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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Napoli 0–4 Milan

Full time · half time 0–2 · season 2022/2023

Home 1.73 fair 1.59
Draw 3.60 fair 4.92
Away ✓ 5.00 fair 5.89
Under 2.5 1.84 fair 2.46
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.06 fair 1.68

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Napoli Milan
20 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 8
10 Corners 4
11 Fouls 9
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (277 league matches this season so far).
Result Napoli to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.82
Expected goals 2.09 – 0.99
Home / Draw / Away
NapoliDrawMilan
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–0 10.1% 2–1 9.9% 1–0 9.6%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Napoli before this match, all matches
2.63points / match
2.37scored / match
0.59conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 27 played · 64:16
Milan before this match, all matches
1.78points / match
1.63scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 27 played · 44:36
Napoli all matches all matches Milan

Per match

2.37 Goals scored 1.63
0.59 Goals conceded 1.33
2.96 Total goals 2.96
16.41 Shots 14.52
5.96 Shots on target 5.04
9.70 Shots faced 11.19
5.89 Corners 4.26
4.19 Corners against 4.85
9.78 Fouls 12.70
1.33 Yellow cards 2.67
1.11 1st-half goals scored 0.70
0.26 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

85% Wins 52%
7% Draws 22%
7% Losses 26%
96% Over 0.5 goals 93%
81% Over 1.5 goals 81%
56% Over 2.5 goals 63%
33% Over 3.5 goals 33%
19% Over 4.5 goals 15%
7% Over 5.5 goals 7%
41% Both teams scored 67%
52% Clean sheets 26%
11% Failed to score 15%

How often Half Time

56% Wins 37%
44% Draws 37%
0% Losses 26%
67% Over 0.5 goals 78%
48% Over 1.5 goals 41%
19% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Napoli all matches
Milan all matches
Napoli before this match, at home
2.62points / match
2.54scored / match
0.69conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 33:9
Milan before this match, away
1.36points / match
1.14scored / match
1.36conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 16:19
Napoli at home away Milan

Per match

2.54 Goals scored 1.14
0.69 Goals conceded 1.36
3.23 Total goals 2.50
18.23 Shots 12.86
6.54 Shots on target 4.93
9.23 Shots faced 12.00
6.85 Corners 4.07
4.31 Corners against 5.71
8.23 Fouls 12.00
0.85 Yellow cards 2.36
1.23 1st-half goals scored 0.43
0.31 1st-half goals conceded 0.79

How often Full Time

85% Wins 36%
8% Draws 29%
8% Losses 36%
100% Over 0.5 goals 86%
85% Over 1.5 goals 71%
62% Over 2.5 goals 64%
46% Over 3.5 goals 29%
23% Over 4.5 goals 0%
8% Over 5.5 goals 0%
46% Both teams scored 64%
46% Clean sheets 21%
8% Failed to score 29%

How often Half Time

54% Wins 21%
46% Draws 36%
0% Losses 43%
69% Over 0.5 goals 71%
54% Over 1.5 goals 43%
23% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Napoli at home
Milan away

Last 10 matches before this match

Napoli all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.03.23 Torino – Napoli 0–4 (0–2) 4.333.601.75 2.20 1.67
11.03.23 Napoli – Atalanta 2–0 (0–0) 1.674.005.00 1.80 2.00
03.03.23 Napoli – Lazio 0–1 (0–0) 1.653.805.25 1.95 1.95
25.02.23 Empoli – Napoli 0–2 (0–2) 7.004.751.44 1.67 2.20
17.02.23 Sassuolo – Napoli 0–2 (0–2) 5.004.001.60 1.73 2.10
12.02.23 Napoli – Cremonese 3–0 (1–0) 1.187.5013.00 1.44 2.75
05.02.23 Spezia – Napoli 0–3 (0–0) 8.005.251.36 1.67 2.20
29.01.23 Napoli – Roma 2–1 (1–0) 1.733.605.25 2.04 1.86
21.01.23 Salernitana – Napoli 0–2 (0–1) 9.505.751.29 1.53 2.50
13.01.23 Napoli – Juventus 5–1 (2–1) 1.913.504.00 2.06 1.84

Milan all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.03.23 Udinese – Milan 3–1 (2–1) 3.503.402.15 2.01 1.89
13.03.23 Milan – Salernitana 1–1 (1–0) 1.256.0011.00 1.67 2.20
04.03.23 Fiorentina – Milan 2–1 (0–0) 2.803.302.55 2.10 1.73
26.02.23 Milan – Atalanta 2–0 (1–0) 2.153.403.40 1.94 1.96
18.02.23 Monza – Milan 0–1 (0–1) 3.753.302.10 2.10 1.73
10.02.23 Milan – Torino 1–0 (0–0) 1.803.504.75 2.20 1.67
05.02.23 Inter – Milan 1–0 (1–0) 1.953.504.00 1.85 2.05
29.01.23 Milan – Sassuolo 2–5 (1–3) 1.504.506.50 1.53 2.50
24.01.23 Lazio – Milan 4–0 (2–0) 3.203.402.25 1.92 1.98
14.01.23 Lecce – Milan 2–2 (2–0) 5.753.801.62 2.03 1.87

Napoli at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.03.23 Napoli – Atalanta 2–0 (0–0) 1.674.005.00 1.80 2.00
03.03.23 Napoli – Lazio 0–1 (0–0) 1.653.805.25 1.95 1.95
12.02.23 Napoli – Cremonese 3–0 (1–0) 1.187.5013.00 1.44 2.75
29.01.23 Napoli – Roma 2–1 (1–0) 1.733.605.25 2.04 1.86
13.01.23 Napoli – Juventus 5–1 (2–1) 1.913.504.00 2.06 1.84
12.11.22 Napoli – Udinese 3–2 (2–0) 1.504.755.75 1.57 2.37
08.11.22 Napoli – Empoli 2–0 (0–0) 1.256.509.50 1.40 3.00
29.10.22 Napoli – Sassuolo 4–0 (3–0) 1.286.008.50 1.44 2.75
16.10.22 Napoli – Bologna 3–2 (1–1) 1.256.0011.00 1.53 2.50
01.10.22 Napoli – Torino 3–1 (3–1) 1.604.005.75 1.80 2.00

Milan away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.03.23 Udinese – Milan 3–1 (2–1) 3.503.402.15 2.01 1.89
04.03.23 Fiorentina – Milan 2–1 (0–0) 2.803.302.55 2.10 1.73
18.02.23 Monza – Milan 0–1 (0–1) 3.753.302.10 2.10 1.73
05.02.23 Inter – Milan 1–0 (1–0) 1.953.504.00 1.85 2.05
24.01.23 Lazio – Milan 4–0 (2–0) 3.203.402.25 1.92 1.98
14.01.23 Lecce – Milan 2–2 (2–0) 5.753.801.62 2.03 1.87
04.01.23 Salernitana – Milan 1–2 (0–2) 7.004.331.45 1.73 2.10
08.11.22 Cremonese – Milan 0–0 (0–0) 6.004.201.55 1.72 2.10
30.10.22 Torino – Milan 2–1 (2–0) 3.753.302.10 2.10 1.72
16.10.22 Verona – Milan 1–2 (1–1) 6.004.001.57 1.80 2.00

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Napoli winsDrawsMilan wins
3matches
1.67goals / match
33%over 2.5
33%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.09.22I1 Milan – Napoli 1–2 (0–0) 2.153.503.30 1.93 1.97
06.03.22I1 Napoli – Milan 0–1 (0–0) 2.053.303.60 2.04 1.86
19.12.21I1 Milan – Napoli 0–1 (0–1) 2.253.503.10 1.80 2.00

Italy Serie A table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 27 23 2 2 64 16 +48 71
2 Juventus 28 18 5 5 46 22 +24 59
3 Lazio 28 16 7 5 44 19 +25 55
4 Inter 28 16 2 10 47 32 +15 50
5 Roma 28 15 5 8 38 26 +12 50
6 Atalanta 28 14 6 8 47 32 +15 48
7 Milan 27 14 6 7 44 36 +8 48
8 Fiorentina 28 11 7 10 33 31 +2 40
9 Bologna 28 11 7 10 36 36 0 40
10 Udinese 28 9 11 8 37 34 +3 38
11 Torino 27 10 7 10 29 33 -4 37
12 Sassuolo 27 10 6 11 35 40 -5 36
13 Monza 28 9 7 12 32 39 -7 34
14 Empoli 27 6 10 11 24 36 -12 28
15 Salernitana 28 6 10 12 32 48 -16 28
16 Lecce 27 6 9 12 24 32 -8 27
17 Spezia 28 5 10 13 24 44 -20 25
18 Verona 28 4 7 17 22 42 -20 19
19 Sampdoria 28 3 6 19 16 47 -31 15
20 Cremonese 28 1 10 17 23 52 -29 13
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Juventus 15 11 3 1 34 12 +22 36
2 Napoli 13 11 1 1 33 9 +24 34
3 Inter 15 11 0 4 27 8 +19 33
4 Milan 13 9 2 2 28 17 +11 29
5 Roma 14 9 1 4 20 9 +11 28
6 Lazio 14 8 3 3 23 12 +11 27
7 Bologna 15 7 5 3 20 10 +10 26
8 Fiorentina 14 6 4 4 19 19 0 22
9 Atalanta 13 6 3 4 24 16 +8 21
10 Sassuolo 13 6 2 5 17 15 +2 20
11 Udinese 13 4 7 2 22 15 +7 19
12 Monza 15 5 4 6 19 18 +1 19
13 Torino 13 5 4 4 11 12 -1 19
14 Spezia 15 3 8 4 16 21 -5 17
15 Salernitana 14 4 4 6 19 20 -1 16
16 Empoli 13 4 4 5 12 15 -3 16
17 Verona 14 4 2 8 15 22 -7 14
18 Lecce 13 2 6 5 13 17 -4 12
19 Sampdoria 14 1 4 9 6 19 -13 7
20 Cremonese 14 1 3 10 8 25 -17 6
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 14 12 1 1 31 7 +24 37
2 Lazio 14 8 4 2 21 7 +14 28
3 Atalanta 15 8 3 4 23 16 +7 27
4 Juventus 13 7 2 4 12 10 +2 23
5 Roma 14 6 4 4 18 17 +1 22
6 Milan 14 5 4 5 16 19 -3 19
7 Udinese 15 5 4 6 15 19 -4 19
8 Fiorentina 14 5 3 6 14 12 +2 18
9 Torino 14 5 3 6 18 21 -3 18
10 Inter 13 5 2 6 20 24 -4 17
11 Sassuolo 14 4 4 6 18 25 -7 16
12 Lecce 14 4 3 7 11 15 -4 15
13 Monza 13 4 3 6 13 21 -8 15
14 Bologna 13 4 2 7 16 26 -10 14
15 Empoli 14 2 6 6 12 21 -9 12
16 Salernitana 14 2 6 6 13 28 -15 12
17 Spezia 13 2 2 9 8 23 -15 8
18 Sampdoria 14 2 2 10 10 28 -18 8
19 Cremonese 14 0 7 7 15 27 -12 7
20 Verona 14 0 5 9 7 20 -13 5

Napoli   Milan

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Milan 27 10 17 1.6 1.3 14 6 7 44 36 48
2 4 Inter 28 12 16 1.7 1.1 16 2 10 47 32 50
3 15 Salernitana 28 12 16 1.1 1.7 6 10 12 32 48 28
4 1 Napoli 27 12 15 2.4 0.6 23 2 2 64 16 71
5 9 Bologna 28 13 15 1.3 1.3 11 7 10 36 36 40
6 10 Udinese 28 13 15 1.3 1.2 9 11 8 37 34 38
7 12 Sassuolo 27 12 15 1.3 1.5 10 6 11 35 40 36
8 17 Spezia 28 14 14 0.9 1.6 5 10 13 24 44 25
9 20 Cremonese 28 14 14 0.8 1.9 1 10 17 23 52 13
10 6 Atalanta 28 15 13 1.7 1.1 14 6 8 47 32 48
11 13 Monza 28 15 13 1.1 1.4 9 7 12 32 39 34
12 19 Sampdoria 28 16 12 0.6 1.7 3 6 19 16 47 15
13 3 Lazio 28 17 11 1.6 0.7 16 7 5 44 19 55
14 5 Roma 28 17 11 1.4 0.9 15 5 8 38 26 50
15 8 Fiorentina 28 17 11 1.2 1.1 11 7 10 33 31 40
16 11 Torino 27 16 11 1.1 1.2 10 7 10 29 33 37
17 2 Juventus 28 18 10 1.6 0.8 18 5 5 46 22 59
18 18 Verona 28 18 10 0.8 1.5 4 7 17 22 42 19
19 14 Empoli 27 18 9 0.9 1.3 6 10 11 24 36 28
20 16 Lecce 27 19 8 0.9 1.2 6 9 12 24 32 27
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 15 Salernitana 14 5 9 1.4 1.4 4 4 6 19 20 16
2 1 Napoli 13 5 8 2.5 0.7 11 1 1 33 9 34
3 2 Juventus 15 7 8 2.3 0.8 11 3 1 34 12 36
4 7 Milan 13 5 8 2.2 1.3 9 2 2 28 17 29
5 10 Udinese 13 5 8 1.7 1.2 4 7 2 22 15 19
6 17 Spezia 15 7 8 1.1 1.4 3 8 4 16 21 17
7 3 Lazio 14 7 7 1.6 0.9 8 3 3 23 12 27
8 6 Atalanta 13 6 7 1.8 1.2 6 3 4 24 16 21
9 8 Fiorentina 14 7 7 1.4 1.4 6 4 4 19 19 22
10 13 Monza 15 8 7 1.3 1.2 5 4 6 19 18 19
11 18 Verona 14 7 7 1.1 1.6 4 2 8 15 22 14
12 20 Cremonese 14 7 7 0.6 1.8 1 3 10 8 25 6
13 4 Inter 15 9 6 1.8 0.5 11 0 4 27 8 33
14 12 Sassuolo 13 7 6 1.3 1.2 6 2 5 17 15 20
15 9 Bologna 15 10 5 1.3 0.7 7 5 3 20 10 26
16 16 Lecce 13 8 5 1.0 1.3 2 6 5 13 17 12
17 5 Roma 14 10 4 1.4 0.6 9 1 4 20 9 28
18 14 Empoli 13 9 4 0.9 1.2 4 4 5 12 15 16
19 19 Sampdoria 14 10 4 0.4 1.4 1 4 9 6 19 7
20 11 Torino 13 10 3 0.8 0.9 5 4 4 11 12 19
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Inter 13 3 10 1.5 1.8 5 2 6 20 24 17
2 9 Bologna 13 3 10 1.2 2.0 4 2 7 16 26 14
3 7 Milan 14 5 9 1.1 1.4 5 4 5 16 19 19
4 12 Sassuolo 14 5 9 1.3 1.8 4 4 6 18 25 16
5 11 Torino 14 6 8 1.3 1.5 5 3 6 18 21 18
6 19 Sampdoria 14 6 8 0.7 2.0 2 2 10 10 28 8
7 1 Napoli 14 7 7 2.2 0.5 12 1 1 31 7 37
8 5 Roma 14 7 7 1.3 1.2 6 4 4 18 17 22
9 10 Udinese 15 8 7 1.0 1.3 5 4 6 15 19 19
10 15 Salernitana 14 7 7 0.9 2.0 2 6 6 13 28 12
11 20 Cremonese 14 7 7 1.1 1.9 0 7 7 15 27 7
12 6 Atalanta 15 9 6 1.5 1.1 8 3 4 23 16 27
13 13 Monza 13 7 6 1.0 1.6 4 3 6 13 21 15
14 17 Spezia 13 7 6 0.6 1.8 2 2 9 8 23 8
15 14 Empoli 14 9 5 0.9 1.5 2 6 6 12 21 12
16 3 Lazio 14 10 4 1.5 0.5 8 4 2 21 7 28
17 8 Fiorentina 14 10 4 1.0 0.9 5 3 6 14 12 18
18 16 Lecce 14 11 3 0.8 1.1 4 3 7 11 15 15
19 18 Verona 14 11 3 0.5 1.4 0 5 9 7 20 5
20 2 Juventus 13 11 2 0.9 0.8 7 2 4 12 10 23

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51