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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Milan 0–1 Parma

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2025/2026

Home 1.33 fair 1.88
Draw 5.00 fair 3.79
Away ✓ 9.50 fair 4.90
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.00 fair 1.67
Over 2.5 1.80 fair 2.49

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Milan Parma
25 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 3
5 Corners 2
13 Fouls 10
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (256 league matches this season so far).
Result Milan to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.75
Expected goals 1.48 – 0.81
Home / Draw / Away
MilanDrawParma
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 15% 1–1 12.1% 2–0 11.1%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Milan before this match, all matches
2.16points / match
1.64scored / match
0.76conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 25 played · 41:19
Parma before this match, all matches
1.16points / match
0.72scored / match
1.24conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 25 played · 18:31
Milan all matches all matches Parma

Per match

1.64 Goals scored 0.72
0.76 Goals conceded 1.24
2.40 Total goals 1.96
13.04 Shots 11.60
4.48 Shots on target 2.92
11.00 Shots faced 14.32
4.52 Corners 4.04
4.52 Corners against 4.52
9.64 Fouls 10.68
1.64 Yellow cards 1.80
0.64 1st-half goals scored 0.28
0.36 1st-half goals conceded 0.56

How often Full Time

60% Wins 28%
36% Draws 32%
4% Losses 40%
96% Over 0.5 goals 80%
72% Over 1.5 goals 60%
48% Over 2.5 goals 36%
20% Over 3.5 goals 16%
4% Over 4.5 goals 4%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
56% Both teams scored 40%
44% Clean sheets 32%
4% Failed to score 48%

How often Half Time

32% Wins 12%
56% Draws 56%
12% Losses 32%
60% Over 0.5 goals 56%
32% Over 1.5 goals 24%
8% Over 2.5 goals 4%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milan all matches
Parma all matches
Milan before this match, at home
2.08points / match
1.50scored / match
0.83conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 18:10
Parma before this match, away
1.33points / match
0.67scored / match
1.08conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 8:13
Milan at home away Parma

Per match

1.50 Goals scored 0.67
0.83 Goals conceded 1.08
2.33 Total goals 1.75
16.08 Shots 10.42
5.25 Shots on target 2.92
9.00 Shots faced 14.92
6.00 Corners 3.75
3.58 Corners against 4.92
10.58 Fouls 11.00
1.75 Yellow cards 2.00
0.58 1st-half goals scored 0.25
0.33 1st-half goals conceded 0.42

How often Full Time

58% Wins 33%
33% Draws 33%
8% Losses 33%
100% Over 0.5 goals 75%
67% Over 1.5 goals 58%
50% Over 2.5 goals 33%
17% Over 3.5 goals 8%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
58% Both teams scored 33%
42% Clean sheets 42%
0% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 17%
50% Draws 58%
17% Losses 25%
67% Over 0.5 goals 50%
25% Over 1.5 goals 17%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milan at home
Parma away

Last 10 matches before this match

Milan all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.02.26 Milan – Como 1–1 (0–1) 2.253.303.25 2.00 1.85
13.02.26 Pisa – Milan 1–2 (0–1) 6.504.201.50 1.93 1.93
03.02.26 Bologna – Milan 0–3 (0–2) 2.903.252.50 2.10 1.73
25.01.26 Roma – Milan 1–1 (0–0) 2.633.102.88 2.20 1.67
18.01.26 Milan – Lecce 1–0 (0–0) 1.295.0013.00 1.91 1.91
15.01.26 Como – Milan 1–3 (1–1) 2.903.252.50 2.00 1.80
11.01.26 Fiorentina – Milan 1–1 (0–0) 3.803.402.00 2.03 1.83
08.01.26 Milan – Genoa 1–1 (0–1) 1.444.507.50 2.00 1.80
02.01.26 Cagliari – Milan 0–1 (0–0) 6.003.901.60 2.10 1.73
28.12.25 Milan – Verona 3–0 (1–0) 1.384.758.50 1.80 2.00

Parma all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.02.26 Parma – Verona 2–1 (1–1) 2.303.003.50 2.50 1.53
08.02.26 Bologna – Parma 0–1 (0–0) 1.603.905.75 2.03 1.83
01.02.26 Parma – Juventus 1–4 (0–2) 7.504.331.45 1.91 1.91
25.01.26 Atalanta – Parma 4–0 (2–0) 1.424.507.50 1.73 2.10
18.01.26 Parma – Genoa 0–0 (0–0) 2.902.553.00 2.63 1.50
14.01.26 Napoli – Parma 0–0 (0–0) 1.305.2510.50 1.88 1.98
11.01.26 Lecce – Parma 1–2 (1–0) 2.753.002.88 2.63 1.50
07.01.26 Parma – Inter 0–2 (0–1) 7.505.001.40 1.67 2.20
03.01.26 Sassuolo – Parma 1–1 (1–1) 1.913.304.33 2.10 1.73
27.12.25 Parma – Fiorentina 1–0 (0–0) 3.503.002.25 2.20 1.67

Milan at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.02.26 Milan – Como 1–1 (0–1) 2.253.303.25 2.00 1.85
18.01.26 Milan – Lecce 1–0 (0–0) 1.295.0013.00 1.91 1.91
08.01.26 Milan – Genoa 1–1 (0–1) 1.444.507.50 2.00 1.80
28.12.25 Milan – Verona 3–0 (1–0) 1.384.758.50 1.80 2.00
14.12.25 Milan – Sassuolo 2–2 (1–1) 1.424.338.00 1.83 2.03
29.11.25 Milan – Lazio 1–0 (0–0) 1.623.805.75 2.10 1.73
02.11.25 Milan – Roma 1–0 (1–0) 2.203.003.70 2.20 1.67
24.10.25 Milan – Pisa 2–2 (1–0) 1.305.5010.00 1.80 2.05
19.10.25 Milan – Fiorentina 2–1 (0–0) 1.504.336.50 1.88 1.98
28.09.25 Milan – Napoli 2–1 (2–0) 2.353.103.20 2.10 1.73

Parma away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.02.26 Bologna – Parma 0–1 (0–0) 1.603.905.75 2.03 1.83
25.01.26 Atalanta – Parma 4–0 (2–0) 1.424.507.50 1.73 2.10
14.01.26 Napoli – Parma 0–0 (0–0) 1.305.2510.50 1.88 1.98
11.01.26 Lecce – Parma 1–2 (1–0) 2.753.002.88 2.63 1.50
03.01.26 Sassuolo – Parma 1–1 (1–1) 1.913.304.33 2.10 1.73
08.12.25 Pisa – Parma 0–1 (0–1) 2.403.003.30 2.50 1.53
23.11.25 Verona – Parma 1–2 (0–1) 2.253.003.60 2.50 1.53
29.10.25 Roma – Parma 2–1 (0–0) 1.533.757.50 2.10 1.73
19.10.25 Genoa – Parma 0–0 (0–0) 2.103.004.00 2.50 1.53
21.09.25 Cremonese – Parma 0–0 (0–0) 2.553.202.88 2.20 1.67

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Milan winsDrawsParma wins
3matches
4.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.11.25I1 Parma – Milan 2–2 (1–2) 5.754.001.57 2.10 1.73
26.01.25I1 Milan – Parma 3–2 (1–1) 1.306.008.50 1.44 2.75
24.08.24I1 Parma – Milan 2–1 (1–0) 4.753.901.70 1.73 2.10

Italy Serie A table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 26 21 1 4 62 21 +41 64
2 Milan 25 15 9 1 41 19 +22 54
3 Napoli 26 15 5 6 39 27 +12 50
4 Roma 25 15 2 8 31 16 +15 47
5 Juventus 26 13 7 6 43 25 +18 46
6 Como 26 12 9 5 41 19 +22 45
7 Atalanta 26 12 9 5 36 22 +14 45
8 Sassuolo 26 10 5 11 32 35 -3 35
9 Lazio 26 8 10 8 26 25 +1 34
10 Bologna 25 9 6 10 34 32 +2 33
11 Udinese 25 9 5 11 28 38 -10 32
12 Cagliari 26 7 8 11 28 35 -7 29
13 Parma 25 7 8 10 18 31 -13 29
14 Genoa 26 6 9 11 32 37 -5 27
15 Torino 26 7 6 13 25 47 -22 27
16 Cremonese 25 5 9 11 21 33 -12 24
17 Lecce 26 6 6 14 17 33 -16 24
18 Fiorentina 25 4 9 12 29 39 -10 21
19 Pisa 25 1 12 12 20 42 -22 15
20 Verona 26 2 9 15 19 46 -27 15
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 13 10 1 2 36 12 +24 31
2 Atalanta 14 8 4 2 22 11 +11 28
3 Napoli 12 8 4 0 21 11 +10 28
4 Juventus 13 7 5 1 25 12 +13 26
5 Roma 12 8 1 3 16 6 +10 25
6 Milan 12 7 4 1 18 10 +8 25
7 Como 13 6 5 2 21 9 +12 23
8 Lazio 13 5 4 4 18 16 +2 19
9 Sassuolo 13 5 2 6 15 19 -4 17
10 Cagliari 13 4 4 5 15 15 0 16
11 Genoa 14 4 4 6 17 18 -1 16
12 Udinese 13 4 4 5 13 18 -5 16
13 Bologna 12 4 2 6 12 14 -2 14
14 Torino 13 4 2 7 13 22 -9 14
15 Parma 13 3 4 6 10 18 -8 13
16 Lecce 14 3 4 7 9 18 -9 13
17 Cremonese 12 2 6 4 11 15 -4 12
18 Fiorentina 12 2 4 6 17 19 -2 10
19 Verona 12 1 4 7 11 19 -8 7
20 Pisa 13 1 4 8 4 16 -12 7
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 13 11 0 2 26 9 +17 33
2 Milan 13 8 5 0 23 9 +14 29
3 Como 13 6 4 3 20 10 +10 22
4 Roma 13 7 1 5 15 10 +5 22
5 Napoli 14 7 1 6 18 16 +2 22
6 Juventus 13 6 2 5 18 13 +5 20
7 Bologna 13 5 4 4 22 18 +4 19
8 Sassuolo 13 5 3 5 17 16 +1 18
9 Atalanta 12 4 5 3 14 11 +3 17
10 Udinese 12 5 1 6 15 20 -5 16
11 Parma 12 4 4 4 8 13 -5 16
12 Lazio 13 3 6 4 8 9 -1 15
13 Cagliari 13 3 4 6 13 20 -7 13
14 Torino 13 3 4 6 12 25 -13 13
15 Cremonese 13 3 3 7 10 18 -8 12
16 Genoa 12 2 5 5 15 19 -4 11
17 Lecce 12 3 2 7 8 15 -7 11
18 Fiorentina 13 2 5 6 12 20 -8 11
19 Pisa 12 0 8 4 16 26 -10 8
20 Verona 14 1 5 8 8 27 -19 8

Milan   Parma

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 14 Genoa 26 10 16 1.2 1.4 6 9 11 32 37 27
2 15 Torino 26 10 16 1.0 1.8 7 6 13 25 47 27
3 18 Fiorentina 25 9 16 1.2 1.6 4 9 12 29 39 21
4 20 Verona 26 10 16 0.7 1.8 2 9 15 19 46 15
5 1 Inter 26 11 15 2.4 0.8 21 1 4 62 21 64
6 3 Napoli 26 12 14 1.5 1.0 15 5 6 39 27 50
7 8 Sassuolo 26 12 14 1.2 1.3 10 5 11 32 35 35
8 10 Bologna 25 12 13 1.4 1.3 9 6 10 34 32 33
9 11 Udinese 25 12 13 1.1 1.5 9 5 11 28 38 32
10 2 Milan 25 13 12 1.6 0.8 15 9 1 41 19 54
11 5 Juventus 26 14 12 1.7 1.0 13 7 6 43 25 46
12 12 Cagliari 26 14 12 1.1 1.3 7 8 11 28 35 29
13 19 Pisa 25 14 11 0.8 1.7 1 12 12 20 42 15
14 6 Como 26 16 10 1.6 0.7 12 9 5 41 19 45
15 7 Atalanta 26 17 9 1.4 0.8 12 9 5 36 22 45
16 13 Parma 25 16 9 0.7 1.2 7 8 10 18 31 29
17 16 Cremonese 25 16 9 0.8 1.3 5 9 11 21 33 24
18 17 Lecce 26 18 8 0.7 1.3 6 6 14 17 33 24
19 9 Lazio 26 19 7 1.0 1.0 8 10 8 26 25 34
20 4 Roma 25 19 6 1.2 0.6 15 2 8 31 16 47
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Inter 13 3 10 2.8 0.9 10 1 2 36 12 31
2 3 Napoli 12 4 8 1.8 0.9 8 4 0 21 11 28
3 14 Genoa 14 6 8 1.2 1.3 4 4 6 17 18 16
4 15 Torino 13 5 8 1.0 1.7 4 2 7 13 22 14
5 18 Fiorentina 12 4 8 1.4 1.6 2 4 6 17 19 10
6 5 Juventus 13 6 7 1.9 0.9 7 5 1 25 12 26
7 8 Sassuolo 13 6 7 1.2 1.5 5 2 6 15 19 17
8 20 Verona 12 5 7 0.9 1.6 1 4 7 11 19 7
9 2 Milan 12 6 6 1.5 0.8 7 4 1 18 10 25
10 7 Atalanta 14 8 6 1.6 0.8 8 4 2 22 11 28
11 11 Udinese 13 7 6 1.0 1.4 4 4 5 13 18 16
12 17 Lecce 14 8 6 0.6 1.3 3 4 7 9 18 13
13 9 Lazio 13 8 5 1.4 1.2 5 4 4 18 16 19
14 10 Bologna 12 7 5 1.0 1.2 4 2 6 12 14 14
15 13 Parma 13 8 5 0.8 1.4 3 4 6 10 18 13
16 6 Como 13 9 4 1.6 0.7 6 5 2 21 9 23
17 12 Cagliari 13 9 4 1.2 1.2 4 4 5 15 15 16
18 16 Cremonese 12 8 4 0.9 1.2 2 6 4 11 15 12
19 19 Pisa 13 10 3 0.3 1.2 1 4 8 4 16 7
20 4 Roma 12 10 2 1.3 0.5 8 1 3 16 6 25
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 20 Verona 14 5 9 0.6 1.9 1 5 8 8 27 8
2 10 Bologna 13 5 8 1.7 1.4 5 4 4 22 18 19
3 12 Cagliari 13 5 8 1.0 1.5 3 4 6 13 20 13
4 14 Genoa 12 4 8 1.2 1.6 2 5 5 15 19 11
5 15 Torino 13 5 8 0.9 1.9 3 4 6 12 25 13
6 18 Fiorentina 13 5 8 0.9 1.5 2 5 6 12 20 11
7 19 Pisa 12 4 8 1.3 2.2 0 8 4 16 26 8
8 8 Sassuolo 13 6 7 1.3 1.2 5 3 5 17 16 18
9 11 Udinese 12 5 7 1.2 1.7 5 1 6 15 20 16
10 2 Milan 13 7 6 1.8 0.7 8 5 0 23 9 29
11 3 Napoli 14 8 6 1.3 1.1 7 1 6 18 16 22
12 6 Como 13 7 6 1.5 0.8 6 4 3 20 10 22
13 1 Inter 13 8 5 2.0 0.7 11 0 2 26 9 33
14 5 Juventus 13 8 5 1.4 1.0 6 2 5 18 13 20
15 16 Cremonese 13 8 5 0.8 1.4 3 3 7 10 18 12
16 4 Roma 13 9 4 1.2 0.8 7 1 5 15 10 22
17 13 Parma 12 8 4 0.7 1.1 4 4 4 8 13 16
18 7 Atalanta 12 9 3 1.2 0.9 4 5 3 14 11 17
19 9 Lazio 13 11 2 0.6 0.7 3 6 4 8 9 15
20 17 Lecce 12 10 2 0.7 1.2 3 2 7 8 15 11

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51