Cardiff 1–2 Burnley – England Championship, 4 Mar 2025

Match facts

Cardiff Burnley

9 Shots 12

2 Shots on target 5

5 Corners 6

9 Fouls 7

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (416 league matches this season so far).

Result Burnley to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score No fair 1.63

Expected goals 0.77 – 1.28

Home / Draw / Away

23% 29% 48%

CardiffDrawBurnley

Under / Over 2.5 goals

66% 34%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

61% 39%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

13% 0

26% 1

27% 2

19% 3

10% 4

6% 5+

Most likely scores

0–1 16.5% 0–0 12.9% 1–1 12.7%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Cardiff before this match, all matches

1.06points / match

1.09scored / match

1.62conceded / match

8 12 14

WonDrawnLost 34 played · 37:55

Burnley before this match, all matches

2.00points / match

1.26scored / match

0.26conceded / match

18 14 2

WonDrawnLost 34 played · 43:9

Cardiff all matches all matches Burnley

Per match

1.09 Goals scored 1.26

1.62 Goals conceded 0.26

2.71 Total goals 1.53

12.03 Shots 11.59

4.35 Shots on target 3.76

11.94 Shots faced 9.50

4.82 Corners 5.38

5.09 Corners against 3.79

11.82 Fouls 12.18

1.88 Yellow cards 1.82

0.47 1st-half goals scored 0.62

0.65 1st-half goals conceded 0.18

How often Full Time

24% Wins 53%

35% Draws 41%

41% Losses 6%

97% Over 0.5 goals 68%

85% Over 1.5 goals 44%

41% Over 2.5 goals 21%

26% Over 3.5 goals 12%

15% Over 4.5 goals 9%

3% Over 5.5 goals 0%

53% Both teams scored 21%

18% Clean sheets 74%

32% Failed to score 38%

How often Half Time

18% Wins 35%

47% Draws 53%

35% Losses 12%

65% Over 0.5 goals 53%

35% Over 1.5 goals 18%

12% Over 2.5 goals 3%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Cardiff all matches

1

D

1

D

3

W

2

D

2

1

W

7

L

1

2

L

1

D

1

D

1

W

Burnley all matches

D

1

W

D

5

W

D

1

W

2

W

D

4

W

Cardiff before this match, at home

1.41points / match

1.18scored / match

1.18conceded / match

7 3 7

WonDrawnLost 17 played · 20:20

Burnley before this match, away

1.94points / match

1.24scored / match

0.29conceded / match

9 6 2

WonDrawnLost 17 played · 21:5

Cardiff at home away Burnley

Per match

1.18 Goals scored 1.24

1.18 Goals conceded 0.29

2.35 Total goals 1.53

13.82 Shots 10.76

5.41 Shots on target 3.76

10.24 Shots faced 10.53

6.12 Corners 4.18

4.65 Corners against 4.71

11.47 Fouls 13.41

1.65 Yellow cards 2.06

0.35 1st-half goals scored 0.65

0.24 1st-half goals conceded 0.18

How often Full Time

41% Wins 53%

18% Draws 35%

41% Losses 12%

100% Over 0.5 goals 71%

88% Over 1.5 goals 41%

29% Over 2.5 goals 18%

12% Over 3.5 goals 12%

6% Over 4.5 goals 12%

0% Over 5.5 goals 0%

35% Both teams scored 18%

29% Clean sheets 71%

35% Failed to score 41%

How often Half Time

24% Wins 35%

53% Draws 47%

24% Losses 18%

47% Over 0.5 goals 53%

12% Over 1.5 goals 12%

0% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Cardiff at home

1

3

L

2

L

2

L

2

L

1

D

1

D

3

W

2

1

W

1

D

1

W

Burnley away

D

1

W

2

W

2

1

W

2

W

D

1

W

5

W

D

Last 10 matches before this match

Cardiff all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
25.02.25	Cardiff – Hull	1–0 (0–0)	2.70	3.10	2.70	2.10	1.73
22.02.25	Plymouth – Cardiff	1–1 (0–1)	2.63	3.50	2.50	2.00	1.85
15.02.25	Cardiff – Bristol City	1–1 (0–0)	2.80	3.25	2.55	2.10	1.73
11.02.25	Portsmouth – Cardiff	2–1 (2–1)	2.25	3.30	3.20	2.20	1.67
01.02.25	Leeds – Cardiff	7–0 (2–0)	1.29	5.50	9.00	1.73	2.10
25.01.25	Cardiff – Derby	2–1 (0–0)	2.20	3.10	3.40	2.50	1.53
21.01.25	Millwall – Cardiff	2–2 (2–1)	2.15	2.90	3.90	3.00	1.40
18.01.25	Cardiff – Swansea	3–0 (0–0)	2.63	3.25	2.63	2.10	1.73
14.01.25	Cardiff – Watford	1–1 (0–0)	2.25	3.30	3.20	2.10	1.73
04.01.25	Middlesbrough – Cardiff	1–1 (1–1)	1.57	4.20	5.25	1.73	2.10

Burnley all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
21.02.25	Burnley – Sheffield Weds	4–0 (1–0)	1.77	3.25	5.00	2.38	1.57
15.02.25	Preston – Burnley	0–0 (0–0)	3.75	3.25	2.05	2.75	1.44
12.02.25	Burnley – Hull	2–0 (2–0)	1.67	3.50	5.50	2.38	1.57
04.02.25	Burnley – Oxford	1–0 (1–0)	1.48	3.80	7.50	2.20	1.67
01.02.25	Portsmouth – Burnley	0–0 (0–0)	5.00	3.40	1.75	2.20	1.67
27.01.25	Burnley – Leeds	0–0 (0–0)	3.00	3.30	2.30	2.50	1.53
22.01.25	Plymouth – Burnley	0–5 (0–5)	6.00	3.60	1.60	2.05	1.68
17.01.25	Burnley – Sunderland	0–0 (0–0)	2.15	3.30	3.40	2.63	1.50
04.01.25	Blackburn – Burnley	0–1 (0–0)	3.20	3.40	2.20	2.38	1.57
01.01.25	Burnley – Stoke	0–0 (0–0)	1.53	3.80	6.50	2.20	1.67

Cardiff at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
25.02.25	Cardiff – Hull	1–0 (0–0)	2.70	3.10	2.70	2.10	1.73
15.02.25	Cardiff – Bristol City	1–1 (0–0)	2.80	3.25	2.55	2.10	1.73
25.01.25	Cardiff – Derby	2–1 (0–0)	2.20	3.10	3.40	2.50	1.53
18.01.25	Cardiff – Swansea	3–0 (0–0)	2.63	3.25	2.63	2.10	1.73
14.01.25	Cardiff – Watford	1–1 (0–0)	2.25	3.30	3.20	2.10	1.73
01.01.25	Cardiff – Coventry	1–1 (1–0)	2.88	3.50	2.30	1.88	1.98
21.12.24	Cardiff – Sheffield United	0–2 (0–0)	3.70	3.40	2.00	2.10	1.73
11.12.24	Cardiff – Preston	0–2 (0–0)	2.25	3.20	3.20	2.20	1.67
27.11.24	Cardiff – QPR	0–2 (0–1)	1.95	3.50	3.80	2.00	1.80
09.11.24	Cardiff – Blackburn	1–3 (0–1)	2.30	3.40	3.00	1.95	1.90

Burnley away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
15.02.25	Preston – Burnley	0–0 (0–0)	3.75	3.25	2.05	2.75	1.44
01.02.25	Portsmouth – Burnley	0–0 (0–0)	5.00	3.40	1.75	2.20	1.67
22.01.25	Plymouth – Burnley	0–5 (0–5)	6.00	3.60	1.60	2.05	1.68
04.01.25	Blackburn – Burnley	0–1 (0–0)	3.20	3.40	2.20	2.38	1.57
29.12.24	Middlesbrough – Burnley	0–0 (0–0)	2.25	3.25	3.10	2.10	1.73
26.12.24	Sheffield United – Burnley	0–2 (0–1)	2.40	3.20	3.00	2.38	1.57
15.12.24	Norwich – Burnley	1–2 (1–0)	2.88	3.20	2.50	2.10	1.73
30.11.24	Stoke – Burnley	0–2 (0–0)	3.00	3.40	2.30	2.20	1.67
23.11.24	Bristol City – Burnley	0–1 (0–1)	2.70	3.25	2.63	2.30	1.62
07.11.24	West Brom – Burnley	0–0 (0–0)	2.25	3.20	3.25	2.38	1.57

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1 2

Cardiff winsDrawsBurnley wins

3matches

3.33goals / match

67%over 2.5

33%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
17.08.24E1	Burnley – Cardiff	5–0 (2–0)	1.45	4.20	7.00	1.73	2.08
08.05.23E1	Burnley – Cardiff	3–0 (2–0)	1.33	4.75	10.00	1.67	2.20
01.10.22E1	Cardiff – Burnley	1–1 (0–0)	3.00	3.25	2.45	2.10	1.72

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leeds	35	22	10	3	72	22	+50	76
2	Sheffield United	35	23	6	6	50	27	+23	75
3	Burnley	34	18	14	2	43	9	+34	68
4	Sunderland	35	18	11	6	52	32	+20	65
5	Coventry	35	15	8	12	49	44	+5	53
6	West Brom	35	12	16	7	45	32	+13	52
7	Blackburn	35	15	7	13	40	35	+5	52
8	Middlesbrough	35	14	8	13	55	46	+9	50
9	Bristol City	34	12	13	9	43	38	+5	49
10	Watford	35	14	7	14	45	48	-3	49
11	Norwich	35	12	12	11	56	48	+8	48
12	Millwall	34	11	12	11	34	34	0	45
13	Sheffield Weds	35	12	9	14	47	56	-9	45
14	QPR	35	11	11	13	41	45	-4	44
15	Preston	34	9	15	10	36	41	-5	42
16	Swansea	34	11	7	16	37	46	-9	40
17	Portsmouth	35	10	9	16	43	57	-14	39
18	Oxford	35	9	11	15	36	52	-16	38
19	Stoke	35	8	12	15	34	47	-13	36
20	Cardiff	34	8	12	14	37	55	-18	36
21	Hull	34	8	9	17	33	44	-11	33
22	Luton	35	8	7	20	32	55	-23	31
23	Plymouth	34	6	12	16	36	68	-32	30
24	Derby	35	7	8	20	33	48	-15	29

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leeds	18	14	3	1	45	9	+36	45
2	Sheffield United	17	12	2	3	25	13	+12	38
3	Sunderland	17	10	6	1	28	13	+15	36
4	Burnley	17	9	8	0	22	4	+18	35
5	Blackburn	18	10	3	5	25	15	+10	33
6	Bristol City	17	9	5	3	25	13	+12	32
7	Watford	17	10	2	5	22	17	+5	32
8	West Brom	17	8	7	2	23	11	+12	31
9	Norwich	17	8	6	3	41	23	+18	30
10	Coventry	17	9	3	5	28	20	+8	30
11	Portsmouth	17	8	5	4	26	16	+10	29
12	Middlesbrough	18	8	5	5	25	19	+6	29
13	Oxford	18	8	5	5	26	25	+1	29
14	Preston	17	6	9	2	19	14	+5	27
15	QPR	18	7	5	6	27	24	+3	26
16	Luton	18	7	5	6	20	19	+1	26
17	Millwall	17	7	4	6	19	15	+4	25
18	Plymouth	17	6	7	4	30	28	+2	25
19	Cardiff	17	7	3	7	20	20	0	24
20	Swansea	17	6	5	6	24	19	+5	23
21	Stoke	18	5	8	5	22	21	+1	23
22	Sheffield Weds	18	5	7	6	27	27	0	22
23	Derby	17	6	3	8	19	16	+3	21
24	Hull	17	2	7	8	17	23	-6	13

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Sheffield United	18	11	4	3	25	14	+11	37
2	Burnley	17	9	6	2	21	5	+16	33
3	Leeds	17	8	7	2	27	13	+14	31
4	Sunderland	18	8	5	5	24	19	+5	29
5	Coventry	18	6	5	7	21	24	-3	23
6	Sheffield Weds	17	7	2	8	20	29	-9	23
7	Middlesbrough	17	6	3	8	30	27	+3	21
8	West Brom	18	4	9	5	22	21	+1	21
9	Millwall	17	4	8	5	15	19	-4	20
10	Hull	17	6	2	9	16	21	-5	20
11	Blackburn	17	5	4	8	15	20	-5	19
12	QPR	17	4	6	7	14	21	-7	18
13	Norwich	18	4	6	8	15	25	-10	18
14	Bristol City	17	3	8	6	18	25	-7	17
15	Watford	18	4	5	9	23	31	-8	17
16	Swansea	17	5	2	10	13	27	-14	17
17	Preston	17	3	6	8	17	27	-10	15
18	Stoke	17	3	4	10	12	26	-14	13
19	Cardiff	17	1	9	7	17	35	-18	12
20	Portsmouth	18	2	4	12	17	41	-24	10
21	Oxford	17	1	6	10	10	27	-17	9
22	Derby	18	1	5	12	14	32	-18	8
23	Luton	17	1	2	14	12	36	-24	5
24	Plymouth	17	0	5	12	6	40	-34	5

Cardiff Burnley

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	17	Portsmouth	35	12	23	1.2	1.6	10	9	16	43	57	39
2	10	Watford	35	14	21	1.3	1.4	14	7	14	45	48	49
3	13	Sheffield Weds	35	15	20	1.3	1.6	12	9	14	47	56	45
4	5	Coventry	35	16	19	1.4	1.3	15	8	12	49	44	53
5	23	Plymouth	34	16	18	1.1	2.0	6	12	16	36	68	30
6	4	Sunderland	35	18	17	1.5	0.9	18	11	6	52	32	65
7	8	Middlesbrough	35	18	17	1.6	1.3	14	8	13	55	46	50
8	11	Norwich	35	18	17	1.6	1.4	12	12	11	56	48	48
9	14	QPR	35	18	17	1.2	1.3	11	11	13	41	45	44
10	16	Swansea	34	17	17	1.1	1.4	11	7	16	37	46	40
11	22	Luton	35	19	16	0.9	1.6	8	7	20	32	55	31
12	1	Leeds	35	20	15	2.1	0.6	22	10	3	72	22	76
13	15	Preston	34	19	15	1.1	1.2	9	15	10	36	41	42
14	9	Bristol City	34	20	14	1.3	1.1	12	13	9	43	38	49
15	19	Stoke	35	21	14	1.0	1.3	8	12	15	34	47	36
16	20	Cardiff	34	20	14	1.1	1.6	8	12	14	37	55	36
17	24	Derby	35	21	14	0.9	1.4	7	8	20	33	48	29
18	2	Sheffield United	35	22	13	1.4	0.8	23	6	6	50	27	75
19	6	West Brom	35	22	13	1.3	0.9	12	16	7	45	32	52
20	7	Blackburn	35	22	13	1.1	1.0	15	7	13	40	35	52
21	18	Oxford	35	22	13	1.0	1.5	9	11	15	36	52	38
22	21	Hull	34	22	12	1.0	1.3	8	9	17	33	44	33
23	12	Millwall	34	25	9	1.0	1.0	11	12	11	34	34	45
24	3	Burnley	34	27	7	1.3	0.3	18	14	2	43	9	68

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	5	Coventry	17	5	12	1.6	1.2	9	3	5	28	20	30
2	11	Norwich	17	6	11	2.4	1.4	8	6	3	41	23	30
3	14	QPR	18	7	11	1.5	1.3	7	5	6	27	24	26
4	17	Portsmouth	17	6	11	1.5	0.9	8	5	4	26	16	29
5	23	Plymouth	17	6	11	1.8	1.6	6	7	4	30	28	25
6	1	Leeds	18	8	10	2.5	0.5	14	3	1	45	9	45
7	10	Watford	17	7	10	1.3	1.0	10	2	5	22	17	32
8	4	Sunderland	17	9	8	1.6	0.8	10	6	1	28	13	36
9	13	Sheffield Weds	18	10	8	1.5	1.5	5	7	6	27	27	22
10	16	Swansea	17	9	8	1.4	1.1	6	5	6	24	19	23
11	19	Stoke	18	10	8	1.2	1.2	5	8	5	22	21	23
12	22	Luton	18	10	8	1.1	1.1	7	5	6	20	19	26
13	9	Bristol City	17	10	7	1.5	0.8	9	5	3	25	13	32
14	18	Oxford	18	11	7	1.4	1.4	8	5	5	26	25	29
15	2	Sheffield United	17	11	6	1.5	0.8	12	2	3	25	13	38
16	7	Blackburn	18	12	6	1.4	0.8	10	3	5	25	15	33
17	8	Middlesbrough	18	12	6	1.4	1.1	8	5	5	25	19	29
18	21	Hull	17	11	6	1.0	1.4	2	7	8	17	23	13
19	24	Derby	17	11	6	1.1	0.9	6	3	8	19	16	21
20	6	West Brom	17	12	5	1.4	0.6	8	7	2	23	11	31
21	12	Millwall	17	12	5	1.1	0.9	7	4	6	19	15	25
22	15	Preston	17	12	5	1.1	0.8	6	9	2	19	14	27
23	20	Cardiff	17	12	5	1.2	1.2	7	3	7	20	20	24
24	3	Burnley	17	13	4	1.3	0.2	9	8	0	22	4	35

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	13	Sheffield Weds	17	5	12	1.2	1.7	7	2	8	20	29	23
2	17	Portsmouth	18	6	12	0.9	2.3	2	4	12	17	41	10
3	8	Middlesbrough	17	6	11	1.8	1.6	6	3	8	30	27	21
4	10	Watford	18	7	11	1.3	1.7	4	5	9	23	31	17
5	15	Preston	17	7	10	1.0	1.6	3	6	8	17	27	15
6	4	Sunderland	18	9	9	1.3	1.1	8	5	5	24	19	29
7	16	Swansea	17	8	9	0.8	1.6	5	2	10	13	27	17
8	20	Cardiff	17	8	9	1.0	2.1	1	9	7	17	35	12
9	6	West Brom	18	10	8	1.2	1.2	4	9	5	22	21	21
10	22	Luton	17	9	8	0.7	2.1	1	2	14	12	36	5
11	24	Derby	18	10	8	0.8	1.8	1	5	12	14	32	8
12	2	Sheffield United	18	11	7	1.4	0.8	11	4	3	25	14	37
13	5	Coventry	18	11	7	1.2	1.3	6	5	7	21	24	23
14	7	Blackburn	17	10	7	0.9	1.2	5	4	8	15	20	19
15	9	Bristol City	17	10	7	1.1	1.5	3	8	6	18	25	17
16	23	Plymouth	17	10	7	0.4	2.4	0	5	12	6	40	5
17	11	Norwich	18	12	6	0.8	1.4	4	6	8	15	25	18
18	14	QPR	17	11	6	0.8	1.2	4	6	7	14	21	18
19	18	Oxford	17	11	6	0.6	1.6	1	6	10	10	27	9
20	19	Stoke	17	11	6	0.7	1.5	3	4	10	12	26	13
21	21	Hull	17	11	6	0.9	1.2	6	2	9	16	21	20
22	1	Leeds	17	12	5	1.6	0.8	8	7	2	27	13	31
23	12	Millwall	17	13	4	0.9	1.1	4	8	5	15	19	20
24	3	Burnley	17	14	3	1.2	0.3	9	6	2	21	5	33

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.