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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Inter 1–0 Milan

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2022/2023

Home ✓ 1.95 fair 1.95
Draw 3.50 fair 4.43
Away 4.00 fair 3.82
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.05 fair 2.56
Over 2.5 1.85 fair 1.64

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Inter Milan
15 Shots 4
4 Shots on target 0
8 Corners 0
13 Fouls 14
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (206 league matches this season so far).
Result Inter to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.64
Expected goals 1.87 – 1.28
Home / Draw / Away
InterDrawMilan
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.3% 2–1 9.6% 1–0 8%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Inter before this match, all matches
2.00points / match
2.00scored / match
1.30conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 40:26
Milan before this match, all matches
1.90points / match
1.85scored / match
1.45conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 37:29
Inter all matches all matches Milan

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 1.85
1.30 Goals conceded 1.45
3.30 Total goals 3.30
15.40 Shots 15.50
5.05 Shots on target 5.25
11.30 Shots faced 11.25
5.45 Corners 4.40
3.70 Corners against 4.10
12.30 Fouls 12.45
1.90 Yellow cards 2.70
1.05 1st-half goals scored 0.75
0.45 1st-half goals conceded 0.75

How often Full Time

65% Wins 55%
5% Draws 25%
30% Losses 20%
100% Over 0.5 goals 90%
80% Over 1.5 goals 90%
70% Over 2.5 goals 75%
40% Over 3.5 goals 40%
20% Over 4.5 goals 20%
10% Over 5.5 goals 10%
60% Both teams scored 75%
30% Clean sheets 20%
10% Failed to score 15%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 35%
45% Draws 40%
5% Losses 25%
80% Over 0.5 goals 80%
50% Over 1.5 goals 50%
15% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Inter all matches
Milan all matches
Inter before this match, at home
2.40points / match
2.10scored / match
0.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 21:5
Milan before this match, away
1.60points / match
1.30scored / match
1.30conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 13:13
Inter at home away Milan

Per match

2.10 Goals scored 1.30
0.50 Goals conceded 1.30
2.60 Total goals 2.60
14.70 Shots 14.40
4.60 Shots on target 4.90
8.70 Shots faced 11.20
5.00 Corners 4.30
3.80 Corners against 4.60
10.30 Fouls 11.00
1.40 Yellow cards 2.10
1.10 1st-half goals scored 0.40
0.20 1st-half goals conceded 0.80

How often Full Time

80% Wins 40%
0% Draws 40%
20% Losses 20%
100% Over 0.5 goals 80%
60% Over 1.5 goals 80%
50% Over 2.5 goals 70%
20% Over 3.5 goals 30%
10% Over 4.5 goals 0%
10% Over 5.5 goals 0%
30% Both teams scored 70%
60% Clean sheets 20%
10% Failed to score 30%

How often Half Time

60% Wins 20%
40% Draws 40%
0% Losses 40%
70% Over 0.5 goals 70%
40% Over 1.5 goals 50%
10% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Inter at home
Milan away

Last 10 matches before this match

Inter all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.01.23 Cremonese – Inter 1–2 (1–1) 6.504.331.50 1.67 2.20
23.01.23 Inter – Empoli 0–1 (0–0) 1.296.009.50 1.57 2.38
14.01.23 Inter – Verona 1–0 (1–0) 1.305.509.50 1.53 2.50
07.01.23 Monza – Inter 2–2 (1–2) 5.754.331.55 1.67 2.20
04.01.23 Inter – Napoli 1–0 (0–0) 2.253.403.10 1.73 2.10
13.11.22 Atalanta – Inter 2–3 (1–1) 3.103.752.20 1.72 2.10
09.11.22 Inter – Bologna 6–1 (3–1) 1.285.7510.00 1.53 2.50
06.11.22 Juventus – Inter 2–0 (0–0) 3.103.402.37 1.99 1.91
29.10.22 Inter – Sampdoria 3–0 (2–0) 1.256.0012.00 1.53 2.50
22.10.22 Fiorentina – Inter 3–4 (1–2) 3.603.502.05 1.80 2.00

Milan all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.01.23 Milan – Sassuolo 2–5 (1–3) 1.504.506.50 1.53 2.50
24.01.23 Lazio – Milan 4–0 (2–0) 3.203.402.25 1.92 1.98
14.01.23 Lecce – Milan 2–2 (2–0) 5.753.801.62 2.03 1.87
08.01.23 Milan – Roma 2–2 (1–0) 1.833.604.33 2.09 1.81
04.01.23 Salernitana – Milan 1–2 (0–2) 7.004.331.45 1.73 2.10
13.11.22 Milan – Fiorentina 2–1 (1–1) 1.703.805.00 1.90 2.00
08.11.22 Cremonese – Milan 0–0 (0–0) 6.004.201.55 1.72 2.10
05.11.22 Milan – Spezia 2–1 (1–0) 1.226.0013.00 1.57 2.37
30.10.22 Torino – Milan 2–1 (2–0) 3.753.302.10 2.10 1.72
22.10.22 Milan – Monza 4–1 (2–0) 1.405.007.50 1.66 2.20

Inter at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.01.23 Inter – Empoli 0–1 (0–0) 1.296.009.50 1.57 2.38
14.01.23 Inter – Verona 1–0 (1–0) 1.305.509.50 1.53 2.50
04.01.23 Inter – Napoli 1–0 (0–0) 2.253.403.10 1.73 2.10
09.11.22 Inter – Bologna 6–1 (3–1) 1.285.7510.00 1.53 2.50
29.10.22 Inter – Sampdoria 3–0 (2–0) 1.256.0012.00 1.53 2.50
16.10.22 Inter – Salernitana 2–0 (1–0) 1.305.759.00 1.50 2.62
01.10.22 Inter – Roma 1–2 (1–1) 2.003.503.75 1.80 2.00
10.09.22 Inter – Torino 1–0 (0–0) 1.454.757.00 1.66 2.20
30.08.22 Inter – Cremonese 3–1 (2–0) 1.148.0021.00 1.30 3.50
20.08.22 Inter – Spezia 3–0 (1–0) 1.168.0015.00 1.30 3.50

Milan away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.01.23 Lazio – Milan 4–0 (2–0) 3.203.402.25 1.92 1.98
14.01.23 Lecce – Milan 2–2 (2–0) 5.753.801.62 2.03 1.87
04.01.23 Salernitana – Milan 1–2 (0–2) 7.004.331.45 1.73 2.10
08.11.22 Cremonese – Milan 0–0 (0–0) 6.004.201.55 1.72 2.10
30.10.22 Torino – Milan 2–1 (2–0) 3.753.302.10 2.10 1.72
16.10.22 Verona – Milan 1–2 (1–1) 6.004.001.57 1.80 2.00
01.10.22 Empoli – Milan 1–3 (0–0) 5.504.001.60 1.86 2.04
10.09.22 Sampdoria – Milan 1–2 (0–1) 6.004.501.50 1.72 2.10
30.08.22 Sassuolo – Milan 0–0 (0–0) 5.254.331.57 1.53 2.50
21.08.22 Atalanta – Milan 1–1 (1–0) 2.753.502.50 1.72 2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Inter winsDrawsMilan wins
3matches
3.33goals / match
67%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.09.22I1 Milan – Inter 3–2 (1–1) 2.803.252.60 1.88 2.02
05.02.22I1 Inter – Milan 1–2 (1–0) 1.803.754.50 1.66 2.20
07.11.21I1 Milan – Inter 1–1 (1–1) 3.253.502.15 1.66 2.20

Italy Serie A table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 21 18 2 1 51 15 +36 56
2 Inter 20 13 1 6 40 26 +14 40
3 Roma 21 12 4 5 28 18 +10 40
4 Lazio 20 11 5 4 36 16 +20 38
5 Atalanta 21 11 5 5 39 24 +15 38
6 Juventus 20 11 5 4 30 17 +13 38
7 Milan 20 11 5 4 37 29 +8 38
8 Torino 21 8 6 7 22 22 0 30
9 Udinese 21 7 8 6 28 23 +5 29
10 Bologna 21 8 5 8 28 31 -3 29
11 Empoli 21 6 8 7 19 26 -7 26
12 Monza 20 7 4 9 25 28 -3 25
13 Fiorentina 21 6 6 9 23 28 -5 24
14 Lecce 21 5 8 8 21 24 -3 23
15 Sassuolo 21 6 5 10 24 31 -7 23
16 Salernitana 20 5 6 9 25 38 -13 21
17 Spezia 21 4 6 11 17 35 -18 18
18 Verona 20 3 4 13 18 32 -14 13
19 Sampdoria 20 2 3 15 8 34 -26 9
20 Cremonese 21 0 8 13 15 37 -22 8
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 10 9 1 0 28 8 +20 28
2 Juventus 11 7 3 1 24 8 +16 24
3 Inter 10 8 0 2 21 5 +16 24
4 Milan 10 7 1 2 24 16 +8 22
5 Lazio 11 6 3 2 21 10 +11 21
6 Bologna 11 5 4 2 16 9 +7 19
7 Roma 10 6 1 3 12 5 +7 19
8 Atalanta 10 5 2 3 21 13 +8 17
9 Torino 10 4 3 3 8 6 +2 15
10 Empoli 10 4 3 3 10 10 0 15
11 Fiorentina 11 4 3 4 15 17 -2 15
12 Udinese 10 3 5 2 15 10 +5 14
13 Monza 10 4 2 4 14 11 +3 14
14 Sassuolo 10 4 2 4 13 11 +2 14
15 Salernitana 10 3 3 4 14 13 +1 12
16 Spezia 11 2 6 3 13 17 -4 12
17 Lecce 10 2 5 3 12 13 -1 11
18 Verona 10 3 0 7 12 17 -5 9
19 Cremonese 11 0 3 8 5 19 -14 3
20 Sampdoria 10 0 2 8 2 16 -14 2
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 11 9 1 1 23 7 +16 28
2 Atalanta 11 6 3 2 18 11 +7 21
3 Roma 11 6 3 2 16 13 +3 21
4 Lazio 9 5 2 2 15 6 +9 17
5 Milan 10 4 4 2 13 13 0 16
6 Inter 10 5 1 4 19 21 -2 16
7 Udinese 11 4 3 4 13 13 0 15
8 Torino 11 4 3 4 14 16 -2 15
9 Juventus 9 4 2 3 6 9 -3 14
10 Lecce 11 3 3 5 9 11 -2 12
11 Monza 10 3 2 5 11 17 -6 11
12 Empoli 11 2 5 4 9 16 -7 11
13 Bologna 10 3 1 6 12 22 -10 10
14 Fiorentina 10 2 3 5 8 11 -3 9
15 Sassuolo 11 2 3 6 11 20 -9 9
16 Salernitana 10 2 3 5 11 25 -14 9
17 Sampdoria 10 2 1 7 6 18 -12 7
18 Spezia 10 2 0 8 4 18 -14 6
19 Cremonese 10 0 5 5 10 18 -8 5
20 Verona 10 0 4 6 6 15 -9 4

Inter   Milan

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Milan 20 5 15 1.9 1.4 11 5 4 37 29 38
2 2 Inter 20 6 14 2.0 1.3 13 1 6 40 26 40
3 1 Napoli 21 8 13 2.4 0.7 18 2 1 51 15 56
4 16 Salernitana 20 7 13 1.2 1.9 5 6 9 25 38 21
5 10 Bologna 21 9 12 1.3 1.5 8 5 8 28 31 29
6 15 Sassuolo 21 9 12 1.1 1.5 6 5 10 24 31 23
7 4 Lazio 20 9 11 1.8 0.8 11 5 4 36 16 38
8 17 Spezia 21 10 11 0.8 1.7 4 6 11 17 35 18
9 5 Atalanta 21 11 10 1.9 1.1 11 5 5 39 24 38
10 9 Udinese 21 11 10 1.3 1.1 7 8 6 28 23 29
11 12 Monza 20 10 10 1.2 1.4 7 4 9 25 28 25
12 13 Fiorentina 21 12 9 1.1 1.3 6 6 9 23 28 24
13 20 Cremonese 21 12 9 0.7 1.8 0 8 13 15 37 8
14 3 Roma 21 13 8 1.3 0.9 12 4 5 28 18 40
15 8 Torino 21 13 8 1.0 1.0 8 6 7 22 22 30
16 18 Verona 20 12 8 0.9 1.6 3 4 13 18 32 13
17 6 Juventus 20 13 7 1.5 0.8 11 5 4 30 17 38
18 14 Lecce 21 14 7 1.0 1.1 5 8 8 21 24 23
19 19 Sampdoria 20 13 7 0.4 1.7 2 3 15 8 34 9
20 11 Empoli 21 15 6 0.9 1.2 6 8 7 19 26 26
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Milan 10 2 8 2.4 1.6 7 1 2 24 16 22
2 1 Napoli 10 3 7 2.8 0.8 9 1 0 28 8 28
3 4 Lazio 11 4 7 1.9 0.9 6 3 2 21 10 21
4 17 Spezia 11 4 7 1.2 1.5 2 6 3 13 17 12
5 6 Juventus 11 5 6 2.2 0.7 7 3 1 24 8 24
6 13 Fiorentina 11 5 6 1.4 1.5 4 3 4 15 17 15
7 16 Salernitana 10 4 6 1.4 1.3 3 3 4 14 13 12
8 18 Verona 10 4 6 1.2 1.7 3 0 7 12 17 9
9 2 Inter 10 5 5 2.1 0.5 8 0 2 21 5 24
10 5 Atalanta 10 5 5 2.1 1.3 5 2 3 21 13 17
11 9 Udinese 10 5 5 1.5 1.0 3 5 2 15 10 14
12 12 Monza 10 5 5 1.4 1.1 4 2 4 14 11 14
13 14 Lecce 10 5 5 1.2 1.3 2 5 3 12 13 11
14 15 Sassuolo 10 5 5 1.3 1.1 4 2 4 13 11 14
15 20 Cremonese 11 6 5 0.5 1.7 0 3 8 5 19 3
16 10 Bologna 11 7 4 1.5 0.8 5 4 2 16 9 19
17 11 Empoli 10 7 3 1.0 1.0 4 3 3 10 10 15
18 3 Roma 10 8 2 1.2 0.5 6 1 3 12 5 19
19 19 Sampdoria 10 8 2 0.2 1.6 0 2 8 2 16 2
20 8 Torino 10 9 1 0.8 0.6 4 3 3 8 6 15
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Inter 10 1 9 1.9 2.1 5 1 4 19 21 16
2 10 Bologna 10 2 8 1.2 2.2 3 1 6 12 22 10
3 7 Milan 10 3 7 1.3 1.3 4 4 2 13 13 16
4 8 Torino 11 4 7 1.3 1.5 4 3 4 14 16 15
5 15 Sassuolo 11 4 7 1.0 1.8 2 3 6 11 20 9
6 16 Salernitana 10 3 7 1.1 2.5 2 3 5 11 25 9
7 1 Napoli 11 5 6 2.1 0.6 9 1 1 23 7 28
8 3 Roma 11 5 6 1.5 1.2 6 3 2 16 13 21
9 5 Atalanta 11 6 5 1.6 1.0 6 3 2 18 11 21
10 9 Udinese 11 6 5 1.2 1.2 4 3 4 13 13 15
11 12 Monza 10 5 5 1.1 1.7 3 2 5 11 17 11
12 19 Sampdoria 10 5 5 0.6 1.8 2 1 7 6 18 7
13 4 Lazio 9 5 4 1.7 0.7 5 2 2 15 6 17
14 17 Spezia 10 6 4 0.4 1.8 2 0 8 4 18 6
15 20 Cremonese 10 6 4 1.0 1.8 0 5 5 10 18 5
16 11 Empoli 11 8 3 0.8 1.5 2 5 4 9 16 11
17 13 Fiorentina 10 7 3 0.8 1.1 2 3 5 8 11 9
18 14 Lecce 11 9 2 0.8 1.0 3 3 5 9 11 12
19 18 Verona 10 8 2 0.6 1.5 0 4 6 6 15 4
20 6 Juventus 9 8 1 0.7 1.0 4 2 3 6 9 14

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51