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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Netherlands Eredivisie ·

Ajax 1–1 Nijmegen

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2026/2027

Home 1.30 fair 2.16
Draw ✓ 5.50 fair 4.81
Away 8.50 fair 3.04
Under 2.5 ✓ 3.50 fair 3.88
Over 2.5 1.30 fair 1.35

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Ajax Nijmegen
18 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 2
1.78 Expected goals (xG) 1.05
4 Corners 4
8 Fouls 13
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (67 league matches this season so far).
Result Ajax to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.37
Expected goals 2.11 – 1.76
Home / Draw / Away
AjaxDrawNijmegen
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 8.2% 1–1 7.7% 2–2 7.2%

Statistics 2026/2027, before this match

Ajax before this match, all matches
2.00points / match
3.00scored / match
1.29conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 21:9
Nijmegen before this match, all matches
1.14points / match
1.71scored / match
1.86conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 12:13
Ajax all matches all matches Nijmegen

Per match

3.00 Goals scored 1.71
1.29 Goals conceded 1.86
4.29 Total goals 3.57
2.56 xG created 1.64
1.25 xG allowed 2.03
24.71 Shots 15.14
8.00 Shots on target 4.14
9.57 Shots faced 11.57
8.00 Corners 5.00
2.14 Corners against 3.71
8.71 Fouls 11.14
1.86 Yellow cards 1.57
1.14 1st-half goals scored 0.71
0.57 1st-half goals conceded 0.86

How often Full Time

57% Wins 29%
29% Draws 29%
14% Losses 43%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 100%
86% Over 2.5 goals 86%
86% Over 3.5 goals 57%
29% Over 4.5 goals 14%
29% Over 5.5 goals 0%
71% Both teams scored 86%
29% Clean sheets 0%
0% Failed to score 14%

How often Half Time

57% Wins 29%
29% Draws 43%
14% Losses 29%
86% Over 0.5 goals 86%
57% Over 1.5 goals 57%
29% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Ajax all matches
Nijmegen all matches
Ajax before this match, at home
1.25points / match
2.50scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 10:8
Nijmegen before this match, away
2.00points / match
2.33scored / match
1.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 7:5
Ajax at home away Nijmegen

Per match

2.50 Goals scored 2.33
2.00 Goals conceded 1.67
4.50 Total goals 4.00
2.53 xG created 1.97
1.58 xG allowed 2.18
27.00 Shots 13.00
7.50 Shots on target 5.00
10.25 Shots faced 11.33
7.75 Corners 4.67
1.25 Corners against 3.67
6.50 Fouls 14.67
1.50 Yellow cards 2.33
1.50 1st-half goals scored 1.00
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

25% Wins 67%
50% Draws 0%
25% Losses 33%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 100%
100% Over 2.5 goals 100%
100% Over 3.5 goals 67%
25% Over 4.5 goals 33%
25% Over 5.5 goals 0%
100% Both teams scored 67%
0% Clean sheets 0%
0% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 67%
25% Draws 0%
25% Losses 33%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 33%
50% Over 2.5 goals 33%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Ajax at home
Nijmegen away

Last 10 matches before this match

Ajax all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.09.26 Ajax – Excelsior 2–2 (1–1) 1.227.0011.00 1.25 4.00
15.09.26 Ajax – Willem II 5–1 (2–0) 1.109.0021.00 1.22 4.20
12.09.26 For Sittard – Ajax 1–5 (0–1) 5.755.251.44 1.36 3.10
05.09.26 Ajax – PSV Eindhoven 1–3 (1–2) 2.703.752.40 1.30 3.50
30.08.26 Telstar – Ajax 0–4 (0–1) 5.004.501.57 1.40 2.88
16.08.26 Ajax – Heerenveen 2–2 (2–1) 1.444.507.00 1.40 2.88
09.08.26 Zwolle – Ajax 0–2 (0–0) 6.004.501.50 1.48 2.60
17.05.26 Heerenveen – Ajax 0–0 (0–0) 2.903.902.05 1.33 3.40
10.05.26 Ajax – Utrecht 1–2 (0–0) 1.674.334.50 1.36 3.10
02.05.26 Ajax – PSV Eindhoven 2–2 (1–1) 2.454.202.45 1.36 3.10

Nijmegen all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.09.26 Nijmegen – Go Ahead Eagles 1–1 (1–1) 1.954.003.50 1.36 3.10
12.09.26 Cambuur – Nijmegen 3–0 (1–0) 5.005.001.53 1.36 3.10
08.09.26 Nijmegen – Excelsior 2–2 (1–1) 1.624.105.00 1.48 2.60
05.09.26 Nijmegen – Feyenoord 1–3 (0–0) 2.903.902.20 1.36 3.10
29.08.26 Zwolle – Nijmegen 1–3 (1–2) 4.504.331.67 1.44 2.70
15.08.26 Willem II – Nijmegen 1–4 (0–1) 4.754.751.57 1.44 2.70
08.08.26 Nijmegen – Telstar 1–2 (0–2) 1.504.506.00 1.44 2.70
17.05.26 Nijmegen – Go Ahead Eagles 2–1 (2–0) 1.384.757.00 1.33 3.40
10.05.26 Groningen – Nijmegen 2–1 (1–0) 2.903.802.20 1.44 2.70
02.05.26 Nijmegen – Telstar 1–1 (0–1) 1.504.755.25 1.36 3.10

Ajax at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.09.26 Ajax – Excelsior 2–2 (1–1) 1.227.0011.00 1.25 4.00
15.09.26 Ajax – Willem II 5–1 (2–0) 1.109.0021.00 1.22 4.20
05.09.26 Ajax – PSV Eindhoven 1–3 (1–2) 2.703.752.40 1.30 3.50
16.08.26 Ajax – Heerenveen 2–2 (2–1) 1.444.507.00 1.40 2.88
10.05.26 Ajax – Utrecht 1–2 (0–0) 1.674.334.50 1.36 3.10
02.05.26 Ajax – PSV Eindhoven 2–2 (1–1) 2.454.202.45 1.36 3.10
04.04.26 Ajax – Twente 1–2 (1–1) 2.303.752.88 1.53 2.40
14.03.26 Ajax – Sparta Rotterdam 4–0 (2–0) 1.624.504.50 1.50 2.50
21.02.26 Ajax – Nijmegen 1–1 (1–0) 1.754.334.00 1.44 2.70
14.02.26 Ajax – For Sittard 4–1 (3–1) 1.365.008.00 1.53 2.40

Nijmegen away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.09.26 Cambuur – Nijmegen 3–0 (1–0) 5.005.001.53 1.36 3.10
29.08.26 Zwolle – Nijmegen 1–3 (1–2) 4.504.331.67 1.44 2.70
15.08.26 Willem II – Nijmegen 1–4 (0–1) 4.754.751.57 1.44 2.70
10.05.26 Groningen – Nijmegen 2–1 (1–0) 2.903.802.20 1.44 2.70
25.04.26 Twente – Nijmegen 1–1 (1–1) 1.904.003.60 1.44 2.70
04.04.26 Excelsior – Nijmegen 0–2 (0–1) 3.504.001.95 1.50 2.50
14.03.26 PSV Eindhoven – Nijmegen 2–3 (1–2) 1.454.756.00 1.29 3.60
21.02.26 Ajax – Nijmegen 1–1 (1–0) 1.754.334.00 1.44 2.70
17.02.26 Sparta Rotterdam – Nijmegen 1–1 (0–0) 2.633.602.50 1.57 2.35
31.01.26 AZ Alkmaar – Nijmegen 1–3 (1–2) 1.804.103.90 1.44 2.70

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Ajax winsDrawsNijmegen wins
10matches
2.80goals / match
60%over 2.5
60%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.02.26N1 Ajax – Nijmegen 1–1 (1–0) 1.754.334.00 1.44 2.70
20.12.25N1 Nijmegen – Ajax 2–2 (1–2) 2.304.002.63 1.48 2.60
11.05.25N1 Ajax – Nijmegen 0–3 (0–0) 1.305.509.00 1.48 2.60
01.12.24N1 Nijmegen – Ajax 1–2 (1–1) 4.334.001.70 1.67 2.15
18.02.24N1 Ajax – Nijmegen 2–2 (1–0) 1.405.506.00 1.36 3.10
03.12.23N1 Nijmegen – Ajax 1–2 (0–0) 4.334.331.70 1.44 2.70
05.03.23N1 Ajax – Nijmegen 1–0 (0–0) 1.226.5011.00 1.40 2.88
08.01.23N1 Nijmegen – Ajax 1–1 (0–1) 6.506.001.36 1.44 2.70
23.04.22N1 Nijmegen – Ajax 0–1 (0–0) 13.007.001.20 1.36 3.10
14.08.21N1 Ajax – Nijmegen 5–0 (5–0) 1.109.0017.00 1.28 3.60

Netherlands Eredivisie table 2026/2027, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Feyenoord 8 6 2 0 27 7 +20 20
2 PSV Eindhoven 8 6 1 1 26 10 +16 19
3 AZ Alkmaar 8 6 1 1 18 8 +10 19
4 Twente 8 5 2 1 16 8 +8 17
5 Ajax 7 4 2 1 21 9 +12 14
6 For Sittard 8 4 2 2 14 15 -1 14
7 Excelsior 7 3 2 2 15 9 +6 11
8 Go Ahead Eagles 8 2 5 1 19 17 +2 11
9 Groningen 7 3 2 2 15 13 +2 11
10 Heerenveen 8 2 3 3 11 11 0 9
11 Nijmegen 7 2 2 3 12 13 -1 8
12 Sparta Rotterdam 8 1 3 4 13 20 -7 6
13 Telstar 7 1 2 4 5 12 -7 5
14 Cambuur 7 1 2 4 10 19 -9 5
15 Utrecht 7 1 2 4 11 24 -13 5
16 Zwolle 7 1 1 5 6 20 -14 4
17 Den Haag 7 0 2 5 7 17 -10 2
18 Willem II 7 0 2 5 6 20 -14 2
  • Champions League – league phase
  • Champions League – 3rd qualifying round
  • Europa League – 2nd qualifying round
  • Play-offs for a Conference League place
  • Relegation play-off
  • Relegation to Eerste Divisie

KNVB Cup winners go to the Europa League league phase, so places can move down the table.

Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Twente 4 4 0 0 9 3 +6 12
2 PSV Eindhoven 4 3 1 0 13 4 +9 10
3 AZ Alkmaar 4 3 1 0 9 3 +6 10
4 Feyenoord 4 2 2 0 11 4 +7 8
5 Go Ahead Eagles 4 2 2 0 11 6 +5 8
6 Groningen 4 2 1 1 9 6 +3 7
7 Ajax 4 1 2 1 10 8 +2 5
8 Heerenveen 4 1 1 2 3 5 -2 4
9 For Sittard 4 1 1 2 5 9 -4 4
10 Excelsior 3 1 0 2 4 5 -1 3
11 Cambuur 4 1 0 3 6 13 -7 3
12 Nijmegen 4 0 2 2 5 8 -3 2
13 Sparta Rotterdam 4 0 2 2 5 10 -5 2
14 Den Haag 3 0 1 2 4 8 -4 1
15 Telstar 3 0 1 2 3 9 -6 1
16 Willem II 4 0 1 3 3 10 -7 1
17 Utrecht 3 0 1 2 5 13 -8 1
18 Zwolle 3 0 0 3 1 12 -11 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Feyenoord 4 4 0 0 16 3 +13 12
2 For Sittard 4 3 1 0 9 6 +3 10
3 Ajax 3 3 0 0 11 1 +10 9
4 PSV Eindhoven 4 3 0 1 13 6 +7 9
5 AZ Alkmaar 4 3 0 1 9 5 +4 9
6 Excelsior 4 2 2 0 11 4 +7 8
7 Nijmegen 3 2 0 1 7 5 +2 6
8 Heerenveen 4 1 2 1 8 6 +2 5
9 Twente 4 1 2 1 7 5 +2 5
10 Groningen 3 1 1 1 6 7 -1 4
11 Telstar 4 1 1 2 2 3 -1 4
12 Sparta Rotterdam 4 1 1 2 8 10 -2 4
13 Zwolle 4 1 1 2 5 8 -3 4
14 Utrecht 4 1 1 2 6 11 -5 4
15 Go Ahead Eagles 4 0 3 1 8 11 -3 3
16 Cambuur 3 0 2 1 4 6 -2 2
17 Den Haag 4 0 1 3 3 9 -6 1
18 Willem II 3 0 1 2 3 10 -7 1

Ajax   Nijmegen

Under / Over goals 2026/2027, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 PSV Eindhoven 8 1 7 3.2 1.2 6 1 1 26 10 19
2 7 Excelsior 7 0 7 2.1 1.3 3 2 2 15 9 11
3 12 Sparta Rotterdam 8 1 7 1.6 2.5 1 3 4 13 20 6
4 15 Utrecht 7 0 7 1.6 3.4 1 2 4 11 24 5
5 1 Feyenoord 8 2 6 3.4 0.9 6 2 0 27 7 20
6 5 Ajax 7 1 6 3.0 1.3 4 2 1 21 9 14
7 8 Go Ahead Eagles 8 2 6 2.4 2.1 2 5 1 19 17 11
8 9 Groningen 7 1 6 2.1 1.9 3 2 2 15 13 11
9 11 Nijmegen 7 1 6 1.7 1.9 2 2 3 12 13 8
10 14 Cambuur 7 1 6 1.4 2.7 1 2 4 10 19 5
11 6 For Sittard 8 3 5 1.8 1.9 4 2 2 14 15 14
12 16 Zwolle 7 2 5 0.9 2.9 1 1 5 6 20 4
13 18 Willem II 7 2 5 0.9 2.9 0 2 5 6 20 2
14 4 Twente 8 4 4 2.0 1.0 5 2 1 16 8 17
15 10 Heerenveen 8 4 4 1.4 1.4 2 3 3 11 11 9
16 13 Telstar 7 3 4 0.7 1.7 1 2 4 5 12 5
17 17 Den Haag 7 3 4 1.0 2.4 0 2 5 7 17 2
18 3 AZ Alkmaar 8 5 3 2.2 1.0 6 1 1 18 8 19
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Ajax 4 0 4 2.5 2.0 1 2 1 10 8 5
2 9 Groningen 4 0 4 2.2 1.5 2 1 1 9 6 7
3 14 Cambuur 4 0 4 1.5 3.2 1 0 3 6 13 3
4 1 Feyenoord 4 1 3 2.8 1.0 2 2 0 11 4 8
5 2 PSV Eindhoven 4 1 3 3.2 1.0 3 1 0 13 4 10
6 7 Excelsior 3 0 3 1.3 1.7 1 0 2 4 5 3
7 8 Go Ahead Eagles 4 1 3 2.8 1.5 2 2 0 11 6 8
8 11 Nijmegen 4 1 3 1.2 2.0 0 2 2 5 8 2
9 12 Sparta Rotterdam 4 1 3 1.2 2.5 0 2 2 5 10 2
10 13 Telstar 3 0 3 1.0 3.0 0 1 2 3 9 1
11 15 Utrecht 3 0 3 1.7 4.3 0 1 2 5 13 1
12 18 Willem II 4 1 3 0.8 2.5 0 1 3 3 10 1
13 4 Twente 4 2 2 2.2 0.8 4 0 0 9 3 12
14 6 For Sittard 4 2 2 1.2 2.2 1 1 2 5 9 4
15 16 Zwolle 3 1 2 0.3 4.0 0 0 3 1 12 0
16 17 Den Haag 3 1 2 1.3 2.7 0 1 2 4 8 1
17 3 AZ Alkmaar 4 3 1 2.2 0.8 3 1 0 9 3 10
18 10 Heerenveen 4 3 1 0.8 1.2 1 1 2 3 5 4
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 PSV Eindhoven 4 0 4 3.2 1.5 3 0 1 13 6 9
2 7 Excelsior 4 0 4 2.8 1.0 2 2 0 11 4 8
3 12 Sparta Rotterdam 4 0 4 2.0 2.5 1 1 2 8 10 4
4 15 Utrecht 4 0 4 1.5 2.8 1 1 2 6 11 4
5 1 Feyenoord 4 1 3 4.0 0.8 4 0 0 16 3 12
6 6 For Sittard 4 1 3 2.2 1.5 3 1 0 9 6 10
7 8 Go Ahead Eagles 4 1 3 2.0 2.8 0 3 1 8 11 3
8 10 Heerenveen 4 1 3 2.0 1.5 1 2 1 8 6 5
9 11 Nijmegen 3 0 3 2.3 1.7 2 0 1 7 5 6
10 16 Zwolle 4 1 3 1.2 2.0 1 1 2 5 8 4
11 3 AZ Alkmaar 4 2 2 2.2 1.2 3 0 1 9 5 9
12 4 Twente 4 2 2 1.8 1.2 1 2 1 7 5 5
13 5 Ajax 3 1 2 3.7 0.3 3 0 0 11 1 9
14 9 Groningen 3 1 2 2.0 2.3 1 1 1 6 7 4
15 14 Cambuur 3 1 2 1.3 2.0 0 2 1 4 6 2
16 17 Den Haag 4 2 2 0.8 2.2 0 1 3 3 9 1
17 18 Willem II 3 1 2 1.0 3.3 0 1 2 3 10 1
18 13 Telstar 4 3 1 0.5 0.8 1 1 2 2 3 4

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51