Luton 1–0 Cardiff – England Championship, 31 Jan 2023

Match facts

Luton Cardiff

15 Shots 11

4 Shots on target 4

13 Corners 2

12 Fouls 7

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (336 league matches this season so far).

Result Luton to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score No fair 1.82

Expected goals 1.38 – 0.93

Home / Draw / Away

47% 27% 25%

LutonDrawCardiff

Under / Over 2.5 goals

60% 41%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

55% 45%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

10% 0

23% 1

27% 2

20% 3

12% 4

8% 5+

Most likely scores

1–0 13.8% 1–1 12.7% 0–0 10%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Luton before this match, all matches

1.56points / match

1.30scored / match

1.07conceded / match

11 9 7

WonDrawnLost 27 played · 35:29

Cardiff before this match, all matches

1.04points / match

0.75scored / match

1.11conceded / match

7 8 13

WonDrawnLost 28 played · 21:31

Luton all matches all matches Cardiff

Per match

1.30 Goals scored 0.75

1.07 Goals conceded 1.11

2.37 Total goals 1.86

11.70 Shots 11.50

3.70 Shots on target 2.96

11.96 Shots faced 10.89

5.67 Corners 4.89

5.48 Corners against 4.64

12.30 Fouls 9.82

1.81 Yellow cards 1.96

0.70 1st-half goals scored 0.32

0.52 1st-half goals conceded 0.43

How often Full Time

41% Wins 25%

33% Draws 29%

26% Losses 46%

89% Over 0.5 goals 86%

78% Over 1.5 goals 50%

41% Over 2.5 goals 29%

19% Over 3.5 goals 14%

7% Over 4.5 goals 7%

4% Over 5.5 goals 0%

48% Both teams scored 36%

37% Clean sheets 32%

26% Failed to score 46%

How often Half Time

44% Wins 14%

37% Draws 57%

19% Losses 29%

70% Over 0.5 goals 50%

33% Over 1.5 goals 18%

11% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Luton all matches

D

1

W

2

L

1

D

1

2

L

2

1

W

3

W

2

1

W

2

3

L

2

W

Cardiff all matches

1

W

2

3

L

1

L

2

D

1

D

1

L

1

D

1

L

Luton before this match, at home

1.23points / match

1.38scored / match

1.23conceded / match

3 7 3

WonDrawnLost 13 played · 18:16

Cardiff before this match, away

0.92points / match

0.77scored / match

1.38conceded / match

3 3 7

WonDrawnLost 13 played · 10:18

Luton at home away Cardiff

Per match

1.38 Goals scored 0.77

1.23 Goals conceded 1.38

2.62 Total goals 2.15

14.31 Shots 7.92

4.23 Shots on target 2.62

11.69 Shots faced 12.46

7.23 Corners 3.92

5.31 Corners against 5.38

11.15 Fouls 10.62

1.23 Yellow cards 2.31

0.85 1st-half goals scored 0.46

0.46 1st-half goals conceded 0.62

How often Full Time

23% Wins 23%

54% Draws 23%

23% Losses 54%

85% Over 0.5 goals 85%

77% Over 1.5 goals 62%

46% Over 2.5 goals 38%

31% Over 3.5 goals 23%

15% Over 4.5 goals 8%

8% Over 5.5 goals 0%

69% Both teams scored 31%

23% Clean sheets 23%

23% Failed to score 62%

How often Half Time

54% Wins 15%

31% Draws 46%

15% Losses 38%

69% Over 0.5 goals 62%

23% Over 1.5 goals 31%

23% Over 2.5 goals 15%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Luton at home

1

2

L

2

D

2

W

3

D

3

1

W

1

D

1

D

2

1

W

2

3

L

Cardiff away

2

L

3

2

W

1

L

3

1

W

3

L

2

L

1

W

2

D

1

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Luton all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
21.01.23	Wigan – Luton	0–2 (0–1)	2.90	3.20	2.55	2.20	1.67
14.01.23	Luton – West Brom	2–3 (2–1)	3.00	3.20	2.45	2.20	1.67
01.01.23	Huddersfield – Luton	1–2 (1–1)	2.88	3.40	2.45	2.20	1.67
29.12.22	QPR – Luton	0–3 (0–1)	2.25	3.25	3.30	2.10	1.73
26.12.22	Luton – Norwich	2–1 (0–0)	2.60	3.30	2.75	2.10	1.73
10.12.22	Middlesbrough – Luton	2–1 (1–1)	1.83	3.60	4.33	2.02	1.83
12.11.22	Luton – Rotherham	1–1 (0–1)	1.70	3.75	5.25	1.95	1.90
08.11.22	Stoke – Luton	2–0 (2–0)	1.95	3.40	4.00	2.20	1.66
05.11.22	Blackpool – Luton	0–1 (0–0)	2.80	3.30	2.55	2.00	1.85
01.11.22	Luton – Reading	0–0 (0–0)	1.95	3.40	4.20	2.20	1.66

Cardiff all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
21.01.23	Cardiff – Millwall	0–1 (0–1)	3.10	3.10	2.45	2.50	1.53
14.01.23	Cardiff – Wigan	1–1 (0–0)	1.95	3.40	4.00	2.30	1.62
01.01.23	Blackburn – Cardiff	1–0 (0–0)	2.30	3.30	3.20	2.10	1.73
29.12.22	Coventry – Cardiff	0–0 (0–0)	2.15	3.30	3.40	2.20	1.67
26.12.22	Cardiff – QPR	0–0 (0–0)	2.40	3.30	3.00	2.20	1.67
17.12.22	Cardiff – Blackpool	1–1 (1–0)	1.83	3.50	4.50	2.10	1.73
10.12.22	Stoke – Cardiff	2–2 (2–1)	2.05	3.30	3.80	2.10	1.73
12.11.22	Cardiff – Sheffield United	0–1 (0–0)	3.20	3.30	2.30	2.02	1.83
08.11.22	Cardiff – Hull	2–3 (0–1)	2.05	3.25	3.80	2.20	1.66
05.11.22	Sunderland – Cardiff	0–1 (0–0)	2.20	3.20	3.50	2.20	1.66

Luton at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
14.01.23	Luton – West Brom	2–3 (2–1)	3.00	3.20	2.45	2.20	1.67
26.12.22	Luton – Norwich	2–1 (0–0)	2.60	3.30	2.75	2.10	1.73
12.11.22	Luton – Rotherham	1–1 (0–1)	1.70	3.75	5.25	1.95	1.90
01.11.22	Luton – Reading	0–0 (0–0)	1.95	3.40	4.20	2.20	1.66
29.10.22	Luton – Sunderland	1–1 (1–0)	2.00	3.30	4.00	2.10	1.72
15.10.22	Luton – QPR	3–1 (1–0)	2.10	3.40	3.50	2.10	1.72
04.10.22	Luton – Huddersfield	3–3 (3–2)	1.75	3.40	5.25	2.20	1.66
17.09.22	Luton – Blackburn	2–0 (0–0)	2.30	3.25	3.30	2.10	1.72
14.09.22	Luton – Coventry	2–2 (2–1)	2.10	3.40	3.50	2.05	1.80
03.09.22	Luton – Wigan	1–2 (1–0)	2.10	3.30	3.60	2.30	1.61

Cardiff away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
01.01.23	Blackburn – Cardiff	1–0 (0–0)	2.30	3.30	3.20	2.10	1.73
29.12.22	Coventry – Cardiff	0–0 (0–0)	2.15	3.30	3.40	2.20	1.67
10.12.22	Stoke – Cardiff	2–2 (2–1)	2.05	3.30	3.80	2.10	1.73
05.11.22	Sunderland – Cardiff	0–1 (0–0)	2.20	3.20	3.50	2.20	1.66
23.10.22	Swansea – Cardiff	2–0 (1–0)	2.10	3.30	3.50	2.02	1.83
19.10.22	QPR – Cardiff	3–0 (2–0)	2.15	3.40	3.40	2.10	1.72
08.10.22	Wigan – Cardiff	1–3 (0–1)	2.50	3.10	3.10	2.30	1.61
17.09.22	Huddersfield – Cardiff	1–0 (1–0)	2.70	3.10	2.80	2.20	1.66
13.09.22	Middlesbrough – Cardiff	2–3 (0–3)	1.70	3.60	5.25	2.10	1.72
03.09.22	Millwall – Cardiff	2–0 (0–0)	2.05	3.20	4.00	2.50	1.53

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

2 1

Luton winsDrawsCardiff wins

3matches

2.33goals / match

67%over 2.5

67%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
30.08.22E1	Cardiff – Luton	1–2 (0–0)	2.55	3.20	2.90	2.50	1.53
18.04.22E1	Cardiff – Luton	0–1 (0–0)	2.87	3.10	2.62	2.20	1.66
27.11.21E1	Luton – Cardiff	1–2 (0–1)	1.90	3.50	4.00	2.05	1.80

England Championship table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Burnley	28	18	8	2	55	26	+29	62
2	Sheffield United	28	17	6	5	48	24	+24	57
3	Middlesbrough	29	13	6	10	44	35	+9	45
4	Watford	29	12	8	9	34	31	+3	44
5	Blackburn	28	14	1	13	31	35	-4	43
6	Norwich	28	12	6	10	40	31	+9	42
7	Luton	27	11	9	7	35	29	+6	42
8	Millwall	27	12	6	9	33	27	+6	42
9	Sunderland	28	11	8	9	41	32	+9	41
10	West Brom	28	11	8	9	38	30	+8	41
11	Preston	28	11	7	10	26	31	-5	40
12	Swansea	28	10	9	9	40	38	+2	39
13	Coventry	28	10	8	10	31	31	0	38
14	QPR	29	10	8	11	31	37	-6	38
15	Hull	29	10	7	12	36	44	-8	37
16	Reading	28	11	4	13	31	42	-11	37
17	Bristol City	28	8	9	11	37	38	-1	33
18	Stoke	28	9	6	13	33	37	-4	33
19	Birmingham	28	8	8	12	30	35	-5	32
20	Rotherham	28	7	10	11	33	40	-7	31
21	Cardiff	28	7	8	13	21	31	-10	29
22	Huddersfield	27	7	5	15	25	35	-10	26
23	Blackpool	27	6	8	13	28	40	-12	26
24	Wigan	28	6	7	15	27	49	-22	25

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Burnley	15	11	4	0	32	12	+20	37
2	Sheffield United	14	9	3	2	30	13	+17	30
3	Millwall	13	8	3	2	20	8	+12	27
4	Blackburn	13	9	0	4	20	13	+7	27
5	Middlesbrough	14	7	5	2	20	12	+8	26
6	Reading	13	8	2	3	20	14	+6	26
7	Coventry	15	7	4	4	19	14	+5	25
8	Watford	14	7	3	4	20	13	+7	24
9	West Brom	14	6	4	4	20	14	+6	22
10	Swansea	13	6	2	5	20	16	+4	20
11	Rotherham	13	5	4	4	24	17	+7	19
12	Norwich	14	5	4	5	19	16	+3	19
13	Sunderland	14	5	4	5	19	16	+3	19
14	Bristol City	15	5	4	6	19	17	+2	19
15	QPR	14	5	4	5	17	18	-1	19
16	Hull	15	5	3	7	17	23	-6	18
17	Birmingham	15	4	5	6	18	18	0	17
18	Huddersfield	14	5	2	7	13	14	-1	17
19	Cardiff	15	4	5	6	11	13	-2	17
20	Luton	13	3	7	3	18	16	+2	16
21	Stoke	14	4	3	7	17	18	-1	15
22	Preston	14	3	4	7	8	18	-10	13
23	Blackpool	13	3	3	7	14	19	-5	12
24	Wigan	15	2	3	10	11	30	-19	9

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Sheffield United	14	8	3	3	18	11	+7	27
2	Preston	14	8	3	3	18	13	+5	27
3	Luton	14	8	2	4	17	13	+4	26
4	Burnley	13	7	4	2	23	14	+9	25
5	Norwich	14	7	2	5	21	15	+6	23
6	Sunderland	14	6	4	4	22	16	+6	22
7	Watford	15	5	5	5	14	18	-4	20
8	West Brom	14	5	4	5	18	16	+2	19
9	Middlesbrough	15	6	1	8	24	23	+1	19
10	Swansea	15	4	7	4	20	22	-2	19
11	Hull	14	5	4	5	19	21	-2	19
12	QPR	15	5	4	6	14	19	-5	19
13	Stoke	14	5	3	6	16	19	-3	18
14	Wigan	13	4	4	5	16	19	-3	16
15	Blackburn	15	5	1	9	11	22	-11	16
16	Birmingham	13	4	3	6	12	17	-5	15
17	Millwall	14	4	3	7	13	19	-6	15
18	Bristol City	13	3	5	5	18	21	-3	14
19	Blackpool	14	3	5	6	14	21	-7	14
20	Coventry	13	3	4	6	12	17	-5	13
21	Cardiff	13	3	3	7	10	18	-8	12
22	Rotherham	15	2	6	7	9	23	-14	12
23	Reading	15	3	2	10	11	28	-17	11
24	Huddersfield	13	2	3	8	12	21	-9	9

Luton Cardiff

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	3	Middlesbrough	29	12	17	1.5	1.2	13	6	10	44	35	45
2	12	Swansea	28	12	16	1.4	1.4	10	9	9	40	38	39
3	16	Reading	28	12	16	1.1	1.5	11	4	13	31	42	37
4	9	Sunderland	28	13	15	1.5	1.1	11	8	9	41	32	41
5	15	Hull	29	14	15	1.2	1.5	10	7	12	36	44	37
6	1	Burnley	28	14	14	2.0	0.9	18	8	2	55	26	62
7	5	Blackburn	28	14	14	1.1	1.2	14	1	13	31	35	43
8	6	Norwich	28	14	14	1.4	1.1	12	6	10	40	31	42
9	14	QPR	29	15	14	1.1	1.3	10	8	11	31	37	38
10	20	Rotherham	28	14	14	1.2	1.4	7	10	11	33	40	31
11	24	Wigan	28	14	14	1.0	1.8	6	7	15	27	49	25
12	17	Bristol City	28	15	13	1.3	1.4	8	9	11	37	38	33
13	18	Stoke	28	15	13	1.2	1.3	9	6	13	33	37	33
14	19	Birmingham	28	15	13	1.1	1.2	8	8	12	30	35	32
15	2	Sheffield United	28	16	12	1.7	0.9	17	6	5	48	24	57
16	23	Blackpool	27	15	12	1.0	1.5	6	8	13	28	40	26
17	4	Watford	29	18	11	1.2	1.1	12	8	9	34	31	44
18	7	Luton	27	16	11	1.3	1.1	11	9	7	35	29	42
19	22	Huddersfield	27	16	11	0.9	1.3	7	5	15	25	35	26
20	8	Millwall	27	17	10	1.2	1.0	12	6	9	33	27	42
21	10	West Brom	28	18	10	1.4	1.1	11	8	9	38	30	41
22	11	Preston	28	18	10	0.9	1.1	11	7	10	26	31	40
23	13	Coventry	28	19	9	1.1	1.1	10	8	10	31	31	38
24	21	Cardiff	28	20	8	0.8	1.1	7	8	13	21	31	29

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Burnley	15	6	9	2.1	0.8	11	4	0	32	12	37
2	2	Sheffield United	14	6	8	2.1	0.9	9	3	2	30	13	30
3	9	Sunderland	14	6	8	1.4	1.1	5	4	5	19	16	19
4	12	Swansea	13	5	8	1.5	1.2	6	2	5	20	16	20
5	14	QPR	14	6	8	1.2	1.3	5	4	5	17	18	19
6	15	Hull	15	7	8	1.1	1.5	5	3	7	17	23	18
7	16	Reading	13	5	8	1.5	1.1	8	2	3	20	14	26
8	19	Birmingham	15	7	8	1.2	1.2	4	5	6	18	18	17
9	20	Rotherham	13	5	8	1.8	1.3	5	4	4	24	17	19
10	5	Blackburn	13	6	7	1.5	1.0	9	0	4	20	13	27
11	24	Wigan	15	8	7	0.7	2.0	2	3	10	11	30	9
12	3	Middlesbrough	14	8	6	1.4	0.9	7	5	2	20	12	26
13	4	Watford	14	8	6	1.4	0.9	7	3	4	20	13	24
14	6	Norwich	14	8	6	1.4	1.1	5	4	5	19	16	19
15	7	Luton	13	7	6	1.4	1.2	3	7	3	18	16	16
16	17	Bristol City	15	9	6	1.3	1.1	5	4	6	19	17	19
17	18	Stoke	14	8	6	1.2	1.3	4	3	7	17	18	15
18	23	Blackpool	13	7	6	1.1	1.5	3	3	7	14	19	12
19	8	Millwall	13	8	5	1.5	0.6	8	3	2	20	8	27
20	10	West Brom	14	10	4	1.4	1.0	6	4	4	20	14	22
21	11	Preston	14	10	4	0.6	1.3	3	4	7	8	18	13
22	13	Coventry	15	11	4	1.3	0.9	7	4	4	19	14	25
23	22	Huddersfield	14	10	4	0.9	1.0	5	2	7	13	14	17
24	21	Cardiff	15	12	3	0.7	0.9	4	5	6	11	13	17

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	3	Middlesbrough	15	4	11	1.6	1.5	6	1	8	24	23	19
2	6	Norwich	14	6	8	1.5	1.1	7	2	5	21	15	23
3	12	Swansea	15	7	8	1.3	1.5	4	7	4	20	22	19
4	16	Reading	15	7	8	0.7	1.9	3	2	10	11	28	11
5	5	Blackburn	15	8	7	0.7	1.5	5	1	9	11	22	16
6	9	Sunderland	14	7	7	1.6	1.1	6	4	4	22	16	22
7	15	Hull	14	7	7	1.4	1.5	5	4	5	19	21	19
8	17	Bristol City	13	6	7	1.4	1.6	3	5	5	18	21	14
9	18	Stoke	14	7	7	1.1	1.4	5	3	6	16	19	18
10	22	Huddersfield	13	6	7	0.9	1.6	2	3	8	12	21	9
11	24	Wigan	13	6	7	1.2	1.5	4	4	5	16	19	16
12	10	West Brom	14	8	6	1.3	1.1	5	4	5	18	16	19
13	11	Preston	14	8	6	1.3	0.9	8	3	3	18	13	27
14	14	QPR	15	9	6	0.9	1.3	5	4	6	14	19	19
15	20	Rotherham	15	9	6	0.6	1.5	2	6	7	9	23	12
16	23	Blackpool	14	8	6	1.0	1.5	3	5	6	14	21	14
17	1	Burnley	13	8	5	1.8	1.1	7	4	2	23	14	25
18	4	Watford	15	10	5	0.9	1.2	5	5	5	14	18	20
19	7	Luton	14	9	5	1.2	0.9	8	2	4	17	13	26
20	8	Millwall	14	9	5	0.9	1.4	4	3	7	13	19	15
21	13	Coventry	13	8	5	0.9	1.3	3	4	6	12	17	13
22	19	Birmingham	13	8	5	0.9	1.3	4	3	6	12	17	15
23	21	Cardiff	13	8	5	0.8	1.4	3	3	7	10	18	12
24	2	Sheffield United	14	10	4	1.3	0.8	8	3	3	18	11	27

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.