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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Netherlands Eredivisie ·

Ajax 1–0 AZ Alkmaar

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2026/2027

Home ✓ 1.62 fair 2.35
Draw 4.75 fair 4.69
Away 4.33 fair 2.76
Under 2.5 ✓ 3.10 fair 3.65
Over 2.5 1.36 fair 1.38

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Ajax AZ Alkmaar
9 Shots 19
2 Shots on target 5
0.66 Expected goals (xG) 1.25
1 Corners 8
12 Fouls 12
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (93 league matches this season so far).
Result Ajax to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.39
Expected goals 1.96 – 1.81
Home / Draw / Away
AjaxDrawAZ Alkmaar
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 8.2% 2–1 8% 1–2 7.4%

Statistics 2026/2027, before this match

Ajax before this match, all matches
2.10points / match
2.90scored / match
1.30conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 29:13
AZ Alkmaar before this match, all matches
2.00points / match
2.00scored / match
1.20conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 20:12
Ajax all matches all matches AZ Alkmaar

Per match

2.90 Goals scored 2.00
1.30 Goals conceded 1.20
4.20 Total goals 3.20
2.42 xG created 2.17
1.34 xG allowed 1.22
22.20 Shots 16.80
7.60 Shots on target 6.40
10.20 Shots faced 9.90
6.70 Corners 7.50
3.10 Corners against 3.90
9.30 Fouls 12.40
1.90 Yellow cards 1.40
1.30 1st-half goals scored 0.70
0.60 1st-half goals conceded 0.60

How often Full Time

60% Wins 60%
30% Draws 20%
10% Losses 20%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 90%
80% Over 2.5 goals 40%
70% Over 3.5 goals 40%
30% Over 4.5 goals 30%
30% Over 5.5 goals 10%
80% Both teams scored 50%
20% Clean sheets 30%
0% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

60% Wins 40%
30% Draws 30%
10% Losses 30%
90% Over 0.5 goals 70%
70% Over 1.5 goals 30%
30% Over 2.5 goals 30%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Ajax all matches
AZ Alkmaar all matches
Ajax before this match, at home
1.20points / match
2.20scored / match
1.80conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 11:9
AZ Alkmaar before this match, away
2.00points / match
2.20scored / match
1.40conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 11:7
Ajax at home away AZ Alkmaar

Per match

2.20 Goals scored 2.20
1.80 Goals conceded 1.40
4.00 Total goals 3.60
2.38 xG created 1.99
1.47 xG allowed 1.29
25.20 Shots 16.80
7.00 Shots on target 6.80
9.80 Shots faced 10.40
7.00 Corners 7.80
1.80 Corners against 3.60
6.80 Fouls 13.40
1.60 Yellow cards 2.00
1.40 1st-half goals scored 0.60
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

20% Wins 60%
60% Draws 20%
20% Losses 20%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 100%
80% Over 2.5 goals 60%
80% Over 3.5 goals 60%
20% Over 4.5 goals 40%
20% Over 5.5 goals 0%
100% Both teams scored 60%
0% Clean sheets 20%
0% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

40% Wins 20%
40% Draws 20%
20% Losses 60%
100% Over 0.5 goals 80%
100% Over 1.5 goals 40%
40% Over 2.5 goals 40%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Ajax at home
AZ Alkmaar away

Last 10 matches before this match

Ajax all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.10.26 Sparta Rotterdam – Ajax 1–2 (1–2) 5.504.751.50 1.36 3.10
18.10.26 Groningen – Ajax 2–5 (0–2) 3.604.001.91 1.36 3.10
10.10.26 Ajax – Nijmegen 1–1 (1–1) 1.305.508.50 1.30 3.50
19.09.26 Ajax – Excelsior 2–2 (1–1) 1.227.0011.00 1.25 4.00
15.09.26 Ajax – Willem II 5–1 (2–0) 1.109.0021.00 1.22 4.20
12.09.26 For Sittard – Ajax 1–5 (0–1) 5.755.251.44 1.36 3.10
05.09.26 Ajax – PSV Eindhoven 1–3 (1–2) 2.703.752.40 1.30 3.50
30.08.26 Telstar – Ajax 0–4 (0–1) 5.004.501.57 1.40 2.88
16.08.26 Ajax – Heerenveen 2–2 (2–1) 1.444.507.00 1.40 2.88
09.08.26 Zwolle – Ajax 0–2 (0–0) 6.004.501.50 1.48 2.60

AZ Alkmaar all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.10.26 AZ Alkmaar – Twente 0–2 (0–0) 2.153.903.00 1.44 2.70
18.10.26 Cambuur – AZ Alkmaar 2–2 (2–1) 6.004.751.48 1.36 3.10
10.10.26 Feyenoord – AZ Alkmaar 2–0 (1–0) 1.804.203.75 1.40 2.88
20.09.26 AZ Alkmaar – Telstar 1–0 (1–0) 1.256.0010.00 1.29 3.60
11.09.26 AZ Alkmaar – Willem II 1–1 (1–0) 1.178.0013.00 1.29 3.60
06.09.26 Heerenveen – AZ Alkmaar 2–3 (2–1) 3.904.001.80 1.44 2.70
29.08.26 AZ Alkmaar – Go Ahead Eagles 5–2 (2–1) 1.405.007.50 1.40 2.88
22.08.26 For Sittard – AZ Alkmaar 0–2 (0–0) 5.254.201.60 1.48 2.60
15.08.26 Utrecht – AZ Alkmaar 1–4 (0–1) 2.753.752.38 1.57 2.35
08.08.26 AZ Alkmaar – Den Haag 2–0 (0–0) 1.454.507.00 1.53 2.40

Ajax at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.10.26 Ajax – Nijmegen 1–1 (1–1) 1.305.508.50 1.30 3.50
19.09.26 Ajax – Excelsior 2–2 (1–1) 1.227.0011.00 1.25 4.00
15.09.26 Ajax – Willem II 5–1 (2–0) 1.109.0021.00 1.22 4.20
05.09.26 Ajax – PSV Eindhoven 1–3 (1–2) 2.703.752.40 1.30 3.50
16.08.26 Ajax – Heerenveen 2–2 (2–1) 1.444.507.00 1.40 2.88
10.05.26 Ajax – Utrecht 1–2 (0–0) 1.674.334.50 1.36 3.10
02.05.26 Ajax – PSV Eindhoven 2–2 (1–1) 2.454.202.45 1.36 3.10
04.04.26 Ajax – Twente 1–2 (1–1) 2.303.752.88 1.53 2.40
14.03.26 Ajax – Sparta Rotterdam 4–0 (2–0) 1.624.504.50 1.50 2.50
21.02.26 Ajax – Nijmegen 1–1 (1–0) 1.754.334.00 1.44 2.70

AZ Alkmaar away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.10.26 Cambuur – AZ Alkmaar 2–2 (2–1) 6.004.751.48 1.36 3.10
10.10.26 Feyenoord – AZ Alkmaar 2–0 (1–0) 1.804.203.75 1.40 2.88
06.09.26 Heerenveen – AZ Alkmaar 2–3 (2–1) 3.904.001.80 1.44 2.70
22.08.26 For Sittard – AZ Alkmaar 0–2 (0–0) 5.254.201.60 1.48 2.60
15.08.26 Utrecht – AZ Alkmaar 1–4 (0–1) 2.753.752.38 1.57 2.35
10.05.26 Feyenoord – AZ Alkmaar 1–1 (0–1) 1.834.003.90 1.40 2.88
23.04.26 Go Ahead Eagles – AZ Alkmaar 0–0 (0–0) 3.003.752.20 1.53 2.40
22.03.26 Groningen – AZ Alkmaar 3–0 (1–0) 2.553.702.55 1.60 2.30
07.03.26 PSV Eindhoven – AZ Alkmaar 2–1 (1–1) 1.335.508.00 1.33 3.40
01.03.26 Utrecht – AZ Alkmaar 2–0 (2–0) 2.203.603.10 1.70 2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Ajax winsDrawsAZ Alkmaar wins
10matches
2.60goals / match
60%over 2.5
70%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.02.26N1 AZ Alkmaar – Ajax 1–1 (0–0) 2.203.803.00 1.57 2.35
18.10.25N1 Ajax – AZ Alkmaar 0–2 (0–2) 2.003.903.40 1.57 2.35
16.03.25N1 Ajax – AZ Alkmaar 2–2 (0–0) 1.753.804.33 1.88 1.98
08.12.24N1 AZ Alkmaar – Ajax 2–1 (0–0) 3.103.602.20 1.73 2.08
25.02.24N1 AZ Alkmaar – Ajax 2–0 (1–0) 2.003.803.50 1.60 2.30
08.10.23N1 Ajax – AZ Alkmaar 1–2 (0–1) 2.253.802.90 1.53 2.40
06.05.23N1 Ajax – AZ Alkmaar 0–0 (0–0) 1.574.505.25 1.53 2.40
18.09.22N1 AZ Alkmaar – Ajax 2–1 (2–1) 4.754.201.66 1.60 2.30
08.05.22N1 AZ Alkmaar – Ajax 2–2 (0–1) 4.754.001.72 1.61 2.25
12.12.21N1 Ajax – AZ Alkmaar 1–2 (0–0) 1.227.0011.00 1.30 3.50

Netherlands Eredivisie table 2026/2027, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Feyenoord 11 7 4 0 33 12 +21 25 WWWWDD
2 PSV Eindhoven 11 7 2 2 35 13 +22 23 WLWLDW
3 Ajax 10 6 3 1 29 13 +16 21 WWDDWW
4 Twente 10 6 2 2 19 10 +9 20 WWWDLW
5 AZ Alkmaar 10 6 2 2 20 12 +8 20 WDWLDL
6 For Sittard 11 5 4 2 18 18 0 19 LWDDWD
7 Heerenveen 11 5 3 3 19 13 +6 18 DWLWWW
8 Groningen 10 4 3 3 24 21 +3 15 DDWWLD
9 Go Ahead Eagles 10 3 5 2 23 23 0 14 DDDDLW
10 Cambuur 10 3 3 4 19 22 -3 12 DWDWDW
11 Utrecht 10 3 3 4 17 27 -10 12 DWLWWD
12 Nijmegen 11 2 5 4 17 19 -2 11 LDDDDL
13 Excelsior 10 3 2 5 16 19 -3 11 DLDLLL
14 Sparta Rotterdam 10 2 3 5 17 24 -7 9 DLLDWL
15 Zwolle 10 2 2 6 11 23 -12 8 DLLLWD
16 Telstar 10 1 3 6 12 21 -9 6 LDLDLL
17 Den Haag 10 1 3 6 13 23 -10 6 LLDDWL
18 Willem II 11 0 2 9 10 39 -29 2 LLLLLL
  • Champions League – league phase
  • Champions League – 3rd qualifying round
  • Europa League – 2nd qualifying round
  • Play-offs for a Conference League place
  • Relegation play-off
  • Relegation to Eerste Divisie

KNVB Cup winners go to the Europa League league phase, so places can move down the table.

Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 PSV Eindhoven 6 4 2 0 21 5 +16 14 DWWWDW
2 Twente 5 4 0 1 10 5 +5 12 WWWWL
3 Go Ahead Eagles 5 3 2 0 14 8 +6 11 WWDDW
4 AZ Alkmaar 5 3 1 1 9 5 +4 10 WWDWL
5 Heerenveen 6 3 1 2 8 5 +3 10 WLLDWW
6 Feyenoord 5 2 3 0 12 5 +7 9 DDWWD
7 Groningen 5 2 1 2 11 11 0 7 WLDWL
8 For Sittard 5 2 1 2 6 9 -3 7 WLLDW
9 Ajax 5 1 3 1 11 9 +2 6 DLWDD
10 Sparta Rotterdam 6 1 2 3 9 14 -5 5 LDDLWL
11 Utrecht 5 1 2 2 9 15 -6 5 LLDWD
12 Nijmegen 6 0 4 2 9 12 -3 4 LLDDDD
13 Den Haag 5 1 1 3 8 12 -4 4 LLDWL
14 Cambuur 5 1 1 3 8 15 -7 4 LLLWD
15 Excelsior 4 1 0 3 5 10 -5 3 LWLL
16 Zwolle 5 1 0 4 5 14 -9 3 LLLLW
17 Telstar 5 0 2 3 8 15 -7 2 LLDDL
18 Willem II 5 0 1 4 4 16 -12 1 LDLLL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Feyenoord 6 5 1 0 21 7 +14 16 WWWWWD
2 Ajax 5 5 0 0 18 4 +14 15 WWWWW
3 For Sittard 6 3 3 0 12 9 +3 12 DWWWDD
4 AZ Alkmaar 5 3 1 1 11 7 +4 10 WWWLD
5 PSV Eindhoven 5 3 0 2 14 8 +6 9 WWWLL
6 Cambuur 5 2 2 1 11 7 +4 8 LDDWW
7 Twente 5 2 2 1 9 5 +4 8 LWDDW
8 Groningen 5 2 2 1 13 10 +3 8 WLDWD
9 Heerenveen 5 2 2 1 11 8 +3 8 DDWLW
10 Excelsior 6 2 2 2 11 9 +2 8 WWDDLL
11 Nijmegen 5 2 1 2 8 7 +1 7 WWLDL
12 Utrecht 5 2 1 2 8 12 -4 7 LDWLW
13 Zwolle 5 1 2 2 6 9 -3 5 LWDLD
14 Sparta Rotterdam 4 1 1 2 8 10 -2 4 WLLD
15 Telstar 5 1 1 3 4 6 -2 4 WLDLL
16 Go Ahead Eagles 5 0 3 2 9 15 -6 3 DLDDL
17 Den Haag 5 0 2 3 5 11 -6 2 LLDLD
18 Willem II 6 0 1 5 6 23 -17 1 LDLLLL

Ajax   AZ Alkmaar

Under / Over goals 2026/2027, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 PSV Eindhoven 11 2 9 3.2 1.2 7 2 2 35 13 23 OOUOUO
2 8 Groningen 10 1 9 2.4 2.1 4 3 3 24 21 15 OUOOOO
3 11 Utrecht 10 1 9 1.7 2.7 3 3 4 17 27 12 OOOOOU
4 13 Excelsior 10 1 9 1.6 1.9 3 2 5 16 19 11 OOOOOU
5 14 Sparta Rotterdam 10 1 9 1.7 2.4 2 3 5 17 24 9 OOOOOO
6 18 Willem II 11 2 9 0.9 3.5 0 2 9 10 39 2 OUOOOO
7 3 Ajax 10 2 8 2.9 1.3 6 3 1 29 13 21 OOOUOO
8 9 Go Ahead Eagles 10 2 8 2.3 2.3 3 5 2 23 23 14 OUUOOO
9 10 Cambuur 10 2 8 1.9 2.2 3 3 4 19 22 12 OOUUOO
10 12 Nijmegen 11 3 8 1.5 1.7 2 5 4 17 19 11 OUUOOU
11 1 Feyenoord 11 4 7 3.0 1.1 7 4 0 33 12 25 OOUOUU
12 16 Telstar 10 3 7 1.2 2.1 1 3 6 12 21 6 UUUOOO
13 17 Den Haag 10 3 7 1.3 2.3 1 3 6 13 23 6 OUUOOO
14 6 For Sittard 11 5 6 1.6 1.6 5 4 2 18 18 19 OUUOUU
15 7 Heerenveen 11 5 6 1.7 1.2 5 3 3 19 13 18 UOUOOU
16 15 Zwolle 10 4 6 1.1 2.3 2 2 6 11 23 8 OOOUOU
17 4 Twente 10 5 5 1.9 1.0 6 2 2 19 10 20 UUOUOU
18 5 AZ Alkmaar 10 6 4 2.0 1.2 6 2 2 20 12 20 OUUUOU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 8 Groningen 5 0 5 2.2 2.2 2 1 2 11 11 7 OOOOO
2 10 Cambuur 5 0 5 1.6 3.0 1 1 3 8 15 4 OOOOO
3 12 Nijmegen 6 1 5 1.5 2.0 0 4 2 9 12 4 OOOUOO
4 14 Sparta Rotterdam 6 1 5 1.5 2.3 1 2 3 9 14 5 UOOOOO
5 16 Telstar 5 0 5 1.6 3.0 0 2 3 8 15 2 OOOOO
6 2 PSV Eindhoven 6 2 4 3.5 0.8 4 2 0 21 5 14 OOOUUO
7 3 Ajax 5 1 4 2.2 1.8 1 3 1 11 9 6 OOOOU
8 9 Go Ahead Eagles 5 1 4 2.8 1.6 3 2 0 14 8 11 OOUOO
9 11 Utrecht 5 1 4 1.8 3.0 1 2 2 9 15 5 OOOOU
10 13 Excelsior 4 0 4 1.2 2.5 1 0 3 5 10 3 OOOO
11 17 Den Haag 5 1 4 1.6 2.4 1 1 3 8 12 4 OOUOO
12 18 Willem II 5 1 4 0.8 3.2 0 1 4 4 16 1 OOOUO
13 1 Feyenoord 5 2 3 2.4 1.0 2 3 0 12 5 9 OOOUU
14 4 Twente 5 2 3 2.0 1.0 4 0 1 10 5 12 OUUOO
15 15 Zwolle 5 2 3 1.0 2.8 1 0 4 5 14 3 UOOUO
16 6 For Sittard 5 3 2 1.2 1.8 2 1 2 6 9 7 OUOUU
17 7 Heerenveen 6 4 2 1.3 0.8 3 1 2 8 5 10 UUOUOU
18 5 AZ Alkmaar 5 4 1 1.8 1.0 3 1 1 9 5 10 UOUUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 PSV Eindhoven 5 0 5 2.8 1.6 3 0 2 14 8 9 OOOOO
2 11 Utrecht 5 0 5 1.6 2.4 2 1 2 8 12 7 OOOOO
3 13 Excelsior 6 1 5 1.8 1.5 2 2 2 11 9 8 OOOOOU
4 18 Willem II 6 1 5 1.0 3.8 0 1 5 6 23 1 OUOOOO
5 1 Feyenoord 6 2 4 3.5 1.2 5 1 0 21 7 16 UOOOOU
6 3 Ajax 5 1 4 3.6 0.8 5 0 0 18 4 15 UOOOO
7 6 For Sittard 6 2 4 2.0 1.5 3 3 0 12 9 12 OOOUOU
8 7 Heerenveen 5 1 4 2.2 1.6 2 2 1 11 8 8 OOOUO
9 8 Groningen 5 1 4 2.6 2.0 2 2 1 13 10 8 OOUOO
10 9 Go Ahead Eagles 5 1 4 1.8 3.0 0 3 2 9 15 3 OOOUO
11 14 Sparta Rotterdam 4 0 4 2.0 2.5 1 1 2 8 10 4 OOOO
12 5 AZ Alkmaar 5 2 3 2.2 1.4 3 1 1 11 7 10 OUOUO
13 10 Cambuur 5 2 3 2.2 1.4 2 2 1 11 7 8 OOUUO
14 12 Nijmegen 5 2 3 1.6 1.4 2 1 2 8 7 7 OOOUU
15 15 Zwolle 5 2 3 1.2 1.8 1 2 2 6 9 5 OUOOU
16 17 Den Haag 5 2 3 1.0 2.2 0 2 3 5 11 2 UOOUO
17 4 Twente 5 3 2 1.8 1.0 2 2 1 9 5 8 UOOUU
18 16 Telstar 5 3 2 0.8 1.2 1 1 3 4 6 4 OUUUO

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 4 Nov 2026, 06:11