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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: L Doughty

Blackburn 4–2 Birmingham

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 1.80 fair 2.23
Draw 3.60 fair 4.08
Away 4.33 fair 3.26
Under 2.5 2.20 fair 2.23
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.65 fair 1.81

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Blackburn Birmingham
11 Shots 26
6 Shots on target 6
8 Corners 9
12 Fouls 6
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (210 league matches this season so far).
Result Blackburn to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.73
Expected goals 1.60 – 1.29
Home / Draw / Away
BlackburnDrawBirmingham
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.5% 2–1 9.2% 1–0 8.9%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Blackburn before this match, all matches
1.47points / match
1.59scored / match
1.53conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 27:26
Birmingham before this match, all matches
1.29points / match
1.24scored / match
1.35conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 21:23
Blackburn all matches all matches Birmingham

Per match

1.59 Goals scored 1.24
1.53 Goals conceded 1.35
3.12 Total goals 2.59
14.24 Shots 12.29
4.65 Shots on target 3.88
16.65 Shots faced 13.82
5.35 Corners 4.53
7.06 Corners against 6.59
9.53 Fouls 13.18
2.06 Yellow cards 2.35
0.71 1st-half goals scored 0.59
0.71 1st-half goals conceded 0.41

How often Full Time

47% Wins 35%
6% Draws 24%
47% Losses 41%
100% Over 0.5 goals 94%
76% Over 1.5 goals 82%
76% Over 2.5 goals 47%
35% Over 3.5 goals 29%
12% Over 4.5 goals 6%
6% Over 5.5 goals 0%
59% Both teams scored 59%
24% Clean sheets 18%
18% Failed to score 29%

How often Half Time

29% Wins 35%
29% Draws 47%
41% Losses 18%
76% Over 0.5 goals 65%
41% Over 1.5 goals 29%
18% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Blackburn all matches
Birmingham all matches
Blackburn before this match, at home
1.13points / match
1.13scored / match
1.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 9:14
Birmingham before this match, away
0.50points / match
0.75scored / match
1.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 6:14
Blackburn at home away Birmingham

Per match

1.13 Goals scored 0.75
1.75 Goals conceded 1.75
2.88 Total goals 2.50
16.13 Shots 11.75
4.50 Shots on target 4.00
14.25 Shots faced 14.75
5.38 Corners 3.13
5.63 Corners against 7.00
11.00 Fouls 13.00
2.50 Yellow cards 2.75
0.63 1st-half goals scored 0.38
0.75 1st-half goals conceded 0.38

How often Full Time

38% Wins 13%
0% Draws 13%
63% Losses 75%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
75% Over 1.5 goals 88%
75% Over 2.5 goals 38%
25% Over 3.5 goals 25%
13% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
75% Both teams scored 50%
13% Clean sheets 13%
13% Failed to score 38%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 25%
25% Draws 63%
50% Losses 13%
75% Over 0.5 goals 50%
38% Over 1.5 goals 25%
25% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Blackburn at home
Birmingham away

Last 10 matches before this match

Blackburn all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.11.23 Stoke – Blackburn 0–3 (0–1) 2.203.503.20 1.75 2.05
10.11.23 Blackburn – Preston 1–2 (0–1) 1.953.603.75 1.83 2.03
05.11.23 Norwich – Blackburn 1–3 (0–2) 2.153.603.20 1.53 2.40
28.10.23 Blackburn – Swansea 0–1 (0–1) 2.003.753.50 1.60 2.30
24.10.23 Millwall – Blackburn 1–2 (1–1) 2.453.502.88 1.88 1.98
21.10.23 Blackburn – Cardiff 1–0 (0–0) 2.003.503.60 1.70 2.10
07.10.23 QPR – Blackburn 0–4 (0–2) 3.003.502.30 1.75 2.05
04.10.23 Coventry – Blackburn 1–0 (0–0) 2.053.603.40 1.62 2.25
01.10.23 Blackburn – Leicester 1–4 (1–2) 3.603.602.05 1.57 2.35
23.09.23 Ipswich – Blackburn 4–3 (3–1) 1.704.004.75 1.62 2.30

Birmingham all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.11.23 Birmingham – Sheffield Weds 2–1 (1–1) 2.153.253.50 2.25 1.62
11.11.23 Sunderland – Birmingham 3–1 (1–1) 1.753.754.50 1.85 2.00
04.11.23 Birmingham – Ipswich 2–2 (1–0) 3.803.751.91 1.75 2.05
28.10.23 Southampton – Birmingham 3–1 (2–0) 1.604.005.50 1.80 2.00
25.10.23 Birmingham – Hull 0–2 (0–1) 2.303.253.20 2.05 1.80
21.10.23 Middlesbrough – Birmingham 1–0 (0–0) 1.753.754.50 1.90 1.95
06.10.23 Birmingham – West Brom 3–1 (2–1) 2.753.202.63 2.25 1.62
03.10.23 Birmingham – Huddersfield 4–1 (2–0) 2.253.303.30 2.08 1.73
30.09.23 Norwich – Birmingham 2–0 (0–0) 1.913.504.00 1.93 1.93
22.09.23 Birmingham – QPR 0–0 (0–0) 1.853.504.33 2.20 1.67

Blackburn at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.11.23 Blackburn – Preston 1–2 (0–1) 1.953.603.75 1.83 2.03
28.10.23 Blackburn – Swansea 0–1 (0–1) 2.003.753.50 1.60 2.30
21.10.23 Blackburn – Cardiff 1–0 (0–0) 2.003.503.60 1.70 2.10
01.10.23 Blackburn – Leicester 1–4 (1–2) 3.603.602.05 1.57 2.35
20.09.23 Blackburn – Sunderland 1–3 (1–2) 2.253.603.00 1.67 2.20
16.09.23 Blackburn – Middlesbrough 2–1 (1–0) 2.633.252.75 1.73 2.10
19.08.23 Blackburn – Hull 1–2 (0–0) 1.953.503.90 1.88 1.98
05.08.23 Blackburn – West Brom 2–1 (2–0) 2.753.302.60 2.20 1.67
01.05.23 Blackburn – Luton 1–1 (0–0) 2.303.403.10 1.88 1.98
25.04.23 Blackburn – Burnley 0–1 (0–0) 3.403.402.15 2.10 1.73

Birmingham away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.11.23 Sunderland – Birmingham 3–1 (1–1) 1.753.754.50 1.85 2.00
28.10.23 Southampton – Birmingham 3–1 (2–0) 1.604.005.50 1.80 2.00
21.10.23 Middlesbrough – Birmingham 1–0 (0–0) 1.753.754.50 1.90 1.95
30.09.23 Norwich – Birmingham 2–0 (0–0) 1.913.504.00 1.93 1.93
19.09.23 Preston – Birmingham 2–1 (0–0) 2.383.103.30 2.30 1.62
16.09.23 Watford – Birmingham 2–0 (0–0) 1.953.304.00 2.10 1.73
19.08.23 Bristol City – Birmingham 0–2 (0–1) 2.203.303.40 2.30 1.62
05.08.23 Swansea – Birmingham 1–1 (0–1) 1.853.604.20 1.93 1.93
29.04.23 Coventry – Birmingham 2–0 (2–0) 1.504.336.50 1.93 1.93
18.04.23 Millwall – Birmingham 0–1 (0–1) 1.703.605.25 2.30 1.62

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Blackburn winsDrawsBirmingham wins
4matches
2.75goals / match
75%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.04.23E1 Birmingham – Blackburn 1–0 (0–0) 2.603.202.88 2.38 1.57
22.10.22E1 Blackburn – Birmingham 2–1 (2–0) 2.053.253.75 2.10 1.72
07.05.22E1 Birmingham – Blackburn 1–2 (0–2) 2.803.502.40 1.66 2.20
18.12.21E1 Blackburn – Birmingham 4–0 (1–0) 1.903.604.00 2.20 1.66

England Championship table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 17 14 0 3 31 10 +21 42
2 Ipswich 17 12 3 2 36 23 +13 39
3 West Brom 18 9 5 4 29 17 +12 32
4 Leeds 17 9 5 3 28 17 +11 32
5 Southampton 17 9 4 4 28 27 +1 31
6 Hull 18 8 6 4 28 22 +6 30
7 Preston 18 8 4 6 24 30 -6 28
8 Cardiff 18 8 3 7 27 21 +6 27
9 Middlesbrough 18 8 3 7 29 26 +3 27
10 Sunderland 17 8 2 7 27 19 +8 26
11 Blackburn 17 8 1 8 27 26 +1 25
12 Bristol City 17 7 4 6 19 18 +1 25
13 Watford 18 6 6 6 26 22 +4 24
14 Norwich 18 7 2 9 32 35 -3 23
15 Coventry 18 5 7 6 23 21 +2 22
16 Birmingham 17 6 4 7 21 23 -2 22
17 Stoke 18 6 3 9 18 25 -7 21
18 Swansea 17 5 5 7 24 23 +1 20
19 Millwall 17 5 5 7 19 22 -3 20
20 Plymouth 18 5 4 9 29 28 +1 19
21 Huddersfield 17 3 7 7 15 29 -14 16
22 QPR 18 3 4 11 15 30 -15 13
23 Rotherham 18 2 6 10 17 37 -20 12
24 Sheffield Weds 17 1 3 13 8 29 -21 6
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Ipswich 8 7 0 1 25 15 +10 21
2 Leicester 9 7 0 2 13 4 +9 21
3 West Brom 9 6 2 1 16 7 +9 20
4 Watford 10 5 3 2 21 10 +11 18
5 Leeds 8 5 3 0 15 6 +9 18
6 Birmingham 9 5 3 1 15 9 +6 18
7 Preston 9 5 2 2 15 15 0 17
8 Plymouth 9 5 1 3 22 13 +9 16
9 Hull 9 4 4 1 14 8 +6 16
10 Cardiff 9 5 1 3 15 10 +5 16
11 Middlesbrough 9 5 1 3 11 7 +4 16
12 Sunderland 8 5 0 3 16 10 +6 15
13 Norwich 9 5 0 4 13 12 +1 15
14 Coventry 9 3 5 1 10 7 +3 14
15 Southampton 8 4 2 2 16 14 +2 14
16 Bristol City 9 4 2 3 12 10 +2 14
17 Stoke 9 4 1 4 9 11 -2 13
18 Rotherham 9 2 5 2 13 12 +1 11
19 Swansea 9 2 4 3 11 11 0 10
20 Huddersfield 9 2 4 3 8 14 -6 10
21 Blackburn 8 3 0 5 9 14 -5 9
22 Millwall 9 2 1 6 7 15 -8 7
23 QPR 8 1 2 5 8 16 -8 5
24 Sheffield Weds 8 1 2 5 4 12 -8 5
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 8 7 0 1 18 6 +12 21
2 Ipswich 9 5 3 1 11 8 +3 18
3 Southampton 9 5 2 2 12 13 -1 17
4 Blackburn 9 5 1 3 18 12 +6 16
5 Leeds 9 4 2 3 13 11 +2 14
6 Hull 9 4 2 3 14 14 0 14
7 Millwall 8 3 4 1 12 7 +5 13
8 West Brom 9 3 3 3 13 10 +3 12
9 Sunderland 9 3 2 4 11 9 +2 11
10 Cardiff 9 3 2 4 12 11 +1 11
11 Middlesbrough 9 3 2 4 18 19 -1 11
12 Bristol City 8 3 2 3 7 8 -1 11
13 Preston 9 3 2 4 9 15 -6 11
14 Swansea 8 3 1 4 13 12 +1 10
15 Coventry 9 2 2 5 13 14 -1 8
16 Norwich 9 2 2 5 19 23 -4 8
17 Stoke 9 2 2 5 9 14 -5 8
18 QPR 10 2 2 6 7 14 -7 8
19 Watford 8 1 3 4 5 12 -7 6
20 Huddersfield 8 1 3 4 7 15 -8 6
21 Birmingham 8 1 1 6 6 14 -8 4
22 Plymouth 9 0 3 6 7 15 -8 3
23 Sheffield Weds 9 0 1 8 4 17 -13 1
24 Rotherham 9 0 1 8 4 25 -21 1

Blackburn   Birmingham

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 11 Blackburn 17 4 13 1.6 1.5 8 1 8 27 26 25
2 14 Norwich 18 5 13 1.8 1.9 7 2 9 32 35 23
3 5 Southampton 17 5 12 1.6 1.6 9 4 4 28 27 31
4 7 Preston 18 6 12 1.3 1.7 8 4 6 24 30 28
5 20 Plymouth 18 6 12 1.6 1.6 5 4 9 29 28 19
6 10 Sunderland 17 6 11 1.6 1.1 8 2 7 27 19 26
7 2 Ipswich 17 7 10 2.1 1.4 12 3 2 36 23 39
8 6 Hull 18 8 10 1.6 1.2 8 6 4 28 22 30
9 9 Middlesbrough 18 8 10 1.6 1.4 8 3 7 29 26 27
10 18 Swansea 17 7 10 1.4 1.4 5 5 7 24 23 20
11 23 Rotherham 18 8 10 0.9 2.1 2 6 10 17 37 12
12 3 West Brom 18 9 9 1.6 0.9 9 5 4 29 17 32
13 4 Leeds 17 8 9 1.6 1.0 9 5 3 28 17 32
14 8 Cardiff 18 9 9 1.5 1.2 8 3 7 27 21 27
15 19 Millwall 17 8 9 1.1 1.3 5 5 7 19 22 20
16 22 QPR 18 9 9 0.8 1.7 3 4 11 15 30 13
17 1 Leicester 17 9 8 1.8 0.6 14 0 3 31 10 42
18 13 Watford 18 10 8 1.4 1.2 6 6 6 26 22 24
19 16 Birmingham 17 9 8 1.2 1.4 6 4 7 21 23 22
20 21 Huddersfield 17 9 8 0.9 1.7 3 7 7 15 29 16
21 24 Sheffield Weds 17 9 8 0.5 1.7 1 3 13 8 29 6
22 15 Coventry 18 11 7 1.3 1.2 5 7 6 23 21 22
23 17 Stoke 18 11 7 1.0 1.4 6 3 9 18 25 21
24 12 Bristol City 17 11 6 1.1 1.1 7 4 6 19 18 25
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Preston 9 1 8 1.7 1.7 5 2 2 15 15 17
2 2 Ipswich 8 1 7 3.1 1.9 7 0 1 25 15 21
3 20 Plymouth 9 2 7 2.4 1.4 5 1 3 22 13 16
4 5 Southampton 8 2 6 2.0 1.8 4 2 2 16 14 14
5 10 Sunderland 8 2 6 2.0 1.2 5 0 3 16 10 15
6 11 Blackburn 8 2 6 1.1 1.8 3 0 5 9 14 9
7 13 Watford 10 4 6 2.1 1.0 5 3 2 21 10 18
8 19 Millwall 9 3 6 0.8 1.7 2 1 6 7 15 7
9 4 Leeds 8 3 5 1.9 0.8 5 3 0 15 6 18
10 14 Norwich 9 4 5 1.4 1.3 5 0 4 13 12 15
11 16 Birmingham 9 4 5 1.7 1.0 5 3 1 15 9 18
12 18 Swansea 9 4 5 1.2 1.2 2 4 3 11 11 10
13 22 QPR 8 3 5 1.0 2.0 1 2 5 8 16 5
14 23 Rotherham 9 4 5 1.4 1.3 2 5 2 13 12 11
15 3 West Brom 9 5 4 1.8 0.8 6 2 1 16 7 20
16 8 Cardiff 9 5 4 1.7 1.1 5 1 3 15 10 16
17 17 Stoke 9 5 4 1.0 1.2 4 1 4 9 11 13
18 21 Huddersfield 9 5 4 0.9 1.6 2 4 3 8 14 10
19 1 Leicester 9 6 3 1.4 0.4 7 0 2 13 4 21
20 6 Hull 9 6 3 1.6 0.9 4 4 1 14 8 16
21 12 Bristol City 9 6 3 1.3 1.1 4 2 3 12 10 14
22 24 Sheffield Weds 8 5 3 0.5 1.5 1 2 5 4 12 5
23 9 Middlesbrough 9 7 2 1.2 0.8 5 1 3 11 7 16
24 15 Coventry 9 7 2 1.1 0.8 3 5 1 10 7 14
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 Middlesbrough 9 1 8 2.0 2.1 3 2 4 18 19 11
2 14 Norwich 9 1 8 2.1 2.6 2 2 5 19 23 8
3 6 Hull 9 2 7 1.6 1.6 4 2 3 14 14 14
4 11 Blackburn 9 2 7 2.0 1.3 5 1 3 18 12 16
5 5 Southampton 9 3 6 1.3 1.4 5 2 2 12 13 17
6 1 Leicester 8 3 5 2.2 0.8 7 0 1 18 6 21
7 3 West Brom 9 4 5 1.4 1.1 3 3 3 13 10 12
8 8 Cardiff 9 4 5 1.3 1.2 3 2 4 12 11 11
9 10 Sunderland 9 4 5 1.2 1.0 3 2 4 11 9 11
10 15 Coventry 9 4 5 1.4 1.6 2 2 5 13 14 8
11 18 Swansea 8 3 5 1.6 1.5 3 1 4 13 12 10
12 20 Plymouth 9 4 5 0.8 1.7 0 3 6 7 15 3
13 23 Rotherham 9 4 5 0.4 2.8 0 1 8 4 25 1
14 24 Sheffield Weds 9 4 5 0.4 1.9 0 1 8 4 17 1
15 4 Leeds 9 5 4 1.4 1.2 4 2 3 13 11 14
16 7 Preston 9 5 4 1.0 1.7 3 2 4 9 15 11
17 21 Huddersfield 8 4 4 0.9 1.9 1 3 4 7 15 6
18 22 QPR 10 6 4 0.7 1.4 2 2 6 7 14 8
19 2 Ipswich 9 6 3 1.2 0.9 5 3 1 11 8 18
20 12 Bristol City 8 5 3 0.9 1.0 3 2 3 7 8 11
21 16 Birmingham 8 5 3 0.8 1.8 1 1 6 6 14 4
22 17 Stoke 9 6 3 1.0 1.6 2 2 5 9 14 8
23 19 Millwall 8 5 3 1.5 0.9 3 4 1 12 7 13
24 13 Watford 8 6 2 0.6 1.5 1 3 4 5 12 6

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51