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Netherlands Eredivisie ·

Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax

Home 5.50 fair 3.75
Draw 4.75 fair 5.21
Away 1.50 fair 1.85
Under 2.5 3.10 fair 4.56
Over 2.5 1.36 fair 1.28

Bet365 odds. Highlighted = our prediction. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Our prediction

Result Ajax to win
Goals Over 2.5
Expected goals 1.70 – 2.43
Home / Draw / Away
Sparta RotterdamDrawAjax
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–2 8.1% 2–2 6.9% 1–1 6.6%

Statistics 2026/2027

Sparta Rotterdam this season, all matches
1.00points / match
1.78scored / match
2.44conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 16:22
Ajax this season, all matches
2.00points / match
3.00scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 27:12
Sparta Rotterdam all matches all matches Ajax

Per match

1.78 Goals scored 3.00
2.44 Goals conceded 1.33
4.22 Total goals 4.33
1.97 xG created 2.53
1.91 xG allowed 1.35
14.67 Shots 22.89
5.11 Shots on target 8.00
17.33 Shots faced 10.11
5.67 Corners 7.11
6.89 Corners against 2.89
10.11 Fouls 9.56
1.67 Yellow cards 1.89
0.67 1st-half goals scored 1.22
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.56

How often

22% Wins 56%
89% Over 1.5 goals 100%
89% Over 2.5 goals 78%
78% Over 3.5 goals 78%
78% Both teams scored 78%
0% Clean sheets 22%
22% Failed to score 0%
22% Leading at half-time 56%
44% Trailing at half-time 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Sparta Rotterdam all matches
Ajax all matches
Sparta Rotterdam this season, at home
1.00points / match
1.60scored / match
2.40conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 8:12
Ajax this season, away
3.00points / match
4.00scored / match
0.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 16:3
Sparta Rotterdam at home away Ajax

Per match

1.60 Goals scored 4.00
2.40 Goals conceded 0.75
4.00 Total goals 4.75
1.80 xG created 2.73
1.90 xG allowed 1.20
15.60 Shots 20.00
4.20 Shots on target 9.25
17.80 Shots faced 10.50
6.20 Corners 7.25
6.20 Corners against 4.25
11.20 Fouls 13.00
1.80 Yellow cards 2.25
0.60 1st-half goals scored 1.00
1.20 1st-half goals conceded 0.00

How often

20% Wins 100%
80% Over 1.5 goals 100%
80% Over 2.5 goals 75%
80% Over 3.5 goals 75%
60% Both teams scored 50%
0% Clean sheets 50%
40% Failed to score 0%
0% Leading at half-time 75%
40% Trailing at half-time 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Sparta Rotterdam at home
Ajax away

Last 10 matches

Sparta Rotterdam all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.10.26 Sparta Rotterdam – Willem II 3–2 (1–1) 1.624.334.75 1.48 2.60
10.10.26 Go Ahead Eagles – Sparta Rotterdam 3–3 (0–1) 1.754.004.10 1.40 2.88
19.09.26 Sparta Rotterdam – Heerenveen 0–4 (0–2) 2.503.752.60 1.48 2.60
13.09.26 PSV Eindhoven – Sparta Rotterdam 4–1 (2–1) 1.187.5013.00 1.20 4.33
04.09.26 Sparta Rotterdam – Zwolle 2–2 (1–1) 1.913.603.90 1.53 2.40
29.08.26 Excelsior – Sparta Rotterdam 2–1 (1–0) 2.403.802.63 1.53 2.40
22.08.26 Sparta Rotterdam – Utrecht 3–3 (1–1) 2.633.402.63 1.70 2.10
14.08.26 Telstar – Sparta Rotterdam 1–3 (0–1) 2.153.603.20 1.57 2.35
09.08.26 Sparta Rotterdam – Feyenoord 0–1 (0–1) 4.504.101.70 1.53 2.40
17.05.26 Sparta Rotterdam – Excelsior 2–3 (0–1) 2.053.703.20 1.48 2.60

Ajax all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.10.26 Groningen – Ajax 2–5 (0–2) 3.604.001.91 1.36 3.10
10.10.26 Ajax – Nijmegen 1–1 (1–1) 1.305.508.50 1.30 3.50
19.09.26 Ajax – Excelsior 2–2 (1–1) 1.227.0011.00 1.25 4.00
15.09.26 Ajax – Willem II 5–1 (2–0) 1.109.0021.00 1.22 4.20
12.09.26 For Sittard – Ajax 1–5 (0–1) 5.755.251.44 1.36 3.10
05.09.26 Ajax – PSV Eindhoven 1–3 (1–2) 2.703.752.40 1.30 3.50
30.08.26 Telstar – Ajax 0–4 (0–1) 5.004.501.57 1.40 2.88
16.08.26 Ajax – Heerenveen 2–2 (2–1) 1.444.507.00 1.40 2.88
09.08.26 Zwolle – Ajax 0–2 (0–0) 6.004.501.50 1.48 2.60
17.05.26 Heerenveen – Ajax 0–0 (0–0) 2.903.902.05 1.33 3.40

Sparta Rotterdam at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.10.26 Sparta Rotterdam – Willem II 3–2 (1–1) 1.624.334.75 1.48 2.60
19.09.26 Sparta Rotterdam – Heerenveen 0–4 (0–2) 2.503.752.60 1.48 2.60
04.09.26 Sparta Rotterdam – Zwolle 2–2 (1–1) 1.913.603.90 1.53 2.40
22.08.26 Sparta Rotterdam – Utrecht 3–3 (1–1) 2.633.402.63 1.70 2.10
09.08.26 Sparta Rotterdam – Feyenoord 0–1 (0–1) 4.504.101.70 1.53 2.40
17.05.26 Sparta Rotterdam – Excelsior 2–3 (0–1) 2.053.703.20 1.48 2.60
03.05.26 Sparta Rotterdam – Go Ahead Eagles 2–2 (1–0) 2.053.903.20 1.57 2.35
11.04.26 Sparta Rotterdam – PSV Eindhoven 0–2 (0–1) 4.004.201.75 1.40 2.88
21.03.26 Sparta Rotterdam – Volendam 2–0 (2–0) 1.504.755.75 1.53 2.40
08.03.26 Sparta Rotterdam – Zwolle 1–1 (0–0) 1.674.204.50 1.57 2.35

Ajax away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.10.26 Groningen – Ajax 2–5 (0–2) 3.604.001.91 1.36 3.10
12.09.26 For Sittard – Ajax 1–5 (0–1) 5.755.251.44 1.36 3.10
30.08.26 Telstar – Ajax 0–4 (0–1) 5.004.501.57 1.40 2.88
09.08.26 Zwolle – Ajax 0–2 (0–0) 6.004.501.50 1.48 2.60
17.05.26 Heerenveen – Ajax 0–0 (0–0) 2.903.902.05 1.33 3.40
25.04.26 NAC Breda – Ajax 0–2 (0–2) 3.203.902.05 1.67 2.15
11.04.26 Heracles – Ajax 0–3 (0–2) 5.254.331.57 1.50 2.50
22.03.26 Feyenoord – Ajax 1–1 (0–0) 2.053.803.30 1.50 2.50
07.03.26 Groningen – Ajax 3–1 (1–1) 2.803.602.45 1.62 2.25
01.03.26 Zwolle – Ajax 0–0 (0–0) 4.104.201.75 1.50 2.50

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022

Sparta Rotterdam winsDrawsAjax wins
10matches
3.00goals / match
60%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.03.26N1 Ajax – Sparta Rotterdam 4–0 (2–0) 1.624.504.50 1.50 2.50
04.10.25N1 Sparta Rotterdam – Ajax 3–3 (1–1) 4.104.101.75 1.53 2.40
27.04.25N1 Ajax – Sparta Rotterdam 1–1 (0–0) 1.484.755.50 1.53 2.40
22.12.24N1 Sparta Rotterdam – Ajax 0–2 (0–0) 4.754.101.67 1.67 2.15
17.03.24N1 Sparta Rotterdam – Ajax 2–2 (1–0) 3.503.502.05 1.70 2.10
09.12.23N1 Ajax – Sparta Rotterdam 2–1 (2–0) 1.404.757.50 1.44 2.70
19.02.23N1 Ajax – Sparta Rotterdam 4–0 (2–0) 1.227.0012.00 1.44 2.70
21.08.22N1 Sparta Rotterdam – Ajax 0–1 (0–1) 12.006.001.25 1.40 2.87
09.04.22N1 Ajax – Sparta Rotterdam 2–1 (0–1) 1.0812.0021.00 1.25 4.00
28.11.21N1 Sparta Rotterdam – Ajax 0–1 (0–1) 13.007.501.16 1.36 3.10

Netherlands Eredivisie table 2026/2027

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Feyenoord 9 7 2 0 31 10 +21 23
2 AZ Alkmaar 9 6 2 1 20 10 +10 20
3 PSV Eindhoven 9 6 1 2 27 12 +15 19
4 Ajax 9 5 3 1 27 12 +15 18
5 Twente 9 5 2 2 17 10 +7 17
6 For Sittard 9 4 3 2 16 17 -1 15
7 Groningen 9 4 2 3 22 19 +3 14
8 Heerenveen 9 3 3 3 15 11 +4 12
9 Go Ahead Eagles 9 2 5 2 20 21 -1 11
10 Excelsior 9 3 2 4 16 18 -2 11
11 Utrecht 9 3 2 4 16 26 -10 11
12 Nijmegen 9 2 4 3 15 16 -1 10
13 Sparta Rotterdam 9 2 3 4 16 22 -6 9
14 Cambuur 9 2 3 4 13 21 -8 9
15 Zwolle 9 2 1 6 10 22 -12 7
16 Telstar 9 1 3 5 10 18 -8 6
17 Den Haag 9 1 3 5 11 20 -9 6
18 Willem II 9 0 2 7 9 26 -17 2
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Twente 5 4 0 1 10 5 +5 12
2 PSV Eindhoven 4 3 1 0 13 4 +9 10
3 AZ Alkmaar 4 3 1 0 9 3 +6 10
4 Feyenoord 4 2 2 0 11 4 +7 8
5 Go Ahead Eagles 4 2 2 0 11 6 +5 8
6 Heerenveen 5 2 1 2 7 5 +2 7
7 Groningen 5 2 1 2 11 11 0 7
8 Ajax 5 1 3 1 11 9 +2 6
9 Sparta Rotterdam 5 1 2 2 8 12 -4 5
10 Den Haag 4 1 1 2 6 9 -3 4
11 For Sittard 4 1 1 2 5 9 -4 4
12 Utrecht 4 1 1 2 8 14 -6 4
13 Cambuur 5 1 1 3 8 15 -7 4
14 Nijmegen 5 0 3 2 7 10 -3 3
15 Excelsior 4 1 0 3 5 10 -5 3
16 Zwolle 5 1 0 4 5 14 -9 3
17 Telstar 5 0 2 3 8 15 -7 2
18 Willem II 4 0 1 3 3 10 -7 1
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Feyenoord 5 5 0 0 20 6 +14 15
2 Ajax 4 4 0 0 16 3 +13 12
3 For Sittard 5 3 2 0 11 8 +3 11
4 AZ Alkmaar 5 3 1 1 11 7 +4 10
5 PSV Eindhoven 5 3 0 2 14 8 +6 9
6 Excelsior 5 2 2 1 11 8 +3 8
7 Groningen 4 2 1 1 11 8 +3 7
8 Nijmegen 4 2 1 1 8 6 +2 7
9 Utrecht 5 2 1 2 8 12 -4 7
10 Heerenveen 4 1 2 1 8 6 +2 5
11 Twente 4 1 2 1 7 5 +2 5
12 Cambuur 4 1 2 1 5 6 -1 5
13 Telstar 4 1 1 2 2 3 -1 4
14 Sparta Rotterdam 4 1 1 2 8 10 -2 4
15 Zwolle 4 1 1 2 5 8 -3 4
16 Go Ahead Eagles 5 0 3 2 9 15 -6 3
17 Den Haag 5 0 2 3 5 11 -6 2
18 Willem II 5 0 1 4 6 16 -10 1

Sparta Rotterdam   Ajax

Results and odds: football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 07:56