 20 5 15 1.6 1.6 9 1 10 32 33 28
2 13 Norwich 19 5 14 1.8 1.9 8 2 9 34 36 26
3 6 Sunderland 20 7 13 1.6 1.1 9 3 8 31 23 30
4 17 Plymouth 19 6 13 1.6 1.5 6 4 9 31 29 22
5 2 Ipswich 19 7 12 2.2 1.3 14 3 2 41 25 45
6 4 Southampton 19 7 12 1.6 1.4 11 4 4 31 27 37
7 9 Preston 19 7 12 1.3 1.7 8 4 7 24 32 28
8 3 Leeds 20 9 11 1.8 1.0 12 5 3 36 20 41
9 5 West Brom 20 9 11 1.6 1.1 9 5 6 31 21 32
10 7 Hull 19 8 11 1.5 1.3 8 6 5 29 24 30
11 12 Middlesbrough 19 8 11 1.6 1.5 8 3 8 31 29 27
12 18 Swansea 19 8 11 1.4 1.4 5 6 8 26 27 21
13 19 Millwall 19 9 10 1.1 1.4 5 6 8 21 26 21
14 23 Rotherham 19 9 10 0.9 1.9 2 7 10 17 37 13
15 1 Leicester 19 10 9 1.8 0.6 15 1 3 34 12 46
16 10 Watford 19 10 9 1.5 1.2 7 6 6 28 23 27
17 11 Cardiff 19 10 9 1.4 1.2 8 3 8 27 23 27
18 16 Birmingham 20 11 9 1.1 1.4 6 5 9 23 29 23
19 21 Huddersfield 19 10 9 0.9 1.6 4 8 7 18 31 20
20 22 QPR 19 10 9 0.9 1.6 4 4 11 17 30 16
21 24 Sheffield Weds 19 10 9 0.6 1.6 2 4 13 12 31 10
22 14 Coventry 20 12 8 1.3 1.1 6 7 7 26 23 25
23 20 Stoke 19 11 8 1.0 1.4 6 3 10 19 27 21
24 15 Bristol City 19 12 7 1.1 1.1 7 4 8 20 21 25
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Ipswich 10 1 9 3.0 1.7 9 0 1 30 17 27
2 6 Sunderland 10 2 8 1.9 1.3 6 0 4 19 13 18
3 9 Preston 10 2 8 1.5 1.7 5 2 3 15 17 17
4 17 Plymouth 10 2 8 2.4 1.4 6 1 3 24 14 19
5 3 Leeds 10 3 7 2.1 0.9 7 3 0 21 9 24
6 8 Blackburn 10 3 7 1.3 1.8 4 0 6 13 18 12
7 4 Southampton 10 4 6 1.9 1.4 6 2 2 19 14 20
8 10 Watford 10 4 6 2.1 1.0 5 3 2 21 10 18
9 19 Millwall 10 4 6 0.8 1.6 2 2 6 8 16 8
10 5 West Brom 10 5 5 1.7 0.9 6 2 2 17 9 20
11 13 Norwich 9 4 5 1.4 1.3 5 0 4 13 12 15
12 16 Birmingham 10 5 5 1.5 0.9 5 4 1 15 9 19
13 18 Swansea 10 5 5 1.2 1.2 2 5 3 12 12 11
14 22 QPR 8 3 5 1.0 2.0 1 2 5 8 16 5
15 23 Rotherham 9 4 5 1.4 1.3 2 5 2 13 12 11
16 7 Hull 10 6 4 1.5 1.0 4 4 2 15 10 16
17 11 Cardiff 9 5 4 1.7 1.1 5 1 3 15 10 16
18 15 Bristol City 10 6 4 1.3 1.2 4 2 4 13 12 14
19 20 Stoke 9 5 4 1.0 1.2 4 1 4 9 11 13
20 21 Huddersfield 9 5 4 0.9 1.6 2 4 3 8 14 10
21 24 Sheffield Weds 10 6 4 0.8 1.4 2 3 5 8 14 9
22 1 Leicester 9 6 3 1.4 0.4 7 0 2 13 4 21
23 12 Middlesbrough 9 7 2 1.2 0.8 5 1 3 11 7 16
24 14 Coventry 10 8 2 1.2 0.7 4 5 1 12 7 17
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 12 Middlesbrough 10 1 9 2.0 2.2 3 2 5 20 22 11
2 13 Norwich 10 1 9 2.1 2.4 3 2 5 21 24 11
3 8 Blackburn 10 2 8 1.9 1.5 5 1 4 19 15 16
4 7 Hull 9 2 7 1.6 1.6 4 2 3 14 14 14
5 1 Leicester 10 4 6 2.1 0.8 8 1 1 21 8 25
6 4 Southampton 9 3 6 1.3 1.4 5 2 2 12 13 17
7 5 West Brom 10 4 6 1.4 1.2 3 3 4 14 12 12
8 14 Coventry 10 4 6 1.4 1.6 2 2 6 14 16 8
9 18 Swansea 9 3 6 1.6 1.7 3 1 5 14 15 10
10 6 Sunderland 10 5 5 1.2 1.0 3 3 4 12 10 12
11 11 Cardiff 10 5 5 1.2 1.3 3 2 5 12 13 11
12 17 Plymouth 9 4 5 0.8 1.7 0 3 6 7 15 3
13 21 Huddersfield 10 5 5 1.0 1.7 2 4 4 10 17 10
14 23 Rotherham 10 5 5 0.4 2.5 0 2 8 4 25 2
15 24 Sheffield Weds 9 4 5 0.4 1.9 0 1 8 4 17 1
16 3 Leeds 10 6 4 1.5 1.1 5 2 3 15 11 17
17 9 Preston 9 5 4 1.0 1.7 3 2 4 9 15 11
18 16 Birmingham 10 6 4 0.8 2.0 1 1 8 8 20 4
19 19 Millwall 9 5 4 1.4 1.1 3 4 2 13 10 13
20 20 Stoke 10 6 4 1.0 1.6 2 2 6 10 16 8
21 22 QPR 11 7 4 0.8 1.3 3 2 6 9 14 11
22 2 Ipswich 9 6 3 1.2 0.9 5 3 1 11 8 18
23 10 Watford 9 6 3 0.8 1.4 2 3 4 7 13 9
24 15 Bristol City 9 6 3 0.8 1.0 3 2 4 7 9 11

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 1 Nov 2026, 19:06