Cardiff 0–1 Stoke – England Championship, 12 Apr 2025

Match facts

Cardiff Stoke

16 Shots 12

3 Shots on target 5

3 Corners 3

13 Fouls 11

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (495 league matches this season so far).

Result Cardiff to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.98

Expected goals 1.43 – 1.09

Home / Draw / Away

45% 26% 29%

CardiffDrawStoke

Under / Over 2.5 goals

54% 46%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

50% 50%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

8% 0

20% 1

26% 2

22% 3

14% 4

11% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 12.5% 1–0 11.5% 2–1 9%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Cardiff before this match, all matches

1.02points / match

1.10scored / match

1.59conceded / match

9 15 17

WonDrawnLost 41 played · 45:65

Stoke before this match, all matches

1.07points / match

1.02scored / match

1.32conceded / match

10 14 17

WonDrawnLost 41 played · 42:54

Cardiff all matches all matches Stoke

Per match

1.10 Goals scored 1.02

1.59 Goals conceded 1.32

2.68 Total goals 2.34

11.88 Shots 10.59

4.22 Shots on target 3.59

11.90 Shots faced 14.85

4.78 Corners 4.46

4.90 Corners against 6.05

11.76 Fouls 11.68

1.78 Yellow cards 2.39

0.49 1st-half goals scored 0.51

0.66 1st-half goals conceded 0.49

How often Full Time

22% Wins 24%

37% Draws 34%

41% Losses 41%

95% Over 0.5 goals 85%

85% Over 1.5 goals 71%

46% Over 2.5 goals 39%

24% Over 3.5 goals 24%

12% Over 4.5 goals 7%

2% Over 5.5 goals 5%

59% Both teams scored 51%

17% Clean sheets 27%

29% Failed to score 37%

How often Half Time

17% Wins 20%

49% Draws 59%

34% Losses 22%

66% Over 0.5 goals 59%

37% Over 1.5 goals 32%

12% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Cardiff all matches

1

D

1

D

1

W

1

2

L

1

2

L

1

2

L

2

1

W

1

D

2

D

Stoke all matches

3

1

W

2

4

L

1

3

L

D

2

3

L

1

W

1

L

3

1

W

1

D

1

D

Cardiff before this match, at home

1.25points / match

1.15scored / match

1.25conceded / match

7 4 9

WonDrawnLost 20 played · 23:25

Stoke before this match, away

0.70points / match

0.75scored / match

1.55conceded / match

3 5 12

WonDrawnLost 20 played · 15:31

Cardiff at home away Stoke

Per match

1.15 Goals scored 0.75

1.25 Goals conceded 1.55

2.40 Total goals 2.30

13.50 Shots 10.05

5.15 Shots on target 3.40

10.20 Shots faced 17.50

6.10 Corners 4.05

4.45 Corners against 6.55

11.30 Fouls 11.90

1.55 Yellow cards 2.55

0.40 1st-half goals scored 0.35

0.30 1st-half goals conceded 0.60

How often Full Time

35% Wins 15%

20% Draws 25%

45% Losses 60%

100% Over 0.5 goals 90%

90% Over 1.5 goals 75%

35% Over 2.5 goals 35%

10% Over 3.5 goals 15%

5% Over 4.5 goals 10%

0% Over 5.5 goals 5%

45% Both teams scored 45%

25% Clean sheets 20%

30% Failed to score 45%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 10%

50% Draws 60%

25% Losses 30%

50% Over 0.5 goals 60%

15% Over 1.5 goals 30%

5% Over 2.5 goals 5%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Cardiff at home

2

L

1

D

1

D

3

W

2

1

W

1

D

1

W

1

2

L

1

2

L

1

D

Stoke away

2

L

D

1

D

1

3

L

2

1

W

2

L

2

4

L

2

3

L

1

L

1

D

Last 10 matches before this match

Cardiff all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
08.04.25	Preston – Cardiff	2–2 (1–0)	2.55	3.30	2.75	2.10	1.73
05.04.25	QPR – Cardiff	0–0 (0–0)	2.20	3.25	3.30	2.20	1.67
29.03.25	Cardiff – Sheffield Weds	1–1 (1–0)	2.90	3.25	2.45	2.10	1.73
15.03.25	Blackburn – Cardiff	1–2 (1–1)	2.00	3.30	3.80	2.20	1.67
11.03.25	Cardiff – Luton	1–2 (0–0)	2.30	3.25	3.10	2.25	1.57
08.03.25	Sunderland – Cardiff	2–1 (1–1)	1.50	4.33	5.75	1.90	1.95
04.03.25	Cardiff – Burnley	1–2 (1–2)	4.20	3.40	1.90	2.57	1.46
25.02.25	Cardiff – Hull	1–0 (0–0)	2.70	3.10	2.70	2.10	1.73
22.02.25	Plymouth – Cardiff	1–1 (0–1)	2.63	3.50	2.50	2.00	1.85
15.02.25	Cardiff – Bristol City	1–1 (0–0)	2.80	3.25	2.55	2.10	1.73

Stoke all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
08.04.25	Stoke – Luton	1–1 (0–0)	2.40	3.25	2.90	2.38	1.57
05.04.25	Preston – Stoke	1–1 (1–0)	2.35	3.25	3.00	2.30	1.62
29.03.25	Stoke – QPR	3–1 (2–0)	2.25	3.10	3.40	2.20	1.67
15.03.25	Millwall – Stoke	1–0 (0–0)	2.15	3.10	3.60	2.63	1.50
12.03.25	Stoke – Blackburn	1–0 (1–0)	2.60	3.30	2.70	2.05	1.68
08.03.25	Coventry – Stoke	3–2 (2–0)	1.53	4.33	5.50	1.76	1.96
01.03.25	Stoke – Watford	0–0 (0–0)	2.45	3.30	2.88	1.95	1.90
25.02.25	Stoke – Middlesbrough	1–3 (1–1)	2.90	3.40	2.35	1.93	1.93
22.02.25	Norwich – Stoke	4–2 (1–1)	1.65	4.00	5.00	1.93	1.93
15.02.25	Stoke – Swansea	3–1 (0–0)	2.45	3.40	2.88	2.10	1.73

Cardiff at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
29.03.25	Cardiff – Sheffield Weds	1–1 (1–0)	2.90	3.25	2.45	2.10	1.73
11.03.25	Cardiff – Luton	1–2 (0–0)	2.30	3.25	3.10	2.25	1.57
04.03.25	Cardiff – Burnley	1–2 (1–2)	4.20	3.40	1.90	2.57	1.46
25.02.25	Cardiff – Hull	1–0 (0–0)	2.70	3.10	2.70	2.10	1.73
15.02.25	Cardiff – Bristol City	1–1 (0–0)	2.80	3.25	2.55	2.10	1.73
25.01.25	Cardiff – Derby	2–1 (0–0)	2.20	3.10	3.40	2.50	1.53
18.01.25	Cardiff – Swansea	3–0 (0–0)	2.63	3.25	2.63	2.10	1.73
14.01.25	Cardiff – Watford	1–1 (0–0)	2.25	3.30	3.20	2.10	1.73
01.01.25	Cardiff – Coventry	1–1 (1–0)	2.88	3.50	2.30	1.88	1.98
21.12.24	Cardiff – Sheffield United	0–2 (0–0)	3.70	3.40	2.00	2.10	1.73

Stoke away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
05.04.25	Preston – Stoke	1–1 (1–0)	2.35	3.25	3.00	2.30	1.62
15.03.25	Millwall – Stoke	1–0 (0–0)	2.15	3.10	3.60	2.63	1.50
08.03.25	Coventry – Stoke	3–2 (2–0)	1.53	4.33	5.50	1.76	1.96
22.02.25	Norwich – Stoke	4–2 (1–1)	1.65	4.00	5.00	1.93	1.93
12.02.25	Bristol City – Stoke	2–0 (1–0)	1.73	3.70	5.00	2.00	1.85
01.02.25	Hull – Stoke	1–2 (1–1)	1.91	3.40	4.00	2.05	1.80
22.01.25	Portsmouth – Stoke	3–1 (2–1)	2.45	3.25	2.88	2.00	1.85
18.01.25	West Brom – Stoke	1–1 (0–1)	1.73	3.80	4.50	2.00	1.85
01.01.25	Burnley – Stoke	0–0 (0–0)	1.53	3.80	6.50	2.20	1.67
21.12.24	Sheffield Weds – Stoke	2–0 (0–0)	1.91	3.40	4.00	2.00	1.85

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

2 5

Cardiff winsDrawsStoke wins

7matches

3.14goals / match

71%over 2.5

86%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
14.12.24E1	Stoke – Cardiff	2–2 (1–1)	2.25	3.30	3.25	1.90	1.95
24.02.24E1	Cardiff – Stoke	2–1 (2–1)	2.75	3.25	2.63	2.30	1.60
04.11.23E1	Stoke – Cardiff	0–0 (0–0)	2.15	3.30	3.50	2.10	1.70
22.04.23E1	Cardiff – Stoke	1–1 (1–1)	2.40	3.25	3.00	2.10	1.73
10.12.22E1	Stoke – Cardiff	2–2 (2–1)	2.05	3.30	3.80	2.10	1.73
16.03.22E1	Cardiff – Stoke	2–1 (2–1)	2.45	3.30	3.00	2.37	1.57
30.10.21E1	Stoke – Cardiff	3–3 (2–0)	1.95	3.40	4.00	2.00	1.80

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leeds	42	25	13	4	82	29	+53	88
2	Burnley	42	24	16	2	57	13	+44	88
3	Sheffield United	42	26	7	9	57	33	+24	85
4	Sunderland	41	21	13	7	57	37	+20	76
5	Bristol City	41	16	15	10	53	44	+9	63
6	Coventry	41	18	8	15	58	53	+5	62
7	Middlesbrough	41	17	9	15	61	50	+11	60
8	West Brom	41	13	18	10	49	38	+11	57
9	Millwall	41	15	12	14	40	41	-1	57
10	Watford	41	16	8	17	49	53	-4	56
11	Norwich	42	13	14	15	63	58	+5	53
12	Blackburn	41	15	8	18	44	45	-1	53
13	Sheffield Weds	41	14	11	16	56	63	-7	53
14	Swansea	41	14	9	18	44	51	-7	51
15	QPR	41	12	13	16	48	54	-6	49
16	Preston	42	10	19	13	43	51	-8	49
17	Portsmouth	41	12	9	20	48	64	-16	45
18	Oxford	41	11	12	18	42	60	-18	45
19	Hull	41	11	11	19	40	49	-9	44
20	Stoke	41	10	14	17	42	54	-12	44
21	Derby	41	11	9	21	42	52	-10	42
22	Cardiff	41	9	15	17	45	65	-20	42
23	Luton	41	10	10	21	37	62	-25	40
24	Plymouth	42	9	13	20	44	82	-38	40

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leeds	21	16	4	1	51	12	+39	52
2	Burnley	21	12	9	0	30	6	+24	45
3	Sheffield United	21	14	3	4	30	16	+14	45
4	Sunderland	20	12	7	1	32	15	+17	43
5	Bristol City	21	12	6	3	32	17	+15	42
6	Coventry	21	12	3	6	36	24	+12	39
7	Watford	21	12	3	6	25	19	+6	39
8	Norwich	21	9	8	4	45	27	+18	35
9	West Brom	20	9	8	3	25	13	+12	35
10	Portsmouth	20	10	5	5	29	18	+11	35
11	Middlesbrough	21	10	5	6	29	22	+7	35
12	Oxford	21	10	5	6	29	28	+1	35
13	Blackburn	21	10	4	7	28	21	+7	34
14	Preston	21	7	12	2	24	18	+6	33
15	Swansea	21	9	5	7	29	21	+8	32
16	Derby	21	9	4	8	25	17	+8	31
17	Millwall	20	9	4	7	22	18	+4	31
18	Plymouth	21	8	7	6	36	36	0	31
19	Stoke	21	7	9	5	27	23	+4	30
20	QPR	20	7	7	6	29	26	+3	28
21	Luton	20	7	7	6	21	20	+1	28
22	Cardiff	20	7	4	9	23	25	-2	25
23	Sheffield Weds	20	5	7	8	27	29	-2	22
24	Hull	20	4	7	9	21	25	-4	19

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Burnley	21	12	7	2	27	7	+20	43
2	Sheffield United	21	12	4	5	27	17	+10	40
3	Leeds	21	9	9	3	31	17	+14	36
4	Sunderland	21	9	6	6	25	22	+3	33
5	Sheffield Weds	21	9	4	8	29	34	-5	31
6	Millwall	21	6	8	7	18	23	-5	26
7	Middlesbrough	20	7	4	9	32	28	+4	25
8	Hull	21	7	4	10	19	24	-5	25
9	Coventry	20	6	5	9	22	29	-7	23
10	West Brom	21	4	10	7	24	25	-1	22
11	Bristol City	20	4	9	7	21	27	-6	21
12	QPR	21	5	6	10	19	28	-9	21
13	Blackburn	20	5	4	11	16	24	-8	19
14	Swansea	20	5	4	11	15	30	-15	19
15	Norwich	21	4	6	11	18	31	-13	18
16	Watford	20	4	5	11	24	34	-10	17
17	Cardiff	21	2	11	8	22	40	-18	17
18	Preston	21	3	7	11	19	33	-14	16
19	Stoke	20	3	5	12	15	31	-16	14
20	Luton	21	3	3	15	16	42	-26	12
21	Derby	20	2	5	13	17	35	-18	11
22	Oxford	20	1	7	12	13	32	-19	10
23	Portsmouth	21	2	4	15	19	46	-27	10
24	Plymouth	21	1	6	14	8	46	-38	9

Cardiff Stoke

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	17	Portsmouth	41	15	26	1.2	1.6	12	9	20	48	64	45
2	24	Plymouth	42	18	24	1.0	2.0	9	13	20	44	82	40
3	6	Coventry	41	18	23	1.4	1.3	18	8	15	58	53	62
4	10	Watford	41	18	23	1.2	1.3	16	8	17	49	53	56
5	13	Sheffield Weds	41	18	23	1.4	1.5	14	11	16	56	63	53
6	11	Norwich	42	21	21	1.5	1.4	13	14	15	63	58	53
7	15	QPR	41	20	21	1.2	1.3	12	13	16	48	54	49
8	4	Sunderland	41	22	19	1.4	0.9	21	13	7	57	37	76
9	7	Middlesbrough	41	22	19	1.5	1.2	17	9	15	61	50	60
10	14	Swansea	41	22	19	1.1	1.2	14	9	18	44	51	51
11	22	Cardiff	41	22	19	1.1	1.6	9	15	17	45	65	42
12	1	Leeds	42	24	18	2.0	0.7	25	13	4	82	29	88
13	16	Preston	42	24	18	1.0	1.2	10	19	13	43	51	49
14	23	Luton	41	23	18	0.9	1.5	10	10	21	37	62	40
15	5	Bristol City	41	24	17	1.3	1.1	16	15	10	53	44	63
16	12	Blackburn	41	25	16	1.1	1.1	15	8	18	44	45	53
17	18	Oxford	41	25	16	1.0	1.5	11	12	18	42	60	45
18	20	Stoke	41	25	16	1.0	1.3	10	14	17	42	54	44
19	21	Derby	41	25	16	1.0	1.3	11	9	21	42	52	42
20	3	Sheffield United	42	27	15	1.4	0.8	26	7	9	57	33	85
21	8	West Brom	41	27	14	1.2	0.9	13	18	10	49	38	57
22	19	Hull	41	28	13	1.0	1.2	11	11	19	40	49	44
23	2	Burnley	42	31	11	1.4	0.3	24	16	2	57	13	88
24	9	Millwall	41	30	11	1.0	1.0	15	12	14	40	41	57

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	6	Coventry	21	6	15	1.7	1.1	12	3	6	36	24	39
2	24	Plymouth	21	6	15	1.7	1.7	8	7	6	36	36	31
3	1	Leeds	21	9	12	2.4	0.6	16	4	1	51	12	52
4	11	Norwich	21	9	12	2.1	1.3	9	8	4	45	27	35
5	15	QPR	20	8	12	1.4	1.3	7	7	6	29	26	28
6	17	Portsmouth	20	8	12	1.4	0.9	10	5	5	29	18	35
7	10	Watford	21	10	11	1.2	0.9	12	3	6	25	19	39
8	5	Bristol City	21	11	10	1.5	0.8	12	6	3	32	17	42
9	4	Sunderland	20	11	9	1.6	0.8	12	7	1	32	15	43
10	14	Swansea	21	12	9	1.4	1.0	9	5	7	29	21	32
11	20	Stoke	21	12	9	1.3	1.1	7	9	5	27	23	30
12	7	Middlesbrough	21	13	8	1.4	1.0	10	5	6	29	22	35
13	12	Blackburn	21	13	8	1.3	1.0	10	4	7	28	21	34
14	13	Sheffield Weds	20	12	8	1.4	1.4	5	7	8	27	29	22
15	18	Oxford	21	13	8	1.4	1.3	10	5	6	29	28	35
16	23	Luton	20	12	8	1.1	1.0	7	7	6	21	20	28
17	3	Sheffield United	21	14	7	1.4	0.8	14	3	4	30	16	45
18	16	Preston	21	14	7	1.1	0.9	7	12	2	24	18	33
19	19	Hull	20	13	7	1.1	1.2	4	7	9	21	25	19
20	21	Derby	21	14	7	1.2	0.8	9	4	8	25	17	31
21	22	Cardiff	20	13	7	1.1	1.2	7	4	9	23	25	25
22	2	Burnley	21	15	6	1.4	0.3	12	9	0	30	6	45
23	9	Millwall	20	14	6	1.1	0.9	9	4	7	22	18	31
24	8	West Brom	20	15	5	1.2	0.7	9	8	3	25	13	35

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	13	Sheffield Weds	21	6	15	1.4	1.6	9	4	8	29	34	31
2	17	Portsmouth	21	7	14	0.9	2.2	2	4	15	19	46	10
3	10	Watford	20	8	12	1.2	1.7	4	5	11	24	34	17
4	22	Cardiff	21	9	12	1.0	1.9	2	11	8	22	40	17
5	7	Middlesbrough	20	9	11	1.6	1.4	7	4	9	32	28	25
6	16	Preston	21	10	11	0.9	1.6	3	7	11	19	33	16
7	4	Sunderland	21	11	10	1.2	1.0	9	6	6	25	22	33
8	14	Swansea	20	10	10	0.8	1.5	5	4	11	15	30	19
9	23	Luton	21	11	10	0.8	2.0	3	3	15	16	42	12
10	8	West Brom	21	12	9	1.1	1.2	4	10	7	24	25	22
11	11	Norwich	21	12	9	0.9	1.5	4	6	11	18	31	18
12	15	QPR	21	12	9	0.9	1.3	5	6	10	19	28	21
13	21	Derby	20	11	9	0.8	1.8	2	5	13	17	35	11
14	24	Plymouth	21	12	9	0.4	2.2	1	6	14	8	46	9
15	3	Sheffield United	21	13	8	1.3	0.8	12	4	5	27	17	40
16	6	Coventry	20	12	8	1.1	1.4	6	5	9	22	29	23
17	12	Blackburn	20	12	8	0.8	1.2	5	4	11	16	24	19
18	18	Oxford	20	12	8	0.7	1.6	1	7	12	13	32	10
19	5	Bristol City	20	13	7	1.1	1.4	4	9	7	21	27	21
20	20	Stoke	20	13	7	0.8	1.6	3	5	12	15	31	14
21	1	Leeds	21	15	6	1.5	0.8	9	9	3	31	17	36
22	19	Hull	21	15	6	0.9	1.1	7	4	10	19	24	25
23	2	Burnley	21	16	5	1.3	0.3	12	7	2	27	7	43
24	9	Millwall	21	16	5	0.9	1.1	6	8	7	18	23	26

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.