Tondela 2–0 Moreirense – Portugal Primeira Liga, 11 May 2026

Match facts

Tondela Moreirense

14 Shots 10

3 Shots on target 2

1 Corners 8

14 Fouls 9

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (290 league matches this season so far).

Result Moreirense to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.99

Expected goals 1.21 – 1.26

Home / Draw / Away

35% 27% 38%

TondelaDrawMoreirense

Under / Over 2.5 goals

55% 45%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

50% 50%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

8% 0

21% 1

26% 2

21% 3

13% 4

11% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 12.9% 0–1 10.7% 1–0 10.2%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Tondela before this match, all matches

0.78points / match

0.75scored / match

1.63conceded / match

5 10 17

WonDrawnLost 32 played · 24:52

Moreirense before this match, all matches

1.31points / match

1.16scored / match

1.47conceded / match

12 6 14

WonDrawnLost 32 played · 37:47

Tondela all matches all matches Moreirense

Per match

0.75 Goals scored 1.16

1.63 Goals conceded 1.47

2.38 Total goals 2.63

10.50 Shots 8.75

3.44 Shots on target 3.25

13.44 Shots faced 13.34

4.00 Corners 3.47

5.75 Corners against 4.94

14.56 Fouls 14.22

2.75 Yellow cards 2.56

0.28 1st-half goals scored 0.47

0.66 1st-half goals conceded 0.56

How often Full Time

16% Wins 38%

31% Draws 19%

53% Losses 44%

91% Over 0.5 goals 97%

66% Over 1.5 goals 75%

50% Over 2.5 goals 53%

28% Over 3.5 goals 22%

3% Over 4.5 goals 13%

0% Over 5.5 goals 3%

34% Both teams scored 50%

19% Clean sheets 25%

56% Failed to score 28%

How often Half Time

9% Wins 19%

59% Draws 53%

31% Losses 28%

53% Over 0.5 goals 66%

31% Over 1.5 goals 31%

6% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Tondela all matches

2

W

2

D

1

L

D

5

L

2

D

2

L

2

L

2

D

1

W

Moreirense all matches

3

L

1

D

1

D

3

L

1

L

1

L

1

D

1

W

1

4

L

3

2

W

Tondela before this match, at home

0.63points / match

0.69scored / match

1.31conceded / match

1 7 8

WonDrawnLost 16 played · 11:21

Moreirense before this match, away

1.00points / match

1.06scored / match

1.63conceded / match

4 4 8

WonDrawnLost 16 played · 17:26

Tondela at home away Moreirense

Per match

0.69 Goals scored 1.06

1.31 Goals conceded 1.63

2.00 Total goals 2.69

12.00 Shots 8.38

3.56 Shots on target 3.44

14.19 Shots faced 14.13

4.13 Corners 3.00

5.75 Corners against 4.63

13.94 Fouls 14.50

2.63 Yellow cards 2.69

0.25 1st-half goals scored 0.56

0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.56

How often Full Time

6% Wins 25%

44% Draws 25%

50% Losses 50%

81% Over 0.5 goals 94%

56% Over 1.5 goals 81%

38% Over 2.5 goals 50%

25% Over 3.5 goals 19%

0% Over 4.5 goals 19%

0% Over 5.5 goals 6%

38% Both teams scored 50%

19% Clean sheets 25%

63% Failed to score 31%

How often Half Time

6% Wins 25%

69% Draws 50%

25% Losses 25%

44% Over 0.5 goals 69%

25% Over 1.5 goals 38%

6% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Tondela at home

1

2

L

3

1

W

1

L

D

1

D

2

D

1

L

D

2

D

2

L

Moreirense away

3

D

2

W

1

2

L

1

L

2

1

W

1

D

3

L

1

D

1

4

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Tondela all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
03.05.26	Casa Pia – Tondela	0–1 (0–0)	2.20	3.20	3.30	2.20	1.65
29.04.26	Sp Lisbon – Tondela	2–2 (0–0)	1.11	7.50	17.00	1.36	3.10
25.04.26	Tondela – Nacional	0–2 (0–2)	2.75	3.40	2.40	1.95	1.90
19.04.26	Porto – Tondela	2–0 (0–0)	1.15	6.25	17.00	1.67	2.15
13.04.26	Tondela – Gil Vicente	2–2 (1–1)	4.00	3.20	1.96	2.25	1.62
03.04.26	Guimaraes – Tondela	5–0 (2–0)	1.81	3.40	4.20	2.15	1.67
21.03.26	Tondela – AVS	0–0 (0–0)	1.86	3.40	4.10	2.10	1.70
09.03.26	Tondela – Rio Ave	0–1 (0–0)	1.96	3.25	3.90	2.05	1.75
01.03.26	Tondela – Santa Clara	2–2 (1–1)	3.20	3.00	2.35	2.60	1.48
20.02.26	Estrela – Tondela	0–2 (0–1)	2.50	3.20	2.70	2.25	1.62

Moreirense all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
02.05.26	Moreirense – Estrela	3–2 (1–2)	2.50	3.10	2.85	2.20	1.65
25.04.26	Benfica – Moreirense	4–1 (2–1)	1.11	9.00	13.00	1.44	2.70
20.04.26	Moreirense – Estoril	1–0 (1–0)	3.00	3.40	2.25	1.93	1.93
10.04.26	Famalicao – Moreirense	1–1 (0–1)	1.42	4.20	7.00	1.95	1.85
04.04.26	Moreirense – Sp Braga	0–1 (0–1)	6.25	3.90	1.51	1.95	1.85
21.03.26	Moreirense – Arouca	0–1 (0–0)	2.35	3.20	3.00	2.10	1.70
15.03.26	Porto – Moreirense	3–0 (2–0)	1.15	6.50	17.00	1.73	2.08
07.03.26	Moreirense – Nacional	1–1 (1–0)	2.30	3.25	3.00	2.15	1.67
01.03.26	Casa Pia – Moreirense	1–1 (1–0)	2.65	3.00	2.75	2.50	1.50
21.02.26	Moreirense – Sp Lisbon	0–3 (0–0)	11.00	5.00	1.27	1.67	2.15

Tondela at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
25.04.26	Tondela – Nacional	0–2 (0–2)	2.75	3.40	2.40	1.95	1.90
13.04.26	Tondela – Gil Vicente	2–2 (1–1)	4.00	3.20	1.96	2.25	1.62
21.03.26	Tondela – AVS	0–0 (0–0)	1.86	3.40	4.10	2.10	1.70
09.03.26	Tondela – Rio Ave	0–1 (0–0)	1.96	3.25	3.90	2.05	1.75
01.03.26	Tondela – Santa Clara	2–2 (1–1)	3.20	3.00	2.35	2.60	1.48
13.02.26	Tondela – Alverca	1–1 (0–1)	2.35	3.10	3.10	2.35	1.57
01.02.26	Tondela – Benfica	0–0 (0–0)	13.00	5.75	1.19	1.73	2.08
18.01.26	Tondela – Sp Braga	0–1 (0–0)	5.75	3.75	1.56	2.10	1.70
03.01.26	Tondela – Arouca	3–1 (2–1)	2.05	3.30	3.50	2.05	1.75
21.12.25	Tondela – Casa Pia	1–2 (0–0)	2.15	3.25	3.40	2.25	1.62

Moreirense away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
25.04.26	Benfica – Moreirense	4–1 (2–1)	1.11	9.00	13.00	1.44	2.70
10.04.26	Famalicao – Moreirense	1–1 (0–1)	1.42	4.20	7.00	1.95	1.85
15.03.26	Porto – Moreirense	3–0 (2–0)	1.15	6.50	17.00	1.73	2.08
01.03.26	Casa Pia – Moreirense	1–1 (1–0)	2.65	3.00	2.75	2.50	1.50
16.02.26	Rio Ave – Moreirense	1–2 (1–1)	2.82	3.20	2.45	2.20	1.65
30.01.26	Guimaraes – Moreirense	1–0 (0–0)	1.79	3.30	4.75	2.25	1.62
17.01.26	Alverca – Moreirense	2–1 (0–0)	2.70	2.82	2.75	2.60	1.48
03.01.26	AVS – Moreirense	0–2 (0–1)	3.40	3.05	2.20	2.30	1.60
20.12.25	Estrela – Moreirense	0–0 (0–0)	2.35	3.25	2.85	2.15	1.67
07.12.25	Estoril – Moreirense	3–3 (1–1)	2.05	3.40	3.50	2.10	1.70

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1 2

Tondela winsDrawsMoreirense wins

3matches

2.00goals / match

33%over 2.5

33%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
11.01.26P1	Moreirense – Tondela	1–0 (0–0)	2.01	3.20	3.90	2.10	1.70
16.04.22P1	Moreirense – Tondela	2–0 (2–0)	2.00	3.25	3.60	2.10	1.70
03.01.22P1	Tondela – Moreirense	2–1 (0–1)	2.70	3.25	2.62	2.02	1.83

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Streak
1	Porto	33	27	4	2	65	18	+47	85	DWWWWL
2	Sp Lisbon	32	23	7	2	82	23	+59	76	WWLDDW
3	Benfica	32	22	10	0	69	22	+47	76	WDWWWD
4	Sp Braga	32	16	9	7	60	32	+28	57	WWDWLD
5	Famalicao	32	14	10	8	41	29	+12	52	WDDDWD
6	Gil Vicente	32	13	11	8	46	32	+14	50	LWDLWD
7	Guimaraes	32	12	6	14	39	48	-9	42	LWDWWL
8	Moreirense	32	12	6	14	37	47	-10	42	LLDWLW
9	Estoril	33	10	9	14	53	54	-1	39	LLLLDD
10	Alverca	33	10	9	14	35	51	-16	39	WWLWLD
11	Arouca	32	10	6	16	41	62	-21	36	WWLWLD
12	Rio Ave	32	8	11	13	33	52	-19	35	WLWDLD
13	Santa Clara	32	8	9	15	30	40	-10	33	WLLDWD
14	Nacional	32	8	7	17	35	43	-8	31	LWLWWL
15	Estrela	32	6	10	16	36	54	-18	28	WLLLLL
16	Casa Pia	32	5	11	16	29	56	-27	26	DLDLLL
17	Tondela	32	5	10	17	24	52	-28	25	LDLLDW
18	AVS	33	3	11	19	27	67	-40	20	LDDDWW

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Streak
1	Porto	16	13	3	0	32	6	+26	42	WWWDWW
2	Sp Lisbon	16	12	2	2	48	11	+37	38	WWWLDW
3	Benfica	16	11	5	0	39	11	+28	38	WWDWWW
4	Gil Vicente	16	9	3	4	27	14	+13	30	WLDWLW
5	Sp Braga	16	8	5	3	32	16	+16	29	WDLWDD
6	Famalicao	16	8	4	4	26	12	+14	28	WWWWDD
7	Guimaraes	16	8	4	4	26	18	+8	28	WWDLWW
8	Moreirense	16	8	2	6	20	21	-1	26	LDLLWW
9	Alverca	17	7	5	5	18	23	-5	26	DDLWWD
10	Estoril	16	6	5	5	28	23	+5	23	DWDLLL
11	Arouca	16	6	4	6	24	29	-5	22	WWLWWD
12	Santa Clara	16	6	2	8	15	17	-2	20	LLWWLW
13	Nacional	16	5	2	9	21	23	-2	17	LLLWWL
14	Estrela	16	4	5	7	21	24	-3	17	WLDWLL
15	Rio Ave	16	3	6	7	16	25	-9	15	LDWLDD
16	Casa Pia	16	2	8	6	17	25	-8	14	WDDDLL
17	AVS	17	2	6	9	15	27	-12	12	WDLDDW
18	Tondela	16	1	7	8	11	21	-10	10	DDLDDL

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Streak
1	Porto	17	14	1	2	33	12	+21	43	WDWWWL
2	Sp Lisbon	16	11	5	0	34	12	+22	38	DWDWWD
3	Benfica	16	11	5	0	30	11	+19	38	WWWDWD
4	Sp Braga	16	8	4	4	28	16	+12	28	WLWWWL
5	Famalicao	16	6	6	4	15	17	-2	24	LDWDDW
6	Gil Vicente	16	4	8	4	19	18	+1	20	WLDLDD
7	Rio Ave	16	5	5	6	17	27	-10	20	LLWWWL
8	Estoril	17	4	4	9	25	31	-6	16	LWLLDD
9	Moreirense	16	4	4	8	17	26	-9	16	LWDLDL
10	Tondela	16	4	3	9	13	31	-18	15	DWLLDW
11	Nacional	16	3	5	8	14	20	-6	14	LLDLLW
12	Arouca	16	4	2	10	17	33	-16	14	LLLWLL
13	Guimaraes	16	4	2	10	13	30	-17	14	LLLDWL
14	Santa Clara	16	2	7	7	15	23	-8	13	DDWLDD
15	Alverca	16	3	4	9	17	28	-11	13	DDDWLL
16	Casa Pia	16	3	3	10	12	31	-19	12	DLDLLL
17	Estrela	16	2	5	9	15	30	-15	11	LDLLLL
18	AVS	16	1	5	10	12	40	-28	8	LDDLDW

Tondela Moreirense

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#														Streak
1	2	Sp Lisbon	32	10	22	2.6	0.7	23	7	2	82	23	76	OUOUOO
2	3	Benfica	32	10	22	2.2	0.7	22	10	0	69	22	76	OUUOOO
3	4	Sp Braga	32	11	21	1.9	1.0	16	9	7	60	32	57	UUOUOU
4	11	Arouca	32	11	21	1.3	1.9	10	6	16	41	62	36	UOUUOO
5	9	Estoril	33	13	20	1.6	1.6	10	9	14	53	54	39	OOUUUU
6	18	AVS	33	13	20	0.8	2.0	3	11	19	27	67	20	OUOUOO
7	1	Porto	33	14	19	2.0	0.5	27	4	2	65	18	85	OOUOUO
8	12	Rio Ave	32	13	19	1.0	1.6	8	11	13	33	52	35	OOUOUU
9	8	Moreirense	32	15	17	1.2	1.5	12	6	14	37	47	42	UUUUOO
10	10	Alverca	33	16	17	1.1	1.5	10	9	14	35	51	39	OOUOUU
11	15	Estrela	32	15	17	1.1	1.7	6	10	16	36	54	28	OUUUOO
12	6	Gil Vicente	32	16	16	1.4	1.0	13	11	8	46	32	50	UOOUOU
13	17	Tondela	32	16	16	0.8	1.6	5	10	17	24	52	25	OOUUOU
14	7	Guimaraes	32	17	15	1.2	1.5	12	6	14	39	48	42	OOUUUO
15	16	Casa Pia	32	17	15	0.9	1.8	5	11	16	29	56	26	UOUUOU
16	14	Nacional	32	18	14	1.1	1.3	8	7	17	35	43	31	UUUUUO
17	5	Famalicao	32	19	13	1.3	0.9	14	10	8	41	29	52	UOUOUO
18	13	Santa Clara	32	20	12	0.9	1.2	8	9	15	30	40	33	UOUUOO

Home – Under/Over goals
#														Streak
1	2	Sp Lisbon	16	3	13	3.0	0.7	12	2	2	48	11	38	UOOOOO
2	3	Benfica	16	5	11	2.4	0.7	11	5	0	39	11	38	OOOOUO
3	4	Sp Braga	16	5	11	2.0	1.0	8	5	3	32	16	29	OOOUOU
4	11	Arouca	16	5	11	1.5	1.8	6	4	6	24	29	22	OOOOUO
5	12	Rio Ave	16	6	10	1.0	1.6	3	6	7	16	25	15	OUOOOU
6	7	Guimaraes	16	7	9	1.6	1.1	8	4	4	26	18	28	UOUOOU
7	8	Moreirense	16	7	9	1.2	1.3	8	2	6	20	21	26	OUUUUO
8	9	Estoril	16	7	9	1.8	1.4	6	5	5	28	23	23	OOUOOU
9	14	Nacional	16	7	9	1.3	1.4	5	2	9	21	23	17	UOUUUO
10	15	Estrela	16	7	9	1.3	1.5	4	5	7	21	24	17	UUOOUO
11	1	Porto	16	8	8	2.0	0.4	13	3	0	32	6	42	UOOOUU
12	5	Famalicao	16	8	8	1.6	0.8	8	4	4	26	12	28	OUUUUO
13	6	Gil Vicente	16	8	8	1.7	0.9	9	3	4	27	14	30	OOOOUO
14	10	Alverca	17	9	8	1.1	1.4	7	5	5	18	23	26	UUOOOU
15	18	AVS	17	9	8	0.9	1.6	2	6	9	15	27	12	OUUUUO
16	13	Santa Clara	16	10	6	0.9	1.1	6	2	8	15	17	20	OOUUUO
17	17	Tondela	16	10	6	0.7	1.3	1	7	8	11	21	10	UOUUOU
18	16	Casa Pia	16	11	5	1.1	1.6	2	8	6	17	25	14	OUUUUU

Away – Under/Over goals
#														Streak
1	18	AVS	16	4	12	0.8	2.5	1	5	10	12	40	8	OUUOOO
2	1	Porto	17	6	11	1.9	0.7	14	1	2	33	12	43	UOOOOO
3	3	Benfica	16	5	11	1.9	0.7	11	5	0	30	11	38	OOOUOO
4	9	Estoril	17	6	11	1.5	1.8	4	4	9	25	31	16	OUOUUU
5	4	Sp Braga	16	6	10	1.8	1.0	8	4	4	28	16	28	OOOUUO
6	11	Arouca	16	6	10	1.1	2.1	4	2	10	17	33	14	OOUUUO
7	16	Casa Pia	16	6	10	0.8	1.9	3	3	10	12	31	12	UUUOOO
8	17	Tondela	16	6	10	0.8	1.9	4	3	9	13	31	15	OUOUOU
9	2	Sp Lisbon	16	7	9	2.1	0.8	11	5	0	34	12	38	UOOOUU
10	10	Alverca	16	7	9	1.1	1.8	3	4	9	17	28	13	UUOOUU
11	12	Rio Ave	16	7	9	1.1	1.7	5	5	6	17	27	20	OUUOUU
12	6	Gil Vicente	16	8	8	1.2	1.1	4	8	4	19	18	20	OOOUOU
13	8	Moreirense	16	8	8	1.1	1.6	4	4	8	17	26	16	UOUOUO
14	15	Estrela	16	8	8	0.9	1.9	2	5	9	15	30	11	OUOUUO
15	7	Guimaraes	16	10	6	0.8	1.9	4	2	10	13	30	14	OUOUUO
16	13	Santa Clara	16	10	6	0.9	1.4	2	7	7	15	23	13	UOUOUO
17	5	Famalicao	16	11	5	0.9	1.1	6	6	4	15	17	24	UUOOOU
18	14	Nacional	16	11	5	0.9	1.2	3	5	8	14	20	14	OOUUUU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.