Hamilton 1–2 Kelty Hearts
Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2025/2026
Home
1.75
fair 1.75
Draw
3.50
fair 4.41
Away ✓
3.90
fair 4.98
Under 2.5
1.95
fair 2.16
Over 2.5 ✓
1.85
fair 1.86
Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.
Match facts
Hamilton
Kelty Hearts
9
Shots
6
3
Shots on target
3
11
Corners
6
13
Fouls
10
3
Yellow cards
1
0
Red cards
0
Our pre-match prediction
✗ Result missed
✓ Goals correct
✓ BTTS correct
Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (152 league matches this season so far).
Result
Hamilton to win
Goals
Over 2.5
Both teams score
Yes
fair 1.89
Expected goals
1.84 – 0.99
Home / Draw / Away
57%
23%
20%
HamiltonDrawKelty Hearts
Under / Over 2.5 goals
46%
54%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
47%
53%
NoYes
Total goals in the match
6%
0
17%
1
24%
2
22%
3
16%
4
16%
5+
Most likely scores
1–0 10.9%
1–1 10.8%
2–0 10%
Statistics 2025/2026, before this match
Hamilton
before this match, all matches
1.53points / match
1.53scored / match
1.13conceded / match
13
7
10
WonDrawnLost
30 played · 46:34
Kelty Hearts
before this match, all matches
0.63points / match
0.83scored / match
1.87conceded / match
3
10
17
WonDrawnLost
30 played · 25:56
Hamilton all matches
all matches Kelty Hearts
Per match
1.53
Goals scored
0.83
1.13
Goals conceded
1.87
2.67
Total goals
2.70
9.67
Shots
6.97
4.60
Shots on target
3.33
9.83
Shots faced
11.47
4.43
Corners
3.30
5.00
Corners against
5.50
10.73
Fouls
10.57
1.67
Yellow cards
2.63
0.73
1st-half goals scored
0.47
0.43
1st-half goals conceded
0.87
How often Full Time
43%
Wins
10%
23%
Draws
33%
33%
Losses
57%
90%
Over 0.5 goals
93%
73%
Over 1.5 goals
87%
57%
Over 2.5 goals
53%
37%
Over 3.5 goals
23%
10%
Over 4.5 goals
7%
0%
Over 5.5 goals
3%
43%
Both teams scored
57%
40%
Clean sheets
13%
27%
Failed to score
37%
How often Half Time
40%
Wins
27%
40%
Draws
27%
20%
Losses
47%
73%
Over 0.5 goals
87%
37%
Over 1.5 goals
37%
7%
Over 2.5 goals
10%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Hamilton all matches
2
W
D
1
L
1
W
3
L
1
1
D
1
L
3
W
1
3
L
2
2
D
Kelty Hearts all matches
1
3
L
2
L
D
1
1
D
1
1
D
D
1
1
D
1
2
L
1
1
D
2
L
Hamilton
before this match, at home
1.73points / match
1.40scored / match
0.80conceded / match
8
2
5
WonDrawnLost
15 played · 21:12
Kelty Hearts
before this match, away
0.87points / match
1.20scored / match
1.80conceded / match
3
4
8
WonDrawnLost
15 played · 18:27
Hamilton at home
away Kelty Hearts
Per match
1.40
Goals scored
1.20
0.80
Goals conceded
1.80
2.20
Total goals
3.00
9.33
Shots
6.93
4.33
Shots on target
3.33
8.53
Shots faced
11.47
4.87
Corners
3.47
5.53
Corners against
5.07
9.53
Fouls
11.07
1.33
Yellow cards
3.13
0.67
1st-half goals scored
0.73
0.33
1st-half goals conceded
0.67
How often Full Time
53%
Wins
20%
13%
Draws
27%
33%
Losses
53%
93%
Over 0.5 goals
100%
67%
Over 1.5 goals
93%
40%
Over 2.5 goals
67%
20%
Over 3.5 goals
33%
0%
Over 4.5 goals
7%
0%
Over 5.5 goals
0%
40%
Both teams scored
73%
47%
Clean sheets
13%
20%
Failed to score
13%
How often Half Time
47%
Wins
47%
33%
Draws
20%
20%
Losses
33%
80%
Over 0.5 goals
100%
20%
Over 1.5 goals
33%
0%
Over 2.5 goals
7%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Hamilton at home
1
2
L
3
W
3
1
W
1
W
2
W
1
L
1
W
1
1
D
1
L
1
3
L
Kelty Hearts away
3
L
2
2
D
1
3
L
2
3
L
1
W
1
3
L
1
1
D
1
1
D
1
2
L
2
L
Last 10 matches before this match
Hamilton all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21.03.26 | Cove Rangers – Hamilton | 2–2 (0–2) | 2.35 | 3.25 | 2.63 | 1.98 | 1.83 |
| 14.03.26 | Hamilton – Queen of Sth | 1–3 (1–1) | 3.25 | 3.40 | 1.95 | 1.73 | 2.08 |
| 07.03.26 | East Fife – Hamilton | 0–3 (0–1) | 2.40 | 3.30 | 2.63 | 1.85 | 1.95 |
| 03.03.26 | Hamilton – Stenhousemuir | 0–1 (0–0) | 3.00 | 3.20 | 2.10 | 2.08 | 1.73 |
| 28.02.26 | Hamilton – Montrose | 1–1 (0–1) | 2.10 | 3.50 | 2.80 | 1.67 | 2.15 |
| 21.02.26 | Alloa – Hamilton | 3–0 (0–0) | 1.91 | 3.20 | 3.60 | 2.05 | 1.75 |
| 17.02.26 | Hamilton – East Fife | 1–0 (1–0) | 1.80 | 3.50 | 3.70 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 14.02.26 | Hamilton – Inverness C | 0–1 (0–1) | 4.75 | 3.20 | 1.70 | 2.15 | 1.67 |
| 31.01.26 | Kelty Hearts – Hamilton | 0–0 (0–0) | 2.80 | 3.50 | 2.10 | 1.85 | 1.95 |
| 24.01.26 | Hamilton – Cove Rangers | 2–0 (0–0) | 2.38 | 3.25 | 2.60 | 1.85 | 1.95 |
Kelty Hearts all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21.03.26 | Stenhousemuir – Kelty Hearts | 2–0 (1–0) | 1.48 | 3.70 | 6.00 | 1.88 | 1.93 |
| 14.03.26 | Kelty Hearts – East Fife | 1–1 (0–1) | 2.20 | 3.20 | 2.90 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| 07.03.26 | Alloa – Kelty Hearts | 2–1 (0–1) | 1.67 | 3.50 | 4.75 | 1.90 | 1.90 |
| 03.03.26 | Montrose – Kelty Hearts | 1–1 (1–0) | 1.83 | 3.25 | 3.70 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| 28.02.26 | Kelty Hearts – Inverness C | 0–0 (0–0) | 8.50 | 4.50 | 1.29 | 1.70 | 2.10 |
| 21.02.26 | Cove Rangers – Kelty Hearts | 1–1 (0–1) | 1.67 | 3.50 | 4.20 | 1.90 | 1.90 |
| 14.02.26 | Kelty Hearts – Peterhead | 1–1 (0–1) | 2.90 | 3.40 | 2.10 | 1.73 | 2.08 |
| 31.01.26 | Kelty Hearts – Hamilton | 0–0 (0–0) | 2.80 | 3.50 | 2.10 | 1.85 | 1.95 |
| 24.01.26 | Kelty Hearts – Stenhousemuir | 0–2 (0–2) | 3.75 | 3.30 | 1.83 | 2.05 | 1.75 |
| 10.01.26 | Queen of Sth – Kelty Hearts | 3–1 (0–1) | 1.55 | 3.90 | 4.75 | 1.70 | 2.10 |
Hamilton at home
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.03.26 | Hamilton – Queen of Sth | 1–3 (1–1) | 3.25 | 3.40 | 1.95 | 1.73 | 2.08 |
| 03.03.26 | Hamilton – Stenhousemuir | 0–1 (0–0) | 3.00 | 3.20 | 2.10 | 2.08 | 1.73 |
| 28.02.26 | Hamilton – Montrose | 1–1 (0–1) | 2.10 | 3.50 | 2.80 | 1.67 | 2.15 |
| 17.02.26 | Hamilton – East Fife | 1–0 (1–0) | 1.80 | 3.50 | 3.70 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 14.02.26 | Hamilton – Inverness C | 0–1 (0–1) | 4.75 | 3.20 | 1.70 | 2.15 | 1.67 |
| 24.01.26 | Hamilton – Cove Rangers | 2–0 (0–0) | 2.38 | 3.25 | 2.60 | 1.85 | 1.95 |
| 20.12.25 | Hamilton – Alloa | 1–0 (1–0) | 2.40 | 3.20 | 2.55 | 1.95 | 1.85 |
| 22.11.25 | Hamilton – Kelty Hearts | 3–1 (1–1) | 1.30 | 4.75 | 8.00 | 1.62 | 2.25 |
| 08.11.25 | Hamilton – Peterhead | 3–0 (2–0) | 1.75 | 3.75 | 4.00 | 1.73 | 2.08 |
| 24.10.25 | Hamilton – Queen of Sth | 1–2 (0–1) | 1.53 | 3.80 | 5.00 | 1.70 | 2.10 |
Kelty Hearts away
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21.03.26 | Stenhousemuir – Kelty Hearts | 2–0 (1–0) | 1.48 | 3.70 | 6.00 | 1.88 | 1.93 |
| 07.03.26 | Alloa – Kelty Hearts | 2–1 (0–1) | 1.67 | 3.50 | 4.75 | 1.90 | 1.90 |
| 03.03.26 | Montrose – Kelty Hearts | 1–1 (1–0) | 1.83 | 3.25 | 3.70 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| 21.02.26 | Cove Rangers – Kelty Hearts | 1–1 (0–1) | 1.67 | 3.50 | 4.20 | 1.90 | 1.90 |
| 10.01.26 | Queen of Sth – Kelty Hearts | 3–1 (0–1) | 1.55 | 3.90 | 4.75 | 1.70 | 2.10 |
| 27.12.25 | East Fife – Kelty Hearts | 0–1 (0–1) | 1.53 | 3.70 | 5.25 | 1.75 | 2.05 |
| 13.12.25 | Peterhead – Kelty Hearts | 3–2 (1–0) | 1.65 | 3.90 | 4.20 | 1.62 | 2.25 |
| 22.11.25 | Hamilton – Kelty Hearts | 3–1 (1–1) | 1.30 | 4.75 | 8.00 | 1.62 | 2.25 |
| 08.11.25 | Stenhousemuir – Kelty Hearts | 2–2 (0–1) | 1.44 | 4.33 | 6.50 | 1.83 | 1.98 |
| 01.11.25 | Alloa – Kelty Hearts | 3–0 (2–0) | 1.48 | 3.80 | 6.00 | 1.70 | 2.10 |
Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.
Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match
5 2
Hamilton winsDrawsKelty Hearts wins
7matches
3.14goals / match
57%over 2.5
43%both scored
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31.01.26SC2 | Kelty Hearts – Hamilton | 0–0 (0–0) | 2.80 | 3.50 | 2.10 | 1.85 | 1.95 |
| 22.11.25SC2 | Hamilton – Kelty Hearts | 3–1 (1–1) | 1.30 | 4.75 | 8.00 | 1.62 | 2.25 |
| 20.09.25SC2 | Kelty Hearts – Hamilton | 0–4 (0–3) | 4.50 | 3.75 | 1.65 | 1.70 | 2.10 |
| 04.05.24SC2 | Hamilton – Kelty Hearts | 4–1 (2–1) | 1.60 | 3.80 | 4.75 | 1.65 | 2.20 |
| 02.03.24SC2 | Kelty Hearts – Hamilton | 0–5 (0–3) | 5.00 | 4.20 | 1.53 | 1.67 | 2.15 |
| 23.12.23SC2 | Hamilton – Kelty Hearts | 1–1 (0–0) | 1.33 | 5.00 | 7.00 | 1.60 | 2.30 |
| 12.08.23SC2 | Kelty Hearts – Hamilton | 0–2 (0–0) | 3.30 | 3.60 | 1.95 | 1.75 | 2.05 |
Scotland League One table 2025/2026, before this match
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inverness C | 31 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 53 | 21 | +32 | 63 |
| 2 | Stenhousemuir | 31 | 15 | 12 | 4 | 43 | 24 | +19 | 57 |
| 3 | Alloa | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 45 | 30 | +15 | 47 |
| 4 | Hamilton | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 46 | 34 | +12 | 46 |
| 5 | Queen of Sth | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 48 | 42 | +6 | 45 |
| 6 | Peterhead | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 43 | 53 | -10 | 39 |
| 7 | Montrose | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 38 |
| 8 | East Fife | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 31 | 56 | -25 | 31 |
| 9 | Cove Rangers | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 28 |
| 10 | Kelty Hearts | 30 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 25 | 56 | -31 | 19 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inverness C | 16 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 35 | 11 | +24 | 37 |
| 2 | Stenhousemuir | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 26 | 11 | +15 | 30 |
| 3 | Alloa | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 24 | 11 | +13 | 27 |
| 4 | Hamilton | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 12 | +9 | 26 |
| 5 | Queen of Sth | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 27 | 20 | +7 | 26 |
| 6 | Peterhead | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 24 | +4 | 24 |
| 7 | Montrose | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 23 |
| 8 | East Fife | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 18 |
| 9 | Cove Rangers | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 15 |
| 10 | Kelty Hearts | 15 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 29 | -22 | 6 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stenhousemuir | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 13 | +4 | 27 |
| 2 | Inverness C | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 10 | +8 | 26 |
| 3 | Hamilton | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 22 | +3 | 20 |
| 4 | Alloa | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 19 | +2 | 20 |
| 5 | Queen of Sth | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 19 |
| 6 | Montrose | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 15 |
| 7 | Peterhead | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 15 |
| 8 | Cove Rangers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 13 |
| 9 | Kelty Hearts | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 13 |
| 10 | East Fife | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 31 | -16 | 13 |
Hamilton Kelty Hearts
Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | Peterhead | 30 | 9 | 21 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 43 | 53 | 39 |
| 2 | 7 | Montrose | 30 | 11 | 19 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 42 | 55 | 38 |
| 3 | 4 | Hamilton | 30 | 13 | 17 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 46 | 34 | 46 |
| 4 | 5 | Queen of Sth | 31 | 14 | 17 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 48 | 42 | 45 |
| 5 | 8 | East Fife | 31 | 14 | 17 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 31 | 56 | 31 |
| 6 | 10 | Kelty Hearts | 30 | 14 | 16 | 0.8 | 1.9 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 25 | 56 | 19 |
| 7 | 3 | Alloa | 30 | 16 | 14 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 45 | 30 | 47 |
| 8 | 1 | Inverness C | 31 | 18 | 13 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 53 | 21 | 63 |
| 9 | 9 | Cove Rangers | 30 | 17 | 13 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 34 | 39 | 28 |
| 10 | 2 | Stenhousemuir | 31 | 20 | 11 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 15 | 12 | 4 | 43 | 24 | 57 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | Peterhead | 15 | 4 | 11 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 24 | 24 |
| 2 | 7 | Montrose | 14 | 3 | 11 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 27 | 23 |
| 3 | 1 | Inverness C | 16 | 7 | 9 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 35 | 11 | 37 |
| 4 | 5 | Queen of Sth | 16 | 7 | 9 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 26 |
| 5 | 2 | Stenhousemuir | 15 | 8 | 7 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 26 | 11 | 30 |
| 6 | 3 | Alloa | 15 | 8 | 7 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 27 |
| 7 | 8 | East Fife | 16 | 9 | 7 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 25 | 18 |
| 8 | 4 | Hamilton | 15 | 9 | 6 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 12 | 26 |
| 9 | 9 | Cove Rangers | 15 | 9 | 6 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 19 | 15 |
| 10 | 10 | Kelty Hearts | 15 | 9 | 6 | 0.5 | 1.9 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 29 | 6 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | Hamilton | 15 | 4 | 11 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 22 | 20 |
| 2 | 6 | Peterhead | 15 | 5 | 10 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 29 | 15 |
| 3 | 8 | East Fife | 15 | 5 | 10 | 1.0 | 2.1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 13 |
| 4 | 10 | Kelty Hearts | 15 | 5 | 10 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 27 | 13 |
| 5 | 5 | Queen of Sth | 15 | 7 | 8 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 22 | 19 |
| 6 | 7 | Montrose | 16 | 8 | 8 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 28 | 15 |
| 7 | 3 | Alloa | 15 | 8 | 7 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 20 |
| 8 | 9 | Cove Rangers | 15 | 8 | 7 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 20 | 13 |
| 9 | 1 | Inverness C | 15 | 11 | 4 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 10 | 26 |
| 10 | 2 | Stenhousemuir | 16 | 12 | 4 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 27 |
U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.
Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40
