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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Napoli 2–2 Milan

Full time · half time 0–2 · season 2023/2024

Home 2.20 fair 2.23
Draw ✓ 3.40 fair 4.15
Away 3.30 fair 3.22
Under 2.5 1.86 fair 2.32
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.04 fair 1.76

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Napoli Milan
17 Shots 20
4 Shots on target 6
6 Corners 4
14 Fouls 10
4 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (97 league matches this season so far).
Result Napoli to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.69
Expected goals 1.64 – 1.33
Home / Draw / Away
NapoliDrawMilan
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.2% 2–1 9.2% 1–0 8.4%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Napoli before this match, all matches
1.89points / match
2.22scored / match
1.11conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 20:10
Milan before this match, all matches
2.33points / match
1.78scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 16:9
Napoli all matches all matches Milan

Per match

2.22 Goals scored 1.78
1.11 Goals conceded 1.00
3.33 Total goals 2.78
18.44 Shots 11.56
6.11 Shots on target 4.44
8.67 Shots faced 12.44
6.67 Corners 3.89
3.78 Corners against 2.78
9.89 Fouls 11.56
2.00 Yellow cards 2.67
1.11 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.44 1st-half goals conceded 0.44

How often Full Time

56% Wins 78%
22% Draws 0%
22% Losses 22%
89% Over 0.5 goals 100%
89% Over 1.5 goals 67%
78% Over 2.5 goals 44%
67% Over 3.5 goals 33%
11% Over 4.5 goals 22%
0% Over 5.5 goals 11%
67% Both teams scored 44%
33% Clean sheets 44%
11% Failed to score 11%

How often Half Time

56% Wins 56%
33% Draws 33%
11% Losses 11%
89% Over 0.5 goals 67%
56% Over 1.5 goals 44%
11% Over 2.5 goals 22%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Napoli all matches
Milan all matches
Napoli before this match, at home
1.50points / match
2.00scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 8:6
Milan before this match, away
2.40points / match
1.80scored / match
1.40conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 9:7
Napoli at home away Milan

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 1.80
1.50 Goals conceded 1.40
3.50 Total goals 3.20
21.50 Shots 11.40
5.75 Shots on target 4.20
9.25 Shots faced 13.40
8.25 Corners 3.60
3.50 Corners against 3.40
8.00 Fouls 10.20
1.00 Yellow cards 2.80
1.25 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.60

How often Full Time

50% Wins 80%
0% Draws 0%
50% Losses 20%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 80%
75% Over 2.5 goals 60%
50% Over 3.5 goals 40%
25% Over 4.5 goals 20%
0% Over 5.5 goals 20%
75% Both teams scored 60%
25% Clean sheets 40%
0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 60%
50% Draws 20%
0% Losses 20%
100% Over 0.5 goals 80%
75% Over 1.5 goals 60%
0% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Napoli at home
Milan away

Last 10 matches before this match

Napoli all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.10.23 Verona – Napoli 1–3 (0–2) 5.503.751.65 1.91 1.99
08.10.23 Napoli – Fiorentina 1–3 (1–1) 1.604.205.50 1.62 2.25
30.09.23 Lecce – Napoli 0–4 (0–1) 4.753.801.75 2.01 1.89
27.09.23 Napoli – Udinese 4–1 (2–0) 1.365.008.50 1.67 2.20
24.09.23 Bologna – Napoli 0–0 (0–0) 3.753.601.91 1.85 2.05
16.09.23 Genoa – Napoli 2–2 (1–0) 5.503.801.67 1.80 2.00
02.09.23 Napoli – Lazio 1–2 (1–1) 1.624.005.50 1.86 2.04
27.08.23 Napoli – Sassuolo 2–0 (1–0) 1.335.508.50 1.44 2.75
19.08.23 Frosinone – Napoli 1–3 (1–2) 8.505.001.36 1.67 2.20
04.06.23 Napoli – Sampdoria 2–0 (0–0) 1.187.0013.00 1.36 3.20

Milan all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.10.23 Milan – Juventus 0–1 (0–0) 2.253.403.20 2.10 1.70
07.10.23 Genoa – Milan 0–1 (0–0) 4.203.501.91 2.05 1.75
30.09.23 Milan – Lazio 2–0 (0–0) 1.733.605.00 2.06 1.84
27.09.23 Cagliari – Milan 1–3 (1–2) 5.253.801.67 1.99 1.91
23.09.23 Milan – Verona 1–0 (1–0) 1.364.759.00 1.73 2.10
16.09.23 Inter – Milan 5–1 (2–0) 2.153.503.40 1.90 2.00
01.09.23 Roma – Milan 1–2 (0–1) 2.803.102.63 2.30 1.62
26.08.23 Milan – Torino 4–1 (3–1) 1.653.805.00 2.20 1.67
21.08.23 Bologna – Milan 0–2 (0–2) 4.003.401.95 2.00 1.80
04.06.23 Milan – Verona 3–1 (1–0) 1.734.004.50 1.94 1.99

Napoli at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.10.23 Napoli – Fiorentina 1–3 (1–1) 1.604.205.50 1.62 2.25
27.09.23 Napoli – Udinese 4–1 (2–0) 1.365.008.50 1.67 2.20
02.09.23 Napoli – Lazio 1–2 (1–1) 1.624.005.50 1.86 2.04
27.08.23 Napoli – Sassuolo 2–0 (1–0) 1.335.508.50 1.44 2.75
04.06.23 Napoli – Sampdoria 2–0 (0–0) 1.187.0013.00 1.36 3.20
21.05.23 Napoli – Inter 3–1 (0–0) 2.903.302.45 2.00 1.90
07.05.23 Napoli – Fiorentina 1–0 (0–0) 1.803.804.33 1.73 2.10
30.04.23 Napoli – Salernitana 1–1 (0–0) 1.226.5012.00 1.62 2.30
15.04.23 Napoli – Verona 0–0 (0–0) 1.534.006.50 2.03 1.87
02.04.23 Napoli – Milan 0–4 (0–2) 1.733.605.00 2.06 1.84

Milan away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.10.23 Genoa – Milan 0–1 (0–0) 4.203.501.91 2.05 1.75
27.09.23 Cagliari – Milan 1–3 (1–2) 5.253.801.67 1.99 1.91
16.09.23 Inter – Milan 5–1 (2–0) 2.153.503.40 1.90 2.00
01.09.23 Roma – Milan 1–2 (0–1) 2.803.102.63 2.30 1.62
21.08.23 Bologna – Milan 0–2 (0–2) 4.003.401.95 2.00 1.80
28.05.23 Juventus – Milan 0–1 (0–1) 2.303.403.10 2.10 1.73
13.05.23 Spezia – Milan 2–0 (0–0) 4.203.501.91 2.03 1.87
29.04.23 Roma – Milan 1–1 (0–0) 2.753.002.75 2.50 1.53
15.04.23 Bologna – Milan 1–1 (1–1) 3.103.102.45 2.30 1.62
02.04.23 Napoli – Milan 0–4 (0–2) 1.733.605.00 2.06 1.84

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Napoli winsDrawsMilan wins
4matches
2.25goals / match
50%over 2.5
25%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.04.23I1 Napoli – Milan 0–4 (0–2) 1.733.605.00 2.06 1.84
18.09.22I1 Milan – Napoli 1–2 (0–0) 2.153.503.30 1.93 1.97
06.03.22I1 Napoli – Milan 0–1 (0–0) 2.053.303.60 2.04 1.86
19.12.21I1 Milan – Napoli 0–1 (0–1) 2.253.503.10 1.80 2.00

Italy Serie A table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 10 8 1 1 25 5 +20 25
2 Juventus 10 7 2 1 16 6 +10 23
3 Milan 9 7 0 2 16 9 +7 21
4 Napoli 9 5 2 2 20 10 +10 17
5 Fiorentina 9 5 2 2 18 13 +5 17
6 Atalanta 9 5 1 3 15 8 +7 16
7 Bologna 10 3 6 1 11 8 +3 15
8 Roma 10 4 2 4 20 13 +7 14
9 Lazio 9 4 1 4 12 12 0 13
10 Monza 10 3 4 3 9 9 0 13
11 Lecce 10 3 4 3 10 12 -2 13
12 Frosinone 10 3 3 4 15 17 -2 12
13 Torino 10 3 3 4 7 12 -5 12
14 Genoa 10 3 2 5 11 14 -3 11
15 Sassuolo 10 3 2 5 13 17 -4 11
16 Verona 10 2 2 6 6 12 -6 8
17 Udinese 10 0 7 3 6 14 -8 7
18 Empoli 9 2 1 6 3 16 -13 7
19 Cagliari 10 1 3 6 9 21 -12 6
20 Salernitana 10 0 4 6 6 20 -14 4
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 6 4 1 1 15 5 +10 13
2 Juventus 5 4 1 0 8 2 +6 13
3 Roma 5 3 1 1 13 4 +9 10
4 Atalanta 4 3 1 0 7 0 +7 10
5 Bologna 5 3 1 1 7 4 +3 10
6 Frosinone 5 3 1 1 10 8 +2 10
7 Lecce 6 3 1 2 6 7 -1 10
8 Milan 4 3 0 1 7 2 +5 9
9 Monza 5 2 3 0 7 2 +5 9
10 Fiorentina 4 2 1 1 8 6 +2 7
11 Lazio 4 2 1 1 6 4 +2 7
12 Genoa 5 2 1 2 8 8 0 7
13 Sassuolo 6 2 1 3 8 9 -1 7
14 Napoli 4 2 0 2 8 6 +2 6
15 Torino 5 1 3 1 2 4 -2 6
16 Verona 4 1 1 2 3 5 -2 4
17 Empoli 5 1 1 3 1 4 -3 4
18 Cagliari 5 1 1 3 6 12 -6 4
19 Udinese 5 0 3 2 3 8 -5 3
20 Salernitana 5 0 3 2 4 11 -7 3
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 4 4 0 0 10 0 +10 12
2 Milan 5 4 0 1 9 7 +2 12
3 Napoli 5 3 2 0 12 4 +8 11
4 Juventus 5 3 1 1 8 4 +4 10
5 Fiorentina 5 3 1 1 10 7 +3 10
6 Atalanta 5 2 0 3 8 8 0 6
7 Lazio 5 2 0 3 6 8 -2 6
8 Torino 5 2 0 3 5 8 -3 6
9 Bologna 5 0 5 0 4 4 0 5
10 Roma 5 1 1 3 7 9 -2 4
11 Sassuolo 4 1 1 2 5 8 -3 4
12 Genoa 5 1 1 3 3 6 -3 4
13 Udinese 5 0 4 1 3 6 -3 4
14 Verona 6 1 1 4 3 7 -4 4
15 Monza 5 1 1 3 2 7 -5 4
16 Lecce 4 0 3 1 4 5 -1 3
17 Empoli 4 1 0 3 2 12 -10 3
18 Frosinone 5 0 2 3 5 9 -4 2
19 Cagliari 5 0 2 3 3 9 -6 2
20 Salernitana 5 0 1 4 2 9 -7 1

Napoli   Milan

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Napoli 9 2 7 2.2 1.1 5 2 2 20 10 17
2 1 Inter 10 4 6 2.5 0.5 8 1 1 25 5 25
3 5 Fiorentina 9 3 6 2.0 1.4 5 2 2 18 13 17
4 8 Roma 10 4 6 2.0 1.3 4 2 4 20 13 14
5 12 Frosinone 10 4 6 1.5 1.7 3 3 4 15 17 12
6 19 Cagliari 10 4 6 0.9 2.1 1 3 6 9 21 6
7 20 Salernitana 10 5 5 0.6 2.0 0 4 6 6 20 4
8 3 Milan 9 5 4 1.8 1.0 7 0 2 16 9 21
9 6 Atalanta 9 5 4 1.7 0.9 5 1 3 15 8 16
10 7 Bologna 10 6 4 1.1 0.8 3 6 1 11 8 15
11 9 Lazio 9 5 4 1.3 1.3 4 1 4 12 12 13
12 14 Genoa 10 6 4 1.1 1.4 3 2 5 11 14 11
13 15 Sassuolo 10 6 4 1.3 1.7 3 2 5 13 17 11
14 16 Verona 10 6 4 0.6 1.2 2 2 6 6 12 8
15 2 Juventus 10 7 3 1.6 0.6 7 2 1 16 6 23
16 11 Lecce 10 7 3 1.0 1.2 3 4 3 10 12 13
17 13 Torino 10 7 3 0.7 1.2 3 3 4 7 12 12
18 17 Udinese 10 7 3 0.6 1.4 0 7 3 6 14 7
19 10 Monza 10 8 2 0.9 0.9 3 4 3 9 9 13
20 18 Empoli 9 7 2 0.3 1.8 2 1 6 3 16 7
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Inter 6 2 4 2.5 0.8 4 1 1 15 5 13
2 12 Frosinone 5 1 4 2.0 1.6 3 1 1 10 8 10
3 4 Napoli 4 1 3 2.0 1.5 2 0 2 8 6 6
4 5 Fiorentina 4 1 3 2.0 1.5 2 1 1 8 6 7
5 7 Bologna 5 2 3 1.4 0.8 3 1 1 7 4 10
6 8 Roma 5 2 3 2.6 0.8 3 1 1 13 4 10
7 14 Genoa 5 2 3 1.6 1.6 2 1 2 8 8 7
8 19 Cagliari 5 2 3 1.2 2.4 1 1 3 6 12 4
9 20 Salernitana 5 2 3 0.8 2.2 0 3 2 4 11 3
10 11 Lecce 6 4 2 1.0 1.2 3 1 2 6 7 10
11 15 Sassuolo 6 4 2 1.3 1.5 2 1 3 8 9 7
12 16 Verona 4 2 2 0.8 1.2 1 1 2 3 5 4
13 17 Udinese 5 3 2 0.6 1.6 0 3 2 3 8 3
14 2 Juventus 5 4 1 1.6 0.4 4 1 0 8 2 13
15 3 Milan 4 3 1 1.8 0.5 3 0 1 7 2 9
16 6 Atalanta 4 3 1 1.8 0.0 3 1 0 7 0 10
17 9 Lazio 4 3 1 1.5 1.0 2 1 1 6 4 7
18 10 Monza 5 4 1 1.4 0.4 2 3 0 7 2 9
19 13 Torino 5 4 1 0.4 0.8 1 3 1 2 4 6
20 18 Empoli 5 5 0 0.2 0.8 1 1 3 1 4 4
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Napoli 5 1 4 2.4 0.8 3 2 0 12 4 11
2 3 Milan 5 2 3 1.8 1.4 4 0 1 9 7 12
3 5 Fiorentina 5 2 3 2.0 1.4 3 1 1 10 7 10
4 6 Atalanta 5 2 3 1.6 1.6 2 0 3 8 8 6
5 8 Roma 5 2 3 1.4 1.8 1 1 3 7 9 4
6 9 Lazio 5 2 3 1.2 1.6 2 0 3 6 8 6
7 19 Cagliari 5 2 3 0.6 1.8 0 2 3 3 9 2
8 1 Inter 4 2 2 2.5 0.0 4 0 0 10 0 12
9 2 Juventus 5 3 2 1.6 0.8 3 1 1 8 4 10
10 12 Frosinone 5 3 2 1.0 1.8 0 2 3 5 9 2
11 13 Torino 5 3 2 1.0 1.6 2 0 3 5 8 6
12 15 Sassuolo 4 2 2 1.2 2.0 1 1 2 5 8 4
13 16 Verona 6 4 2 0.5 1.2 1 1 4 3 7 4
14 18 Empoli 4 2 2 0.5 3.0 1 0 3 2 12 3
15 20 Salernitana 5 3 2 0.4 1.8 0 1 4 2 9 1
16 7 Bologna 5 4 1 0.8 0.8 0 5 0 4 4 5
17 10 Monza 5 4 1 0.4 1.4 1 1 3 2 7 4
18 11 Lecce 4 3 1 1.0 1.2 0 3 1 4 5 3
19 14 Genoa 5 4 1 0.6 1.2 1 1 3 3 6 4
20 17 Udinese 5 4 1 0.6 1.2 0 4 1 3 6 4

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51