Loading...
BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Roma 1–1 Milan

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2025/2026

Home 2.63 fair 2.71
Draw ✓ 3.10 fair 3.40
Away 2.88 fair 2.96
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.67 fair 1.58
Over 2.5 2.20 fair 2.72

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Roma Milan
15 Shots 5
7 Shots on target 2
5 Corners 3
15 Fouls 11
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (218 league matches this season so far).
Result Roma to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.78
Expected goals 1.11 – 1.05
Home / Draw / Away
RomaDrawMilan
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 13.4% 1–0 12.8% 0–1 12.1%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Roma before this match, all matches
2.00points / match
1.24scored / match
0.57conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 26:12
Milan before this match, all matches
2.19points / match
1.62scored / match
0.76conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 34:16
Roma all matches all matches Milan

Per match

1.24 Goals scored 1.62
0.57 Goals conceded 0.76
1.81 Total goals 2.38
13.71 Shots 14.19
4.86 Shots on target 4.81
10.29 Shots faced 10.95
4.90 Corners 5.00
3.24 Corners against 4.57
14.52 Fouls 9.52
1.90 Yellow cards 1.52
0.57 1st-half goals scored 0.62
0.29 1st-half goals conceded 0.38

How often Full Time

67% Wins 62%
0% Draws 33%
33% Losses 5%
100% Over 0.5 goals 95%
48% Over 1.5 goals 67%
24% Over 2.5 goals 48%
10% Over 3.5 goals 24%
0% Over 4.5 goals 5%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
24% Both teams scored 52%
48% Clean sheets 48%
29% Failed to score 5%

How often Half Time

43% Wins 29%
33% Draws 62%
24% Losses 10%
67% Over 0.5 goals 57%
10% Over 1.5 goals 33%
10% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Roma all matches
Milan all matches
Roma before this match, at home
2.10points / match
1.30scored / match
0.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 13:5
Milan before this match, away
2.20points / match
1.70scored / match
0.70conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 17:7
Roma at home away Milan

Per match

1.30 Goals scored 1.70
0.50 Goals conceded 0.70
1.80 Total goals 2.40
15.60 Shots 11.10
4.90 Shots on target 4.20
9.60 Shots faced 13.20
5.40 Corners 3.70
2.80 Corners against 5.70
13.40 Fouls 8.40
1.80 Yellow cards 1.30
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.60
0.20 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

70% Wins 60%
0% Draws 40%
30% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 90%
50% Over 1.5 goals 70%
20% Over 2.5 goals 40%
10% Over 3.5 goals 30%
0% Over 4.5 goals 10%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
20% Both teams scored 50%
50% Clean sheets 50%
30% Failed to score 10%

How often Half Time

30% Wins 20%
50% Draws 70%
20% Losses 10%
50% Over 0.5 goals 50%
10% Over 1.5 goals 40%
10% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Roma at home
Milan away

Last 10 matches before this match

Roma all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.01.26 Torino – Roma 0–2 (0–1) 3.753.102.15 2.20 1.67
10.01.26 Roma – Sassuolo 2–0 (0–0) 1.534.006.50 2.03 1.83
06.01.26 Lecce – Roma 0–2 (0–1) 5.253.501.73 2.20 1.67
03.01.26 Atalanta – Roma 1–0 (1–0) 2.303.203.30 2.10 1.73
29.12.25 Roma – Genoa 3–1 (3–0) 1.603.606.25 2.38 1.57
20.12.25 Juventus – Roma 2–1 (1–0) 1.953.204.33 2.30 1.62
15.12.25 Roma – Como 1–0 (0–0) 2.103.303.60 2.20 1.67
07.12.25 Cagliari – Roma 1–0 (0–0) 5.253.601.67 2.20 1.67
30.11.25 Roma – Napoli 0–1 (0–1) 2.602.883.10 2.50 1.53
23.11.25 Cremonese – Roma 1–3 (0–1) 6.003.751.62 2.10 1.73

Milan all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.01.26 Milan – Lecce 1–0 (0–0) 1.295.0013.00 1.91 1.91
15.01.26 Como – Milan 1–3 (1–1) 2.903.252.50 2.00 1.80
11.01.26 Fiorentina – Milan 1–1 (0–0) 3.803.402.00 2.03 1.83
08.01.26 Milan – Genoa 1–1 (0–1) 1.444.507.50 2.00 1.80
02.01.26 Cagliari – Milan 0–1 (0–0) 6.003.901.60 2.10 1.73
28.12.25 Milan – Verona 3–0 (1–0) 1.384.758.50 1.80 2.00
14.12.25 Milan – Sassuolo 2–2 (1–1) 1.424.338.00 1.83 2.03
08.12.25 Torino – Milan 2–3 (2–1) 4.503.601.80 2.00 1.80
29.11.25 Milan – Lazio 1–0 (0–0) 1.623.805.75 2.10 1.73
23.11.25 Inter – Milan 0–1 (0–0) 1.903.504.00 1.88 1.98

Roma at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.01.26 Roma – Sassuolo 2–0 (0–0) 1.534.006.50 2.03 1.83
29.12.25 Roma – Genoa 3–1 (3–0) 1.603.606.25 2.38 1.57
15.12.25 Roma – Como 1–0 (0–0) 2.103.303.60 2.20 1.67
30.11.25 Roma – Napoli 0–1 (0–1) 2.602.883.10 2.50 1.53
09.11.25 Roma – Udinese 2–0 (1–0) 1.554.006.25 2.03 1.83
29.10.25 Roma – Parma 2–1 (0–0) 1.533.757.50 2.10 1.73
18.10.25 Roma – Inter 0–1 (0–1) 3.303.252.25 2.10 1.73
28.09.25 Roma – Verona 2–0 (1–0) 1.424.208.50 2.10 1.73
14.09.25 Roma – Torino 0–1 (0–0) 1.504.107.00 2.05 1.80
23.08.25 Roma – Bologna 1–0 (0–0) 2.103.303.50 2.10 1.73

Milan away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.01.26 Como – Milan 1–3 (1–1) 2.903.252.50 2.00 1.80
11.01.26 Fiorentina – Milan 1–1 (0–0) 3.803.402.00 2.03 1.83
02.01.26 Cagliari – Milan 0–1 (0–0) 6.003.901.60 2.10 1.73
08.12.25 Torino – Milan 2–3 (2–1) 4.503.601.80 2.00 1.80
23.11.25 Inter – Milan 0–1 (0–0) 1.903.504.00 1.88 1.98
08.11.25 Parma – Milan 2–2 (1–2) 5.754.001.57 2.10 1.73
28.10.25 Atalanta – Milan 1–1 (1–1) 2.633.202.75 2.00 1.85
05.10.25 Juventus – Milan 0–0 (0–0) 2.703.202.70 2.10 1.73
20.09.25 Udinese – Milan 0–3 (0–1) 4.333.601.83 2.10 1.73
29.08.25 Lecce – Milan 0–2 (0–0) 6.003.901.57 2.00 1.85

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Roma winsDrawsMilan wins
9matches
3.00goals / match
67%over 2.5
89%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.11.25I1 Milan – Roma 1–0 (1–0) 2.203.003.70 2.20 1.67
18.05.25I1 Roma – Milan 3–1 (1–1) 2.303.602.90 1.73 2.10
29.12.24I1 Milan – Roma 1–1 (1–1) 2.253.403.20 1.93 1.97
14.01.24I1 Milan – Roma 3–1 (1–0) 2.203.203.50 2.15 1.67
01.09.23I1 Roma – Milan 1–2 (0–1) 2.803.102.63 2.30 1.62
29.04.23I1 Roma – Milan 1–1 (0–0) 2.753.002.75 2.50 1.53
08.01.23I1 Milan – Roma 2–2 (1–0) 1.833.604.33 2.09 1.81
06.01.22I1 Milan – Roma 3–1 (2–1) 1.903.703.80 1.72 2.10
31.10.21I1 Roma – Milan 1–2 (0–1) 2.303.503.00 1.72 2.10

Italy Serie A table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 22 17 1 4 50 19 +31 52
2 Milan 21 13 7 1 34 16 +18 46
3 Napoli 22 13 4 5 31 20 +11 43
4 Juventus 22 12 6 4 35 17 +18 42
5 Roma 21 14 0 7 26 12 +14 42
6 Como 22 11 7 4 37 16 +21 40
7 Atalanta 22 9 8 5 30 20 +10 35
8 Bologna 22 8 6 8 32 27 +5 30
9 Lazio 22 7 8 7 21 19 +2 29
10 Sassuolo 22 7 5 10 24 28 -4 26
11 Udinese 21 7 5 9 22 33 -11 26
12 Cagliari 22 6 7 9 24 31 -7 25
13 Genoa 22 5 8 9 25 31 -6 23
14 Cremonese 22 5 8 9 20 29 -9 23
15 Parma 22 5 8 9 14 26 -12 23
16 Torino 22 6 5 11 21 40 -19 23
17 Lecce 22 4 6 12 13 29 -16 18
18 Fiorentina 22 3 8 11 24 34 -10 17
19 Verona 21 2 8 11 17 34 -17 14
20 Pisa 22 1 11 10 18 37 -19 14
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 12 9 1 2 33 10 +23 28
2 Juventus 11 7 4 0 23 8 +15 25
3 Napoli 10 7 3 0 17 8 +9 24
4 Milan 11 7 3 1 17 9 +8 24
5 Como 11 6 4 1 20 7 +13 22
6 Atalanta 12 6 4 2 18 9 +9 22
7 Roma 10 7 0 3 13 5 +8 21
8 Lazio 11 4 4 3 15 12 +3 16
9 Bologna 10 4 2 4 12 10 +2 14
10 Sassuolo 11 4 2 5 12 14 -2 14
11 Genoa 12 3 4 5 12 15 -3 13
12 Udinese 11 3 4 4 11 16 -5 13
13 Cagliari 10 3 3 4 11 13 -2 12
14 Cremonese 10 2 5 3 11 13 -2 11
15 Torino 11 3 2 6 11 20 -9 11
16 Parma 11 2 4 5 7 13 -6 10
17 Lecce 12 2 4 6 7 15 -8 10
18 Fiorentina 11 2 3 6 15 17 -2 9
19 Pisa 11 1 4 6 2 11 -9 7
20 Verona 10 1 3 6 10 16 -6 6
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 10 8 0 2 17 9 +8 24
2 Milan 10 6 4 0 17 7 +10 22
3 Roma 11 7 0 4 13 7 +6 21
4 Napoli 12 6 1 5 14 12 +2 19
5 Como 11 5 3 3 17 9 +8 18
6 Juventus 11 5 2 4 12 9 +3 17
7 Bologna 12 4 4 4 20 17 +3 16
8 Atalanta 10 3 4 3 12 11 +1 13
9 Lazio 11 3 4 4 6 7 -1 13
10 Cagliari 12 3 4 5 13 18 -5 13
11 Udinese 10 4 1 5 11 17 -6 13
12 Parma 11 3 4 4 7 13 -6 13
13 Sassuolo 11 3 3 5 12 14 -2 12
14 Cremonese 12 3 3 6 9 16 -7 12
15 Torino 11 3 3 5 10 20 -10 12
16 Genoa 10 2 4 4 13 16 -3 10
17 Fiorentina 11 1 5 5 9 17 -8 8
18 Lecce 10 2 2 6 6 14 -8 8
19 Verona 11 1 5 5 7 18 -11 8
20 Pisa 11 0 7 4 16 26 -10 7

Roma   Milan

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Inter 22 9 13 2.3 0.9 17 1 4 50 19 52
2 13 Genoa 22 9 13 1.1 1.4 5 8 9 25 31 23
3 16 Torino 22 9 13 1.0 1.8 6 5 11 21 40 23
4 18 Fiorentina 22 9 13 1.1 1.5 3 8 11 24 34 17
5 19 Verona 21 9 12 0.8 1.6 2 8 11 17 34 14
6 8 Bologna 22 11 11 1.5 1.2 8 6 8 32 27 30
7 12 Cagliari 22 11 11 1.1 1.4 6 7 9 24 31 25
8 2 Milan 21 11 10 1.6 0.8 13 7 1 34 16 46
9 3 Napoli 22 12 10 1.4 0.9 13 4 5 31 20 43
10 10 Sassuolo 22 12 10 1.1 1.3 7 5 10 24 28 26
11 11 Udinese 21 11 10 1.0 1.6 7 5 9 22 33 26
12 4 Juventus 22 13 9 1.6 0.8 12 6 4 35 17 42
13 6 Como 22 13 9 1.7 0.7 11 7 4 37 16 40
14 20 Pisa 22 13 9 0.8 1.7 1 11 10 18 37 14
15 14 Cremonese 22 14 8 0.9 1.3 5 8 9 20 29 23
16 7 Atalanta 22 15 7 1.4 0.9 9 8 5 30 20 35
17 15 Parma 22 15 7 0.6 1.2 5 8 9 14 26 23
18 17 Lecce 22 15 7 0.6 1.3 4 6 12 13 29 18
19 5 Roma 21 16 5 1.2 0.6 14 0 7 26 12 42
20 9 Lazio 22 17 5 1.0 0.9 7 8 7 21 19 29
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Inter 12 3 9 2.8 0.8 9 1 2 33 10 28
2 16 Torino 11 4 7 1.0 1.8 3 2 6 11 20 11
3 18 Fiorentina 11 4 7 1.4 1.5 2 3 6 15 17 9
4 2 Milan 11 5 6 1.5 0.8 7 3 1 17 9 24
5 3 Napoli 10 4 6 1.7 0.8 7 3 0 17 8 24
6 4 Juventus 11 5 6 2.1 0.7 7 4 0 23 8 25
7 13 Genoa 12 6 6 1.0 1.2 3 4 5 12 15 13
8 19 Verona 10 4 6 1.0 1.6 1 3 6 10 16 6
9 10 Sassuolo 11 6 5 1.1 1.3 4 2 5 12 14 14
10 11 Udinese 11 6 5 1.0 1.5 3 4 4 11 16 13
11 17 Lecce 12 7 5 0.6 1.2 2 4 6 7 15 10
12 7 Atalanta 12 8 4 1.5 0.8 6 4 2 18 9 22
13 8 Bologna 10 6 4 1.2 1.0 4 2 4 12 10 14
14 9 Lazio 11 7 4 1.4 1.1 4 4 3 15 12 16
15 14 Cremonese 10 6 4 1.1 1.3 2 5 3 11 13 11
16 6 Como 11 8 3 1.8 0.6 6 4 1 20 7 22
17 12 Cagliari 10 7 3 1.1 1.3 3 3 4 11 13 12
18 15 Parma 11 8 3 0.6 1.2 2 4 5 7 13 10
19 5 Roma 10 8 2 1.3 0.5 7 0 3 13 5 21
20 20 Pisa 11 10 1 0.2 1.0 1 4 6 2 11 7
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 12 Cagliari 12 4 8 1.1 1.5 3 4 5 13 18 13
2 20 Pisa 11 3 8 1.5 2.4 0 7 4 16 26 7
3 8 Bologna 12 5 7 1.7 1.4 4 4 4 20 17 16
4 13 Genoa 10 3 7 1.3 1.6 2 4 4 13 16 10
5 6 Como 11 5 6 1.5 0.8 5 3 3 17 9 18
6 16 Torino 11 5 6 0.9 1.8 3 3 5 10 20 12
7 18 Fiorentina 11 5 6 0.8 1.5 1 5 5 9 17 8
8 19 Verona 11 5 6 0.6 1.6 1 5 5 7 18 8
9 10 Sassuolo 11 6 5 1.1 1.3 3 3 5 12 14 12
10 11 Udinese 10 5 5 1.1 1.7 4 1 5 11 17 13
11 1 Inter 10 6 4 1.7 0.9 8 0 2 17 9 24
12 2 Milan 10 6 4 1.7 0.7 6 4 0 17 7 22
13 3 Napoli 12 8 4 1.2 1.0 6 1 5 14 12 19
14 14 Cremonese 12 8 4 0.8 1.3 3 3 6 9 16 12
15 15 Parma 11 7 4 0.6 1.2 3 4 4 7 13 13
16 4 Juventus 11 8 3 1.1 0.8 5 2 4 12 9 17
17 5 Roma 11 8 3 1.2 0.6 7 0 4 13 7 21
18 7 Atalanta 10 7 3 1.2 1.1 3 4 3 12 11 13
19 17 Lecce 10 8 2 0.6 1.4 2 2 6 6 14 8
20 9 Lazio 11 10 1 0.5 0.6 3 4 4 6 7 13

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40