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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: J Bell

Leeds 4–0 Oxford

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 1.14 fair 1.49
Draw 7.50 fair 5.10
Away 19.00 fair 7.53
Under 2.5 2.50 fair 2.23
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.53 fair 1.82

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Leeds Oxford
23 Shots 6
9 Shots on target 0
5 Corners 0
7 Fouls 7
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (252 league matches this season so far).
Result Leeds to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.93
Expected goals 2.08 – 0.80
Home / Draw / Away
LeedsDrawOxford
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–0 12.1% 1–0 11.6% 2–1 9.7%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Leeds before this match, all matches
2.00points / match
1.76scored / match
0.71conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 37:15
Oxford before this match, all matches
0.90points / match
1.05scored / match
1.65conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 21:33
Leeds all matches all matches Oxford

Per match

1.76 Goals scored 1.05
0.71 Goals conceded 1.65
2.48 Total goals 2.70
16.38 Shots 9.60
5.48 Shots on target 3.50
6.62 Shots faced 14.70
7.10 Corners 3.55
3.24 Corners against 7.45
11.62 Fouls 9.70
1.76 Yellow cards 1.50
0.81 1st-half goals scored 0.45
0.48 1st-half goals conceded 0.80

How often Full Time

57% Wins 20%
29% Draws 30%
14% Losses 50%
90% Over 0.5 goals 95%
76% Over 1.5 goals 80%
38% Over 2.5 goals 45%
19% Over 3.5 goals 25%
10% Over 4.5 goals 10%
10% Over 5.5 goals 5%
33% Both teams scored 60%
52% Clean sheets 20%
24% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

43% Wins 15%
24% Draws 45%
33% Losses 40%
81% Over 0.5 goals 70%
33% Over 1.5 goals 35%
14% Over 2.5 goals 15%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Leeds all matches
Oxford all matches
Leeds before this match, at home
2.55points / match
2.27scored / match
0.55conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 25:6
Oxford before this match, away
0.22points / match
0.78scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 7:18
Leeds at home away Oxford

Per match

2.27 Goals scored 0.78
0.55 Goals conceded 2.00
2.82 Total goals 2.78
18.55 Shots 9.67
6.64 Shots on target 3.00
5.73 Shots faced 16.67
8.64 Corners 3.78
2.55 Corners against 7.56
11.00 Fouls 10.44
1.27 Yellow cards 2.00
1.18 1st-half goals scored 0.44
0.27 1st-half goals conceded 0.89

How often Full Time

82% Wins 0%
9% Draws 22%
9% Losses 78%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
91% Over 1.5 goals 89%
55% Over 2.5 goals 56%
18% Over 3.5 goals 22%
9% Over 4.5 goals 11%
9% Over 5.5 goals 0%
27% Both teams scored 56%
64% Clean sheets 0%
9% Failed to score 44%

How often Half Time

64% Wins 11%
18% Draws 44%
18% Losses 44%
82% Over 0.5 goals 67%
45% Over 1.5 goals 44%
18% Over 2.5 goals 22%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Leeds at home
Oxford away

Last 10 matches before this match

Leeds all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.12.24 Preston – Leeds 1–1 (1–0) 4.754.001.67 2.10 1.73
10.12.24 Leeds – Middlesbrough 3–1 (1–0) 1.703.704.75 1.93 1.93
07.12.24 Leeds – Derby 2–0 (2–0) 1.364.758.50 1.88 1.98
30.11.24 Blackburn – Leeds 1–0 (1–0) 4.203.701.80 2.00 1.85
27.11.24 Leeds – Luton 3–0 (2–0) 1.424.208.00 1.80 2.00
24.11.24 Swansea – Leeds 3–4 (2–1) 4.103.901.80 2.10 1.73
09.11.24 Leeds – QPR 2–0 (1–0) 1.255.5012.00 1.67 2.20
06.11.24 Millwall – Leeds 1–0 (1–0) 4.103.401.90 2.30 1.62
02.11.24 Leeds – Plymouth 3–0 (3–0) 1.188.0011.00 1.44 2.75
26.10.24 Bristol City – Leeds 0–0 (0–0) 4.103.601.82 1.93 1.93

Oxford all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.12.24 Oxford – Sheffield Weds 1–3 (1–1) 3.253.252.25 2.10 1.73
11.12.24 QPR – Oxford 2–0 (0–0) 1.953.603.60 2.10 1.73
30.11.24 Oxford – Millwall 1–1 (0–1) 3.403.502.10 2.38 1.57
26.11.24 Sheffield United – Oxford 3–0 (2–0) 1.404.338.50 1.98 1.88
23.11.24 Oxford – Middlesbrough 2–6 (1–3) 5.004.201.60 1.83 2.03
08.11.24 Watford – Oxford 1–0 (0–0) 1.673.705.00 1.93 1.93
05.11.24 Oxford – Hull 1–0 (0–0) 3.003.302.30 1.98 1.88
02.11.24 Oxford – Swansea 1–2 (0–1) 2.753.202.70 2.20 1.67
26.10.24 Sunderland – Oxford 2–0 (1–0) 1.554.205.50 1.80 2.00
22.10.24 Oxford – Derby 1–1 (1–0) 2.553.252.75 2.10 1.73

Leeds at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.12.24 Leeds – Middlesbrough 3–1 (1–0) 1.703.704.75 1.93 1.93
07.12.24 Leeds – Derby 2–0 (2–0) 1.364.758.50 1.88 1.98
27.11.24 Leeds – Luton 3–0 (2–0) 1.424.208.00 1.80 2.00
09.11.24 Leeds – QPR 2–0 (1–0) 1.255.5012.00 1.67 2.20
02.11.24 Leeds – Plymouth 3–0 (3–0) 1.188.0011.00 1.44 2.75
22.10.24 Leeds – Watford 2–1 (2–0) 1.335.009.50 1.62 2.30
18.10.24 Leeds – Sheffield United 2–0 (0–0) 1.903.603.80 2.10 1.73
28.09.24 Leeds – Coventry 3–0 (1–0) 1.554.505.00 1.67 2.20
14.09.24 Leeds – Burnley 0–1 (0–1) 1.733.804.75 1.85 2.00
31.08.24 Leeds – Hull 2–0 (0–0) 1.335.259.00 1.60 2.30

Oxford away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.12.24 QPR – Oxford 2–0 (0–0) 1.953.603.60 2.10 1.73
26.11.24 Sheffield United – Oxford 3–0 (2–0) 1.404.338.50 1.98 1.88
08.11.24 Watford – Oxford 1–0 (0–0) 1.673.705.00 1.93 1.93
26.10.24 Sunderland – Oxford 2–0 (1–0) 1.554.205.50 1.80 2.00
05.10.24 Portsmouth – Oxford 1–1 (0–0) 2.453.402.75 1.95 1.90
01.10.24 Luton – Oxford 2–2 (2–1) 1.673.904.50 1.88 1.98
21.09.24 Bristol City – Oxford 2–1 (0–1) 1.753.604.75 1.98 1.88
24.08.24 Blackburn – Oxford 2–1 (1–1) 1.753.754.33 1.73 2.10
16.08.24 Coventry – Oxford 3–2 (2–1) 1.703.904.75 1.70 2.10
27.04.24E2 Exeter – Oxford 1–2 (0–2) 5.254.001.65 1.58 2.25

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sheffield United 21 14 5 2 30 11 +19 47
2 Leeds 21 12 6 3 37 15 +22 42
3 Burnley 21 11 8 2 26 8 +18 41
4 Sunderland 21 11 7 3 32 17 +15 40
5 Blackburn 20 11 4 5 25 17 +8 37
6 Middlesbrough 21 10 4 7 35 25 +10 34
7 Watford 20 10 4 6 29 26 +3 34
8 West Brom 21 7 11 3 24 16 +8 32
9 Sheffield Weds 22 9 5 8 28 30 -2 32
10 Bristol City 21 6 9 6 26 26 0 27
11 Swansea 22 7 6 9 24 24 0 27
12 Norwich 21 6 8 7 36 32 +4 26
13 Millwall 20 6 7 7 20 18 +2 25
14 Luton 22 7 4 11 25 38 -13 25
15 Derby 22 6 6 10 27 28 -1 24
16 Coventry 22 6 6 10 28 34 -6 24
17 Preston 21 4 11 6 21 27 -6 23
18 QPR 21 4 10 7 21 27 -6 22
19 Stoke 22 5 7 10 23 30 -7 22
20 Portsmouth 20 4 8 8 25 35 -10 20
21 Hull 22 4 7 11 21 31 -10 19
22 Oxford 20 4 6 10 21 33 -12 18
23 Cardiff 20 4 6 10 19 32 -13 18
24 Plymouth 20 4 5 11 19 42 -23 17
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leeds 11 9 1 1 25 6 +19 28
2 Sheffield United 10 9 1 0 16 2 +14 28
3 Watford 10 8 2 0 15 5 +10 26
4 Sunderland 10 6 4 0 17 6 +11 22
5 Blackburn 10 7 1 2 15 7 +8 22
6 Luton 12 6 3 3 18 15 +3 21
7 Burnley 10 5 5 0 13 3 +10 20
8 Middlesbrough 11 6 2 3 16 11 +5 20
9 Derby 10 5 2 3 17 9 +8 17
10 Millwall 11 5 2 4 13 9 +4 17
11 Norwich 10 4 4 2 26 15 +11 16
12 Sheffield Weds 12 4 4 4 16 16 0 16
13 Oxford 11 4 4 3 14 15 -1 16
14 Plymouth 9 4 3 2 16 13 +3 15
15 West Brom 10 3 6 1 8 5 +3 15
16 Preston 11 3 6 2 11 10 +1 15
17 Bristol City 10 3 5 2 14 10 +4 14
18 Coventry 10 4 2 4 18 16 +2 14
19 Stoke 11 3 5 3 17 15 +2 14
20 Swansea 10 3 4 3 14 12 +2 13
21 Portsmouth 10 3 4 3 13 11 +2 13
22 Cardiff 10 4 0 6 11 14 -3 12
23 QPR 11 2 5 4 13 16 -3 11
24 Hull 12 2 5 5 11 14 -3 11
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Burnley 11 6 3 2 13 5 +8 21
2 Sheffield United 11 5 4 2 14 9 +5 19
3 Sunderland 11 5 3 3 15 11 +4 18
4 West Brom 11 4 5 2 16 11 +5 17
5 Sheffield Weds 10 5 1 4 12 14 -2 16
6 Blackburn 10 4 3 3 10 10 0 15
7 Middlesbrough 10 4 2 4 19 14 +5 14
8 Leeds 10 3 5 2 12 9 +3 14
9 Swansea 12 4 2 6 10 12 -2 14
10 Bristol City 11 3 4 4 12 16 -4 13
11 QPR 10 2 5 3 8 11 -3 11
12 Norwich 11 2 4 5 10 17 -7 10
13 Coventry 12 2 4 6 10 18 -8 10
14 Millwall 9 1 5 3 7 9 -2 8
15 Watford 10 2 2 6 14 21 -7 8
16 Hull 10 2 2 6 10 17 -7 8
17 Preston 10 1 5 4 10 17 -7 8
18 Stoke 11 2 2 7 6 15 -9 8
19 Derby 12 1 4 7 10 19 -9 7
20 Portsmouth 10 1 4 5 12 24 -12 7
21 Cardiff 10 0 6 4 8 18 -10 6
22 Luton 10 1 1 8 7 23 -16 4
23 Oxford 9 0 2 7 7 18 -11 2
24 Plymouth 11 0 2 9 3 29 -26 2

Leeds   Oxford

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 14 Luton 22 9 13 1.1 1.7 7 4 11 25 38 25
2 16 Coventry 22 9 13 1.3 1.5 6 6 10 28 34 24
3 20 Portsmouth 20 7 13 1.2 1.8 4 8 8 25 35 20
4 7 Watford 20 8 12 1.4 1.3 10 4 6 29 26 34
5 12 Norwich 21 9 12 1.7 1.5 6 8 7 36 32 26
6 24 Plymouth 20 9 11 0.9 2.1 4 5 11 19 42 17
7 9 Sheffield Weds 22 12 10 1.3 1.4 9 5 8 28 30 32
8 15 Derby 22 12 10 1.2 1.3 6 6 10 27 28 24
9 4 Sunderland 21 12 9 1.5 0.8 11 7 3 32 17 40
10 6 Middlesbrough 21 12 9 1.7 1.2 10 4 7 35 25 34
11 10 Bristol City 21 12 9 1.2 1.2 6 9 6 26 26 27
12 11 Swansea 22 13 9 1.1 1.1 7 6 9 24 24 27
13 19 Stoke 22 13 9 1.0 1.4 5 7 10 23 30 22
14 22 Oxford 20 11 9 1.1 1.6 4 6 10 21 33 18
15 2 Leeds 21 13 8 1.8 0.7 12 6 3 37 15 42
16 8 West Brom 21 13 8 1.1 0.8 7 11 3 24 16 32
17 17 Preston 21 13 8 1.0 1.3 4 11 6 21 27 23
18 21 Hull 22 14 8 1.0 1.4 4 7 11 21 31 19
19 5 Blackburn 20 13 7 1.2 0.8 11 4 5 25 17 37
20 18 QPR 21 14 7 1.0 1.3 4 10 7 21 27 22
21 23 Cardiff 20 13 7 0.9 1.6 4 6 10 19 32 18
22 1 Sheffield United 21 16 5 1.4 0.5 14 5 2 30 11 47
23 3 Burnley 21 17 4 1.2 0.4 11 8 2 26 8 41
24 13 Millwall 20 16 4 1.0 0.9 6 7 7 20 18 25
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 16 Coventry 10 1 9 1.8 1.6 4 2 4 18 16 14
2 14 Luton 12 4 8 1.5 1.2 6 3 3 18 15 21
3 12 Norwich 10 3 7 2.6 1.5 4 4 2 26 15 16
4 2 Leeds 11 5 6 2.3 0.5 9 1 1 25 6 28
5 19 Stoke 11 5 6 1.5 1.4 3 5 3 17 15 14
6 20 Portsmouth 10 4 6 1.3 1.1 3 4 3 13 11 13
7 24 Plymouth 9 3 6 1.8 1.4 4 3 2 16 13 15
8 7 Watford 10 5 5 1.5 0.5 8 2 0 15 5 26
9 15 Derby 10 5 5 1.7 0.9 5 2 3 17 9 17
10 18 QPR 11 6 5 1.2 1.5 2 5 4 13 16 11
11 4 Sunderland 10 6 4 1.7 0.6 6 4 0 17 6 22
12 6 Middlesbrough 11 7 4 1.5 1.0 6 2 3 16 11 20
13 10 Bristol City 10 6 4 1.4 1.0 3 5 2 14 10 14
14 11 Swansea 10 6 4 1.4 1.2 3 4 3 14 12 13
15 22 Oxford 11 7 4 1.3 1.4 4 4 3 14 15 16
16 5 Blackburn 10 7 3 1.5 0.7 7 1 2 15 7 22
17 9 Sheffield Weds 12 9 3 1.3 1.3 4 4 4 16 16 16
18 13 Millwall 11 8 3 1.2 0.8 5 2 4 13 9 17
19 17 Preston 11 8 3 1.0 0.9 3 6 2 11 10 15
20 21 Hull 12 9 3 0.9 1.2 2 5 5 11 14 11
21 23 Cardiff 10 7 3 1.1 1.4 4 0 6 11 14 12
22 1 Sheffield United 10 8 2 1.6 0.2 9 1 0 16 2 28
23 3 Burnley 10 8 2 1.3 0.3 5 5 0 13 3 20
24 8 West Brom 10 8 2 0.8 0.5 3 6 1 8 5 15
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Watford 10 3 7 1.4 2.1 2 2 6 14 21 8
2 9 Sheffield Weds 10 3 7 1.2 1.4 5 1 4 12 14 16
3 20 Portsmouth 10 3 7 1.2 2.4 1 4 5 12 24 7
4 8 West Brom 11 5 6 1.5 1.0 4 5 2 16 11 17
5 4 Sunderland 11 6 5 1.4 1.0 5 3 3 15 11 18
6 6 Middlesbrough 10 5 5 1.9 1.4 4 2 4 19 14 14
7 10 Bristol City 11 6 5 1.1 1.5 3 4 4 12 16 13
8 11 Swansea 12 7 5 0.8 1.0 4 2 6 10 12 14
9 12 Norwich 11 6 5 0.9 1.5 2 4 5 10 17 10
10 14 Luton 10 5 5 0.7 2.3 1 1 8 7 23 4
11 15 Derby 12 7 5 0.8 1.6 1 4 7 10 19 7
12 17 Preston 10 5 5 1.0 1.7 1 5 4 10 17 8
13 21 Hull 10 5 5 1.0 1.7 2 2 6 10 17 8
14 22 Oxford 9 4 5 0.8 2.0 0 2 7 7 18 2
15 24 Plymouth 11 6 5 0.3 2.6 0 2 9 3 29 2
16 5 Blackburn 10 6 4 1.0 1.0 4 3 3 10 10 15
17 16 Coventry 12 8 4 0.8 1.5 2 4 6 10 18 10
18 23 Cardiff 10 6 4 0.8 1.8 0 6 4 8 18 6
19 1 Sheffield United 11 8 3 1.3 0.8 5 4 2 14 9 19
20 19 Stoke 11 8 3 0.5 1.4 2 2 7 6 15 8
21 2 Leeds 10 8 2 1.2 0.9 3 5 2 12 9 14
22 3 Burnley 11 9 2 1.2 0.5 6 3 2 13 5 21
23 18 QPR 10 8 2 0.8 1.1 2 5 3 8 11 11
24 13 Millwall 9 8 1 0.8 1.0 1 5 3 7 9 8

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51