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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Milan 2–1 Spezia

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2022/2023

Home ✓ 1.22 fair 1.61
Draw 6.00 fair 4.86
Away 13.00 fair 5.78
Under 2.5 2.37 fair 2.43
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.57 fair 1.70

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Milan Spezia
23 Shots 13
11 Shots on target 5
3 Corners 6
12 Fouls 13
6 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (124 league matches this season so far).
Result Milan to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.82
Expected goals 2.06 – 0.99
Home / Draw / Away
MilanDrawSpezia
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–0 10.1% 2–1 9.9% 1–0 9.8%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Milan before this match, all matches
2.17points / match
2.08scored / match
1.08conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 25:13
Spezia before this match, all matches
0.75points / match
0.83scored / match
1.83conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 10:22
Milan all matches all matches Spezia

Per match

2.08 Goals scored 0.83
1.08 Goals conceded 1.83
3.17 Total goals 2.67
16.58 Shots 10.00
4.83 Shots on target 2.50
11.58 Shots faced 17.75
5.08 Corners 5.00
3.58 Corners against 5.67
12.17 Fouls 13.25
2.33 Yellow cards 2.58
0.75 1st-half goals scored 0.67
0.58 1st-half goals conceded 0.83

How often Full Time

67% Wins 17%
17% Draws 25%
17% Losses 58%
92% Over 0.5 goals 100%
92% Over 1.5 goals 75%
67% Over 2.5 goals 58%
33% Over 3.5 goals 33%
25% Over 4.5 goals 0%
8% Over 5.5 goals 0%
75% Both teams scored 42%
25% Clean sheets 8%
8% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 25%
50% Draws 42%
17% Losses 33%
75% Over 0.5 goals 83%
42% Over 1.5 goals 50%
8% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milan all matches
Spezia all matches
Milan before this match, at home
2.50points / match
2.67scored / match
1.17conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 16:7
Spezia before this match, away
0.00points / match
0.00scored / match
2.17conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 0:13
Milan at home away Spezia

Per match

2.67 Goals scored 0.00
1.17 Goals conceded 2.17
3.83 Total goals 2.17
18.17 Shots 9.67
5.33 Shots on target 1.00
11.33 Shots faced 16.50
5.33 Corners 5.17
2.67 Corners against 6.17
13.67 Fouls 11.17
2.50 Yellow cards 2.00
1.17 1st-half goals scored 0.00
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.83

How often Full Time

83% Wins 0%
0% Draws 0%
17% Losses 100%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 67%
67% Over 2.5 goals 33%
50% Over 3.5 goals 17%
50% Over 4.5 goals 0%
17% Over 5.5 goals 0%
67% Both teams scored 0%
33% Clean sheets 0%
0% Failed to score 100%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 0%
50% Draws 33%
0% Losses 67%
83% Over 0.5 goals 67%
50% Over 1.5 goals 17%
17% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milan at home
Spezia away

Last 10 matches before this match

Milan all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.10.22 Torino – Milan 2–1 (2–0) 3.753.302.10 2.10 1.72
22.10.22 Milan – Monza 4–1 (2–0) 1.405.007.50 1.66 2.20
16.10.22 Verona – Milan 1–2 (1–1) 6.004.001.57 1.80 2.00
08.10.22 Milan – Juventus 2–0 (1–0) 2.053.403.60 2.10 1.72
01.10.22 Empoli – Milan 1–3 (0–0) 5.504.001.60 1.86 2.04
18.09.22 Milan – Napoli 1–2 (0–0) 2.153.503.30 1.93 1.97
10.09.22 Sampdoria – Milan 1–2 (0–1) 6.004.501.50 1.72 2.10
03.09.22 Milan – Inter 3–2 (1–1) 2.803.252.60 1.88 2.02
30.08.22 Sassuolo – Milan 0–0 (0–0) 5.254.331.57 1.53 2.50
27.08.22 Milan – Bologna 2–0 (1–0) 1.335.508.50 1.61 2.30

Spezia all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.10.22 Spezia – Fiorentina 1–2 (1–1) 4.003.601.90 1.98 1.92
22.10.22 Salernitana – Spezia 1–0 (0–0) 2.003.503.80 2.00 1.90
16.10.22 Spezia – Cremonese 2–2 (2–1) 2.453.203.10 2.04 1.86
09.10.22 Monza – Spezia 2–0 (1–0) 1.903.604.00 2.03 1.87
02.10.22 Lazio – Spezia 4–0 (2–0) 1.405.007.50 1.61 2.30
17.09.22 Spezia – Sampdoria 2–1 (1–1) 2.703.252.70 2.07 1.83
10.09.22 Napoli – Spezia 1–0 (0–0) 1.256.0011.00 1.50 2.62
04.09.22 Spezia – Bologna 2–2 (1–1) 3.003.302.37 1.90 2.00
31.08.22 Juventus – Spezia 2–0 (1–0) 1.285.7512.00 1.66 2.20
27.08.22 Spezia – Sassuolo 2–2 (2–1) 3.003.602.25 1.61 2.30

Milan at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.10.22 Milan – Monza 4–1 (2–0) 1.405.007.50 1.66 2.20
08.10.22 Milan – Juventus 2–0 (1–0) 2.053.403.60 2.10 1.72
18.09.22 Milan – Napoli 1–2 (0–0) 2.153.503.30 1.93 1.97
03.09.22 Milan – Inter 3–2 (1–1) 2.803.252.60 1.88 2.02
27.08.22 Milan – Bologna 2–0 (1–0) 1.335.508.50 1.61 2.30
13.08.22 Milan – Udinese 4–2 (2–2) 1.444.757.00 1.72 2.10
15.05.22 Milan – Atalanta 2–0 (0–0) 1.754.204.20 1.57 2.37
01.05.22 Milan – Fiorentina 1–0 (0–0) 1.614.005.50 1.72 2.10
15.04.22 Milan – Genoa 2–0 (1–0) 1.335.0011.00 1.80 2.00
04.04.22 Milan – Bologna 0–0 (0–0) 1.404.508.50 1.72 2.10

Spezia away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.10.22 Salernitana – Spezia 1–0 (0–0) 2.003.503.80 2.00 1.90
09.10.22 Monza – Spezia 2–0 (1–0) 1.903.604.00 2.03 1.87
02.10.22 Lazio – Spezia 4–0 (2–0) 1.405.007.50 1.61 2.30
10.09.22 Napoli – Spezia 1–0 (0–0) 1.256.0011.00 1.50 2.62
31.08.22 Juventus – Spezia 2–0 (1–0) 1.285.7512.00 1.66 2.20
20.08.22 Inter – Spezia 3–0 (1–0) 1.168.0015.00 1.30 3.50
14.05.22 Udinese – Spezia 2–3 (1–2) 1.833.904.00 1.66 2.20
23.04.22 Torino – Spezia 2–1 (1–0) 1.663.605.50 2.04 1.86
09.04.22 Empoli – Spezia 0–0 (0–0) 2.003.503.80 1.87 2.03
18.03.22 Sassuolo – Spezia 4–1 (1–1) 1.664.204.75 1.57 2.37

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Milan winsDrawsSpezia wins
2matches
3.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.01.22I1 Milan – Spezia 1–2 (1–0) 1.335.009.50 1.57 2.37
25.09.21I1 Spezia – Milan 1–2 (0–0) 7.004.501.45 1.57 2.37

Italy Serie A table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 13 11 2 0 32 10 +22 35
2 Atalanta 13 8 3 2 19 10 +9 27
3 Milan 12 8 2 2 25 13 +12 26
4 Roma 12 8 1 3 16 11 +5 25
5 Lazio 12 7 3 2 24 8 +16 24
6 Inter 12 8 0 4 25 17 +8 24
7 Udinese 13 6 5 2 21 13 +8 23
8 Juventus 12 6 4 2 18 7 +11 22
9 Salernitana 13 4 5 4 18 19 -1 17
10 Torino 12 5 2 5 12 14 -2 17
11 Sassuolo 13 4 3 6 14 18 -4 15
12 Empoli 13 3 5 5 10 17 -7 14
13 Bologna 12 3 4 5 14 18 -4 13
14 Fiorentina 12 3 4 5 13 17 -4 13
15 Monza 12 3 1 8 11 21 -10 10
16 Lecce 13 1 6 6 10 16 -6 9
17 Spezia 12 2 3 7 10 22 -12 9
18 Cremonese 13 0 6 7 11 24 -13 6
19 Sampdoria 12 1 3 8 6 21 -15 6
20 Verona 12 1 2 9 11 24 -13 5
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 6 5 1 0 16 4 +12 16
2 Inter 6 5 0 1 13 3 +10 15
3 Milan 6 5 0 1 16 7 +9 15
4 Juventus 6 4 2 0 15 3 +12 14
5 Lazio 7 4 1 2 13 7 +6 13
6 Udinese 7 3 3 1 12 6 +6 12
7 Salernitana 7 3 2 2 12 8 +4 11
8 Atalanta 7 3 2 2 9 8 +1 11
9 Sassuolo 6 3 1 2 10 6 +4 10
10 Roma 5 3 0 2 6 3 +3 9
11 Bologna 6 2 3 1 7 5 +2 9
12 Spezia 6 2 3 1 10 9 +1 9
13 Torino 6 2 2 2 4 4 0 8
14 Fiorentina 6 2 2 2 9 11 -2 8
15 Empoli 7 2 2 3 5 8 -3 8
16 Monza 6 2 0 4 6 8 -2 6
17 Lecce 6 0 4 2 5 7 -2 4
18 Verona 6 1 0 5 7 14 -7 3
19 Sampdoria 6 0 2 4 2 9 -7 2
20 Cremonese 6 0 2 4 2 11 -9 2
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 7 6 1 0 16 6 +10 19
2 Atalanta 6 5 1 0 10 2 +8 16
3 Roma 7 5 1 1 10 8 +2 16
4 Lazio 5 3 2 0 11 1 +10 11
5 Milan 6 3 2 1 9 6 +3 11
6 Udinese 6 3 2 1 9 7 +2 11
7 Inter 6 3 0 3 12 14 -2 9
8 Torino 6 3 0 3 8 10 -2 9
9 Juventus 6 2 2 2 3 4 -1 8
10 Empoli 6 1 3 2 5 9 -4 6
11 Salernitana 6 1 3 2 6 11 -5 6
12 Fiorentina 6 1 2 3 4 6 -2 5
13 Lecce 7 1 2 4 5 9 -4 5
14 Sassuolo 7 1 2 4 4 12 -8 5
15 Cremonese 7 0 4 3 9 13 -4 4
16 Bologna 6 1 1 4 7 13 -6 4
17 Monza 6 1 1 4 5 13 -8 4
18 Sampdoria 6 1 1 4 4 12 -8 4
19 Verona 6 0 2 4 4 10 -6 2
20 Spezia 6 0 0 6 0 13 -13 0

Milan   Spezia

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Inter 12 2 10 2.1 1.4 8 0 4 25 17 24
2 1 Napoli 13 4 9 2.5 0.8 11 2 0 32 10 35
3 3 Milan 12 4 8 2.1 1.1 8 2 2 25 13 26
4 7 Udinese 13 5 8 1.6 1.0 6 5 2 21 13 23
5 9 Salernitana 13 5 8 1.4 1.5 4 5 4 18 19 17
6 11 Sassuolo 13 5 8 1.1 1.4 4 3 6 14 18 15
7 5 Lazio 12 5 7 2.0 0.7 7 3 2 24 8 24
8 15 Monza 12 5 7 0.9 1.8 3 1 8 11 21 10
9 17 Spezia 12 5 7 0.8 1.8 2 3 7 10 22 9
10 18 Cremonese 13 6 7 0.8 1.8 0 6 7 11 24 6
11 20 Verona 12 5 7 0.9 2.0 1 2 9 11 24 5
12 4 Roma 12 6 6 1.3 0.9 8 1 3 16 11 25
13 10 Torino 12 6 6 1.0 1.2 5 2 5 12 14 17
14 13 Bologna 12 6 6 1.2 1.5 3 4 5 14 18 13
15 19 Sampdoria 12 6 6 0.5 1.8 1 3 8 6 21 6
16 14 Fiorentina 12 7 5 1.1 1.4 3 4 5 13 17 13
17 2 Atalanta 13 9 4 1.5 0.8 8 3 2 19 10 27
18 8 Juventus 12 8 4 1.5 0.6 6 4 2 18 7 22
19 12 Empoli 13 9 4 0.8 1.3 3 5 5 10 17 14
20 16 Lecce 13 10 3 0.8 1.2 1 6 6 10 16 9
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Lazio 7 2 5 1.9 1.0 4 1 2 13 7 13
2 9 Salernitana 7 2 5 1.7 1.1 3 2 2 12 8 11
3 17 Spezia 6 1 5 1.7 1.5 2 3 1 10 9 9
4 20 Verona 6 1 5 1.2 2.3 1 0 5 7 14 3
5 1 Napoli 6 2 4 2.7 0.7 5 1 0 16 4 16
6 3 Milan 6 2 4 2.7 1.2 5 0 1 16 7 15
7 6 Inter 6 2 4 2.2 0.5 5 0 1 13 3 15
8 7 Udinese 7 3 4 1.7 0.9 3 3 1 12 6 12
9 8 Juventus 6 2 4 2.5 0.5 4 2 0 15 3 14
10 11 Sassuolo 6 2 4 1.7 1.0 3 1 2 10 6 10
11 2 Atalanta 7 4 3 1.3 1.1 3 2 2 9 8 11
12 14 Fiorentina 6 3 3 1.5 1.8 2 2 2 9 11 8
13 15 Monza 6 3 3 1.0 1.3 2 0 4 6 8 6
14 18 Cremonese 6 3 3 0.3 1.8 0 2 4 2 11 2
15 4 Roma 5 3 2 1.2 0.6 3 0 2 6 3 9
16 12 Empoli 7 5 2 0.7 1.1 2 2 3 5 8 8
17 19 Sampdoria 6 4 2 0.3 1.5 0 2 4 2 9 2
18 10 Torino 6 5 1 0.7 0.7 2 2 2 4 4 8
19 13 Bologna 6 5 1 1.2 0.8 2 3 1 7 5 9
20 16 Lecce 6 5 1 0.8 1.2 0 4 2 5 7 4
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Inter 6 0 6 2.0 2.3 3 0 3 12 14 9
2 1 Napoli 7 2 5 2.3 0.9 6 1 0 16 6 19
3 10 Torino 6 1 5 1.3 1.7 3 0 3 8 10 9
4 13 Bologna 6 1 5 1.2 2.2 1 1 4 7 13 4
5 3 Milan 6 2 4 1.5 1.0 3 2 1 9 6 11
6 4 Roma 7 3 4 1.4 1.1 5 1 1 10 8 16
7 7 Udinese 6 2 4 1.5 1.2 3 2 1 9 7 11
8 11 Sassuolo 7 3 4 0.6 1.7 1 2 4 4 12 5
9 15 Monza 6 2 4 0.8 2.2 1 1 4 5 13 4
10 18 Cremonese 7 3 4 1.3 1.9 0 4 3 9 13 4
11 19 Sampdoria 6 2 4 0.7 2.0 1 1 4 4 12 4
12 9 Salernitana 6 3 3 1.0 1.8 1 3 2 6 11 6
13 5 Lazio 5 3 2 2.2 0.2 3 2 0 11 1 11
14 12 Empoli 6 4 2 0.8 1.5 1 3 2 5 9 6
15 14 Fiorentina 6 4 2 0.7 1.0 1 2 3 4 6 5
16 16 Lecce 7 5 2 0.7 1.3 1 2 4 5 9 5
17 17 Spezia 6 4 2 0.0 2.2 0 0 6 0 13 0
18 20 Verona 6 4 2 0.7 1.7 0 2 4 4 10 2
19 2 Atalanta 6 5 1 1.7 0.3 5 1 0 10 2 16
20 8 Juventus 6 6 0 0.5 0.7 2 2 2 3 4 8

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 30 Oct 2026, 22:44