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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Napoli 2–1 Fiorentina

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 1.55 fair 2.34
Draw 4.00 fair 3.75
Away 6.25 fair 3.27
Under 2.5 1.68 fair 1.84
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.05 fair 2.19

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Napoli Fiorentina
19 Shots 7
11 Shots on target 2
4 Corners 4
10 Fouls 5
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (276 league matches this season so far).
Result Napoli to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.98
Expected goals 1.38 – 1.12
Home / Draw / Away
NapoliDrawFiorentina
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.7% 1–0 11.3% 0–1 9.2%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Napoli before this match, all matches
2.11points / match
1.59scored / match
0.81conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 27 played · 43:22
Fiorentina before this match, all matches
1.67points / match
1.56scored / match
1.04conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 27 played · 42:28
Napoli all matches all matches Fiorentina

Per match

1.59 Goals scored 1.56
0.81 Goals conceded 1.04
2.41 Total goals 2.59
13.37 Shots 11.63
3.78 Shots on target 4.48
9.52 Shots faced 11.56
5.85 Corners 4.07
3.70 Corners against 4.04
11.07 Fouls 11.63
1.15 Yellow cards 2.11
0.70 1st-half goals scored 0.85
0.44 1st-half goals conceded 0.52

How often Full Time

63% Wins 48%
22% Draws 22%
15% Losses 30%
96% Over 0.5 goals 93%
74% Over 1.5 goals 70%
48% Over 2.5 goals 56%
19% Over 3.5 goals 22%
4% Over 4.5 goals 11%
0% Over 5.5 goals 7%
44% Both teams scored 52%
44% Clean sheets 33%
15% Failed to score 22%

How often Half Time

37% Wins 41%
44% Draws 33%
19% Losses 26%
74% Over 0.5 goals 78%
37% Over 1.5 goals 33%
4% Over 2.5 goals 15%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Napoli all matches
Fiorentina all matches
Napoli before this match, at home
2.23points / match
1.46scored / match
0.69conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 19:9
Fiorentina before this match, away
1.38points / match
1.46scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 19:13
Napoli at home away Fiorentina

Per match

1.46 Goals scored 1.46
0.69 Goals conceded 1.00
2.15 Total goals 2.46
16.77 Shots 10.85
4.31 Shots on target 4.00
7.92 Shots faced 12.62
7.77 Corners 3.23
3.08 Corners against 4.23
10.46 Fouls 11.54
1.00 Yellow cards 2.23
0.46 1st-half goals scored 0.85
0.54 1st-half goals conceded 0.54

How often Full Time

69% Wins 38%
15% Draws 23%
15% Losses 38%
100% Over 0.5 goals 92%
69% Over 1.5 goals 62%
38% Over 2.5 goals 46%
8% Over 3.5 goals 23%
0% Over 4.5 goals 15%
0% Over 5.5 goals 8%
38% Both teams scored 46%
46% Clean sheets 38%
15% Failed to score 23%

How often Half Time

23% Wins 31%
46% Draws 46%
31% Losses 23%
69% Over 0.5 goals 69%
31% Over 1.5 goals 38%
0% Over 2.5 goals 15%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Napoli at home
Fiorentina away

Last 10 matches before this match

Napoli all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.03.25 Napoli – Inter 1–1 (0–1) 3.103.202.38 2.20 1.67
23.02.25 Como – Napoli 2–1 (1–1) 3.603.002.25 2.20 1.67
15.02.25 Lazio – Napoli 2–2 (1–1) 2.633.202.80 2.10 1.73
09.02.25 Napoli – Udinese 1–1 (1–1) 1.444.507.50 2.01 1.89
02.02.25 Roma – Napoli 1–1 (0–1) 3.103.202.38 2.00 1.80
25.01.25 Napoli – Juventus 2–1 (0–1) 2.153.103.80 2.45 1.49
18.01.25 Atalanta – Napoli 2–3 (1–2) 2.253.253.25 2.10 1.73
12.01.25 Napoli – Verona 2–0 (1–0) 1.255.5013.00 1.67 2.20
04.01.25 Fiorentina – Napoli 0–3 (0–1) 2.883.252.55 2.10 1.73
29.12.24 Napoli – Venezia 1–0 (0–0) 1.275.5011.00 1.62 2.30

Fiorentina all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.02.25 Fiorentina – Lecce 1–0 (1–0) 1.753.405.00 2.30 1.62
23.02.25 Verona – Fiorentina 1–0 (0–0) 4.333.401.90 2.03 1.87
16.02.25 Fiorentina – Como 0–2 (0–1) 2.003.503.75 1.97 1.93
10.02.25 Inter – Fiorentina 2–1 (1–1) 1.484.756.50 1.67 2.20
06.02.25 Fiorentina – Inter 3–0 (0–0) 3.603.502.05 1.80 2.00
02.02.25 Fiorentina – Genoa 2–1 (2–0) 1.653.905.25 2.00 1.80
26.01.25 Lazio – Fiorentina 1–2 (0–2) 2.003.503.80 2.04 1.86
19.01.25 Fiorentina – Torino 1–1 (1–0) 1.733.405.50 2.20 1.67
13.01.25 Monza – Fiorentina 2–1 (1–0) 4.203.501.85 2.04 1.86
04.01.25 Fiorentina – Napoli 0–3 (0–1) 2.883.252.55 2.10 1.73

Napoli at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.03.25 Napoli – Inter 1–1 (0–1) 3.103.202.38 2.20 1.67
09.02.25 Napoli – Udinese 1–1 (1–1) 1.444.507.50 2.01 1.89
25.01.25 Napoli – Juventus 2–1 (0–1) 2.153.103.80 2.45 1.49
12.01.25 Napoli – Verona 2–0 (1–0) 1.255.5013.00 1.67 2.20
29.12.24 Napoli – Venezia 1–0 (0–0) 1.275.5011.00 1.62 2.30
08.12.24 Napoli – Lazio 0–1 (0–0) 1.903.404.33 2.10 1.73
24.11.24 Napoli – Roma 1–0 (0–0) 1.733.605.00 2.00 1.80
03.11.24 Napoli – Atalanta 0–3 (0–2) 2.053.403.70 1.92 1.98
26.10.24 Napoli – Lecce 1–0 (0–0) 1.256.0012.00 1.73 2.10
04.10.24 Napoli – Como 3–1 (1–1) 1.454.337.00 1.73 2.10

Fiorentina away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.02.25 Verona – Fiorentina 1–0 (0–0) 4.333.401.90 2.03 1.87
10.02.25 Inter – Fiorentina 2–1 (1–1) 1.484.756.50 1.67 2.20
26.01.25 Lazio – Fiorentina 1–2 (0–2) 2.003.503.80 2.04 1.86
13.01.25 Monza – Fiorentina 2–1 (1–0) 4.203.501.85 2.04 1.86
29.12.24 Juventus – Fiorentina 2–2 (1–1) 1.953.304.20 2.10 1.73
15.12.24 Bologna – Fiorentina 1–0 (0–0) 2.703.102.75 2.10 1.73
24.11.24 Como – Fiorentina 0–2 (0–1) 3.303.102.30 2.10 1.73
03.11.24 Torino – Fiorentina 0–1 (0–1) 3.203.302.25 2.10 1.73
31.10.24 Genoa – Fiorentina 0–1 (0–0) 4.203.901.80 2.02 1.88
20.10.24 Lecce – Fiorentina 0–6 (0–3) 3.203.302.30 2.04 1.86

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Napoli winsDrawsFiorentina wins
7matches
2.86goals / match
71%over 2.5
57%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.01.25I1 Fiorentina – Napoli 0–3 (0–1) 2.883.252.55 2.10 1.73
17.05.24I1 Fiorentina – Napoli 2–2 (2–1) 2.253.403.10 1.73 2.10
08.10.23I1 Napoli – Fiorentina 1–3 (1–1) 1.604.205.50 1.62 2.25
07.05.23I1 Napoli – Fiorentina 1–0 (0–0) 1.803.804.33 1.73 2.10
28.08.22I1 Fiorentina – Napoli 0–0 (0–0) 3.253.602.15 1.66 2.20
10.04.22I1 Napoli – Fiorentina 2–3 (0–1) 1.753.804.50 1.85 2.05
03.10.21I1 Fiorentina – Napoli 1–2 (1–1) 3.903.501.95 1.72 2.10

Italy Serie A table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Inter 28 18 7 3 63 27 +36 61 LWLWDW
2 Napoli 27 17 6 4 43 22 +21 57 WDDDLD
3 Atalanta 27 16 7 4 59 26 +33 55 WDWDWD
4 Juventus 27 13 13 1 45 21 +24 52 LWWWWW
5 Lazio 27 15 5 7 49 35 +14 50 LWWDDW
6 Bologna 28 13 11 4 44 34 +10 50 DWLWWW
7 Fiorentina 27 13 6 8 42 28 +14 45 WWLLLW
8 Milan 28 12 8 8 42 32 +10 44 WWLLLW
9 Roma 27 12 7 8 42 30 +12 43 WDWWWW
10 Udinese 27 11 6 10 34 37 -3 39 LWDWWW
11 Torino 28 8 11 9 33 34 -1 35 DDLWWD
12 Genoa 28 7 11 10 26 36 -10 32 LDWLDD
13 Como 28 7 8 13 34 44 -10 29 LLWWLD
14 Cagliari 28 6 8 14 28 43 -15 26 LWDLLD
15 Verona 28 8 2 18 28 58 -30 26 WLLWLL
16 Lecce 28 6 7 15 20 46 -26 25 WDDLLL
17 Parma 28 5 9 14 34 48 -14 24 LLLWLD
18 Empoli 27 4 10 13 23 44 -21 22 DLLLLD
19 Venezia 28 3 10 15 23 42 -19 19 LLLDDD
20 Monza 28 2 8 18 23 48 -25 14 LLDLLL
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Inter 14 10 3 1 32 16 +16 33 WDWWWW
2 Bologna 14 8 5 1 24 13 +11 29 DWWWWW
3 Napoli 13 9 2 2 19 9 +10 29 LWWWDD
4 Roma 14 9 1 4 30 13 +17 28 WWWDWW
5 Juventus 14 7 7 0 24 10 +14 28 DDWWWW
6 Fiorentina 14 8 3 3 23 15 +8 27 LDWWLW
7 Atalanta 13 7 4 2 29 16 +13 25 WDLDDD
8 Lazio 13 7 4 2 27 19 +8 25 LDDLWD
9 Milan 14 6 6 2 21 11 +10 24 DDWDWL
10 Udinese 14 7 2 5 19 17 +2 23 DDLWWW
11 Como 14 5 4 5 22 22 0 19 LWLLWD
12 Torino 13 4 5 4 12 12 0 17 LDDWDW
13 Genoa 14 3 7 4 15 17 -2 16 DLWWWD
14 Parma 15 4 4 7 22 25 -3 16 WDLLWD
15 Cagliari 15 4 4 7 16 24 -8 16 LWLWLD
16 Lecce 14 3 5 6 11 25 -14 14 LDLDLL
17 Venezia 13 3 4 6 12 15 -3 13 WDLDLD
18 Verona 14 4 1 9 13 32 -19 13 LDLLWL
19 Empoli 13 1 5 7 5 19 -14 8 LLLDLL
20 Monza 14 1 4 9 10 19 -9 7 LLWLDL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Atalanta 14 9 3 2 30 10 +20 30 WDDWWW
2 Inter 14 8 4 2 31 11 +20 28 WWDLLD
3 Napoli 14 8 4 2 24 13 +11 28 WWWDDL
4 Lazio 14 8 1 5 22 16 +6 25 WLWWDW
5 Juventus 13 6 6 1 21 11 +10 24 WDDLWW
6 Bologna 14 5 6 3 20 21 -1 21 WDDDLW
7 Milan 14 6 2 6 21 21 0 20 WLWLLW
8 Fiorentina 13 5 3 5 19 13 +6 18 LDLWLL
9 Torino 15 4 6 5 21 22 -1 18 DDDLWD
10 Udinese 13 4 4 5 15 20 -5 16 WWDLDW
11 Genoa 14 4 4 6 11 19 -8 16 DLLDLD
12 Roma 13 3 6 4 12 17 -5 15 LDDWWW
13 Empoli 14 3 5 6 18 25 -7 14 LDLLLD
14 Verona 14 4 1 9 15 26 -11 13 WLDWLL
15 Lecce 14 3 2 9 9 21 -12 11 LWLWDL
16 Cagliari 13 2 4 7 12 19 -7 10 LWDLDL
17 Como 14 2 4 8 12 22 -10 10 DLDLWL
18 Parma 13 1 5 7 12 23 -11 8 LDLLLL
19 Monza 14 1 4 9 13 29 -16 7 LLLLLL
20 Venezia 15 0 6 9 11 27 -16 6 LDLLDD

Napoli   Fiorentina

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 5 Lazio 27 7 20 1.8 1.3 15 5 7 49 35 50 OOOOUO
2 1 Inter 28 11 17 2.2 1.0 18 7 3 63 27 61 OOUUUO
3 15 Verona 28 11 17 1.0 2.1 8 2 18 28 58 26 UOUUUO
4 17 Parma 28 11 17 1.2 1.7 5 9 14 34 48 24 OOUUUO
5 3 Atalanta 27 11 16 2.2 1.0 16 7 4 59 26 55 OUOUOU
6 6 Bologna 28 12 16 1.6 1.2 13 11 4 44 34 50 UOUOOO
7 8 Milan 28 12 16 1.5 1.1 12 8 8 42 32 44 UUOOOO
8 7 Fiorentina 27 12 15 1.6 1.0 13 6 8 42 28 45 OOOUUU
9 10 Udinese 27 13 14 1.3 1.4 11 6 10 34 37 39 OOUOUU
10 20 Monza 28 14 14 0.8 1.7 2 8 18 23 48 14 UOUOUO
11 2 Napoli 27 14 13 1.6 0.8 17 6 4 43 22 57 OUUOOU
12 9 Roma 27 14 13 1.6 1.1 12 7 8 42 30 43 OUUUOO
13 13 Como 28 15 13 1.2 1.6 7 8 13 34 44 29 UOUOOU
14 14 Cagliari 28 15 13 1.0 1.5 6 8 14 28 43 26 OOUUOU
15 4 Juventus 27 15 12 1.7 0.8 13 13 1 45 21 52 OOOUUU
16 16 Lecce 28 16 12 0.7 1.6 6 7 15 20 46 25 OUUUUO
17 18 Empoli 27 15 12 0.9 1.6 4 10 13 23 44 22 UOUOOU
18 19 Venezia 28 16 12 0.8 1.5 3 10 15 23 42 19 OUUUUU
19 11 Torino 28 18 10 1.2 1.2 8 11 9 33 34 35 UUOOUO
20 12 Genoa 28 18 10 0.9 1.3 7 11 10 26 36 32 OUUUUU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 5 Lazio 13 2 11 2.1 1.5 7 4 2 27 19 25 OUUOOO
2 15 Verona 14 3 11 0.9 2.3 4 1 9 13 32 13 UUOOUO
3 1 Inter 14 5 9 2.3 1.1 10 3 1 32 16 33 UOOOUO
4 7 Fiorentina 14 5 9 1.6 1.1 8 3 3 23 15 27 OUOOUU
5 9 Roma 14 5 9 2.1 0.9 9 1 4 30 13 28 OUOUOO
6 17 Parma 15 6 9 1.5 1.7 4 4 7 22 25 16 OUOUUO
7 3 Atalanta 13 5 8 2.2 1.2 7 4 2 29 16 25 OUOUUU
8 13 Como 14 6 8 1.6 1.6 5 4 5 22 22 19 OOOOOU
9 6 Bologna 14 7 7 1.7 0.9 8 5 1 24 13 29 OOUOOO
10 10 Udinese 14 7 7 1.4 1.2 7 2 5 19 17 23 OUOOOU
11 14 Cagliari 15 8 7 1.1 1.6 4 4 7 16 24 16 OOOOUU
12 16 Lecce 14 7 7 0.8 1.8 3 5 6 11 25 14 OUOUUO
13 4 Juventus 14 8 6 1.7 0.7 7 7 0 24 10 28 OOUOUU
14 8 Milan 14 8 6 1.5 0.8 6 6 2 21 11 24 UUOUUO
15 20 Monza 14 8 6 0.7 1.4 1 4 9 10 19 7 OOOUUU
16 2 Napoli 13 8 5 1.5 0.7 9 2 2 19 9 29 UUUOUU
17 12 Genoa 14 9 5 1.1 1.2 3 7 4 15 17 16 UOUUUU
18 18 Empoli 13 9 4 0.4 1.5 1 5 7 5 19 8 UOOUUO
19 19 Venezia 13 9 4 0.9 1.2 3 4 6 12 15 13 OUUUUU
20 11 Torino 13 10 3 0.9 0.9 4 5 4 12 12 17 UUUUUO
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 8 Milan 14 4 10 1.5 1.5 6 2 6 21 21 20 OUUOOO
2 5 Lazio 14 5 9 1.6 1.1 8 1 5 22 16 25 OUOOUO
3 6 Bologna 14 5 9 1.4 1.5 5 6 3 20 21 21 UOUUUO
4 1 Inter 14 6 8 2.2 0.8 8 4 2 31 11 28 UOUOUU
5 2 Napoli 14 6 8 1.7 0.9 8 4 2 24 13 28 OOOUOO
6 3 Atalanta 14 6 8 2.1 0.7 9 3 2 30 10 30 UUUOOO
7 17 Parma 13 5 8 0.9 1.8 1 5 7 12 23 8 OUUOOU
8 18 Empoli 14 6 8 1.3 1.8 3 5 6 18 25 14 OUOOOU
9 19 Venezia 15 7 8 0.7 1.8 0 6 9 11 27 6 UUOUUU
10 20 Monza 14 6 8 0.9 2.1 1 4 9 13 29 7 OOUOOO
11 10 Udinese 13 6 7 1.2 1.5 4 4 5 15 20 16 OOUOUU
12 11 Torino 15 8 7 1.4 1.5 4 6 5 21 22 18 OUUOUO
13 4 Juventus 13 7 6 1.6 0.8 6 6 1 21 11 24 OUUOOU
14 7 Fiorentina 13 7 6 1.5 1.0 5 3 5 19 13 18 UOOOOU
15 14 Cagliari 13 7 6 0.9 1.5 2 4 7 12 19 10 OOUUUO
16 15 Verona 14 8 6 1.1 1.9 4 1 9 15 26 13 OUUUUU
17 12 Genoa 14 9 5 0.8 1.4 4 4 6 11 19 16 UOOUUU
18 13 Como 14 9 5 0.9 1.6 2 4 8 12 22 10 OUUUUO
19 16 Lecce 14 9 5 0.6 1.5 3 2 9 9 21 11 UOOOUU
20 9 Roma 13 9 4 0.9 1.3 3 6 4 12 17 15 UUOOUU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 4 Nov 2026, 21:10