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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Milan 1–0 Empoli

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 1.44 fair 1.63
Draw 5.00 fair 4.63
Away 6.50 fair 5.81
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.10 fair 2.18
Over 2.5 1.70 fair 1.85

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Milan Empoli
15 Shots 5
5 Shots on target 2
11 Corners 4
18 Fouls 13
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (276 league matches this season so far).
Result Milan to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.95
Expected goals 1.93 – 0.91
Home / Draw / Away
MilanDrawEmpoli
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 11.2% 2–0 10.8% 1–1 10.3%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Milan before this match, all matches
2.07points / match
1.89scored / match
1.19conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 27 played · 51:32
Empoli before this match, all matches
0.93points / match
0.81scored / match
1.52conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 27 played · 22:41
Milan all matches all matches Empoli

Per match

1.89 Goals scored 0.81
1.19 Goals conceded 1.52
3.07 Total goals 2.33
13.74 Shots 11.89
5.22 Shots on target 3.52
13.56 Shots faced 14.89
4.33 Corners 4.93
4.15 Corners against 5.59
11.63 Fouls 13.11
2.41 Yellow cards 2.19
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.30
0.44 1st-half goals conceded 0.63

How often Full Time

63% Wins 22%
19% Draws 26%
19% Losses 52%
100% Over 0.5 goals 89%
70% Over 1.5 goals 67%
59% Over 2.5 goals 37%
48% Over 3.5 goals 15%
22% Over 4.5 goals 11%
7% Over 5.5 goals 7%
56% Both teams scored 33%
37% Clean sheets 26%
7% Failed to score 52%

How often Half Time

48% Wins 19%
44% Draws 41%
7% Losses 41%
78% Over 0.5 goals 63%
56% Over 1.5 goals 19%
7% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milan all matches
Empoli all matches
Milan before this match, at home
2.23points / match
1.69scored / match
0.62conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 22:8
Empoli before this match, away
1.15points / match
1.00scored / match
1.69conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 13:22
Milan at home away Empoli

Per match

1.69 Goals scored 1.00
0.62 Goals conceded 1.69
2.31 Total goals 2.69
13.69 Shots 11.15
5.08 Shots on target 3.00
13.23 Shots faced 16.00
4.54 Corners 4.85
4.00 Corners against 6.00
11.62 Fouls 12.92
1.77 Yellow cards 2.23
0.92 1st-half goals scored 0.23
0.23 1st-half goals conceded 0.62

How often Full Time

69% Wins 31%
15% Draws 23%
15% Losses 46%
100% Over 0.5 goals 92%
54% Over 1.5 goals 77%
38% Over 2.5 goals 46%
31% Over 3.5 goals 23%
8% Over 4.5 goals 15%
0% Over 5.5 goals 8%
38% Both teams scored 46%
46% Clean sheets 23%
15% Failed to score 38%

How often Half Time

54% Wins 23%
46% Draws 31%
0% Losses 46%
69% Over 0.5 goals 69%
31% Over 1.5 goals 8%
8% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milan at home
Empoli away

Last 10 matches before this match

Milan all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.03.24 Lazio – Milan 0–1 (0–0) 3.503.202.20 2.10 1.70
25.02.24 Milan – Atalanta 1–1 (1–1) 2.383.403.00 1.75 2.05
18.02.24 Monza – Milan 4–2 (2–0) 4.753.501.80 1.97 1.93
11.02.24 Milan – Napoli 1–0 (1–0) 1.953.603.80 1.80 2.00
03.02.24 Frosinone – Milan 2–3 (1–1) 5.004.201.62 1.60 2.30
27.01.24 Milan – Bologna 2–2 (1–1) 1.673.755.25 2.08 1.73
20.01.24 Udinese – Milan 2–3 (1–1) 4.003.801.85 1.91 1.99
14.01.24 Milan – Roma 3–1 (1–0) 2.203.203.50 2.15 1.67
07.01.24 Empoli – Milan 0–3 (0–2) 5.253.801.67 1.75 2.05
30.12.23 Milan – Sassuolo 1–0 (0–0) 1.454.756.50 1.50 2.50

Empoli all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.03.24 Empoli – Cagliari 0–1 (0–0) 2.153.253.60 2.10 1.70
24.02.24 Sassuolo – Empoli 2–3 (0–1) 2.203.403.30 2.03 1.87
18.02.24 Empoli – Fiorentina 1–1 (0–1) 3.753.302.05 2.10 1.70
09.02.24 Salernitana – Empoli 1–3 (0–1) 2.383.203.20 2.35 1.57
03.02.24 Empoli – Genoa 0–0 (0–0) 3.003.002.60 2.50 1.50
27.01.24 Juventus – Empoli 1–1 (0–0) 1.295.5010.00 1.87 2.03
21.01.24 Empoli – Monza 3–0 (2–0) 2.803.302.55 2.08 1.82
13.01.24 Verona – Empoli 2–1 (1–0) 2.153.253.50 2.10 1.70
07.01.24 Empoli – Milan 0–3 (0–2) 5.253.801.67 1.75 2.05
30.12.23 Cagliari – Empoli 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.403.60 2.05 1.85

Milan at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.02.24 Milan – Atalanta 1–1 (1–1) 2.383.403.00 1.75 2.05
11.02.24 Milan – Napoli 1–0 (1–0) 1.953.603.80 1.80 2.00
27.01.24 Milan – Bologna 2–2 (1–1) 1.673.755.25 2.08 1.73
14.01.24 Milan – Roma 3–1 (1–0) 2.203.203.50 2.15 1.67
30.12.23 Milan – Sassuolo 1–0 (0–0) 1.454.756.50 1.50 2.50
17.12.23 Milan – Monza 3–0 (2–0) 1.624.335.00 1.80 2.00
02.12.23 Milan – Frosinone 3–1 (1–0) 1.444.507.50 1.70 2.10
25.11.23 Milan – Fiorentina 1–0 (1–0) 2.103.303.50 2.06 1.84
04.11.23 Milan – Udinese 0–1 (0–0) 1.454.507.00 1.75 2.05
22.10.23 Milan – Juventus 0–1 (0–0) 2.253.403.20 2.10 1.70

Empoli away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.02.24 Sassuolo – Empoli 2–3 (0–1) 2.203.403.30 2.03 1.87
09.02.24 Salernitana – Empoli 1–3 (0–1) 2.383.203.20 2.35 1.57
27.01.24 Juventus – Empoli 1–1 (0–0) 1.295.5010.00 1.87 2.03
13.01.24 Verona – Empoli 2–1 (1–0) 2.153.253.50 2.10 1.70
30.12.23 Cagliari – Empoli 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.403.60 2.05 1.85
16.12.23 Torino – Empoli 1–0 (1–0) 1.603.806.00 2.05 1.85
02.12.23 Genoa – Empoli 1–1 (1–0) 1.913.603.80 2.10 1.70
12.11.23 Napoli – Empoli 0–1 (0–0) 1.227.0011.00 1.40 2.88
06.11.23 Frosinone – Empoli 2–1 (0–0) 2.003.603.60 1.88 2.02
23.10.23 Fiorentina – Empoli 0–2 (0–1) 1.444.338.00 1.62 2.25

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Milan winsDrawsEmpoli wins
5matches
2.80goals / match
60%over 2.5
40%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.01.24I1 Empoli – Milan 0–3 (0–2) 5.253.801.67 1.75 2.05
07.04.23I1 Milan – Empoli 0–0 (0–0) 1.364.759.00 1.80 2.00
01.10.22I1 Empoli – Milan 1–3 (0–0) 5.504.001.60 1.86 2.04
12.03.22I1 Milan – Empoli 1–0 (1–0) 1.365.257.50 1.53 2.50
22.12.21I1 Empoli – Milan 2–4 (1–2) 4.503.901.75 1.57 2.37

Italy Serie A table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 28 24 3 1 70 13 +57 75
2 Juventus 27 17 6 4 42 21 +21 57
3 Milan 27 17 5 5 51 32 +19 56
4 Bologna 28 14 9 5 41 25 +16 51
5 Roma 27 14 5 8 52 33 +19 47
6 Atalanta 27 14 4 9 49 30 +19 46
7 Napoli 28 12 8 8 43 32 +11 44
8 Fiorentina 27 12 6 9 39 30 +9 42
9 Lazio 27 12 4 11 32 29 +3 40
10 Monza 28 10 9 9 31 36 -5 39
11 Torino 28 9 11 8 26 26 0 38
12 Genoa 28 8 9 11 31 36 -5 33
13 Verona 28 6 8 14 25 36 -11 26
14 Cagliari 28 6 8 14 29 49 -20 26
15 Empoli 27 6 7 14 22 41 -19 25
16 Lecce 28 5 10 13 25 45 -20 25
17 Udinese 27 3 15 9 26 41 -15 24
18 Frosinone 28 6 6 16 35 57 -22 24
19 Sassuolo 28 6 5 17 33 55 -22 23
20 Salernitana 28 2 8 18 23 58 -35 14
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 14 12 1 1 36 7 +29 37
2 Bologna 15 11 2 2 26 8 +18 35
3 Atalanta 14 10 1 3 31 10 +21 31
4 Roma 14 9 3 2 33 15 +18 30
5 Juventus 13 9 3 1 20 8 +12 30
6 Milan 13 9 2 2 22 8 +14 29
7 Fiorentina 13 8 2 3 24 13 +11 26
8 Torino 14 6 6 2 14 8 +6 24
9 Napoli 14 6 4 4 20 18 +2 22
10 Lazio 13 6 3 4 13 10 +3 21
11 Frosinone 14 6 3 5 23 23 0 21
12 Genoa 14 5 5 4 19 19 0 20
13 Monza 14 5 5 4 17 17 0 20
14 Cagliari 14 5 4 5 20 24 -4 19
15 Lecce 14 5 4 5 15 22 -7 19
16 Verona 13 4 5 4 15 16 -1 17
17 Sassuolo 14 4 3 7 18 25 -7 15
18 Udinese 14 1 9 4 17 21 -4 12
19 Empoli 14 2 4 8 9 19 -10 10
20 Salernitana 14 1 4 9 13 29 -16 7
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 14 12 2 0 34 6 +28 38
2 Juventus 14 8 3 3 22 13 +9 27
3 Milan 14 8 3 3 29 24 +5 27
4 Napoli 14 6 4 4 23 14 +9 22
5 Lazio 14 6 1 7 19 19 0 19
6 Monza 14 5 4 5 14 19 -5 19
7 Roma 13 5 2 6 19 18 +1 17
8 Bologna 13 3 7 3 15 17 -2 16
9 Fiorentina 14 4 4 6 15 17 -2 16
10 Atalanta 13 4 3 6 18 20 -2 15
11 Empoli 13 4 3 6 13 22 -9 15
12 Torino 14 3 5 6 12 18 -6 14
13 Genoa 14 3 4 7 12 17 -5 13
14 Udinese 13 2 6 5 9 20 -11 12
15 Verona 15 2 3 10 10 20 -10 9
16 Sassuolo 14 2 2 10 15 30 -15 8
17 Cagliari 14 1 4 9 9 25 -16 7
18 Salernitana 14 1 4 9 10 29 -19 7
19 Lecce 14 0 6 8 10 23 -13 6
20 Frosinone 14 0 3 11 12 34 -22 3

Milan   Empoli

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 Frosinone 28 9 19 1.2 2.0 6 6 16 35 57 24
2 20 Salernitana 28 10 18 0.8 2.1 2 8 18 23 58 14
3 5 Roma 27 10 17 1.9 1.2 14 5 8 52 33 47
4 1 Inter 28 12 16 2.5 0.5 24 3 1 70 13 75
5 3 Milan 27 11 16 1.9 1.2 17 5 5 51 32 56
6 6 Atalanta 27 11 16 1.8 1.1 14 4 9 49 30 46
7 7 Napoli 28 12 16 1.5 1.1 12 8 8 43 32 44
8 14 Cagliari 28 12 16 1.0 1.8 6 8 14 29 49 26
9 19 Sassuolo 28 12 16 1.2 2.0 6 5 17 33 55 23
10 4 Bologna 28 15 13 1.5 0.9 14 9 5 41 25 51
11 2 Juventus 27 15 12 1.6 0.8 17 6 4 42 21 57
12 8 Fiorentina 27 15 12 1.4 1.1 12 6 9 39 30 42
13 12 Genoa 28 16 12 1.1 1.3 8 9 11 31 36 33
14 13 Verona 28 16 12 0.9 1.3 6 8 14 25 36 26
15 16 Lecce 28 16 12 0.9 1.6 5 10 13 25 45 25
16 9 Lazio 27 16 11 1.2 1.1 12 4 11 32 29 40
17 10 Monza 28 17 11 1.1 1.3 10 9 9 31 36 39
18 17 Udinese 27 16 11 1.0 1.5 3 15 9 26 41 24
19 15 Empoli 27 17 10 0.8 1.5 6 7 14 22 41 25
20 11 Torino 28 20 8 0.9 0.9 9 11 8 26 26 38
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 Frosinone 14 3 11 1.6 1.6 6 3 5 23 23 21
2 20 Salernitana 14 4 10 0.9 2.1 1 4 9 13 29 7
3 1 Inter 14 5 9 2.6 0.5 12 1 1 36 7 37
4 5 Roma 14 5 9 2.4 1.1 9 3 2 33 15 30
5 6 Atalanta 14 5 9 2.2 0.7 10 1 3 31 10 31
6 7 Napoli 14 5 9 1.4 1.3 6 4 4 20 18 22
7 14 Cagliari 14 5 9 1.4 1.7 5 4 5 20 24 19
8 8 Fiorentina 13 5 8 1.8 1.0 8 2 3 24 13 26
9 16 Lecce 14 7 7 1.1 1.6 5 4 5 15 22 19
10 17 Udinese 14 7 7 1.2 1.5 1 9 4 17 21 12
11 19 Sassuolo 14 7 7 1.3 1.8 4 3 7 18 25 15
12 12 Genoa 14 8 6 1.4 1.4 5 5 4 19 19 20
13 13 Verona 13 7 6 1.2 1.2 4 5 4 15 16 17
14 3 Milan 13 8 5 1.7 0.6 9 2 2 22 8 29
15 4 Bologna 15 10 5 1.7 0.5 11 2 2 26 8 35
16 10 Monza 14 9 5 1.2 1.2 5 5 4 17 17 20
17 2 Juventus 13 9 4 1.5 0.6 9 3 1 20 8 30
18 11 Torino 14 10 4 1.0 0.6 6 6 2 14 8 24
19 15 Empoli 14 10 4 0.6 1.4 2 4 8 9 19 10
20 9 Lazio 13 10 3 1.0 0.8 6 3 4 13 10 21
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Milan 14 3 11 2.1 1.7 8 3 3 29 24 27
2 19 Sassuolo 14 5 9 1.1 2.1 2 2 10 15 30 8
3 2 Juventus 14 6 8 1.6 0.9 8 3 3 22 13 27
4 4 Bologna 13 5 8 1.2 1.3 3 7 3 15 17 16
5 5 Roma 13 5 8 1.5 1.4 5 2 6 19 18 17
6 9 Lazio 14 6 8 1.4 1.4 6 1 7 19 19 19
7 18 Frosinone 14 6 8 0.9 2.4 0 3 11 12 34 3
8 20 Salernitana 14 6 8 0.7 2.1 1 4 9 10 29 7
9 1 Inter 14 7 7 2.4 0.4 12 2 0 34 6 38
10 6 Atalanta 13 6 7 1.4 1.5 4 3 6 18 20 15
11 7 Napoli 14 7 7 1.6 1.0 6 4 4 23 14 22
12 14 Cagliari 14 7 7 0.6 1.8 1 4 9 9 25 7
13 10 Monza 14 8 6 1.0 1.4 5 4 5 14 19 19
14 12 Genoa 14 8 6 0.9 1.2 3 4 7 12 17 13
15 13 Verona 15 9 6 0.7 1.3 2 3 10 10 20 9
16 15 Empoli 13 7 6 1.0 1.7 4 3 6 13 22 15
17 16 Lecce 14 9 5 0.7 1.6 0 6 8 10 23 6
18 8 Fiorentina 14 10 4 1.1 1.2 4 4 6 15 17 16
19 11 Torino 14 10 4 0.9 1.3 3 5 6 12 18 14
20 17 Udinese 13 9 4 0.7 1.5 2 6 5 9 20 12

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51