Stoke 1–2 Birmingham – England Championship, 20 Jan 2024

Match facts

Stoke Birmingham

22 Shots 9

5 Shots on target 5

13 Corners 2

5 Fouls 7

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (326 league matches this season so far).

Result Stoke to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.99

Expected goals 1.42 – 1.08

Home / Draw / Away

45% 27% 29%

StokeDrawBirmingham

Under / Over 2.5 goals

54% 46%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

50% 50%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

8% 0

21% 1

26% 2

21% 3

13% 4

11% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 12.6% 1–0 11.6% 2–1 9%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Stoke before this match, all matches

1.19points / match

0.96scored / match

1.19conceded / match

8 8 11

WonDrawnLost 27 played · 26:32

Birmingham before this match, all matches

1.07points / match

1.19scored / match

1.59conceded / match

7 8 12

WonDrawnLost 27 played · 32:43

Stoke all matches all matches Birmingham

Per match

0.96 Goals scored 1.19

1.19 Goals conceded 1.59

2.15 Total goals 2.78

11.70 Shots 12.22

3.15 Shots on target 4.15

11.78 Shots faced 13.33

6.07 Corners 4.44

5.07 Corners against 6.11

12.89 Fouls 13.37

2.41 Yellow cards 2.37

0.56 1st-half goals scored 0.56

0.59 1st-half goals conceded 0.59

How often Full Time

30% Wins 26%

30% Draws 30%

41% Losses 44%

85% Over 0.5 goals 89%

59% Over 1.5 goals 78%

33% Over 2.5 goals 52%

22% Over 3.5 goals 37%

11% Over 4.5 goals 15%

4% Over 5.5 goals 7%

41% Both teams scored 56%

30% Clean sheets 22%

44% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

15% Wins 30%

56% Draws 44%

30% Losses 26%

67% Over 0.5 goals 67%

41% Over 1.5 goals 37%

7% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Stoke all matches

2

4

L

1

2

L

1

L

1

D

1

D

3

1

W

1

D

1

W

Birmingham all matches

2

4

L

D

2

L

1

W

2

3

L

3

D

1

3

L

D

3

L

2

D

Stoke before this match, at home

1.23points / match

0.77scored / match

1.00conceded / match

4 4 5

WonDrawnLost 13 played · 10:13

Birmingham before this match, away

0.62points / match

0.92scored / match

2.00conceded / match

2 2 9

WonDrawnLost 13 played · 12:26

Stoke at home away Birmingham

Per match

0.77 Goals scored 0.92

1.00 Goals conceded 2.00

1.77 Total goals 2.92

13.00 Shots 12.69

3.23 Shots on target 4.38

9.69 Shots faced 14.77

6.85 Corners 3.85

3.31 Corners against 6.69

13.77 Fouls 13.54

2.69 Yellow cards 2.92

0.31 1st-half goals scored 0.46

0.38 1st-half goals conceded 0.54

How often Full Time

31% Wins 15%

31% Draws 15%

38% Losses 69%

77% Over 0.5 goals 100%

46% Over 1.5 goals 85%

31% Over 2.5 goals 46%

15% Over 3.5 goals 31%

8% Over 4.5 goals 15%

0% Over 5.5 goals 15%

31% Both teams scored 46%

38% Clean sheets 15%

54% Failed to score 38%

How often Half Time

8% Wins 31%

69% Draws 46%

23% Losses 23%

38% Over 0.5 goals 62%

23% Over 1.5 goals 31%

8% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Stoke at home

1

3

L

1

L

2

1

W

1

W

D

3

L

1

L

1

D

Birmingham away

1

2

L

2

L

1

L

1

3

L

1

3

L

2

4

L

2

L

1

W

3

D

3

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Stoke all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
13.01.24	Rotherham – Stoke	0–1 (0–1)	4.00	3.60	1.91	2.03	1.83
01.01.24	Stoke – Ipswich	0–0 (0–0)	2.90	3.30	2.40	1.93	1.93
29.12.23	Watford – Stoke	1–1 (1–1)	2.15	3.30	3.50	2.05	1.75
26.12.23	Birmingham – Stoke	1–3 (0–2)	2.60	3.30	2.75	2.05	1.75
23.12.23	Stoke – Millwall	0–0 (0–0)	2.05	3.60	3.40	2.10	1.70
17.12.23	West Brom – Stoke	1–1 (1–1)	1.75	3.80	4.50	2.10	1.70
12.12.23	Stoke – Swansea	1–1 (0–0)	2.05	3.50	3.60	1.93	1.93
09.12.23	Stoke – Sheffield Weds	0–1 (0–0)	2.00	3.25	4.00	2.25	1.62
02.12.23	Plymouth – Stoke	2–1 (1–1)	2.63	3.50	2.60	1.73	2.08
28.11.23	QPR – Stoke	4–2 (1–1)	3.10	3.40	2.30	2.25	1.62

Birmingham all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
13.01.24	Birmingham – Swansea	2–2 (1–1)	2.25	3.50	3.10	1.80	2.00
01.01.24	Leeds – Birmingham	3–0 (2–0)	1.25	6.50	9.50	1.50	2.50
29.12.23	Birmingham – Bristol City	0–0 (0–0)	2.75	3.30	2.55	2.05	1.75
26.12.23	Birmingham – Stoke	1–3 (0–2)	2.60	3.30	2.75	2.05	1.75
23.12.23	Plymouth – Birmingham	3–3 (1–2)	2.15	3.60	3.20	1.67	2.15
18.12.23	Birmingham – Leicester	2–3 (1–2)	6.00	3.80	1.60	1.75	2.05
13.12.23	Cardiff – Birmingham	0–1 (0–1)	1.85	3.80	4.00	2.08	1.73
08.12.23	Coventry – Birmingham	2–0 (1–0)	1.70	4.00	4.75	1.75	2.05
02.12.23	Birmingham – Rotherham	0–0 (0–0)	1.60	3.80	6.00	1.88	1.98
29.11.23	Blackburn – Birmingham	4–2 (0–0)	1.80	3.60	4.33	1.65	2.20

Stoke at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
01.01.24	Stoke – Ipswich	0–0 (0–0)	2.90	3.30	2.40	1.93	1.93
23.12.23	Stoke – Millwall	0–0 (0–0)	2.05	3.60	3.40	2.10	1.70
12.12.23	Stoke – Swansea	1–1 (0–0)	2.05	3.50	3.60	1.93	1.93
09.12.23	Stoke – Sheffield Weds	0–1 (0–0)	2.00	3.25	4.00	2.25	1.62
25.11.23	Stoke – Blackburn	0–3 (0–1)	2.20	3.50	3.20	1.75	2.05
04.11.23	Stoke – Cardiff	0–0 (0–0)	2.15	3.30	3.50	2.10	1.70
25.10.23	Stoke – Leeds	1–0 (0–0)	3.75	3.60	1.95	1.80	2.00
21.10.23	Stoke – Sunderland	2–1 (1–1)	2.50	3.30	2.75	1.75	2.05
03.10.23	Stoke – Southampton	0–1 (0–1)	2.70	3.40	2.60	1.80	2.00
24.09.23	Stoke – Hull	1–3 (0–2)	1.91	3.75	3.80	1.90	1.95

Birmingham away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
01.01.24	Leeds – Birmingham	3–0 (2–0)	1.25	6.50	9.50	1.50	2.50
23.12.23	Plymouth – Birmingham	3–3 (1–2)	2.15	3.60	3.20	1.67	2.15
13.12.23	Cardiff – Birmingham	0–1 (0–1)	1.85	3.80	4.00	2.08	1.73
08.12.23	Coventry – Birmingham	2–0 (1–0)	1.70	4.00	4.75	1.75	2.05
29.11.23	Blackburn – Birmingham	4–2 (0–0)	1.80	3.60	4.33	1.65	2.20
11.11.23	Sunderland – Birmingham	3–1 (1–1)	1.75	3.75	4.50	1.85	2.00
28.10.23	Southampton – Birmingham	3–1 (2–0)	1.60	4.00	5.50	1.80	2.00
21.10.23	Middlesbrough – Birmingham	1–0 (0–0)	1.75	3.75	4.50	1.90	1.95
30.09.23	Norwich – Birmingham	2–0 (0–0)	1.91	3.50	4.00	1.93	1.93
19.09.23	Preston – Birmingham	2–1 (0–0)	2.38	3.10	3.30	2.30	1.62

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1 3 1

Stoke winsDrawsBirmingham wins

5matches

2.20goals / match

60%over 2.5

60%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
26.12.23E1	Birmingham – Stoke	1–3 (0–2)	2.60	3.30	2.75	2.05	1.75
10.04.23E1	Birmingham – Stoke	0–0 (0–0)	3.20	3.25	2.30	2.20	1.67
05.11.22E1	Stoke – Birmingham	1–2 (0–1)	2.05	3.50	3.60	2.20	1.66
19.02.22E1	Stoke – Birmingham	2–2 (1–1)	1.80	3.60	4.75	2.10	1.77
14.08.21E1	Birmingham – Stoke	0–0 (0–0)	2.70	3.10	2.80	2.50	1.53

England Championship table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leicester	27	21	2	4	55	21	+34	65
2	Southampton	28	17	7	4	53	32	+21	58
3	Ipswich	27	17	7	3	50	34	+16	58
4	Leeds	27	15	6	6	48	25	+23	51
5	West Brom	27	13	6	8	40	25	+15	45
6	Hull	28	12	6	10	42	38	+4	42
7	Coventry	27	10	10	7	41	29	+12	40
8	Sunderland	28	12	4	12	37	31	+6	40
9	Watford	27	10	9	8	44	37	+7	39
10	Middlesbrough	27	12	3	12	41	40	+1	39
11	Norwich	27	11	5	11	44	43	+1	38
12	Preston	27	11	5	11	33	44	-11	38
13	Cardiff	27	11	4	12	34	36	-2	37
14	Bristol City	27	10	6	11	30	30	0	36
15	Swansea	28	8	9	11	38	44	-6	33
16	Millwall	27	8	8	11	29	34	-5	32
17	Stoke	27	8	8	11	26	32	-6	32
18	Blackburn	27	10	2	15	40	52	-12	32
19	Plymouth	27	7	9	11	44	46	-2	30
20	Birmingham	27	7	8	12	32	43	-11	29
21	Huddersfield	27	5	11	11	27	45	-18	26
22	Sheffield Weds	27	6	4	17	21	44	-23	22
23	QPR	27	5	6	16	22	39	-17	21
24	Rotherham	27	3	9	15	24	51	-27	18

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leicester	13	11	0	2	27	7	+20	33
2	Ipswich	14	10	3	1	35	21	+14	33
3	Southampton	14	10	2	2	34	15	+19	32
4	Leeds	13	9	4	0	29	10	+19	31
5	West Brom	14	9	3	2	24	11	+13	30
6	Coventry	14	6	7	1	20	11	+9	25
7	Plymouth	13	7	3	3	33	22	+11	24
8	Sunderland	14	8	0	6	22	17	+5	24
9	Norwich	13	7	2	4	19	14	+5	23
10	Preston	14	7	2	5	20	24	-4	23
11	Hull	14	6	4	4	22	15	+7	22
12	Birmingham	14	5	6	3	20	17	+3	21
13	Watford	14	5	5	4	25	18	+7	20
14	Bristol City	13	6	2	5	17	15	+2	20
15	Cardiff	14	6	2	6	18	18	0	20
16	Middlesbrough	13	6	1	6	14	14	0	19
17	Swansea	14	4	5	5	17	18	-1	17
18	Stoke	13	4	4	5	10	13	-3	16
19	Blackburn	13	5	1	7	18	23	-5	16
20	Rotherham	14	3	6	5	16	18	-2	15
21	Sheffield Weds	13	4	3	6	14	18	-4	15
22	Huddersfield	14	3	6	5	15	21	-6	15
23	Millwall	14	4	3	7	13	20	-7	15
24	QPR	13	2	3	8	12	21	-9	9

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leicester	14	10	2	2	28	14	+14	32
2	Southampton	14	7	5	2	19	17	+2	26
3	Ipswich	13	7	4	2	15	13	+2	25
4	Leeds	14	6	2	6	19	15	+4	20
5	Middlesbrough	14	6	2	6	27	26	+1	20
6	Hull	14	6	2	6	20	23	-3	20
7	Watford	13	5	4	4	19	19	0	19
8	Millwall	13	4	5	4	16	14	+2	17
9	Cardiff	13	5	2	6	16	18	-2	17
10	Sunderland	14	4	4	6	15	14	+1	16
11	Bristol City	14	4	4	6	13	15	-2	16
12	Stoke	14	4	4	6	16	19	-3	16
13	Swansea	14	4	4	6	21	26	-5	16
14	Blackburn	14	5	1	8	22	29	-7	16
15	Coventry	13	4	3	6	21	18	+3	15
16	West Brom	13	4	3	6	16	14	+2	15
17	Norwich	14	4	3	7	25	29	-4	15
18	Preston	13	4	3	6	13	20	-7	15
19	QPR	14	3	3	8	10	18	-8	12
20	Huddersfield	13	2	5	6	12	24	-12	11
21	Birmingham	13	2	2	9	12	26	-14	8
22	Sheffield Weds	14	2	1	11	7	26	-19	7
23	Plymouth	14	0	6	8	11	24	-13	6
24	Rotherham	13	0	3	10	8	33	-25	3

Stoke Birmingham

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	18	Blackburn	27	5	22	1.5	1.9	10	2	15	40	52	32
2	19	Plymouth	27	8	19	1.6	1.7	7	9	11	44	46	30
3	15	Swansea	28	10	18	1.4	1.6	8	9	11	38	44	33
4	2	Southampton	28	11	17	1.9	1.1	17	7	4	53	32	58
5	6	Hull	28	11	17	1.5	1.4	12	6	10	42	38	42
6	11	Norwich	27	10	17	1.6	1.6	11	5	11	44	43	38
7	3	Ipswich	27	11	16	1.9	1.3	17	7	3	50	34	58
8	10	Middlesbrough	27	11	16	1.5	1.5	12	3	12	41	40	39
9	12	Preston	27	11	16	1.2	1.6	11	5	11	33	44	38
10	1	Leicester	27	12	15	2.0	0.8	21	2	4	55	21	65
11	4	Leeds	27	12	15	1.8	0.9	15	6	6	48	25	51
12	8	Sunderland	28	13	15	1.3	1.1	12	4	12	37	31	40
13	9	Watford	27	12	15	1.6	1.4	10	9	8	44	37	39
14	13	Cardiff	27	13	14	1.3	1.3	11	4	12	34	36	37
15	20	Birmingham	27	13	14	1.2	1.6	7	8	12	32	43	29
16	22	Sheffield Weds	27	13	14	0.8	1.6	6	4	17	21	44	22
17	24	Rotherham	27	13	14	0.9	1.9	3	9	15	24	51	18
18	21	Huddersfield	27	14	13	1.0	1.7	5	11	11	27	45	26
19	5	West Brom	27	15	12	1.5	0.9	13	6	8	40	25	45
20	7	Coventry	27	15	12	1.5	1.1	10	10	7	41	29	40
21	16	Millwall	27	15	12	1.1	1.3	8	8	11	29	34	32
22	23	QPR	27	15	12	0.8	1.4	5	6	16	22	39	21
23	14	Bristol City	27	17	10	1.1	1.1	10	6	11	30	30	36
24	17	Stoke	27	18	9	1.0	1.2	8	8	11	26	32	32

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	3	Ipswich	14	3	11	2.5	1.5	10	3	1	35	21	33
2	19	Plymouth	13	2	11	2.5	1.7	7	3	3	33	22	24
3	2	Southampton	14	4	10	2.4	1.1	10	2	2	34	15	32
4	12	Preston	14	4	10	1.4	1.7	7	2	5	20	24	23
5	18	Blackburn	13	3	10	1.4	1.8	5	1	7	18	23	16
6	4	Leeds	13	4	9	2.2	0.8	9	4	0	29	10	31
7	8	Sunderland	14	5	9	1.6	1.2	8	0	6	22	17	24
8	9	Watford	14	6	8	1.8	1.3	5	5	4	25	18	20
9	15	Swansea	14	6	8	1.2	1.3	4	5	5	17	18	17
10	20	Birmingham	14	6	8	1.4	1.2	5	6	3	20	17	21
11	1	Leicester	13	6	7	2.1	0.5	11	0	2	27	7	33
12	6	Hull	14	7	7	1.6	1.1	6	4	4	22	15	22
13	16	Millwall	14	7	7	0.9	1.4	4	3	7	13	20	15
14	21	Huddersfield	14	7	7	1.1	1.5	3	6	5	15	21	15
15	22	Sheffield Weds	13	6	7	1.1	1.4	4	3	6	14	18	15
16	23	QPR	13	6	7	0.9	1.6	2	3	8	12	21	9
17	5	West Brom	14	8	6	1.7	0.8	9	3	2	24	11	30
18	11	Norwich	13	7	6	1.5	1.1	7	2	4	19	14	23
19	13	Cardiff	14	8	6	1.3	1.3	6	2	6	18	18	20
20	24	Rotherham	14	8	6	1.1	1.3	3	6	5	16	18	15
21	14	Bristol City	13	8	5	1.3	1.2	6	2	5	17	15	20
22	7	Coventry	14	10	4	1.4	0.8	6	7	1	20	11	25
23	10	Middlesbrough	13	9	4	1.1	1.1	6	1	6	14	14	19
24	17	Stoke	13	9	4	0.8	1.0	4	4	5	10	13	16

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	10	Middlesbrough	14	2	12	1.9	1.9	6	2	6	27	26	20
2	18	Blackburn	14	2	12	1.6	2.1	5	1	8	22	29	16
3	11	Norwich	14	3	11	1.8	2.1	4	3	7	25	29	15
4	6	Hull	14	4	10	1.4	1.6	6	2	6	20	23	20
5	15	Swansea	14	4	10	1.5	1.9	4	4	6	21	26	16
6	1	Leicester	14	6	8	2.0	1.0	10	2	2	28	14	32
7	7	Coventry	13	5	8	1.6	1.4	4	3	6	21	18	15
8	13	Cardiff	13	5	8	1.2	1.4	5	2	6	16	18	17
9	19	Plymouth	14	6	8	0.8	1.7	0	6	8	11	24	6
10	24	Rotherham	13	5	8	0.6	2.5	0	3	10	8	33	3
11	2	Southampton	14	7	7	1.4	1.2	7	5	2	19	17	26
12	9	Watford	13	6	7	1.5	1.5	5	4	4	19	19	19
13	22	Sheffield Weds	14	7	7	0.5	1.9	2	1	11	7	26	7
14	4	Leeds	14	8	6	1.4	1.1	6	2	6	19	15	20
15	5	West Brom	13	7	6	1.2	1.1	4	3	6	16	14	15
16	8	Sunderland	14	8	6	1.1	1.0	4	4	6	15	14	16
17	12	Preston	13	7	6	1.0	1.5	4	3	6	13	20	15
18	20	Birmingham	13	7	6	0.9	2.0	2	2	9	12	26	8
19	21	Huddersfield	13	7	6	0.9	1.8	2	5	6	12	24	11
20	3	Ipswich	13	8	5	1.2	1.0	7	4	2	15	13	25
21	14	Bristol City	14	9	5	0.9	1.1	4	4	6	13	15	16
22	16	Millwall	13	8	5	1.2	1.1	4	5	4	16	14	17
23	17	Stoke	14	9	5	1.1	1.4	4	4	6	16	19	16
24	23	QPR	14	9	5	0.7	1.3	3	3	8	10	18	12

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.