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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: A Woolmer

Millwall 3–1 Birmingham

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2021/2022

Home ✓ 2.15 fair 2.45
Draw 3.20 fair 3.42
Away 3.60 fair 3.33
Under 2.5 1.57 fair 1.58
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.37 fair 2.72

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Millwall Birmingham
19 Shots 16
9 Shots on target 3
11 Corners 5
9 Fouls 12
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (242 league matches this season so far).
Result Millwall to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.76
Expected goals 1.19 – 0.98
Home / Draw / Away
MillwallDrawBirmingham
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 13.7% 1–1 13.3% 0–0 11.5%

Statistics 2021/2022, before this match

Millwall before this match, all matches
1.35points / match
1.00scored / match
1.05conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 20:21
Birmingham before this match, all matches
1.30points / match
0.95scored / match
1.05conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 19:21
Millwall all matches all matches Birmingham

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 0.95
1.05 Goals conceded 1.05
2.05 Total goals 2.00
11.90 Shots 11.75
3.70 Shots on target 3.50
11.40 Shots faced 10.70
5.30 Corners 3.90
4.70 Corners against 5.05
11.05 Fouls 12.95
2.05 Yellow cards 1.90
0.35 1st-half goals scored 0.35
0.55 1st-half goals conceded 0.45

How often Full Time

30% Wins 35%
45% Draws 25%
25% Losses 40%
95% Over 0.5 goals 80%
75% Over 1.5 goals 65%
30% Over 2.5 goals 35%
5% Over 3.5 goals 10%
0% Over 4.5 goals 10%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
70% Both teams scored 20%
20% Clean sheets 50%
15% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

5% Wins 25%
75% Draws 50%
20% Losses 25%
55% Over 0.5 goals 55%
35% Over 1.5 goals 25%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Millwall all matches
Birmingham all matches
Millwall before this match, at home
1.60points / match
1.10scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 11:10
Birmingham before this match, away
1.20points / match
0.90scored / match
0.90conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 9:9
Millwall at home away Birmingham

Per match

1.10 Goals scored 0.90
1.00 Goals conceded 0.90
2.10 Total goals 1.80
13.00 Shots 10.70
3.70 Shots on target 2.90
10.50 Shots faced 11.70
6.20 Corners 2.60
3.80 Corners against 5.80
9.60 Fouls 12.40
2.00 Yellow cards 2.20
0.20 1st-half goals scored 0.40
0.70 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

40% Wins 30%
40% Draws 30%
20% Losses 40%
100% Over 0.5 goals 80%
80% Over 1.5 goals 60%
30% Over 2.5 goals 20%
0% Over 3.5 goals 10%
0% Over 4.5 goals 10%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
70% Both teams scored 10%
20% Clean sheets 50%
10% Failed to score 60%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 20%
60% Draws 50%
40% Losses 30%
60% Over 0.5 goals 60%
30% Over 1.5 goals 30%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Millwall at home
Birmingham away

Last 10 matches before this match

Millwall all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.11.21 Hull – Millwall 2–1 (1–1) 2.623.202.75 2.37 1.57
24.11.21 Millwall – Bournemouth 1–1 (0–1) 3.603.302.15 2.20 1.66
20.11.21 Middlesbrough – Millwall 1–1 (1–1) 2.053.253.80 2.30 1.61
06.11.21 Millwall – Derby 1–1 (1–1) 1.833.404.75 2.37 1.57
02.11.21 Millwall – Reading 1–0 (0–0) 1.903.404.20 2.10 1.72
30.10.21 Huddersfield – Millwall 1–0 (0–0) 2.503.202.90 2.37 1.57
23.10.21 Millwall – Stoke 2–1 (0–1) 2.503.103.00 2.37 1.57
19.10.21 Sheffield United – Millwall 1–2 (1–1) 1.803.504.75 2.10 1.72
16.10.21 Millwall – Luton 0–2 (0–1) 2.373.203.25 2.10 1.72
02.10.21 Barnsley – Millwall 0–1 (0–0) 3.003.102.50 2.50 1.53

Birmingham all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.11.21 Birmingham – Blackpool 1–0 (0–0) 2.103.253.75 2.20 1.66
23.11.21 Coventry – Birmingham 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.303.80 2.20 1.66
20.11.21 Hull – Birmingham 2–0 (1–0) 2.603.252.80 2.20 1.66
06.11.21 Birmingham – Reading 1–2 (1–0) 1.803.404.75 2.10 1.72
02.11.21 Birmingham – Bristol City 3–0 (1–0) 1.833.604.20 2.00 1.80
30.10.21 Middlesbrough – Birmingham 0–2 (0–0) 2.103.303.60 2.30 1.61
23.10.21 Birmingham – Swansea 2–1 (0–0) 2.453.103.10 2.50 1.53
20.10.21 Huddersfield – Birmingham 0–0 (0–0) 2.403.203.10 2.30 1.61
15.10.21 West Brom – Birmingham 1–0 (0–0) 1.614.005.50 1.88 1.98
02.10.21 Birmingham – Nott'm Forest 0–3 (0–2) 2.153.203.60 2.30 1.61

Millwall at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.11.21 Millwall – Bournemouth 1–1 (0–1) 3.603.302.15 2.20 1.66
06.11.21 Millwall – Derby 1–1 (1–1) 1.833.404.75 2.37 1.57
02.11.21 Millwall – Reading 1–0 (0–0) 1.903.404.20 2.10 1.72
23.10.21 Millwall – Stoke 2–1 (0–1) 2.503.103.00 2.37 1.57
16.10.21 Millwall – Luton 0–2 (0–1) 2.373.203.25 2.10 1.72
29.09.21 Millwall – Bristol City 1–0 (0–0) 2.053.204.00 2.30 1.61
18.09.21 Millwall – Coventry 1–1 (1–1) 2.553.103.00 2.30 1.61
28.08.21 Millwall – Blackpool 2–1 (0–0) 1.833.504.50 2.20 1.66
17.08.21 Millwall – Fulham 1–2 (0–2) 3.803.102.15 2.30 1.61
14.08.21 Millwall – Blackburn 1–1 (0–0) 2.453.203.00 2.20 1.66

Birmingham away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.11.21 Coventry – Birmingham 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.303.80 2.20 1.66
20.11.21 Hull – Birmingham 2–0 (1–0) 2.603.252.80 2.20 1.66
30.10.21 Middlesbrough – Birmingham 0–2 (0–0) 2.103.303.60 2.30 1.61
20.10.21 Huddersfield – Birmingham 0–0 (0–0) 2.403.203.10 2.30 1.61
15.10.21 West Brom – Birmingham 1–0 (0–0) 1.614.005.50 1.88 1.98
28.09.21 QPR – Birmingham 2–0 (1–0) 1.953.603.80 1.93 1.93
18.09.21 Peterboro – Birmingham 3–0 (2–0) 3.403.302.20 2.08 1.85
28.08.21 Barnsley – Birmingham 1–1 (1–1) 2.253.303.30 2.37 1.57
21.08.21 Luton – Birmingham 0–5 (0–2) 2.003.253.80 2.20 1.66
07.08.21 Sheffield United – Birmingham 0–1 (0–1) 1.753.505.00 2.30 1.61

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England Championship table 2021/2022, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Fulham 21 13 5 3 50 17 +33 44
2 Bournemouth 21 12 7 2 37 17 +20 43
3 West Brom 21 10 7 4 29 17 +12 37
4 QPR 20 10 5 5 33 25 +8 35
5 Blackburn 20 9 6 5 34 27 +7 33
6 Coventry 21 9 6 6 28 25 +3 33
7 Stoke 20 9 4 7 24 21 +3 31
8 Huddersfield 20 8 4 8 23 23 0 28
9 Swansea 20 7 6 7 25 26 -1 27
10 Millwall 20 6 9 5 20 21 -1 27
11 Blackpool 20 7 6 7 20 22 -2 27
12 Middlesbrough 20 7 5 8 23 23 0 26
13 Sheffield United 20 7 5 8 25 26 -1 26
14 Birmingham 20 7 5 8 19 21 -2 26
15 Reading 20 8 2 10 26 32 -6 26
16 Luton 20 6 7 7 27 26 +1 25
17 Nott'm Forest 20 6 7 7 24 23 +1 25
18 Preston 20 6 7 7 22 26 -4 25
19 Bristol City 20 6 5 9 21 30 -9 23
20 Derby 20 4 10 6 17 20 -3 22
21 Hull 20 6 3 11 16 23 -7 21
22 Cardiff 20 6 3 11 21 34 -13 21
23 Peterboro 20 4 4 12 17 38 -21 16
24 Barnsley 20 2 6 12 13 31 -18 12
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Fulham 11 7 3 1 24 7 +17 24
2 Coventry 11 7 2 2 20 10 +10 23
3 West Brom 10 6 4 0 16 5 +11 22
4 Bournemouth 10 6 3 1 23 11 +12 21
5 QPR 10 6 3 1 16 8 +8 21
6 Blackburn 10 6 2 2 23 16 +7 20
7 Stoke 10 6 2 2 15 9 +6 20
8 Huddersfield 10 6 1 3 14 11 +3 19
9 Swansea 10 4 4 2 13 8 +5 16
10 Preston 10 4 4 2 13 11 +2 16
11 Millwall 10 4 4 2 11 10 +1 16
12 Luton 10 4 3 3 16 12 +4 15
13 Sheffield United 10 4 2 4 15 11 +4 14
14 Middlesbrough 10 4 2 4 14 12 +2 14
15 Derby 10 3 5 2 12 11 +1 14
16 Reading 10 4 2 4 15 15 0 14
17 Birmingham 10 4 2 4 10 12 -2 14
18 Blackpool 10 4 2 4 7 9 -2 14
19 Peterboro 10 3 4 3 12 10 +2 13
20 Bristol City 10 2 5 3 8 10 -2 11
21 Hull 10 3 2 5 9 12 -3 11
22 Nott'm Forest 10 2 3 5 10 15 -5 9
23 Barnsley 10 2 2 6 7 14 -7 8
24 Cardiff 10 2 1 7 7 15 -8 7
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bournemouth 11 6 4 1 14 6 +8 22
2 Fulham 10 6 2 2 26 10 +16 20
3 Nott'm Forest 10 4 4 2 14 8 +6 16
4 West Brom 11 4 3 4 13 12 +1 15
5 QPR 10 4 2 4 17 17 0 14
6 Cardiff 10 4 2 4 14 19 -5 14
7 Blackpool 10 3 4 3 13 13 0 13
8 Blackburn 10 3 4 3 11 11 0 13
9 Birmingham 10 3 3 4 9 9 0 12
10 Middlesbrough 10 3 3 4 9 11 -2 12
11 Sheffield United 10 3 3 4 10 15 -5 12
12 Reading 10 4 0 6 11 17 -6 12
13 Bristol City 10 4 0 6 13 20 -7 12
14 Millwall 10 2 5 3 9 11 -2 11
15 Stoke 10 3 2 5 9 12 -3 11
16 Swansea 10 3 2 5 12 18 -6 11
17 Luton 10 2 4 4 11 14 -3 10
18 Hull 10 3 1 6 7 11 -4 10
19 Coventry 10 2 4 4 8 15 -7 10
20 Huddersfield 10 2 3 5 9 12 -3 9
21 Preston 10 2 3 5 9 15 -6 9
22 Derby 10 1 5 4 5 9 -4 8
23 Barnsley 10 0 4 6 6 17 -11 4
24 Peterboro 10 1 0 9 5 28 -23 3

Millwall   Birmingham

Under / Over goals 2021/2022, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Fulham 21 9 12 2.4 0.8 13 5 3 50 17 44
2 2 Bournemouth 21 9 12 1.8 0.8 12 7 2 37 17 43
3 5 Blackburn 20 8 12 1.7 1.4 9 6 5 34 27 33
4 9 Swansea 20 8 12 1.2 1.3 7 6 7 25 26 27
5 23 Peterboro 20 8 12 0.8 1.9 4 4 12 17 38 16
6 4 QPR 20 9 11 1.6 1.2 10 5 5 33 25 35
7 6 Coventry 21 10 11 1.3 1.2 9 6 6 28 25 33
8 15 Reading 20 9 11 1.3 1.6 8 2 10 26 32 26
9 22 Cardiff 20 9 11 1.1 1.7 6 3 11 21 34 21
10 3 West Brom 21 11 10 1.4 0.8 10 7 4 29 17 37
11 13 Sheffield United 20 10 10 1.2 1.3 7 5 8 25 26 26
12 16 Luton 20 10 10 1.4 1.3 6 7 7 27 26 25
13 17 Nott'm Forest 20 10 10 1.2 1.1 6 7 7 24 23 25
14 18 Preston 20 10 10 1.1 1.3 6 7 7 22 26 25
15 19 Bristol City 20 10 10 1.1 1.5 6 5 9 21 30 23
16 8 Huddersfield 20 11 9 1.1 1.1 8 4 8 23 23 28
17 7 Stoke 20 12 8 1.2 1.1 9 4 7 24 21 31
18 11 Blackpool 20 13 7 1.0 1.1 7 6 7 20 22 27
19 14 Birmingham 20 13 7 0.9 1.1 7 5 8 19 21 26
20 20 Derby 20 13 7 0.8 1.0 4 10 6 17 20 22
21 24 Barnsley 20 13 7 0.7 1.6 2 6 12 13 31 12
22 10 Millwall 20 14 6 1.0 1.1 6 9 5 20 21 27
23 12 Middlesbrough 20 14 6 1.1 1.1 7 5 8 23 23 26
24 21 Hull 20 15 5 0.8 1.1 6 3 11 16 23 21
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Bournemouth 10 0 10 2.3 1.1 6 3 1 23 11 21
2 5 Blackburn 10 2 8 2.3 1.6 6 2 2 23 16 20
3 6 Coventry 11 4 7 1.8 0.9 7 2 2 20 10 23
4 1 Fulham 11 5 6 2.2 0.6 7 3 1 24 7 24
5 16 Luton 10 4 6 1.6 1.2 4 3 3 16 12 15
6 17 Nott'm Forest 10 4 6 1.0 1.5 2 3 5 10 15 9
7 9 Swansea 10 5 5 1.3 0.8 4 4 2 13 8 16
8 13 Sheffield United 10 5 5 1.5 1.1 4 2 4 15 11 14
9 14 Birmingham 10 5 5 1.0 1.2 4 2 4 10 12 14
10 15 Reading 10 5 5 1.5 1.5 4 2 4 15 15 14
11 20 Derby 10 5 5 1.2 1.1 3 5 2 12 11 14
12 23 Peterboro 10 5 5 1.2 1.0 3 4 3 12 10 13
13 3 West Brom 10 6 4 1.6 0.5 6 4 0 16 5 22
14 8 Huddersfield 10 6 4 1.4 1.1 6 1 3 14 11 19
15 12 Middlesbrough 10 6 4 1.4 1.2 4 2 4 14 12 14
16 18 Preston 10 6 4 1.3 1.1 4 4 2 13 11 16
17 21 Hull 10 6 4 0.9 1.2 3 2 5 9 12 11
18 22 Cardiff 10 6 4 0.7 1.5 2 1 7 7 15 7
19 4 QPR 10 7 3 1.6 0.8 6 3 1 16 8 21
20 7 Stoke 10 7 3 1.5 0.9 6 2 2 15 9 20
21 10 Millwall 10 7 3 1.1 1.0 4 4 2 11 10 16
22 24 Barnsley 10 7 3 0.7 1.4 2 2 6 7 14 8
23 11 Blackpool 10 8 2 0.7 0.9 4 2 4 7 9 14
24 19 Bristol City 10 8 2 0.8 1.0 2 5 3 8 10 11
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 QPR 10 2 8 1.7 1.7 4 2 4 17 17 14
2 19 Bristol City 10 2 8 1.3 2.0 4 0 6 13 20 12
3 9 Swansea 10 3 7 1.2 1.8 3 2 5 12 18 11
4 22 Cardiff 10 3 7 1.4 1.9 4 2 4 14 19 14
5 23 Peterboro 10 3 7 0.5 2.8 1 0 9 5 28 3
6 1 Fulham 10 4 6 2.6 1.0 6 2 2 26 10 20
7 3 West Brom 11 5 6 1.2 1.1 4 3 4 13 12 15
8 15 Reading 10 4 6 1.1 1.7 4 0 6 11 17 12
9 18 Preston 10 4 6 0.9 1.5 2 3 5 9 15 9
10 7 Stoke 10 5 5 0.9 1.2 3 2 5 9 12 11
11 8 Huddersfield 10 5 5 0.9 1.2 2 3 5 9 12 9
12 11 Blackpool 10 5 5 1.3 1.3 3 4 3 13 13 13
13 13 Sheffield United 10 5 5 1.0 1.5 3 3 4 10 15 12
14 5 Blackburn 10 6 4 1.1 1.1 3 4 3 11 11 13
15 6 Coventry 10 6 4 0.8 1.5 2 4 4 8 15 10
16 16 Luton 10 6 4 1.1 1.4 2 4 4 11 14 10
17 17 Nott'm Forest 10 6 4 1.4 0.8 4 4 2 14 8 16
18 24 Barnsley 10 6 4 0.6 1.7 0 4 6 6 17 4
19 10 Millwall 10 7 3 0.9 1.1 2 5 3 9 11 11
20 2 Bournemouth 11 9 2 1.3 0.5 6 4 1 14 6 22
21 12 Middlesbrough 10 8 2 0.9 1.1 3 3 4 9 11 12
22 14 Birmingham 10 8 2 0.9 0.9 3 3 4 9 9 12
23 20 Derby 10 8 2 0.5 0.9 1 5 4 5 9 8
24 21 Hull 10 9 1 0.7 1.1 3 1 6 7 11 10

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51