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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Milan 1–0 Inter

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 3.60 fair 3.13
Draw 3.00 fair 3.83
Away 2.25 fair 2.38
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.80 fair 1.95
Over 2.5 2.00 fair 2.05

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Milan Inter
9 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 2
1 Corners 6
8 Fouls 12
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (278 league matches this season so far).
Result Inter to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.89
Expected goals 1.20 – 1.42
Home / Draw / Away
MilanDrawInter
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.4% 0–1 10.3% 1–2 8.8%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Milan before this match, all matches
2.11points / match
1.59scored / match
0.74conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 27 played · 43:20
Inter before this match, all matches
2.48points / match
2.37scored / match
0.78conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 27 played · 64:21
Milan all matches all matches Inter

Per match

1.59 Goals scored 2.37
0.74 Goals conceded 0.78
2.33 Total goals 3.15
13.74 Shots 18.56
4.59 Shots on target 6.48
11.07 Shots faced 8.15
4.63 Corners 6.96
4.48 Corners against 2.70
9.78 Fouls 13.74
1.59 Yellow cards 1.59
0.59 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.33 1st-half goals conceded 0.37

How often Full Time

59% Wins 81%
33% Draws 4%
7% Losses 15%
96% Over 0.5 goals 100%
70% Over 1.5 goals 81%
44% Over 2.5 goals 56%
19% Over 3.5 goals 37%
4% Over 4.5 goals 22%
0% Over 5.5 goals 7%
52% Both teams scored 41%
44% Clean sheets 56%
7% Failed to score 4%

How often Half Time

30% Wins 56%
59% Draws 33%
11% Losses 11%
56% Over 0.5 goals 78%
30% Over 1.5 goals 41%
7% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milan all matches
Inter all matches
Milan before this match, at home
1.92points / match
1.38scored / match
0.85conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 18:11
Inter before this match, away
2.54points / match
2.00scored / match
0.69conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 26:9
Milan at home away Inter

Per match

1.38 Goals scored 2.00
0.85 Goals conceded 0.69
2.23 Total goals 2.69
16.77 Shots 18.08
5.31 Shots on target 5.62
9.00 Shots faced 7.54
5.92 Corners 6.08
3.46 Corners against 2.92
10.77 Fouls 13.62
1.77 Yellow cards 1.54
0.54 1st-half goals scored 0.92
0.31 1st-half goals conceded 0.31

How often Full Time

54% Wins 85%
31% Draws 0%
15% Losses 15%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
62% Over 1.5 goals 77%
46% Over 2.5 goals 38%
15% Over 3.5 goals 23%
0% Over 4.5 goals 15%
0% Over 5.5 goals 8%
54% Both teams scored 31%
38% Clean sheets 69%
8% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

31% Wins 54%
54% Draws 31%
15% Losses 15%
62% Over 0.5 goals 77%
23% Over 1.5 goals 38%
0% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milan at home
Inter away

Last 10 matches before this match

Milan all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.03.26 Cremonese – Milan 0–2 (0–0) 6.504.331.50 1.91 1.91
22.02.26 Milan – Parma 0–1 (0–0) 1.335.009.50 1.80 2.00
18.02.26 Milan – Como 1–1 (0–1) 2.253.303.25 2.00 1.85
13.02.26 Pisa – Milan 1–2 (0–1) 6.504.201.50 1.93 1.93
03.02.26 Bologna – Milan 0–3 (0–2) 2.903.252.50 2.10 1.73
25.01.26 Roma – Milan 1–1 (0–0) 2.633.102.88 2.20 1.67
18.01.26 Milan – Lecce 1–0 (0–0) 1.295.0013.00 1.91 1.91
15.01.26 Como – Milan 1–3 (1–1) 2.903.252.50 2.00 1.80
11.01.26 Fiorentina – Milan 1–1 (0–0) 3.803.402.00 2.03 1.83
08.01.26 Milan – Genoa 1–1 (0–1) 1.444.507.50 2.00 1.80

Inter all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.02.26 Inter – Genoa 2–0 (1–0) 1.335.509.00 1.73 2.10
21.02.26 Lecce – Inter 0–2 (0–0) 7.004.331.48 2.10 1.73
14.02.26 Inter – Juventus 3–2 (1–1) 1.953.404.10 1.98 1.88
08.02.26 Sassuolo – Inter 0–5 (0–2) 7.504.501.44 1.80 2.00
01.02.26 Cremonese – Inter 0–2 (0–2) 11.005.001.30 1.67 2.20
23.01.26 Inter – Pisa 6–2 (3–2) 1.187.5015.00 1.50 2.63
17.01.26 Udinese – Inter 0–1 (0–1) 7.004.751.42 1.73 2.10
14.01.26 Inter – Lecce 1–0 (0–0) 1.139.0019.00 1.50 2.63
11.01.26 Inter – Napoli 2–2 (1–1) 1.703.505.25 2.10 1.73
07.01.26 Parma – Inter 0–2 (0–1) 7.505.001.40 1.67 2.20

Milan at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.02.26 Milan – Parma 0–1 (0–0) 1.335.009.50 1.80 2.00
18.02.26 Milan – Como 1–1 (0–1) 2.253.303.25 2.00 1.85
18.01.26 Milan – Lecce 1–0 (0–0) 1.295.0013.00 1.91 1.91
08.01.26 Milan – Genoa 1–1 (0–1) 1.444.507.50 2.00 1.80
28.12.25 Milan – Verona 3–0 (1–0) 1.384.758.50 1.80 2.00
14.12.25 Milan – Sassuolo 2–2 (1–1) 1.424.338.00 1.83 2.03
29.11.25 Milan – Lazio 1–0 (0–0) 1.623.805.75 2.10 1.73
02.11.25 Milan – Roma 1–0 (1–0) 2.203.003.70 2.20 1.67
24.10.25 Milan – Pisa 2–2 (1–0) 1.305.5010.00 1.80 2.05
19.10.25 Milan – Fiorentina 2–1 (0–0) 1.504.336.50 1.88 1.98

Inter away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.02.26 Lecce – Inter 0–2 (0–0) 7.004.331.48 2.10 1.73
08.02.26 Sassuolo – Inter 0–5 (0–2) 7.504.501.44 1.80 2.00
01.02.26 Cremonese – Inter 0–2 (0–2) 11.005.001.30 1.67 2.20
17.01.26 Udinese – Inter 0–1 (0–1) 7.004.751.42 1.73 2.10
07.01.26 Parma – Inter 0–2 (0–1) 7.505.001.40 1.67 2.20
28.12.25 Atalanta – Inter 0–1 (0–0) 3.503.502.00 1.73 2.10
14.12.25 Genoa – Inter 1–2 (0–2) 6.504.201.50 2.00 1.80
30.11.25 Pisa – Inter 0–2 (0–0) 8.005.751.30 1.73 2.10
02.11.25 Verona – Inter 1–2 (1–1) 7.504.501.42 1.80 2.00
25.10.25 Napoli – Inter 3–1 (1–0) 3.003.102.40 2.10 1.73

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Milan winsDrawsInter wins
9matches
2.89goals / match
56%over 2.5
78%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.11.25I1 Inter – Milan 0–1 (0–0) 1.903.504.00 1.88 1.98
02.02.25I1 Milan – Inter 1–1 (1–0) 4.003.501.91 1.80 2.00
22.09.24I1 Inter – Milan 1–2 (1–1) 1.654.005.25 1.67 2.20
22.04.24I1 Milan – Inter 1–2 (0–1) 3.753.602.00 1.73 2.10
16.09.23I1 Inter – Milan 5–1 (2–0) 2.153.503.40 1.90 2.00
05.02.23I1 Inter – Milan 1–0 (1–0) 1.953.504.00 1.85 2.05
03.09.22I1 Milan – Inter 3–2 (1–1) 2.803.252.60 1.88 2.02
05.02.22I1 Inter – Milan 1–2 (1–0) 1.803.754.50 1.66 2.20
07.11.21I1 Milan – Inter 1–1 (1–1) 3.253.502.15 1.66 2.20

Italy Serie A table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 27 22 1 4 64 21 +43 67
2 Milan 27 16 9 2 43 20 +23 57
3 Napoli 28 17 5 6 43 29 +14 56
4 Como 28 14 9 5 46 21 +25 51
5 Roma 28 16 3 9 38 21 +17 51
6 Juventus 28 14 8 6 50 28 +22 50
7 Atalanta 28 12 10 6 39 26 +13 46
8 Bologna 28 11 6 11 37 34 +3 39
9 Sassuolo 27 11 5 11 34 36 -2 38
10 Udinese 28 10 6 12 33 41 -8 36
11 Lazio 27 8 10 9 26 27 -1 34
12 Parma 28 8 10 10 20 32 -12 34
13 Genoa 28 7 9 12 34 40 -6 30
14 Cagliari 28 7 9 12 30 38 -8 30
15 Torino 28 8 6 14 28 49 -21 30
16 Lecce 28 7 6 15 20 37 -17 27
17 Fiorentina 28 5 10 13 30 42 -12 25
18 Cremonese 28 5 9 14 22 40 -18 24
19 Verona 28 3 9 16 22 49 -27 18
20 Pisa 28 1 12 15 20 48 -28 15
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 14 11 1 2 38 12 +26 34
2 Napoli 13 9 4 0 23 12 +11 31
3 Juventus 14 8 5 1 29 12 +17 29
4 Roma 14 9 2 3 22 9 +13 29
5 Atalanta 15 8 5 2 24 13 +11 29
6 Como 14 7 5 2 24 10 +14 26
7 Milan 13 7 4 2 18 11 +7 25
8 Sassuolo 14 6 2 6 17 20 -3 20
9 Lazio 13 5 4 4 18 16 +2 19
10 Genoa 15 5 4 6 19 19 0 19
11 Udinese 14 5 4 5 16 18 -2 19
12 Bologna 14 5 2 7 14 16 -2 17
13 Torino 14 5 2 7 15 22 -7 17
14 Cagliari 14 4 4 6 16 17 -1 16
15 Lecce 15 4 4 7 11 19 -8 16
16 Fiorentina 14 3 5 6 18 19 -1 14
17 Parma 14 3 5 6 11 19 -8 14
18 Cremonese 13 2 6 5 11 17 -6 12
19 Verona 13 1 4 8 12 21 -9 7
20 Pisa 14 1 4 9 4 17 -13 7
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 13 11 0 2 26 9 +17 33
2 Milan 14 9 5 0 25 9 +16 32
3 Como 14 7 4 3 22 11 +11 25
4 Napoli 15 8 1 6 20 17 +3 25
5 Bologna 14 6 4 4 23 18 +5 22
6 Roma 14 7 1 6 16 12 +4 22
7 Juventus 14 6 3 5 21 16 +5 21
8 Parma 14 5 5 4 9 13 -4 20
9 Sassuolo 13 5 3 5 17 16 +1 18
10 Atalanta 13 4 5 4 15 13 +2 17
11 Udinese 14 5 2 7 17 23 -6 17
12 Lazio 14 3 6 5 8 11 -3 15
13 Cagliari 14 3 5 6 14 21 -7 14
14 Torino 14 3 4 7 13 27 -14 13
15 Cremonese 15 3 3 9 11 23 -12 12
16 Genoa 13 2 5 6 15 21 -6 11
17 Lecce 13 3 2 8 9 18 -9 11
18 Fiorentina 14 2 5 7 12 23 -11 11
19 Verona 15 2 5 8 10 28 -18 11
20 Pisa 14 0 8 6 16 31 -15 8

Milan   Inter

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 19 Verona 28 10 18 0.8 1.8 3 9 16 22 49 18
2 13 Genoa 28 11 17 1.2 1.4 7 9 12 34 40 30
3 15 Torino 28 11 17 1.0 1.8 8 6 14 28 49 30
4 17 Fiorentina 28 11 17 1.1 1.5 5 10 13 30 42 25
5 3 Napoli 28 12 16 1.5 1.0 17 5 6 43 29 56
6 1 Inter 27 12 15 2.4 0.8 22 1 4 64 21 67
7 9 Sassuolo 27 12 15 1.3 1.3 11 5 11 34 36 38
8 10 Udinese 28 13 15 1.2 1.5 10 6 12 33 41 36
9 6 Juventus 28 14 14 1.8 1.0 14 8 6 50 28 50
10 8 Bologna 28 14 14 1.3 1.2 11 6 11 37 34 39
11 14 Cagliari 28 15 13 1.1 1.4 7 9 12 30 38 30
12 2 Milan 27 15 12 1.6 0.7 16 9 2 43 20 57
13 4 Como 28 16 12 1.6 0.8 14 9 5 46 21 51
14 20 Pisa 28 16 12 0.7 1.7 1 12 15 20 48 15
15 7 Atalanta 28 17 11 1.4 0.9 12 10 6 39 26 46
16 18 Cremonese 28 17 11 0.8 1.4 5 9 14 22 40 24
17 16 Lecce 28 18 10 0.7 1.3 7 6 15 20 37 27
18 5 Roma 28 19 9 1.4 0.8 16 3 9 38 21 51
19 12 Parma 28 19 9 0.7 1.1 8 10 10 20 32 34
20 11 Lazio 27 20 7 1.0 1.0 8 10 9 26 27 34
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Inter 14 4 10 2.7 0.9 11 1 2 38 12 34
2 3 Napoli 13 4 9 1.8 0.9 9 4 0 23 12 31
3 13 Genoa 15 6 9 1.3 1.3 5 4 6 19 19 19
4 6 Juventus 14 6 8 2.1 0.9 8 5 1 29 12 29
5 9 Sassuolo 14 6 8 1.2 1.4 6 2 6 17 20 20
6 15 Torino 14 6 8 1.1 1.6 5 2 7 15 22 17
7 17 Fiorentina 14 6 8 1.3 1.4 3 5 6 18 19 14
8 19 Verona 13 5 8 0.9 1.6 1 4 8 12 21 7
9 7 Atalanta 15 8 7 1.6 0.9 8 5 2 24 13 29
10 10 Udinese 14 7 7 1.1 1.3 5 4 5 16 18 19
11 16 Lecce 15 8 7 0.7 1.3 4 4 7 11 19 16
12 2 Milan 13 7 6 1.4 0.8 7 4 2 18 11 25
13 8 Bologna 14 8 6 1.0 1.1 5 2 7 14 16 17
14 4 Como 14 9 5 1.7 0.7 7 5 2 24 10 26
15 11 Lazio 13 8 5 1.4 1.2 5 4 4 18 16 19
16 12 Parma 14 9 5 0.8 1.4 3 5 6 11 19 14
17 14 Cagliari 14 9 5 1.1 1.2 4 4 6 16 17 16
18 5 Roma 14 10 4 1.6 0.6 9 2 3 22 9 29
19 18 Cremonese 13 9 4 0.8 1.3 2 6 5 11 17 12
20 20 Pisa 14 11 3 0.3 1.2 1 4 9 4 17 7
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 19 Verona 15 5 10 0.7 1.9 2 5 8 10 28 11
2 15 Torino 14 5 9 0.9 1.9 3 4 7 13 27 13
3 17 Fiorentina 14 5 9 0.9 1.6 2 5 7 12 23 11
4 20 Pisa 14 5 9 1.1 2.2 0 8 6 16 31 8
5 8 Bologna 14 6 8 1.6 1.3 6 4 4 23 18 22
6 10 Udinese 14 6 8 1.2 1.6 5 2 7 17 23 17
7 13 Genoa 13 5 8 1.2 1.6 2 5 6 15 21 11
8 14 Cagliari 14 6 8 1.0 1.5 3 5 6 14 21 14
9 3 Napoli 15 8 7 1.3 1.1 8 1 6 20 17 25
10 4 Como 14 7 7 1.6 0.8 7 4 3 22 11 25
11 9 Sassuolo 13 6 7 1.3 1.2 5 3 5 17 16 18
12 18 Cremonese 15 8 7 0.7 1.5 3 3 9 11 23 12
13 2 Milan 14 8 6 1.8 0.6 9 5 0 25 9 32
14 6 Juventus 14 8 6 1.5 1.1 6 3 5 21 16 21
15 1 Inter 13 8 5 2.0 0.7 11 0 2 26 9 33
16 5 Roma 14 9 5 1.1 0.9 7 1 6 16 12 22
17 7 Atalanta 13 9 4 1.2 1.0 4 5 4 15 13 17
18 12 Parma 14 10 4 0.6 0.9 5 5 4 9 13 20
19 16 Lecce 13 10 3 0.7 1.4 3 2 8 9 18 11
20 11 Lazio 14 12 2 0.6 0.8 3 6 5 8 11 15

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51