Leeds 2–0 Millwall – England Championship, 12 Mar 2025

Match facts

Leeds Millwall

18 Shots 4

2 Shots on target 0

4 Corners 3

7 Fouls 12

0 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (439 league matches this season so far).

Result Leeds to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score No fair 1.73

Expected goals 1.84 – 0.70

Home / Draw / Away

65% 22% 14%

LeedsDrawMillwall

Under / Over 2.5 goals

54% 47%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

58% 42%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

8% 0

20% 1

26% 2

22% 3

14% 4

11% 5+

Most likely scores

1–0 14.5% 2–0 13.3% 1–1 10.2%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Leeds before this match, all matches

2.11points / match

2.00scored / match

0.64conceded / match

22 10 4

WonDrawnLost 36 played · 72:23

Millwall before this match, all matches

1.33points / match

1.00scored / match

1.03conceded / match

12 12 12

WonDrawnLost 36 played · 36:37

Leeds all matches all matches Millwall

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 1.00

0.64 Goals conceded 1.03

2.64 Total goals 2.03

16.86 Shots 11.44

5.72 Shots on target 3.69

6.58 Shots faced 10.42

7.44 Corners 4.86

3.17 Corners against 5.28

10.69 Fouls 12.44

1.50 Yellow cards 1.78

0.81 1st-half goals scored 0.39

0.39 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

61% Wins 33%

28% Draws 33%

11% Losses 33%

92% Over 0.5 goals 92%

78% Over 1.5 goals 50%

42% Over 2.5 goals 28%

25% Over 3.5 goals 17%

11% Over 4.5 goals 8%

11% Over 5.5 goals 6%

33% Both teams scored 44%

56% Clean sheets 33%

19% Failed to score 31%

How often Half Time

44% Wins 25%

28% Draws 44%

28% Losses 31%

78% Over 0.5 goals 61%

31% Over 1.5 goals 22%

11% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Leeds all matches

3

W

2

W

D

7

W

2

W

4

W

2

1

W

3

1

W

1

D

1

L

Millwall all matches

2

D

1

W

1

W

2

1

W

1

5

L

1

D

1

D

1

W

2

L

2

1

W

Leeds before this match, at home

2.50points / match

2.50scored / match

0.50conceded / match

14 3 1

WonDrawnLost 18 played · 45:9

Millwall before this match, away

1.28points / match

0.94scored / match

1.11conceded / match

5 8 5

WonDrawnLost 18 played · 17:20

Leeds at home away Millwall

Per match

2.50 Goals scored 0.94

0.50 Goals conceded 1.11

3.00 Total goals 2.06

18.56 Shots 10.72

6.44 Shots on target 3.72

5.39 Shots faced 11.50

8.89 Corners 4.83

2.50 Corners against 5.56

10.72 Fouls 12.78

1.33 Yellow cards 2.17

1.06 1st-half goals scored 0.28

0.28 1st-half goals conceded 0.61

How often Full Time

78% Wins 28%

17% Draws 44%

6% Losses 28%

100% Over 0.5 goals 83%

94% Over 1.5 goals 50%

56% Over 2.5 goals 28%

22% Over 3.5 goals 17%

11% Over 4.5 goals 11%

11% Over 5.5 goals 11%

33% Both teams scored 50%

61% Clean sheets 39%

6% Failed to score 28%

How often Half Time

61% Wins 22%

22% Draws 39%

17% Losses 39%

83% Over 0.5 goals 67%

39% Over 1.5 goals 22%

11% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Leeds at home

3

W

2

W

3

1

W

4

W

1

D

3

W

2

W

7

W

2

1

W

1

D

Millwall away

1

L

1

2

L

D

2

D

1

W

1

W

1

5

L

1

D

1

W

2

1

W

Last 10 matches before this match

Leeds all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
09.03.25	Portsmouth – Leeds	1–0 (0–0)	7.50	4.50	1.40	1.73	2.10
01.03.25	Leeds – West Brom	1–1 (1–1)	1.36	4.50	9.00	1.80	2.00
24.02.25	Sheffield United – Leeds	1–3 (1–0)	3.90	3.70	1.85	2.05	1.80
17.02.25	Leeds – Sunderland	2–1 (0–1)	1.53	4.00	6.00	1.93	1.93
11.02.25	Watford – Leeds	0–4 (0–3)	10.00	4.75	1.33	1.73	2.10
05.02.25	Coventry – Leeds	0–2 (0–2)	4.00	3.60	1.85	1.93	1.93
01.02.25	Leeds – Cardiff	7–0 (2–0)	1.29	5.50	9.00	1.73	2.10
27.01.25	Burnley – Leeds	0–0 (0–0)	3.00	3.30	2.30	2.50	1.53
22.01.25	Leeds – Norwich	2–0 (1–0)	1.38	4.50	8.00	1.68	2.05
19.01.25	Leeds – Sheffield Weds	3–0 (1–0)	1.36	5.00	7.50	1.80	2.00

Millwall all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
08.03.25	Watford – Millwall	1–2 (1–0)	2.30	3.25	3.10	2.45	1.49
04.03.25	Millwall – Bristol City	0–2 (0–0)	2.75	3.00	2.75	2.75	1.44
22.02.25	Derby – Millwall	0–1 (0–0)	2.50	2.90	3.25	3.00	1.40
18.02.25	Preston – Millwall	1–1 (0–1)	2.40	2.88	3.30	3.20	1.36
15.02.25	Millwall – West Brom	1–1 (1–1)	2.63	3.20	2.75	2.50	1.53
12.02.25	Plymouth – Millwall	5–1 (2–0)	3.40	3.10	2.20	2.50	1.53
01.02.25	Millwall – QPR	2–1 (2–1)	2.20	3.10	3.50	2.75	1.44
28.01.25	Portsmouth – Millwall	0–1 (0–1)	2.50	3.00	3.10	2.63	1.50
25.01.25	Luton – Millwall	0–1 (0–0)	2.20	3.30	3.25	2.63	1.50
21.01.25	Millwall – Cardiff	2–2 (2–1)	2.15	2.90	3.90	3.00	1.40

Leeds at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
01.03.25	Leeds – West Brom	1–1 (1–1)	1.36	4.50	9.00	1.80	2.00
17.02.25	Leeds – Sunderland	2–1 (0–1)	1.53	4.00	6.00	1.93	1.93
01.02.25	Leeds – Cardiff	7–0 (2–0)	1.29	5.50	9.00	1.73	2.10
22.01.25	Leeds – Norwich	2–0 (1–0)	1.38	4.50	8.00	1.68	2.05
19.01.25	Leeds – Sheffield Weds	3–0 (1–0)	1.36	5.00	7.50	1.80	2.00
01.01.25	Leeds – Blackburn	1–1 (0–0)	1.36	5.00	7.50	1.90	1.95
21.12.24	Leeds – Oxford	4–0 (1–0)	1.14	7.50	19.00	1.53	2.50
10.12.24	Leeds – Middlesbrough	3–1 (1–0)	1.70	3.70	4.75	1.93	1.93
07.12.24	Leeds – Derby	2–0 (2–0)	1.36	4.75	8.50	1.88	1.98
27.11.24	Leeds – Luton	3–0 (2–0)	1.42	4.20	8.00	1.80	2.00

Millwall away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
08.03.25	Watford – Millwall	1–2 (1–0)	2.30	3.25	3.10	2.45	1.49
22.02.25	Derby – Millwall	0–1 (0–0)	2.50	2.90	3.25	3.00	1.40
18.02.25	Preston – Millwall	1–1 (0–1)	2.40	2.88	3.30	3.20	1.36
12.02.25	Plymouth – Millwall	5–1 (2–0)	3.40	3.10	2.20	2.50	1.53
28.01.25	Portsmouth – Millwall	0–1 (0–1)	2.50	3.00	3.10	2.63	1.50
25.01.25	Luton – Millwall	0–1 (0–0)	2.20	3.30	3.25	2.63	1.50
04.01.25	Sheffield Weds – Millwall	2–2 (1–0)	2.10	3.40	3.40	2.50	1.53
29.12.24	Coventry – Millwall	0–0 (0–0)	1.80	3.70	4.33	2.20	1.67
26.12.24	Norwich – Millwall	2–1 (2–0)	2.15	3.20	3.50	2.20	1.67
14.12.24	Middlesbrough – Millwall	1–0 (1–0)	1.70	3.80	4.75	2.10	1.73

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

2 1

Leeds winsDrawsMillwall wins

3matches

2.00goals / match

33%over 2.5

0%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
06.11.24E1	Millwall – Leeds	1–0 (1–0)	4.10	3.40	1.90	2.30	1.62
17.03.24E1	Leeds – Millwall	2–0 (1–0)	1.36	5.00	8.50	1.70	2.10
17.09.23E1	Millwall – Leeds	0–3 (0–1)	3.00	3.40	2.38	2.00	1.80

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Sheffield United	37	24	7	6	52	28	+24	79
2	Leeds	36	22	10	4	72	23	+49	76
3	Burnley	37	20	15	2	50	11	+39	75
4	Sunderland	37	19	12	6	55	34	+21	69
5	West Brom	37	13	17	7	47	33	+14	56
6	Coventry	37	16	8	13	52	48	+4	56
7	Bristol City	37	13	15	9	47	40	+7	54
8	Middlesbrough	37	15	8	14	57	48	+9	53
9	Blackburn	36	15	7	14	41	37	+4	52
10	Sheffield Weds	37	14	9	14	53	58	-5	51
11	Norwich	37	12	13	12	59	52	+7	49
12	Watford	36	14	7	15	46	50	-4	49
13	Millwall	36	12	12	12	36	37	-1	48
14	QPR	37	11	11	15	42	48	-6	44
15	Preston	37	9	17	11	37	43	-6	44
16	Swansea	36	12	8	16	38	46	-8	44
17	Portsmouth	36	11	9	16	44	57	-13	42
18	Oxford	36	9	12	15	37	53	-16	39
19	Hull	36	9	10	17	36	45	-9	37
20	Stoke	36	8	12	16	36	50	-14	36
21	Cardiff	37	8	12	17	40	61	-21	36
22	Derby	37	9	8	20	37	49	-12	35
23	Luton	37	9	7	21	34	60	-26	34
24	Plymouth	36	6	12	18	36	73	-37	30

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leeds	18	14	3	1	45	9	+36	45
2	Sheffield United	19	13	3	3	27	14	+13	42
3	Sunderland	19	11	7	1	31	15	+16	40
4	Burnley	19	10	9	0	27	5	+22	39
5	West Brom	18	9	7	2	24	11	+13	34
6	Bristol City	18	9	6	3	26	14	+12	33
7	Blackburn	18	10	3	5	25	15	+10	33
8	Coventry	18	10	3	5	31	22	+9	33
9	Portsmouth	18	9	5	4	27	16	+11	32
10	Middlesbrough	19	9	5	5	27	20	+7	32
11	Watford	18	10	2	6	23	19	+4	32
12	Norwich	19	8	7	4	44	27	+17	31
13	Oxford	18	8	5	5	26	25	+1	29
14	Preston	18	6	10	2	19	14	+5	28
15	Derby	19	8	3	8	23	17	+6	27
16	Swansea	18	7	5	6	25	19	+6	26
17	QPR	18	7	5	6	27	24	+3	26
18	Luton	18	7	5	6	20	19	+1	26
19	Millwall	18	7	4	7	19	17	+2	25
20	Plymouth	18	6	7	5	30	31	-1	25
21	Cardiff	19	7	3	9	22	24	-2	24
22	Stoke	18	5	8	5	22	21	+1	23
23	Sheffield Weds	18	5	7	6	27	27	0	22
24	Hull	18	3	7	8	19	23	-4	16

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Sheffield United	18	11	4	3	25	14	+11	37
2	Burnley	18	10	6	2	23	6	+17	36
3	Leeds	18	8	7	3	27	14	+13	31
4	Sunderland	18	8	5	5	24	19	+5	29
5	Sheffield Weds	19	9	2	8	26	31	-5	29
6	Millwall	18	5	8	5	17	20	-3	23
7	Coventry	19	6	5	8	21	26	-5	23
8	West Brom	19	4	10	5	23	22	+1	22
9	Middlesbrough	18	6	3	9	30	28	+2	21
10	Bristol City	19	4	9	6	21	26	-5	21
11	Hull	18	6	3	9	17	22	-5	21
12	Blackburn	18	5	4	9	16	22	-6	19
13	QPR	19	4	6	9	15	24	-9	18
14	Norwich	18	4	6	8	15	25	-10	18
15	Swansea	18	5	3	10	13	27	-14	18
16	Watford	18	4	5	9	23	31	-8	17
17	Preston	19	3	7	9	18	29	-11	16
18	Stoke	18	3	4	11	14	29	-15	13
19	Cardiff	18	1	9	8	18	37	-19	12
20	Oxford	18	1	7	10	11	28	-17	10
21	Portsmouth	18	2	4	12	17	41	-24	10
22	Derby	18	1	5	12	14	32	-18	8
23	Luton	19	2	2	15	14	41	-27	8
24	Plymouth	18	0	5	13	6	42	-36	5

Leeds Millwall

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	17	Portsmouth	36	13	23	1.2	1.6	11	9	16	44	57	42
2	10	Sheffield Weds	37	15	22	1.4	1.6	14	9	14	53	58	51
3	12	Watford	36	14	22	1.3	1.4	14	7	15	46	50	49
4	6	Coventry	37	17	20	1.4	1.3	16	8	13	52	48	56
5	24	Plymouth	36	17	19	1.0	2.0	6	12	18	36	73	30
6	4	Sunderland	37	19	18	1.5	0.9	19	12	6	55	34	69
7	8	Middlesbrough	37	19	18	1.5	1.3	15	8	14	57	48	53
8	11	Norwich	37	19	18	1.6	1.4	12	13	12	59	52	49
9	14	QPR	37	19	18	1.1	1.3	11	11	15	42	48	44
10	23	Luton	37	19	18	0.9	1.6	9	7	21	34	60	34
11	16	Swansea	36	19	17	1.1	1.3	12	8	16	38	46	44
12	21	Cardiff	37	20	17	1.1	1.6	8	12	17	40	61	36
13	2	Leeds	36	21	15	2.0	0.6	22	10	4	72	23	76
14	15	Preston	37	22	15	1.0	1.2	9	17	11	37	43	44
15	20	Stoke	36	21	15	1.0	1.4	8	12	16	36	50	36
16	22	Derby	37	22	15	1.0	1.3	9	8	20	37	49	35
17	7	Bristol City	37	23	14	1.3	1.1	13	15	9	47	40	54
18	9	Blackburn	36	22	14	1.1	1.0	15	7	14	41	37	52
19	1	Sheffield United	37	24	13	1.4	0.8	24	7	6	52	28	79
20	5	West Brom	37	24	13	1.3	0.9	13	17	7	47	33	56
21	18	Oxford	36	23	13	1.0	1.5	9	12	15	37	53	39
22	19	Hull	36	24	12	1.0	1.2	9	10	17	36	45	37
23	13	Millwall	36	26	10	1.0	1.0	12	12	12	36	37	48
24	3	Burnley	37	28	9	1.4	0.3	20	15	2	50	11	75

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	6	Coventry	18	5	13	1.7	1.2	10	3	5	31	22	33
2	11	Norwich	19	7	12	2.3	1.4	8	7	4	44	27	31
3	24	Plymouth	18	6	12	1.7	1.7	6	7	5	30	31	25
4	12	Watford	18	7	11	1.3	1.1	10	2	6	23	19	32
5	14	QPR	18	7	11	1.5	1.3	7	5	6	27	24	26
6	17	Portsmouth	18	7	11	1.5	0.9	9	5	4	27	16	32
7	2	Leeds	18	8	10	2.5	0.5	14	3	1	45	9	45
8	4	Sunderland	19	10	9	1.6	0.8	11	7	1	31	15	40
9	10	Sheffield Weds	18	10	8	1.5	1.5	5	7	6	27	27	22
10	16	Swansea	18	10	8	1.4	1.1	7	5	6	25	19	26
11	20	Stoke	18	10	8	1.2	1.2	5	8	5	22	21	23
12	23	Luton	18	10	8	1.1	1.1	7	5	6	20	19	26
13	7	Bristol City	18	11	7	1.4	0.8	9	6	3	26	14	33
14	8	Middlesbrough	19	12	7	1.4	1.1	9	5	5	27	20	32
15	18	Oxford	18	11	7	1.4	1.4	8	5	5	26	25	29
16	21	Cardiff	19	12	7	1.2	1.3	7	3	9	22	24	24
17	22	Derby	19	12	7	1.2	0.9	8	3	8	23	17	27
18	1	Sheffield United	19	13	6	1.4	0.7	13	3	3	27	14	42
19	9	Blackburn	18	12	6	1.4	0.8	10	3	5	25	15	33
20	19	Hull	18	12	6	1.1	1.3	3	7	8	19	23	16
21	3	Burnley	19	14	5	1.4	0.3	10	9	0	27	5	39
22	5	West Brom	18	13	5	1.3	0.6	9	7	2	24	11	34
23	13	Millwall	18	13	5	1.1	0.9	7	4	7	19	17	25
24	15	Preston	18	13	5	1.1	0.8	6	10	2	19	14	28

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	10	Sheffield Weds	19	5	14	1.4	1.6	9	2	8	26	31	29
2	17	Portsmouth	18	6	12	0.9	2.3	2	4	12	17	41	10
3	8	Middlesbrough	18	7	11	1.7	1.6	6	3	9	30	28	21
4	12	Watford	18	7	11	1.3	1.7	4	5	9	23	31	17
5	15	Preston	19	9	10	0.9	1.5	3	7	9	18	29	16
6	21	Cardiff	18	8	10	1.0	2.1	1	9	8	18	37	12
7	23	Luton	19	9	10	0.7	2.2	2	2	15	14	41	8
8	4	Sunderland	18	9	9	1.3	1.1	8	5	5	24	19	29
9	16	Swansea	18	9	9	0.7	1.5	5	3	10	13	27	18
10	5	West Brom	19	11	8	1.2	1.2	4	10	5	23	22	22
11	9	Blackburn	18	10	8	0.9	1.2	5	4	9	16	22	19
12	22	Derby	18	10	8	0.8	1.8	1	5	12	14	32	8
13	1	Sheffield United	18	11	7	1.4	0.8	11	4	3	25	14	37
14	6	Coventry	19	12	7	1.1	1.4	6	5	8	21	26	23
15	7	Bristol City	19	12	7	1.1	1.4	4	9	6	21	26	21
16	14	QPR	19	12	7	0.8	1.3	4	6	9	15	24	18
17	20	Stoke	18	11	7	0.8	1.6	3	4	11	14	29	13
18	24	Plymouth	18	11	7	0.3	2.3	0	5	13	6	42	5
19	11	Norwich	18	12	6	0.8	1.4	4	6	8	15	25	18
20	18	Oxford	18	12	6	0.6	1.6	1	7	10	11	28	10
21	19	Hull	18	12	6	0.9	1.2	6	3	9	17	22	21
22	2	Leeds	18	13	5	1.5	0.8	8	7	3	27	14	31
23	13	Millwall	18	13	5	0.9	1.1	5	8	5	17	20	23
24	3	Burnley	18	14	4	1.3	0.3	10	6	2	23	6	36

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.