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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Estrela 0–1 Moreirense

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2023/2024

Home 2.60 fair 2.56
Draw 3.30 fair 3.86
Away ✓ 2.70 fair 2.85
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.80 fair 2.01
Over 2.5 2.05 fair 1.99

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Estrela Moreirense
8 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 2
2 Corners 5
22 Fouls 17
3 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (92 league matches this season so far).
Result Estrela to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.84
Expected goals 1.38 – 1.30
Home / Draw / Away
EstrelaDrawMoreirense
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.3% 1–0 9.5% 0–1 8.9%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Estrela before this match, all matches
1.10points / match
1.10scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 11:15
Moreirense before this match, all matches
1.70points / match
1.30scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 13:10
Estrela all matches all matches Moreirense

Per match

1.10 Goals scored 1.30
1.50 Goals conceded 1.00
2.60 Total goals 2.30
10.10 Shots 10.80
3.20 Shots on target 3.30
14.70 Shots faced 11.80
5.50 Corners 4.90
6.20 Corners against 5.60
11.40 Fouls 15.40
2.60 Yellow cards 2.50
0.20 1st-half goals scored 0.80
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.20

How often Full Time

30% Wins 50%
20% Draws 20%
50% Losses 30%
100% Over 0.5 goals 90%
60% Over 1.5 goals 60%
40% Over 2.5 goals 50%
30% Over 3.5 goals 20%
20% Over 4.5 goals 10%
10% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 40%
20% Clean sheets 50%
30% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

10% Wins 50%
50% Draws 50%
40% Losses 0%
60% Over 0.5 goals 60%
10% Over 1.5 goals 30%
0% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Estrela all matches
Moreirense all matches
Estrela before this match, at home
1.20points / match
1.00scored / match
1.40conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 5:7
Moreirense before this match, away
2.00points / match
1.40scored / match
0.80conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 7:4
Estrela at home away Moreirense

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 1.40
1.40 Goals conceded 0.80
2.40 Total goals 2.20
11.60 Shots 10.20
3.40 Shots on target 3.40
11.60 Shots faced 12.00
6.40 Corners 3.80
6.40 Corners against 5.00
12.00 Fouls 17.40
2.20 Yellow cards 3.40
0.00 1st-half goals scored 0.80
0.60 1st-half goals conceded 0.00

How often Full Time

40% Wins 60%
0% Draws 20%
60% Losses 20%
100% Over 0.5 goals 80%
40% Over 1.5 goals 60%
40% Over 2.5 goals 60%
20% Over 3.5 goals 20%
20% Over 4.5 goals 0%
20% Over 5.5 goals 0%
40% Both teams scored 20%
20% Clean sheets 60%
40% Failed to score 40%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 60%
40% Draws 40%
60% Losses 0%
60% Over 0.5 goals 60%
0% Over 1.5 goals 20%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Estrela at home
Moreirense away

Last 10 matches before this match

Estrela all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.11.23 Sp Lisbon – Estrela 3–2 (1–0) 1.256.0010.00 1.44 2.70
29.10.23 Estrela – Famalicao 1–0 (0–0) 2.453.252.80 2.20 1.65
08.10.23 Casa Pia – Estrela 0–1 (0–0) 1.953.203.60 2.15 1.67
28.09.23 Estrela – Sp Braga 2–4 (0–1) 4.503.801.70 1.70 2.10
24.09.23 Chaves – Estrela 2–2 (0–1) 2.703.252.63 1.90 1.95
15.09.23 Estrela – Porto 0–1 (0–1) 8.505.001.33 1.65 2.20
02.09.23 Portimonense – Estrela 1–1 (1–1) 2.633.202.75 2.08 1.73
25.08.23 Estrela – Estoril 2–1 (0–0) 2.253.203.20 2.35 1.57
19.08.23 Benfica – Estrela 2–0 (0–0) 1.089.5023.00 1.36 3.10
13.08.23 Estrela – Guimaraes 0–1 (0–1) 2.453.202.70 2.30 1.60

Moreirense all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.11.23 Moreirense – Guimaraes 1–0 (0–0) 2.553.302.63 2.08 1.73
27.10.23 Arouca – Moreirense 0–1 (0–1) 2.503.202.88 2.10 1.70
06.10.23 Moreirense – Boavista 1–1 (1–1) 1.833.403.60 1.90 1.95
01.10.23 Rio Ave – Moreirense 0–4 (0–2) 2.303.203.10 2.08 1.73
23.09.23 Moreirense – Farense 1–0 (1–0) 2.153.303.30 1.98 1.88
17.09.23 Sp Lisbon – Moreirense 3–0 (0–0) 1.226.0013.00 1.57 2.35
09.09.23 Moreirense – Sp Braga 2–3 (2–1) 4.203.751.80 1.70 2.10
03.09.23 Chaves – Moreirense 1–2 (0–1) 2.403.252.88 2.10 1.70
21.08.23 Famalicao – Moreirense 0–0 (0–0) 1.953.404.00 2.10 1.70
14.08.23 Moreirense – Porto 1–2 (0–0) 7.004.751.36 1.67 2.15

Estrela at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.10.23 Estrela – Famalicao 1–0 (0–0) 2.453.252.80 2.20 1.65
28.09.23 Estrela – Sp Braga 2–4 (0–1) 4.503.801.70 1.70 2.10
15.09.23 Estrela – Porto 0–1 (0–1) 8.505.001.33 1.65 2.20
25.08.23 Estrela – Estoril 2–1 (0–0) 2.253.203.20 2.35 1.57
13.08.23 Estrela – Guimaraes 0–1 (0–1) 2.453.202.70 2.30 1.60

Moreirense away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.10.23 Arouca – Moreirense 0–1 (0–1) 2.503.202.88 2.10 1.70
01.10.23 Rio Ave – Moreirense 0–4 (0–2) 2.303.203.10 2.08 1.73
17.09.23 Sp Lisbon – Moreirense 3–0 (0–0) 1.226.0013.00 1.57 2.35
03.09.23 Chaves – Moreirense 1–2 (0–1) 2.403.252.88 2.10 1.70
21.08.23 Famalicao – Moreirense 0–0 (0–0) 1.953.404.00 2.10 1.70
07.05.22 Estoril – Moreirense 1–0 (0–0) 2.553.302.75 2.05 1.75
23.04.22 Portimonense – Moreirense 1–0 (1–0) 2.403.203.00 2.15 1.66
08.04.22 Gil Vicente – Moreirense 1–2 (0–0) 1.663.604.50 2.00 1.80
20.03.22 Pacos Ferreira – Moreirense 2–1 (1–0) 2.203.303.20 2.30 1.60
26.02.22 Arouca – Moreirense 1–1 (0–1) 2.253.103.40 2.15 1.66

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Lisbon 10 9 1 0 22 9 +13 28 WWWWWW
2 Benfica 10 8 1 1 21 8 +13 25 WWWWDW
3 Porto 10 7 1 2 13 7 +6 22 WWLWWL
4 Sp Braga 10 6 2 2 29 18 +11 20 LWWWDW
5 Guimaraes 10 6 1 3 17 11 +6 19 LDWWWL
6 Moreirense 10 5 2 3 13 10 +3 17 LWWDWW
7 Boavista 10 4 3 3 18 17 +1 15 WLDDLL
8 Famalicao 10 4 3 3 11 10 +1 15 DWDLLW
9 Portimonense 11 4 2 5 13 25 -12 14 LWLWLW
10 Farense 10 4 1 5 17 14 +3 13 WLLDWW
11 Estrela 10 3 2 5 11 15 -4 11 LDLWWL
12 Gil Vicente 10 3 1 6 22 21 +1 10 WLWLDL
13 Estoril 11 3 1 7 19 20 -1 10 DLLLWW
14 Casa Pia 11 2 4 5 8 13 -5 10 DLLDLL
15 Vizela 10 2 3 5 11 16 -5 9 LDLDLW
16 Rio Ave 10 2 2 6 11 18 -7 8 DLLLLW
17 Chaves 11 2 1 8 13 30 -17 7 DWWLLL
18 Arouca 10 1 3 6 9 16 -7 6 LLLLLL
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Lisbon 6 6 0 0 14 5 +9 18 WWWWWW
2 Guimaraes 5 4 0 1 13 5 +8 12 WWLWW
3 Gil Vicente 5 3 1 1 17 9 +8 10 WLWWD
4 Sp Braga 5 3 1 1 14 6 +8 10 LDWWW
5 Benfica 4 3 1 0 8 1 +7 10 WWWD
6 Farense 6 3 1 2 12 7 +5 10 LWWLDW
7 Famalicao 5 3 1 1 6 4 +2 10 DWWLW
8 Porto 5 3 1 1 6 4 +2 10 WDWWL
9 Boavista 5 2 2 1 10 8 +2 8 WDWDL
10 Estoril 5 2 1 2 9 5 +4 7 WLDLW
11 Moreirense 5 2 1 2 6 6 0 7 LLWDW
12 Rio Ave 6 2 1 3 9 11 -2 7 WLDLLW
13 Portimonense 5 2 1 2 6 9 -3 7 LDLWW
14 Estrela 5 2 0 3 5 7 -2 6 LWLLW
15 Chaves 5 1 1 3 9 12 -3 4 LLDWL
16 Vizela 5 1 1 3 6 9 -3 4 DWLLL
17 Arouca 5 1 1 3 5 8 -3 4 WDLLL
18 Casa Pia 5 0 2 3 2 5 -3 2 LDDLL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Benfica 6 5 0 1 13 7 +6 15 LWWWWW
2 Porto 5 4 0 1 7 3 +4 12 WWWLW
3 Sp Lisbon 4 3 1 0 8 4 +4 10 WDWW
4 Sp Braga 5 3 1 1 15 12 +3 10 WWLWD
5 Moreirense 5 3 1 1 7 4 +3 10 DWLWW
6 Casa Pia 6 2 2 2 6 8 -2 8 WDWLDL
7 Boavista 5 2 1 2 8 9 -1 7 WWLDL
8 Guimaraes 5 2 1 2 4 6 -2 7 WLDWL
9 Portimonense 6 2 1 3 7 16 -9 7 LDWWLL
10 Famalicao 5 1 2 2 5 6 -1 5 WLDDL
11 Estrela 5 1 2 2 6 8 -2 5 LDDWL
12 Vizela 5 1 2 2 5 7 -2 5 LLDDW
13 Farense 4 1 0 3 5 7 -2 3 LLLW
14 Estoril 6 1 0 5 10 15 -5 3 LLLLLW
15 Chaves 6 1 0 5 4 18 -14 3 LLLWLL
16 Arouca 5 0 2 3 4 8 -4 2 DDLLL
17 Rio Ave 4 0 1 3 2 7 -5 1 LDLL
18 Gil Vicente 5 0 0 5 5 12 -7 0 LLLLL

Estrela   Moreirense

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 4 Sp Braga 10 1 9 2.9 1.8 6 2 2 29 18 20 OOOOOO
2 12 Gil Vicente 10 2 8 2.2 2.1 3 1 6 22 21 10 OOUOOO
3 17 Chaves 11 3 8 1.2 2.7 2 1 8 13 30 7 OUOOUO
4 9 Portimonense 11 4 7 1.2 2.3 4 2 5 13 25 14 OOUUOO
5 13 Estoril 11 4 7 1.7 1.8 3 1 7 19 20 10 OOUUUO
6 1 Sp Lisbon 10 4 6 2.2 0.9 9 1 0 22 9 28 OUOOUO
7 5 Guimaraes 10 4 6 1.7 1.1 6 1 3 17 11 19 OUOOOU
8 7 Boavista 10 4 6 1.8 1.7 4 3 3 18 17 15 OOOUUU
9 10 Farense 10 4 6 1.7 1.4 4 1 5 17 14 13 OUOUOU
10 2 Benfica 10 5 5 2.1 0.8 8 1 1 21 8 25 OOUUUU
11 6 Moreirense 10 5 5 1.3 1.0 5 2 3 13 10 17 OUOUUU
12 15 Vizela 10 5 5 1.1 1.6 2 3 5 11 16 9 OOOUUU
13 3 Porto 10 6 4 1.3 0.7 7 1 2 13 7 22 UOUUUU
14 8 Famalicao 10 6 4 1.1 1.0 4 3 3 11 10 15 UUOOUO
15 11 Estrela 10 6 4 1.1 1.5 3 2 5 11 15 11 UOOUUO
16 16 Rio Ave 10 6 4 1.1 1.8 2 2 6 11 18 8 UUOOOU
17 14 Casa Pia 11 8 3 0.7 1.2 2 4 5 8 13 10 UUUUUO
18 18 Arouca 10 7 3 0.9 1.6 1 3 6 9 16 6 UUUOUU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Sp Lisbon 6 2 4 2.3 0.8 6 0 0 14 5 18 OUOUOO
2 4 Sp Braga 5 1 4 2.8 1.2 3 1 1 14 6 10 OUOOO
3 5 Guimaraes 5 1 4 2.6 1.0 4 0 1 13 5 12 OUOOO
4 10 Farense 6 2 4 2.0 1.2 3 1 2 12 7 10 OOOOUU
5 12 Gil Vicente 5 1 4 3.4 1.8 3 1 1 17 9 10 OOOUO
6 17 Chaves 5 1 4 1.8 2.4 1 1 3 9 12 4 OOOOU
7 7 Boavista 5 2 3 2.0 1.6 2 2 1 10 8 8 OUOOU
8 9 Portimonense 5 2 3 1.2 1.8 2 1 2 6 9 7 OUOUO
9 13 Estoril 5 2 3 1.8 1.0 2 1 2 9 5 7 UOOUO
10 15 Vizela 5 2 3 1.2 1.8 1 1 3 6 9 4 OUOOU
11 16 Rio Ave 6 3 3 1.5 1.8 2 1 3 9 11 7 UOUOOU
12 3 Porto 5 3 2 1.2 0.8 3 1 1 6 4 10 OUOUU
13 6 Moreirense 5 3 2 1.2 1.2 2 1 2 6 6 7 OOUUU
14 8 Famalicao 5 3 2 1.2 0.8 3 1 1 6 4 10 UUUOO
15 11 Estrela 5 3 2 1.0 1.4 2 0 3 5 7 6 UOUOU
16 2 Benfica 4 3 1 2.0 0.2 3 1 0 8 1 10 UOUU
17 14 Casa Pia 5 4 1 0.4 1.0 0 2 3 2 5 2 OUUUU
18 18 Arouca 5 4 1 1.0 1.6 1 1 3 5 8 4 OUUUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 4 Sp Braga 5 0 5 3.0 2.4 3 1 1 15 12 10 OOOOO
2 2 Benfica 6 2 4 2.2 1.2 5 0 1 13 7 15 OOOOUU
3 9 Portimonense 6 2 4 1.2 2.7 2 1 3 7 16 7 OUOOUO
4 12 Gil Vicente 5 1 4 1.0 2.4 0 0 5 5 12 0 OUOOO
5 13 Estoril 6 2 4 1.7 2.5 1 0 5 10 15 3 OOOOUU
6 17 Chaves 6 2 4 0.7 3.0 1 0 5 4 18 3 UOOUOO
7 6 Moreirense 5 2 3 1.4 0.8 3 1 1 7 4 10 UOOOU
8 7 Boavista 5 2 3 1.6 1.8 2 1 2 8 9 7 OOOUU
9 1 Sp Lisbon 4 2 2 2.0 1.0 3 1 0 8 4 10 OUOU
10 3 Porto 5 3 2 1.4 0.6 4 0 1 7 3 12 OOUUU
11 5 Guimaraes 5 3 2 0.8 1.2 2 1 2 4 6 7 UOUOU
12 8 Famalicao 5 3 2 1.0 1.2 1 2 2 5 6 5 OUUOU
13 10 Farense 4 2 2 1.2 1.8 1 0 3 5 7 3 OUUO
14 11 Estrela 5 3 2 1.2 1.6 1 2 2 6 8 5 UUOUO
15 14 Casa Pia 6 4 2 1.0 1.3 2 2 2 6 8 8 OUUUUO
16 15 Vizela 5 3 2 1.0 1.4 1 2 2 5 7 5 OUOUU
17 18 Arouca 5 3 2 0.8 1.6 0 2 3 4 8 2 OUUOU
18 16 Rio Ave 4 3 1 0.5 1.8 0 1 3 2 7 1 UUUO

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 4 Nov 2026, 21:10