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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: J Busby

Plymouth 3–1 Luton

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 4.00 fair 2.32
Draw 3.70 fair 3.76
Away 1.85 fair 3.29
Under 2.5 2.30 fair 1.85
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.62 fair 2.17

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Plymouth Luton
19 Shots 16
6 Shots on target 2
3 Corners 15
4 Fouls 13
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (72 league matches this season so far).
Result Plymouth to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.97
Expected goals 1.39 – 1.12
Home / Draw / Away
PlymouthDrawLuton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.6% 1–0 11.2% 0–1 9.1%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Plymouth before this match, all matches
0.83points / match
0.83scored / match
1.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 5:10
Luton before this match, all matches
1.17points / match
0.83scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 5:8
Plymouth all matches all matches Luton

Per match

0.83 Goals scored 0.83
1.67 Goals conceded 1.33
2.50 Total goals 2.17
12.00 Shots 12.00
4.33 Shots on target 4.17
20.67 Shots faced 11.00
3.83 Corners 6.33
7.17 Corners against 4.50
13.00 Fouls 12.50
2.33 Yellow cards 2.00
0.17 1st-half goals scored 0.33
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

17% Wins 33%
33% Draws 17%
50% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 83%
67% Over 1.5 goals 50%
33% Over 2.5 goals 50%
33% Over 3.5 goals 17%
17% Over 4.5 goals 17%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 50%
0% Clean sheets 33%
50% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 33%
67% Draws 33%
33% Losses 33%
50% Over 0.5 goals 67%
17% Over 1.5 goals 17%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Plymouth all matches
Luton all matches
Plymouth before this match, at home
1.33points / match
1.33scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 4:4
Luton before this match, away
1.33points / match
0.33scored / match
0.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 1:1
Plymouth at home away Luton

Per match

1.33 Goals scored 0.33
1.33 Goals conceded 0.33
2.67 Total goals 0.67
14.67 Shots 12.00
6.67 Shots on target 4.67
15.33 Shots faced 10.67
6.33 Corners 7.00
4.00 Corners against 4.33
13.67 Fouls 14.00
2.67 Yellow cards 2.00
0.00 1st-half goals scored 0.33
0.33 1st-half goals conceded 0.33

How often Full Time

33% Wins 33%
33% Draws 33%
33% Losses 33%
100% Over 0.5 goals 67%
67% Over 1.5 goals 0%
33% Over 2.5 goals 0%
33% Over 3.5 goals 0%
33% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
67% Both teams scored 0%
0% Clean sheets 67%
33% Failed to score 67%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 33%
67% Draws 33%
33% Losses 33%
33% Over 0.5 goals 67%
0% Over 1.5 goals 0%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Plymouth at home
Luton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Plymouth all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.09.24 West Brom – Plymouth 1–0 (0–0) 1.384.508.00 1.57 2.38
14.09.24 Plymouth – Sunderland 3–2 (0–1) 4.503.601.75 1.73 2.10
31.08.24 Plymouth – Stoke 0–1 (0–0) 3.103.602.15 1.70 2.10
24.08.24 QPR – Plymouth 1–1 (1–1) 1.703.804.75 1.83 2.03
17.08.24 Plymouth – Hull 1–1 (0–0) 2.803.702.30 1.67 2.15
11.08.24 Sheffield Weds – Plymouth 4–0 (1–0) 1.803.504.50 2.00 1.85
04.05.24 Plymouth – Hull 1–0 (1–0) 3.503.752.00 1.62 2.30
27.04.24 Millwall – Plymouth 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.403.40 2.03 1.83
20.04.24 Stoke – Plymouth 3–0 (2–0) 1.803.504.75 1.93 1.93
12.04.24 Plymouth – Leicester 1–0 (1–0) 6.504.751.44 1.53 2.50

Luton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.09.24 Luton – Sheffield Weds 2–1 (0–0) 1.903.504.00 1.85 2.00
14.09.24 Millwall – Luton 0–1 (0–1) 2.633.302.63 2.00 1.80
30.08.24 Luton – QPR 1–2 (1–0) 1.913.503.70 1.75 2.05
24.08.24 Preston – Luton 1–0 (1–0) 3.203.402.20 1.98 1.88
17.08.24 Portsmouth – Luton 0–0 (0–0) 3.103.402.25 1.75 2.05
12.08.24 Luton – Burnley 1–4 (0–2) 2.383.402.88 1.88 1.98
19.05.24E0 Luton – Fulham 2–4 (1–2) 2.903.902.20 1.44 2.75
11.05.24E0 West Ham – Luton 3–1 (0–1) 1.804.203.80 1.44 2.75
03.05.24E0 Luton – Everton 1–1 (1–1) 2.603.602.55 1.73 2.10
27.04.24E0 Wolves – Luton 2–1 (1–0) 1.953.803.60 1.62 2.30

Plymouth at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.09.24 Plymouth – Sunderland 3–2 (0–1) 4.503.601.75 1.73 2.10
31.08.24 Plymouth – Stoke 0–1 (0–0) 3.103.602.15 1.70 2.10
17.08.24 Plymouth – Hull 1–1 (0–0) 2.803.702.30 1.67 2.15
04.05.24 Plymouth – Hull 1–0 (1–0) 3.503.752.00 1.62 2.30
12.04.24 Plymouth – Leicester 1–0 (1–0) 6.504.751.44 1.53 2.50
09.04.24 Plymouth – QPR 1–1 (0–0) 3.103.252.38 2.05 1.80
01.04.24 Plymouth – Bristol City 0–1 (0–0) 2.603.302.75 2.00 1.85
16.03.24 Plymouth – Preston 0–1 (0–1) 2.503.252.88 1.98 1.88
02.03.24 Plymouth – Ipswich 0–2 (0–0) 4.504.001.70 1.53 2.40
20.02.24 Plymouth – West Brom 0–3 (0–0) 3.603.602.00 1.90 1.95

Luton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.09.24 Millwall – Luton 0–1 (0–1) 2.633.302.63 2.00 1.80
24.08.24 Preston – Luton 1–0 (1–0) 3.203.402.20 1.98 1.88
17.08.24 Portsmouth – Luton 0–0 (0–0) 3.103.402.25 1.75 2.05
11.05.24E0 West Ham – Luton 3–1 (0–1) 1.804.203.80 1.44 2.75
27.04.24E0 Wolves – Luton 2–1 (1–0) 1.953.803.60 1.62 2.30
13.04.24E0 Man City – Luton 5–1 (1–0) 1.1011.0019.00 1.29 3.75
03.04.24E0 Arsenal – Luton 2–0 (2–0) 1.1010.0019.00 1.25 4.00
30.03.24E0 Tottenham – Luton 2–1 (0–1) 1.208.0011.00 1.25 4.00
13.03.24E0 Bournemouth – Luton 4–3 (0–3) 1.504.755.75 1.44 2.70
09.03.24E0 Crystal Palace – Luton 1–1 (1–0) 1.753.804.20 1.75 2.05

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 West Brom 6 5 1 0 10 2 +8 16
2 Sunderland 6 5 0 1 13 4 +9 15
3 Sheffield United 6 4 2 0 9 3 +6 14
4 Burnley 6 4 1 1 13 4 +9 13
5 Blackburn 6 3 3 0 12 6 +6 12
6 Leeds 6 3 2 1 9 4 +5 11
7 Swansea 6 3 1 2 7 4 +3 10
8 Watford 6 3 1 2 10 9 +1 10
9 Oxford 6 3 0 3 10 8 +2 9
10 Derby 6 3 0 3 8 7 +1 9
11 Norwich 6 2 2 2 8 7 +1 8
12 Middlesbrough 6 2 2 2 6 5 +1 8
13 Bristol City 6 2 2 2 8 12 -4 8
14 QPR 6 1 4 1 8 9 -1 7
15 Luton 6 2 1 3 5 8 -3 7
16 Hull 6 1 3 2 5 7 -2 6
17 Stoke 6 2 0 4 4 9 -5 6
18 Millwall 6 1 2 3 9 9 0 5
19 Coventry 6 1 2 3 6 8 -2 5
20 Plymouth 6 1 2 3 5 10 -5 5
21 Preston 6 1 2 3 3 9 -6 5
22 Sheffield Weds 6 1 1 4 6 12 -6 4
23 Portsmouth 6 0 3 3 7 13 -6 3
24 Cardiff 6 0 1 5 1 13 -12 1
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Blackburn 3 3 0 0 9 3 +6 9
2 Sunderland 3 3 0 0 6 0 +6 9
3 Oxford 3 3 0 0 6 1 +5 9
4 Derby 3 3 0 0 5 0 +5 9
5 Burnley 3 2 1 0 8 2 +6 7
6 Watford 3 2 1 0 6 2 +4 7
7 Swansea 3 2 1 0 5 1 +4 7
8 Bristol City 3 2 1 0 7 5 +2 7
9 Sheffield United 3 2 1 0 4 2 +2 7
10 West Brom 3 2 1 0 2 0 +2 7
11 Norwich 3 1 2 0 7 4 +3 5
12 Middlesbrough 3 1 2 0 4 3 +1 5
13 Sheffield Weds 3 1 1 1 5 3 +2 4
14 Leeds 3 1 1 1 5 4 +1 4
15 Plymouth 3 1 1 1 4 4 0 4
16 Preston 3 1 1 1 1 2 -1 4
17 Millwall 3 1 0 2 5 4 +1 3
18 Coventry 3 1 0 2 4 5 -1 3
19 Stoke 3 1 0 2 3 5 -2 3
20 Luton 3 1 0 2 4 7 -3 3
21 QPR 3 0 2 1 3 5 -2 2
22 Hull 3 0 2 1 1 3 -2 2
23 Portsmouth 3 0 1 2 1 6 -5 1
24 Cardiff 3 0 0 3 0 6 -6 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 West Brom 3 3 0 0 8 2 +6 9
2 Sheffield United 3 2 1 0 5 1 +4 7
3 Leeds 3 2 1 0 4 0 +4 7
4 Sunderland 3 2 0 1 7 4 +3 6
5 Burnley 3 2 0 1 5 2 +3 6
6 QPR 3 1 2 0 5 4 +1 5
7 Hull 3 1 1 1 4 4 0 4
8 Luton 3 1 1 1 1 1 0 4
9 Blackburn 3 0 3 0 3 3 0 3
10 Middlesbrough 3 1 0 2 2 2 0 3
11 Swansea 3 1 0 2 2 3 -1 3
12 Norwich 3 1 0 2 1 3 -2 3
13 Watford 3 1 0 2 4 7 -3 3
14 Stoke 3 1 0 2 1 4 -3 3
15 Portsmouth 3 0 2 1 6 7 -1 2
16 Millwall 3 0 2 1 4 5 -1 2
17 Coventry 3 0 2 1 2 3 -1 2
18 Preston 3 0 1 2 2 7 -5 1
19 Plymouth 3 0 1 2 1 6 -5 1
20 Bristol City 3 0 1 2 1 7 -6 1
21 Cardiff 3 0 1 2 1 7 -6 1
22 Oxford 3 0 0 3 4 7 -3 0
23 Derby 3 0 0 3 3 7 -4 0
24 Sheffield Weds 3 0 0 3 1 9 -8 0

Plymouth   Luton

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 23 Portsmouth 6 1 5 1.2 2.2 0 3 3 7 13 3
2 5 Blackburn 6 2 4 2.0 1.0 3 3 0 12 6 12
3 8 Watford 6 2 4 1.7 1.5 3 1 2 10 9 10
4 9 Oxford 6 2 4 1.7 1.3 3 0 3 10 8 9
5 13 Bristol City 6 2 4 1.3 2.0 2 2 2 8 12 8
6 22 Sheffield Weds 6 2 4 1.0 2.0 1 1 4 6 12 4
7 1 West Brom 6 3 3 1.7 0.3 5 1 0 10 2 16
8 2 Sunderland 6 3 3 2.2 0.7 5 0 1 13 4 15
9 4 Burnley 6 3 3 2.2 0.7 4 1 1 13 4 13
10 10 Derby 6 3 3 1.3 1.2 3 0 3 8 7 9
11 14 QPR 6 3 3 1.3 1.5 1 4 1 8 9 7
12 15 Luton 6 3 3 0.8 1.3 2 1 3 5 8 7
13 17 Stoke 6 3 3 0.7 1.5 2 0 4 4 9 6
14 18 Millwall 6 3 3 1.5 1.5 1 2 3 9 9 5
15 7 Swansea 6 4 2 1.2 0.7 3 1 2 7 4 10
16 11 Norwich 6 4 2 1.3 1.2 2 2 2 8 7 8
17 19 Coventry 6 4 2 1.0 1.3 1 2 3 6 8 5
18 20 Plymouth 6 4 2 0.8 1.7 1 2 3 5 10 5
19 21 Preston 6 4 2 0.5 1.5 1 2 3 3 9 5
20 3 Sheffield United 6 5 1 1.5 0.5 4 2 0 9 3 14
21 6 Leeds 6 5 1 1.5 0.7 3 2 1 9 4 11
22 12 Middlesbrough 6 5 1 1.0 0.8 2 2 2 6 5 8
23 16 Hull 6 5 1 0.8 1.2 1 3 2 5 7 6
24 24 Cardiff 6 5 1 0.2 2.2 0 1 5 1 13 1
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Blackburn 3 0 3 3.0 1.0 3 0 0 9 3 9
2 15 Luton 3 0 3 1.3 2.3 1 0 2 4 7 3
3 4 Burnley 3 1 2 2.7 0.7 2 1 0 8 2 7
4 8 Watford 3 1 2 2.0 0.7 2 1 0 6 2 7
5 11 Norwich 3 1 2 2.3 1.3 1 2 0 7 4 5
6 13 Bristol City 3 1 2 2.3 1.7 2 1 0 7 5 7
7 17 Stoke 3 1 2 1.0 1.7 1 0 2 3 5 3
8 18 Millwall 3 1 2 1.7 1.3 1 0 2 5 4 3
9 19 Coventry 3 1 2 1.3 1.7 1 0 2 4 5 3
10 23 Portsmouth 3 1 2 0.3 2.0 0 1 2 1 6 1
11 2 Sunderland 3 2 1 2.0 0.0 3 0 0 6 0 9
12 3 Sheffield United 3 2 1 1.3 0.7 2 1 0 4 2 7
13 6 Leeds 3 2 1 1.7 1.3 1 1 1 5 4 4
14 7 Swansea 3 2 1 1.7 0.3 2 1 0 5 1 7
15 9 Oxford 3 2 1 2.0 0.3 3 0 0 6 1 9
16 10 Derby 3 2 1 1.7 0.0 3 0 0 5 0 9
17 12 Middlesbrough 3 2 1 1.3 1.0 1 2 0 4 3 5
18 14 QPR 3 2 1 1.0 1.7 0 2 1 3 5 2
19 20 Plymouth 3 2 1 1.3 1.3 1 1 1 4 4 4
20 22 Sheffield Weds 3 2 1 1.7 1.0 1 1 1 5 3 4
21 1 West Brom 3 3 0 0.7 0.0 2 1 0 2 0 7
22 16 Hull 3 3 0 0.3 1.0 0 2 1 1 3 2
23 21 Preston 3 3 0 0.3 0.7 1 1 1 1 2 4
24 24 Cardiff 3 3 0 0.0 2.0 0 0 3 0 6 0
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 West Brom 3 0 3 2.7 0.7 3 0 0 8 2 9
2 9 Oxford 3 0 3 1.3 2.3 0 0 3 4 7 0
3 22 Sheffield Weds 3 0 3 0.3 3.0 0 0 3 1 9 0
4 23 Portsmouth 3 0 3 2.0 2.3 0 2 1 6 7 2
5 2 Sunderland 3 1 2 2.3 1.3 2 0 1 7 4 6
6 8 Watford 3 1 2 1.3 2.3 1 0 2 4 7 3
7 10 Derby 3 1 2 1.0 2.3 0 0 3 3 7 0
8 13 Bristol City 3 1 2 0.3 2.3 0 1 2 1 7 1
9 14 QPR 3 1 2 1.7 1.3 1 2 0 5 4 5
10 21 Preston 3 1 2 0.7 2.3 0 1 2 2 7 1
11 4 Burnley 3 2 1 1.7 0.7 2 0 1 5 2 6
12 5 Blackburn 3 2 1 1.0 1.0 0 3 0 3 3 3
13 7 Swansea 3 2 1 0.7 1.0 1 0 2 2 3 3
14 16 Hull 3 2 1 1.3 1.3 1 1 1 4 4 4
15 17 Stoke 3 2 1 0.3 1.3 1 0 2 1 4 3
16 18 Millwall 3 2 1 1.3 1.7 0 2 1 4 5 2
17 20 Plymouth 3 2 1 0.3 2.0 0 1 2 1 6 1
18 24 Cardiff 3 2 1 0.3 2.3 0 1 2 1 7 1
19 3 Sheffield United 3 3 0 1.7 0.3 2 1 0 5 1 7
20 6 Leeds 3 3 0 1.3 0.0 2 1 0 4 0 7
21 11 Norwich 3 3 0 0.3 1.0 1 0 2 1 3 3
22 12 Middlesbrough 3 3 0 0.7 0.7 1 0 2 2 2 3
23 15 Luton 3 3 0 0.3 0.3 1 1 1 1 1 4
24 19 Coventry 3 3 0 0.7 1.0 0 2 1 2 3 2

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40