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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: G Scott

Plymouth 3–3 Birmingham

Full time · half time 1–2 · season 2023/2024

Home 2.15 fair 1.94
Draw ✓ 3.60 fair 4.41
Away 3.20 fair 3.88
Under 2.5 2.15 fair 2.51
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.67 fair 1.66

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Plymouth Birmingham
15 Shots 13
8 Shots on target 7
7 Corners 3
7 Fouls 15
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (267 league matches this season so far).
Result Plymouth to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.66
Expected goals 1.86 – 1.25
Home / Draw / Away
PlymouthDrawBirmingham
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.4% 2–1 9.6% 1–0 8.3%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Plymouth before this match, all matches
1.18points / match
1.55scored / match
1.59conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 22 played · 34:35
Birmingham before this match, all matches
1.18points / match
1.18scored / match
1.45conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 22 played · 26:32
Plymouth all matches all matches Birmingham

Per match

1.55 Goals scored 1.18
1.59 Goals conceded 1.45
3.14 Total goals 2.64
14.00 Shots 12.68
5.41 Shots on target 4.18
15.50 Shots faced 13.59
5.95 Corners 4.68
7.86 Corners against 6.27
9.36 Fouls 13.18
2.14 Yellow cards 2.27
0.82 1st-half goals scored 0.55
0.68 1st-half goals conceded 0.45

How often Full Time

32% Wins 32%
23% Draws 23%
45% Losses 45%
86% Over 0.5 goals 91%
82% Over 1.5 goals 77%
68% Over 2.5 goals 45%
36% Over 3.5 goals 32%
23% Over 4.5 goals 14%
9% Over 5.5 goals 5%
59% Both teams scored 55%
27% Clean sheets 23%
27% Failed to score 32%

How often Half Time

27% Wins 32%
50% Draws 45%
23% Losses 23%
73% Over 0.5 goals 64%
55% Over 1.5 goals 27%
14% Over 2.5 goals 9%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Plymouth all matches
Birmingham all matches
Plymouth before this match, at home
2.00points / match
2.45scored / match
1.45conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 27:16
Birmingham before this match, away
0.64points / match
0.82scored / match
1.82conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 9:20
Plymouth at home away Birmingham

Per match

2.45 Goals scored 0.82
1.45 Goals conceded 1.82
3.91 Total goals 2.64
16.36 Shots 13.09
6.45 Shots on target 4.45
14.82 Shots faced 14.18
6.36 Corners 4.00
7.45 Corners against 6.73
8.82 Fouls 13.36
1.73 Yellow cards 2.82
1.36 1st-half goals scored 0.36
0.36 1st-half goals conceded 0.36

How often Full Time

64% Wins 18%
9% Draws 9%
27% Losses 73%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 82%
82% Over 2.5 goals 36%
45% Over 3.5 goals 27%
27% Over 4.5 goals 9%
18% Over 5.5 goals 9%
64% Both teams scored 45%
27% Clean sheets 18%
9% Failed to score 36%

How often Half Time

55% Wins 27%
45% Draws 55%
0% Losses 18%
82% Over 0.5 goals 55%
64% Over 1.5 goals 18%
18% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Plymouth at home
Birmingham away

Last 10 matches before this match

Plymouth all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.12.23 Plymouth – Rotherham 3–2 (1–1) 1.673.805.25 1.70 2.10
13.12.23 QPR – Plymouth 0–0 (0–0) 2.003.753.60 1.75 2.05
09.12.23 Leicester – Plymouth 4–0 (1–0) 1.295.5010.00 1.44 2.70
02.12.23 Plymouth – Stoke 2–1 (1–1) 2.633.502.60 1.73 2.08
28.11.23 Coventry – Plymouth 1–0 (0–0) 1.624.205.00 1.53 2.40
25.11.23 Plymouth – Sunderland 2–0 (2–0) 3.403.752.00 1.53 2.40
11.11.23 Leeds – Plymouth 2–1 (2–0) 1.256.5011.00 1.36 3.10
04.11.23 Plymouth – Middlesbrough 3–3 (2–1) 4.003.601.91 1.60 2.30
28.10.23 Ipswich – Plymouth 3–2 (1–1) 1.365.507.50 1.44 2.70
25.10.23 Plymouth – Sheffield Weds 3–0 (2–0) 2.053.403.75 1.80 2.00

Birmingham all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.12.23 Birmingham – Leicester 2–3 (1–2) 6.003.801.60 1.75 2.05
13.12.23 Cardiff – Birmingham 0–1 (0–1) 1.853.804.00 2.08 1.73
08.12.23 Coventry – Birmingham 2–0 (1–0) 1.704.004.75 1.75 2.05
02.12.23 Birmingham – Rotherham 0–0 (0–0) 1.603.806.00 1.88 1.98
29.11.23 Blackburn – Birmingham 4–2 (0–0) 1.803.604.33 1.65 2.20
25.11.23 Birmingham – Sheffield Weds 2–1 (1–1) 2.153.253.50 2.25 1.62
11.11.23 Sunderland – Birmingham 3–1 (1–1) 1.753.754.50 1.85 2.00
04.11.23 Birmingham – Ipswich 2–2 (1–0) 3.803.751.91 1.75 2.05
28.10.23 Southampton – Birmingham 3–1 (2–0) 1.604.005.50 1.80 2.00
25.10.23 Birmingham – Hull 0–2 (0–1) 2.303.253.20 2.05 1.80

Plymouth at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.12.23 Plymouth – Rotherham 3–2 (1–1) 1.673.805.25 1.70 2.10
02.12.23 Plymouth – Stoke 2–1 (1–1) 2.633.502.60 1.73 2.08
25.11.23 Plymouth – Sunderland 2–0 (2–0) 3.403.752.00 1.53 2.40
04.11.23 Plymouth – Middlesbrough 3–3 (2–1) 4.003.601.91 1.60 2.30
25.10.23 Plymouth – Sheffield Weds 3–0 (2–0) 2.053.403.75 1.80 2.00
07.10.23 Plymouth – Swansea 1–3 (1–0) 2.403.402.88 1.70 2.10
03.10.23 Plymouth – Millwall 0–2 (0–0) 2.403.502.80 1.73 2.08
23.09.23 Plymouth – Norwich 6–2 (4–0) 3.403.752.05 1.62 2.30
02.09.23 Plymouth – Blackburn 3–0 (1–0) 2.703.602.50 1.62 2.30
19.08.23 Plymouth – Southampton 1–2 (0–0) 3.803.751.91 1.73 2.10

Birmingham away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.12.23 Cardiff – Birmingham 0–1 (0–1) 1.853.804.00 2.08 1.73
08.12.23 Coventry – Birmingham 2–0 (1–0) 1.704.004.75 1.75 2.05
29.11.23 Blackburn – Birmingham 4–2 (0–0) 1.803.604.33 1.65 2.20
11.11.23 Sunderland – Birmingham 3–1 (1–1) 1.753.754.50 1.85 2.00
28.10.23 Southampton – Birmingham 3–1 (2–0) 1.604.005.50 1.80 2.00
21.10.23 Middlesbrough – Birmingham 1–0 (0–0) 1.753.754.50 1.90 1.95
30.09.23 Norwich – Birmingham 2–0 (0–0) 1.913.504.00 1.93 1.93
19.09.23 Preston – Birmingham 2–1 (0–0) 2.383.103.30 2.30 1.62
16.09.23 Watford – Birmingham 2–0 (0–0) 1.953.304.00 2.10 1.73
19.08.23 Bristol City – Birmingham 0–2 (0–1) 2.203.303.40 2.30 1.62

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Plymouth winsDrawsBirmingham wins
1matches
3.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.08.23E1 Birmingham – Plymouth 2–1 (1–0) 1.853.504.33 2.00 1.80

England Championship table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Leicester 22 18 1 3 44 16 +28 55 WDWWWW
2 Ipswich 23 16 4 3 47 32 +15 52 WWWWDL
3 Leeds 23 13 6 4 41 22 +19 45 WWWLDW
4 Southampton 22 12 6 4 37 29 +8 42 DWWDDW
5 West Brom 22 10 6 6 34 22 +12 36 WWLLWD
6 Hull 23 10 6 7 36 30 +6 36 WLLWWL
7 Sunderland 22 10 3 9 32 24 +8 33 LLDWWL
8 Bristol City 23 9 5 9 26 26 0 32 LLDLWW
9 Preston 23 9 5 9 29 40 -11 32 LLDWLL
10 Watford 22 8 7 7 35 27 +8 31 LWWDLW
11 Norwich 22 9 4 9 39 39 0 31 WLWDWD
12 Blackburn 22 10 1 11 34 38 -4 31 WWLLWL
13 Cardiff 22 9 3 10 28 27 +1 30 WLLWLL
14 Middlesbrough 22 9 3 10 34 34 0 30 LWLLLW
15 Swansea 23 7 7 9 32 32 0 28 LDWDLW
16 Coventry 22 6 9 7 28 25 +3 27 WWLWDD
17 Plymouth 22 7 5 10 34 35 -1 26 WLWLDW
18 Birmingham 22 7 5 10 26 32 -6 26 WLDLWL
19 Stoke 22 6 5 11 21 30 -9 23 LLLLDD
20 Millwall 22 5 7 10 24 31 -7 22 LLDLLD
21 Huddersfield 22 4 10 8 21 36 -15 22 DWDDLD
22 QPR 22 5 5 12 20 32 -12 20 LWWWDL
23 Sheffield Weds 22 4 4 14 16 35 -19 16 LDWWLW
24 Rotherham 22 2 7 13 20 44 -24 13 DLDLLL
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Leeds 12 8 4 0 26 10 +16 28 WWWWDW
2 Ipswich 11 9 1 1 32 19 +13 28 WWWWWD
3 Leicester 11 9 0 2 20 6 +14 27 WWLWWW
4 Southampton 11 7 2 2 23 14 +9 23 DWWWWW
5 Plymouth 11 7 1 3 27 16 +11 22 LWDWWW
6 West Brom 11 6 3 2 18 10 +8 21 DWWWLD
7 Sunderland 11 7 0 4 20 13 +7 21 LWWLWW
8 Bristol City 12 6 2 4 17 14 +3 20 LWWLWW
9 Watford 12 5 4 3 23 13 +10 19 WDWWDL
10 Hull 11 5 4 2 18 10 +8 19 LWWWLW
11 Birmingham 11 5 4 2 17 12 +5 19 WLDWDL
12 Cardiff 11 6 1 4 16 11 +5 19 DWLLWL
13 Norwich 11 6 1 4 16 13 +3 19 LLLWDW
14 Coventry 11 4 6 1 13 8 +5 18 DLDWWD
15 Preston 11 5 2 4 16 22 -6 17 DDWLLL
16 Middlesbrough 11 5 1 5 12 11 +1 16 WLWWLL
17 Blackburn 11 5 0 6 15 19 -4 15 WLLWLW
18 Swansea 12 3 5 4 15 15 0 14 LDDDLW
19 Stoke 11 4 2 5 10 13 -3 14 WWDLLD
20 Sheffield Weds 11 3 3 5 10 15 -5 12 DWLDWW
21 Rotherham 11 2 5 4 14 16 -2 11 WDDDLL
22 Huddersfield 11 2 5 4 10 18 -8 11 WLDDDL
23 QPR 10 2 3 5 10 16 -6 9 LLDWWD
24 Millwall 11 2 3 6 9 17 -8 9 DLLLDD
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Leicester 11 9 1 1 24 10 +14 28 WWLDWW
2 Ipswich 12 7 3 2 15 13 +2 24 DDLWWL
3 Southampton 11 5 4 2 14 15 -1 19 WDWDDD
4 Leeds 11 5 2 4 15 12 +3 17 WLWDWL
5 Hull 12 5 2 5 18 20 -2 17 WLDLWL
6 Blackburn 11 5 1 5 19 19 0 16 WWWWLL
7 West Brom 11 4 3 4 16 12 +4 15 LWLWLW
8 Preston 12 4 3 5 13 18 -5 15 LWLDWL
9 Swansea 11 4 2 5 17 17 0 14 WWLLWD
10 Middlesbrough 11 4 2 5 22 23 -1 14 WWDLLW
11 Millwall 11 3 4 4 15 14 +1 13 DDWLLL
12 Sunderland 11 3 3 5 12 11 +1 12 LLDLDL
13 Watford 10 3 3 4 12 14 -2 12 DWDLWW
14 Norwich 11 3 3 5 23 26 -3 12 DLWLWD
15 Bristol City 11 3 3 5 9 12 -3 12 LLDLDL
16 Cardiff 11 3 2 6 12 16 -4 11 LWDWLL
17 QPR 12 3 2 7 10 16 -6 11 LLDLWL
18 Huddersfield 11 2 5 4 11 18 -7 11 DLLWDD
19 Coventry 11 2 3 6 15 17 -2 9 LLLWLD
20 Stoke 11 2 3 6 11 17 -6 9 LWDLLD
21 Birmingham 11 2 1 8 9 20 -11 7 LLLLLW
22 Plymouth 11 0 4 7 7 19 -12 4 DLLLLD
23 Sheffield Weds 11 1 1 9 6 20 -14 4 LLLLWL
24 Rotherham 11 0 2 9 6 28 -22 2 DLLLDL

Plymouth   Birmingham

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 12 Blackburn 22 5 17 1.5 1.7 10 1 11 34 38 31 OOOUOO
2 11 Norwich 22 6 16 1.8 1.8 9 4 9 39 39 31 UOOUOO
3 2 Ipswich 23 8 15 2.0 1.4 16 4 3 47 32 52 OOUOOO
4 9 Preston 23 8 15 1.3 1.7 9 5 9 29 40 32 OUUOOO
5 17 Plymouth 22 7 15 1.5 1.6 7 5 10 34 35 26 UUOOUO
6 6 Hull 23 9 14 1.6 1.3 10 6 7 36 30 36 OOUOOO
7 15 Swansea 23 9 14 1.4 1.4 7 7 9 32 32 28 OUOUOO
8 4 Southampton 22 9 13 1.7 1.3 12 6 4 37 29 42 UUUUUO
9 7 Sunderland 22 9 13 1.5 1.1 10 3 9 32 24 33 UOUOUU
10 14 Middlesbrough 22 9 13 1.5 1.5 9 3 10 34 34 30 OOOUOO
11 1 Leicester 22 10 12 2.0 0.7 18 1 3 44 16 55 UUOOOO
12 3 Leeds 23 11 12 1.8 1.0 13 6 4 41 22 45 OOUUUO
13 24 Rotherham 22 10 12 0.9 2.0 2 7 13 20 44 13 UOUOUO
14 5 West Brom 22 11 11 1.5 1.0 10 6 6 34 22 36 UUOOUU
15 10 Watford 22 11 11 1.6 1.2 8 7 7 35 27 31 UOOUOO
16 20 Millwall 22 11 11 1.1 1.4 5 7 10 24 31 22 OOUUOU
17 23 Sheffield Weds 22 11 11 0.7 1.6 4 4 14 16 35 16 OUOUOO
18 13 Cardiff 22 12 10 1.3 1.2 9 3 10 28 27 30 OUUUUO
19 18 Birmingham 22 12 10 1.2 1.5 7 5 10 26 32 26 OOUUUO
20 21 Huddersfield 22 12 10 1.0 1.6 4 10 8 21 36 22 UOUUOU
21 22 QPR 22 12 10 0.9 1.5 5 5 12 20 32 20 UOUUUO
22 8 Bristol City 23 14 9 1.1 1.1 9 5 9 26 26 32 UOUOUO
23 16 Coventry 22 14 8 1.3 1.1 6 9 7 28 25 27 OUOUUU
24 19 Stoke 22 14 8 1.0 1.4 6 5 11 21 30 23 OOOUUU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Ipswich 11 1 10 2.9 1.7 9 1 1 32 19 28 OOOOOO
2 9 Preston 11 2 9 1.5 2.0 5 2 4 16 22 17 UOOOUO
3 17 Plymouth 11 2 9 2.5 1.5 7 1 3 27 16 22 OOOUOO
4 3 Leeds 12 4 8 2.2 0.8 8 4 0 26 10 28 OOOOUO
5 7 Sunderland 11 3 8 1.8 1.2 7 0 4 20 13 21 OOOOOU
6 12 Blackburn 11 3 8 1.4 1.7 5 0 6 15 19 15 UUOOUO
7 4 Southampton 11 4 7 2.1 1.3 7 2 2 23 14 23 UOOUUO
8 10 Watford 12 5 7 1.9 1.1 5 4 3 23 13 19 UOOOUO
9 15 Swansea 12 5 7 1.2 1.2 3 5 4 15 15 14 UUOUOO
10 11 Norwich 11 5 6 1.5 1.2 6 1 4 16 13 19 OOOUUO
11 18 Birmingham 11 5 6 1.5 1.1 5 4 2 17 12 19 OUOOUO
12 20 Millwall 11 5 6 0.8 1.5 2 3 6 9 17 9 OOUOUU
13 24 Rotherham 11 5 6 1.3 1.5 2 5 4 14 16 11 UUOUOU
14 1 Leicester 11 6 5 1.8 0.5 9 0 2 20 6 27 UUUUOO
15 5 West Brom 11 6 5 1.6 0.9 6 3 2 18 10 21 UUOUOU
16 6 Hull 11 6 5 1.6 0.9 5 4 2 18 10 19 OUUOOO
17 8 Bristol City 12 7 5 1.4 1.2 6 2 4 17 14 20 UUOOUO
18 21 Huddersfield 11 6 5 0.9 1.6 2 5 4 10 18 11 OOUUUO
19 22 QPR 10 5 5 1.0 1.6 2 3 5 10 16 9 OOUOUU
20 23 Sheffield Weds 11 6 5 0.9 1.4 3 3 5 10 15 12 UUOUOO
21 13 Cardiff 11 7 4 1.5 1.0 6 1 4 16 11 19 UUOUUU
22 19 Stoke 11 7 4 0.9 1.2 4 2 5 10 13 14 OUUOUU
23 14 Middlesbrough 11 8 3 1.1 1.0 5 1 5 12 11 16 UUUOUO
24 16 Coventry 11 9 2 1.2 0.7 4 6 1 13 8 18 UUUUUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 11 Norwich 11 1 10 2.1 2.4 3 3 5 23 26 12 UOOOOO
2 14 Middlesbrough 11 1 10 2.0 2.1 4 2 5 22 23 14 OOOOOO
3 6 Hull 12 3 9 1.5 1.7 5 2 5 18 20 17 UOOUOO
4 12 Blackburn 11 2 9 1.7 1.7 5 1 5 19 19 16 OOOOOO
5 1 Leicester 11 4 7 2.2 0.9 9 1 1 24 10 28 OOUUOO
6 15 Swansea 11 4 7 1.5 1.5 4 2 5 17 17 14 OUOOOU
7 4 Southampton 11 5 6 1.3 1.4 5 4 2 14 15 19 OOUUUU
8 5 West Brom 11 5 6 1.5 1.1 4 3 4 16 12 15 OUOUOU
9 9 Preston 12 6 6 1.1 1.5 4 3 5 13 18 15 UOOUOO
10 13 Cardiff 11 5 6 1.1 1.5 3 2 6 12 16 11 UOUOUO
11 16 Coventry 11 5 6 1.4 1.5 2 3 6 15 17 9 UUOOOU
12 17 Plymouth 11 5 6 0.6 1.7 0 4 7 7 19 4 UOOUOU
13 23 Sheffield Weds 11 5 6 0.5 1.8 1 1 9 6 20 4 UOUOUO
14 24 Rotherham 11 5 6 0.5 2.5 0 2 9 6 28 2 UUOOUO
15 2 Ipswich 12 7 5 1.2 1.1 7 3 2 15 13 24 OOUUOO
16 7 Sunderland 11 6 5 1.1 1.0 3 3 5 12 11 12 OUUUUU
17 20 Millwall 11 6 5 1.4 1.3 3 4 4 15 14 13 UOOOUO
18 21 Huddersfield 11 6 5 1.0 1.6 2 5 4 11 18 11 UOUOUU
19 22 QPR 12 7 5 0.8 1.3 3 2 7 10 16 11 OUUUUO
20 3 Leeds 11 7 4 1.4 1.1 5 2 4 15 12 17 OUUUUU
21 8 Bristol City 11 7 4 0.8 1.1 3 3 5 9 12 12 OUUUUO
22 10 Watford 10 6 4 1.2 1.4 3 3 4 12 14 12 UUUUOO
23 18 Birmingham 11 7 4 0.8 1.8 2 1 8 9 20 7 UOOOUU
24 19 Stoke 11 7 4 1.0 1.5 2 3 6 11 17 9 UUUOOU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 2 Nov 2026, 20:47