Birmingham 3–4 Southampton – England Championship, 2 Mar 2024

Match facts

Birmingham Southampton

13 Shots 25

4 Shots on target 10

6 Corners 16

11 Fouls 7

3 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (410 league matches this season so far).

Result Southampton to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.71

Expected goals 1.34 – 1.58

Home / Draw / Away

33% 25% 43%

BirminghamDrawSouthampton

Under / Over 2.5 goals

44% 56%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

42% 59%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

5% 0

16% 1

23% 2

22% 3

16% 4

17% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 11.4% 1–2 9% 0–1 8.6%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Birmingham before this match, all matches

1.15points / match

1.15scored / match

1.55conceded / match

10 8 15

WonDrawnLost 33 played · 38:51

Southampton before this match, all matches

1.97points / match

1.91scored / match

1.24conceded / match

20 7 7

WonDrawnLost 34 played · 65:42

Birmingham all matches all matches Southampton

Per match

1.15 Goals scored 1.91

1.55 Goals conceded 1.24

2.70 Total goals 3.15

12.79 Shots 15.50

4.18 Shots on target 5.82

13.61 Shots faced 11.06

4.64 Corners 7.76

6.03 Corners against 4.21

13.18 Fouls 10.12

2.27 Yellow cards 2.41

0.52 1st-half goals scored 0.88

0.58 1st-half goals conceded 0.59

How often Full Time

30% Wins 59%

24% Draws 21%

45% Losses 21%

91% Over 0.5 goals 100%

76% Over 1.5 goals 85%

52% Over 2.5 goals 62%

33% Over 3.5 goals 35%

12% Over 4.5 goals 15%

6% Over 5.5 goals 6%

55% Both teams scored 65%

21% Clean sheets 29%

33% Failed to score 6%

How often Half Time

27% Wins 47%

45% Draws 32%

27% Losses 21%

67% Over 0.5 goals 76%

33% Over 1.5 goals 41%

9% Over 2.5 goals 18%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Birmingham all matches

1

3

L

D

3

L

2

D

2

1

W

1

L

2

L

1

W

2

1

W

1

3

L

Southampton all matches

2

1

W

1

D

4

W

3

1

W

2

W

5

3

W

1

3

L

2

W

1

2

L

1

2

L

Birmingham before this match, at home

1.69points / match

1.44scored / match

1.13conceded / match

7 6 3

WonDrawnLost 16 played · 23:18

Southampton before this match, away

1.88points / match

1.41scored / match

1.18conceded / match

9 5 3

WonDrawnLost 17 played · 24:20

Birmingham at home away Southampton

Per match

1.44 Goals scored 1.41

1.13 Goals conceded 1.18

2.56 Total goals 2.59

12.44 Shots 14.94

3.94 Shots on target 5.18

11.63 Shots faced 11.71

5.06 Corners 7.53

5.44 Corners against 4.88

13.25 Fouls 10.59

2.00 Yellow cards 2.12

0.56 1st-half goals scored 0.76

0.63 1st-half goals conceded 0.35

How often Full Time

44% Wins 53%

38% Draws 29%

19% Losses 18%

81% Over 0.5 goals 100%

69% Over 1.5 goals 82%

56% Over 2.5 goals 47%

38% Over 3.5 goals 24%

13% Over 4.5 goals 6%

0% Over 5.5 goals 0%

63% Both teams scored 65%

31% Clean sheets 29%

25% Failed to score 6%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 47%

44% Draws 47%

31% Losses 6%

69% Over 0.5 goals 65%

38% Over 1.5 goals 29%

13% Over 2.5 goals 12%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Birmingham at home

2

L

2

D

2

1

W

D

2

3

L

1

3

L

D

2

D

1

W

2

1

W

Southampton away

1

W

1

D

1

D

1

D

1

W

1

D

3

1

W

2

W

1

3

L

2

W

Last 10 matches before this match

Birmingham all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
24.02.24	Ipswich – Birmingham	3–1 (1–1)	1.55	4.33	5.50	1.60	2.30
17.02.24	Birmingham – Sunderland	2–1 (0–1)	2.80	3.30	2.55	2.03	1.83
13.02.24	Birmingham – Blackburn	1–0 (0–0)	2.25	3.60	3.00	1.57	2.35
09.02.24	Sheffield Weds – Birmingham	2–0 (1–0)	2.25	3.30	3.25	2.03	1.83
03.02.24	West Brom – Birmingham	1–0 (0–0)	1.70	4.00	4.75	1.95	1.90
20.01.24	Stoke – Birmingham	1–2 (0–1)	1.91	3.60	4.00	2.05	1.80
13.01.24	Birmingham – Swansea	2–2 (1–1)	2.25	3.50	3.10	1.80	2.00
01.01.24	Leeds – Birmingham	3–0 (2–0)	1.25	6.50	9.50	1.50	2.50
29.12.23	Birmingham – Bristol City	0–0 (0–0)	2.75	3.30	2.55	2.05	1.75
26.12.23	Birmingham – Stoke	1–3 (0–2)	2.60	3.30	2.75	2.05	1.75

Southampton all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
24.02.24	Southampton – Millwall	1–2 (1–2)	1.36	5.00	8.00	1.62	2.25
20.02.24	Southampton – Hull	1–2 (0–2)	1.57	4.33	5.50	1.53	2.40
16.02.24	West Brom – Southampton	0–2 (0–1)	2.88	3.60	2.30	1.75	2.05
13.02.24	Bristol City – Southampton	3–1 (0–0)	4.20	3.60	1.80	1.93	1.93
10.02.24	Southampton – Huddersfield	5–3 (0–2)	1.30	5.50	10.00	1.60	2.30
03.02.24	Rotherham – Southampton	0–2 (0–2)	9.50	5.00	1.33	1.62	2.25
20.01.24	Swansea – Southampton	1–3 (1–3)	5.00	4.00	1.67	1.65	2.20
13.01.24	Southampton – Sheffield Weds	4–0 (1–0)	1.40	4.75	7.00	1.70	2.10
01.01.24	Norwich – Southampton	1–1 (0–0)	3.30	3.50	2.15	1.70	2.10
29.12.23	Southampton – Plymouth	2–1 (0–0)	1.33	5.75	7.50	1.40	2.88

Birmingham at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
17.02.24	Birmingham – Sunderland	2–1 (0–1)	2.80	3.30	2.55	2.03	1.83
13.02.24	Birmingham – Blackburn	1–0 (0–0)	2.25	3.60	3.00	1.57	2.35
13.01.24	Birmingham – Swansea	2–2 (1–1)	2.25	3.50	3.10	1.80	2.00
29.12.23	Birmingham – Bristol City	0–0 (0–0)	2.75	3.30	2.55	2.05	1.75
26.12.23	Birmingham – Stoke	1–3 (0–2)	2.60	3.30	2.75	2.05	1.75
18.12.23	Birmingham – Leicester	2–3 (1–2)	6.00	3.80	1.60	1.75	2.05
02.12.23	Birmingham – Rotherham	0–0 (0–0)	1.60	3.80	6.00	1.88	1.98
25.11.23	Birmingham – Sheffield Weds	2–1 (1–1)	2.15	3.25	3.50	2.25	1.62
04.11.23	Birmingham – Ipswich	2–2 (1–0)	3.80	3.75	1.91	1.75	2.05
25.10.23	Birmingham – Hull	0–2 (0–1)	2.30	3.25	3.20	2.05	1.80

Southampton away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
16.02.24	West Brom – Southampton	0–2 (0–1)	2.88	3.60	2.30	1.75	2.05
13.02.24	Bristol City – Southampton	3–1 (0–0)	4.20	3.60	1.80	1.93	1.93
03.02.24	Rotherham – Southampton	0–2 (0–2)	9.50	5.00	1.33	1.62	2.25
20.01.24	Swansea – Southampton	1–3 (1–3)	5.00	4.00	1.67	1.65	2.20
01.01.24	Norwich – Southampton	1–1 (0–0)	3.30	3.50	2.15	1.70	2.10
23.12.23	QPR – Southampton	0–1 (0–1)	5.25	3.60	1.73	1.93	1.93
13.12.23	Coventry – Southampton	1–1 (0–0)	2.75	3.40	2.55	1.83	2.03
09.12.23	Watford – Southampton	1–1 (0–0)	3.25	3.40	2.20	1.98	1.88
25.11.23	Huddersfield – Southampton	1–1 (0–1)	4.75	3.80	1.70	1.83	2.03
04.11.23	Millwall – Southampton	0–1 (0–0)	3.60	3.50	2.05	1.85	2.00

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1

Birmingham winsDrawsSouthampton wins

1matches

4.00goals / match

100%over 2.5

100%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
28.10.23E1	Southampton – Birmingham	3–1 (2–0)	1.60	4.00	5.50	1.80	2.00

England Championship table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leicester	34	25	3	6	70	29	+41	78
2	Leeds	35	22	7	6	65	28	+37	73
3	Ipswich	34	21	9	4	68	45	+23	72
4	Southampton	34	20	7	7	65	42	+23	67
5	West Brom	35	17	8	10	51	33	+18	59
6	Hull	34	16	7	11	50	43	+7	55
7	Norwich	34	15	7	12	59	51	+8	52
8	Preston	34	15	7	12	47	52	-5	52
9	Coventry	35	13	12	10	52	42	+10	51
10	Sunderland	34	14	5	15	46	39	+7	47
11	Cardiff	35	14	5	16	40	48	-8	47
12	Watford	34	11	11	12	50	47	+3	44
13	Bristol City	35	12	8	15	39	40	-1	44
14	Middlesbrough	33	13	5	15	47	49	-2	44
15	Plymouth	34	10	10	14	53	57	-4	40
16	Blackburn	34	11	6	17	48	60	-12	39
17	Swansea	34	10	9	15	43	55	-12	39
18	Birmingham	33	10	8	15	38	51	-13	38
19	Huddersfield	35	8	14	13	41	56	-15	38
20	Millwall	34	9	9	16	33	47	-14	36
21	QPR	34	9	8	17	32	45	-13	35
22	Stoke	34	9	8	17	31	48	-17	35
23	Sheffield Weds	34	9	5	20	28	53	-25	32
24	Rotherham	34	3	10	21	30	66	-36	19

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leeds	17	13	4	0	38	12	+26	43
2	Leicester	17	13	1	3	34	11	+23	40
3	Ipswich	17	12	4	1	44	27	+17	40
4	West Brom	18	12	3	3	29	14	+15	39
5	Southampton	17	11	2	4	41	22	+19	35
6	Norwich	17	11	2	4	31	18	+13	35
7	Sunderland	17	10	0	7	29	21	+8	30
8	Preston	17	9	3	5	27	29	-2	30
9	Coventry	17	7	8	2	24	17	+7	29
10	Plymouth	17	8	4	5	38	30	+8	28
11	Birmingham	16	7	6	3	23	18	+5	27
12	Hull	17	7	5	5	24	17	+7	26
13	Bristol City	18	7	3	8	21	20	+1	24
14	Cardiff	17	7	3	7	20	21	-1	24
15	Huddersfield	18	5	7	6	22	24	-2	22
16	Sheffield Weds	17	6	4	7	19	21	-2	22
17	Middlesbrough	17	6	3	8	17	20	-3	21
18	Blackburn	17	6	3	8	24	28	-4	21
19	Watford	17	5	5	7	27	23	+4	20
20	Stoke	17	5	4	8	12	21	-9	19
21	QPR	17	4	5	8	19	25	-6	17
22	Swansea	17	4	5	8	18	25	-7	17
23	Millwall	17	4	4	9	14	27	-13	16
24	Rotherham	17	3	6	8	17	23	-6	15

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leicester	17	12	2	3	36	18	+18	38
2	Ipswich	17	9	5	3	24	18	+6	32
3	Southampton	17	9	5	3	24	20	+4	32
4	Leeds	18	9	3	6	27	16	+11	30
5	Hull	17	9	2	6	26	26	0	29
6	Watford	17	6	6	5	23	24	-1	24
7	Middlesbrough	16	7	2	7	30	29	+1	23
8	Cardiff	18	7	2	9	20	27	-7	23
9	Coventry	18	6	4	8	28	25	+3	22
10	Preston	17	6	4	7	20	23	-3	22
11	Swansea	17	6	4	7	25	30	-5	22
12	West Brom	17	5	5	7	22	19	+3	20
13	Millwall	17	5	5	7	19	20	-1	20
14	Bristol City	17	5	5	7	18	20	-2	20
15	QPR	17	5	3	9	13	20	-7	18
16	Blackburn	17	5	3	9	24	32	-8	18
17	Sunderland	17	4	5	8	17	18	-1	17
18	Norwich	17	4	5	8	28	33	-5	17
19	Stoke	17	4	4	9	19	27	-8	16
20	Huddersfield	17	3	7	7	19	32	-13	16
21	Plymouth	17	2	6	9	15	27	-12	12
22	Birmingham	17	3	2	12	15	33	-18	11
23	Sheffield Weds	17	3	1	13	9	32	-23	10
24	Rotherham	17	0	4	13	13	43	-30	4

Birmingham Southampton

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	16	Blackburn	34	9	25	1.4	1.8	11	6	17	48	60	39
2	15	Plymouth	34	11	23	1.6	1.7	10	10	14	53	57	40
3	3	Ipswich	34	12	22	2.0	1.3	21	9	4	68	45	72
4	17	Swansea	34	12	22	1.3	1.6	10	9	15	43	55	39
5	4	Southampton	34	13	21	1.9	1.2	20	7	7	65	42	67
6	7	Norwich	34	13	21	1.7	1.5	15	7	12	59	51	52
7	8	Preston	34	13	21	1.4	1.5	15	7	12	47	52	52
8	1	Leicester	34	14	20	2.1	0.9	25	3	6	70	29	78
9	6	Hull	34	14	20	1.5	1.3	16	7	11	50	43	55
10	2	Leeds	35	16	19	1.9	0.8	22	7	6	65	28	73
11	9	Coventry	35	16	19	1.5	1.2	13	12	10	52	42	51
12	10	Sunderland	34	15	19	1.4	1.1	14	5	15	46	39	47
13	14	Middlesbrough	33	14	19	1.4	1.5	13	5	15	47	49	44
14	12	Watford	34	16	18	1.5	1.4	11	11	12	50	47	44
15	24	Rotherham	34	16	18	0.9	1.9	3	10	21	30	66	19
16	11	Cardiff	35	18	17	1.1	1.4	14	5	16	40	48	47
17	18	Birmingham	33	16	17	1.2	1.5	10	8	15	38	51	38
18	19	Huddersfield	35	18	17	1.2	1.6	8	14	13	41	56	38
19	23	Sheffield Weds	34	17	17	0.8	1.6	9	5	20	28	53	32
20	5	West Brom	35	20	15	1.5	0.9	17	8	10	51	33	59
21	20	Millwall	34	19	15	1.0	1.4	9	9	16	33	47	36
22	21	QPR	34	19	15	0.9	1.3	9	8	17	32	45	35
23	13	Bristol City	35	21	14	1.1	1.1	12	8	15	39	40	44
24	22	Stoke	34	20	14	0.9	1.4	9	8	17	31	48	35

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	3	Ipswich	17	3	14	2.6	1.6	12	4	1	44	27	40
2	15	Plymouth	17	3	14	2.2	1.8	8	4	5	38	30	28
3	4	Southampton	17	4	13	2.4	1.3	11	2	4	41	22	35
4	8	Preston	17	4	13	1.6	1.7	9	3	5	27	29	30
5	2	Leeds	17	5	12	2.2	0.7	13	4	0	38	12	43
6	10	Sunderland	17	5	12	1.7	1.2	10	0	7	29	21	30
7	16	Blackburn	17	5	12	1.4	1.6	6	3	8	24	28	21
8	12	Watford	17	7	10	1.6	1.4	5	5	7	27	23	20
9	17	Swansea	17	7	10	1.1	1.5	4	5	8	18	25	17
10	1	Leicester	17	8	9	2.0	0.6	13	1	3	34	11	40
11	7	Norwich	17	8	9	1.8	1.1	11	2	4	31	18	35
12	18	Birmingham	16	7	9	1.4	1.1	7	6	3	23	18	27
13	19	Huddersfield	18	9	9	1.2	1.3	5	7	6	22	24	22
14	21	QPR	17	8	9	1.1	1.5	4	5	8	19	25	17
15	23	Sheffield Weds	17	8	9	1.1	1.2	6	4	7	19	21	22
16	20	Millwall	17	9	8	0.8	1.6	4	4	9	14	27	16
17	5	West Brom	18	11	7	1.6	0.8	12	3	3	29	14	39
18	6	Hull	17	10	7	1.4	1.0	7	5	5	24	17	26
19	9	Coventry	17	10	7	1.4	1.0	7	8	2	24	17	29
20	11	Cardiff	17	10	7	1.2	1.2	7	3	7	20	21	24
21	24	Rotherham	17	10	7	1.0	1.4	3	6	8	17	23	15
22	13	Bristol City	18	12	6	1.2	1.1	7	3	8	21	20	24
23	22	Stoke	17	11	6	0.7	1.2	5	4	8	12	21	19
24	14	Middlesbrough	17	12	5	1.0	1.2	6	3	8	17	20	21

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	14	Middlesbrough	16	2	14	1.9	1.8	7	2	7	30	29	23
2	6	Hull	17	4	13	1.5	1.5	9	2	6	26	26	29
3	16	Blackburn	17	4	13	1.4	1.9	5	3	9	24	32	18
4	7	Norwich	17	5	12	1.6	1.9	4	5	8	28	33	17
5	9	Coventry	18	6	12	1.6	1.4	6	4	8	28	25	22
6	17	Swansea	17	5	12	1.5	1.8	6	4	7	25	30	22
7	1	Leicester	17	6	11	2.1	1.1	12	2	3	36	18	38
8	24	Rotherham	17	6	11	0.8	2.5	0	4	13	13	43	4
9	11	Cardiff	18	8	10	1.1	1.5	7	2	9	20	27	23
10	15	Plymouth	17	8	9	0.9	1.6	2	6	9	15	27	12
11	3	Ipswich	17	9	8	1.4	1.1	9	5	3	24	18	32
12	4	Southampton	17	9	8	1.4	1.2	9	5	3	24	20	32
13	5	West Brom	17	9	8	1.3	1.1	5	5	7	22	19	20
14	8	Preston	17	9	8	1.2	1.4	6	4	7	20	23	22
15	12	Watford	17	9	8	1.4	1.4	6	6	5	23	24	24
16	13	Bristol City	17	9	8	1.1	1.2	5	5	7	18	20	20
17	18	Birmingham	17	9	8	0.9	1.9	3	2	12	15	33	11
18	19	Huddersfield	17	9	8	1.1	1.9	3	7	7	19	32	16
19	22	Stoke	17	9	8	1.1	1.6	4	4	9	19	27	16
20	23	Sheffield Weds	17	9	8	0.5	1.9	3	1	13	9	32	10
21	2	Leeds	18	11	7	1.5	0.9	9	3	6	27	16	30
22	10	Sunderland	17	10	7	1.0	1.1	4	5	8	17	18	17
23	20	Millwall	17	10	7	1.1	1.2	5	5	7	19	20	20
24	21	QPR	17	11	6	0.8	1.2	5	3	9	13	20	18

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.