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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: J Bell

Cardiff 3–0 Swansea

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 2.63 fair 2.53
Draw 3.25 fair 3.65
Away 2.63 fair 3.03
Under 2.5 1.73 fair 1.77
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.10 fair 2.29

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Cardiff Swansea
11 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 2
3 Corners 6
14 Fouls 11
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (312 league matches this season so far).
Result Cardiff to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.97
Expected goals 1.28 – 1.14
Home / Draw / Away
CardiffDrawSwansea
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 13% 1–0 11.4% 0–1 10.1%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Cardiff before this match, all matches
0.92points / match
1.00scored / match
1.58conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 26 played · 26:41
Swansea before this match, all matches
1.31points / match
1.15scored / match
1.15conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 26 played · 30:30
Cardiff all matches all matches Swansea

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 1.15
1.58 Goals conceded 1.15
2.58 Total goals 2.31
12.38 Shots 11.15
4.12 Shots on target 3.88
11.81 Shots faced 10.88
5.15 Corners 5.15
4.65 Corners against 4.92
11.62 Fouls 10.38
1.92 Yellow cards 1.73
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.81
0.62 1st-half goals conceded 0.54

How often Full Time

19% Wins 35%
35% Draws 27%
46% Losses 38%
96% Over 0.5 goals 92%
85% Over 1.5 goals 62%
35% Over 2.5 goals 46%
27% Over 3.5 goals 15%
15% Over 4.5 goals 8%
0% Over 5.5 goals 4%
50% Both teams scored 50%
15% Clean sheets 23%
38% Failed to score 35%

How often Half Time

19% Wins 46%
46% Draws 27%
35% Losses 27%
69% Over 0.5 goals 81%
35% Over 1.5 goals 35%
8% Over 2.5 goals 19%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Cardiff all matches
Swansea all matches
Cardiff before this match, at home
1.08points / match
1.00scored / match
1.38conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 13:18
Swansea before this match, away
1.08points / match
0.77scored / match
1.23conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 10:16
Cardiff at home away Swansea

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 0.77
1.38 Goals conceded 1.23
2.38 Total goals 2.00
14.31 Shots 10.00
5.15 Shots on target 2.92
11.08 Shots faced 12.62
6.69 Corners 5.46
4.23 Corners against 5.15
11.15 Fouls 9.77
1.62 Yellow cards 2.00
0.46 1st-half goals scored 0.54
0.31 1st-half goals conceded 0.69

How often Full Time

31% Wins 31%
15% Draws 15%
54% Losses 54%
100% Over 0.5 goals 92%
92% Over 1.5 goals 54%
23% Over 2.5 goals 46%
15% Over 3.5 goals 8%
8% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
31% Both teams scored 46%
23% Clean sheets 8%
46% Failed to score 54%

How often Half Time

31% Wins 31%
38% Draws 23%
31% Losses 46%
62% Over 0.5 goals 85%
15% Over 1.5 goals 31%
0% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Cardiff at home
Swansea away

Last 10 matches before this match

Cardiff all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.01.25 Cardiff – Watford 1–1 (0–0) 2.253.303.20 2.10 1.73
04.01.25 Middlesbrough – Cardiff 1–1 (1–1) 1.574.205.25 1.73 2.10
01.01.25 Cardiff – Coventry 1–1 (1–0) 2.883.502.30 1.88 1.98
29.12.24 Watford – Cardiff 1–2 (1–2) 1.953.403.90 1.88 1.98
26.12.24 Oxford – Cardiff 3–2 (1–0) 2.883.202.50 2.10 1.73
21.12.24 Cardiff – Sheffield United 0–2 (0–0) 3.703.402.00 2.10 1.73
14.12.24 Stoke – Cardiff 2–2 (1–1) 2.253.303.25 1.90 1.95
11.12.24 Cardiff – Preston 0–2 (0–0) 2.253.203.20 2.20 1.67
30.11.24 Coventry – Cardiff 2–2 (1–1) 1.704.004.33 1.88 1.98
27.11.24 Cardiff – QPR 0–2 (0–1) 1.953.503.80 2.00 1.80

Swansea all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.01.25 Swansea – West Brom 1–1 (0–0) 2.553.302.70 2.10 1.73
01.01.25 Portsmouth – Swansea 4–0 (2–0) 2.883.402.38 1.95 1.90
29.12.24 Swansea – Luton 2–1 (1–1) 2.203.503.10 2.03 1.83
26.12.24 Swansea – QPR 3–0 (3–0) 1.853.404.33 2.10 1.73
21.12.24 Hull – Swansea 2–1 (1–1) 2.503.402.75 1.98 1.88
14.12.24 Swansea – Sunderland 2–3 (2–1) 2.633.202.70 2.10 1.73
10.12.24 Plymouth – Swansea 1–2 (0–1) 4.503.901.70 1.73 2.10
07.12.24 Luton – Swansea 1–1 (1–0) 2.253.253.25 2.03 1.83
30.11.24 Swansea – Portsmouth 2–2 (1–2) 1.704.104.33 1.85 2.00
27.11.24 Derby – Swansea 1–2 (0–2) 2.403.402.80 2.20 1.67

Cardiff at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.01.25 Cardiff – Watford 1–1 (0–0) 2.253.303.20 2.10 1.73
01.01.25 Cardiff – Coventry 1–1 (1–0) 2.883.502.30 1.88 1.98
21.12.24 Cardiff – Sheffield United 0–2 (0–0) 3.703.402.00 2.10 1.73
11.12.24 Cardiff – Preston 0–2 (0–0) 2.253.203.20 2.20 1.67
27.11.24 Cardiff – QPR 0–2 (0–1) 1.953.503.80 2.00 1.80
09.11.24 Cardiff – Blackburn 1–3 (0–1) 2.303.403.00 1.95 1.90
02.11.24 Cardiff – Norwich 2–1 (0–0) 2.633.402.63 1.73 2.10
22.10.24 Cardiff – Portsmouth 2–0 (2–0) 1.913.404.20 1.98 1.88
19.10.24 Cardiff – Plymouth 5–0 (2–0) 2.053.503.50 1.83 2.03
01.10.24 Cardiff – Millwall 1–0 (1–0) 3.003.202.40 2.63 1.50

Swansea away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.01.25 Portsmouth – Swansea 4–0 (2–0) 2.883.402.38 1.95 1.90
21.12.24 Hull – Swansea 2–1 (1–1) 2.503.402.75 1.98 1.88
10.12.24 Plymouth – Swansea 1–2 (0–1) 4.503.901.70 1.73 2.10
07.12.24 Luton – Swansea 1–1 (1–0) 2.253.253.25 2.03 1.83
27.11.24 Derby – Swansea 1–2 (0–2) 2.403.402.80 2.20 1.67
10.11.24 Burnley – Swansea 1–0 (0–0) 1.903.503.90 2.20 1.67
02.11.24 Oxford – Swansea 1–2 (0–1) 2.753.202.70 2.20 1.67
22.10.24 Sheffield Weds – Swansea 0–0 (0–0) 2.103.403.40 2.03 1.83
19.10.24 Blackburn – Swansea 1–0 (1–0) 2.103.403.40 1.93 1.93
02.10.24 Sheffield United – Swansea 1–0 (1–0) 1.733.754.50 1.85 2.00

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Cardiff winsDrawsSwansea wins
7matches
2.86goals / match
43%over 2.5
29%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.08.24E1 Swansea – Cardiff 1–1 (1–0) 1.953.503.90 1.88 1.98
16.03.24E1 Swansea – Cardiff 2–0 (1–0) 2.053.303.80 2.10 1.70
16.09.23E1 Cardiff – Swansea 2–0 (0–0) 2.553.252.80 1.95 1.90
01.04.23E1 Cardiff – Swansea 2–3 (1–2) 2.453.203.00 2.20 1.67
23.10.22E1 Swansea – Cardiff 2–0 (1–0) 2.103.303.50 2.02 1.83
02.04.22E1 Cardiff – Swansea 0–4 (0–1) 2.303.203.30 2.30 1.61
17.10.21E1 Swansea – Cardiff 3–0 (1–0) 2.403.203.10 2.30 1.61

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sheffield United 26 16 6 4 36 17 +19 54
2 Leeds 26 15 8 3 48 19 +29 53
3 Burnley 27 14 11 2 31 9 +22 53
4 Sunderland 27 14 9 4 39 22 +17 51
5 Blackburn 26 12 6 8 31 23 +8 42
6 Middlesbrough 26 11 8 7 43 32 +11 41
7 West Brom 26 9 13 4 32 21 +11 40
8 Watford 26 11 5 10 36 37 -1 38
9 Bristol City 26 9 10 7 33 30 +3 37
10 Sheffield Weds 26 10 7 9 38 40 -2 37
11 Norwich 26 9 9 8 43 37 +6 36
12 Swansea 26 9 7 10 30 30 0 34
13 QPR 26 7 11 8 29 34 -5 32
14 Millwall 25 7 9 9 24 23 +1 30
15 Preston 26 6 12 8 28 34 -6 30
16 Coventry 26 7 8 11 34 37 -3 29
17 Oxford 26 7 8 11 29 41 -12 29
18 Derby 26 7 6 13 31 35 -4 27
19 Stoke 26 6 9 11 24 32 -8 27
20 Luton 26 7 4 15 27 44 -17 25
21 Cardiff 26 5 9 12 26 41 -15 24
22 Hull 26 5 8 13 25 36 -11 23
23 Portsmouth 25 5 8 12 30 44 -14 23
24 Plymouth 26 4 9 13 25 54 -29 21
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leeds 13 10 2 1 30 7 +23 32
2 Sunderland 13 9 4 0 22 8 +14 31
3 Sheffield United 12 9 2 1 17 5 +12 29
4 Watford 13 9 2 2 19 10 +9 29
5 Blackburn 14 8 2 4 20 11 +9 26
6 Burnley 13 6 7 0 15 4 +11 25
7 Norwich 13 6 5 2 31 18 +13 23
8 Bristol City 13 6 5 2 19 10 +9 23
9 Middlesbrough 14 6 5 3 20 15 +5 23
10 Preston 14 5 7 2 16 12 +4 22
11 Oxford 13 6 4 3 19 17 +2 22
12 West Brom 12 5 6 1 13 6 +7 21
13 Luton 13 6 3 4 18 16 +2 21
14 Derby 12 6 2 4 19 11 +8 20
15 Swansea 13 5 5 3 20 14 +6 20
16 Millwall 13 6 2 5 14 10 +4 20
17 Sheffield Weds 14 5 5 4 22 20 +2 20
18 QPR 14 5 5 4 20 19 +1 20
19 Coventry 12 5 3 4 22 16 +6 18
20 Plymouth 12 4 6 2 22 19 +3 18
21 Stoke 14 4 6 4 18 17 +1 18
22 Portsmouth 11 4 4 3 17 11 +6 16
23 Cardiff 13 4 2 7 13 18 -5 14
24 Hull 14 2 6 6 14 18 -4 12
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Burnley 14 8 4 2 16 5 +11 28
2 Sheffield United 14 7 4 3 19 12 +7 25
3 Leeds 13 5 6 2 18 12 +6 21
4 Sunderland 14 5 5 4 17 14 +3 20
5 West Brom 14 4 7 3 19 15 +4 19
6 Middlesbrough 12 5 3 4 23 17 +6 18
7 Sheffield Weds 12 5 2 5 16 20 -4 17
8 Blackburn 12 4 4 4 11 12 -1 16
9 Bristol City 13 3 5 5 14 20 -6 14
10 Swansea 13 4 2 7 10 16 -6 14
11 Norwich 13 3 4 6 12 19 -7 13
12 QPR 12 2 6 4 9 15 -6 12
13 Hull 12 3 2 7 11 18 -7 11
14 Coventry 14 2 5 7 12 21 -9 11
15 Millwall 12 1 7 4 10 13 -3 10
16 Cardiff 13 1 7 5 13 23 -10 10
17 Stoke 12 2 3 7 6 15 -9 9
18 Watford 13 2 3 8 17 27 -10 9
19 Preston 12 1 5 6 12 22 -10 8
20 Derby 14 1 4 9 12 24 -12 7
21 Oxford 13 1 4 8 10 24 -14 7
22 Portsmouth 14 1 4 9 13 33 -20 7
23 Luton 13 1 1 11 9 28 -19 4
24 Plymouth 14 0 3 11 3 35 -32 3

Cardiff   Swansea

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Watford 26 9 17 1.4 1.4 11 5 10 36 37 38
2 23 Portsmouth 25 8 17 1.2 1.8 5 8 12 30 44 23
3 11 Norwich 26 11 15 1.7 1.4 9 9 8 43 37 36
4 16 Coventry 26 11 15 1.3 1.4 7 8 11 34 37 29
5 20 Luton 26 11 15 1.0 1.7 7 4 15 27 44 25
6 10 Sheffield Weds 26 12 14 1.5 1.5 10 7 9 38 40 37
7 24 Plymouth 26 12 14 1.0 2.1 4 9 13 25 54 21
8 4 Sunderland 27 15 12 1.4 0.8 14 9 4 39 22 51
9 12 Swansea 26 14 12 1.2 1.2 9 7 10 30 30 34
10 18 Derby 26 14 12 1.2 1.3 7 6 13 31 35 27
11 6 Middlesbrough 26 15 11 1.7 1.2 11 8 7 43 32 41
12 9 Bristol City 26 15 11 1.3 1.2 9 10 7 33 30 37
13 13 QPR 26 15 11 1.1 1.3 7 11 8 29 34 32
14 15 Preston 26 15 11 1.1 1.3 6 12 8 28 34 30
15 17 Oxford 26 15 11 1.1 1.6 7 8 11 29 41 29
16 2 Leeds 26 16 10 1.8 0.7 15 8 3 48 19 53
17 7 West Brom 26 16 10 1.2 0.8 9 13 4 32 21 40
18 5 Blackburn 26 17 9 1.2 0.9 12 6 8 31 23 42
19 19 Stoke 26 17 9 0.9 1.2 6 9 11 24 32 27
20 21 Cardiff 26 17 9 1.0 1.6 5 9 12 26 41 24
21 22 Hull 26 17 9 1.0 1.4 5 8 13 25 36 23
22 1 Sheffield United 26 19 7 1.4 0.7 16 6 4 36 17 54
23 14 Millwall 25 19 6 1.0 0.9 7 9 9 24 23 30
24 3 Burnley 27 22 5 1.1 0.3 14 11 2 31 9 53
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 16 Coventry 12 2 10 1.8 1.3 5 3 4 22 16 18
2 11 Norwich 13 4 9 2.4 1.4 6 5 2 31 18 23
3 8 Watford 13 5 8 1.5 0.8 9 2 2 19 10 29
4 13 QPR 14 6 8 1.4 1.4 5 5 4 20 19 20
5 20 Luton 13 5 8 1.4 1.2 6 3 4 18 16 21
6 24 Plymouth 12 4 8 1.8 1.6 4 6 2 22 19 18
7 2 Leeds 13 6 7 2.3 0.5 10 2 1 30 7 32
8 23 Portsmouth 11 4 7 1.5 1.0 4 4 3 17 11 16
9 4 Sunderland 13 7 6 1.7 0.6 9 4 0 22 8 31
10 12 Swansea 13 7 6 1.5 1.1 5 5 3 20 14 20
11 18 Derby 12 6 6 1.6 0.9 6 2 4 19 11 20
12 19 Stoke 14 8 6 1.3 1.2 4 6 4 18 17 18
13 5 Blackburn 14 9 5 1.4 0.8 8 2 4 20 11 26
14 6 Middlesbrough 14 9 5 1.4 1.1 6 5 3 20 15 23
15 9 Bristol City 13 8 5 1.5 0.8 6 5 2 19 10 23
16 10 Sheffield Weds 14 9 5 1.6 1.4 5 5 4 22 20 20
17 17 Oxford 13 8 5 1.5 1.3 6 4 3 19 17 22
18 15 Preston 14 10 4 1.1 0.9 5 7 2 16 12 22
19 22 Hull 14 10 4 1.0 1.3 2 6 6 14 18 12
20 3 Burnley 13 10 3 1.2 0.3 6 7 0 15 4 25
21 7 West Brom 12 9 3 1.1 0.5 5 6 1 13 6 21
22 14 Millwall 13 10 3 1.1 0.8 6 2 5 14 10 20
23 21 Cardiff 13 10 3 1.0 1.4 4 2 7 13 18 14
24 1 Sheffield United 12 10 2 1.4 0.4 9 2 1 17 5 29
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 23 Portsmouth 14 4 10 0.9 2.4 1 4 9 13 33 7
2 8 Watford 13 4 9 1.3 2.1 2 3 8 17 27 9
3 10 Sheffield Weds 12 3 9 1.3 1.7 5 2 5 16 20 17
4 7 West Brom 14 7 7 1.4 1.1 4 7 3 19 15 19
5 15 Preston 12 5 7 1.0 1.8 1 5 6 12 22 8
6 20 Luton 13 6 7 0.7 2.2 1 1 11 9 28 4
7 4 Sunderland 14 8 6 1.2 1.0 5 5 4 17 14 20
8 6 Middlesbrough 12 6 6 1.9 1.4 5 3 4 23 17 18
9 9 Bristol City 13 7 6 1.1 1.5 3 5 5 14 20 14
10 11 Norwich 13 7 6 0.9 1.5 3 4 6 12 19 13
11 12 Swansea 13 7 6 0.8 1.2 4 2 7 10 16 14
12 17 Oxford 13 7 6 0.8 1.8 1 4 8 10 24 7
13 18 Derby 14 8 6 0.9 1.7 1 4 9 12 24 7
14 21 Cardiff 13 7 6 1.0 1.8 1 7 5 13 23 10
15 24 Plymouth 14 8 6 0.2 2.5 0 3 11 3 35 3
16 1 Sheffield United 14 9 5 1.4 0.9 7 4 3 19 12 25
17 16 Coventry 14 9 5 0.9 1.5 2 5 7 12 21 11
18 22 Hull 12 7 5 0.9 1.5 3 2 7 11 18 11
19 5 Blackburn 12 8 4 0.9 1.0 4 4 4 11 12 16
20 2 Leeds 13 10 3 1.4 0.9 5 6 2 18 12 21
21 13 QPR 12 9 3 0.8 1.2 2 6 4 9 15 12
22 14 Millwall 12 9 3 0.8 1.1 1 7 4 10 13 10
23 19 Stoke 12 9 3 0.5 1.2 2 3 7 6 15 9
24 3 Burnley 14 12 2 1.1 0.4 8 4 2 16 5 28

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 30 Oct 2026, 22:44