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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Netherlands Eredivisie ·

AZ Alkmaar 1–1 Willem II

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2026/2027

Home 1.17 fair 1.91
Draw ✓ 8.00 fair 5.01
Away 13.00 fair 3.62
Under 2.5 ✓ 3.60 fair 4.02
Over 2.5 1.29 fair 1.33

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

AZ Alkmaar Willem II
22 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 2
2.49 Expected goals (xG) 0.92
11 Corners 2
7 Fouls 8
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (44 league matches this season so far).
Result AZ Alkmaar to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.38
Expected goals 2.29 – 1.64
Home / Draw / Away
AZ AlkmaarDrawWillem II
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 8.5% 1–1 7.4% 2–2 6.9%

Statistics 2026/2027, before this match

AZ Alkmaar before this match, all matches
3.00points / match
3.20scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 16:5
Willem II before this match, all matches
0.25points / match
1.00scored / match
3.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 4:13
AZ Alkmaar all matches all matches Willem II

Per match

3.20 Goals scored 1.00
1.00 Goals conceded 3.25
4.20 Total goals 4.25
2.51 xG created 1.37
1.12 xG allowed 2.09
19.40 Shots 12.50
8.00 Shots on target 2.50
9.20 Shots faced 16.75
8.80 Corners 4.75
3.80 Corners against 5.25
11.00 Fouls 10.75
1.00 Yellow cards 1.00
0.80 1st-half goals scored 0.25
0.60 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

100% Wins 0%
0% Draws 25%
0% Losses 75%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 100%
60% Over 2.5 goals 100%
60% Over 3.5 goals 75%
60% Over 4.5 goals 50%
20% Over 5.5 goals 0%
60% Both teams scored 75%
40% Clean sheets 0%
0% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

40% Wins 0%
40% Draws 50%
20% Losses 50%
60% Over 0.5 goals 75%
40% Over 1.5 goals 50%
40% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

AZ Alkmaar all matches
Willem II all matches
AZ Alkmaar before this match, at home
3.00points / match
3.50scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 7:2
Willem II before this match, away
0.00points / match
1.00scored / match
4.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 1 played · 1:4
AZ Alkmaar at home away Willem II

Per match

3.50 Goals scored 1.00
1.00 Goals conceded 4.00
4.50 Total goals 5.00
2.53 xG created 1.51
1.39 xG allowed 2.43
16.00 Shots 13.00
6.00 Shots on target 1.00
10.00 Shots faced 20.00
8.50 Corners 2.00
5.50 Corners against 6.00
9.00 Fouls 14.00
0.00 Yellow cards 1.00
1.00 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

100% Wins 0%
0% Draws 0%
0% Losses 100%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 100%
50% Over 2.5 goals 100%
50% Over 3.5 goals 100%
50% Over 4.5 goals 100%
50% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 100%
50% Clean sheets 0%
0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 0%
50% Draws 100%
0% Losses 0%
50% Over 0.5 goals 100%
50% Over 1.5 goals 100%
50% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

AZ Alkmaar at home
Willem II away

Last 10 matches before this match

AZ Alkmaar all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.09.26 Heerenveen – AZ Alkmaar 2–3 (2–1) 3.904.001.80 1.44 2.70
29.08.26 AZ Alkmaar – Go Ahead Eagles 5–2 (2–1) 1.405.007.50 1.40 2.88
22.08.26 For Sittard – AZ Alkmaar 0–2 (0–0) 5.254.201.60 1.48 2.60
15.08.26 Utrecht – AZ Alkmaar 1–4 (0–1) 2.753.752.38 1.57 2.35
08.08.26 AZ Alkmaar – Den Haag 2–0 (0–0) 1.454.507.00 1.53 2.40
17.05.26 AZ Alkmaar – NAC Breda 3–3 (2–0) 1.384.757.50 1.36 3.10
10.05.26 Feyenoord – AZ Alkmaar 1–1 (0–1) 1.834.003.90 1.40 2.88
03.05.26 AZ Alkmaar – Twente 2–2 (1–1) 2.704.002.30 1.44 2.70
23.04.26 Go Ahead Eagles – AZ Alkmaar 0–0 (0–0) 3.003.752.20 1.53 2.40
12.04.26 AZ Alkmaar – Heerenveen 3–0 (2–0) 1.704.334.33 1.36 3.10

Willem II all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.09.26 Willem II – Excelsior 0–3 (0–2) 3.003.502.30 1.62 2.25
30.08.26 Willem II – Heerenveen 2–2 (0–0) 4.004.331.75 1.44 2.70
15.08.26 Willem II – Nijmegen 1–4 (0–1) 4.754.751.57 1.44 2.70
08.08.26 Go Ahead Eagles – Willem II 4–1 (1–1) 1.654.104.75 1.57 2.35
18.05.25 NAC Breda – Willem II 1–1 (1–1) 1.853.504.10 1.75 2.05
14.05.25 Willem II – Zwolle 1–2 (0–1) 2.553.202.50 1.85 2.00
09.05.25 Willem II – Heracles 1–2 (0–1) 2.703.252.60 2.05 1.80
03.05.25 Nijmegen – Willem II 1–1 (0–1) 1.574.335.25 1.67 2.15
27.04.25 For Sittard – Willem II 1–0 (0–0) 1.803.754.33 2.05 1.75
13.04.25 Willem II – Ajax 1–2 (1–0) 7.005.251.36 1.70 2.10

AZ Alkmaar at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.08.26 AZ Alkmaar – Go Ahead Eagles 5–2 (2–1) 1.405.007.50 1.40 2.88
08.08.26 AZ Alkmaar – Den Haag 2–0 (0–0) 1.454.507.00 1.53 2.40
17.05.26 AZ Alkmaar – NAC Breda 3–3 (2–0) 1.384.757.50 1.36 3.10
03.05.26 AZ Alkmaar – Twente 2–2 (1–1) 2.704.002.30 1.44 2.70
12.04.26 AZ Alkmaar – Heerenveen 3–0 (2–0) 1.704.334.33 1.36 3.10
04.04.26 AZ Alkmaar – For Sittard 2–0 (2–0) 1.335.259.00 1.40 2.88
15.03.26 AZ Alkmaar – Heracles 4–0 (2–0) 1.425.006.50 1.53 2.40
22.02.26 AZ Alkmaar – Sparta Rotterdam 3–1 (0–0) 2.003.603.70 1.62 2.25
08.02.26 AZ Alkmaar – Ajax 1–1 (0–0) 2.203.803.00 1.57 2.35
31.01.26 AZ Alkmaar – Nijmegen 1–3 (1–2) 1.804.103.90 1.44 2.70

Willem II away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.08.26 Go Ahead Eagles – Willem II 4–1 (1–1) 1.654.104.75 1.57 2.35
18.05.25 NAC Breda – Willem II 1–1 (1–1) 1.853.504.10 1.75 2.05
03.05.25 Nijmegen – Willem II 1–1 (0–1) 1.574.335.25 1.67 2.15
27.04.25 For Sittard – Willem II 1–0 (0–0) 1.803.754.33 2.05 1.75
04.04.25 Heerenveen – Willem II 3–1 (2–0) 1.454.507.00 1.75 2.05
16.03.25 Go Ahead Eagles – Willem II 1–0 (0–0) 1.553.906.00 1.80 2.00
02.03.25 Sparta Rotterdam – Willem II 4–0 (1–0) 1.653.805.25 2.00 1.85
08.02.25 PSV Eindhoven – Willem II 1–1 (0–0) 1.119.0019.00 1.30 3.50
26.01.25 Waalwijk – Willem II 2–0 (1–0) 2.553.402.70 1.98 1.88
12.01.25 Twente – Willem II 6–2 (2–2) 1.385.007.50 1.67 2.15

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

AZ Alkmaar winsDrawsWillem II wins
4matches
3.50goals / match
75%over 2.5
75%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.02.25N1 Willem II – AZ Alkmaar 0–2 (0–2) 5.003.501.73 2.03 1.83
10.11.24N1 AZ Alkmaar – Willem II 1–2 (0–2) 1.484.207.00 1.75 2.05
20.03.22N1 Willem II – AZ Alkmaar 2–2 (2–1) 6.004.001.57 1.90 1.95
18.12.21N1 AZ Alkmaar – Willem II 4–1 (1–1) 1.335.259.00 1.50 2.50

Netherlands Eredivisie table 2026/2027, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 AZ Alkmaar 5 5 0 0 16 5 +11 15 WWWWW
2 PSV Eindhoven 5 4 1 0 18 6 +12 13 DWWWW
3 Feyenoord 5 3 2 0 13 7 +6 11 WDWDW
4 Excelsior 5 3 1 1 12 5 +7 10 WLWWD
5 Twente 5 3 1 1 10 5 +5 10 LWWDW
6 For Sittard 5 3 1 1 11 9 +2 10 DWLWW
7 Go Ahead Eagles 5 2 2 1 14 12 +2 8 WDWLD
8 Ajax 4 2 1 1 9 5 +4 7 WDWL
9 Nijmegen 5 2 1 2 11 9 +2 7 LWWLD
10 Groningen 5 2 1 2 11 12 -1 7 WWLLD
11 Sparta Rotterdam 5 1 2 2 9 9 0 5 LWDLD
12 Heerenveen 5 1 2 2 7 9 -2 5 WDLDL
13 Zwolle 5 1 1 3 6 10 -4 4 LLWLD
14 Telstar 5 1 1 3 5 11 -6 4 WLLDL
15 Utrecht 5 0 2 3 9 18 -9 2 LLDLD
16 Den Haag 5 0 1 4 6 14 -8 1 LLLDL
17 Willem II 4 0 1 3 4 13 -9 1 LLDL
18 Cambuur 5 0 1 4 6 18 -12 1 LLLLD
  • Champions League – league phase
  • Champions League – 3rd qualifying round
  • Europa League – 2nd qualifying round
  • Play-offs for a Conference League place
  • Relegation play-off
  • Relegation to Eerste Divisie

KNVB Cup winners go to the Europa League league phase, so places can move down the table.

Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 AZ Alkmaar 2 2 0 0 7 2 +5 6 WW
2 Go Ahead Eagles 2 2 0 0 7 2 +5 6 WW
3 Twente 2 2 0 0 4 1 +3 6 WW
4 PSV Eindhoven 2 1 1 0 7 3 +4 4 DW
5 Groningen 3 1 1 1 6 6 0 4 WLD
6 Excelsior 2 1 0 1 3 3 0 3 LW
7 For Sittard 2 1 0 1 3 3 0 3 WL
8 Heerenveen 3 1 0 2 3 5 -2 3 WLL
9 Feyenoord 2 0 2 0 4 4 0 2 DD
10 Sparta Rotterdam 3 0 2 1 5 6 -1 2 LDD
11 Ajax 2 0 1 1 3 5 -2 1 DL
12 Nijmegen 3 0 1 2 4 7 -3 1 LLD
13 Telstar 3 0 1 2 3 9 -6 1 LLD
14 Willem II 3 0 1 2 3 9 -6 1 LDL
15 Utrecht 3 0 1 2 5 13 -8 1 LLD
16 Den Haag 2 0 0 2 3 7 -4 0 LL
17 Zwolle 2 0 0 2 1 5 -4 0 LL
18 Cambuur 3 0 0 3 3 13 -10 0 LLL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 PSV Eindhoven 3 3 0 0 11 3 +8 9 WWW
2 AZ Alkmaar 3 3 0 0 9 3 +6 9 WWW
3 Feyenoord 3 3 0 0 9 3 +6 9 WWW
4 Excelsior 3 2 1 0 9 2 +7 7 WWD
5 For Sittard 3 2 1 0 8 6 +2 7 DWW
6 Ajax 2 2 0 0 6 0 +6 6 WW
7 Nijmegen 2 2 0 0 7 2 +5 6 WW
8 Twente 3 1 1 1 6 4 +2 4 LWD
9 Zwolle 3 1 1 1 5 5 0 4 LWD
10 Sparta Rotterdam 2 1 0 1 4 3 +1 3 WL
11 Telstar 2 1 0 1 2 2 0 3 WL
12 Groningen 2 1 0 1 5 6 -1 3 WL
13 Heerenveen 2 0 2 0 4 4 0 2 DD
14 Go Ahead Eagles 3 0 2 1 7 10 -3 2 DLD
15 Utrecht 2 0 1 1 4 5 -1 1 LD
16 Cambuur 2 0 1 1 3 5 -2 1 LD
17 Den Haag 3 0 1 2 3 7 -4 1 LLD
18 Willem II 1 0 0 1 1 4 -3 0 L

AZ Alkmaar   Willem II

Under / Over goals 2026/2027, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 PSV Eindhoven 5 0 5 3.6 1.2 4 1 0 18 6 13 OOOOO
2 4 Excelsior 5 0 5 2.4 1.0 3 1 1 12 5 10 OOOOO
3 7 Go Ahead Eagles 5 0 5 2.8 2.4 2 2 1 14 12 8 OOOOO
4 9 Nijmegen 5 0 5 2.2 1.8 2 1 2 11 9 7 OOOOO
5 10 Groningen 5 0 5 2.2 2.4 2 1 2 11 12 7 OOOOO
6 15 Utrecht 5 0 5 1.8 3.6 0 2 3 9 18 2 OOOOO
7 18 Cambuur 5 0 5 1.2 3.6 0 1 4 6 18 1 OOOOO
8 3 Feyenoord 5 1 4 2.6 1.4 3 2 0 13 7 11 UOOOO
9 6 For Sittard 5 1 4 2.2 1.8 3 1 1 11 9 10 OOUOO
10 11 Sparta Rotterdam 5 1 4 1.8 1.8 1 2 2 9 9 5 UOOOO
11 14 Telstar 5 1 4 1.0 2.2 1 1 3 5 11 4 OOOOU
12 16 Den Haag 5 1 4 1.2 2.8 0 1 4 6 14 1 UOOOO
13 17 Willem II 4 0 4 1.0 3.2 0 1 3 4 13 1 OOOO
14 1 AZ Alkmaar 5 2 3 3.2 1.0 5 0 0 16 5 15 UOUOO
15 5 Twente 5 2 3 2.0 1.0 3 1 1 10 5 10 UOOOU
16 8 Ajax 4 1 3 2.2 1.2 2 1 1 9 5 7 UOOO
17 12 Heerenveen 5 2 3 1.4 1.8 1 2 2 7 9 5 UOUOO
18 13 Zwolle 5 2 3 1.2 2.0 1 1 3 6 10 4 UOUOO
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 9 Nijmegen 3 0 3 1.3 2.3 0 1 2 4 7 1 OOO
2 10 Groningen 3 0 3 2.0 2.0 1 1 1 6 6 4 OOO
3 14 Telstar 3 0 3 1.0 3.0 0 1 2 3 9 1 OOO
4 15 Utrecht 3 0 3 1.7 4.3 0 1 2 5 13 1 OOO
5 17 Willem II 3 0 3 1.0 3.0 0 1 2 3 9 1 OOO
6 18 Cambuur 3 0 3 1.0 4.3 0 0 3 3 13 0 OOO
7 2 PSV Eindhoven 2 0 2 3.5 1.5 1 1 0 7 3 4 OO
8 3 Feyenoord 2 0 2 2.0 2.0 0 2 0 4 4 2 OO
9 4 Excelsior 2 0 2 1.5 1.5 1 0 1 3 3 3 OO
10 7 Go Ahead Eagles 2 0 2 3.5 1.0 2 0 0 7 2 6 OO
11 8 Ajax 2 0 2 1.5 2.5 0 1 1 3 5 1 OO
12 11 Sparta Rotterdam 3 1 2 1.7 2.0 0 2 1 5 6 2 UOO
13 16 Den Haag 2 0 2 1.5 3.5 0 0 2 3 7 0 OO
14 1 AZ Alkmaar 2 1 1 3.5 1.0 2 0 0 7 2 6 UO
15 5 Twente 2 1 1 2.0 0.5 2 0 0 4 1 6 OU
16 6 For Sittard 2 1 1 1.5 1.5 1 0 1 3 3 3 OU
17 12 Heerenveen 3 2 1 1.0 1.7 1 0 2 3 5 3 UUO
18 13 Zwolle 2 1 1 0.5 2.5 0 0 2 1 5 0 UO
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 PSV Eindhoven 3 0 3 3.7 1.0 3 0 0 11 3 9 OOO
2 4 Excelsior 3 0 3 3.0 0.7 2 1 0 9 2 7 OOO
3 6 For Sittard 3 0 3 2.7 2.0 2 1 0 8 6 7 OOO
4 7 Go Ahead Eagles 3 0 3 2.3 3.3 0 2 1 7 10 2 OOO
5 1 AZ Alkmaar 3 1 2 3.0 1.0 3 0 0 9 3 9 OUO
6 3 Feyenoord 3 1 2 3.0 1.0 3 0 0 9 3 9 UOO
7 5 Twente 3 1 2 2.0 1.3 1 1 1 6 4 4 UOO
8 9 Nijmegen 2 0 2 3.5 1.0 2 0 0 7 2 6 OO
9 10 Groningen 2 0 2 2.5 3.0 1 0 1 5 6 3 OO
10 11 Sparta Rotterdam 2 0 2 2.0 1.5 1 0 1 4 3 3 OO
11 12 Heerenveen 2 0 2 2.0 2.0 0 2 0 4 4 2 OO
12 13 Zwolle 3 1 2 1.7 1.7 1 1 1 5 5 4 OUO
13 15 Utrecht 2 0 2 2.0 2.5 0 1 1 4 5 1 OO
14 16 Den Haag 3 1 2 1.0 2.3 0 1 2 3 7 1 UOO
15 18 Cambuur 2 0 2 1.5 2.5 0 1 1 3 5 1 OO
16 8 Ajax 2 1 1 3.0 0.0 2 0 0 6 0 6 UO
17 14 Telstar 2 1 1 1.0 1.0 1 0 1 2 2 3 OU
18 17 Willem II 1 0 1 1.0 4.0 0 0 1 1 4 0 O

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 4 Nov 2026, 21:10