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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Milan 1–0 Lazio

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.62 fair 2.40
Draw 3.80 fair 3.53
Away 5.75 fair 3.33
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.73 fair 1.66
Over 2.5 2.10 fair 2.52

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Milan Lazio
16 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 4
1 Corners 4
10 Fouls 12
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (124 league matches this season so far).
Result Milan to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.84
Expected goals 1.25 – 1.02
Home / Draw / Away
MilanDrawLazio
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 13.2% 1–0 12.9% 0–1 10.5%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Milan before this match, all matches
2.08points / match
1.50scored / match
0.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 18:9
Lazio before this match, all matches
1.50points / match
1.25scored / match
0.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 15:9
Milan all matches all matches Lazio

Per match

1.50 Goals scored 1.25
0.75 Goals conceded 0.75
2.25 Total goals 2.00
13.17 Shots 11.00
4.67 Shots on target 4.08
11.75 Shots faced 13.08
4.00 Corners 3.42
4.92 Corners against 4.33
9.83 Fouls 10.75
1.50 Yellow cards 1.42
0.75 1st-half goals scored 0.75
0.25 1st-half goals conceded 0.25

How often Full Time

58% Wins 42%
33% Draws 25%
8% Losses 33%
92% Over 0.5 goals 83%
67% Over 1.5 goals 58%
50% Over 2.5 goals 25%
17% Over 3.5 goals 17%
0% Over 4.5 goals 8%
0% Over 5.5 goals 8%
50% Both teams scored 8%
50% Clean sheets 58%
8% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

42% Wins 42%
58% Draws 42%
0% Losses 17%
58% Over 0.5 goals 58%
33% Over 1.5 goals 25%
8% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milan all matches
Lazio all matches
Milan before this match, at home
2.17points / match
1.50scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 9:6
Lazio before this match, away
0.83points / match
0.50scored / match
0.83conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 3:5
Milan at home away Lazio

Per match

1.50 Goals scored 0.50
1.00 Goals conceded 0.83
2.50 Total goals 1.33
15.83 Shots 8.50
5.17 Shots on target 3.67
10.17 Shots faced 13.33
5.17 Corners 1.67
4.33 Corners against 4.67
11.33 Fouls 11.17
1.67 Yellow cards 1.67
0.83 1st-half goals scored 0.33
0.17 1st-half goals conceded 0.17

How often Full Time

67% Wins 17%
17% Draws 33%
17% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 67%
67% Over 1.5 goals 50%
67% Over 2.5 goals 17%
17% Over 3.5 goals 0%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
67% Both teams scored 0%
33% Clean sheets 50%
0% Failed to score 83%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 17%
50% Draws 67%
0% Losses 17%
67% Over 0.5 goals 33%
33% Over 1.5 goals 17%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milan at home
Lazio away

Last 10 matches before this match

Milan all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.11.25 Inter – Milan 0–1 (0–0) 1.903.504.00 1.88 1.98
08.11.25 Parma – Milan 2–2 (1–2) 5.754.001.57 2.10 1.73
02.11.25 Milan – Roma 1–0 (1–0) 2.203.003.70 2.20 1.67
28.10.25 Atalanta – Milan 1–1 (1–1) 2.633.202.75 2.00 1.85
24.10.25 Milan – Pisa 2–2 (1–0) 1.305.5010.00 1.80 2.05
19.10.25 Milan – Fiorentina 2–1 (0–0) 1.504.336.50 1.88 1.98
05.10.25 Juventus – Milan 0–0 (0–0) 2.703.202.70 2.10 1.73
28.09.25 Milan – Napoli 2–1 (2–0) 2.353.103.20 2.10 1.73
20.09.25 Udinese – Milan 0–3 (0–1) 4.333.601.83 2.10 1.73
14.09.25 Milan – Bologna 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.404.20 2.00 1.85

Lazio all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.11.25 Lazio – Lecce 2–0 (1–0) 1.623.706.25 2.20 1.67
09.11.25 Inter – Lazio 2–0 (1–0) 1.365.008.00 1.67 2.20
03.11.25 Lazio – Cagliari 2–0 (0–0) 1.533.807.00 1.98 1.88
30.10.25 Pisa – Lazio 0–0 (0–0) 3.703.252.10 2.20 1.67
26.10.25 Lazio – Juventus 1–0 (1–0) 3.203.252.30 2.20 1.67
19.10.25 Atalanta – Lazio 0–0 (0–0) 1.734.004.50 1.80 2.00
04.10.25 Lazio – Torino 3–3 (2–1) 1.703.605.25 2.10 1.73
29.09.25 Genoa – Lazio 0–3 (0–2) 3.003.002.60 2.30 1.62
21.09.25 Lazio – Roma 0–1 (0–1) 2.803.102.63 2.30 1.62
14.09.25 Sassuolo – Lazio 1–0 (0–0) 3.503.602.05 1.90 1.95

Milan at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.11.25 Milan – Roma 1–0 (1–0) 2.203.003.70 2.20 1.67
24.10.25 Milan – Pisa 2–2 (1–0) 1.305.5010.00 1.80 2.05
19.10.25 Milan – Fiorentina 2–1 (0–0) 1.504.336.50 1.88 1.98
28.09.25 Milan – Napoli 2–1 (2–0) 2.353.103.20 2.10 1.73
14.09.25 Milan – Bologna 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.404.20 2.00 1.85
23.08.25 Milan – Cremonese 1–2 (1–1) 1.335.259.00 1.67 2.20
24.05.25 Milan – Monza 2–0 (0–0) 1.227.0011.00 1.33 3.40
09.05.25 Milan – Bologna 3–1 (0–0) 2.303.403.00 1.99 1.91
20.04.25 Milan – Atalanta 0–1 (0–0) 2.503.402.75 1.67 2.20
05.04.25 Milan – Fiorentina 2–2 (1–2) 1.903.504.20 1.73 2.10

Lazio away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.11.25 Inter – Lazio 2–0 (1–0) 1.365.008.00 1.67 2.20
30.10.25 Pisa – Lazio 0–0 (0–0) 3.703.252.10 2.20 1.67
19.10.25 Atalanta – Lazio 0–0 (0–0) 1.734.004.50 1.80 2.00
29.09.25 Genoa – Lazio 0–3 (0–2) 3.003.002.60 2.30 1.62
14.09.25 Sassuolo – Lazio 1–0 (0–0) 3.503.602.05 1.90 1.95
24.08.25 Como – Lazio 2–0 (0–0) 2.403.253.00 2.03 1.83
18.05.25 Inter – Lazio 2–2 (1–0) 1.624.205.00 1.73 2.10
04.05.25 Empoli – Lazio 0–1 (0–1) 4.333.601.83 2.00 1.78
23.04.25 Genoa – Lazio 0–2 (0–1) 3.303.202.30 2.30 1.62
06.04.25 Atalanta – Lazio 0–1 (0–0) 1.703.805.00 1.80 2.00

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Milan winsDrawsLazio wins
8matches
2.62goals / match
50%over 2.5
38%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.03.25I1 Milan – Lazio 1–2 (0–1) 2.053.603.50 1.86 2.04
31.08.24I1 Lazio – Milan 2–2 (0–1) 2.903.402.40 1.90 2.00
01.03.24I1 Lazio – Milan 0–1 (0–0) 3.503.202.20 2.10 1.70
30.09.23I1 Milan – Lazio 2–0 (0–0) 1.733.605.00 2.06 1.84
06.05.23I1 Milan – Lazio 2–0 (2–0) 1.953.404.00 2.20 1.67
24.01.23I1 Lazio – Milan 4–0 (2–0) 3.203.402.25 1.92 1.98
24.04.22I1 Lazio – Milan 1–2 (1–0) 2.903.402.45 1.91 1.99
12.09.21I1 Milan – Lazio 2–0 (1–0) 2.203.603.10 1.66 2.20

Italy Serie A table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Roma 12 9 0 3 15 6 +9 27
2 Milan 12 7 4 1 18 9 +9 25
3 Napoli 12 8 1 3 19 11 +8 25
4 Inter 12 8 0 4 26 13 +13 24
5 Bologna 12 7 3 2 21 8 +13 24
6 Como 13 6 6 1 19 7 +12 24
7 Juventus 13 6 5 2 17 12 +5 23
8 Lazio 12 5 3 4 15 9 +6 18
9 Udinese 13 5 3 5 14 20 -6 18
10 Sassuolo 13 5 2 6 16 16 0 17
11 Cremonese 12 3 5 4 13 16 -3 14
12 Torino 12 3 5 4 11 21 -10 14
13 Atalanta 12 2 7 3 14 14 0 13
14 Cagliari 13 2 5 6 13 19 -6 11
15 Genoa 13 2 5 6 13 20 -7 11
16 Parma 13 2 5 6 9 17 -8 11
17 Pisa 12 1 7 4 10 16 -6 10
18 Lecce 12 2 4 6 8 16 -8 10
19 Fiorentina 12 0 6 6 10 19 -9 6
20 Verona 13 0 6 7 8 20 -12 6
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 6 5 1 0 12 5 +7 16
2 Inter 7 5 0 2 17 5 +12 15
3 Como 7 4 3 0 11 3 +8 15
4 Juventus 7 4 3 0 12 6 +6 15
5 Lazio 6 4 1 1 12 4 +8 13
6 Bologna 5 4 1 0 9 1 +8 13
7 Milan 6 4 1 1 9 6 +3 13
8 Roma 6 4 0 2 7 3 +4 12
9 Udinese 6 2 2 2 6 10 -4 8
10 Torino 6 2 2 2 6 11 -5 8
11 Atalanta 6 1 4 1 7 7 0 7
12 Sassuolo 6 2 1 3 7 8 -1 7
13 Pisa 6 1 3 2 1 2 -1 6
14 Cremonese 6 1 3 2 7 9 -2 6
15 Parma 7 1 3 3 6 10 -4 6
16 Genoa 7 1 3 3 4 9 -5 6
17 Cagliari 6 1 2 3 7 10 -3 5
18 Verona 6 0 3 3 5 8 -3 3
19 Lecce 6 0 3 3 3 7 -4 3
20 Fiorentina 6 0 2 4 6 11 -5 2
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Roma 6 5 0 1 8 3 +5 15
2 Milan 6 3 3 0 9 3 +6 12
3 Bologna 7 3 2 2 12 7 +5 11
4 Sassuolo 7 3 1 3 9 8 +1 10
5 Udinese 7 3 1 3 8 10 -2 10
6 Como 6 2 3 1 8 4 +4 9
7 Inter 5 3 0 2 9 8 +1 9
8 Napoli 6 3 0 3 7 6 +1 9
9 Cremonese 6 2 2 2 6 7 -1 8
10 Juventus 6 2 2 2 5 6 -1 8
11 Lecce 6 2 1 3 5 9 -4 7
12 Atalanta 6 1 3 2 7 7 0 6
13 Cagliari 7 1 3 3 6 9 -3 6
14 Torino 6 1 3 2 5 10 -5 6
15 Genoa 6 1 2 3 9 11 -2 5
16 Lazio 6 1 2 3 3 5 -2 5
17 Parma 6 1 2 3 3 7 -4 5
18 Fiorentina 6 0 4 2 4 8 -4 4
19 Pisa 6 0 4 2 9 14 -5 4
20 Verona 7 0 3 4 3 12 -9 3

Milan   Lazio

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Inter 12 4 8 2.2 1.1 8 0 4 26 13 24
2 15 Genoa 13 5 8 1.0 1.5 2 5 6 13 20 11
3 10 Sassuolo 13 6 7 1.2 1.2 5 2 6 16 16 17
4 12 Torino 12 5 7 0.9 1.8 3 5 4 11 21 14
5 19 Fiorentina 12 5 7 0.8 1.6 0 6 6 10 19 6
6 2 Milan 12 6 6 1.5 0.8 7 4 1 18 9 25
7 3 Napoli 12 6 6 1.6 0.9 8 1 3 19 11 25
8 5 Bologna 12 6 6 1.8 0.7 7 3 2 21 8 24
9 9 Udinese 13 7 6 1.1 1.5 5 3 5 14 20 18
10 20 Verona 13 7 6 0.6 1.5 0 6 7 8 20 6
11 11 Cremonese 12 7 5 1.1 1.3 3 5 4 13 16 14
12 14 Cagliari 13 8 5 1.0 1.5 2 5 6 13 19 11
13 16 Parma 13 8 5 0.7 1.3 2 5 6 9 17 11
14 17 Pisa 12 7 5 0.8 1.3 1 7 4 10 16 10
15 7 Juventus 13 9 4 1.3 0.9 6 5 2 17 12 23
16 13 Atalanta 12 8 4 1.2 1.2 2 7 3 14 14 13
17 18 Lecce 12 8 4 0.7 1.3 2 4 6 8 16 10
18 1 Roma 12 9 3 1.2 0.5 9 0 3 15 6 27
19 6 Como 13 10 3 1.5 0.5 6 6 1 19 7 24
20 8 Lazio 12 9 3 1.2 0.8 5 3 4 15 9 18
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Inter 7 2 5 2.4 0.7 5 0 2 17 5 15
2 2 Milan 6 2 4 1.5 1.0 4 1 1 9 6 13
3 3 Napoli 6 2 4 2.0 0.8 5 1 0 12 5 16
4 12 Torino 6 2 4 1.0 1.8 2 2 2 6 11 8
5 19 Fiorentina 6 2 4 1.0 1.8 0 2 4 6 11 2
6 7 Juventus 7 4 3 1.7 0.9 4 3 0 12 6 15
7 9 Udinese 6 3 3 1.0 1.7 2 2 2 6 10 8
8 10 Sassuolo 6 3 3 1.2 1.3 2 1 3 7 8 7
9 11 Cremonese 6 3 3 1.2 1.5 1 3 2 7 9 6
10 15 Genoa 7 4 3 0.6 1.3 1 3 3 4 9 6
11 16 Parma 7 4 3 0.9 1.4 1 3 3 6 10 6
12 20 Verona 6 3 3 0.8 1.3 0 3 3 5 8 3
13 5 Bologna 5 3 2 1.8 0.2 4 1 0 9 1 13
14 8 Lazio 6 4 2 2.0 0.7 4 1 1 12 4 13
15 13 Atalanta 6 4 2 1.2 1.2 1 4 1 7 7 7
16 14 Cagliari 6 4 2 1.2 1.7 1 2 3 7 10 5
17 18 Lecce 6 4 2 0.5 1.2 0 3 3 3 7 3
18 1 Roma 6 5 1 1.2 0.5 4 0 2 7 3 12
19 6 Como 7 6 1 1.6 0.4 4 3 0 11 3 15
20 17 Pisa 6 6 0 0.2 0.3 1 3 2 1 2 6
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 15 Genoa 6 1 5 1.5 1.8 1 2 3 9 11 5
2 17 Pisa 6 1 5 1.5 2.3 0 4 2 9 14 4
3 5 Bologna 7 3 4 1.7 1.0 3 2 2 12 7 11
4 10 Sassuolo 7 3 4 1.3 1.1 3 1 3 9 8 10
5 4 Inter 5 2 3 1.8 1.6 3 0 2 9 8 9
6 9 Udinese 7 4 3 1.1 1.4 3 1 3 8 10 10
7 12 Torino 6 3 3 0.8 1.7 1 3 2 5 10 6
8 14 Cagliari 7 4 3 0.9 1.3 1 3 3 6 9 6
9 19 Fiorentina 6 3 3 0.7 1.3 0 4 2 4 8 4
10 20 Verona 7 4 3 0.4 1.7 0 3 4 3 12 3
11 1 Roma 6 4 2 1.3 0.5 5 0 1 8 3 15
12 2 Milan 6 4 2 1.5 0.5 3 3 0 9 3 12
13 3 Napoli 6 4 2 1.2 1.0 3 0 3 7 6 9
14 6 Como 6 4 2 1.3 0.7 2 3 1 8 4 9
15 11 Cremonese 6 4 2 1.0 1.2 2 2 2 6 7 8
16 13 Atalanta 6 4 2 1.2 1.2 1 3 2 7 7 6
17 16 Parma 6 4 2 0.5 1.2 1 2 3 3 7 5
18 18 Lecce 6 4 2 0.8 1.5 2 1 3 5 9 7
19 7 Juventus 6 5 1 0.8 1.0 2 2 2 5 6 8
20 8 Lazio 6 5 1 0.5 0.8 1 2 3 3 5 5

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 05:38