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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: F Hallam

Stoke 0–2 Southampton

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2025/2026

Home 2.85 fair 2.12
Draw 3.40 fair 3.94
Away ✓ 2.30 fair 3.66
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.95 fair 1.97
Over 2.5 1.90 fair 2.03

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Stoke Southampton
10 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 4
4 Corners 5
8 Fouls 18
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (344 league matches this season so far).
Result Stoke to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.90
Expected goals 1.54 – 1.11
Home / Draw / Away
StokeDrawSouthampton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.1% 1–0 10.9% 2–1 9.3%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Stoke before this match, all matches
1.45points / match
1.17scored / match
0.90conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 29 played · 34:26
Southampton before this match, all matches
1.28points / match
1.41scored / match
1.41conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 29 played · 41:41
Stoke all matches all matches Southampton

Per match

1.17 Goals scored 1.41
0.90 Goals conceded 1.41
2.07 Total goals 2.83
11.31 Shots 14.62
3.90 Shots on target 5.14
12.17 Shots faced 13.28
5.83 Corners 5.52
4.79 Corners against 4.76
10.86 Fouls 10.69
1.97 Yellow cards 1.90
0.52 1st-half goals scored 0.76
0.38 1st-half goals conceded 0.45

How often Full Time

41% Wins 31%
21% Draws 34%
38% Losses 34%
90% Over 0.5 goals 90%
59% Over 1.5 goals 86%
41% Over 2.5 goals 62%
10% Over 3.5 goals 31%
3% Over 4.5 goals 10%
3% Over 5.5 goals 3%
38% Both teams scored 76%
38% Clean sheets 17%
34% Failed to score 17%

How often Half Time

34% Wins 28%
41% Draws 52%
24% Losses 21%
59% Over 0.5 goals 62%
21% Over 1.5 goals 34%
10% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Stoke all matches
Southampton all matches
Stoke before this match, at home
1.50points / match
1.36scored / match
0.86conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 19:12
Southampton before this match, away
0.93points / match
1.47scored / match
1.87conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 22:28
Stoke at home away Southampton

Per match

1.36 Goals scored 1.47
0.86 Goals conceded 1.87
2.21 Total goals 3.33
12.07 Shots 13.13
4.36 Shots on target 5.20
10.07 Shots faced 15.00
6.21 Corners 4.60
4.14 Corners against 5.07
10.79 Fouls 11.60
1.93 Yellow cards 2.27
0.79 1st-half goals scored 0.73
0.14 1st-half goals conceded 0.47

How often Full Time

43% Wins 20%
21% Draws 33%
36% Losses 47%
86% Over 0.5 goals 100%
57% Over 1.5 goals 100%
50% Over 2.5 goals 73%
14% Over 3.5 goals 40%
7% Over 4.5 goals 13%
7% Over 5.5 goals 7%
50% Both teams scored 93%
36% Clean sheets 0%
29% Failed to score 7%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 20%
36% Draws 67%
14% Losses 13%
64% Over 0.5 goals 60%
14% Over 1.5 goals 33%
14% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Stoke at home
Southampton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Stoke all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.01.26 Birmingham – Stoke 1–1 (1–0) 1.813.604.00 2.10 1.73
21.01.26 Stoke – Middlesbrough 1–2 (1–0) 3.003.302.30 2.05 1.80
17.01.26 Stoke – QPR 0–0 (0–0) 2.103.203.50 2.10 1.73
04.01.26 Norwich – Stoke 0–2 (0–0) 2.153.503.05 1.93 1.93
01.01.26 Hull – Stoke 0–1 (0–1) 2.323.203.05 2.10 1.73
29.12.25 Stoke – Sheffield United 1–2 (0–0) 2.753.252.50 2.05 1.80
26.12.25 Stoke – Preston 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.253.40 2.10 1.73
20.12.25 Watford – Stoke 1–0 (0–0) 2.013.203.20 1.91 1.91
13.12.25 Stoke – Swansea 2–1 (1–0) 1.813.504.20 2.10 1.73
10.12.25 Ipswich – Stoke 1–0 (1–0) 1.573.755.50 1.88 1.98

Southampton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.01.26 Portsmouth – Southampton 1–1 (0–0) 3.203.402.10 1.91 1.91
21.01.26 Southampton – Sheffield United 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.802.65 1.67 2.20
17.01.26 Southampton – Hull 1–2 (0–2) 1.663.804.75 1.67 2.20
04.01.26 Middlesbrough – Southampton 4–0 (0–0) 2.103.503.20 1.73 2.10
01.01.26 Southampton – Millwall 0–0 (0–0) 1.713.604.50 1.80 2.00
29.12.25 Birmingham – Southampton 1–1 (0–0) 2.303.402.85 1.80 2.00
26.12.25 Oxford – Southampton 2–1 (1–1) 3.903.801.76 1.73 2.10
20.12.25 Southampton – Coventry 1–1 (0–1) 2.403.702.57 1.62 2.30
13.12.25 Norwich – Southampton 2–1 (0–0) 3.303.901.96 1.62 2.30
09.12.25 Southampton – West Brom 3–2 (3–0) 1.793.753.90 1.73 2.10

Stoke at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.01.26 Stoke – Middlesbrough 1–2 (1–0) 3.003.302.30 2.05 1.80
17.01.26 Stoke – QPR 0–0 (0–0) 2.103.203.50 2.10 1.73
29.12.25 Stoke – Sheffield United 1–2 (0–0) 2.753.252.50 2.05 1.80
26.12.25 Stoke – Preston 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.253.40 2.10 1.73
13.12.25 Stoke – Swansea 2–1 (1–0) 1.813.504.20 2.10 1.73
29.11.25 Stoke – Hull 1–2 (1–0) 1.623.805.00 1.80 2.00
25.11.25 Stoke – Charlton 3–0 (3–0) 1.683.704.75 2.00 1.80
08.11.25 Stoke – Coventry 0–1 (0–0) 2.823.602.25 1.80 2.00
01.11.25 Stoke – Bristol City 5–1 (3–0) 2.323.302.85 2.10 1.73
18.10.25 Stoke – Wrexham 1–0 (1–0) 1.913.503.75 2.00 1.85

Southampton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.01.26 Portsmouth – Southampton 1–1 (0–0) 3.203.402.10 1.91 1.91
04.01.26 Middlesbrough – Southampton 4–0 (0–0) 2.103.503.20 1.73 2.10
29.12.25 Birmingham – Southampton 1–1 (0–0) 2.303.402.85 1.80 2.00
26.12.25 Oxford – Southampton 2–1 (1–1) 3.903.801.76 1.73 2.10
13.12.25 Norwich – Southampton 2–1 (0–0) 3.303.901.96 1.62 2.30
29.11.25 Millwall – Southampton 3–2 (0–0) 3.053.602.20 1.98 1.88
22.11.25 Charlton – Southampton 1–5 (1–5) 2.653.052.65 2.10 1.73
05.11.25 QPR – Southampton 1–2 (0–0) 2.753.252.45 1.95 1.90
25.10.25 Blackburn – Southampton 2–1 (0–1) 2.953.252.30 2.00 1.80
21.10.25 Bristol City – Southampton 3–1 (1–1) 2.403.302.75 1.93 1.93

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Stoke winsDrawsSouthampton wins
3matches
1.67goals / match
33%over 2.5
33%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.08.25E1 Southampton – Stoke 1–2 (0–0) 1.733.804.50 1.98 1.88
27.04.24E1 Southampton – Stoke 0–1 (0–1) 1.754.334.00 1.53 2.50
03.10.23E1 Stoke – Southampton 0–1 (0–1) 2.703.402.60 1.80 2.00

England Championship table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 29 17 7 5 62 33 +29 58
2 Middlesbrough 29 16 7 6 46 29 +17 55
3 Ipswich 28 14 8 6 48 27 +21 50
4 Hull 28 15 5 8 47 40 +7 50
5 Millwall 29 14 7 8 36 35 +1 49
6 Derby 30 12 9 9 44 37 +7 45
7 Wrexham 29 11 11 7 43 37 +6 44
8 Watford 28 11 10 7 39 33 +6 43
9 Bristol City 30 12 7 11 40 36 +4 43
10 Preston 29 11 10 8 36 33 +3 43
11 Stoke 29 12 6 11 34 26 +8 42
12 QPR 29 11 7 11 40 42 -2 40
13 Birmingham 29 10 9 10 39 38 +1 39
14 Leicester 29 10 8 11 40 43 -3 38
15 Southampton 29 9 10 10 41 41 0 37
16 Swansea 29 10 6 13 32 37 -5 36
17 Sheffield United 28 11 2 15 39 41 -2 35
18 Norwich 29 9 6 14 37 41 -4 33
19 Charlton 28 8 8 12 27 38 -11 32
20 West Brom 29 9 5 15 32 44 -12 32
21 Portsmouth 27 7 9 11 24 37 -13 30
22 Blackburn 28 7 8 13 26 37 -11 29
23 Oxford 28 6 9 13 27 36 -9 27
24 Sheffield Weds 28 1 8 19 18 56 -38 11
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 14 11 2 1 31 11 +20 35
2 Ipswich 15 10 4 1 29 11 +18 34
3 Middlesbrough 14 9 3 2 24 11 +13 30
4 Watford 15 8 5 2 24 15 +9 29
5 Millwall 15 9 2 4 21 17 +4 29
6 Birmingham 14 7 6 1 28 14 +14 27
7 Hull 14 8 2 4 21 20 +1 26
8 Swansea 15 7 4 4 20 18 +2 25
9 Bristol City 16 7 3 6 25 20 +5 24
10 Wrexham 15 6 6 3 26 22 +4 24
11 QPR 14 7 2 5 26 20 +6 23
12 Southampton 14 6 5 3 19 13 +6 23
13 Preston 15 6 5 4 19 16 +3 23
14 Leicester 14 6 4 4 20 17 +3 22
15 West Brom 14 6 4 4 18 19 -1 22
16 Stoke 14 6 3 5 19 12 +7 21
17 Charlton 13 6 3 4 15 14 +1 21
18 Sheffield United 13 6 2 5 21 14 +7 20
19 Portsmouth 14 5 4 5 15 15 0 19
20 Derby 15 4 6 5 18 21 -3 18
21 Oxford 14 3 6 5 13 17 -4 15
22 Norwich 14 4 1 9 14 20 -6 13
23 Blackburn 14 2 5 7 14 21 -7 11
24 Sheffield Weds 15 0 4 11 7 32 -25 4
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Derby 15 8 3 4 26 16 +10 27
2 Middlesbrough 15 7 4 4 22 18 +4 25
3 Hull 14 7 3 4 26 20 +6 24
4 Coventry 15 6 5 4 31 22 +9 23
5 Stoke 15 6 3 6 15 14 +1 21
6 Norwich 15 5 5 5 23 21 +2 20
7 Wrexham 14 5 5 4 17 15 +2 20
8 Preston 14 5 5 4 17 17 0 20
9 Millwall 14 5 5 4 15 18 -3 20
10 Bristol City 14 5 4 5 15 16 -1 19
11 Blackburn 14 5 3 6 12 16 -4 18
12 QPR 15 4 5 6 14 22 -8 17
13 Ipswich 13 4 4 5 19 16 +3 16
14 Leicester 15 4 4 7 20 26 -6 16
15 Sheffield United 15 5 0 10 18 27 -9 15
16 Watford 13 3 5 5 15 18 -3 14
17 Southampton 15 3 5 7 22 28 -6 14
18 Oxford 14 3 3 8 14 19 -5 12
19 Birmingham 15 3 3 9 11 24 -13 12
20 Swansea 14 3 2 9 12 19 -7 11
21 Charlton 15 2 5 8 12 24 -12 11
22 Portsmouth 13 2 5 6 9 22 -13 11
23 West Brom 15 3 1 11 14 25 -11 10
24 Sheffield Weds 13 1 4 8 11 24 -13 7

Stoke   Southampton

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Hull 28 9 19 1.7 1.4 15 5 8 47 40 50
2 14 Leicester 29 10 19 1.4 1.5 10 8 11 40 43 38
3 1 Coventry 29 11 18 2.1 1.1 17 7 5 62 33 58
4 12 QPR 29 11 18 1.4 1.4 11 7 11 40 42 40
5 15 Southampton 29 11 18 1.4 1.4 9 10 10 41 41 37
6 2 Middlesbrough 29 13 16 1.6 1.0 16 7 6 46 29 55
7 17 Sheffield United 28 12 16 1.4 1.5 11 2 15 39 41 35
8 24 Sheffield Weds 28 12 16 0.6 2.0 1 8 19 18 56 11
9 3 Ipswich 28 13 15 1.7 1.0 14 8 6 48 27 50
10 6 Derby 30 15 15 1.5 1.2 12 9 9 44 37 45
11 18 Norwich 29 14 15 1.3 1.4 9 6 14 37 41 33
12 20 West Brom 29 14 15 1.1 1.5 9 5 15 32 44 32
13 5 Millwall 29 15 14 1.2 1.2 14 7 8 36 35 49
14 8 Watford 28 14 14 1.4 1.2 11 10 7 39 33 43
15 13 Birmingham 29 15 14 1.3 1.3 10 9 10 39 38 39
16 16 Swansea 29 15 14 1.1 1.3 10 6 13 32 37 36
17 23 Oxford 28 14 14 1.0 1.3 6 9 13 27 36 27
18 7 Wrexham 29 16 13 1.5 1.3 11 11 7 43 37 44
19 9 Bristol City 30 17 13 1.3 1.2 12 7 11 40 36 43
20 10 Preston 29 16 13 1.2 1.1 11 10 8 36 33 43
21 11 Stoke 29 17 12 1.2 0.9 12 6 11 34 26 42
22 19 Charlton 28 16 12 1.0 1.4 8 8 12 27 38 32
23 22 Blackburn 28 16 12 0.9 1.3 7 8 13 26 37 29
24 21 Portsmouth 27 16 11 0.9 1.4 7 9 11 24 37 30
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 12 QPR 14 3 11 1.9 1.4 7 2 5 26 20 23
2 3 Ipswich 15 6 9 1.9 0.7 10 4 1 29 11 34
3 1 Coventry 14 6 8 2.2 0.8 11 2 1 31 11 35
4 2 Middlesbrough 14 6 8 1.7 0.8 9 3 2 24 11 30
5 4 Hull 14 6 8 1.5 1.4 8 2 4 21 20 26
6 5 Millwall 15 7 8 1.4 1.1 9 2 4 21 17 29
7 7 Wrexham 15 7 8 1.7 1.5 6 6 3 26 22 24
8 8 Watford 15 7 8 1.6 1.0 8 5 2 24 15 29
9 9 Bristol City 16 8 8 1.6 1.2 7 3 6 25 20 24
10 14 Leicester 14 6 8 1.4 1.2 6 4 4 20 17 22
11 17 Sheffield United 13 5 8 1.6 1.1 6 2 5 21 14 20
12 24 Sheffield Weds 15 7 8 0.5 2.1 0 4 11 7 32 4
13 10 Preston 15 8 7 1.3 1.1 6 5 4 19 16 23
14 11 Stoke 14 7 7 1.4 0.9 6 3 5 19 12 21
15 13 Birmingham 14 7 7 2.0 1.0 7 6 1 28 14 27
16 15 Southampton 14 7 7 1.4 0.9 6 5 3 19 13 23
17 16 Swansea 15 8 7 1.3 1.2 7 4 4 20 18 25
18 18 Norwich 14 7 7 1.0 1.4 4 1 9 14 20 13
19 20 West Brom 14 7 7 1.3 1.4 6 4 4 18 19 22
20 23 Oxford 14 7 7 0.9 1.2 3 6 5 13 17 15
21 21 Portsmouth 14 8 6 1.1 1.1 5 4 5 15 15 19
22 22 Blackburn 14 8 6 1.0 1.5 2 5 7 14 21 11
23 6 Derby 15 10 5 1.2 1.4 4 6 5 18 21 18
24 19 Charlton 13 8 5 1.2 1.1 6 3 4 15 14 21
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Hull 14 3 11 1.9 1.4 7 3 4 26 20 24
2 14 Leicester 15 4 11 1.3 1.7 4 4 7 20 26 16
3 15 Southampton 15 4 11 1.5 1.9 3 5 7 22 28 14
4 1 Coventry 15 5 10 2.1 1.5 6 5 4 31 22 23
5 6 Derby 15 5 10 1.7 1.1 8 3 4 26 16 27
6 2 Middlesbrough 15 7 8 1.5 1.2 7 4 4 22 18 25
7 17 Sheffield United 15 7 8 1.2 1.8 5 0 10 18 27 15
8 18 Norwich 15 7 8 1.5 1.4 5 5 5 23 21 20
9 20 West Brom 15 7 8 0.9 1.7 3 1 11 14 25 10
10 24 Sheffield Weds 13 5 8 0.8 1.8 1 4 8 11 24 7
11 12 QPR 15 8 7 0.9 1.5 4 5 6 14 22 17
12 13 Birmingham 15 8 7 0.7 1.6 3 3 9 11 24 12
13 16 Swansea 14 7 7 0.9 1.4 3 2 9 12 19 11
14 19 Charlton 15 8 7 0.8 1.6 2 5 8 12 24 11
15 23 Oxford 14 7 7 1.0 1.4 3 3 8 14 19 12
16 3 Ipswich 13 7 6 1.5 1.2 4 4 5 19 16 16
17 5 Millwall 14 8 6 1.1 1.3 5 5 4 15 18 20
18 8 Watford 13 7 6 1.2 1.4 3 5 5 15 18 14
19 10 Preston 14 8 6 1.2 1.2 5 5 4 17 17 20
20 22 Blackburn 14 8 6 0.9 1.1 5 3 6 12 16 18
21 7 Wrexham 14 9 5 1.2 1.1 5 5 4 17 15 20
22 9 Bristol City 14 9 5 1.1 1.1 5 4 5 15 16 19
23 11 Stoke 15 10 5 1.0 0.9 6 3 6 15 14 21
24 21 Portsmouth 13 8 5 0.7 1.7 2 5 6 9 22 11

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51