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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Estrela 1–2 Rio Ave

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2025/2026

Home 2.57 fair 2.43
Draw 3.20 fair 3.82
Away ✓ 2.70 fair 3.06
Under 2.5 1.67 fair 1.94
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.15 fair 2.06

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Estrela Rio Ave
16 Shots 8
2 Shots on target 2
4 Corners 5
16 Fouls 20
3 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (74 league matches this season so far).
Result Estrela to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.89
Expected goals 1.40 – 1.22
Home / Draw / Away
EstrelaDrawRio Ave
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.4% 1–0 10.2% 0–1 8.9%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Estrela before this match, all matches
0.88points / match
0.75scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 6:8
Rio Ave before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
1.38scored / match
1.63conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 11:13
Estrela all matches all matches Rio Ave

Per match

0.75 Goals scored 1.38
1.00 Goals conceded 1.63
1.75 Total goals 3.00
11.25 Shots 10.63
3.50 Shots on target 4.63
12.25 Shots faced 17.63
4.13 Corners 3.50
4.50 Corners against 7.88
13.50 Fouls 14.50
2.63 Yellow cards 2.88
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.63
0.75 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

13% Wins 13%
50% Draws 63%
38% Losses 25%
75% Over 0.5 goals 88%
63% Over 1.5 goals 88%
25% Over 2.5 goals 63%
13% Over 3.5 goals 38%
0% Over 4.5 goals 13%
0% Over 5.5 goals 13%
25% Both teams scored 63%
38% Clean sheets 25%
63% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

13% Wins 38%
38% Draws 38%
50% Losses 25%
63% Over 0.5 goals 63%
38% Over 1.5 goals 38%
25% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Estrela all matches
Rio Ave all matches
Estrela before this match, at home
1.00points / match
1.25scored / match
1.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 5:5
Rio Ave before this match, away
0.75points / match
1.25scored / match
1.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 5:7
Estrela at home away Rio Ave

Per match

1.25 Goals scored 1.25
1.25 Goals conceded 1.75
2.50 Total goals 3.00
13.75 Shots 10.00
3.75 Shots on target 4.00
11.25 Shots faced 19.00
5.00 Corners 3.25
3.50 Corners against 8.25
13.25 Fouls 15.25
3.00 Yellow cards 2.25
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.00
0.75 1st-half goals conceded 0.25

How often Full Time

25% Wins 0%
25% Draws 75%
50% Losses 25%
100% Over 0.5 goals 75%
75% Over 1.5 goals 75%
50% Over 2.5 goals 50%
25% Over 3.5 goals 50%
0% Over 4.5 goals 25%
0% Over 5.5 goals 25%
25% Both teams scored 75%
25% Clean sheets 25%
50% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 0%
25% Draws 75%
50% Losses 25%
75% Over 0.5 goals 25%
50% Over 1.5 goals 0%
50% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Estrela at home
Rio Ave away

Last 10 matches before this match

Estrela all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.10.25 Gil Vicente – Estrela 2–0 (2–0) 1.613.755.25 2.20 1.65
27.09.25 Estrela – AVS 3–0 (3–0) 2.053.103.80 2.40 1.53
21.09.25 Tondela – Estrela 0–0 (0–0) 2.252.853.60 2.50 1.50
14.09.25 Estrela – Guimaraes 0–2 (0–1) 3.303.302.15 2.25 1.62
31.08.25 Santa Clara – Estrela 0–0 (0–0) 1.813.404.33 2.40 1.53
25.08.25 Estrela – Alverca 2–2 (1–2) 1.903.404.10 2.25 1.62
16.08.25 Estrela – Benfica 0–1 (0–0) 13.006.501.20 1.57 2.35
11.08.25 Estoril – Estrela 1–1 (1–0) 1.853.504.20 2.05 1.75
17.05.25 Estoril – Estrela 4–0 (4–0) 2.503.302.75 2.03 1.83
11.05.25 Estrela – AVS 0–1 (0–0) 1.903.603.80 2.15 1.67

Rio Ave all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.10.25 Rio Ave – Tondela 3–0 (2–0) 2.253.403.00 1.98 1.88
28.09.25 Famalicao – Rio Ave 0–0 (0–0) 1.763.804.10 2.00 1.85
23.09.25 Benfica – Rio Ave 1–1 (0–0) 1.177.0011.00 1.40 2.88
19.09.25 Rio Ave – Porto 0–3 (0–2) 8.005.001.30 1.67 2.15
13.09.25 Moreirense – Rio Ave 3–1 (0–0) 2.503.003.00 2.25 1.62
31.08.25 Rio Ave – Sp Braga 2–2 (2–1) 4.753.601.68 1.85 2.00
23.08.25 Arouca – Rio Ave 3–3 (1–0) 2.003.253.90 2.05 1.80
17.08.25 Rio Ave – Nacional 1–1 (1–0) 2.253.203.20 2.05 1.75
16.05.25 Rio Ave – Gil Vicente 1–1 (1–1) 2.553.202.45 1.85 2.00
10.05.25 Nacional – Rio Ave 3–3 (0–3) 1.953.503.75 1.93 1.93

Estrela at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.09.25 Estrela – AVS 3–0 (3–0) 2.053.103.80 2.40 1.53
14.09.25 Estrela – Guimaraes 0–2 (0–1) 3.303.302.15 2.25 1.62
25.08.25 Estrela – Alverca 2–2 (1–2) 1.903.404.10 2.25 1.62
16.08.25 Estrela – Benfica 0–1 (0–0) 13.006.501.20 1.57 2.35
11.05.25 Estrela – AVS 0–1 (0–0) 1.903.603.80 2.15 1.67
26.04.25 Estrela – Porto 2–0 (1–0) 6.253.901.53 2.05 1.80
13.04.25 Estrela – Farense 0–1 (0–0) 2.703.002.75 2.50 1.50
29.03.25 Estrela – Sp Lisbon 0–3 (0–0) 9.005.001.33 1.73 2.08
07.03.25 Estrela – Gil Vicente 1–1 (0–0) 2.623.002.80 2.50 1.50
23.02.25 Estrela – Santa Clara 0–0 (0–0) 3.603.202.10 2.70 1.44

Rio Ave away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.09.25 Famalicao – Rio Ave 0–0 (0–0) 1.763.804.10 2.00 1.85
23.09.25 Benfica – Rio Ave 1–1 (0–0) 1.177.0011.00 1.40 2.88
13.09.25 Moreirense – Rio Ave 3–1 (0–0) 2.503.003.00 2.25 1.62
23.08.25 Arouca – Rio Ave 3–3 (1–0) 2.003.253.90 2.05 1.80
10.05.25 Nacional – Rio Ave 3–3 (0–3) 1.953.503.75 1.93 1.93
27.04.25 Guimaraes – Rio Ave 3–0 (3–0) 1.534.106.25 1.85 2.00
13.04.25 Moreirense – Rio Ave 0–2 (0–0) 1.953.254.10 2.20 1.65
29.03.25 Casa Pia – Rio Ave 2–1 (1–1) 2.003.303.75 2.08 1.73
10.03.25 Famalicao – Rio Ave 1–0 (1–0) 1.953.304.10 2.15 1.67
22.02.25 Estoril – Rio Ave 2–1 (0–0) 2.053.403.60 2.05 1.80

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Estrela winsDrawsRio Ave wins
4matches
2.25goals / match
25%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.05.25P1 Rio Ave – Estrela 2–0 (0–0) 2.353.303.00 2.08 1.73
23.12.24P1 Estrela – Rio Ave 1–0 (1–0) 2.353.303.00 2.10 1.70
14.04.24P1 Estrela – Rio Ave 2–2 (1–1) 2.503.252.90 2.35 1.57
02.12.23P1 Rio Ave – Estrela 1–1 (0–0) 2.103.503.00 2.05 1.80

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 8 7 1 0 19 1 +18 22 WWWWWD
2 Sp Lisbon 8 6 1 1 20 5 +15 19 WLWWWD
3 Gil Vicente 9 6 1 2 14 4 +10 19 WWWLWW
4 Benfica 8 5 3 0 13 4 +9 18 WDWDWD
5 Moreirense 8 5 0 3 12 11 +1 15 WLWLWL
6 Famalicao 8 3 4 1 8 4 +4 13 DWLDDD
7 Santa Clara 9 3 2 4 8 10 -2 11 WDWLLW
8 Guimaraes 8 3 2 3 9 12 -3 11 LDWDLW
9 Sp Braga 8 2 4 2 12 8 +4 10 DDLDLD
10 Nacional 8 3 1 4 9 12 -3 10 LWLLWW
11 Alverca 9 3 1 5 11 16 -5 10 LWLWWL
12 Arouca 8 2 3 3 10 19 -9 9 DDLWLD
13 Rio Ave 8 1 5 2 11 13 -2 8 DLLDDW
14 Casa Pia 8 2 2 4 8 13 -5 8 LLWDLD
15 Estrela 8 1 4 3 6 8 -2 7 DDLDWL
16 Estoril 8 1 3 4 10 13 -3 6 DLWLLD
17 Tondela 8 1 2 5 4 14 -10 5 LDLDWL
18 AVS 9 0 1 8 5 22 -17 1 LLLLLL
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Moreirense 4 4 0 0 9 3 +6 12 WWWW
2 Porto 4 3 1 0 8 0 +8 10 WWWD
3 Gil Vicente 4 3 0 1 6 2 +4 9 LWWW
4 Benfica 4 2 2 0 7 3 +4 8 WDDW
5 Guimaraes 4 2 2 0 7 5 +2 8 WDDW
6 Sp Lisbon 4 2 1 1 11 3 +8 7 WLWD
7 Santa Clara 5 2 1 2 5 4 +1 7 LDWLW
8 Alverca 5 2 0 3 4 9 -5 6 LLWWL
9 Famalicao 4 1 2 1 4 2 +2 5 WDLD
10 Rio Ave 4 1 2 1 6 6 0 5 DDLW
11 Arouca 5 1 2 2 7 11 -4 5 WDLLD
12 Sp Braga 4 1 1 2 5 4 +1 4 WDLL
13 Estrela 4 1 1 2 5 5 0 4 LDLW
14 Estoril 4 1 1 2 4 4 0 4 DLWL
15 Nacional 4 1 0 3 5 10 -5 3 LLLW
16 Tondela 3 0 2 1 2 3 -1 2 LDD
17 Casa Pia 4 0 2 2 3 7 -4 2 LLDD
18 AVS 4 0 0 4 1 9 -8 0 LLLL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 4 4 0 0 11 1 +10 12 WWWW
2 Sp Lisbon 4 4 0 0 9 2 +7 12 WWWW
3 Gil Vicente 5 3 1 1 8 2 +6 10 WDWLW
4 Benfica 4 3 1 0 6 1 +5 10 WWWD
5 Famalicao 4 2 2 0 4 2 +2 8 WWDD
6 Nacional 4 2 1 1 4 2 +2 7 DWLW
7 Sp Braga 4 1 3 0 7 4 +3 6 WDDD
8 Casa Pia 4 2 0 2 5 6 -1 6 WLWL
9 Alverca 4 1 1 2 7 7 0 4 LDLW
10 Santa Clara 4 1 1 2 3 6 -3 4 LWDL
11 Arouca 3 1 1 1 3 8 -5 4 LDW
12 Rio Ave 4 0 3 1 5 7 -2 3 DLDD
13 Estrela 4 0 3 1 1 3 -2 3 DDDL
14 Moreirense 4 1 0 3 3 8 -5 3 WLLL
15 Guimaraes 4 1 0 3 2 7 -5 3 LLWL
16 Tondela 5 1 0 4 2 11 -9 3 LLLWL
17 Estoril 4 0 2 2 6 9 -3 2 LDLD
18 AVS 5 0 1 4 4 13 -9 1 LDLLL

Estrela   Rio Ave

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 11 Alverca 9 2 7 1.2 1.8 3 1 5 11 16 10 OUOUOO
2 18 AVS 9 3 6 0.6 2.4 0 1 8 5 22 1 UOOOOU
3 1 Porto 8 3 5 2.4 0.1 7 1 0 19 1 22 OOUOOU
4 2 Sp Lisbon 8 3 5 2.5 0.6 6 1 1 20 5 19 OOOOUU
5 5 Moreirense 8 3 5 1.5 1.4 5 0 3 12 11 15 UUOOOO
6 12 Arouca 8 3 5 1.2 2.4 2 3 3 10 19 9 OUUOOU
7 13 Rio Ave 8 3 5 1.4 1.6 1 5 2 11 13 8 OOOUUO
8 17 Tondela 8 3 5 0.5 1.8 1 2 5 4 14 5 OOUUOO
9 4 Benfica 8 4 4 1.6 0.5 5 3 0 13 4 18 OUOUOU
10 7 Santa Clara 9 5 4 0.9 1.1 3 2 4 8 10 11 UUOOOU
11 9 Sp Braga 8 4 4 1.5 1.0 2 4 2 12 8 10 OOUUUU
12 16 Estoril 8 4 4 1.2 1.6 1 3 4 10 13 6 OUOUUO
13 8 Guimaraes 8 5 3 1.1 1.5 3 2 3 9 12 11 UUUUUO
14 10 Nacional 8 5 3 1.1 1.5 3 1 4 9 12 10 OUUOUO
15 14 Casa Pia 8 5 3 1.0 1.6 2 2 4 8 13 8 OUUUOO
16 3 Gil Vicente 9 7 2 1.6 0.4 6 1 2 14 4 19 UUUOUO
17 6 Famalicao 8 6 2 1.0 0.5 3 4 1 8 4 13 UUOUUU
18 15 Estrela 8 6 2 0.8 1.0 1 4 3 6 8 7 OUUUOU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Sp Lisbon 4 1 3 2.8 0.8 2 1 1 11 3 7 OOOU
2 5 Moreirense 4 1 3 2.2 0.8 4 0 0 9 3 12 OUOO
3 10 Nacional 4 1 3 1.2 2.5 1 0 3 5 10 3 UOOO
4 11 Alverca 5 2 3 0.8 1.8 2 0 3 4 9 6 OOUUO
5 12 Arouca 5 2 3 1.4 2.2 1 2 2 7 11 5 OOUOU
6 13 Rio Ave 4 1 3 1.5 1.5 1 2 1 6 6 5 UOOO
7 1 Porto 4 2 2 2.0 0.0 3 1 0 8 0 10 OOUU
8 4 Benfica 4 2 2 1.8 0.8 2 2 0 7 3 8 OUUO
9 6 Famalicao 4 2 2 1.0 0.5 1 2 1 4 2 5 OUOU
10 7 Santa Clara 5 3 2 1.0 0.8 2 1 2 5 4 7 UUOOU
11 8 Guimaraes 4 2 2 1.8 1.2 2 2 0 7 5 8 OUUO
12 9 Sp Braga 4 2 2 1.2 1.0 1 1 2 5 4 4 OOUU
13 15 Estrela 4 2 2 1.2 1.2 1 1 2 5 5 4 UOUO
14 18 AVS 4 2 2 0.2 2.2 0 0 4 1 9 0 UUOO
15 14 Casa Pia 4 3 1 0.8 1.8 0 2 2 3 7 2 UUUO
16 16 Estoril 4 3 1 1.0 1.0 1 1 2 4 4 4 UUOU
17 17 Tondela 3 2 1 0.7 1.0 0 2 1 2 3 2 UOU
18 3 Gil Vicente 4 4 0 1.5 0.5 3 0 1 6 2 9 UUUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 11 Alverca 4 0 4 1.8 1.8 1 1 2 7 7 4 OOOO
2 17 Tondela 5 1 4 0.4 2.2 1 0 4 2 11 3 OOUOO
3 18 AVS 5 1 4 0.8 2.6 0 1 4 4 13 1 OOOOU
4 1 Porto 4 1 3 2.8 0.2 4 0 0 11 1 12 UOOO
5 16 Estoril 4 1 3 1.5 2.2 0 2 2 6 9 2 OOUO
6 2 Sp Lisbon 4 2 2 2.2 0.5 4 0 0 9 2 12 UOOU
7 3 Gil Vicente 5 3 2 1.6 0.4 3 1 1 8 2 10 UUUOO
8 4 Benfica 4 2 2 1.5 0.2 3 1 0 6 1 10 UOOU
9 5 Moreirense 4 2 2 0.8 2.0 1 0 3 3 8 3 UUOO
10 7 Santa Clara 4 2 2 0.8 1.5 1 1 2 3 6 4 OUUO
11 9 Sp Braga 4 2 2 1.8 1.0 1 3 0 7 4 6 OOUU
12 12 Arouca 3 1 2 1.0 2.7 1 1 1 3 8 4 OUO
13 13 Rio Ave 4 2 2 1.2 1.8 0 3 1 5 7 3 OOUU
14 14 Casa Pia 4 2 2 1.2 1.5 2 0 2 5 6 6 UOUO
15 8 Guimaraes 4 3 1 0.5 1.8 1 0 3 2 7 3 OUUU
16 6 Famalicao 4 4 0 1.0 0.5 2 2 0 4 2 8 UUUU
17 10 Nacional 4 4 0 1.0 0.5 2 1 1 4 2 7 UUUU
18 15 Estrela 4 4 0 0.2 0.8 0 3 1 1 3 3 UUUU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 2 Nov 2026, 20:47