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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Moreirense 1–0 Estoril

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 3.00 fair 2.49
Draw 3.40 fair 4.22
Away 2.25 fair 2.76
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.93 fair 2.53
Over 2.5 1.93 fair 1.65

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Moreirense Estoril
11 Shots 4
4 Shots on target 1
5 Corners 1
14 Fouls 12
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (267 league matches this season so far).
Result Moreirense to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.60
Expected goals 1.61 – 1.52
Home / Draw / Away
MoreirenseDrawEstoril
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.7% 2–1 8.6% 1–2 8.1%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Moreirense before this match, all matches
1.24points / match
1.10scored / match
1.41conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 29 played · 32:41
Estoril before this match, all matches
1.28points / match
1.76scored / match
1.72conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 29 played · 51:50
Moreirense all matches all matches Estoril

Per match

1.10 Goals scored 1.76
1.41 Goals conceded 1.72
2.52 Total goals 3.48
8.52 Shots 11.97
3.14 Shots on target 4.21
13.62 Shots faced 12.34
3.55 Corners 4.45
4.97 Corners against 4.83
14.10 Fouls 12.93
2.62 Yellow cards 2.52
0.41 1st-half goals scored 0.90
0.48 1st-half goals conceded 0.86

How often Full Time

34% Wins 34%
21% Draws 24%
45% Losses 41%
97% Over 0.5 goals 97%
76% Over 1.5 goals 79%
52% Over 2.5 goals 69%
17% Over 3.5 goals 59%
7% Over 4.5 goals 28%
3% Over 5.5 goals 14%
48% Both teams scored 59%
24% Clean sheets 17%
31% Failed to score 28%

How often Half Time

17% Wins 34%
59% Draws 31%
24% Losses 34%
62% Over 0.5 goals 90%
28% Over 1.5 goals 55%
0% Over 2.5 goals 21%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Moreirense all matches
Estoril all matches
Moreirense before this match, at home
1.43points / match
1.14scored / match
1.36conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 16:19
Estoril before this match, away
1.00points / match
1.64scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 23:28
Moreirense at home away Estoril

Per match

1.14 Goals scored 1.64
1.36 Goals conceded 2.00
2.50 Total goals 3.64
8.64 Shots 12.00
2.86 Shots on target 3.86
13.36 Shots faced 13.43
4.07 Corners 4.36
5.64 Corners against 4.36
13.64 Fouls 13.64
2.50 Yellow cards 2.36
0.29 1st-half goals scored 0.86
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.93

How often Full Time

43% Wins 29%
14% Draws 14%
43% Losses 57%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
71% Over 1.5 goals 86%
57% Over 2.5 goals 79%
21% Over 3.5 goals 64%
0% Over 4.5 goals 29%
0% Over 5.5 goals 7%
50% Both teams scored 43%
21% Clean sheets 21%
29% Failed to score 36%

How often Half Time

7% Wins 36%
64% Draws 21%
29% Losses 43%
57% Over 0.5 goals 93%
21% Over 1.5 goals 57%
0% Over 2.5 goals 21%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Moreirense at home
Estoril away

Last 10 matches before this match

Moreirense all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.04.26 Famalicao – Moreirense 1–1 (0–1) 1.424.207.00 1.95 1.85
04.04.26 Moreirense – Sp Braga 0–1 (0–1) 6.253.901.51 1.95 1.85
21.03.26 Moreirense – Arouca 0–1 (0–0) 2.353.203.00 2.10 1.70
15.03.26 Porto – Moreirense 3–0 (2–0) 1.156.5017.00 1.73 2.08
07.03.26 Moreirense – Nacional 1–1 (1–0) 2.303.253.00 2.15 1.67
01.03.26 Casa Pia – Moreirense 1–1 (1–0) 2.653.002.75 2.50 1.50
21.02.26 Moreirense – Sp Lisbon 0–3 (0–0) 11.005.001.27 1.67 2.15
16.02.26 Rio Ave – Moreirense 1–2 (1–1) 2.823.202.45 2.20 1.65
07.02.26 Moreirense – Gil Vicente 1–2 (0–1) 3.403.002.25 2.50 1.50
30.01.26 Guimaraes – Moreirense 1–0 (0–0) 1.793.304.75 2.25 1.62

Estoril all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.04.26 Estoril – Porto 1–3 (0–2) 6.504.501.42 1.67 2.15
06.04.26 Arouca – Estoril 3–2 (2–2) 2.453.402.65 1.75 2.05
22.03.26 Estoril – Rio Ave 1–2 (1–0) 1.713.754.33 1.67 2.15
15.03.26 Nacional – Estoril 0–1 (0–1) 2.403.502.70 1.67 2.15
07.03.26 Estoril – Casa Pia 0–0 (0–0) 1.663.804.50 1.73 2.08
27.02.26 Sp Lisbon – Estoril 3–0 (2–0) 1.157.5012.00 1.30 3.50
22.02.26 Estoril – Gil Vicente 3–1 (1–1) 2.703.252.50 1.95 1.85
15.02.26 AVS – Estoril 3–0 (0–0) 4.333.751.71 1.70 2.10
07.02.26 Estoril – Tondela 2–2 (2–2) 1.663.904.75 1.80 2.00
31.01.26 Santa Clara – Estoril 2–4 (0–2) 2.203.003.40 2.25 1.62

Moreirense at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.04.26 Moreirense – Sp Braga 0–1 (0–1) 6.253.901.51 1.95 1.85
21.03.26 Moreirense – Arouca 0–1 (0–0) 2.353.203.00 2.10 1.70
07.03.26 Moreirense – Nacional 1–1 (1–0) 2.303.253.00 2.15 1.67
21.02.26 Moreirense – Sp Lisbon 0–3 (0–0) 11.005.001.27 1.67 2.15
07.02.26 Moreirense – Gil Vicente 1–2 (0–1) 3.403.002.25 2.50 1.50
24.01.26 Moreirense – Santa Clara 1–0 (0–0) 2.653.002.75 2.70 1.44
11.01.26 Moreirense – Tondela 1–0 (0–0) 2.013.203.90 2.10 1.70
14.12.25 Moreirense – Benfica 0–4 (0–1) 9.004.331.35 1.85 2.00
29.11.25 Moreirense – Famalicao 2–2 (0–1) 3.403.252.10 2.10 1.70
27.10.25 Moreirense – Porto 1–2 (1–1) 9.505.501.27 1.83 2.03

Estoril away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.04.26 Arouca – Estoril 3–2 (2–2) 2.453.402.65 1.75 2.05
15.03.26 Nacional – Estoril 0–1 (0–1) 2.403.502.70 1.67 2.15
27.02.26 Sp Lisbon – Estoril 3–0 (2–0) 1.157.5012.00 1.30 3.50
15.02.26 AVS – Estoril 3–0 (0–0) 4.333.751.71 1.70 2.10
31.01.26 Santa Clara – Estoril 2–4 (0–2) 2.203.003.40 2.25 1.62
19.01.26 Estrela – Estoril 0–5 (0–1) 2.703.302.45 1.93 1.93
03.01.26 Benfica – Estoril 3–1 (2–1) 1.195.7513.00 1.50 2.50
14.12.25 Famalicao – Estoril 4–0 (2–0) 1.763.604.33 1.88 1.98
30.11.25 Porto – Estoril 1–0 (1–0) 1.225.5012.00 1.57 2.35
01.11.25 Rio Ave – Estoril 0–4 (0–2) 2.353.202.95 2.00 1.85

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Moreirense winsDrawsEstoril wins
7matches
3.29goals / match
71%over 2.5
71%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.12.25P1 Estoril – Moreirense 3–3 (1–1) 2.053.403.50 2.10 1.70
11.05.25P1 Moreirense – Estoril 2–2 (1–0) 2.353.402.90 2.08 1.73
28.12.24P1 Estoril – Moreirense 2–2 (2–1) 3.253.002.40 2.50 1.50
18.05.24P1 Moreirense – Estoril 2–1 (1–0) 2.303.303.10 1.98 1.88
13.01.24P1 Estoril – Moreirense 1–3 (0–2) 2.403.252.90 1.98 1.88
07.05.22P1 Estoril – Moreirense 1–0 (0–0) 2.553.302.75 2.05 1.75
28.12.21P1 Moreirense – Estoril 1–0 (1–0) 3.003.102.50 2.25 1.61

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 30 25 4 1 61 14 +47 79 DWWDWW
2 Benfica 30 21 9 0 63 19 +44 72 DWWDWW
3 Sp Lisbon 29 22 5 2 74 19 +55 71 WDWWWL
4 Sp Braga 29 15 8 6 57 29 +28 53 WDLWWD
5 Famalicao 30 13 9 8 38 27 +11 48 WWWDDD
6 Gil Vicente 30 12 10 8 44 31 +13 46 DDLWDL
7 Guimaraes 30 11 6 13 36 43 -7 39 LLLWDW
8 Estoril 29 10 7 12 51 50 +1 37 LDWLLL
9 Moreirense 29 10 6 13 32 41 -9 36 DDLLLD
10 Alverca 30 9 8 13 32 48 -16 35 DDLWWL
11 Arouca 30 10 5 15 38 58 -20 35 LLWWLW
12 Rio Ave 30 8 10 12 33 50 -17 34 WWWLWD
13 Santa Clara 30 7 8 15 26 37 -11 29 WWWLLD
14 Nacional 30 7 7 16 32 41 -9 28 DLLWLW
15 Estrela 30 6 10 14 33 49 -16 28 DLWLLL
16 Casa Pia 29 5 11 13 28 52 -24 26 DDLDLD
17 Tondela 29 4 9 16 21 48 -27 21 DLDLDL
18 AVS 30 1 10 19 21 64 -43 13 DLDLDD
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 15 12 3 0 31 6 +25 39 DWWWDW
2 Benfica 15 10 5 0 35 10 +25 35 WWWDWW
3 Sp Lisbon 14 11 1 2 41 8 +33 34 WWWWWL
4 Sp Braga 15 8 4 3 31 15 +16 28 WWDLWD
5 Famalicao 15 8 3 4 24 10 +14 27 WWWWWD
6 Gil Vicente 15 8 3 4 25 13 +12 27 WWLDWL
7 Guimaraes 15 7 4 4 24 18 +6 25 LWWDLW
8 Estoril 15 6 5 4 28 22 +6 23 WDWDLL
9 Alverca 15 6 4 5 15 21 -6 22 WDDDLW
10 Arouca 15 6 3 6 22 27 -5 21 LWWLWW
11 Moreirense 14 6 2 6 16 19 -3 20 WLLDLL
12 Nacional 15 5 2 8 20 21 -1 17 DLLLWW
13 Estrela 15 4 5 6 20 22 -2 17 LWLDWL
14 Santa Clara 15 5 2 8 13 16 -3 17 LLLWWL
15 Casa Pia 14 2 8 4 17 23 -6 14 DWWDDD
16 Rio Ave 15 3 5 7 16 25 -9 14 LLDWLD
17 Tondela 15 1 7 7 11 19 -8 10 DDDLDD
18 AVS 15 1 5 9 11 25 -14 8 LLWDLD
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 15 13 1 1 30 8 +22 40 WLWDWW
2 Sp Lisbon 15 11 4 0 33 11 +22 37 WDWDWW
3 Benfica 15 11 4 0 28 9 +19 37 DWWWDW
4 Sp Braga 14 7 4 3 26 14 +12 25 DWWLWW
5 Famalicao 15 5 6 4 14 17 -3 21 LLDWDD
6 Rio Ave 15 5 5 5 17 25 -8 20 LLLWWW
7 Gil Vicente 15 4 7 4 19 18 +1 19 LWLDLD
8 Moreirense 15 4 4 7 16 22 -6 16 LLWDLD
9 Estoril 14 4 2 8 23 28 -5 14 WWLLWL
10 Guimaraes 15 4 2 9 12 25 -13 14 LLLLDW
11 Arouca 15 4 2 9 16 31 -15 14 WLLLWL
12 Alverca 15 3 4 8 17 27 -10 13 LDDDWL
13 Santa Clara 15 2 6 7 13 21 -8 12 LDDWLD
14 Casa Pia 15 3 3 9 11 29 -18 12 LDLDLL
15 Nacional 15 2 5 8 12 20 -8 11 LLLDLL
16 Estrela 15 2 5 8 13 27 -14 11 DLDLLL
17 Tondela 14 3 2 9 10 29 -19 11 LLDWLL
18 AVS 15 0 5 10 10 39 -29 5 LLDDLD

Moreirense   Estoril

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Benfica 30 10 20 2.1 0.6 21 9 0 63 19 72 OOOUUO
2 3 Sp Lisbon 29 9 20 2.6 0.7 22 5 2 74 19 71 OOOOUO
3 4 Sp Braga 29 9 20 2.0 1.0 15 8 6 57 29 53 OOOUUO
4 8 Estoril 29 9 20 1.8 1.7 10 7 12 51 50 37 OUUOOO
5 11 Arouca 30 11 19 1.3 1.9 10 5 15 38 58 35 UOUOUU
6 12 Rio Ave 30 11 19 1.1 1.7 8 10 12 33 50 34 UOOOUO
7 18 AVS 30 12 18 0.7 2.1 1 10 19 21 64 13 UUUOUO
8 1 Porto 30 13 17 2.0 0.5 25 4 1 61 14 79 OOOOOU
9 10 Alverca 30 14 16 1.1 1.6 9 8 13 32 48 35 UOOOOU
10 6 Gil Vicente 30 15 15 1.5 1.0 12 10 8 44 31 46 OOUOOU
11 9 Moreirense 29 14 15 1.1 1.4 10 6 13 32 41 36 UUOUUU
12 15 Estrela 30 15 15 1.1 1.6 6 10 14 33 49 28 OOOUUU
13 17 Tondela 29 14 15 0.7 1.7 4 9 16 21 48 21 OUUOOU
14 7 Guimaraes 30 16 14 1.2 1.4 11 6 13 36 43 39 UOOOUU
15 16 Casa Pia 29 15 14 1.0 1.8 5 11 13 28 52 26 UUOUOU
16 14 Nacional 30 17 13 1.1 1.4 7 7 16 32 41 28 UUUUUU
17 5 Famalicao 30 18 12 1.3 0.9 13 9 8 38 27 48 UOUOUO
18 13 Santa Clara 30 20 10 0.9 1.2 7 8 15 26 37 29 UUUOUU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 3 Sp Lisbon 14 3 11 2.9 0.6 11 1 2 41 8 34 OOUOOO
2 4 Sp Braga 15 4 11 2.1 1.0 8 4 3 31 15 28 OOOOUO
3 2 Benfica 15 5 10 2.3 0.7 10 5 0 35 10 35 OOOOOU
4 11 Arouca 15 5 10 1.5 1.8 6 3 6 22 27 21 OOOOOU
5 12 Rio Ave 15 5 10 1.1 1.7 3 5 7 16 25 14 OOUOOO
6 7 Guimaraes 15 6 9 1.6 1.2 7 4 4 24 18 25 UUOUOO
7 8 Estoril 15 6 9 1.9 1.5 6 5 4 28 22 23 OOOUOO
8 1 Porto 15 7 8 2.1 0.4 12 3 0 31 6 39 UUOOOU
9 9 Moreirense 14 6 8 1.1 1.4 6 2 6 16 19 20 UOOUUU
10 14 Nacional 15 7 8 1.3 1.4 5 2 8 20 21 17 UUOUUU
11 15 Estrela 15 7 8 1.3 1.5 4 5 6 20 22 17 OUUOOU
12 5 Famalicao 15 8 7 1.6 0.7 8 3 4 24 10 27 OOUUUU
13 6 Gil Vicente 15 8 7 1.7 0.9 8 3 4 25 13 27 OOOOOU
14 10 Alverca 15 8 7 1.0 1.4 6 4 5 15 21 22 OUUUOO
15 18 AVS 15 8 7 0.7 1.7 1 5 9 11 25 8 UOOUUU
16 17 Tondela 15 9 6 0.7 1.3 1 7 7 11 19 10 UUOUUO
17 13 Santa Clara 15 10 5 0.9 1.1 5 2 8 13 16 17 UOOUUU
18 16 Casa Pia 14 9 5 1.2 1.6 2 8 4 17 23 14 OOOUUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 8 Estoril 14 3 11 1.6 2.0 4 2 8 23 28 14 OOOOUO
2 18 AVS 15 4 11 0.7 2.6 0 5 10 10 39 5 OOUUOO
3 2 Benfica 15 5 10 1.9 0.6 11 4 0 28 9 37 UOOOUO
4 1 Porto 15 6 9 2.0 0.5 13 1 1 30 8 40 UOUOOO
5 3 Sp Lisbon 15 6 9 2.2 0.7 11 4 0 33 11 37 OUOOOU
6 4 Sp Braga 14 5 9 1.9 1.0 7 4 3 26 14 25 OUOOOU
7 10 Alverca 15 6 9 1.1 1.8 3 4 8 17 27 13 OUUOOU
8 11 Arouca 15 6 9 1.1 2.1 4 2 9 16 31 14 OOOUUU
9 12 Rio Ave 15 6 9 1.1 1.7 5 5 5 17 25 20 OOUUOU
10 16 Casa Pia 15 6 9 0.7 1.9 3 3 9 11 29 12 OUUUOO
11 17 Tondela 14 5 9 0.7 2.1 3 2 9 10 29 11 UOOUOU
12 6 Gil Vicente 15 7 8 1.3 1.2 4 7 4 19 18 19 OOOOUO
13 9 Moreirense 15 8 7 1.1 1.5 4 4 7 16 22 16 OUOUOU
14 15 Estrela 15 8 7 0.9 1.8 2 5 8 13 27 11 UOUOUU
15 5 Famalicao 15 10 5 0.9 1.1 5 6 4 14 17 21 OUUOOO
16 7 Guimaraes 15 10 5 0.8 1.7 4 2 9 12 25 14 OOUOUU
17 13 Santa Clara 15 10 5 0.9 1.4 2 6 7 13 21 12 UUOUOU
18 14 Nacional 15 10 5 0.8 1.3 2 5 8 12 20 11 OOOUUU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 2 Nov 2026, 20:47