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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Moreirense 2–2 Estrela

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2023/2024

Home 2.05 fair 2.05
Draw ✓ 3.40 fair 3.75
Away 3.75 fair 4.07
Under 2.5 1.53 fair 1.74
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.40 fair 2.35

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Moreirense Estrela
7 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 4
2 Corners 6
14 Fouls 14
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (248 league matches this season so far).
Result Moreirense to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.87
Expected goals 1.44 – 0.94
Home / Draw / Away
MoreirenseDrawEstrela
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 13.3% 1–1 12.5% 2–0 9.6%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Moreirense before this match, all matches
1.56points / match
1.04scored / match
1.04conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 27 played · 28:28
Estrela before this match, all matches
0.96points / match
1.00scored / match
1.52conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 27 played · 27:41
Moreirense all matches all matches Estrela

Per match

1.04 Goals scored 1.00
1.04 Goals conceded 1.52
2.07 Total goals 2.52
10.59 Shots 9.33
3.26 Shots on target 3.11
10.70 Shots faced 13.48
4.56 Corners 4.89
4.93 Corners against 6.00
14.41 Fouls 12.44
2.33 Yellow cards 2.22
0.56 1st-half goals scored 0.37
0.41 1st-half goals conceded 0.48

How often Full Time

44% Wins 22%
22% Draws 30%
33% Losses 48%
85% Over 0.5 goals 93%
44% Over 1.5 goals 70%
33% Over 2.5 goals 44%
22% Over 3.5 goals 26%
15% Over 4.5 goals 15%
4% Over 5.5 goals 4%
30% Both teams scored 52%
48% Clean sheets 19%
37% Failed to score 37%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 15%
48% Draws 52%
19% Losses 33%
56% Over 0.5 goals 56%
26% Over 1.5 goals 19%
11% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Moreirense all matches
Estrela all matches
Moreirense before this match, at home
1.62points / match
1.15scored / match
1.08conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 15:14
Estrela before this match, away
0.69points / match
0.62scored / match
1.46conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 8:19
Moreirense at home away Estrela

Per match

1.15 Goals scored 0.62
1.08 Goals conceded 1.46
2.23 Total goals 2.08
11.46 Shots 8.85
3.38 Shots on target 2.69
10.46 Shots faced 14.46
5.38 Corners 4.62
5.00 Corners against 6.31
13.00 Fouls 11.54
1.85 Yellow cards 2.38
0.62 1st-half goals scored 0.15
0.62 1st-half goals conceded 0.38

How often Full Time

46% Wins 8%
23% Draws 46%
31% Losses 46%
85% Over 0.5 goals 85%
46% Over 1.5 goals 69%
31% Over 2.5 goals 31%
23% Over 3.5 goals 15%
23% Over 4.5 goals 8%
8% Over 5.5 goals 0%
38% Both teams scored 38%
54% Clean sheets 23%
23% Failed to score 54%

How often Half Time

31% Wins 8%
54% Draws 62%
15% Losses 31%
54% Over 0.5 goals 46%
38% Over 1.5 goals 8%
23% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Moreirense at home
Estrela away

Last 10 matches before this match

Moreirense all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.03.24 Guimaraes – Moreirense 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.404.20 2.20 1.65
17.03.24 Moreirense – Arouca 1–0 (1–0) 2.503.203.00 2.15 1.67
09.03.24 Boavista – Moreirense 1–0 (0–0) 2.633.102.88 2.30 1.60
02.03.24 Moreirense – Rio Ave 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.203.50 2.35 1.57
24.02.24 Farense – Moreirense 0–1 (0–1) 2.453.302.90 2.25 1.62
19.02.24 Moreirense – Sp Lisbon 0–2 (0–2) 7.505.001.36 1.75 2.05
10.02.24 Moreirense – Chaves 1–0 (0–0) 1.833.504.50 2.05 1.75
04.02.24 Sp Braga – Moreirense 1–0 (1–0) 1.504.206.50 1.67 2.15
28.01.24 Moreirense – Famalicao 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.303.40 2.20 1.65
20.01.24 Porto – Moreirense 5–0 (1–0) 1.306.009.00 1.73 2.08

Estrela all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.03.24 Estrela – Sp Lisbon 1–2 (1–2) 13.007.001.20 1.53 2.40
16.03.24 Famalicao – Estrela 0–0 (0–0) 2.003.404.00 2.25 1.62
08.03.24 Estrela – Casa Pia 3–1 (0–0) 2.203.003.60 2.40 1.53
02.03.24 Sp Braga – Estrela 3–0 (0–0) 1.365.008.50 1.57 2.35
24.02.24 Estrela – Chaves 1–1 (1–1) 2.053.303.75 2.15 1.67
17.02.24 Porto – Estrela 2–0 (1–0) 1.226.5013.00 1.53 2.40
09.02.24 Estrela – Portimonense 3–0 (3–0) 1.853.604.20 2.00 1.85
04.02.24 Estoril – Estrela 1–0 (0–0) 1.953.603.60 1.98 1.88
29.01.24 Estrela – Benfica 1–4 (1–2) 9.505.501.29 1.60 2.30
21.01.24 Guimaraes – Estrela 3–0 (1–0) 1.603.806.00 1.98 1.88

Moreirense at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.03.24 Moreirense – Arouca 1–0 (1–0) 2.503.203.00 2.15 1.67
02.03.24 Moreirense – Rio Ave 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.203.50 2.35 1.57
19.02.24 Moreirense – Sp Lisbon 0–2 (0–2) 7.505.001.36 1.75 2.05
10.02.24 Moreirense – Chaves 1–0 (0–0) 1.833.504.50 2.05 1.75
28.01.24 Moreirense – Famalicao 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.303.40 2.20 1.65
08.01.24 Moreirense – Casa Pia 1–4 (1–3) 1.913.504.00 2.25 1.62
17.12.23 Moreirense – Portimonense 5–2 (2–1) 1.703.605.00 1.93 1.93
03.12.23 Moreirense – Benfica 0–0 (0–0) 5.504.331.45 1.67 2.15
05.11.23 Moreirense – Guimaraes 1–0 (0–0) 2.553.302.63 2.08 1.73
06.10.23 Moreirense – Boavista 1–1 (1–1) 1.833.403.60 1.90 1.95

Estrela away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.03.24 Famalicao – Estrela 0–0 (0–0) 2.003.404.00 2.25 1.62
02.03.24 Sp Braga – Estrela 3–0 (0–0) 1.365.008.50 1.57 2.35
17.02.24 Porto – Estrela 2–0 (1–0) 1.226.5013.00 1.53 2.40
04.02.24 Estoril – Estrela 1–0 (0–0) 1.953.603.60 1.98 1.88
21.01.24 Guimaraes – Estrela 3–0 (1–0) 1.603.806.00 1.98 1.88
14.01.24 Gil Vicente – Estrela 1–1 (1–0) 2.103.303.50 1.93 1.93
15.12.23 Farense – Estrela 0–0 (0–0) 2.153.403.30 1.93 1.93
02.12.23 Rio Ave – Estrela 1–1 (0–0) 2.103.503.00 2.05 1.80
05.11.23 Sp Lisbon – Estrela 3–2 (1–0) 1.256.0010.00 1.44 2.70
08.10.23 Casa Pia – Estrela 0–1 (0–0) 1.953.203.60 2.15 1.67

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Moreirense winsDrawsEstrela wins
1matches
1.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.11.23P1 Estrela – Moreirense 0–1 (0–0) 2.603.302.70 2.05 1.80

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Lisbon 27 23 2 2 79 27 +52 71 DWWWWW
2 Benfica 28 21 4 3 62 23 +39 67 WLWWWL
3 Porto 27 18 4 5 50 19 +31 58 WDWWWL
4 Sp Braga 28 17 5 6 60 40 +20 56 WWDWWL
5 Guimaraes 27 16 5 6 42 27 +15 53 DLWWWW
6 Moreirense 27 12 6 9 28 28 0 42 LWDLWL
7 Arouca 28 12 4 12 48 38 +10 40 WWLLWW
8 Famalicao 27 8 10 9 29 33 -4 34 LDLDWW
9 Farense 28 8 6 14 37 40 -3 30 LLLDLW
10 Casa Pia 27 8 6 13 27 39 -12 30 WWDLLW
11 Rio Ave 28 5 14 9 29 35 -6 29 DDDDDW
12 Boavista 28 7 8 13 33 53 -20 29 LDWLDL
13 Estoril 27 8 4 15 43 49 -6 28 LDLLWW
14 Gil Vicente 28 7 7 14 36 44 -8 28 DDDLLL
15 Estrela 27 6 8 13 27 41 -14 26 LDLWDL
16 Portimonense 28 7 5 16 30 60 -30 26 LDLLLW
17 Vizela 28 4 9 15 28 59 -31 21 DDWLLL
18 Chaves 28 4 7 17 27 60 -33 19 DLDLLL
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Lisbon 14 14 0 0 48 11 +37 42 WWWWWW
2 Benfica 14 12 2 0 37 6 +31 38 WWWWWW
3 Porto 13 10 2 1 28 6 +22 32 WWDWWW
4 Guimaraes 14 10 1 3 27 14 +13 31 WWDLWW
5 Sp Braga 14 8 3 3 27 15 +12 27 DWWWWL
6 Estoril 14 7 1 6 24 16 +8 22 LWLLWW
7 Gil Vicente 14 5 6 3 24 16 +8 21 DWLDDL
8 Rio Ave 14 5 6 3 21 17 +4 21 WDWDDW
9 Moreirense 13 6 3 4 15 14 +1 21 LWWLDW
10 Arouca 14 6 2 6 23 22 +1 20 LWWWLW
11 Famalicao 13 5 5 3 16 16 0 20 DLWDDW
12 Farense 14 5 4 5 19 15 +4 19 WLDLDW
13 Estrela 14 5 2 7 19 22 -3 17 DLWDWL
14 Boavista 14 4 5 5 17 26 -9 17 DLWLWD
15 Portimonense 14 3 4 7 14 25 -11 13 LLDDLL
16 Chaves 14 3 3 8 19 31 -12 12 DDWLLL
17 Casa Pia 13 2 4 7 6 14 -8 10 LLDWDL
18 Vizela 14 2 4 8 15 30 -15 10 LLLDWL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Lisbon 13 9 2 2 31 16 +15 29 WWWDWW
2 Sp Braga 14 9 2 3 33 25 +8 29 LWLWDW
3 Benfica 14 9 2 3 25 17 +8 29 WWDLWL
4 Porto 14 8 2 4 22 13 +9 26 DWLDWL
5 Guimaraes 13 6 4 3 15 13 +2 22 DLWDWW
6 Moreirense 14 6 3 5 13 14 -1 21 WLLWLL
7 Arouca 14 6 2 6 25 16 +9 20 WWLWLW
8 Casa Pia 14 6 2 6 21 25 -4 20 WLLWLW
9 Famalicao 14 3 5 6 13 17 -4 14 WLDLLW
10 Portimonense 14 4 1 9 16 35 -19 13 LWLLLW
11 Boavista 14 3 3 8 16 27 -11 12 LDLDLL
12 Farense 14 3 2 9 18 25 -7 11 WDLLLL
13 Vizela 14 2 5 7 13 29 -16 11 LWLDLL
14 Estrela 13 1 6 6 8 19 -11 9 DLLLLD
15 Rio Ave 14 0 8 6 8 18 -10 8 DDLDDD
16 Gil Vicente 14 2 1 11 12 28 -16 7 WLWDLL
17 Chaves 14 1 4 9 8 29 -21 7 DDLDDL
18 Estoril 13 1 3 9 19 33 -14 6 DLDLDL

Moreirense   Estrela

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Sp Lisbon 27 6 21 2.9 1.0 23 2 2 79 27 71 OOOOOO
2 4 Sp Braga 28 8 20 2.1 1.4 17 5 6 60 40 56 OOUOOO
3 7 Arouca 28 10 18 1.7 1.4 12 4 12 48 38 40 OOOUOO
4 13 Estoril 27 9 18 1.6 1.8 8 4 15 43 49 28 OOOOUU
5 2 Benfica 28 11 17 2.2 0.8 21 4 3 62 23 67 OOOUUO
6 18 Chaves 28 11 17 1.0 2.1 4 7 17 27 60 19 UOUOUO
7 16 Portimonense 28 12 16 1.1 2.1 7 5 16 30 60 26 OUOUOO
8 17 Vizela 28 12 16 1.0 2.1 4 9 15 28 59 21 OUOOOO
9 9 Farense 28 13 15 1.3 1.4 8 6 14 37 40 30 UOOUOU
10 12 Boavista 28 13 15 1.2 1.9 7 8 13 33 53 29 OUUOUU
11 14 Gil Vicente 28 13 15 1.3 1.6 7 7 14 36 44 28 UUUOOO
12 5 Guimaraes 27 13 14 1.6 1.0 16 5 6 42 27 53 UUOUOU
13 3 Porto 27 14 13 1.9 0.7 18 4 5 50 19 58 UUOOOU
14 8 Famalicao 27 15 12 1.1 1.2 8 10 9 29 33 34 OUUUOO
15 15 Estrela 27 15 12 1.0 1.5 6 8 13 27 41 26 UUOOUO
16 10 Casa Pia 27 16 11 1.0 1.4 8 6 13 27 39 30 UUUOUO
17 6 Moreirense 27 18 9 1.0 1.0 12 6 9 28 28 42 UUUUUU
18 11 Rio Ave 28 19 9 1.0 1.2 5 14 9 29 35 29 OUUUUO
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Sp Lisbon 14 3 11 3.4 0.8 14 0 0 48 11 42 OOOOOO
2 18 Chaves 14 3 11 1.4 2.2 3 3 8 19 31 12 UUOOOO
3 4 Sp Braga 14 5 9 1.9 1.1 8 3 3 27 15 27 UUOOOO
4 5 Guimaraes 14 5 9 1.9 1.0 10 1 3 27 14 31 OOOUUU
5 7 Arouca 14 5 9 1.6 1.6 6 2 6 23 22 20 OOOOOO
6 13 Estoril 14 5 9 1.7 1.1 7 1 6 24 16 22 OUOOUU
7 17 Vizela 14 5 9 1.1 2.1 2 4 8 15 30 10 OOUOOO
8 2 Benfica 14 6 8 2.6 0.4 12 2 0 37 6 38 UOOOOU
9 12 Boavista 14 6 8 1.2 1.9 4 5 5 17 26 17 UOOOUU
10 15 Estrela 14 6 8 1.4 1.6 5 2 7 19 22 17 UOOUOO
11 8 Famalicao 13 6 7 1.2 1.2 5 5 3 16 16 20 OOOUUO
12 16 Portimonense 14 7 7 1.0 1.8 3 4 7 14 25 13 UOUUOO
13 3 Porto 13 7 6 2.2 0.5 10 2 1 28 6 32 UOUUOO
14 9 Farense 14 8 6 1.4 1.1 5 4 5 19 15 19 UOUUUU
15 11 Rio Ave 14 9 5 1.5 1.2 5 6 3 21 17 21 UUUOUO
16 14 Gil Vicente 14 9 5 1.7 1.1 5 6 3 24 16 21 UUUUUO
17 6 Moreirense 13 9 4 1.2 1.1 6 3 4 15 14 21 OUUUUU
18 10 Casa Pia 13 10 3 0.5 1.1 2 4 7 6 14 10 UOUUUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 4 Sp Braga 14 3 11 2.4 1.8 9 2 3 33 25 29 UOOOUO
2 1 Sp Lisbon 13 3 10 2.4 1.2 9 2 2 31 16 29 OOUOOO
3 14 Gil Vicente 14 4 10 0.9 2.0 2 1 11 12 28 7 UOOUOO
4 2 Benfica 14 5 9 1.8 1.2 9 2 3 25 17 29 OOOOUO
5 7 Arouca 14 5 9 1.8 1.1 6 2 6 25 16 20 OOUOUO
6 9 Farense 14 5 9 1.3 1.8 3 2 9 18 25 11 OUOOOO
7 13 Estoril 13 4 9 1.5 2.5 1 3 9 19 33 6 UOUOOO
8 16 Portimonense 14 5 9 1.1 2.5 4 1 9 16 35 13 UOOOUO
9 10 Casa Pia 14 6 8 1.5 1.8 6 2 6 21 25 20 OOUUOO
10 3 Porto 14 7 7 1.6 0.9 8 2 4 22 13 26 UOOUOU
11 12 Boavista 14 7 7 1.1 1.9 3 3 8 16 27 12 UUOUOU
12 17 Vizela 14 7 7 0.9 2.1 2 5 7 13 29 11 OUOUOO
13 18 Chaves 14 8 6 0.6 2.1 1 4 9 8 29 7 OUUUUU
14 5 Guimaraes 13 8 5 1.2 1.0 6 4 3 15 13 22 UUUUOO
15 6 Moreirense 14 9 5 0.9 1.0 6 3 5 13 14 21 OOUUUU
16 8 Famalicao 14 9 5 0.9 1.2 3 5 6 13 17 14 UUUOUO
17 11 Rio Ave 14 10 4 0.6 1.3 0 8 6 8 18 8 UUOUUU
18 15 Estrela 13 9 4 0.6 1.5 1 6 6 8 19 9 UOUUOU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 4 Nov 2026, 06:11