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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: J Smith

Norwich 4–2 Luton

Full time · half time 2–1 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 2.00 fair 1.64
Draw 3.70 fair 4.91
Away 3.40 fair 5.37
Under 2.5 2.00 fair 2.63
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.80 fair 1.61

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Norwich Luton
16 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 3
6 Corners 5
9 Fouls 12
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (207 league matches this season so far).
Result Norwich to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.72
Expected goals 2.11 – 1.08
Home / Draw / Away
NorwichDrawLuton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 9.9% 1–1 9.4% 2–0 9.1%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Norwich before this match, all matches
1.29points / match
1.82scored / match
1.47conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 31:25
Luton before this match, all matches
1.06points / match
1.06scored / match
1.71conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 18:29
Norwich all matches all matches Luton

Per match

1.82 Goals scored 1.06
1.47 Goals conceded 1.71
3.29 Total goals 2.76
11.65 Shots 11.12
4.41 Shots on target 3.76
12.59 Shots faced 13.41
4.41 Corners 6.71
5.35 Corners against 4.82
12.29 Fouls 12.94
2.18 Yellow cards 2.29
0.82 1st-half goals scored 0.47
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.65

How often Full Time

29% Wins 29%
41% Draws 18%
29% Losses 53%
100% Over 0.5 goals 94%
88% Over 1.5 goals 71%
53% Over 2.5 goals 59%
47% Over 3.5 goals 29%
24% Over 4.5 goals 18%
12% Over 5.5 goals 6%
65% Both teams scored 53%
12% Clean sheets 29%
24% Failed to score 24%

How often Half Time

29% Wins 35%
29% Draws 24%
41% Losses 41%
88% Over 0.5 goals 76%
53% Over 1.5 goals 29%
29% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Norwich all matches
Luton all matches
Norwich before this match, at home
1.63points / match
2.63scored / match
1.38conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 21:11
Luton before this match, away
0.50points / match
0.63scored / match
2.13conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 5:17
Norwich at home away Luton

Per match

2.63 Goals scored 0.63
1.38 Goals conceded 2.13
4.00 Total goals 2.75
12.88 Shots 10.13
5.38 Shots on target 3.75
12.00 Shots faced 15.38
4.63 Corners 6.13
4.63 Corners against 5.25
12.13 Fouls 13.25
2.25 Yellow cards 2.50
1.13 1st-half goals scored 0.38
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.88

How often Full Time

38% Wins 13%
50% Draws 13%
13% Losses 75%
100% Over 0.5 goals 88%
100% Over 1.5 goals 63%
63% Over 2.5 goals 50%
63% Over 3.5 goals 38%
38% Over 4.5 goals 25%
25% Over 5.5 goals 13%
75% Both teams scored 38%
13% Clean sheets 25%
13% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 25%
13% Draws 13%
38% Losses 63%
100% Over 0.5 goals 88%
63% Over 1.5 goals 38%
38% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Norwich at home
Luton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Norwich all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.11.24 Norwich – Plymouth 6–1 (2–1) 1.454.506.50 1.57 2.38
23.11.24 West Brom – Norwich 2–2 (2–2) 1.833.604.20 2.03 1.83
09.11.24 Norwich – Bristol City 0–2 (0–1) 2.303.403.10 1.83 2.03
05.11.24 Sheffield Weds – Norwich 2–0 (2–0) 2.203.253.20 2.03 1.83
02.11.24 Cardiff – Norwich 2–1 (0–0) 2.633.402.63 1.73 2.10
27.10.24 Norwich – Middlesbrough 3–3 (1–3) 2.753.302.50 1.73 2.10
22.10.24 Preston – Norwich 2–2 (2–1) 2.703.252.70 2.05 1.80
19.10.24 Stoke – Norwich 1–1 (1–1) 2.553.402.63 1.80 2.00
05.10.24 Norwich – Hull 4–0 (2–0) 1.953.603.75 1.67 2.20
01.10.24 Norwich – Leeds 1–1 (1–0) 3.903.401.95 1.88 1.98

Luton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.11.24 Leeds – Luton 3–0 (2–0) 1.424.208.00 1.80 2.00
23.11.24 Luton – Hull 1–0 (1–0) 1.953.503.75 1.90 1.95
09.11.24 Middlesbrough – Luton 5–1 (2–0) 1.734.004.33 1.73 2.10
06.11.24 Luton – Cardiff 1–0 (0–0) 1.853.504.20 1.83 2.03
01.11.24 Luton – West Brom 1–1 (0–1) 2.703.402.50 2.00 1.85
26.10.24 Coventry – Luton 3–2 (0–2) 2.203.403.20 1.83 2.03
23.10.24 Luton – Sunderland 1–2 (0–0) 2.553.302.75 1.98 1.88
19.10.24 Luton – Watford 3–0 (1–0) 2.003.204.00 1.73 2.10
05.10.24 Sheffield United – Luton 2–0 (1–0) 1.903.703.90 1.90 1.95
01.10.24 Luton – Oxford 2–2 (2–1) 1.673.904.50 1.88 1.98

Norwich at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.11.24 Norwich – Plymouth 6–1 (2–1) 1.454.506.50 1.57 2.38
09.11.24 Norwich – Bristol City 0–2 (0–1) 2.303.403.10 1.83 2.03
27.10.24 Norwich – Middlesbrough 3–3 (1–3) 2.753.302.50 1.73 2.10
05.10.24 Norwich – Hull 4–0 (2–0) 1.953.603.75 1.67 2.20
01.10.24 Norwich – Leeds 1–1 (1–0) 3.903.401.95 1.88 1.98
21.09.24 Norwich – Watford 4–1 (2–1) 2.153.503.20 1.93 1.93
24.08.24 Norwich – Sheffield United 1–1 (1–1) 2.703.402.50 1.73 2.10
17.08.24 Norwich – Blackburn 2–2 (0–1) 2.003.403.70 1.80 2.00
27.04.24 Norwich – Swansea 2–2 (2–1) 1.674.005.00 1.67 2.20
20.04.24 Norwich – Bristol City 1–1 (0–0) 1.674.005.00 1.90 1.95

Luton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.11.24 Leeds – Luton 3–0 (2–0) 1.424.208.00 1.80 2.00
09.11.24 Middlesbrough – Luton 5–1 (2–0) 1.734.004.33 1.73 2.10
26.10.24 Coventry – Luton 3–2 (0–2) 2.203.403.20 1.83 2.03
05.10.24 Sheffield United – Luton 2–0 (1–0) 1.903.703.90 1.90 1.95
27.09.24 Plymouth – Luton 3–1 (1–0) 4.003.701.85 1.62 2.30
14.09.24 Millwall – Luton 0–1 (0–1) 2.633.302.63 2.00 1.80
24.08.24 Preston – Luton 1–0 (1–0) 3.203.402.20 1.98 1.88
17.08.24 Portsmouth – Luton 0–0 (0–0) 3.103.402.25 1.75 2.05
11.05.24E0 West Ham – Luton 3–1 (0–1) 1.804.203.80 1.44 2.75
27.04.24E0 Wolves – Luton 2–1 (1–0) 1.953.803.60 1.62 2.30

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Norwich winsDrawsLuton wins
2matches
2.00goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.12.22E1 Luton – Norwich 2–1 (0–0) 2.603.302.75 2.10 1.73
18.10.22E1 Norwich – Luton 0–1 (0–0) 1.903.504.00 2.00 1.85

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sheffield United 18 12 4 2 25 9 +16 40
2 Leeds 18 10 5 3 31 13 +18 35
3 Burnley 17 9 6 2 21 6 +15 33
4 Sunderland 18 9 6 3 26 13 +13 33
5 Middlesbrough 18 9 3 6 32 21 +11 30
6 Watford 18 9 3 6 26 24 +2 30
7 Blackburn 17 8 4 5 21 17 +4 28
8 West Brom 17 6 9 2 18 11 +7 27
9 Millwall 17 6 7 4 20 15 +5 25
10 Norwich 17 5 7 5 31 25 +6 22
11 Swansea 17 6 4 7 16 15 +1 22
12 Bristol City 17 5 7 5 20 21 -1 22
13 Sheffield Weds 17 6 4 7 20 26 -6 22
14 Stoke 17 5 6 6 19 20 -1 21
15 Derby 17 5 5 7 21 22 -1 20
16 Oxford 18 4 6 8 20 28 -8 18
17 Luton 17 5 3 9 18 29 -11 18
18 Coventry 17 4 5 8 22 25 -3 17
19 Preston 17 3 8 6 16 24 -8 17
20 Plymouth 17 4 5 8 18 34 -16 17
21 Cardiff 17 4 4 9 15 26 -11 16
22 Hull 18 3 6 9 17 26 -9 15
23 QPR 18 2 9 7 15 26 -11 15
24 Portsmouth 15 2 6 7 16 28 -12 12
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sheffield United 9 8 1 0 14 2 +12 25
2 Watford 9 7 2 0 13 4 +9 23
3 Leeds 9 7 1 1 20 5 +15 22
4 Blackburn 9 6 1 2 13 7 +6 19
5 Sunderland 8 5 3 0 14 4 +10 18
6 Burnley 8 5 3 0 12 2 +10 18
7 Millwall 9 5 2 2 13 7 +6 17
8 Middlesbrough 10 5 2 3 15 11 +4 17
9 Oxford 10 4 4 2 13 12 +1 16
10 Plymouth 8 4 3 1 15 11 +4 15
11 Derby 8 4 2 2 12 7 +5 14
12 Luton 9 4 2 3 13 12 +1 14
13 Norwich 8 3 4 1 21 11 +10 13
14 Stoke 9 3 4 2 15 11 +4 13
15 Preston 9 3 4 2 9 8 +1 13
16 Swansea 8 3 3 2 10 7 +3 12
17 Sheffield Weds 9 3 3 3 13 14 -1 12
18 Cardiff 9 4 0 5 11 12 -1 12
19 West Brom 8 2 5 1 4 3 +1 11
20 Coventry 8 3 1 4 14 13 +1 10
21 Bristol City 8 2 4 2 9 9 0 10
22 Hull 9 1 4 4 8 11 -3 7
23 Portsmouth 7 1 3 3 6 10 -4 6
24 QPR 9 0 5 4 8 16 -8 5
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 West Brom 9 4 4 1 14 8 +6 16
2 Burnley 9 4 3 2 9 4 +5 15
3 Sheffield United 9 4 3 2 11 7 +4 15
4 Sunderland 10 4 3 3 12 9 +3 15
5 Middlesbrough 8 4 1 3 17 10 +7 13
6 Leeds 9 3 4 2 11 8 +3 13
7 Bristol City 9 3 3 3 11 12 -1 12
8 Swansea 9 3 1 5 6 8 -2 10
9 QPR 9 2 4 3 7 10 -3 10
10 Sheffield Weds 8 3 1 4 7 12 -5 10
11 Blackburn 8 2 3 3 8 10 -2 9
12 Norwich 9 2 3 4 10 14 -4 9
13 Millwall 8 1 5 2 7 8 -1 8
14 Stoke 8 2 2 4 4 9 -5 8
15 Hull 9 2 2 5 9 15 -6 8
16 Coventry 9 1 4 4 8 12 -4 7
17 Watford 9 2 1 6 13 20 -7 7
18 Derby 9 1 3 5 9 15 -6 6
19 Portsmouth 8 1 3 4 10 18 -8 6
20 Preston 8 0 4 4 7 16 -9 4
21 Cardiff 8 0 4 4 4 14 -10 4
22 Luton 8 1 1 6 5 17 -12 4
23 Oxford 8 0 2 6 7 16 -9 2
24 Plymouth 9 0 2 7 3 23 -20 2

Norwich   Luton

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Watford 18 7 11 1.4 1.3 9 3 6 26 24 30
2 17 Luton 17 7 10 1.1 1.7 5 3 9 18 29 18
3 18 Coventry 17 7 10 1.3 1.5 4 5 8 22 25 17
4 10 Norwich 17 8 9 1.8 1.5 5 7 5 31 25 22
5 20 Plymouth 17 8 9 1.1 2.0 4 5 8 18 34 17
6 24 Portsmouth 15 6 9 1.1 1.9 2 6 7 16 28 12
7 5 Middlesbrough 18 10 8 1.8 1.2 9 3 6 32 21 30
8 13 Sheffield Weds 17 9 8 1.2 1.5 6 4 7 20 26 22
9 16 Oxford 18 10 8 1.1 1.6 4 6 8 20 28 18
10 19 Preston 17 9 8 0.9 1.4 3 8 6 16 24 17
11 2 Leeds 18 11 7 1.7 0.7 10 5 3 31 13 35
12 4 Sunderland 18 11 7 1.4 0.7 9 6 3 26 13 33
13 7 Blackburn 17 10 7 1.2 1.0 8 4 5 21 17 28
14 12 Bristol City 17 10 7 1.2 1.2 5 7 5 20 21 22
15 15 Derby 17 10 7 1.2 1.3 5 5 7 21 22 20
16 8 West Brom 17 11 6 1.1 0.6 6 9 2 18 11 27
17 14 Stoke 17 11 6 1.1 1.2 5 6 6 19 20 21
18 22 Hull 18 12 6 0.9 1.4 3 6 9 17 26 15
19 23 QPR 18 12 6 0.8 1.4 2 9 7 15 26 15
20 11 Swansea 17 12 5 0.9 0.9 6 4 7 16 15 22
21 21 Cardiff 17 12 5 0.9 1.5 4 4 9 15 26 16
22 1 Sheffield United 18 14 4 1.4 0.5 12 4 2 25 9 40
23 9 Millwall 17 13 4 1.2 0.9 6 7 4 20 15 25
24 3 Burnley 17 14 3 1.2 0.4 9 6 2 21 6 33
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 Coventry 8 1 7 1.8 1.6 3 1 4 14 13 10
2 17 Luton 9 3 6 1.4 1.3 4 2 3 13 12 14
3 2 Leeds 9 4 5 2.2 0.6 7 1 1 20 5 22
4 10 Norwich 8 3 5 2.6 1.4 3 4 1 21 11 13
5 14 Stoke 9 4 5 1.7 1.2 3 4 2 15 11 13
6 20 Plymouth 8 3 5 1.9 1.4 4 3 1 15 11 15
7 5 Middlesbrough 10 6 4 1.5 1.1 5 2 3 15 11 17
8 6 Watford 9 5 4 1.4 0.4 7 2 0 13 4 23
9 23 QPR 9 5 4 0.9 1.8 0 5 4 8 16 5
10 24 Portsmouth 7 3 4 0.9 1.4 1 3 3 6 10 6
11 4 Sunderland 8 5 3 1.8 0.5 5 3 0 14 4 18
12 7 Blackburn 9 6 3 1.4 0.8 6 1 2 13 7 19
13 9 Millwall 9 6 3 1.4 0.8 5 2 2 13 7 17
14 12 Bristol City 8 5 3 1.1 1.1 2 4 2 9 9 10
15 13 Sheffield Weds 9 6 3 1.4 1.6 3 3 3 13 14 12
16 15 Derby 8 5 3 1.5 0.9 4 2 2 12 7 14
17 16 Oxford 10 7 3 1.3 1.2 4 4 2 13 12 16
18 19 Preston 9 6 3 1.0 0.9 3 4 2 9 8 13
19 21 Cardiff 9 6 3 1.2 1.3 4 0 5 11 12 12
20 1 Sheffield United 9 7 2 1.6 0.2 8 1 0 14 2 25
21 3 Burnley 8 6 2 1.5 0.2 5 3 0 12 2 18
22 11 Swansea 8 6 2 1.2 0.9 3 3 2 10 7 12
23 22 Hull 9 7 2 0.9 1.2 1 4 4 8 11 7
24 8 West Brom 8 7 1 0.5 0.4 2 5 1 4 3 11
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Watford 9 2 7 1.4 2.2 2 1 6 13 20 7
2 8 West Brom 9 4 5 1.6 0.9 4 4 1 14 8 16
3 13 Sheffield Weds 8 3 5 0.9 1.5 3 1 4 7 12 10
4 16 Oxford 8 3 5 0.9 2.0 0 2 6 7 16 2
5 19 Preston 8 3 5 0.9 2.0 0 4 4 7 16 4
6 24 Portsmouth 8 3 5 1.2 2.2 1 3 4 10 18 6
7 4 Sunderland 10 6 4 1.2 0.9 4 3 3 12 9 15
8 5 Middlesbrough 8 4 4 2.1 1.2 4 1 3 17 10 13
9 7 Blackburn 8 4 4 1.0 1.2 2 3 3 8 10 9
10 10 Norwich 9 5 4 1.1 1.6 2 3 4 10 14 9
11 12 Bristol City 9 5 4 1.2 1.3 3 3 3 11 12 12
12 15 Derby 9 5 4 1.0 1.7 1 3 5 9 15 6
13 17 Luton 8 4 4 0.6 2.1 1 1 6 5 17 4
14 20 Plymouth 9 5 4 0.3 2.6 0 2 7 3 23 2
15 22 Hull 9 5 4 1.0 1.7 2 2 5 9 15 8
16 11 Swansea 9 6 3 0.7 0.9 3 1 5 6 8 10
17 18 Coventry 9 6 3 0.9 1.3 1 4 4 8 12 7
18 1 Sheffield United 9 7 2 1.2 0.8 4 3 2 11 7 15
19 2 Leeds 9 7 2 1.2 0.9 3 4 2 11 8 13
20 21 Cardiff 8 6 2 0.5 1.8 0 4 4 4 14 4
21 23 QPR 9 7 2 0.8 1.1 2 4 3 7 10 10
22 3 Burnley 9 8 1 1.0 0.4 4 3 2 9 4 15
23 9 Millwall 8 7 1 0.9 1.0 1 5 2 7 8 8
24 14 Stoke 8 7 1 0.5 1.1 2 2 4 4 9 8

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51