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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Milan 3–3 Genoa

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2023/2024

Home 1.45 fair 1.85
Draw ✓ 4.50 fair 4.10
Away 6.50 fair 4.65
Under 2.5 2.10 fair 1.94
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.73 fair 2.06

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Milan Genoa
26 Shots 6
7 Shots on target 2
7 Corners 1
8 Fouls 10
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (345 league matches this season so far).
Result Milan to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.99
Expected goals 1.66 – 0.95
Home / Draw / Away
MilanDrawGenoa
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 12.2% 1–1 11.6% 2–0 10.1%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Milan before this match, all matches
2.06points / match
1.88scored / match
1.15conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 34 played · 64:39
Genoa before this match, all matches
1.24points / match
1.12scored / match
1.18conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 34 played · 38:40
Milan all matches all matches Genoa

Per match

1.88 Goals scored 1.12
1.15 Goals conceded 1.18
3.03 Total goals 2.29
14.15 Shots 10.65
5.38 Shots on target 3.41
13.35 Shots faced 12.74
4.65 Corners 3.88
4.15 Corners against 5.21
11.53 Fouls 11.94
2.29 Yellow cards 2.26
0.94 1st-half goals scored 0.59
0.44 1st-half goals conceded 0.53

How often Full Time

62% Wins 29%
21% Draws 35%
18% Losses 35%
97% Over 0.5 goals 91%
71% Over 1.5 goals 68%
62% Over 2.5 goals 41%
44% Over 3.5 goals 18%
21% Over 4.5 goals 12%
9% Over 5.5 goals 0%
56% Both teams scored 59%
38% Clean sheets 24%
9% Failed to score 26%

How often Half Time

47% Wins 32%
41% Draws 47%
12% Losses 21%
76% Over 0.5 goals 68%
50% Over 1.5 goals 35%
9% Over 2.5 goals 9%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milan all matches
Genoa all matches
Milan before this match, at home
2.19points / match
1.69scored / match
0.63conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 27:10
Genoa before this match, away
1.06points / match
0.88scored / match
1.12conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 15:19
Milan at home away Genoa

Per match

1.69 Goals scored 0.88
0.63 Goals conceded 1.12
2.31 Total goals 2.00
14.00 Shots 8.88
5.31 Shots on target 2.88
12.50 Shots faced 14.35
5.00 Corners 2.76
3.75 Corners against 6.00
12.25 Fouls 12.53
1.75 Yellow cards 2.53
0.94 1st-half goals scored 0.47
0.25 1st-half goals conceded 0.41

How often Full Time

69% Wins 24%
13% Draws 35%
19% Losses 41%
100% Over 0.5 goals 88%
56% Over 1.5 goals 65%
44% Over 2.5 goals 41%
25% Over 3.5 goals 6%
6% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
38% Both teams scored 59%
50% Clean sheets 18%
13% Failed to score 35%

How often Half Time

56% Wins 24%
38% Draws 65%
6% Losses 12%
75% Over 0.5 goals 53%
31% Over 1.5 goals 29%
6% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milan at home
Genoa away

Last 10 matches before this match

Milan all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.04.24 Juventus – Milan 0–0 (0–0) 2.103.303.60 2.04 1.86
22.04.24 Milan – Inter 1–2 (0–1) 3.753.602.00 1.73 2.10
14.04.24 Sassuolo – Milan 3–3 (2–1) 4.503.801.75 1.67 2.20
06.04.24 Milan – Lecce 3–0 (2–0) 1.364.758.50 1.70 2.10
30.03.24 Fiorentina – Milan 1–2 (0–0) 2.883.302.50 2.01 1.89
17.03.24 Verona – Milan 1–3 (0–1) 5.253.751.70 2.05 1.85
10.03.24 Milan – Empoli 1–0 (1–0) 1.445.006.50 1.70 2.10
01.03.24 Lazio – Milan 0–1 (0–0) 3.503.202.20 2.10 1.70
25.02.24 Milan – Atalanta 1–1 (1–1) 2.383.403.00 1.75 2.05
18.02.24 Monza – Milan 4–2 (2–0) 4.753.501.80 1.97 1.93

Genoa all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.04.24 Genoa – Cagliari 3–0 (2–0) 2.253.103.50 2.30 1.62
19.04.24 Genoa – Lazio 0–1 (0–0) 3.103.102.45 2.38 1.57
15.04.24 Fiorentina – Genoa 1–1 (0–1) 1.853.504.33 2.10 1.73
07.04.24 Verona – Genoa 1–2 (1–1) 2.753.002.80 2.50 1.50
30.03.24 Genoa – Frosinone 1–1 (1–1) 1.953.603.80 2.05 1.85
17.03.24 Juventus – Genoa 0–0 (0–0) 1.504.007.00 2.20 1.65
09.03.24 Genoa – Monza 2–3 (0–2) 2.153.203.50 2.40 1.53
04.03.24 Inter – Genoa 2–1 (2–0) 1.305.759.50 1.75 2.05
24.02.24 Genoa – Udinese 2–0 (2–0) 2.253.003.60 2.60 1.48
17.02.24 Napoli – Genoa 1–1 (0–0) 1.603.756.00 2.10 1.70

Milan at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.04.24 Milan – Inter 1–2 (0–1) 3.753.602.00 1.73 2.10
06.04.24 Milan – Lecce 3–0 (2–0) 1.364.758.50 1.70 2.10
10.03.24 Milan – Empoli 1–0 (1–0) 1.445.006.50 1.70 2.10
25.02.24 Milan – Atalanta 1–1 (1–1) 2.383.403.00 1.75 2.05
11.02.24 Milan – Napoli 1–0 (1–0) 1.953.603.80 1.80 2.00
27.01.24 Milan – Bologna 2–2 (1–1) 1.673.755.25 2.08 1.73
14.01.24 Milan – Roma 3–1 (1–0) 2.203.203.50 2.15 1.67
30.12.23 Milan – Sassuolo 1–0 (0–0) 1.454.756.50 1.50 2.50
17.12.23 Milan – Monza 3–0 (2–0) 1.624.335.00 1.80 2.00
02.12.23 Milan – Frosinone 3–1 (1–0) 1.444.507.50 1.70 2.10

Genoa away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.04.24 Fiorentina – Genoa 1–1 (0–1) 1.853.504.33 2.10 1.73
07.04.24 Verona – Genoa 1–2 (1–1) 2.753.002.80 2.50 1.50
17.03.24 Juventus – Genoa 0–0 (0–0) 1.504.007.00 2.20 1.65
04.03.24 Inter – Genoa 2–1 (2–0) 1.305.759.50 1.75 2.05
17.02.24 Napoli – Genoa 1–1 (0–0) 1.603.756.00 2.10 1.70
03.02.24 Empoli – Genoa 0–0 (0–0) 3.003.002.60 2.50 1.50
21.01.24 Salernitana – Genoa 1–2 (1–1) 3.603.202.15 2.40 1.53
05.01.24 Bologna – Genoa 1–1 (0–1) 2.053.004.33 2.70 1.44
22.12.23 Sassuolo – Genoa 1–2 (1–0) 2.253.303.25 2.02 1.88
10.12.23 Monza – Genoa 1–0 (0–0) 2.153.103.75 2.30 1.60

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Milan winsDrawsGenoa wins
3matches
2.00goals / match
33%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.10.23I1 Genoa – Milan 0–1 (0–0) 4.203.501.91 2.05 1.75
15.04.22I1 Milan – Genoa 2–0 (1–0) 1.335.0011.00 1.80 2.00
01.12.21I1 Genoa – Milan 0–3 (0–2) 5.004.001.66 1.72 2.10

Italy Serie A table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 35 28 5 2 81 19 +62 89
2 Milan 34 21 7 6 64 39 +25 70
3 Juventus 34 18 11 5 47 26 +21 65
4 Bologna 35 17 13 5 49 27 +22 64
5 Roma 34 17 8 9 61 41 +20 59
6 Atalanta 33 17 6 10 61 37 +24 57
7 Lazio 35 17 5 13 45 37 +8 56
8 Fiorentina 34 14 8 12 51 39 +12 50
9 Napoli 34 13 11 10 52 43 +9 50
10 Torino 35 11 14 10 31 31 0 47
11 Monza 35 11 12 12 38 46 -8 45
12 Genoa 34 10 12 12 38 40 -2 42
13 Lecce 35 8 13 14 32 50 -18 37
14 Verona 35 8 10 17 33 46 -13 34
15 Cagliari 35 7 12 16 37 60 -23 33
16 Frosinone 35 7 11 17 43 63 -20 32
17 Empoli 35 8 8 19 26 50 -24 32
18 Udinese 34 4 17 13 32 51 -19 29
19 Sassuolo 35 7 8 20 41 70 -29 29
20 Salernitana 34 2 9 23 26 73 -47 15
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 18 14 3 1 43 10 +33 45
2 Bologna 18 12 4 2 30 9 +21 40
3 Roma 17 11 3 3 36 18 +18 36
4 Juventus 17 10 6 1 23 10 +13 36
5 Atalanta 16 11 2 3 35 12 +23 35
6 Milan 16 11 2 3 27 10 +17 35
7 Fiorentina 17 9 4 4 33 19 +14 31
8 Lazio 17 9 3 5 20 13 +7 30
9 Torino 18 7 9 2 15 8 +7 30
10 Frosinone 17 7 4 6 28 26 +2 25
11 Cagliari 18 6 7 5 26 29 -3 25
12 Genoa 17 6 6 5 23 21 +2 24
13 Napoli 17 6 6 5 24 25 -1 24
14 Monza 18 6 6 6 23 25 -2 24
15 Lecce 17 6 6 5 17 23 -6 24
16 Verona 17 6 5 6 20 22 -2 23
17 Sassuolo 18 5 5 8 23 32 -9 20
18 Empoli 18 4 5 9 13 22 -9 17
19 Udinese 17 1 9 7 19 27 -8 12
20 Salernitana 17 1 5 11 15 34 -19 8
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 17 14 2 1 38 9 +29 44
2 Milan 18 10 5 3 37 29 +8 35
3 Juventus 17 8 5 4 24 16 +8 29
4 Napoli 17 7 5 5 28 18 +10 26
5 Lazio 18 8 2 8 25 24 +1 26
6 Bologna 17 5 9 3 19 18 +1 24
7 Roma 17 6 5 6 25 23 +2 23
8 Atalanta 17 6 4 7 26 25 +1 22
9 Monza 17 5 6 6 15 21 -6 21
10 Fiorentina 17 5 4 8 18 20 -2 19
11 Genoa 17 4 6 7 15 19 -4 18
12 Torino 17 4 5 8 16 23 -7 17
13 Udinese 17 3 8 6 13 24 -11 17
14 Empoli 17 4 3 10 13 28 -15 15
15 Lecce 18 2 7 9 15 27 -12 13
16 Verona 18 2 5 11 13 24 -11 11
17 Sassuolo 17 2 3 12 18 38 -20 9
18 Cagliari 17 1 5 11 11 31 -20 8
19 Frosinone 18 0 7 11 15 37 -22 7
20 Salernitana 17 1 4 12 11 39 -28 7

Milan   Genoa

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 16 Frosinone 35 13 22 1.2 1.8 7 11 17 43 63 32
2 20 Salernitana 34 12 22 0.8 2.1 2 9 23 26 73 15
3 2 Milan 34 13 21 1.9 1.1 21 7 6 64 39 70
4 5 Roma 34 13 21 1.8 1.2 17 8 9 61 41 59
5 6 Atalanta 33 12 21 1.8 1.1 17 6 10 61 37 57
6 9 Napoli 34 14 20 1.5 1.3 13 11 10 52 43 50
7 15 Cagliari 35 15 20 1.1 1.7 7 12 16 37 60 33
8 19 Sassuolo 35 15 20 1.2 2.0 7 8 20 41 70 29
9 1 Inter 35 16 19 2.3 0.5 28 5 2 81 19 89
10 8 Fiorentina 34 18 16 1.5 1.1 14 8 12 51 39 50
11 14 Verona 35 19 16 0.9 1.3 8 10 17 33 46 34
12 4 Bologna 35 20 15 1.4 0.8 17 13 5 49 27 64
13 7 Lazio 35 20 15 1.3 1.1 17 5 13 45 37 56
14 3 Juventus 34 20 14 1.4 0.8 18 11 5 47 26 65
15 11 Monza 35 21 14 1.1 1.3 11 12 12 38 46 45
16 12 Genoa 34 20 14 1.1 1.2 10 12 12 38 40 42
17 13 Lecce 35 21 14 0.9 1.4 8 13 14 32 50 37
18 18 Udinese 34 20 14 0.9 1.5 4 17 13 32 51 29
19 17 Empoli 35 24 11 0.7 1.4 8 8 19 26 50 32
20 10 Torino 35 26 9 0.9 0.9 11 14 10 31 31 47
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 16 Frosinone 17 4 13 1.6 1.5 7 4 6 28 26 25
2 9 Napoli 17 5 12 1.4 1.5 6 6 5 24 25 24
3 8 Fiorentina 17 6 11 1.9 1.1 9 4 4 33 19 31
4 15 Cagliari 18 7 11 1.4 1.6 6 7 5 26 29 25
5 20 Salernitana 17 6 11 0.9 2.0 1 5 11 15 34 8
6 1 Inter 18 8 10 2.4 0.6 14 3 1 43 10 45
7 5 Roma 17 7 10 2.1 1.1 11 3 3 36 18 36
8 6 Atalanta 16 6 10 2.2 0.8 11 2 3 35 12 35
9 14 Verona 17 8 9 1.2 1.3 6 5 6 20 22 23
10 18 Udinese 17 8 9 1.1 1.6 1 9 7 19 27 12
11 19 Sassuolo 18 9 9 1.3 1.8 5 5 8 23 32 20
12 11 Monza 18 10 8 1.3 1.4 6 6 6 23 25 24
13 2 Milan 16 9 7 1.7 0.6 11 2 3 27 10 35
14 12 Genoa 17 10 7 1.4 1.2 6 6 5 23 21 24
15 13 Lecce 17 10 7 1.0 1.4 6 6 5 17 23 24
16 4 Bologna 18 12 6 1.7 0.5 12 4 2 30 9 40
17 3 Juventus 17 12 5 1.4 0.6 10 6 1 23 10 36
18 7 Lazio 17 12 5 1.2 0.8 9 3 5 20 13 30
19 17 Empoli 18 13 5 0.7 1.2 4 5 9 13 22 17
20 10 Torino 18 14 4 0.8 0.4 7 9 2 15 8 30
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Milan 18 4 14 2.1 1.6 10 5 3 37 29 35
2 5 Roma 17 6 11 1.5 1.4 6 5 6 25 23 23
3 6 Atalanta 17 6 11 1.5 1.5 6 4 7 26 25 22
4 19 Sassuolo 17 6 11 1.1 2.2 2 3 12 18 38 9
5 20 Salernitana 17 6 11 0.6 2.3 1 4 12 11 39 7
6 7 Lazio 18 8 10 1.4 1.3 8 2 8 25 24 26
7 1 Inter 17 8 9 2.2 0.5 14 2 1 38 9 44
8 3 Juventus 17 8 9 1.4 0.9 8 5 4 24 16 29
9 4 Bologna 17 8 9 1.1 1.1 5 9 3 19 18 24
10 15 Cagliari 17 8 9 0.6 1.8 1 5 11 11 31 8
11 16 Frosinone 18 9 9 0.8 2.1 0 7 11 15 37 7
12 9 Napoli 17 9 8 1.6 1.1 7 5 5 28 18 26
13 12 Genoa 17 10 7 0.9 1.1 4 6 7 15 19 18
14 13 Lecce 18 11 7 0.8 1.5 2 7 9 15 27 13
15 14 Verona 18 11 7 0.7 1.3 2 5 11 13 24 11
16 11 Monza 17 11 6 0.9 1.2 5 6 6 15 21 21
17 17 Empoli 17 11 6 0.8 1.6 4 3 10 13 28 15
18 8 Fiorentina 17 12 5 1.1 1.2 5 4 8 18 20 19
19 10 Torino 17 12 5 0.9 1.4 4 5 8 16 23 17
20 18 Udinese 17 12 5 0.8 1.4 3 8 6 13 24 17

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51