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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Sp Lisbon 3–2 Estrela

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 1.25 fair 1.83
Draw 6.00 fair 4.31
Away 10.00 fair 4.52
Under 2.5 2.70 fair 2.18
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.44 fair 1.85

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Sp Lisbon Estrela
23 Shots 6
8 Shots on target 4
6 Corners 1
7 Fouls 5
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (88 league matches this season so far).
Result Sp Lisbon to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.85
Expected goals 1.79 – 1.05
Home / Draw / Away
Sp LisbonDrawEstrela
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11% 1–0 10.4% 2–1 9.8%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Sp Lisbon before this match, all matches
2.78points / match
2.11scored / match
0.78conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 19:7
Estrela before this match, all matches
1.22points / match
1.00scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 9:12
Sp Lisbon all matches all matches Estrela

Per match

2.11 Goals scored 1.00
0.78 Goals conceded 1.33
2.89 Total goals 2.33
14.11 Shots 10.56
6.11 Shots on target 3.11
8.56 Shots faced 13.78
6.22 Corners 6.00
2.67 Corners against 6.22
12.11 Fouls 12.11
3.22 Yellow cards 2.78
1.11 1st-half goals scored 0.22
0.11 1st-half goals conceded 0.44

How often Full Time

89% Wins 33%
11% Draws 22%
0% Losses 44%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
89% Over 1.5 goals 56%
56% Over 2.5 goals 33%
22% Over 3.5 goals 22%
22% Over 4.5 goals 11%
0% Over 5.5 goals 11%
56% Both teams scored 44%
44% Clean sheets 22%
0% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

78% Wins 11%
22% Draws 56%
0% Losses 33%
78% Over 0.5 goals 56%
33% Over 1.5 goals 11%
11% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Sp Lisbon all matches
Estrela all matches
Sp Lisbon before this match, at home
3.00points / match
2.20scored / match
0.60conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 11:3
Estrela before this match, away
1.25points / match
1.00scored / match
1.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 4:5
Sp Lisbon at home away Estrela

Per match

2.20 Goals scored 1.00
0.60 Goals conceded 1.25
2.80 Total goals 2.25
13.80 Shots 9.25
6.40 Shots on target 2.75
8.40 Shots faced 16.50
6.60 Corners 5.50
2.00 Corners against 6.00
12.80 Fouls 12.25
3.00 Yellow cards 3.50
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.25

How often Full Time

100% Wins 25%
0% Draws 50%
0% Losses 25%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
80% Over 1.5 goals 75%
60% Over 2.5 goals 25%
20% Over 3.5 goals 25%
20% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
40% Both teams scored 50%
60% Clean sheets 25%
0% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

60% Wins 25%
40% Draws 75%
0% Losses 0%
60% Over 0.5 goals 50%
40% Over 1.5 goals 25%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Sp Lisbon at home
Estrela away

Last 10 matches before this match

Sp Lisbon all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.10.23 Boavista – Sp Lisbon 0–2 (0–1) 6.004.501.45 1.60 2.30
08.10.23 Sp Lisbon – Arouca 2–1 (1–0) 1.225.0011.00 1.60 2.30
30.09.23 Farense – Sp Lisbon 2–3 (1–2) 6.504.501.45 1.60 2.30
25.09.23 Sp Lisbon – Rio Ave 2–0 (2–0) 1.206.0015.00 1.57 2.35
17.09.23 Sp Lisbon – Moreirense 3–0 (0–0) 1.226.0013.00 1.57 2.35
03.09.23 Sp Braga – Sp Lisbon 1–1 (0–1) 2.903.802.20 1.75 2.05
27.08.23 Sp Lisbon – Famalicao 1–0 (0–0) 1.256.509.00 1.53 2.40
18.08.23 Casa Pia – Sp Lisbon 1–2 (0–1) 7.504.331.44 1.73 2.08
12.08.23 Sp Lisbon – Vizela 3–2 (2–0) 1.146.5017.00 1.57 2.35
26.05.23 Vizela – Sp Lisbon 1–2 (1–1) 6.504.751.45 1.53 2.40

Estrela all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.10.23 Estrela – Famalicao 1–0 (0–0) 2.453.252.80 2.20 1.65
08.10.23 Casa Pia – Estrela 0–1 (0–0) 1.953.203.60 2.15 1.67
28.09.23 Estrela – Sp Braga 2–4 (0–1) 4.503.801.70 1.70 2.10
24.09.23 Chaves – Estrela 2–2 (0–1) 2.703.252.63 1.90 1.95
15.09.23 Estrela – Porto 0–1 (0–1) 8.505.001.33 1.65 2.20
02.09.23 Portimonense – Estrela 1–1 (1–1) 2.633.202.75 2.08 1.73
25.08.23 Estrela – Estoril 2–1 (0–0) 2.253.203.20 2.35 1.57
19.08.23 Benfica – Estrela 2–0 (0–0) 1.089.5023.00 1.36 3.10
13.08.23 Estrela – Guimaraes 0–1 (0–1) 2.453.202.70 2.30 1.60

Sp Lisbon at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.10.23 Sp Lisbon – Arouca 2–1 (1–0) 1.225.0011.00 1.60 2.30
25.09.23 Sp Lisbon – Rio Ave 2–0 (2–0) 1.206.0015.00 1.57 2.35
17.09.23 Sp Lisbon – Moreirense 3–0 (0–0) 1.226.0013.00 1.57 2.35
27.08.23 Sp Lisbon – Famalicao 1–0 (0–0) 1.256.509.00 1.53 2.40
12.08.23 Sp Lisbon – Vizela 3–2 (2–0) 1.146.5017.00 1.57 2.35
21.05.23 Sp Lisbon – Benfica 2–2 (2–0) 2.553.302.50 1.73 2.08
13.05.23 Sp Lisbon – Maritimo 2–1 (0–1) 1.206.509.50 1.50 2.50
30.04.23 Sp Lisbon – Famalicao 2–1 (1–0) 1.305.5010.00 1.60 2.30
16.04.23 Sp Lisbon – Arouca 1–1 (0–1) 1.207.0012.00 1.48 2.60
01.04.23 Sp Lisbon – Santa Clara 3–0 (2–0) 1.137.0019.00 1.50 2.50

Estrela away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.10.23 Casa Pia – Estrela 0–1 (0–0) 1.953.203.60 2.15 1.67
24.09.23 Chaves – Estrela 2–2 (0–1) 2.703.252.63 1.90 1.95
02.09.23 Portimonense – Estrela 1–1 (1–1) 2.633.202.75 2.08 1.73
19.08.23 Benfica – Estrela 2–0 (0–0) 1.089.5023.00 1.36 3.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Benfica 10 8 1 1 21 8 +13 25 WWWWDW
2 Sp Lisbon 9 8 1 0 19 7 +12 25 DWWWWW
3 Porto 10 7 1 2 13 7 +6 22 WWLWWL
4 Sp Braga 10 6 2 2 29 18 +11 20 LWWWDW
5 Guimaraes 10 6 1 3 17 11 +6 19 LDWWWL
6 Moreirense 10 5 2 3 13 10 +3 17 LWWDWW
7 Boavista 10 4 3 3 18 17 +1 15 WLDDLL
8 Famalicao 10 4 3 3 11 10 +1 15 DWDLLW
9 Estrela 9 3 2 4 9 12 -3 11 DLDLWW
10 Portimonense 10 3 2 5 11 24 -13 11 WLWLWL
11 Gil Vicente 10 3 1 6 22 21 +1 10 WLWLDL
12 Farense 9 3 1 5 15 14 +1 10 LWLLDW
13 Casa Pia 10 2 4 4 8 9 -1 10 WDLLDL
14 Vizela 10 2 3 5 11 16 -5 9 LDLDLW
15 Rio Ave 10 2 2 6 11 18 -7 8 DLLLLW
16 Estoril 10 2 1 7 15 20 -5 7 LDLLLW
17 Chaves 10 2 1 7 12 28 -16 7 LDWWLL
18 Arouca 9 1 3 5 9 14 -5 6 DLLLLL
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Lisbon 5 5 0 0 11 3 +8 15 WWWWW
2 Guimaraes 5 4 0 1 13 5 +8 12 WWLWW
3 Gil Vicente 5 3 1 1 17 9 +8 10 WLWWD
4 Sp Braga 5 3 1 1 14 6 +8 10 LDWWW
5 Benfica 4 3 1 0 8 1 +7 10 WWWD
6 Famalicao 5 3 1 1 6 4 +2 10 DWWLW
7 Porto 5 3 1 1 6 4 +2 10 WDWWL
8 Boavista 5 2 2 1 10 8 +2 8 WDWDL
9 Farense 5 2 1 2 10 7 +3 7 LWWLD
10 Moreirense 5 2 1 2 6 6 0 7 LLWDW
11 Rio Ave 6 2 1 3 9 11 -2 7 WLDLLW
12 Estrela 5 2 0 3 5 7 -2 6 LWLLW
13 Estoril 4 1 1 2 5 5 0 4 WLDL
14 Chaves 5 1 1 3 9 12 -3 4 LLDWL
15 Vizela 5 1 1 3 6 9 -3 4 DWLLL
16 Arouca 5 1 1 3 5 8 -3 4 WDLLL
17 Portimonense 4 1 1 2 4 8 -4 4 LDLW
18 Casa Pia 5 0 2 3 2 5 -3 2 LDDLL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Benfica 6 5 0 1 13 7 +6 15 LWWWWW
2 Porto 5 4 0 1 7 3 +4 12 WWWLW
3 Sp Lisbon 4 3 1 0 8 4 +4 10 WDWW
4 Sp Braga 5 3 1 1 15 12 +3 10 WWLWD
5 Moreirense 5 3 1 1 7 4 +3 10 DWLWW
6 Casa Pia 5 2 2 1 6 4 +2 8 WDWLD
7 Boavista 5 2 1 2 8 9 -1 7 WWLDL
8 Guimaraes 5 2 1 2 4 6 -2 7 WLDWL
9 Portimonense 6 2 1 3 7 16 -9 7 LDWWLL
10 Famalicao 5 1 2 2 5 6 -1 5 WLDDL
11 Estrela 4 1 2 1 4 5 -1 5 LDDW
12 Vizela 5 1 2 2 5 7 -2 5 LLDDW
13 Farense 4 1 0 3 5 7 -2 3 LLLW
14 Estoril 6 1 0 5 10 15 -5 3 LLLLLW
15 Chaves 5 1 0 4 3 16 -13 3 LLLWL
16 Arouca 4 0 2 2 4 6 -2 2 DDLL
17 Rio Ave 4 0 1 3 2 7 -5 1 LDLL
18 Gil Vicente 5 0 0 5 5 12 -7 0 LLLLL

Sp Lisbon   Estrela

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 4 Sp Braga 10 1 9 2.9 1.8 6 2 2 29 18 20 OOOOOO
2 11 Gil Vicente 10 2 8 2.2 2.1 3 1 6 22 21 10 OOUOOO
3 17 Chaves 10 3 7 1.2 2.8 2 1 7 12 28 7 OOUOOU
4 5 Guimaraes 10 4 6 1.7 1.1 6 1 3 17 11 19 OUOOOU
5 7 Boavista 10 4 6 1.8 1.7 4 3 3 18 17 15 OOOUUU
6 10 Portimonense 10 4 6 1.1 2.4 3 2 5 11 24 11 OOOUUO
7 12 Farense 9 3 6 1.7 1.6 3 1 5 15 14 10 UOUOUO
8 16 Estoril 10 4 6 1.5 2.0 2 1 7 15 20 7 OOOUUU
9 1 Benfica 10 5 5 2.1 0.8 8 1 1 21 8 25 OOUUUU
10 2 Sp Lisbon 9 4 5 2.1 0.8 8 1 0 19 7 25 UOUOOU
11 6 Moreirense 10 5 5 1.3 1.0 5 2 3 13 10 17 OUOUUU
12 14 Vizela 10 5 5 1.1 1.6 2 3 5 11 16 9 OOOUUU
13 3 Porto 10 6 4 1.3 0.7 7 1 2 13 7 22 UOUUUU
14 8 Famalicao 10 6 4 1.1 1.0 4 3 3 11 10 15 UUOOUO
15 15 Rio Ave 10 6 4 1.1 1.8 2 2 6 11 18 8 UUOOOU
16 9 Estrela 9 6 3 1.0 1.3 3 2 4 9 12 11 UUOOUU
17 18 Arouca 9 6 3 1.0 1.6 1 3 5 9 14 6 UUUUOU
18 13 Casa Pia 10 8 2 0.8 0.9 2 4 4 8 9 10 UUUUUU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 4 Sp Braga 5 1 4 2.8 1.2 3 1 1 14 6 10 OUOOO
2 5 Guimaraes 5 1 4 2.6 1.0 4 0 1 13 5 12 OUOOO
3 11 Gil Vicente 5 1 4 3.4 1.8 3 1 1 17 9 10 OOOUO
4 12 Farense 5 1 4 2.0 1.4 2 1 2 10 7 7 OOOOU
5 17 Chaves 5 1 4 1.8 2.4 1 1 3 9 12 4 OOOOU
6 2 Sp Lisbon 5 2 3 2.2 0.6 5 0 0 11 3 15 OUOUO
7 7 Boavista 5 2 3 2.0 1.6 2 2 1 10 8 8 OUOOU
8 14 Vizela 5 2 3 1.2 1.8 1 1 3 6 9 4 OUOOU
9 15 Rio Ave 6 3 3 1.5 1.8 2 1 3 9 11 7 UOUOOU
10 3 Porto 5 3 2 1.2 0.8 3 1 1 6 4 10 OUOUU
11 6 Moreirense 5 3 2 1.2 1.2 2 1 2 6 6 7 OOUUU
12 8 Famalicao 5 3 2 1.2 0.8 3 1 1 6 4 10 UUUOO
13 9 Estrela 5 3 2 1.0 1.4 2 0 3 5 7 6 UOUOU
14 10 Portimonense 4 2 2 1.0 2.0 1 1 2 4 8 4 OUOU
15 16 Estoril 4 2 2 1.2 1.2 1 1 2 5 5 4 UOOU
16 1 Benfica 4 3 1 2.0 0.2 3 1 0 8 1 10 UOUU
17 13 Casa Pia 5 4 1 0.4 1.0 0 2 3 2 5 2 OUUUU
18 18 Arouca 5 4 1 1.0 1.6 1 1 3 5 8 4 OUUUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 4 Sp Braga 5 0 5 3.0 2.4 3 1 1 15 12 10 OOOOO
2 1 Benfica 6 2 4 2.2 1.2 5 0 1 13 7 15 OOOOUU
3 10 Portimonense 6 2 4 1.2 2.7 2 1 3 7 16 7 OUOOUO
4 11 Gil Vicente 5 1 4 1.0 2.4 0 0 5 5 12 0 OUOOO
5 16 Estoril 6 2 4 1.7 2.5 1 0 5 10 15 3 OOOOUU
6 6 Moreirense 5 2 3 1.4 0.8 3 1 1 7 4 10 UOOOU
7 7 Boavista 5 2 3 1.6 1.8 2 1 2 8 9 7 OOOUU
8 17 Chaves 5 2 3 0.6 3.2 1 0 4 3 16 3 UOOUO
9 2 Sp Lisbon 4 2 2 2.0 1.0 3 1 0 8 4 10 OUOU
10 3 Porto 5 3 2 1.4 0.6 4 0 1 7 3 12 OOUUU
11 5 Guimaraes 5 3 2 0.8 1.2 2 1 2 4 6 7 UOUOU
12 8 Famalicao 5 3 2 1.0 1.2 1 2 2 5 6 5 OUUOU
13 12 Farense 4 2 2 1.2 1.8 1 0 3 5 7 3 OUUO
14 14 Vizela 5 3 2 1.0 1.4 1 2 2 5 7 5 OUOUU
15 18 Arouca 4 2 2 1.0 1.5 0 2 2 4 6 2 OUUO
16 9 Estrela 4 3 1 1.0 1.2 1 2 1 4 5 5 UUOU
17 13 Casa Pia 5 4 1 1.2 0.8 2 2 1 6 4 8 OUUUU
18 15 Rio Ave 4 3 1 0.5 1.8 0 1 3 2 7 1 UUUO

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 2 Nov 2026, 20:47