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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Napoli 2–1 Milan

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 1.91 fair 2.14
Draw 3.70 fair 3.90
Away 3.75 fair 3.62
Under 2.5 1.88 fair 1.94
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.02 fair 2.06

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Napoli Milan
8 Shots 17
3 Shots on target 4
2 Corners 6
10 Fouls 5
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (297 league matches this season so far).
Result Napoli to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.92
Expected goals 1.51 – 1.10
Home / Draw / Away
NapoliDrawMilan
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.2% 1–0 11.1% 2–1 9.2%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Napoli before this match, all matches
2.10points / match
1.55scored / match
0.79conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 29 played · 45:23
Milan before this match, all matches
1.62points / match
1.52scored / match
1.14conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 29 played · 44:33
Napoli all matches all matches Milan

Per match

1.55 Goals scored 1.52
0.79 Goals conceded 1.14
2.34 Total goals 2.66
13.62 Shots 14.83
4.14 Shots on target 5.41
9.55 Shots faced 11.17
5.86 Corners 5.93
3.69 Corners against 3.93
10.93 Fouls 11.28
1.14 Yellow cards 1.79
0.69 1st-half goals scored 0.69
0.41 1st-half goals conceded 0.48

How often Full Time

62% Wins 45%
24% Draws 28%
14% Losses 28%
93% Over 0.5 goals 93%
72% Over 1.5 goals 79%
48% Over 2.5 goals 59%
17% Over 3.5 goals 21%
3% Over 4.5 goals 10%
0% Over 5.5 goals 3%
45% Both teams scored 59%
45% Clean sheets 34%
17% Failed to score 14%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 31%
45% Draws 41%
17% Losses 28%
72% Over 0.5 goals 72%
34% Over 1.5 goals 31%
3% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Napoli all matches
Milan all matches
Napoli before this match, at home
2.29points / match
1.50scored / match
0.71conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 21:10
Milan before this match, away
1.43points / match
1.50scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 21:21
Napoli at home away Milan

Per match

1.50 Goals scored 1.50
0.71 Goals conceded 1.50
2.21 Total goals 3.00
16.93 Shots 14.36
4.79 Shots on target 5.79
7.86 Shots faced 11.71
7.50 Corners 5.64
3.14 Corners against 3.71
10.43 Fouls 11.43
1.00 Yellow cards 2.07
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

71% Wins 43%
14% Draws 14%
14% Losses 43%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
71% Over 1.5 goals 86%
43% Over 2.5 goals 71%
7% Over 3.5 goals 21%
0% Over 4.5 goals 14%
0% Over 5.5 goals 7%
43% Both teams scored 71%
43% Clean sheets 21%
14% Failed to score 7%

How often Half Time

29% Wins 29%
43% Draws 43%
29% Losses 29%
71% Over 0.5 goals 71%
29% Over 1.5 goals 21%
0% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Napoli at home
Milan away

Last 10 matches before this match

Napoli all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.03.25 Venezia – Napoli 0–0 (0–0) 5.754.331.53 2.07 1.83
09.03.25 Napoli – Fiorentina 2–1 (1–0) 1.554.006.25 2.05 1.68
01.03.25 Napoli – Inter 1–1 (0–1) 3.103.202.38 2.20 1.67
23.02.25 Como – Napoli 2–1 (1–1) 3.603.002.25 2.20 1.67
15.02.25 Lazio – Napoli 2–2 (1–1) 2.633.202.80 2.10 1.73
09.02.25 Napoli – Udinese 1–1 (1–1) 1.444.507.50 2.01 1.89
02.02.25 Roma – Napoli 1–1 (0–1) 3.103.202.38 2.00 1.80
25.01.25 Napoli – Juventus 2–1 (0–1) 2.153.103.80 2.45 1.49
18.01.25 Atalanta – Napoli 2–3 (1–2) 2.253.253.25 2.10 1.73
12.01.25 Napoli – Verona 2–0 (1–0) 1.255.5013.00 1.67 2.20

Milan all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.03.25 Milan – Como 2–1 (0–1) 1.803.604.50 1.73 2.10
08.03.25 Lecce – Milan 2–3 (1–0) 4.753.601.75 1.88 2.02
02.03.25 Milan – Lazio 1–2 (0–1) 2.053.603.50 1.86 2.04
27.02.25 Bologna – Milan 2–1 (0–1) 2.883.302.50 1.96 1.82
22.02.25 Torino – Milan 2–1 (1–0) 3.903.302.00 2.10 1.73
15.02.25 Milan – Verona 1–0 (0–0) 1.334.759.50 1.57 2.38
08.02.25 Empoli – Milan 0–2 (0–0) 5.503.801.65 1.95 1.95
02.02.25 Milan – Inter 1–1 (1–0) 4.003.501.91 1.80 2.00
26.01.25 Milan – Parma 3–2 (1–1) 1.306.008.50 1.44 2.75
18.01.25 Juventus – Milan 2–0 (0–0) 2.153.303.40 2.10 1.73

Napoli at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.03.25 Napoli – Fiorentina 2–1 (1–0) 1.554.006.25 2.05 1.68
01.03.25 Napoli – Inter 1–1 (0–1) 3.103.202.38 2.20 1.67
09.02.25 Napoli – Udinese 1–1 (1–1) 1.444.507.50 2.01 1.89
25.01.25 Napoli – Juventus 2–1 (0–1) 2.153.103.80 2.45 1.49
12.01.25 Napoli – Verona 2–0 (1–0) 1.255.5013.00 1.67 2.20
29.12.24 Napoli – Venezia 1–0 (0–0) 1.275.5011.00 1.62 2.30
08.12.24 Napoli – Lazio 0–1 (0–0) 1.903.404.33 2.10 1.73
24.11.24 Napoli – Roma 1–0 (0–0) 1.733.605.00 2.00 1.80
03.11.24 Napoli – Atalanta 0–3 (0–2) 2.053.403.70 1.92 1.98
26.10.24 Napoli – Lecce 1–0 (0–0) 1.256.0012.00 1.73 2.10

Milan away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.03.25 Lecce – Milan 2–3 (1–0) 4.753.601.75 1.88 2.02
27.02.25 Bologna – Milan 2–1 (0–1) 2.883.302.50 1.96 1.82
22.02.25 Torino – Milan 2–1 (1–0) 3.903.302.00 2.10 1.73
08.02.25 Empoli – Milan 0–2 (0–0) 5.503.801.65 1.95 1.95
18.01.25 Juventus – Milan 2–0 (0–0) 2.153.303.40 2.10 1.73
14.01.25 Como – Milan 1–2 (0–0) 4.203.501.90 1.84 2.06
20.12.24 Verona – Milan 0–1 (0–0) 5.504.101.57 1.73 2.10
06.12.24 Atalanta – Milan 2–1 (1–1) 2.153.403.30 1.73 2.10
09.11.24 Cagliari – Milan 3–3 (1–2) 5.504.101.60 1.67 2.20
02.11.24 Monza – Milan 0–1 (0–1) 5.003.601.70 1.90 2.00

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Napoli winsDrawsMilan wins
7matches
2.29goals / match
43%over 2.5
29%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.10.24I1 Milan – Napoli 0–2 (0–2) 2.453.402.80 1.95 1.95
11.02.24I1 Milan – Napoli 1–0 (1–0) 1.953.603.80 1.80 2.00
29.10.23I1 Napoli – Milan 2–2 (0–2) 2.203.403.30 2.04 1.86
02.04.23I1 Napoli – Milan 0–4 (0–2) 1.733.605.00 2.06 1.84
18.09.22I1 Milan – Napoli 1–2 (0–0) 2.153.503.30 1.93 1.97
06.03.22I1 Napoli – Milan 0–1 (0–0) 2.053.303.60 2.04 1.86
19.12.21I1 Milan – Napoli 0–1 (0–1) 2.253.503.10 1.80 2.00

Italy Serie A table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 30 20 7 3 67 28 +39 67
2 Napoli 29 18 7 4 45 23 +22 61
3 Atalanta 30 17 7 6 63 29 +34 58
4 Bologna 30 15 11 4 50 34 +16 56
5 Juventus 30 14 13 3 46 28 +18 55
6 Roma 30 15 7 8 45 30 +15 52
7 Fiorentina 30 15 6 9 47 30 +17 51
8 Lazio 29 15 6 8 50 41 +9 51
9 Milan 29 13 8 8 44 33 +11 47
10 Udinese 30 11 7 12 36 41 -5 40
11 Torino 29 9 11 9 34 34 0 38
12 Genoa 30 8 11 11 28 38 -10 35
13 Como 30 7 9 14 36 47 -11 30
14 Cagliari 30 7 8 15 31 44 -13 29
15 Verona 29 9 2 18 29 58 -29 29
16 Parma 29 5 10 14 35 49 -14 25
17 Lecce 30 6 7 17 21 49 -28 25
18 Empoli 30 4 11 15 24 47 -23 23
19 Venezia 30 3 11 16 23 43 -20 20
20 Monza 30 2 9 19 24 52 -28 15
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 15 11 3 1 34 17 +17 36
2 Fiorentina 16 10 3 3 27 15 +12 33
3 Bologna 15 9 5 1 29 13 +16 32
4 Napoli 14 10 2 2 21 10 +11 32
5 Roma 15 10 1 4 31 13 +18 31
6 Juventus 16 8 7 1 25 14 +11 31
7 Milan 15 7 6 2 23 12 +11 27
8 Lazio 14 7 5 2 28 20 +8 26
9 Atalanta 14 7 4 3 29 18 +11 25
10 Udinese 15 7 2 6 19 18 +1 23
11 Torino 14 5 5 4 13 12 +1 20
12 Como 15 5 5 5 23 23 0 20
13 Genoa 15 4 7 4 17 18 -1 19
14 Cagliari 16 5 4 7 19 24 -5 19
15 Parma 15 4 4 7 22 25 -3 16
16 Venezia 15 3 5 7 12 16 -4 14
17 Lecce 15 3 5 7 11 26 -15 14
18 Verona 14 4 1 9 13 32 -19 13
19 Monza 15 1 5 9 11 20 -9 8
20 Empoli 14 1 5 8 5 20 -15 8
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Atalanta 16 10 3 3 34 11 +23 33
2 Inter 15 9 4 2 33 11 +22 31
3 Napoli 15 8 5 2 24 13 +11 29
4 Lazio 15 8 1 6 22 21 +1 25
5 Juventus 14 6 6 2 21 14 +7 24
6 Bologna 15 6 6 3 21 21 0 24
7 Roma 15 5 6 4 14 17 -3 21
8 Milan 14 6 2 6 21 21 0 20
9 Fiorentina 14 5 3 6 20 15 +5 18
10 Torino 15 4 6 5 21 22 -1 18
11 Udinese 15 4 5 6 17 23 -6 17
12 Genoa 15 4 4 7 11 20 -9 16
13 Verona 15 5 1 9 16 26 -10 16
14 Empoli 16 3 6 7 19 27 -8 15
15 Lecce 15 3 2 10 10 23 -13 11
16 Cagliari 14 2 4 8 12 20 -8 10
17 Como 15 2 4 9 13 24 -11 10
18 Parma 14 1 6 7 13 24 -11 9
19 Monza 15 1 4 10 13 32 -19 7
20 Venezia 15 0 6 9 11 27 -16 6

Napoli   Milan

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Lazio 29 8 21 1.7 1.4 15 6 8 50 41 51
2 1 Inter 30 12 18 2.2 0.9 20 7 3 67 28 67
3 3 Atalanta 30 13 17 2.1 1.0 17 7 6 63 29 58
4 4 Bologna 30 13 17 1.7 1.1 15 11 4 50 34 56
5 7 Fiorentina 30 13 17 1.6 1.0 15 6 9 47 30 51
6 9 Milan 29 12 17 1.5 1.1 13 8 8 44 33 47
7 15 Verona 29 12 17 1.0 2.0 9 2 18 29 58 29
8 16 Parma 29 12 17 1.2 1.7 5 10 14 35 49 25
9 10 Udinese 30 15 15 1.2 1.4 11 7 12 36 41 40
10 20 Monza 30 15 15 0.8 1.7 2 9 19 24 52 15
11 2 Napoli 29 15 14 1.6 0.8 18 7 4 45 23 61
12 5 Juventus 30 16 14 1.5 0.9 14 13 3 46 28 55
13 13 Como 30 16 14 1.2 1.6 7 9 14 36 47 30
14 14 Cagliari 30 16 14 1.0 1.5 7 8 15 31 44 29
15 6 Roma 30 17 13 1.5 1.0 15 7 8 45 30 52
16 17 Lecce 30 17 13 0.7 1.6 6 7 17 21 49 25
17 18 Empoli 30 18 12 0.8 1.6 4 11 15 24 47 23
18 19 Venezia 30 18 12 0.8 1.4 3 11 16 23 43 20
19 12 Genoa 30 19 11 0.9 1.3 8 11 11 28 38 35
20 11 Torino 29 19 10 1.2 1.2 9 11 9 34 34 38
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Lazio 14 3 11 2.0 1.4 7 5 2 28 20 26
2 15 Verona 14 3 11 0.9 2.3 4 1 9 13 32 13
3 1 Inter 15 5 10 2.3 1.1 11 3 1 34 17 36
4 7 Fiorentina 16 6 10 1.7 0.9 10 3 3 27 15 33
5 6 Roma 15 6 9 2.1 0.9 10 1 4 31 13 31
6 16 Parma 15 6 9 1.5 1.7 4 4 7 22 25 16
7 3 Atalanta 14 6 8 2.1 1.3 7 4 3 29 18 25
8 4 Bologna 15 7 8 1.9 0.9 9 5 1 29 13 32
9 13 Como 15 7 8 1.5 1.5 5 5 5 23 23 20
10 14 Cagliari 16 8 8 1.2 1.5 5 4 7 19 24 19
11 5 Juventus 16 9 7 1.6 0.9 8 7 1 25 14 31
12 9 Milan 15 8 7 1.5 0.8 7 6 2 23 12 27
13 10 Udinese 15 8 7 1.3 1.2 7 2 6 19 18 23
14 17 Lecce 15 8 7 0.7 1.7 3 5 7 11 26 14
15 2 Napoli 14 8 6 1.5 0.7 10 2 2 21 10 32
16 12 Genoa 15 9 6 1.1 1.2 4 7 4 17 18 19
17 20 Monza 15 9 6 0.7 1.3 1 5 9 11 20 8
18 18 Empoli 14 10 4 0.4 1.4 1 5 8 5 20 8
19 19 Venezia 15 11 4 0.8 1.1 3 5 7 12 16 14
20 11 Torino 14 11 3 0.9 0.9 5 5 4 13 12 20
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Lazio 15 5 10 1.5 1.4 8 1 6 22 21 25
2 9 Milan 14 4 10 1.5 1.5 6 2 6 21 21 20
3 3 Atalanta 16 7 9 2.1 0.7 10 3 3 34 11 33
4 4 Bologna 15 6 9 1.4 1.4 6 6 3 21 21 24
5 20 Monza 15 6 9 0.9 2.1 1 4 10 13 32 7
6 1 Inter 15 7 8 2.2 0.7 9 4 2 33 11 31
7 2 Napoli 15 7 8 1.6 0.9 8 5 2 24 13 29
8 10 Udinese 15 7 8 1.1 1.5 4 5 6 17 23 17
9 16 Parma 14 6 8 0.9 1.7 1 6 7 13 24 9
10 18 Empoli 16 8 8 1.2 1.7 3 6 7 19 27 15
11 19 Venezia 15 7 8 0.7 1.8 0 6 9 11 27 6
12 5 Juventus 14 7 7 1.5 1.0 6 6 2 21 14 24
13 7 Fiorentina 14 7 7 1.4 1.1 5 3 6 20 15 18
14 11 Torino 15 8 7 1.4 1.5 4 6 5 21 22 18
15 13 Como 15 9 6 0.9 1.6 2 4 9 13 24 10
16 14 Cagliari 14 8 6 0.9 1.4 2 4 8 12 20 10
17 15 Verona 15 9 6 1.1 1.7 5 1 9 16 26 16
18 17 Lecce 15 9 6 0.7 1.5 3 2 10 10 23 11
19 12 Genoa 15 10 5 0.7 1.3 4 4 7 11 20 16
20 6 Roma 15 11 4 0.9 1.1 5 6 4 14 17 21

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51