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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Milan 4–1 Monza

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2022/2023

Home ✓ 1.40 fair 1.80
Draw 5.00 fair 4.40
Away 7.50 fair 4.61
Under 2.5 2.20 fair 2.25
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.66 fair 1.80

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Milan Monza
12 Shots 16
7 Shots on target 6
2 Corners 2
18 Fouls 9
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (102 league matches this season so far).
Result Milan to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.81
Expected goals 1.84 – 1.07
Home / Draw / Away
MilanDrawMonza
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.7% 1–0 10.1% 2–1 9.9%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Milan before this match, all matches
2.30points / match
2.00scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 20:10
Monza before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
0.90scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 9:15
Milan all matches all matches Monza

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 0.90
1.00 Goals conceded 1.50
3.00 Total goals 2.40
17.50 Shots 10.80
5.00 Shots on target 3.30
11.60 Shots faced 11.70
5.80 Corners 4.30
3.50 Corners against 5.70
11.20 Fouls 13.70
2.50 Yellow cards 2.20
0.70 1st-half goals scored 0.40
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.70

How often Full Time

70% Wins 30%
20% Draws 10%
10% Losses 60%
90% Over 0.5 goals 100%
90% Over 1.5 goals 80%
60% Over 2.5 goals 50%
30% Over 3.5 goals 10%
20% Over 4.5 goals 0%
10% Over 5.5 goals 0%
70% Both teams scored 30%
30% Clean sheets 30%
10% Failed to score 40%

How often Half Time

30% Wins 30%
60% Draws 30%
10% Losses 40%
70% Over 0.5 goals 80%
30% Over 1.5 goals 30%
10% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milan all matches
Monza all matches
Milan before this match, at home
2.40points / match
2.40scored / match
1.20conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 12:6
Monza before this match, away
0.80points / match
0.80scored / match
1.80conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 4:9
Milan at home away Monza

Per match

2.40 Goals scored 0.80
1.20 Goals conceded 1.80
3.60 Total goals 2.60
19.40 Shots 9.60
5.00 Shots on target 2.60
10.40 Shots faced 11.40
6.00 Corners 5.20
2.80 Corners against 5.40
12.80 Fouls 16.00
2.80 Yellow cards 2.40
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.40
0.60 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

80% Wins 20%
0% Draws 20%
20% Losses 60%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 80%
60% Over 2.5 goals 60%
40% Over 3.5 goals 20%
40% Over 4.5 goals 0%
20% Over 5.5 goals 0%
60% Both teams scored 20%
40% Clean sheets 20%
0% Failed to score 60%

How often Half Time

40% Wins 40%
60% Draws 0%
0% Losses 60%
80% Over 0.5 goals 100%
40% Over 1.5 goals 40%
20% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milan at home
Monza away

Last 10 matches before this match

Milan all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.10.22 Verona – Milan 1–2 (1–1) 6.004.001.57 1.80 2.00
08.10.22 Milan – Juventus 2–0 (1–0) 2.053.403.60 2.10 1.72
01.10.22 Empoli – Milan 1–3 (0–0) 5.504.001.60 1.86 2.04
18.09.22 Milan – Napoli 1–2 (0–0) 2.153.503.30 1.93 1.97
10.09.22 Sampdoria – Milan 1–2 (0–1) 6.004.501.50 1.72 2.10
03.09.22 Milan – Inter 3–2 (1–1) 2.803.252.60 1.88 2.02
30.08.22 Sassuolo – Milan 0–0 (0–0) 5.254.331.57 1.53 2.50
27.08.22 Milan – Bologna 2–0 (1–0) 1.335.508.50 1.61 2.30
21.08.22 Atalanta – Milan 1–1 (1–0) 2.753.502.50 1.72 2.10
13.08.22 Milan – Udinese 4–2 (2–2) 1.444.757.00 1.72 2.10

Monza all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.10.22 Empoli – Monza 1–0 (1–0) 2.553.302.80 1.99 1.91
09.10.22 Monza – Spezia 2–0 (1–0) 1.903.604.00 2.03 1.87
02.10.22 Sampdoria – Monza 0–3 (0–1) 2.253.403.20 1.98 1.92
18.09.22 Monza – Juventus 1–0 (0–0) 4.503.601.80 1.98 1.92
11.09.22 Lecce – Monza 1–1 (0–1) 2.253.403.20 2.02 1.88
05.09.22 Monza – Atalanta 0–2 (0–0) 5.754.201.57 1.66 2.20
30.08.22 Roma – Monza 3–0 (2–0) 1.305.5010.00 1.53 2.50
26.08.22 Monza – Udinese 1–2 (1–1) 3.103.402.30 1.88 2.02
21.08.22 Napoli – Monza 4–0 (2–0) 1.335.508.00 1.50 2.62
13.08.22 Monza – Torino 1–2 (0–1) 2.603.302.75 2.10 1.72

Milan at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.10.22 Milan – Juventus 2–0 (1–0) 2.053.403.60 2.10 1.72
18.09.22 Milan – Napoli 1–2 (0–0) 2.153.503.30 1.93 1.97
03.09.22 Milan – Inter 3–2 (1–1) 2.803.252.60 1.88 2.02
27.08.22 Milan – Bologna 2–0 (1–0) 1.335.508.50 1.61 2.30
13.08.22 Milan – Udinese 4–2 (2–2) 1.444.757.00 1.72 2.10
15.05.22 Milan – Atalanta 2–0 (0–0) 1.754.204.20 1.57 2.37
01.05.22 Milan – Fiorentina 1–0 (0–0) 1.614.005.50 1.72 2.10
15.04.22 Milan – Genoa 2–0 (1–0) 1.335.0011.00 1.80 2.00
04.04.22 Milan – Bologna 0–0 (0–0) 1.404.508.50 1.72 2.10
12.03.22 Milan – Empoli 1–0 (1–0) 1.365.257.50 1.53 2.50

Monza away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.10.22 Empoli – Monza 1–0 (1–0) 2.553.302.80 1.99 1.91
02.10.22 Sampdoria – Monza 0–3 (0–1) 2.253.403.20 1.98 1.92
11.09.22 Lecce – Monza 1–1 (0–1) 2.253.403.20 2.02 1.88
30.08.22 Roma – Monza 3–0 (2–0) 1.305.5010.00 1.53 2.50
21.08.22 Napoli – Monza 4–0 (2–0) 1.335.508.00 1.50 2.62
06.05.22I2 Perugia – Monza 1–0 (0–0) 3.503.751.85 1.85 2.00
25.04.22I2 Frosinone – Monza 4–1 (2–1) 2.503.102.55 2.10 1.70
10.04.22I2 Cosenza – Monza 0–2 (0–1) 4.753.251.75 2.07 1.72
03.04.22I2 Como – Monza 2–0 (0–0) 4.333.751.70 1.90 1.95
15.03.22I2 Alessandria – Monza 0–3 (0–1) 3.753.252.00 2.10 1.70

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

Italy Serie A table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 10 8 2 0 25 9 +16 26
2 Atalanta 10 7 3 0 16 6 +10 24
3 Milan 10 7 2 1 20 10 +10 23
4 Roma 10 7 1 2 13 9 +4 22
5 Lazio 10 6 3 1 21 5 +16 21
6 Udinese 10 6 3 1 19 10 +9 21
7 Juventus 11 5 4 2 17 7 +10 19
8 Inter 10 6 0 4 18 14 +4 18
9 Salernitana 11 3 4 4 13 16 -3 13
10 Sassuolo 10 3 3 4 12 12 0 12
11 Torino 10 3 2 5 8 12 -4 11
12 Empoli 11 2 5 4 9 15 -6 11
13 Fiorentina 10 2 4 4 8 12 -4 10
14 Monza 10 3 1 6 9 15 -6 10
15 Spezia 11 2 3 6 9 20 -11 9
16 Lecce 10 1 5 4 9 12 -3 8
17 Bologna 10 1 4 5 10 17 -7 7
18 Verona 10 1 2 7 9 19 -10 5
19 Cremonese 10 0 4 6 9 21 -12 4
20 Sampdoria 10 0 3 7 5 18 -13 3
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Juventus 6 4 2 0 15 3 +12 14
2 Lazio 6 4 1 1 12 4 +8 13
3 Napoli 5 4 1 0 12 4 +8 13
4 Inter 5 4 0 1 10 3 +7 12
5 Milan 5 4 0 1 12 6 +6 12
6 Udinese 5 3 2 0 10 3 +7 11
7 Atalanta 5 3 2 0 8 4 +4 11
8 Salernitana 6 3 1 2 10 6 +4 10
9 Roma 4 3 0 1 6 2 +4 9
10 Spezia 5 2 3 0 9 7 +2 9
11 Fiorentina 5 2 2 1 6 7 -1 8
12 Sassuolo 5 2 1 2 8 5 +3 7
13 Bologna 5 1 3 1 5 5 0 6
14 Monza 5 2 0 3 5 6 -1 6
15 Torino 5 1 2 2 2 3 -1 5
16 Empoli 5 1 2 2 4 6 -2 5
17 Lecce 5 0 4 1 5 6 -1 4
18 Verona 5 1 0 4 6 11 -5 3
19 Sampdoria 6 0 2 4 2 9 -7 2
20 Cremonese 4 0 1 3 2 10 -8 1
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 5 4 1 0 13 5 +8 13
2 Atalanta 5 4 1 0 8 2 +6 13
3 Roma 6 4 1 1 7 7 0 13
4 Milan 5 3 2 0 8 4 +4 11
5 Udinese 5 3 1 1 9 7 +2 10
6 Lazio 4 2 2 0 9 1 +8 8
7 Inter 5 2 0 3 8 11 -3 6
8 Torino 5 2 0 3 6 9 -3 6
9 Empoli 6 1 3 2 5 9 -4 6
10 Juventus 5 1 2 2 2 4 -2 5
11 Sassuolo 5 1 2 2 4 7 -3 5
12 Lecce 5 1 1 3 4 6 -2 4
13 Monza 5 1 1 3 4 9 -5 4
14 Cremonese 6 0 3 3 7 11 -4 3
15 Salernitana 5 0 3 2 3 10 -7 3
16 Fiorentina 5 0 2 3 2 5 -3 2
17 Verona 5 0 2 3 3 8 -5 2
18 Sampdoria 4 0 1 3 3 9 -6 1
19 Bologna 5 0 1 4 5 12 -7 1
20 Spezia 6 0 0 6 0 13 -13 0

Milan   Monza

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Inter 10 2 8 1.8 1.4 6 0 4 18 14 18
2 1 Napoli 10 3 7 2.5 0.9 8 2 0 25 9 26
3 6 Udinese 10 3 7 1.9 1.0 6 3 1 19 10 21
4 3 Milan 10 4 6 2.0 1.0 7 2 1 20 10 23
5 5 Lazio 10 4 6 2.1 0.5 6 3 1 21 5 21
6 9 Salernitana 11 5 6 1.2 1.5 3 4 4 13 16 13
7 10 Sassuolo 10 4 6 1.2 1.2 3 3 4 12 12 12
8 15 Spezia 11 5 6 0.8 1.8 2 3 6 9 20 9
9 19 Cremonese 10 4 6 0.9 2.1 0 4 6 9 21 4
10 4 Roma 10 5 5 1.3 0.9 7 1 2 13 9 22
11 14 Monza 10 5 5 0.9 1.5 3 1 6 9 15 10
12 17 Bologna 10 5 5 1.0 1.7 1 4 5 10 17 7
13 18 Verona 10 5 5 0.9 1.9 1 2 7 9 19 5
14 20 Sampdoria 10 5 5 0.5 1.8 0 3 7 5 18 3
15 7 Juventus 11 7 4 1.5 0.6 5 4 2 17 7 19
16 11 Torino 10 6 4 0.8 1.2 3 2 5 8 12 11
17 12 Empoli 11 7 4 0.8 1.4 2 5 4 9 15 11
18 2 Atalanta 10 7 3 1.6 0.6 7 3 0 16 6 24
19 13 Fiorentina 10 7 3 0.8 1.2 2 4 4 8 12 10
20 16 Lecce 10 7 3 0.9 1.2 1 5 4 9 12 8
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Lazio 6 2 4 2.0 0.7 4 1 1 12 4 13
2 7 Juventus 6 2 4 2.5 0.5 4 2 0 15 3 14
3 9 Salernitana 6 2 4 1.7 1.0 3 1 2 10 6 10
4 15 Spezia 5 1 4 1.8 1.4 2 3 0 9 7 9
5 18 Verona 5 1 4 1.2 2.2 1 0 4 6 11 3
6 1 Napoli 5 2 3 2.4 0.8 4 1 0 12 4 13
7 3 Milan 5 2 3 2.4 1.2 4 0 1 12 6 12
8 6 Udinese 5 2 3 2.0 0.6 3 2 0 10 3 11
9 8 Inter 5 2 3 2.0 0.6 4 0 1 10 3 12
10 10 Sassuolo 5 2 3 1.6 1.0 2 1 2 8 5 7
11 19 Cremonese 4 1 3 0.5 2.5 0 1 3 2 10 1
12 2 Atalanta 5 3 2 1.6 0.8 3 2 0 8 4 11
13 4 Roma 4 2 2 1.5 0.5 3 0 1 6 2 9
14 12 Empoli 5 3 2 0.8 1.2 1 2 2 4 6 5
15 13 Fiorentina 5 3 2 1.2 1.4 2 2 1 6 7 8
16 14 Monza 5 3 2 1.0 1.2 2 0 3 5 6 6
17 20 Sampdoria 6 4 2 0.3 1.5 0 2 4 2 9 2
18 16 Lecce 5 4 1 1.0 1.2 0 4 1 5 6 4
19 17 Bologna 5 4 1 1.0 1.0 1 3 1 5 5 6
20 11 Torino 5 5 0 0.4 0.6 1 2 2 2 3 5
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Inter 5 0 5 1.6 2.2 2 0 3 8 11 6
2 1 Napoli 5 1 4 2.6 1.0 4 1 0 13 5 13
3 6 Udinese 5 1 4 1.8 1.4 3 1 1 9 7 10
4 11 Torino 5 1 4 1.2 1.8 2 0 3 6 9 6
5 17 Bologna 5 1 4 1.0 2.4 0 1 4 5 12 1
6 3 Milan 5 2 3 1.6 0.8 3 2 0 8 4 11
7 4 Roma 6 3 3 1.2 1.2 4 1 1 7 7 13
8 10 Sassuolo 5 2 3 0.8 1.4 1 2 2 4 7 5
9 14 Monza 5 2 3 0.8 1.8 1 1 3 4 9 4
10 19 Cremonese 6 3 3 1.2 1.8 0 3 3 7 11 3
11 20 Sampdoria 4 1 3 0.8 2.2 0 1 3 3 9 1
12 5 Lazio 4 2 2 2.2 0.2 2 2 0 9 1 8
13 9 Salernitana 5 3 2 0.6 2.0 0 3 2 3 10 3
14 12 Empoli 6 4 2 0.8 1.5 1 3 2 5 9 6
15 15 Spezia 6 4 2 0.0 2.2 0 0 6 0 13 0
16 16 Lecce 5 3 2 0.8 1.2 1 1 3 4 6 4
17 2 Atalanta 5 4 1 1.6 0.4 4 1 0 8 2 13
18 13 Fiorentina 5 4 1 0.4 1.0 0 2 3 2 5 2
19 18 Verona 5 4 1 0.6 1.6 0 2 3 3 8 2
20 7 Juventus 5 5 0 0.4 0.8 1 2 2 2 4 5

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51