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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Milan 1–0 Roma

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 2.20 fair 2.62
Draw 3.00 fair 3.50
Away 3.70 fair 3.01
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.67 fair 1.65
Over 2.5 2.20 fair 2.53

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Milan Roma
17 Shots 20
8 Shots on target 6
7 Corners 8
12 Fouls 13
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (97 league matches this season so far).
Result Milan to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.85
Expected goals 1.18 – 1.08
Home / Draw / Away
MilanDrawRoma
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 13.3% 1–0 12.3% 0–1 11.3%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Milan before this match, all matches
2.00points / match
1.56scored / match
0.78conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 14:7
Roma before this match, all matches
2.33points / match
1.11scored / match
0.44conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 10:4
Milan all matches all matches Roma

Per match

1.56 Goals scored 1.11
0.78 Goals conceded 0.44
2.33 Total goals 1.56
13.78 Shots 13.89
4.44 Shots on target 5.22
9.67 Shots faced 9.89
4.11 Corners 5.89
4.22 Corners against 3.22
9.67 Fouls 14.67
1.56 Yellow cards 1.56
0.67 1st-half goals scored 0.56
0.22 1st-half goals conceded 0.22

How often Full Time

56% Wins 78%
33% Draws 0%
11% Losses 22%
89% Over 0.5 goals 100%
78% Over 1.5 goals 33%
56% Over 2.5 goals 22%
11% Over 3.5 goals 0%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
56% Both teams scored 22%
44% Clean sheets 56%
11% Failed to score 22%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 44%
67% Draws 44%
0% Losses 11%
56% Over 0.5 goals 56%
33% Over 1.5 goals 11%
0% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milan all matches
Roma all matches
Milan before this match, at home
2.00points / match
1.60scored / match
1.20conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 8:6
Roma before this match, away
3.00points / match
1.25scored / match
0.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 5:1
Milan at home away Roma

Per match

1.60 Goals scored 1.25
1.20 Goals conceded 0.25
2.80 Total goals 1.50
15.60 Shots 11.50
4.60 Shots on target 5.50
8.20 Shots faced 9.75
4.80 Corners 5.75
3.60 Corners against 3.25
11.20 Fouls 17.25
1.80 Yellow cards 1.75
0.80 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.20 1st-half goals conceded 0.25

How often Full Time

60% Wins 100%
20% Draws 0%
20% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
80% Over 1.5 goals 25%
80% Over 2.5 goals 25%
20% Over 3.5 goals 0%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
80% Both teams scored 25%
20% Clean sheets 75%
0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

40% Wins 75%
60% Draws 25%
0% Losses 0%
60% Over 0.5 goals 75%
40% Over 1.5 goals 25%
0% Over 2.5 goals 25%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milan at home
Roma away

Last 10 matches before this match

Milan all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.10.25 Atalanta – Milan 1–1 (1–1) 2.633.202.75 2.00 1.85
24.10.25 Milan – Pisa 2–2 (1–0) 1.305.5010.00 1.80 2.05
19.10.25 Milan – Fiorentina 2–1 (0–0) 1.504.336.50 1.88 1.98
05.10.25 Juventus – Milan 0–0 (0–0) 2.703.202.70 2.10 1.73
28.09.25 Milan – Napoli 2–1 (2–0) 2.353.103.20 2.10 1.73
20.09.25 Udinese – Milan 0–3 (0–1) 4.333.601.83 2.10 1.73
14.09.25 Milan – Bologna 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.404.20 2.00 1.85
29.08.25 Lecce – Milan 0–2 (0–0) 6.003.901.57 2.00 1.85
23.08.25 Milan – Cremonese 1–2 (1–1) 1.335.259.00 1.67 2.20
24.05.25 Milan – Monza 2–0 (0–0) 1.227.0011.00 1.33 3.40

Roma all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.10.25 Roma – Parma 2–1 (0–0) 1.533.757.50 2.10 1.73
26.10.25 Sassuolo – Roma 0–1 (0–1) 4.503.501.85 2.10 1.73
18.10.25 Roma – Inter 0–1 (0–1) 3.303.252.25 2.10 1.73
05.10.25 Fiorentina – Roma 1–2 (1–2) 3.003.302.40 2.00 1.80
28.09.25 Roma – Verona 2–0 (1–0) 1.424.208.50 2.10 1.73
21.09.25 Lazio – Roma 0–1 (0–1) 2.803.102.63 2.30 1.62
14.09.25 Roma – Torino 0–1 (0–0) 1.504.107.00 2.05 1.80
30.08.25 Pisa – Roma 0–1 (0–0) 5.253.601.70 2.03 1.83
23.08.25 Roma – Bologna 1–0 (0–0) 2.103.303.50 2.10 1.73
25.05.25 Torino – Roma 0–2 (0–1) 5.504.201.57 1.90 1.95

Milan at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.10.25 Milan – Pisa 2–2 (1–0) 1.305.5010.00 1.80 2.05
19.10.25 Milan – Fiorentina 2–1 (0–0) 1.504.336.50 1.88 1.98
28.09.25 Milan – Napoli 2–1 (2–0) 2.353.103.20 2.10 1.73
14.09.25 Milan – Bologna 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.404.20 2.00 1.85
23.08.25 Milan – Cremonese 1–2 (1–1) 1.335.259.00 1.67 2.20
24.05.25 Milan – Monza 2–0 (0–0) 1.227.0011.00 1.33 3.40
09.05.25 Milan – Bologna 3–1 (0–0) 2.303.403.00 1.99 1.91
20.04.25 Milan – Atalanta 0–1 (0–0) 2.503.402.75 1.67 2.20
05.04.25 Milan – Fiorentina 2–2 (1–2) 1.903.504.20 1.73 2.10
15.03.25 Milan – Como 2–1 (0–1) 1.803.604.50 1.73 2.10

Roma away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.10.25 Sassuolo – Roma 0–1 (0–1) 4.503.501.85 2.10 1.73
05.10.25 Fiorentina – Roma 1–2 (1–2) 3.003.302.40 2.00 1.80
21.09.25 Lazio – Roma 0–1 (0–1) 2.803.102.63 2.30 1.62
30.08.25 Pisa – Roma 0–1 (0–0) 5.253.601.70 2.03 1.83
25.05.25 Torino – Roma 0–2 (0–1) 5.504.201.57 1.90 1.95
12.05.25 Atalanta – Roma 2–1 (1–1) 1.953.603.75 1.80 2.00
27.04.25 Inter – Roma 0–1 (0–1) 1.733.804.75 2.02 1.88
13.04.25 Lazio – Roma 1–1 (0–0) 2.803.202.63 2.10 1.73
29.03.25 Lecce – Roma 0–1 (0–0) 4.753.501.75 2.20 1.67
09.03.25 Empoli – Roma 0–1 (0–1) 3.903.302.00 2.05 1.85

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Milan winsDrawsRoma wins
8matches
3.25goals / match
75%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.05.25I1 Roma – Milan 3–1 (1–1) 2.303.602.90 1.73 2.10
29.12.24I1 Milan – Roma 1–1 (1–1) 2.253.403.20 1.93 1.97
14.01.24I1 Milan – Roma 3–1 (1–0) 2.203.203.50 2.15 1.67
01.09.23I1 Roma – Milan 1–2 (0–1) 2.803.102.63 2.30 1.62
29.04.23I1 Roma – Milan 1–1 (0–0) 2.753.002.75 2.50 1.53
08.01.23I1 Milan – Roma 2–2 (1–0) 1.833.604.33 2.09 1.81
06.01.22I1 Milan – Roma 3–1 (2–1) 1.903.703.80 1.72 2.10
31.10.21I1 Roma – Milan 1–2 (0–1) 2.303.503.00 1.72 2.10

Italy Serie A table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 10 7 1 2 16 8 +8 22
2 Inter 10 7 0 3 24 12 +12 21
3 Roma 9 7 0 2 10 4 +6 21
4 Bologna 10 5 3 2 16 8 +8 18
5 Milan 9 5 3 1 14 7 +7 18
6 Juventus 10 5 3 2 14 10 +4 18
7 Como 10 4 5 1 12 6 +6 17
8 Udinese 10 4 3 3 12 15 -3 15
9 Cremonese 10 3 5 2 12 12 0 14
10 Atalanta 10 2 7 1 13 8 +5 13
11 Sassuolo 9 4 1 4 10 10 0 13
12 Torino 10 3 4 3 10 16 -6 13
13 Lazio 9 3 3 3 11 7 +4 12
14 Cagliari 9 2 3 4 9 12 -3 9
15 Lecce 10 2 3 5 8 14 -6 9
16 Parma 10 1 4 5 5 12 -7 7
17 Pisa 10 0 6 4 7 14 -7 6
18 Verona 10 0 5 5 6 16 -10 5
19 Fiorentina 10 0 4 6 7 16 -9 4
20 Genoa 9 0 3 6 4 13 -9 3
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 5 4 1 0 9 4 +5 13
2 Inter 5 4 0 1 15 4 +11 12
3 Como 5 3 2 0 9 3 +6 11
4 Juventus 5 3 2 0 10 5 +5 11
5 Bologna 4 3 1 0 7 1 +6 10
6 Milan 5 3 1 1 8 6 +2 10
7 Roma 5 3 0 2 5 3 +2 9
8 Udinese 5 2 2 1 6 7 -1 8
9 Torino 5 2 2 1 5 6 -1 8
10 Lazio 4 2 1 1 8 4 +4 7
11 Atalanta 5 1 4 0 7 4 +3 7
12 Cremonese 5 1 3 1 6 6 0 6
13 Sassuolo 4 2 0 2 4 4 0 6
14 Parma 5 1 2 2 4 6 -2 5
15 Cagliari 5 1 1 3 4 7 -3 4
16 Verona 5 0 3 2 4 6 -2 3
17 Pisa 5 0 3 2 0 2 -2 3
18 Lecce 5 0 2 3 3 7 -4 2
19 Genoa 5 0 2 3 0 6 -6 2
20 Fiorentina 5 0 1 4 5 10 -5 1
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Roma 4 4 0 0 5 1 +4 12
2 Napoli 5 3 0 2 7 4 +3 9
3 Inter 5 3 0 2 9 8 +1 9
4 Milan 4 2 2 0 6 1 +5 8
5 Bologna 6 2 2 2 9 7 +2 8
6 Cremonese 5 2 2 1 6 6 0 8
7 Sassuolo 5 2 1 2 6 6 0 7
8 Juventus 5 2 1 2 4 5 -1 7
9 Udinese 5 2 1 2 6 8 -2 7
10 Lecce 5 2 1 2 5 7 -2 7
11 Atalanta 5 1 3 1 6 4 +2 6
12 Como 5 1 3 1 3 3 0 6
13 Cagliari 4 1 2 1 5 5 0 5
14 Lazio 5 1 2 2 3 3 0 5
15 Torino 5 1 2 2 5 10 -5 5
16 Fiorentina 5 0 3 2 2 6 -4 3
17 Pisa 5 0 3 2 7 12 -5 3
18 Parma 5 0 2 3 1 6 -5 2
19 Verona 5 0 2 3 2 10 -8 2
20 Genoa 4 0 1 3 4 7 -3 1

Milan   Roma

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Inter 10 2 8 2.4 1.2 7 0 3 24 12 21
2 12 Torino 10 4 6 1.0 1.6 3 4 3 10 16 13
3 19 Fiorentina 10 4 6 0.7 1.6 0 4 6 7 16 4
4 1 Napoli 10 5 5 1.6 0.8 7 1 2 16 8 22
5 4 Bologna 10 5 5 1.6 0.8 5 3 2 16 8 18
6 5 Milan 9 4 5 1.6 0.8 5 3 1 14 7 18
7 8 Udinese 10 5 5 1.2 1.5 4 3 3 12 15 15
8 9 Cremonese 10 6 4 1.2 1.2 3 5 2 12 12 14
9 11 Sassuolo 9 5 4 1.1 1.1 4 1 4 10 10 13
10 15 Lecce 10 6 4 0.8 1.4 2 3 5 8 14 9
11 17 Pisa 10 6 4 0.7 1.4 0 6 4 7 14 6
12 18 Verona 10 6 4 0.6 1.6 0 5 5 6 16 5
13 20 Genoa 9 5 4 0.4 1.4 0 3 6 4 13 3
14 6 Juventus 10 7 3 1.4 1.0 5 3 2 14 10 18
15 13 Lazio 9 6 3 1.2 0.8 3 3 3 11 7 12
16 14 Cagliari 9 6 3 1.0 1.3 2 3 4 9 12 9
17 16 Parma 10 7 3 0.5 1.2 1 4 5 5 12 7
18 3 Roma 9 7 2 1.1 0.4 7 0 2 10 4 21
19 7 Como 10 8 2 1.2 0.6 4 5 1 12 6 17
20 10 Atalanta 10 8 2 1.3 0.8 2 7 1 13 8 13
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Inter 5 0 5 3.0 0.8 4 0 1 15 4 12
2 5 Milan 5 1 4 1.6 1.2 3 1 1 8 6 10
3 19 Fiorentina 5 1 4 1.0 2.0 0 1 4 5 10 1
4 1 Napoli 5 2 3 1.8 0.8 4 1 0 9 4 13
5 12 Torino 5 2 3 1.0 1.2 2 2 1 5 6 8
6 4 Bologna 4 2 2 1.8 0.2 3 1 0 7 1 10
7 6 Juventus 5 3 2 2.0 1.0 3 2 0 10 5 11
8 8 Udinese 5 3 2 1.2 1.4 2 2 1 6 7 8
9 9 Cremonese 5 3 2 1.2 1.2 1 3 1 6 6 6
10 13 Lazio 4 2 2 2.0 1.0 2 1 1 8 4 7
11 15 Lecce 5 3 2 0.6 1.4 0 2 3 3 7 2
12 16 Parma 5 3 2 0.8 1.2 1 2 2 4 6 5
13 18 Verona 5 3 2 0.8 1.2 0 3 2 4 6 3
14 3 Roma 5 4 1 1.0 0.6 3 0 2 5 3 9
15 7 Como 5 4 1 1.8 0.6 3 2 0 9 3 11
16 10 Atalanta 5 4 1 1.4 0.8 1 4 0 7 4 7
17 11 Sassuolo 4 3 1 1.0 1.0 2 0 2 4 4 6
18 14 Cagliari 5 4 1 0.8 1.4 1 1 3 4 7 4
19 20 Genoa 5 4 1 0.0 1.2 0 2 3 0 6 2
20 17 Pisa 5 5 0 0.0 0.4 0 3 2 0 2 3
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 17 Pisa 5 1 4 1.4 2.4 0 3 2 7 12 3
2 2 Inter 5 2 3 1.8 1.6 3 0 2 9 8 9
3 4 Bologna 6 3 3 1.5 1.2 2 2 2 9 7 8
4 8 Udinese 5 2 3 1.2 1.6 2 1 2 6 8 7
5 11 Sassuolo 5 2 3 1.2 1.2 2 1 2 6 6 7
6 12 Torino 5 2 3 1.0 2.0 1 2 2 5 10 5
7 20 Genoa 4 1 3 1.0 1.8 0 1 3 4 7 1
8 1 Napoli 5 3 2 1.4 0.8 3 0 2 7 4 9
9 9 Cremonese 5 3 2 1.2 1.2 2 2 1 6 6 8
10 14 Cagliari 4 2 2 1.2 1.2 1 2 1 5 5 5
11 15 Lecce 5 3 2 1.0 1.4 2 1 2 5 7 7
12 18 Verona 5 3 2 0.4 2.0 0 2 3 2 10 2
13 19 Fiorentina 5 3 2 0.4 1.2 0 3 2 2 6 3
14 3 Roma 4 3 1 1.2 0.2 4 0 0 5 1 12
15 5 Milan 4 3 1 1.5 0.2 2 2 0 6 1 8
16 6 Juventus 5 4 1 0.8 1.0 2 1 2 4 5 7
17 7 Como 5 4 1 0.6 0.6 1 3 1 3 3 6
18 10 Atalanta 5 4 1 1.2 0.8 1 3 1 6 4 6
19 13 Lazio 5 4 1 0.6 0.6 1 2 2 3 3 5
20 16 Parma 5 4 1 0.2 1.2 0 2 3 1 6 2

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40