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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Casa Pia 0–1 Tondela

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2025/2026

Home 2.20 fair 2.18
Draw 3.20 fair 3.92
Away ✓ 3.30 fair 3.50
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.65 fair 1.99
Over 2.5 2.20 fair 2.01

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Casa Pia Tondela
4 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 5
7 Corners 2
22 Fouls 19
8 Yellow cards 3
2 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (284 league matches this season so far).
Result Casa Pia to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.88
Expected goals 1.52 – 1.14
Home / Draw / Away
Casa PiaDrawTondela
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.1% 1–0 10.6% 2–1 9.2%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Casa Pia before this match, all matches
0.84points / match
0.94scored / match
1.77conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 31 played · 29:55
Tondela before this match, all matches
0.71points / match
0.74scored / match
1.68conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 31 played · 23:52
Casa Pia all matches all matches Tondela

Per match

0.94 Goals scored 0.74
1.77 Goals conceded 1.68
2.71 Total goals 2.42
8.61 Shots 10.55
2.74 Shots on target 3.39
13.87 Shots faced 13.74
3.77 Corners 4.06
6.19 Corners against 5.71
15.94 Fouls 14.42
2.77 Yellow cards 2.74
0.48 1st-half goals scored 0.29
0.81 1st-half goals conceded 0.68

How often Full Time

16% Wins 13%
35% Draws 32%
48% Losses 55%
87% Over 0.5 goals 90%
81% Over 1.5 goals 68%
48% Over 2.5 goals 52%
32% Over 3.5 goals 29%
10% Over 4.5 goals 3%
6% Over 5.5 goals 0%
48% Both teams scored 35%
19% Clean sheets 16%
45% Failed to score 58%

How often Half Time

26% Wins 10%
35% Draws 58%
39% Losses 32%
71% Over 0.5 goals 55%
35% Over 1.5 goals 32%
16% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Casa Pia all matches
Tondela all matches
Casa Pia before this match, at home
0.93points / match
1.13scored / match
1.60conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 17:24
Tondela before this match, away
0.80points / match
0.80scored / match
2.07conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 12:31
Casa Pia at home away Tondela

Per match

1.13 Goals scored 0.80
1.60 Goals conceded 2.07
2.73 Total goals 2.87
7.87 Shots 9.00
2.60 Shots on target 3.20
13.07 Shots faced 13.27
3.00 Corners 4.00
6.20 Corners against 5.67
16.67 Fouls 14.93
2.80 Yellow cards 2.87
0.67 1st-half goals scored 0.33
0.67 1st-half goals conceded 0.87

How often Full Time

13% Wins 20%
53% Draws 20%
33% Losses 60%
87% Over 0.5 goals 100%
80% Over 1.5 goals 80%
33% Over 2.5 goals 67%
27% Over 3.5 goals 33%
20% Over 4.5 goals 7%
13% Over 5.5 goals 0%
60% Both teams scored 33%
13% Clean sheets 13%
40% Failed to score 53%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 13%
33% Draws 47%
33% Losses 40%
67% Over 0.5 goals 67%
33% Over 1.5 goals 40%
20% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Casa Pia at home
Tondela away

Last 10 matches before this match

Casa Pia all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.04.26 Gil Vicente – Casa Pia 2–1 (1–1) 1.513.905.75 2.05 1.80
23.04.26 Casa Pia – Sp Braga 0–1 (0–1) 5.504.201.53 1.95 1.85
18.04.26 Casa Pia – Santa Clara 0–0 (0–0) 3.803.002.10 2.40 1.53
12.04.26 Alverca – Casa Pia 3–1 (0–1) 1.963.303.90 2.15 1.67
06.04.26 Casa Pia – Benfica 1–1 (0–0) 13.006.001.19 1.53 2.40
20.03.26 Estrela – Casa Pia 4–0 (3–0) 2.403.103.10 2.20 1.65
07.03.26 Estoril – Casa Pia 0–0 (0–0) 1.663.804.50 1.73 2.08
01.03.26 Casa Pia – Moreirense 1–1 (1–0) 2.653.002.75 2.50 1.50
23.02.26 Famalicao – Casa Pia 2–0 (1–0) 1.613.605.50 2.00 1.80
14.02.26 Casa Pia – Arouca 3–2 (3–2) 2.653.202.55 2.20 1.65

Tondela all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.04.26 Sp Lisbon – Tondela 2–2 (0–0) 1.117.5017.00 1.36 3.10
25.04.26 Tondela – Nacional 0–2 (0–2) 2.753.402.40 1.95 1.90
19.04.26 Porto – Tondela 2–0 (0–0) 1.156.2517.00 1.67 2.15
13.04.26 Tondela – Gil Vicente 2–2 (1–1) 4.003.201.96 2.25 1.62
03.04.26 Guimaraes – Tondela 5–0 (2–0) 1.813.404.20 2.15 1.67
21.03.26 Tondela – AVS 0–0 (0–0) 1.863.404.10 2.10 1.70
09.03.26 Tondela – Rio Ave 0–1 (0–0) 1.963.253.90 2.05 1.75
01.03.26 Tondela – Santa Clara 2–2 (1–1) 3.203.002.35 2.60 1.48
20.02.26 Estrela – Tondela 0–2 (0–1) 2.503.202.70 2.25 1.62
13.02.26 Tondela – Alverca 1–1 (0–1) 2.353.103.10 2.35 1.57

Casa Pia at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.04.26 Casa Pia – Sp Braga 0–1 (0–1) 5.504.201.53 1.95 1.85
18.04.26 Casa Pia – Santa Clara 0–0 (0–0) 3.803.002.10 2.40 1.53
06.04.26 Casa Pia – Benfica 1–1 (0–0) 13.006.001.19 1.53 2.40
01.03.26 Casa Pia – Moreirense 1–1 (1–0) 2.653.002.75 2.50 1.50
14.02.26 Casa Pia – Arouca 3–2 (3–2) 2.653.202.55 2.20 1.65
02.02.26 Casa Pia – Porto 2–1 (2–0) 12.005.001.25 1.80 2.00
23.01.26 Casa Pia – AVS 3–3 (1–0) 2.013.104.00 2.40 1.53
28.12.25 Casa Pia – Guimaraes 0–0 (0–0) 3.302.952.25 2.40 1.53
13.12.25 Casa Pia – Gil Vicente 1–1 (0–1) 3.502.952.15 2.60 1.48
29.11.25 Casa Pia – Alverca 0–2 (0–0) 2.353.053.05 2.35 1.57

Tondela away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.04.26 Sp Lisbon – Tondela 2–2 (0–0) 1.117.5017.00 1.36 3.10
19.04.26 Porto – Tondela 2–0 (0–0) 1.156.2517.00 1.67 2.15
03.04.26 Guimaraes – Tondela 5–0 (2–0) 1.813.404.20 2.15 1.67
20.02.26 Estrela – Tondela 0–2 (0–1) 2.503.202.70 2.25 1.62
07.02.26 Estoril – Tondela 2–2 (2–2) 1.663.904.75 1.80 2.00
25.01.26 Famalicao – Tondela 3–0 (1–0) 1.563.805.75 2.05 1.75
11.01.26 Moreirense – Tondela 1–0 (0–0) 2.013.203.90 2.10 1.70
15.12.25 Nacional – Tondela 3–1 (0–0) 2.303.053.05 2.10 1.70
29.11.25 Gil Vicente – Tondela 0–1 (0–1) 1.613.505.75 2.15 1.67
02.11.25 AVS – Tondela 2–2 (1–1) 3.203.052.30 2.15 1.67

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Casa Pia winsDrawsTondela wins
1matches
3.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.12.25P1 Tondela – Casa Pia 1–2 (0–0) 2.153.253.40 2.25 1.62

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 32 27 4 1 64 15 +49 85 WDWWWW
2 Benfica 32 22 10 0 69 22 +47 76 WDWWWD
3 Sp Lisbon 31 22 7 2 77 22 +55 73 WWWLDD
4 Sp Braga 31 16 8 7 59 31 +28 56 LWWDWL
5 Famalicao 32 14 10 8 41 29 +12 52 WDDDWD
6 Gil Vicente 31 13 10 8 46 32 +14 49 DLWDLW
7 Guimaraes 31 12 6 13 38 43 -5 42 LLWDWW
8 Moreirense 32 12 6 14 37 47 -10 42 LLDWLW
9 Alverca 32 10 8 14 34 50 -16 38 LWWLWL
10 Estoril 31 10 7 14 51 52 -1 37 WLLLLL
11 Arouca 32 10 6 16 41 62 -21 36 WWLWLD
12 Rio Ave 31 8 10 13 33 52 -19 34 WWLWDL
13 Santa Clara 32 8 9 15 30 40 -10 33 WLLDWD
14 Nacional 32 8 7 17 35 43 -8 31 LWLWWL
15 Estrela 32 6 10 16 36 54 -18 28 WLLLLL
16 Casa Pia 31 5 11 15 29 55 -26 26 LDLDLL
17 Tondela 31 4 10 17 23 52 -29 22 DLDLLD
18 AVS 32 2 11 19 24 66 -42 17 DLDDDW
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 16 13 3 0 32 6 +26 42 WWWDWW
2 Benfica 16 11 5 0 39 11 +28 38 WWDWWW
3 Sp Lisbon 15 11 2 2 43 10 +33 35 WWWWLD
4 Gil Vicente 16 9 3 4 27 14 +13 30 WLDWLW
5 Sp Braga 15 8 4 3 31 15 +16 28 WWDLWD
6 Famalicao 16 8 4 4 26 12 +14 28 WWWWDD
7 Guimaraes 16 8 4 4 26 18 +8 28 WWDLWW
8 Moreirense 16 8 2 6 20 21 -1 26 LDLLWW
9 Alverca 16 7 4 5 17 22 -5 25 DDDLWW
10 Estoril 16 6 5 5 28 23 +5 23 DWDLLL
11 Arouca 16 6 4 6 24 29 -5 22 WWLWWD
12 Santa Clara 16 6 2 8 15 17 -2 20 LLWWLW
13 Nacional 16 5 2 9 21 23 -2 17 LLLWWL
14 Estrela 16 4 5 7 21 24 -3 17 WLDWLL
15 Casa Pia 15 2 8 5 17 24 -7 14 WWDDDL
16 Rio Ave 15 3 5 7 16 25 -9 14 LLDWLD
17 Tondela 16 1 7 8 11 21 -10 10 DDLDDL
18 AVS 16 1 6 9 12 26 -14 9 LWDLDD
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 16 14 1 1 32 9 +23 43 LWDWWW
2 Sp Lisbon 16 11 5 0 34 12 +22 38 DWDWWD
3 Benfica 16 11 5 0 30 11 +19 38 WWWDWD
4 Sp Braga 16 8 4 4 28 16 +12 28 WLWWWL
5 Famalicao 16 6 6 4 15 17 -2 24 LDWDDW
6 Rio Ave 16 5 5 6 17 27 -10 20 LLWWWL
7 Gil Vicente 15 4 7 4 19 18 +1 19 LWLDLD
8 Moreirense 16 4 4 8 17 26 -9 16 LWDLDL
9 Estoril 15 4 2 9 23 29 -6 14 WLLWLL
10 Nacional 16 3 5 8 14 20 -6 14 LLDLLW
11 Guimaraes 15 4 2 9 12 25 -13 14 LLLLDW
12 Arouca 16 4 2 10 17 33 -16 14 LLLWLL
13 Santa Clara 16 2 7 7 15 23 -8 13 DDWLDD
14 Alverca 16 3 4 9 17 28 -11 13 DDDWLL
15 Casa Pia 16 3 3 10 12 31 -19 12 DLDLLL
16 Tondela 15 3 3 9 12 31 -19 12 LDWLLD
17 Estrela 16 2 5 9 15 30 -15 11 LDLLLL
18 AVS 16 1 5 10 12 40 -28 8 LDDLDW

Casa Pia   Tondela

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Benfica 32 10 22 2.2 0.7 22 10 0 69 22 76 OUUOOO
2 3 Sp Lisbon 31 10 21 2.5 0.7 22 7 2 77 22 73 OOUOUO
3 4 Sp Braga 31 10 21 1.9 1.0 16 8 7 59 31 56 OUUOUO
4 11 Arouca 32 11 21 1.3 1.9 10 6 16 41 62 36 UOUUOO
5 10 Estoril 31 11 20 1.6 1.7 10 7 14 51 52 37 UOOOUU
6 12 Rio Ave 31 12 19 1.1 1.7 8 10 13 33 52 34 OOOUOU
7 18 AVS 32 13 19 0.8 2.1 2 11 19 24 66 17 UOUOUO
8 1 Porto 32 14 18 2.0 0.5 27 4 1 64 15 85 OOOUOU
9 8 Moreirense 32 15 17 1.2 1.5 12 6 14 37 47 42 UUUUOO
10 9 Alverca 32 15 17 1.1 1.6 10 8 14 34 50 38 OOOUOU
11 15 Estrela 32 15 17 1.1 1.7 6 10 16 36 54 28 OUUUOO
12 6 Gil Vicente 31 15 16 1.5 1.0 13 10 8 46 32 49 OUOOUO
13 17 Tondela 31 15 16 0.7 1.7 4 10 17 23 52 22 UOOUUO
14 16 Casa Pia 31 16 15 0.9 1.8 5 11 15 29 55 26 OUOUUO
15 7 Guimaraes 31 17 14 1.2 1.4 12 6 13 38 43 42 OOOUUU
16 14 Nacional 32 18 14 1.1 1.3 8 7 17 35 43 31 UUUUUO
17 5 Famalicao 32 19 13 1.3 0.9 14 10 8 41 29 52 UOUOUO
18 13 Santa Clara 32 20 12 0.9 1.2 8 9 15 30 40 33 UOUUOO
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 3 Sp Lisbon 15 3 12 2.9 0.7 11 2 2 43 10 35 OUOOOO
2 2 Benfica 16 5 11 2.4 0.7 11 5 0 39 11 38 OOOOUO
3 4 Sp Braga 15 4 11 2.1 1.0 8 4 3 31 15 28 OOOOUO
4 11 Arouca 16 5 11 1.5 1.8 6 4 6 24 29 22 OOOOUO
5 12 Rio Ave 15 5 10 1.1 1.7 3 5 7 16 25 14 OOUOOO
6 7 Guimaraes 16 7 9 1.6 1.1 8 4 4 26 18 28 UOUOOU
7 8 Moreirense 16 7 9 1.2 1.3 8 2 6 20 21 26 OUUUUO
8 10 Estoril 16 7 9 1.8 1.4 6 5 5 28 23 23 OOUOOU
9 14 Nacional 16 7 9 1.3 1.4 5 2 9 21 23 17 UOUUUO
10 15 Estrela 16 7 9 1.3 1.5 4 5 7 21 24 17 UUOOUO
11 1 Porto 16 8 8 2.0 0.4 13 3 0 32 6 42 UOOOUU
12 5 Famalicao 16 8 8 1.6 0.8 8 4 4 26 12 28 OUUUUO
13 6 Gil Vicente 16 8 8 1.7 0.9 9 3 4 27 14 30 OOOOUO
14 9 Alverca 16 8 8 1.1 1.4 7 4 5 17 22 25 UUUOOO
15 18 AVS 16 9 7 0.8 1.6 1 6 9 12 26 9 OOUUUU
16 13 Santa Clara 16 10 6 0.9 1.1 6 2 8 15 17 20 OOUUUO
17 17 Tondela 16 10 6 0.7 1.3 1 7 8 11 21 10 UOUUOU
18 16 Casa Pia 15 10 5 1.1 1.6 2 8 5 17 24 14 OOUUUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 18 AVS 16 4 12 0.8 2.5 1 5 10 12 40 8 OUUOOO
2 2 Benfica 16 5 11 1.9 0.7 11 5 0 30 11 38 OOOUOO
3 10 Estoril 15 4 11 1.5 1.9 4 2 9 23 29 14 OOOUOU
4 1 Porto 16 6 10 2.0 0.6 14 1 1 32 9 43 OUOOOO
5 4 Sp Braga 16 6 10 1.8 1.0 8 4 4 28 16 28 OOOUUO
6 11 Arouca 16 6 10 1.1 2.1 4 2 10 17 33 14 OOUUUO
7 16 Casa Pia 16 6 10 0.8 1.9 3 3 10 12 31 12 UUUOOO
8 17 Tondela 15 5 10 0.8 2.1 3 3 9 12 31 12 OOUOUO
9 3 Sp Lisbon 16 7 9 2.1 0.8 11 5 0 34 12 38 UOOOUU
10 9 Alverca 16 7 9 1.1 1.8 3 4 9 17 28 13 UUOOUU
11 12 Rio Ave 16 7 9 1.1 1.7 5 5 6 17 27 20 OUUOUU
12 6 Gil Vicente 15 7 8 1.3 1.2 4 7 4 19 18 19 OOOOUO
13 8 Moreirense 16 8 8 1.1 1.6 4 4 8 17 26 16 UOUOUO
14 15 Estrela 16 8 8 0.9 1.9 2 5 9 15 30 11 OUOUUO
15 13 Santa Clara 16 10 6 0.9 1.4 2 7 7 15 23 13 UOUOUO
16 5 Famalicao 16 11 5 0.9 1.1 6 6 4 15 17 24 UUOOOU
17 7 Guimaraes 15 10 5 0.8 1.7 4 2 9 12 25 14 OOUOUU
18 14 Nacional 16 11 5 0.9 1.2 3 5 8 14 20 14 OOUUUU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 2 Nov 2026, 20:47