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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Estrela 3–1 Casa Pia

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 2.20 fair 2.38
Draw 3.00 fair 3.92
Away 3.60 fair 3.09
Under 2.5 1.53 fair 2.05
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.40 fair 1.95

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Estrela Casa Pia
14 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 3
8 Corners 4
16 Fouls 9
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (216 league matches this season so far).
Result Estrela to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.82
Expected goals 1.47 – 1.25
Home / Draw / Away
EstrelaDrawCasa Pia
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.1% 1–0 9.6% 2–1 8.9%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Estrela before this match, all matches
0.92points / match
0.96scored / match
1.58conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 24 played · 23:38
Casa Pia before this match, all matches
1.13points / match
0.92scored / match
1.46conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 24 played · 22:35
Estrela all matches all matches Casa Pia

Per match

0.96 Goals scored 0.92
1.58 Goals conceded 1.46
2.54 Total goals 2.38
9.29 Shots 9.54
3.04 Shots on target 3.21
13.54 Shots faced 13.04
4.75 Corners 4.58
6.13 Corners against 5.17
11.71 Fouls 14.21
2.21 Yellow cards 2.00
0.38 1st-half goals scored 0.42
0.46 1st-half goals conceded 0.63

How often Full Time

21% Wins 29%
29% Draws 25%
50% Losses 46%
96% Over 0.5 goals 88%
71% Over 1.5 goals 63%
42% Over 2.5 goals 38%
25% Over 3.5 goals 29%
17% Over 4.5 goals 8%
4% Over 5.5 goals 4%
50% Both teams scored 38%
17% Clean sheets 33%
38% Failed to score 42%

How often Half Time

17% Wins 25%
50% Draws 46%
33% Losses 29%
58% Over 0.5 goals 54%
17% Over 1.5 goals 25%
8% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Estrela all matches
Casa Pia all matches
Estrela before this match, at home
1.17points / match
1.25scored / match
1.58conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 15:19
Casa Pia before this match, away
1.42points / match
1.33scored / match
1.83conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 16:22
Estrela at home away Casa Pia

Per match

1.25 Goals scored 1.33
1.58 Goals conceded 1.83
2.83 Total goals 3.17
9.75 Shots 8.75
3.33 Shots on target 3.75
12.42 Shots faced 14.83
5.08 Corners 3.50
5.75 Corners against 5.92
12.50 Fouls 14.92
2.17 Yellow cards 2.25
0.58 1st-half goals scored 0.75
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.92

How often Full Time

33% Wins 42%
17% Draws 17%
50% Losses 42%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
67% Over 1.5 goals 83%
50% Over 2.5 goals 50%
33% Over 3.5 goals 42%
25% Over 4.5 goals 17%
8% Over 5.5 goals 8%
58% Both teams scored 42%
17% Clean sheets 25%
25% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 42%
42% Draws 25%
33% Losses 33%
67% Over 0.5 goals 75%
25% Over 1.5 goals 42%
17% Over 2.5 goals 25%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Estrela at home
Casa Pia away

Last 10 matches before this match

Estrela all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.03.24 Sp Braga – Estrela 3–0 (0–0) 1.365.008.50 1.57 2.35
24.02.24 Estrela – Chaves 1–1 (1–1) 2.053.303.75 2.15 1.67
17.02.24 Porto – Estrela 2–0 (1–0) 1.226.5013.00 1.53 2.40
09.02.24 Estrela – Portimonense 3–0 (3–0) 1.853.604.20 2.00 1.85
04.02.24 Estoril – Estrela 1–0 (0–0) 1.953.603.60 1.98 1.88
29.01.24 Estrela – Benfica 1–4 (1–2) 9.505.501.29 1.60 2.30
21.01.24 Guimaraes – Estrela 3–0 (1–0) 1.603.806.00 1.98 1.88
14.01.24 Gil Vicente – Estrela 1–1 (1–0) 2.103.303.50 1.93 1.93
06.01.24 Estrela – Vizela 1–1 (1–0) 2.503.302.70 2.10 1.70
28.12.23 Estrela – Arouca 1–4 (1–0) 2.553.302.70 2.08 1.73

Casa Pia all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.03.24 Casa Pia – Gil Vicente 0–0 (0–0) 2.503.103.10 2.35 1.57
24.02.24 Guimaraes – Casa Pia 0–2 (0–2) 1.603.806.00 2.15 1.67
18.02.24 Casa Pia – Arouca 1–0 (0–0) 3.403.002.30 2.20 1.65
11.02.24 Rio Ave – Casa Pia 1–0 (0–0) 2.003.304.00 2.35 1.57
05.02.24 Casa Pia – Boavista 0–0 (0–0) 2.303.253.10 2.10 1.70
29.01.24 Sp Lisbon – Casa Pia 8–0 (5–0) 1.207.0012.00 1.57 2.35
20.01.24 Casa Pia – Farense 1–3 (0–2) 2.253.253.30 2.08 1.73
13.01.24 Casa Pia – Famalicao 0–2 (0–1) 2.453.003.00 2.50 1.50
08.01.24 Moreirense – Casa Pia 1–4 (1–3) 1.913.504.00 2.25 1.62
30.12.23 Casa Pia – Sp Braga 1–3 (0–0) 5.254.001.62 1.80 2.00

Estrela at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.02.24 Estrela – Chaves 1–1 (1–1) 2.053.303.75 2.15 1.67
09.02.24 Estrela – Portimonense 3–0 (3–0) 1.853.604.20 2.00 1.85
29.01.24 Estrela – Benfica 1–4 (1–2) 9.505.501.29 1.60 2.30
06.01.24 Estrela – Vizela 1–1 (1–0) 2.503.302.70 2.10 1.70
28.12.23 Estrela – Arouca 1–4 (1–0) 2.553.302.70 2.08 1.73
10.12.23 Estrela – Boavista 3–1 (0–0) 2.303.403.00 1.98 1.88
11.11.23 Estrela – Moreirense 0–1 (0–0) 2.603.302.70 2.05 1.80
29.10.23 Estrela – Famalicao 1–0 (0–0) 2.453.252.80 2.20 1.65
28.09.23 Estrela – Sp Braga 2–4 (0–1) 4.503.801.70 1.70 2.10
15.09.23 Estrela – Porto 0–1 (0–1) 8.505.001.33 1.65 2.20

Casa Pia away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.02.24 Guimaraes – Casa Pia 0–2 (0–2) 1.603.806.00 2.15 1.67
11.02.24 Rio Ave – Casa Pia 1–0 (0–0) 2.003.304.00 2.35 1.57
29.01.24 Sp Lisbon – Casa Pia 8–0 (5–0) 1.207.0012.00 1.57 2.35
08.01.24 Moreirense – Casa Pia 1–4 (1–3) 1.913.504.00 2.25 1.62
17.12.23 Chaves – Casa Pia 1–3 (1–2) 2.703.102.63 2.20 1.65
09.12.23 Porto – Casa Pia 3–1 (1–0) 1.256.0010.00 1.73 2.08
10.11.23 Estoril – Casa Pia 4–0 (2–0) 2.453.252.88 2.10 1.70
28.10.23 Benfica – Casa Pia 1–1 (1–0) 1.206.5012.00 1.60 2.30
02.10.23 Gil Vicente – Casa Pia 2–0 (0–0) 2.253.203.20 2.05 1.80
17.09.23 Arouca – Casa Pia 0–1 (0–0) 2.303.253.10 2.15 1.67

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Estrela winsDrawsCasa Pia wins
1matches
1.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.10.23P1 Casa Pia – Estrela 0–1 (0–0) 1.953.203.60 2.15 1.67

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Lisbon 23 19 2 2 66 24 +42 59 WWWWDW
2 Benfica 24 18 4 2 56 20 +36 58 WWDWWL
3 Porto 25 17 4 4 46 17 +29 55 DLWDWW
4 Sp Braga 24 15 4 5 53 33 +20 49 DWLWWW
5 Guimaraes 24 13 5 6 38 26 +12 44 LWDDLW
6 Moreirense 24 11 6 7 27 26 +1 39 WLWLWD
7 Arouca 24 10 4 10 43 33 +10 34 WWWLWW
8 Gil Vicente 24 7 6 11 34 37 -3 27 WLLWDD
9 Famalicao 23 6 9 8 24 29 -5 27 LLDWLD
10 Casa Pia 24 7 6 11 22 35 -13 27 LDLWWD
11 Farense 24 7 5 12 32 35 -3 26 LDDLLL
12 Boavista 24 6 7 11 31 45 -14 25 LDWLLD
13 Rio Ave 24 4 11 9 25 34 -9 23 DDWLDD
14 Portimonense 25 6 5 14 24 52 -28 23 LLDLDL
15 Estoril 24 6 4 14 40 46 -6 22 DWLLDL
16 Estrela 24 5 7 12 23 38 -15 22 LLWLDL
17 Vizela 24 3 9 12 23 47 -24 18 LLWLDD
18 Chaves 24 4 6 14 24 54 -30 18 DDLWDL
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Lisbon 12 12 0 0 40 9 +31 36 WWWWWW
2 Benfica 12 10 2 0 33 5 +28 32 WWWWWW
3 Porto 12 9 2 1 24 5 +19 29 WWWDWW
4 Guimaraes 12 8 1 3 25 14 +11 25 WWWWDL
5 Sp Braga 12 7 3 2 25 11 +14 24 LDDWWW
6 Gil Vicente 12 5 5 2 23 14 +9 20 DWDWLD
7 Moreirense 12 5 3 4 14 14 0 18 WLWWLD
8 Arouca 12 5 2 5 21 18 +3 17 DWLWWW
9 Rio Ave 12 4 5 3 18 17 +1 17 DDWDWD
10 Estoril 12 5 1 6 22 16 +6 16 WLLWLL
11 Famalicao 11 4 4 3 13 14 -1 16 LDDLWD
12 Farense 12 4 3 5 16 14 +2 15 LDWLDL
13 Estrela 12 4 2 6 15 19 -4 14 WLDLWD
14 Portimonense 13 3 4 6 11 20 -9 13 WLLDDL
15 Boavista 12 3 4 5 16 26 -10 13 LDDLWL
16 Chaves 12 3 3 6 16 26 -10 12 LLDDWL
17 Casa Pia 12 2 4 6 6 13 -7 10 LLLDWD
18 Vizela 12 1 4 7 13 25 -12 7 LDLLLD
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 13 8 2 3 22 12 +10 26 LDWLDW
2 Benfica 12 8 2 2 23 15 +8 26 DWWWDL
3 Sp Braga 12 8 1 3 28 22 +6 25 WWLWLW
4 Sp Lisbon 11 7 2 2 26 15 +11 23 LWWWWD
5 Moreirense 12 6 3 3 13 12 +1 21 DDWLLW
6 Guimaraes 12 5 4 3 13 12 +1 19 DDLWDW
7 Arouca 12 5 2 5 22 15 +7 17 WLWWLW
8 Casa Pia 12 5 2 5 16 22 -6 17 LWWLLW
9 Boavista 12 3 3 6 15 19 -4 12 LWLDLD
10 Famalicao 12 2 5 5 11 15 -4 11 DLWLDL
11 Farense 12 3 2 7 16 21 -5 11 LLWDLL
12 Vizela 12 2 5 5 10 22 -12 11 DDLWLD
13 Portimonense 12 3 1 8 13 32 -19 10 LLLWLL
14 Estrela 12 1 5 6 8 19 -11 8 DDLLLL
15 Gil Vicente 12 2 1 9 11 23 -12 7 LLWLWD
16 Rio Ave 12 0 6 6 7 17 -10 6 LLDDLD
17 Estoril 12 1 3 8 18 30 -12 6 LDLDLD
18 Chaves 12 1 3 8 8 28 -20 6 LLDDLD

Estrela   Casa Pia

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Sp Lisbon 23 6 17 2.9 1.0 19 2 2 66 24 59 OOOUOO
2 4 Sp Braga 24 7 17 2.2 1.4 15 4 5 53 33 49 UUOOOO
3 15 Estoril 24 7 17 1.7 1.9 6 4 14 40 46 22 UUOOOO
4 2 Benfica 24 9 15 2.3 0.8 18 4 2 56 20 58 OOOOOO
5 7 Arouca 24 9 15 1.8 1.4 10 4 10 43 33 34 OOOUOO
6 18 Chaves 24 9 15 1.0 2.2 4 6 14 24 54 18 UUUOUO
7 12 Boavista 24 10 14 1.3 1.9 6 7 11 31 45 25 OUOOOU
8 14 Portimonense 25 11 14 1.0 2.1 6 5 14 24 52 23 OOUOUO
9 5 Guimaraes 24 11 13 1.6 1.1 13 5 6 38 26 44 UUOUUO
10 11 Farense 24 11 13 1.3 1.5 7 5 12 32 35 26 OUUOUO
11 3 Porto 25 13 12 1.8 0.7 17 4 4 46 17 55 UOUUOO
12 8 Gil Vicente 24 12 12 1.4 1.5 7 6 11 34 37 27 UOUOUU
13 17 Vizela 24 12 12 1.0 2.0 3 9 12 23 47 18 OUUOOU
14 9 Famalicao 23 13 10 1.0 1.3 6 9 8 24 29 27 OUUOOU
15 16 Estrela 24 14 10 1.0 1.6 5 7 12 23 38 22 OUOUUO
16 6 Moreirense 24 15 9 1.1 1.1 11 6 7 27 26 39 UUUUUU
17 10 Casa Pia 24 15 9 0.9 1.5 7 6 11 22 35 27 OUUUUU
18 13 Rio Ave 24 16 8 1.0 1.4 4 11 9 25 34 23 UUUOOU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Sp Lisbon 12 3 9 3.3 0.8 12 0 0 40 9 36 OUOOOO
2 5 Guimaraes 12 3 9 2.1 1.2 8 1 3 25 14 25 OUOOOU
3 15 Estoril 12 3 9 1.8 1.3 5 1 6 22 16 16 OOOUOO
4 18 Chaves 12 3 9 1.3 2.2 3 3 6 16 26 12 OOUUOO
5 12 Boavista 12 4 8 1.3 2.2 3 4 5 16 26 13 OUUOOO
6 2 Benfica 12 5 7 2.8 0.4 10 2 0 33 5 32 OOUOOO
7 4 Sp Braga 12 5 7 2.1 0.9 7 3 2 25 11 24 UUUUOO
8 7 Arouca 12 5 7 1.8 1.5 5 2 5 21 18 17 OOOOOO
9 17 Vizela 12 5 7 1.1 2.1 1 4 7 13 25 7 OUOOUO
10 9 Famalicao 11 5 6 1.2 1.3 4 4 3 13 14 16 OUOOOU
11 11 Farense 12 6 6 1.3 1.2 4 3 5 16 14 15 OUUOUU
12 14 Portimonense 13 7 6 0.8 1.5 3 4 6 11 20 13 UUOUUO
13 16 Estrela 12 6 6 1.2 1.6 4 2 6 15 19 14 OOUOOU
14 3 Porto 12 7 5 2.0 0.4 9 2 1 24 5 29 UUOUUO
15 6 Moreirense 12 8 4 1.2 1.2 5 3 4 14 14 18 OOUUUU
16 8 Gil Vicente 12 8 4 1.9 1.2 5 5 2 23 14 20 UUUUUU
17 13 Rio Ave 12 8 4 1.5 1.4 4 5 3 18 17 17 UUUUUO
18 10 Casa Pia 12 9 3 0.5 1.1 2 4 6 6 13 10 OUOUUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 4 Sp Braga 12 2 10 2.3 1.8 8 1 3 28 22 25 OOUOOO
2 1 Sp Lisbon 11 3 8 2.4 1.4 7 2 2 26 15 23 OOOOUO
3 2 Benfica 12 4 8 1.9 1.2 8 2 2 23 15 26 UUOOOO
4 7 Arouca 12 4 8 1.8 1.2 5 2 5 22 15 17 OOOOUO
5 8 Gil Vicente 12 4 8 0.9 1.9 2 1 9 11 23 7 OUUOOU
6 14 Portimonense 12 4 8 1.1 2.7 3 1 8 13 32 10 UOUOOO
7 15 Estoril 12 4 8 1.5 2.5 1 3 8 18 30 6 OUOUOO
8 3 Porto 13 6 7 1.7 0.9 8 2 3 22 12 26 UUOOUO
9 11 Farense 12 5 7 1.3 1.8 3 2 7 16 21 11 OUOUOO
10 10 Casa Pia 12 6 6 1.3 1.8 5 2 5 16 22 17 OOOOUU
11 12 Boavista 12 6 6 1.2 1.6 3 3 6 15 19 12 UOUUOU
12 18 Chaves 12 6 6 0.7 2.3 1 3 8 8 28 6 OUOUUU
13 6 Moreirense 12 7 5 1.1 1.0 6 3 3 13 12 21 UUOOUU
14 17 Vizela 12 7 5 0.8 1.8 2 5 5 10 22 11 UUOUOU
15 5 Guimaraes 12 8 4 1.1 1.0 5 4 3 13 12 19 UUUUUO
16 9 Famalicao 12 8 4 0.9 1.2 2 5 5 11 15 11 UOUUUO
17 13 Rio Ave 12 8 4 0.6 1.4 0 6 6 7 17 6 UOUUOU
18 16 Estrela 12 8 4 0.7 1.6 1 5 6 8 19 8 UUOUUO

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 2 Nov 2026, 20:47